Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 4

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2015 Votes	2015 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	37.8%	331	43.4%	14	18	-4	327
LAB	31.2%	232	40.9%	24	0	+24	256
LIB	8.1%	8	7.6%	2	4	-2	6
UKIP	12.9%	1	1.9%	0	1	-1	0
Green	3.8%	1	1.7%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.9%	56	3.6%	0	17	-17	39
PlaidC	0.6%	3	0.6%	0	0	+0	3
Other	0.8%	0	0.3%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2015
Aberdeen South	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Callum McCaig
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Stuart Donaldson
Angus	Tayside	CON	gain from	SNP	Michael Weir
Bedford	Bedfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Fuller
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	CON	gain from	SNP	Calum Kerr
Bolton West	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris Green
Brighton Kemptown	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Kirby
Bury North	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	David Nuttall
Cardiff North	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Williams
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Tom Brake
Clacton	Essex	CON	gain from	UKIP	Douglas Carswell
Croydon Central	Croydon	LAB	gain from	CON	Gavin Barwell
Derby North	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Amanda Solloway
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	CON	gain from	SNP	Richard Arkless
Dunbartonshire East	Glasgow area	LIB	gain from	SNP	John Nicolson
East Lothian	Edinburgh area	LAB	gain from	SNP	George Kerevan
Edinburgh North and Leith	Edinburgh area	LAB	gain from	SNP	Deidre Brock
Edinburgh South West	Edinburgh area	CON	gain from	SNP	Joanna Cherry
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	LIB	gain from	SNP	Michelle Thomson
Fife North East	Fife	CON	gain from	SNP	Stephen Gethins
Gower	West Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Byron Davies
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Greg Mulholland
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Karl McCartney
Moray	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Angus Robertson
Morley and Outwood	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrea Jenkyns
Ochil and South Perthshire	Central	CON	gain from	SNP	Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh
Paisley and Renfrewshire South	Glasgow area	LAB	gain from	SNP	Mhairi Black
Perth and North Perthshire	Tayside	CON	gain from	SNP	Peter Wishart
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stewart Jackson
Plymouth Moor View	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	Johnny Mercer
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	Oliver Colvile
Renfrewshire East	Glasgow area	LAB	gain from	SNP	Kirsten Oswald
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Nick Clegg
Southampton Itchen	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Royston Smith
Southport	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LIB	John Pugh
Stirling	Central	CON	gain from	SNP	Steven Paterson
Thanet South	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Mackinlay
Thurrock	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	Jackie Doyle-Price
Vale of Clwyd	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	James Davies
Waveney	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Aldous

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 4

List of predicted seat changes