User-defined Prediction

The predicted Westminster results in Scotland, given the Scottish levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

Scottish Prediction:

Party2010 Votes2010 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesPred Seats
CON16.75%117.70%203
LAB42.00%4145.60%5046
LIB18.88%119.50%083
NAT19.93%623.90%107
MIN0.28%00.28%000
OTH2.18%03.02%000

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Table of all seat results in Scotland

The table shows the seats, sorted by the difference between Labour and Conservative votes, with the safest Labour seat, Glasgow North East, at the top and the safest Conservative seat, Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk, at the bottom. The first two columns 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats' show how many seats each party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 30 seats to have a majority in Scotland. So Labour needs to win all the seats down as far as Ayrshire North and Arran (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Glasgow North (prediction: LAB).

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Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2010 ElectorateTurn
out %
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2010
Win
Pred
Win
149Glasgow North EastWillie Bain59,85949.135.8670.342.5116.332.712.24LABLAB
248Coatbridge, Chryston and BellshillTom Clarke70,06759.428.6868.792.7619.260.000.51LABLAB
347Glasgow EastMargaret Curran61,51652.294.8662.851.6426.172.102.37LABLAB
446Glasgow South WestIan Davidson58,18254.627.1864.842.9418.910.006.13LABLAB
545Kirkcaldy and CowdenbeathGordon Brown73,66562.189.9466.953.0416.960.003.11LABLAB
644GlenrothesLindsay Roy67,89359.657.7464.322.5023.920.001.52LABLAB
743Dunbartonshire WestGemma Doyle66,08563.968.2363.392.6522.420.003.31LABLAB
842Motherwell and WishawFrank Roy66,91858.4610.0363.663.2020.960.002.15LABLAB
941Rutherglen and Hamilton WestTom Greatrex76,40861.4910.4963.913.9119.520.002.17LABLAB
1040Paisley and Renfrewshire SouthDouglas Alexander61,19765.3610.6062.083.1120.790.003.42LABLAB
1139Airdrie and ShottsPamela Nash62,36457.489.2960.252.6425.850.001.96LABLAB
1238Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch EastGregg McClymont64,03764.268.9359.703.1126.520.001.74LABLAB
1337Glasgow CentralAnas Sarwar60,06250.918.1856.265.3422.192.625.40LABLAB
1436Glasgow North WestJohn Robertson60,96858.3611.0258.145.1519.770.005.91LABLAB
1535InverclydeDavid Cairns59,20963.3612.9259.424.3521.340.001.97LABLAB
1634Dunfermline and West FifeThomas Docherty73,76966.358.1251.4321.6016.330.002.51LABLAB
1733Glasgow SouthTom Harris65,02961.6612.2654.783.8523.520.005.58LABLAB
1832Paisley and Renfrewshire NorthJames Sheridan63,70468.6115.3256.753.4322.070.002.43LABLAB
1931Dundee WestJames McGovern63,01358.9210.1051.423.7232.120.002.64LABLAB
2030Glasgow NorthAnn McKechin51,41657.598.4349.6917.8717.630.006.38LABLAB
2129East Kilbride, Strathaven and LesmahagowMichael McCann76,53466.5713.6654.083.2325.870.003.16LABLAB
2228Linlithgow and East FalkirkMichael Connarty80,90763.5912.8253.144.1829.080.000.78LABLAB
2327LivingstonGraeme Morrice75,92463.1011.5351.333.6229.100.004.42LABLAB
2426Kilmarnock and LoudounCathy Jamieson74,13162.8014.6654.442.4028.050.000.45LABLAB
2525MidlothianDavid Hamilton61,38763.9313.0551.445.5825.520.004.41LABLAB
2624Lanark and Hamilton EastJimmy Hood74,77362.2615.7752.883.6824.230.003.45LABLAB
2723FalkirkEric Joyce81,86962.0211.9348.373.3633.190.003.15LABLAB
2822Edinburgh EastSheila Gilmore60,94165.4212.2748.476.3425.955.101.87LABLAB
2921Aberdeen NorthFrank Doran64,80858.1713.6549.236.0627.540.003.53LABLAB
3020Ayrshire North and ArranKaty Clark74,95361.5316.3350.003.2728.810.001.58LABLAB
3019Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)Angus MacNeil22,26666.104.9134.802.4347.819.590.45NATNAT
3119Ayrshire CentralBrian Donohoe68,35264.2521.1850.793.8922.450.001.69LABLAB
3218East LothianFiona O'Donnell73,43866.9420.8148.955.5020.850.003.89LABLAB
3317Edinburgh North and LeithMark Lazarowicz69,20468.4316.3242.6420.3415.352.243.10LABLAB
3416Ayr Carrick and CumnockSandra Osborne73,32062.5926.1849.543.0320.690.000.57LABLAB
3515Dunbartonshire EastJo Swinson63,79575.1616.8739.3125.2116.250.002.35LIBLAB
3614Renfrewshire EastJim Murphy66,24977.2631.0553.163.0111.490.001.29LABLAB
3713Edinburgh South WestAlistair Darling66,35968.5125.4947.505.8817.310.003.82LABLAB
3812StirlingAnne McGuire66,08070.8925.0245.514.7321.420.003.32LABLAB
3811Dundee EastStewart Hosie65,47161.9615.9536.083.4440.850.003.67NATNAT
3911Aberdeen SouthAnne Begg64,03167.2122.0941.7114.9117.560.003.73LABLAB
4010Ochil and South PerthshireGordon Banks75,11567.1921.2740.863.7230.880.003.27LABLAB
419Edinburgh SouthIan Murray59,35473.8022.9539.9220.5413.370.003.23LABLAB
428Dumfries and GallowayRussell Brown74,58169.9532.2348.192.8814.820.001.87LABLAB
437Caithness Sutherland and Easter RossJohn Thurso47,25760.8814.3929.7927.9124.880.003.02LIBLAB
446Inverness Nairn Badenoch and StrathspeyDanny Alexander72,52864.9214.7127.2827.2424.400.006.37LIBLAB
455Edinburgh WestMichael Crockart65,16171.2824.5532.9122.4418.870.001.22LIBLAB
454Ross Skye and LochaberCharles Kennedy51,83667.2113.6020.2939.1520.820.006.14LIBLIB
454GordonMalcolm Bruce73,42066.4320.0525.2922.5627.910.004.19LIBNAT
454Orkney and ShetlandAlistair Carmichael33,08558.4711.8815.8348.4916.260.007.53LIBLIB
464Argyll and ButeAlan Reid67,16567.3125.4027.9118.1424.650.003.91LIBLAB
463Fife North EastSir Menzies Campbell62,96963.6223.1222.3330.8619.900.003.79LIBLIB
473Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleDavid Mundell66,62768.8839.4034.026.4516.420.003.70CONCON
472MorayAngus Robertson65,92562.2027.0520.854.7443.830.003.53NATNAT
472AngusMichael Weir62,86360.3931.6620.013.5142.640.002.18NATNAT
472Perth and North PerthshirePeter Wishart72,14166.9131.3819.614.0243.130.001.86NATNAT
482Aberdeenshire West and KincardineSir Robert Smith66,11068.3631.6418.8124.9421.390.003.23LIBCON
481Banff and BuchanEilidh Whiteford64,30059.8231.5616.933.7044.490.003.32NATNAT
491Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkMichael Moore73,82666.3935.1515.3931.8814.880.002.70LIBCON