Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 18 of majority

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	318	40.0%	1	11	-10	308
LAB	41.0%	262	42.0%	16	1	+15	277
LIB	7.6%	12	7.0%	0	0	+0	12
UKIP	1.9%	0	4.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.7%	1	2.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	3.1%	35	3.1%	1	5	-4	31
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	0	1	-1	3
Other	0.7%	0	1.4%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

List of predicted seat changes

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2017
Aberconwy	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Guto Bebb
Airdrie and Shotts	Glasgow area	LAB	gain from	SNP	Neil Gray
Arfon	Gwynedd	LAB	gain from	Plaid	Hywel Williams
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Anna Soubry
Chipping Barnet	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Theresa Villiers
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
Glasgow East	Glasgow area	LAB	gain from	SNP	David Linden
Glasgow South West	Glasgow area	LAB	gain from	SNP	Chris Stephens
Lanark and Hamilton East	Ayrshire and Lanark	LAB	gain from	SNP	Angela Crawley
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Clarke
Motherwell and Wishaw	Glasgow area	LAB	gain from	SNP	Marion Fellows
Norwich North	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Chloe Smith
Pudsey	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Andrew
Southampton Itchen	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Royston Smith
Stirling	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Stephen Kerr
Stoke-on-Trent South	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jack Brereton
Telford	Shropshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Lucy Allan
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Alun Cairns

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 18 of majority

List of predicted seat changes