The predicted results in the country and in Scotland, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 43.5% | 318 | 43.5% | 6 | 2 | +4 | 322 |
LAB | 41.0% | 262 | 41.0% | 6 | 6 | +0 | 262 |
LIB | 7.6% | 12 | 7.6% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 12 |
UKIP | 1.9% | 0 | 1.9% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Green | 1.7% | 1 | 1.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
SNP | 3.1% | 35 | 3.1% | 2 | 6 | -4 | 31 |
PlaidC | 0.5% | 4 | 0.5% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 4 |
Other | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
N.Ire | 18 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |
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Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 28.6% | 13 | 23.9% | 0 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
LAB | 27.1% | 7 | 29.0% | 6 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
LIB | 6.8% | 4 | 6.9% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 4 |
UKIP | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
Green | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
SNP | 36.9% | 35 | 37.7% | 2 | 6 | -4 | 31 |
Other | 0.3% | 0 | 2.1% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2017 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | UKIP % | Green % | SNP % | MIN % | OTH % | 2017 Win | Pred Win |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
62 | 523 | Edinburgh South | Ian Murray | 64,553 | 74.1 | 15.0 | 56.8 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | LAB | LAB |
67 | 518 | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Lesley Laird | 72,721 | 63.5 | 19.0 | 59.9 | 18.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | LAB | LAB |
86 | 499 | Glasgow North East | Paul Sweeney | 59,932 | 53.0 | 8.2 | 44.9 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | LAB | LAB |
99 | 486 | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Hugh Gaffney | 71,198 | 63.3 | 11.5 | 44.5 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.9 | 0.0 | 1.8 | LAB | LAB |
104 | 481 | Glasgow South West | Chris Stephens | 62,991 | 56.2 | 10.9 | 42.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 41.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | LAB |
108 | 476 | Glasgow Central | Alison Thewliss | 64,346 | 55.9 | 9.2 | 40.4 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
139 | 445 | Dunbartonshire West | Martin Docherty | 67,602 | 65.2 | 12.5 | 39.6 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
139 | 445 | Glasgow North | Patrick Grady | 53,863 | 62.1 | 10.0 | 36.8 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 8.7 | 38.6 | 0.0 | 2.2 | SNP | SNP |
149 | 436 | Glasgow East | David Linden | 66,242 | 54.6 | 15.5 | 40.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.6 | 0.0 | 2.7 | SNP | LAB |
151 | 433 | Glasgow North West | Carol Monaghan | 63,773 | 60.9 | 13.3 | 37.8 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
153 | 431 | Glasgow South | Stewart McDonald | 69,126 | 64.4 | 14.4 | 38.5 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.9 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
155 | 430 | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Ged Killen | 80,098 | 63.5 | 15.7 | 39.5 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.8 | 0.0 | 2.6 | LAB | LAB |
155 | 429 | Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) | Angus MacNeil | 21,301 | 69.6 | 13.9 | 37.6 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
155 | 429 | Dundee West | Chris Law | 62,644 | 61.7 | 11.5 | 35.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.5 | 0.0 | 2.9 | SNP | SNP |
158 | 427 | Motherwell and Wishaw | Marion Fellows | 68,215 | 61.5 | 16.8 | 39.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | LAB |
158 | 426 | Edinburgh East | Tommy Sheppard | 65,896 | 66.0 | 13.9 | 36.6 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
159 | 426 | Inverclyde | Ronnie Cowan | 58,853 | 66.4 | 16.8 | 39.4 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | LAB |
162 | 422 | Glenrothes | Peter Grant | 66,378 | 60.9 | 14.8 | 36.6 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
162 | 422 | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Mhairi Black | 61,344 | 68.0 | 14.8 | 36.5 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.5 | 0.0 | 3.9 | SNP | SNP |
167 | 417 | Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East | Stuart McDonald | 66,554 | 65.9 | 14.9 | 35.8 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
170 | 415 | Airdrie and Shotts | Neil Gray | 64,146 | 59.2 | 18.5 | 39.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | LAB |
188 | 397 | Midlothian | Danielle Rowley | 68,328 | 66.3 | 20.7 | 38.3 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | LAB | LAB |
195 | 389 | Dunfermline and West Fife | Douglas Chapman | 75,672 | 67.4 | 20.0 | 35.8 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
197 | 387 | Livingston | Hannah Bardell | 81,208 | 64.7 | 19.7 | 34.6 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.9 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
202 | 382 | Aberdeen North | Kirsty Blackman | 62,130 | 59.2 | 18.0 | 31.9 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 3.3 | SNP | SNP |
203 | 382 | East Lothian | Martin Whitfield | 79,093 | 70.6 | 24.9 | 38.0 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.4 | 0.0 | 2.5 | LAB | LAB |
209 | 375 | East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow | Lisa Cameron | 80,442 | 67.3 | 21.8 | 33.6 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
213 | 371 | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Gavin Newlands | 67,436 | 69.1 | 22.8 | 33.8 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
217 | 367 | Edinburgh North and Leith | Deidre Brock | 79,473 | 71.2 | 22.5 | 33.2 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 34.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | SNP | SNP |
222 | 362 | Falkirk | Johnny McNally | 82,240 | 65.4 | 22.8 | 31.8 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 39.8 | 0.0 | 1.9 | SNP | SNP |
223 | 361 | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Alan Brown | 73,327 | 63.4 | 22.0 | 30.8 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
224 | 360 | Linlithgow and East Falkirk | Martyn Day | 86,186 | 65.1 | 24.4 | 33.1 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
226 | 358 | Orkney and Shetland | Alistair Carmichael | 34,164 | 68.1 | 4.6 | 13.1 | 48.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 29.7 | 0.0 | 2.6 | LIB | LIB |
235 | 349 | Dunbartonshire East | Jo Swinson | 66,300 | 78.1 | 9.9 | 16.5 | 40.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 | LIB | LIB |
241 | 344 | Lanark and Hamilton East | Angela Crawley | 77,313 | 65.3 | 28.4 | 33.8 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | LAB |
241 | 343 | Dundee East | Stewart Hosie | 65,854 | 65.2 | 22.7 | 28.0 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
249 | 335 | Ayrshire North and Arran | Patricia Gibson | 73,174 | 64.8 | 26.5 | 29.4 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
262 | 322 | Edinburgh South West | Joanna Cherry | 71,178 | 69.4 | 28.7 | 28.7 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
265 | 319 | Edinburgh West | Christine Jardine | 71,500 | 73.8 | 17.2 | 16.9 | 34.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.4 | 0.0 | 2.1 | LIB | LIB |
272 | 312 | Ayrshire Central | Philippa Whitford | 68,997 | 65.3 | 29.7 | 28.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
282 | 302 | Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross | Jamie Stone | 46,868 | 65.9 | 17.9 | 14.3 | 35.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | LIB | LIB |
296 | 288 | Ross Skye and Lochaber | Ian Blackford | 53,638 | 71.7 | 20.2 | 14.1 | 21.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.1 | 0.0 | 3.6 | SNP | SNP |
298 | 287 | Renfrewshire East | Paul Masterton | 70,067 | 76.7 | 35.3 | 28.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | CON |
304 | 280 | Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey | Drew Hendry | 76,844 | 68.7 | 25.8 | 18.1 | 12.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.7 | 0.0 | 3.0 | SNP | SNP |
304 | 280 | Fife North East | Stephen Gethins | 58,685 | 71.3 | 19.4 | 11.6 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.7 | 0.0 | 2.4 | SNP | SNP |
306 | 278 | Stirling | Stephen Kerr | 66,415 | 74.3 | 32.3 | 24.0 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.6 | 0.0 | 2.5 | CON | SNP |
314 | 271 | Ayr Carrick and Cumnock | Bill Grant | 71,241 | 64.9 | 35.4 | 25.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.9 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | CON |
328 | 256 | Argyll and Bute | Brendan O'Hara | 67,230 | 71.5 | 28.5 | 14.5 | 18.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
332 | 253 | Ochil and South Perthshire | Luke Graham | 76,767 | 70.6 | 36.8 | 22.0 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | CON |
333 | 252 | Aberdeen South | Ross Thomson | 64,964 | 68.5 | 37.4 | 22.5 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | CON |
339 | 246 | Dumfries and Galloway | Alister Jack | 74,206 | 69.5 | 38.6 | 22.8 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.2 | 0.0 | 2.9 | CON | CON |
371 | 213 | Gordon | Colin Clark | 78,531 | 68.4 | 36.0 | 13.7 | 11.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | SNP |
392 | 192 | Perth and North Perthshire | Pete Wishart | 71,743 | 71.8 | 37.6 | 12.3 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
395 | 190 | Angus | Kirstene Hair | 63,840 | 63.0 | 40.4 | 15.0 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | CON |
403 | 182 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | David Mundell | 67,672 | 72.4 | 44.7 | 18.5 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.9 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | CON |
431 | 154 | Moray | Douglas Ross | 70,649 | 67.4 | 42.8 | 12.9 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.6 | 0.0 | 2.3 | CON | CON |
433 | 152 | Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Andrew Bowie | 72,477 | 71.2 | 43.1 | 13.0 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | CON |
448 | 137 | Banff and Buchan | David Duguid | 67,601 | 61.6 | 43.3 | 11.4 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.9 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | CON |
511 | 74 | Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | John Lamont | 73,191 | 71.5 | 49.2 | 10.6 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.
© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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