Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Labour majority 12

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2010 Votes	2010 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	37.0%	307	33.0%	8	57	-49	258
LAB	29.7%	258	35.0%	73	0	+73	331
LIB	23.6%	57	14.0%	0	22	-22	35
UKIP	3.2%	0	7.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.0%	1	0.0%	0	1	-1	0
SNP	1.7%	6	1.7%	0	1	-1	5
PlaidC	0.6%	3	0.6%	0	0	+0	3
Other	3.4%	0	8.7%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2010
Amber Valley	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nigel Mills
Argyll and Bute	Argyll and Bute	LAB	gain from	LIB	Alan Reid
Bedford	Bedfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Fuller
Birmingham Yardley	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	LIB	John Hemming
Blackpool North and Cleveleys	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Maynard
Bradford East	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	David Ward
Brent Central	Brent	LAB	gain from	LIB	Sarah Teather
Brentford and Isleworth	Hounslow	LAB	gain from	CON	Mary Macleod
Brighton Kemptown	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Kirby
Brighton Pavilion	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	Green	Caroline Lucas
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Anna Soubry
Burnley	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Gordon Birtwistle
Bury North	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	David Nuttall
Cambridge	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Julian Huppert
Cannock Chase	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Aidan Burley
Cardiff Central	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	LIB	Jenny Willott
Cardiff North	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Jonathan Evans
Carlisle	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	John Stevenson
Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South	Dyfed	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Hart
Chester, City of	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen Mosley
Chippenham	Wiltshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Duncan Hames
Corby	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Louise Bagshaw
Croydon Central	Croydon	LAB	gain from	CON	Gavin Barwell
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Reevell
Dorset Mid and Poole North	Dorset	CON	gain from	LIB	Annette Brooke
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Dumfries and Galloway	LAB	gain from	CON	David Mundell
Dunbartonshire East	Glasgow area	LAB	gain from	LIB	Jo Swinson
Dundee East	Tayside	LAB	gain from	SNP	Stewart Hosie
Ealing Central and Acton	Ealing	LAB	gain from	CON	Angie Bray
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	LAB	gain from	LIB	Michael Crockart
Elmet and Rothwell	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Alec Shelbrooke
Enfield North	Enfield	LAB	gain from	CON	Nick de Bois
Erewash	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jessica Lee
Gloucester	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Graham
Gordon	Grampian	LAB	gain from	LIB	Malcolm Bruce
Halesowen and Rowley Regis	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	James Morris
Harrow East	Harrow	LAB	gain from	CON	Bob Blackman
Hastings and Rye	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Amber Rudd
Hendon	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Matthew Offord
High Peak	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Bingham
Hornsey and Wood Green	Haringey	LAB	gain from	LIB	Lynne Featherstone
Hove	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Mike Weatherley
Ipswich	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Ben Gummer
Keighley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Kris Hopkins
Kingswood	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris Skidmore
Lancaster and Fleetwood	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Eric Ollerenshaw
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Karl McCartney
Loughborough	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nicky Morgan
Manchester Withington	Central Manchester	LAB	gain from	LIB	John Leech
Milton Keynes South	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Stewart
Morecambe and Lunesdale	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Morris
Northampton North	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Michael Ellis
Norwich North	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Chloe Smith
Norwich South	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	LIB	Simon Wright
Nuneaton	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Marcus Jones
Pendle	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Stephenson
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	Oliver Colvile
Pudsey	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Andrew
Redcar	Teesside	LAB	gain from	LIB	Ian Swales
Sherwood	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Spencer
Solihull	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LIB	Lorely Burt
Somerton and Frome	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	David Heath
St Austell and Newquay	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LIB	Stephen Gilbert
St Ives	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LIB	Andrew George
Stevenage	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen McPartland
Stockton South	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	James Wharton
Stroud	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Neil Carmichael
Sutton and Cheam	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Paul Burstow
Swindon South	Wiltshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Buckland
Thurrock	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	Jackie Doyle-Price
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Alun Cairns
Warrington South	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Mowat
Warwick and Leamington	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris White
Warwickshire North	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Dan Byles
Watford	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Harrington
Waveney	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Aldous
Weaver Vale	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Graham Evans
Wells	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	Tessa Munt
Wirral West	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	CON	Esther McVey
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Uppal
Worcester	Hereford and Worcestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robin Walker

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2010. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Labour majority 12

List of predicted seat changes