Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 12

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2015 Votes	2015 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	37.8%	331	42.0%	13	13	+0	331
LAB	31.2%	232	38.0%	16	2	+14	246
LIB	8.1%	8	9.0%	0	3	-3	5
UKIP	12.9%	1	4.0%	0	1	-1	0
Green	3.8%	1	0.0%	0	1	-1	0
SNP	4.9%	56	4.1%	0	9	-9	47
PlaidC	0.6%	3	0.6%	0	0	+0	3
Other	0.8%	0	2.4%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2015
Aberdeen South	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Callum McCaig
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Stuart Donaldson
Bedford	Bedfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Fuller
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	CON	gain from	SNP	Calum Kerr
Brighton Kemptown	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Kirby
Brighton Pavilion	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	Green	Caroline Lucas
Cardiff North	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Williams
Clacton	Essex	CON	gain from	UKIP	Douglas Carswell
Croydon Central	Croydon	LAB	gain from	CON	Gavin Barwell
Derby North	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Amanda Solloway
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	CON	gain from	SNP	Richard Arkless
Edinburgh North and Leith	Edinburgh area	CON	gain from	SNP	Deidre Brock
Edinburgh South	Edinburgh area	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Murray
Edinburgh South West	Edinburgh area	CON	gain from	SNP	Joanna Cherry
Gower	West Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Byron Davies
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Greg Mulholland
Moray	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Angus Robertson
Morley and Outwood	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrea Jenkyns
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Perth and North Perthshire	Tayside	CON	gain from	SNP	Peter Wishart
Plymouth Moor View	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	Johnny Mercer
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	Oliver Colvile
Renfrewshire East	Glasgow area	CON	gain from	SNP	Kirsten Oswald
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Nick Clegg
Southampton Itchen	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Royston Smith
Southport	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LIB	John Pugh
Thurrock	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	Jackie Doyle-Price
Vale of Clwyd	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	James Davies
Waveney	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Aldous

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 12

List of predicted seat changes