Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 158

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	318	49.4%	86	0	+86	404
LAB	41.0%	262	30.4%	0	79	-79	183
LIB	7.6%	12	4.7%	0	8	-8	4
UKIP	1.9%	0	0.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.7%	1	3.8%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	3.1%	35	3.1%	6	5	+1	36
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	0	0	+0	4
Other	0.7%	0	8.1%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2017
Alyn and Deeside	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Mark Tami
Argyll and Bute	Argyll and Bute	CON	gain from	SNP	Brendan O'Hara
Ashfield	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gloria De Piero
Ayrshire Central	Ayrshire and Lanark	CON	gain from	SNP	Philippa Whitford
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	John Woodcock
Bassetlaw	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Mann
Battersea	Wandsworth	CON	gain from	LAB	Marsha De Cordova
Bedford	Bedfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mohammad Yasin
Birmingham Edgbaston	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Preet Gill
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Richard Burden
Bishop Auckland	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Goodman
Blackpool South	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gordon Marsden
Bolsover	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Dennis Skinner
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	David Crausby
Bradford South	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Judith Cummins
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Madeleine Moon
Bristol North West	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Darren Jones
Burnley	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Julie Cooper
Bury North	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	James Frith
Bury South	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Ivan Lewis
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross	Highland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Jamie Stone
Canterbury	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Duffield
Cardiff North	South Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Anna McMorrin
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Tom Brake
Clwyd South	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Susan Elan Jones
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Hugh Gaffney
Colne Valley	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Thelma Walker
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Laura Smith
Croydon Central	Croydon	CON	gain from	LAB	Sarah Jones
Dagenham and Rainham	Barking and Dagenham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jon Cruddas
Darlington	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jenny Chapman
Delyn	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	David Hanson
Derby North	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Williamson
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paula Sherriff
Don Valley	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Caroline Flint
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
East Lothian	Edinburgh area	CON	gain from	LAB	Martin Whitfield
Eastbourne	East Sussex	CON	gain from	LIB	Stephen Lloyd
Edinburgh South West	Edinburgh area	CON	gain from	SNP	Joanna Cherry
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LIB	Christine Jardine
Eltham	Greenwich	CON	gain from	LAB	Clive Efford
Enfield Southgate	Enfield	CON	gain from	LAB	Bambos Charalambous
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Vernon Coaker
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Paul Sweeney
Gower	West Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Tonia Antoniazzi
Great Grimsby	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Melanie Onn
Halifax	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Holly Lynch
Hartlepool	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Mike Hill
Heywood and Middleton	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Liz McInnes
High Peak	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth George
Hyndburn	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Graham Jones
Ipswich	Suffolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Sandy Martin
Keighley	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Grogan
Kensington	Kensington and Chelsea	CON	gain from	LAB	Emma Dent Coad
Kingston and Surbiton	Kingston Upon Thames	CON	gain from	LIB	Ed Davey
Lanark and Hamilton East	Ayrshire and Lanark	CON	gain from	SNP	Angela Crawley
Lancaster and Fleetwood	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Cat Smith
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Karen Lee
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Danielle Rowley
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Newport West	Gwent	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Flynn
Norfolk North	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LIB	Norman Lamb
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Debbie Abrahams
Oxford West and Abingdon	Oxfordshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Layla Moran
Penistone and Stocksbridge	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Angela Smith
Perth and North Perthshire	Tayside	CON	gain from	SNP	Pete Wishart
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Fiona Onasanya
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Devon	CON	gain from	LAB	Luke Pollard
Portsmouth South	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Stephen Morgan
Reading East	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Matt Rodda
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Kevin Barron
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ged Killen
Scunthorpe	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Nic Dakin
Sedgefield	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Phil Wilson
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jared O Mara
Stockton South	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Williams
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gareth Snell
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Smeeth
Stroud	Gloucestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	David Drew
Vale of Clwyd	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Ruane
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mary Creagh
Warrington South	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Faisal Rashid
Warwick and Leamington	Warwickshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Matt Western
Weaver Vale	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mike Amesbury
West Bromwich West	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Adrian Bailey
Westmorland and Lonsdale	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LIB	Tim Farron
Wirral West	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LAB	Margaret Greenwood
Wolverhampton North East	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Emma Reynolds
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Eleanor Smith
Workington	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	Sue Hayman
Wrexham	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Lucas
Ynys Mon	Gwynedd	CON	gain from	LAB	Albert Owen

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 158

List of predicted seat changes