Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Labour short 4 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2010 Votes	2010 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	37.0%	307	31.9%	30	80	-50	257
LAB	29.7%	258	35.9%	94	30	+64	322
LIB	23.6%	57	8.0%	0	56	-56	1
UKIP	3.2%	0	13.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.0%	1	6.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	1.7%	6	3.8%	41	0	+41	47
PlaidC	0.6%	3	0.6%	1	1	+0	3
Other	3.4%	0	0.8%	1	0	+1	1
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2010
Aberconwy	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Guto Bebb
Aberdeen North	Grampian	SNP	gain from	LAB	Frank Doran
Aberdeen South	Grampian	SNP	gain from	LAB	Anne Begg
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	SNP	gain from	LIB	Sir Robert Smith
Airdrie and Shotts	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Pamela Nash
Amber Valley	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nigel Mills
Arfon	Gwynedd	LAB	gain from	Plaid	Hywel Williams
Argyll and Bute	Argyll and Bute	SNP	gain from	LIB	Alan Reid
Ayr Carrick and Cumnock	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Sandra Osborne
Ayrshire Central	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Brian Donohoe
Ayrshire North and Arran	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Katy Clark
Basildon South and East Thurrock	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen Metcalfe
Bedford	Bedfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Fuller
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Southwark	LAB	gain from	LIB	Simon Hughes
Berwick-upon-Tweed	Northumberland	CON	gain from	LIB	Alan Beith
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	SNP	gain from	LIB	Michael Moore
Birmingham Yardley	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	LIB	John Hemming
Blackpool North and Cleveleys	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Maynard
Bradford East	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	David Ward
Brecon and Radnorshire	Powys	CON	gain from	LIB	Roger Williams
Brent Central	Brent	LAB	gain from	LIB	Sarah Teather
Brentford and Isleworth	Hounslow	LAB	gain from	CON	Mary Macleod
Brigg and Goole	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Percy
Brighton Kemptown	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Kirby
Bristol North West	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	CON	Charlotte Leslie
Bristol West	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	LIB	Stephen Williams
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Anna Soubry
Burnley	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Gordon Birtwistle
Burton	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Griffiths
Bury North	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	David Nuttall
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross	Highland	SNP	gain from	LIB	John Thurso
Calder Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Whittaker
Cambridge	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Julian Huppert
Cannock Chase	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Aidan Burley
Cardiff Central	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	LIB	Jenny Willott
Cardiff North	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Jonathan Evans
Carlisle	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	John Stevenson
Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South	Dyfed	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Hart
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Tom Brake
Ceredigion	Dyfed	Plaid	gain from	LIB	Mark Williams
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LIB	Mark Hunter
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	CON	gain from	LIB	Martin Horwood
Chester, City of	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen Mosley
Chippenham	Wiltshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Duncan Hames
Cleethorpes	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Martin Vickers
Colchester	Essex	CON	gain from	LIB	Bob Russell
Colne Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jason McCartney
Corby	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Louise Bagshaw
Cornwall North	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LIB	Dan Rogerson
Crawley	West Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Henry Smith
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Edward Timpson
Croydon Central	Croydon	LAB	gain from	CON	Gavin Barwell
Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gregg McClymont
Devon North	Devon	CON	gain from	LIB	Nick Harvey
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Reevell
Dorset Mid and Poole North	Dorset	CON	gain from	LIB	Annette Brooke
Dover	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	Charlie Elphicke
Dudley South	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris Kelly
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	LAB	Russell Brown
Dunbartonshire East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LIB	Jo Swinson
Dundee West	Tayside	SNP	gain from	LAB	James McGovern
Dunfermline and West Fife	Fife	SNP	gain from	LAB	Thomas Docherty
Ealing Central and Acton	Ealing	LAB	gain from	CON	Angie Bray
East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Michael McCann
East Lothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Fiona O'Donnell
Eastbourne	East Sussex	CON	gain from	LIB	Stephen Lloyd
Eastleigh	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Christopher Huhne
Edinburgh East	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Sheila Gilmore
Edinburgh North and Leith	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Mark Lazarowicz
Edinburgh South	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ian Murray
Edinburgh South West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Alistair Darling
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LIB	Michael Crockart
Elmet and Rothwell	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Alec Shelbrooke
Enfield North	Enfield	LAB	gain from	CON	Nick de Bois
Erewash	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jessica Lee
Falkirk	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Eric Joyce
Fife North East	Fife	SNP	gain from	LIB	Sir Menzies Campbell
Glasgow Central	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Anas Sarwar
Glasgow North	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ann McKechin
Glasgow North West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	John Robertson
Glasgow South	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Tom Harris
Gloucester	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Graham
Gordon	Grampian	SNP	gain from	LIB	Malcolm Bruce
Great Yarmouth	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Brandon Lewis
Halesowen and Rowley Regis	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	James Morris
Harlow	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Halfon
Harrow East	Harrow	LAB	gain from	CON	Bob Blackman
Hastings and Rye	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Amber Rudd
Hazel Grove	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LIB	Andrew Stunell
Hendon	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Matthew Offord
High Peak	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Bingham
Hornsey and Wood Green	Haringey	LAB	gain from	LIB	Lynne Featherstone
Hove	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Mike Weatherley
Ilford North	Redbridge	LAB	gain from	CON	Lee Scott
Inverclyde	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	David Cairns
Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey	Highland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Danny Alexander
Ipswich	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Ben Gummer
Keighley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Kris Hopkins
Kilmarnock and Loudoun	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Cathy Jamieson
Kingston and Surbiton	Kingston Upon Thames	CON	gain from	LIB	Edward Davey
Kingswood	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris Skidmore
Lanark and Hamilton East	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Jimmy Hood
Lancaster and Fleetwood	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Eric Ollerenshaw
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Greg Mulholland
Lewes	East Sussex	CON	gain from	LIB	Norman Baker
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Karl McCartney
Linlithgow and East Falkirk	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Michael Connarty
Livingston	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Graeme Morrice
Loughborough	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nicky Morgan
Manchester Withington	Central Manchester	LAB	gain from	LIB	John Leech
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	David Hamilton
Milton Keynes South	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Stewart
Morecambe and Lunesdale	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Morris
Norfolk North	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LIB	Norman Lamb
Northampton North	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Michael Ellis
Norwich North	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Chloe Smith
Norwich South	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	LIB	Simon Wright
Nuneaton	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Marcus Jones
Ochil and South Perthshire	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gordon Banks
Orkney and Shetland	Orkney and Shetland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Alistair Carmichael
Paisley and Renfrewshire North	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	James Sheridan
Pendle	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Stephenson
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stewart Jackson
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	Oliver Colvile
Portsmouth South	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Mike Hancock
Pudsey	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Andrew
Reading West	Berkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Alok Sharma
Redcar	Teesside	LAB	gain from	LIB	Ian Swales
Ribble South	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Lorraine Fullbrook
Ross Skye and Lochaber	Highland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Charles Kennedy
Rossendale and Darwen	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jake Berry
Rugby	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Pawsey
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Nick Clegg
Sherwood	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Spencer
Solihull	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LIB	Lorely Burt
Somerset North East	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	CON	Jacob Rees-Mogg
Somerton and Frome	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	David Heath
Southport	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LIB	John Pugh
St Austell and Newquay	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LIB	Stephen Gilbert
St Ives	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LIB	Andrew George
Stafford	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jeremy Lefroy
Stevenage	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen McPartland
Stirling	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Anne McGuire
Stockton South	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	James Wharton
Stourbridge	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Margot James
Stroud	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Neil Carmichael
Sutton and Cheam	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Paul Burstow
Swindon South	Wiltshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Buckland
Taunton Deane	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	Jeremy Browne
Thornbury and Yate	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LIB	Steve Webb
Thurrock	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	Jackie Doyle-Price
Torbay	Devon	CON	gain from	LIB	Adrian Sanders
Twickenham	Richmond Upon Thames	CON	gain from	LIB	Vincent Cable
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Alun Cairns
Warrington South	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Mowat
Warwick and Leamington	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris White
Warwickshire North	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Dan Byles
Watford	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Harrington
Waveney	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Aldous
Weaver Vale	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Graham Evans
Wells	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	Tessa Munt
Westmorland and Lonsdale	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LIB	Tim Farron
Wirral West	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	CON	Esther McVey
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Uppal
Worcester	Hereford and Worcestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robin Walker
Wyre Forest	Hereford and Worcestershire	MIN	gain from	CON	Mark Garnier
Yeovil	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	David Laws

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2010. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Labour short 4 of majority

List of predicted seat changes