Election Prediction

The predicted Westminster results in Scotland, given the Scottish levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

Scottish Prediction

Party	2015 Votes	2015 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	14.9%	1	28.3%	10	0	+10	11
LAB	24.3%	1	22.6%	0	0	+0	1
LIB	7.5%	1	7.6%	3	0	+3	4
UKIP	1.6%	0	0.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.3%	0	0.7%	0	0	+0	0
SNP	50.0%	56	40.0%	0	13	-13	43
Other	0.3%	0	0.8%	0	0	+0	0

List of predicted seat changes

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2015
Aberdeen South	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Callum McCaig
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Stuart Donaldson
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	CON	gain from	SNP	Calum Kerr
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	CON	gain from	SNP	Richard Arkless
Dunbartonshire East	Glasgow area	LIB	gain from	SNP	John Nicolson
East Lothian	Edinburgh area	CON	gain from	SNP	George Kerevan
Edinburgh North and Leith	Edinburgh area	CON	gain from	SNP	Deidre Brock
Edinburgh South West	Edinburgh area	CON	gain from	SNP	Joanna Cherry
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	LIB	gain from	SNP	Michelle Thomson
Fife North East	Fife	LIB	gain from	SNP	Stephen Gethins
Moray	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Angus Robertson
Perth and North Perthshire	Tayside	CON	gain from	SNP	Peter Wishart
Renfrewshire East	Glasgow area	CON	gain from	SNP	Kirsten Oswald

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

Scottish Prediction

List of predicted seat changes