South East: New Constituency Boundaries 2018

Each new seat can be described as a combination of parts of old seats. These tables show this decomposition. The winner of the old seat at the 2015 election is shown by party colour, as is the implied winner of the new seat.

The implied results are calculated using the local election results for the wards which make up each old seat. This should give the most accurate projection, since it reflects varying political behaviour across the seat.

South East Change Table

  Old SeatsNew SeatsChangeDisappearSwitch OutSwitch InFresh
Con3130-1-1000
Lab1210010
Lib0000000
Ukip0000000
Green10-10-100
Nat0000000
Min0000000
Total3332-1-1-110

The table shows how the various changes affect each party in this region. The total old and new seats are shown for each party, as well as their difference ('Change'). The change in seats is also explained through the four explanations:

The old seats which are disappearing are: Faversham and Kent Mid.

The old seats which are lost to another party are: Brighton Pavilion.

The new seats which are gained from another party are: Brighton North.

East Sussex

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Bexhill and Battle 78.6% of Bexhill and Battle 16.3% of Wealden
Brighton Central and Hove 88.8% of Hove 25.9% of Brighton Pavilion
Brighton East and Newhaven 72.3% of Brighton Kemptown 40.4% of Lewes
Brighton North 74.1% of Brighton Pavilion 27.7% of Brighton Kemptown
11.2% of Hove
Eastbourne Unchanged
Hastings and Rye Unchanged
High Weald 35.5% of Wealden 21.4% of Bexhill and Battle
18.5% of Ashford
11.1% of Tunbridge Wells
9.6% of Maidstone and The Weald
Lewes and Uckfield 59.6% of Lewes 48.2% of Wealden
0.0% of Bexhill and Battle

Kent

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Ashford 81.5% of Ashford 5.0% of Folkestone and Hythe
Canterbury and Faversham 62.5% of Canterbury 30.6% of Faversham and Kent Mid
10.1% of Dover
2.0% of Thanet North
Chatham and The Mallings 90.4% of Chatham and Aylesford 21.1% of Tonbridge and Malling
Dartford 93.8% of Dartford
Dover 89.9% of Dover 15.8% of Thanet South
Folkestone and Hythe 95.0% of Folkestone and Hythe
Gillingham and Rainham 100% of Gillingham and Rainham 9.6% of Chatham and Aylesford
Gravesham 95.5% of Gravesham 6.2% of Dartford
6.5% of Sevenoaks
Kent North Coastal 70.5% of Thanet North 37.5% of Canterbury
Maidstone 65.1% of Maidstone and The Weald 39.7% of Faversham and Kent Mid
Rochester and Strood 100% of Rochester and Strood 4.5% of Gravesham
Sevenoaks 93.5% of Sevenoaks 16.1% of Tonbridge and Malling
Sittingbourne and Sheppey Unchanged
Thanet East 84.2% of Thanet South 27.5% of Thanet North
Tonbridge and The Weald 46.8% of Tonbridge and Malling 29.7% of Faversham and Kent Mid
25.3% of Maidstone and The Weald
Tunbridge Wells 88.9% of Tunbridge Wells 16.1% of Tonbridge and Malling

West Sussex

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Arundel and South Downs 90.9% of Arundel and South Downs 4.6% of Chichester
2.7% of Sussex Mid
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton 100% of Bognor Regis and Littlehampton 8.0% of Arundel and South Downs
Chichester 95.4% of Chichester
Crawley 100% of Crawley 4.8% of Horsham
Horsham 95.2% of Horsham
Sussex Mid 97.3% of Sussex Mid
Worthing East and Shoreham Unchanged
Worthing West 100% of Worthing West 1.1% of Arundel and South Downs