Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 70

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2015 Votes	2015 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	37.8%	331	44.0%	31	2	+29	360
LAB	31.2%	232	34.0%	4	21	-17	215
LIB	8.1%	8	9.0%	1	3	-2	6
UKIP	12.9%	1	5.0%	0	1	-1	0
Green	3.8%	1	2.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.9%	56	4.0%	0	9	-9	47
PlaidC	0.6%	3	0.6%	0	0	+0	3
Other	0.8%	0	1.5%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2015
Aberdeen South	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Callum McCaig
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Stuart Donaldson
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	John Woodcock
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	CON	gain from	SNP	Calum Kerr
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Richard Burden
Bishop Auckland	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Goodman
Brentford and Isleworth	Hounslow	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Cadbury
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Tom Brake
Chester, City of	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Matheson
Clacton	Essex	CON	gain from	UKIP	Douglas Carswell
Derbyshire North East	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Natascha Engel
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paula Sherriff
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	CON	gain from	SNP	Richard Arkless
Dunbartonshire East	Glasgow area	LIB	gain from	SNP	John Nicolson
Ealing Central and Acton	Ealing	CON	gain from	LAB	Rupa Huq
Edinburgh North and Leith	Edinburgh area	LAB	gain from	SNP	Deidre Brock
Eltham	Greenwich	CON	gain from	LAB	Clive Efford
Enfield North	Enfield	CON	gain from	LAB	Joan Ryan
Gower	West Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Byron Davies
Halifax	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Holly Lynch
Hampstead and Kilburn	Camden	CON	gain from	LAB	Tulip Siddiq
Ilford North	Redbridge	CON	gain from	LAB	Wes Streeting
Lancaster and Fleetwood	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Catherine Smith
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Tom Blenkinsop
Moray	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Angus Robertson
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Norfolk North	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LIB	Norman Lamb
Perth and North Perthshire	Tayside	CON	gain from	SNP	Peter Wishart
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	Oliver Colvile
Renfrewshire East	Glasgow area	LAB	gain from	SNP	Kirsten Oswald
Southport	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LIB	John Pugh
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Smeeth
Stoke-on-Trent South	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Robert Flello
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mary Creagh
Wirral West	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LAB	Margaret Greenwood
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Rob Marris

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 70

List of predicted seat changes