User-defined Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 14 of majority

Party2015 Votes2015 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 37.8%331 46.3%524-19312
LAB 31.2%232 48.2%340+34266
LIB 8.1%8 0.0%08-80
UKIP 12.9%1 0.0%01-10
Green 3.8%1 0.0%01-10
SNP 4.9%56 4.7%03-353
PlaidC 0.6%3 0.5%02-21
Other 0.8%0 0.3%00+00
N.Ire 18 00+018

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List of predicted seat changes

SeatCounty/AreaPredicted Change  MP as at 2015
ArfonGwyneddLABgain fromPlaidHywel Williams
BedfordBedfordshireLABgain fromCONRichard Fuller
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkBordersCONgain fromSNPCalum Kerr
Bolton WestWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCONChris Green
Brighton KemptownEast SussexLABgain fromCONSimon Kirby
Brighton PavilionEast SussexLABgain fromGreenCaroline Lucas
Bristol North WestBristol areaLABgain fromCONCharlotte Leslie
Bury NorthWestern ManchesterLABgain fromCONDavid Nuttall
Camborne and RedruthCornwallLABgain fromCONGeorge Eustice
Cardiff NorthSouth GlamorganLABgain fromCONCraig Williams
Carmarthen East and DinefwrDyfedLABgain fromPlaidJonathan Edwards
Carshalton and WallingtonSuttonCONgain fromLIBTom Brake
CeredigionDyfedLABgain fromLIBMark Williams
ClactonEssexCONgain fromUKIPDouglas Carswell
CorbyNorthamptonshireLABgain fromCONTom Pursglove
Croydon CentralCroydonLABgain fromCONGavin Barwell
Derby NorthDerbyshireLABgain fromCONAmanda Solloway
Dunbartonshire EastGlasgow areaLABgain fromSNPJohn Nicolson
Edinburgh North and LeithEdinburgh areaLABgain fromSNPDeidre Brock
GowerWest GlamorganLABgain fromCONByron Davies
Leeds North WestWest YorkshireLABgain fromLIBGreg Mulholland
LincolnLincolnshireLABgain fromCONKarl McCartney
Morley and OutwoodWest YorkshireLABgain fromCONAndrea Jenkyns
Norfolk NorthNorfolkCONgain fromLIBNorman Lamb
Orkney and ShetlandOrkney and ShetlandLABgain fromLIBAlistair Carmichael
PeterboroughCambridgeshireLABgain fromCONStewart Jackson
Plymouth Moor ViewDevonLABgain fromCONJohnny Mercer
Plymouth Sutton and DevonportDevonLABgain fromCONOliver Colvile
Portsmouth SouthHampshireLABgain fromCONFlick Drummond
Sheffield HallamSouth YorkshireLABgain fromLIBNick Clegg
Southampton ItchenHampshireLABgain fromCONRoyston Smith
SouthportMerseysideLABgain fromLIBJohn Pugh
TelfordShropshireLABgain fromCONLucy Allan
Thanet SouthKentLABgain fromCONCraig Mackinlay
ThurrockEssexLABgain fromCONJackie Doyle-Price
Vale of ClwydClwydLABgain fromCONJames Davies
WaveneySuffolkLABgain fromCONPeter Aldous
Weaver ValeCheshireLABgain fromCONGraham Evans
Westmorland and LonsdaleCumbriaCONgain fromLIBTim Farron

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.


© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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