Scotland: New Constituency Boundaries 2018

Each new seat can be described as a combination of parts of old seats. These tables show this decomposition. The winner of the old seat at the 2017 election is shown by party colour, as is the implied winner of the new seat.

The implied results are calculated using the local election results for the wards which make up each old seat. This should give the most accurate projection, since it reflects varying political behaviour across the seat.

Scotland Change Table

  Old SeatsNew SeatsChangeDisappearSwitch OutSwitch InFresh
Con1311-2-2000
Lab7920-130
Lib42-20-200
Ukip0000000
Green0000000
Nat3531-4-5-331
Min0000000
Total5953-6-7-661

The table shows how the various changes affect each party in this area. The total old and new seats are shown for each party, as well as their difference ('Change'). The change in seats is also explained through the four explanations:

The old seats which are disappearing are: Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine; Airdrie and Shotts; Ayrshire Central; Edinburgh South West; Glasgow Central; Ochil and South Perthshire; Ross Skye and Lochaber.

The old seats which are lost to another party are: Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross; Edinburgh East; Edinburgh West; Glasgow East; Midlothian; Motherwell and Wishaw.

The new seats which are gained from another party are: Highland North; Edinburgh East; Edinburgh West; Glasgow East; Midlothian and Upper Tweeddale; Lanarkshire North East.

The new seats which are freshly created are: Falkirk South.

Argyll and Bute

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Argyll, Bute and Lochaber 100% of Argyll and Bute 22.6% of Ross Skye and Lochaber

Ayrshire and Lanark

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Arran and Cunninghame 61.4% of Ayrshire North and Arran 46.7% of Ayrshire Central
Ayr and Carrick 73.3% of Ayr Carrick and Cumnock 39.6% of Ayrshire Central
Dumfriesshire and Lanarkshire South East 73.0% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale 39.5% of Lanark and Hamilton East
0.2% of Dumfries and Galloway
Kilmarnock, Cumnock and Doon Valley 71.2% of Kilmarnock and Loudoun 26.7% of Ayr Carrick and Cumnock
13.7% of Ayrshire Central
Lanarkshire Mid 58.3% of Lanark and Hamilton East 37.6% of Motherwell and Wishaw
4.0% of East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow
3.9% of Rutherglen and Hamilton West
Lanarkshire South West 96.0% of East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow 1.3% of Lanark and Hamilton East
Lanarkshire West 96.1% of Rutherglen and Hamilton West 0.9% of Lanark and Hamilton East

Borders

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk 100% of Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk 5.1% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Central

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Falkirk South 45.6% of Falkirk 41.0% of Linlithgow and East Falkirk
Stirling and Falkirk North 54.4% of Falkirk 42.5% of Stirling
Stirlingshire and South Perthshire 57.5% of Stirling 46.4% of Ochil and South Perthshire

Dumfries and Galloway

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Galloway and Dumfries 99.8% of Dumfries and Galloway 4.4% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Edinburgh area

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
East Lothian Unchanged
Edinburgh East 68.6% of Edinburgh East 40.2% of Edinburgh South
8.8% of Edinburgh North and Leith
1.6% of Edinburgh West
1.2% of Edinburgh South West
Edinburgh North and Leith 83.5% of Edinburgh North and Leith 13.1% of Edinburgh East
5.2% of Edinburgh West
Edinburgh Pentland and Livingston 63.4% of Livingston 40.1% of Edinburgh South West
2.1% of Edinburgh West
Edinburgh Southside 59.8% of Edinburgh South 44.9% of Edinburgh South West
18.4% of Edinburgh East
Edinburgh West 91.2% of Edinburgh West 13.7% of Edinburgh South West
7.7% of Edinburgh North and Leith
Linlithgow 59.0% of Linlithgow and East Falkirk 36.6% of Livingston
Midlothian and Upper Tweeddale 100% of Midlothian 17.5% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Fife

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Clackmannanshire and Dunfermline 51.9% of Dunfermline and West Fife 49.8% of Ochil and South Perthshire
Fife Mid 62.7% of Glenrothes 47.6% of Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath
Fife North East 100% of Fife North East 30.9% of Glenrothes
Fife South 52.4% of Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath 48.1% of Dunfermline and West Fife
6.4% of Glenrothes

Glasgow area

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Dunbartonshire East 91.2% of Dunbartonshire East 26.0% of Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East
Dunbartonshire West 100% of Dunbartonshire West 8.8% of Dunbartonshire East
Eastwood and Loudoun 75.0% of Renfrewshire East 28.8% of Kilmarnock and Loudoun
Glasgow Central 49.3% of Glasgow North 38.6% of Glasgow Central
20.6% of Glasgow South West
13.2% of Glasgow North West
Glasgow East 83.7% of Glasgow East 16.8% of Glasgow Central
13.4% of Glasgow North East
Glasgow North East 86.6% of Glasgow North East 15.6% of Glasgow East
15.8% of Glasgow North
Glasgow North West 86.8% of Glasgow North West 34.9% of Glasgow North
Glasgow South East 77.2% of Glasgow South 30.0% of Glasgow Central
Glasgow South West 79.4% of Glasgow South West 22.8% of Glasgow South
14.7% of Glasgow Central
Inverclyde and Erskine 100% of Inverclyde 31.6% of Paisley and Renfrewshire North
Lanarkshire North 74.0% of Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East 46.5% of Airdrie and Shotts
1.1% of Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill
Lanarkshire North East 56.7% of Motherwell and Wishaw 52.6% of Airdrie and Shotts
0.7% of Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill
Lanarkshire North West 98.2% of Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill 5.7% of Motherwell and Wishaw
0.8% of Airdrie and Shotts
0.7% of Glasgow East
Paisley 50.9% of Paisley and Renfrewshire North 44.3% of Paisley and Renfrewshire South
25.0% of Renfrewshire East
Renfrewshire West 55.7% of Paisley and Renfrewshire South 38.6% of Ayrshire North and Arran
17.5% of Paisley and Renfrewshire North

Grampian

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Aberdeen North 82.3% of Aberdeen North 35.3% of Gordon
0.3% of Aberdeen South
Aberdeen South 99.7% of Aberdeen South 17.7% of Aberdeen North
1.6% of Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine
Banff and Buchan 99.5% of Banff and Buchan 14.5% of Gordon
Gordon and Deeside 50.2% of Gordon 52.8% of Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine
0.5% of Banff and Buchan
Moray and Nairn 100% of Moray 12.2% of Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey

Highland

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Highland North 100% of Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross 47.7% of Ross Skye and Lochaber
3.3% of Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey
Highland South 84.4% of Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey 29.7% of Ross Skye and Lochaber

Orkney and Shetland

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Orkney and Shetland Unchanged

Tayside

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Angus South and Dundee East 70.3% of Dundee East 34.8% of Angus
6.0% of Dundee West
Dundee 94.0% of Dundee West 29.7% of Dundee East
Kincardine and Angus North 65.2% of Angus 45.6% of Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine
Perth and North Perthshire 100% of Perth and North Perthshire 3.8% of Ochil and South Perthshire

Western Isles

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) Unchanged