Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 15 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2010 Votes	2010 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	37.0%	307	36.0%	33	29	+4	311
LAB	29.7%	258	34.0%	51	0	+51	309
LIB	23.6%	57	7.0%	0	56	-56	1
UKIP	3.2%	0	12.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.0%	1	6.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	1.7%	6	1.7%	0	0	+0	6
PlaidC	0.6%	3	0.6%	1	0	+1	4
Other	3.4%	0	2.7%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2010
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	CON	gain from	LIB	Sir Robert Smith
Amber Valley	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nigel Mills
Argyll and Bute	Argyll and Bute	LAB	gain from	LIB	Alan Reid
Bath	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LIB	Don Foster
Bedford	Bedfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Fuller
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Southwark	LAB	gain from	LIB	Simon Hughes
Berwick-upon-Tweed	Northumberland	CON	gain from	LIB	Alan Beith
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	CON	gain from	LIB	Michael Moore
Birmingham Yardley	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	LIB	John Hemming
Bradford East	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	David Ward
Brecon and Radnorshire	Powys	CON	gain from	LIB	Roger Williams
Brent Central	Brent	LAB	gain from	LIB	Sarah Teather
Brentford and Isleworth	Hounslow	LAB	gain from	CON	Mary Macleod
Brighton Kemptown	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Kirby
Bristol West	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	LIB	Stephen Williams
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Anna Soubry
Burnley	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Gordon Birtwistle
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross	Highland	LAB	gain from	LIB	John Thurso
Cambridge	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Julian Huppert
Cardiff Central	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	LIB	Jenny Willott
Cardiff North	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Jonathan Evans
Carlisle	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	John Stevenson
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Tom Brake
Ceredigion	Dyfed	Plaid	gain from	LIB	Mark Williams
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LIB	Mark Hunter
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	CON	gain from	LIB	Martin Horwood
Chippenham	Wiltshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Duncan Hames
Colchester	Essex	CON	gain from	LIB	Bob Russell
Corby	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Louise Bagshaw
Cornwall North	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LIB	Dan Rogerson
Devon North	Devon	CON	gain from	LIB	Nick Harvey
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Reevell
Dorset Mid and Poole North	Dorset	CON	gain from	LIB	Annette Brooke
Dunbartonshire East	Glasgow area	LAB	gain from	LIB	Jo Swinson
Eastbourne	East Sussex	CON	gain from	LIB	Stephen Lloyd
Eastleigh	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Christopher Huhne
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	LAB	gain from	LIB	Michael Crockart
Enfield North	Enfield	LAB	gain from	CON	Nick de Bois
Fife North East	Fife	LAB	gain from	LIB	Sir Menzies Campbell
Gordon	Grampian	LAB	gain from	LIB	Malcolm Bruce
Hastings and Rye	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Amber Rudd
Hazel Grove	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LIB	Andrew Stunell
Hendon	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Matthew Offord
Hornsey and Wood Green	Haringey	LAB	gain from	LIB	Lynne Featherstone
Hove	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Mike Weatherley
Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey	Highland	LAB	gain from	LIB	Danny Alexander
Ipswich	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Ben Gummer
Kingston and Surbiton	Kingston Upon Thames	CON	gain from	LIB	Edward Davey
Lancaster and Fleetwood	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Eric Ollerenshaw
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Greg Mulholland
Lewes	East Sussex	CON	gain from	LIB	Norman Baker
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Karl McCartney
Manchester Withington	Central Manchester	LAB	gain from	LIB	John Leech
Morecambe and Lunesdale	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Morris
Norfolk North	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LIB	Norman Lamb
Northampton North	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Michael Ellis
Norwich South	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	LIB	Simon Wright
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	Oliver Colvile
Portsmouth South	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Mike Hancock
Pudsey	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Andrew
Redcar	Teesside	LAB	gain from	LIB	Ian Swales
Ross Skye and Lochaber	Highland	LAB	gain from	LIB	Charles Kennedy
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Nick Clegg
Sherwood	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Spencer
Solihull	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LIB	Lorely Burt
Somerton and Frome	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	David Heath
Southport	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LIB	John Pugh
St Austell and Newquay	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LIB	Stephen Gilbert
St Ives	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LIB	Andrew George
Stockton South	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	James Wharton
Stroud	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Neil Carmichael
Sutton and Cheam	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Paul Burstow
Taunton Deane	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	Jeremy Browne
Thornbury and Yate	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LIB	Steve Webb
Thurrock	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	Jackie Doyle-Price
Torbay	Devon	CON	gain from	LIB	Adrian Sanders
Twickenham	Richmond Upon Thames	CON	gain from	LIB	Vincent Cable
Warrington South	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Mowat
Warwickshire North	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Dan Byles
Waveney	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Aldous
Weaver Vale	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Graham Evans
Wells	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	Tessa Munt
Westmorland and Lonsdale	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LIB	Tim Farron
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Uppal
Yeovil	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	David Laws

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2010. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 15 of majority

List of predicted seat changes