Scotland: New Constituency Boundaries 2018

Each new seat can be described as a combination of parts of old seats. These tables show this decomposition. The winner of the old seat at the 2017 election is shown by party colour, as is the implied winner of the new seat.

The implied results are calculated using the local election results for the wards which make up each old seat. This should give the most accurate projection, since it reflects varying political behaviour across the seat.

Scotland Change Table

  Old SeatsNew SeatsChangeDisappearSwitch OutSwitch InFresh
Con1311-2-2-101
Lab781-2-140
Lib42-20-200
Ukip0000000
Green0000000
Nat3532-3-4-441
Min0000000
Total5953-6-8-882

The table shows how the various changes affect each party in this region. The total old and new seats are shown for each party, as well as their difference ('Change'). The change in seats is also explained through the four explanations:

The old seats which are disappearing are: Angus; Ayrshire Central; Edinburgh South; Glasgow North; Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath; Motherwell and Wishaw; Ross Skye and Lochaber; Stirling.

The old seats which are lost to another party are: Airdrie and Shotts; Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross; Edinburgh East; Edinburgh South West; Edinburgh West; Glasgow East; Midlothian; Ochil and South Perthshire.

The new seats which are gained from another party are: Airdrie South and Shotts; Highland North; Edinburgh East; Edinburgh South West and Central; Edinburgh West; Glasgow East; Midlothian and Peebles; Clackmannanshire and Stirling North.

The new seats which are freshly created are: Falkirk; Kinross-shire and Cowdenbeath.

Argyll and Bute

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Argyll, Bute and Lochaber 100% of Argyll and Bute 22.4% of Ross Skye and Lochaber

Ayrshire and Lanark

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Ayr and Carrick 73.3% of Ayr Carrick and Cumnock 39.6% of Ayrshire Central
Clydesdale and Eskdale 53.2% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale 39.8% of Lanark and Hamilton East
10.5% of Dumfries and Galloway
2.8% of East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow
Cunninghame West 61.4% of Ayrshire North and Arran 46.6% of Ayrshire Central
East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow 94.1% of East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow 1.9% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale
1.5% of Lanark and Hamilton East
Hamilton and Motherwell 54.1% of Lanark and Hamilton East 40.8% of Motherwell and Wishaw
7.6% of Rutherglen and Hamilton West
3.1% of East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow
1.8% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale
Kilmarnock, Cumnock and Doon Valley 71.3% of Kilmarnock and Loudoun 26.7% of Ayr Carrick and Cumnock
13.8% of Ayrshire Central
Rutherglen and Hamilton West 92.4% of Rutherglen and Hamilton West 4.6% of Lanark and Hamilton East

Borders

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk 99.6% of Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk 6.5% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Central

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Clackmannanshire and Stirling North 49.8% of Ochil and South Perthshire 53.3% of Stirling
Falkirk 49.3% of Falkirk 40.6% of Linlithgow and East Falkirk
Stirling South 50.7% of Falkirk 46.7% of Stirling
0.3% of Linlithgow and East Falkirk

Dumfries and Galloway

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Dumfries and Galloway 89.5% of Dumfries and Galloway 20.5% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Edinburgh area

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
East Lothian Unchanged
Edinburgh East 70.0% of Edinburgh East 52.0% of Edinburgh South
Edinburgh North and Leith 79.4% of Edinburgh North and Leith 13.0% of Edinburgh East
9.3% of Edinburgh West
Edinburgh Pentland and Livingston 63.3% of Livingston 37.6% of Edinburgh South West
4.5% of Edinburgh West
Edinburgh South West and Central 46.1% of Edinburgh South West 48.0% of Edinburgh South
17.0% of Edinburgh East
8.8% of Edinburgh North and Leith
1.5% of Edinburgh West
Edinburgh West 84.6% of Edinburgh West 16.3% of Edinburgh South West
11.8% of Edinburgh North and Leith
Linlithgow 59.1% of Linlithgow and East Falkirk 36.7% of Livingston
Midlothian and Peebles 100% of Midlothian 16.1% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale
0.4% of Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk

Fife

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Dunfermline 93.3% of Dunfermline and West Fife 12.5% of Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath
Fife North East 100% of Fife North East 30.9% of Glenrothes
Glenrothes and Kirkcaldy 62.7% of Glenrothes 42.7% of Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath
Kinross-shire and Cowdenbeath 46.4% of Ochil and South Perthshire 44.8% of Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath
6.7% of Dunfermline and West Fife
6.4% of Glenrothes

Glasgow area

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Airdrie South and Shotts 57.3% of Airdrie and Shotts 53.5% of Motherwell and Wishaw
0.7% of Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill
Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Monklands East 74.1% of Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East 41.9% of Airdrie and Shotts
1.2% of Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill
Cunninghame East 75.0% of Renfrewshire East 28.7% of Kilmarnock and Loudoun
Dunbartonshire West and Bearsden North 100% of Dunbartonshire West 16.1% of Dunbartonshire East
Glasgow Central 39.4% of Glasgow Central 41.5% of Glasgow North
24.6% of Glasgow South West
17.1% of Glasgow North West
0.7% of Glasgow North East
Glasgow East 80.1% of Glasgow East 16.8% of Glasgow Central
17.9% of Glasgow North East
Glasgow North 81.4% of Glasgow North East 19.1% of Glasgow East
15.7% of Glasgow North
1.0% of Glasgow Central
Glasgow South East 72.4% of Glasgow South 33.4% of Glasgow Central
Glasgow South West 75.4% of Glasgow South West 27.6% of Glasgow South
9.5% of Glasgow Central
Glasgow West 82.9% of Glasgow North West 42.8% of Glasgow North
Inverclyde and Largs 100% of Inverclyde 24.0% of Ayrshire North and Arran
Milngavie and Kirkintilloch 83.9% of Dunbartonshire East 25.9% of Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East
Monklands West 98.2% of Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill 5.7% of Motherwell and Wishaw
0.8% of Airdrie and Shotts
0.8% of Glasgow East
Paisley 63.1% of Paisley and Renfrewshire South 33.1% of Paisley and Renfrewshire North
25.0% of Renfrewshire East
Renfrewshire West 66.9% of Paisley and Renfrewshire North 36.9% of Paisley and Renfrewshire South
14.6% of Ayrshire North and Arran

Grampian

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Aberdeen North 80.3% of Aberdeen North 30.8% of Gordon
4.4% of Aberdeen South
Aberdeen South 95.6% of Aberdeen South 19.7% of Aberdeen North
Banff and Buchan 99.3% of Banff and Buchan 13.2% of Gordon
Gordon and Deeside 56.1% of Gordon 41.0% of Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine
0.7% of Banff and Buchan
Kincardine and Angus East 59.0% of Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine 54.4% of Angus
Moray and Nairn 100% of Moray 12.2% of Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey

Highland

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Highland North 100% of Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross 45.7% of Ross Skye and Lochaber
4.8% of Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey
Inverness and Skye 83.0% of Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey 31.9% of Ross Skye and Lochaber

Orkney and Shetland

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Orkney and Shetland Unchanged

Tayside

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Angus Glens and Dundee East 70.4% of Dundee East 45.6% of Angus
6.1% of Dundee West
Dundee 93.9% of Dundee West 29.6% of Dundee East
Perthshire 100% of Perth and North Perthshire 3.7% of Ochil and South Perthshire

Western Isles

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) Unchanged