Constituency List: England C-E



Calder Valley
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Craig Whittaker  (CON)
Electorate: 76,903
Turnout: 67.33%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,39739.39%30.62%
LAB13,96626.97%36.68%
LIB13,03725.18%10.12%
OTH3,207 6.19% 7.93%
UKIP1,173 2.27%14.66%
CON Majority6,43112.42%Pred Maj 6.06%
Chance of winning
CON
35.6%
LAB
60.5%
LIB
0.9%
OTH
0.2%
UKIP
2.8%

LAB Gain

Camberwell and Peckham
County/Area: Southwark (South London)
MP: Harriet Harman  (LAB)
Electorate: 78,618
Turnout: 59.35%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,61959.19%68.30%
LIB10,43222.36% 5.83%
CON6,08013.03% 7.20%
OTH2,528 5.42% 7.04%
UKIP0 0.00%11.63%
LAB Majority17,18736.84%Pred Maj 56.67%
Chance of winning
LAB
100.0%
LIB
0.0%
CON
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.0%


Camborne and Redruth
County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP: George Eustice  (CON)
Electorate: 63,968
Turnout: 66.43%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON15,96937.58%29.07%
LIB15,90337.42%23.32%
LAB6,94516.34%25.56%
UKIP2,152 5.06%16.83%
OTH1,524 3.59% 5.23%
CON Majority66 0.16%Pred Maj 3.52%
Chance of winning
CON
45.6%
LIB
13.9%
LAB
33.2%
UKIP
7.2%
OTH
0.1%


Cambridge
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (East Anglia)
MP: Julian Huppert  (LIB)
Electorate: 77,081
Turnout: 65.04%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB19,62139.14%23.96%
CON12,82925.59%17.10%
LAB12,17424.28%33.93%
MIN3,804 7.59% 7.59%
UKIP1,195 2.38%14.69%
OTH507 1.01% 2.73%
LIB Majority6,79213.55%Pred Maj 9.97%
Chance of winning
LIB
15.9%
CON
11.7%
LAB
66.6%
MIN
0.0%
UKIP
5.7%
OTH
0.1%

LAB Gain

Cambridgeshire North East
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (East Anglia)
MP: Stephen Barclay  (CON)
Electorate: 73,224
Turnout: 71.10%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,86251.59%43.11%
LIB10,43720.05% 4.86%
LAB9,27417.81%27.45%
UKIP2,991 5.74%18.05%
OTH2,500 4.80% 6.52%
CON Majority16,42531.55%Pred Maj 15.65%
Chance of winning
CON
80.2%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
17.8%
UKIP
1.9%
OTH
0.0%


Cambridgeshire North West
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (East Anglia)
MP: Shailesh Vara  (CON)
Electorate: 88,857
Turnout: 65.59%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,42550.49%42.00%
LIB12,74821.87% 6.69%
LAB9,87716.95%26.59%
UKIP4,826 8.28%20.59%
OTH1,407 2.41% 4.13%
CON Majority16,67728.61%Pred Maj 15.41%
Chance of winning
CON
78.7%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
17.2%
UKIP
4.0%
OTH
0.0%


Cambridgeshire South
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (East Anglia)
MP: Andrew Lansley  (CON)
Electorate: 78,995
Turnout: 74.76%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,99547.40%38.92%
LIB20,15734.13%18.95%
LAB6,02410.20%19.84%
OTH3,007 5.09% 6.81%
UKIP1,873 3.17%15.48%
CON Majority7,83813.27%Pred Maj 19.08%
Chance of winning
CON
79.8%
LIB
4.3%
LAB
12.5%
OTH
0.1%
UKIP
3.3%


Cambridgeshire South East
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (East Anglia)
MP: James Paice  (CON)
Electorate: 83,068
Turnout: 69.34%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,62947.97%39.48%
LIB21,68337.64%22.46%
LAB4,380 7.60%17.25%
UKIP2,138 3.71%16.02%
OTH1,772 3.08% 4.80%
CON Majority5,94610.32%Pred Maj 17.02%
Chance of winning
CON
82.2%
LIB
6.5%
LAB
8.1%
UKIP
3.2%
OTH
0.0%


Cannock Chase
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP: Aidan Burley  (CON)
Electorate: 74,509
Turnout: 61.15%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,27140.10%31.48%
LAB15,07633.09%42.06%
LIB7,73216.97% 3.58%
MIN2,168 4.76% 4.76%
UKIP1,580 3.47%14.92%
OTH732 1.61% 3.21%
CON Majority3,195 7.01%Pred Maj 10.58%
Chance of winning
CON
28.3%
LAB
69.9%
LIB
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
UKIP
1.7%
OTH
0.1%

LAB Gain

Canterbury
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP: Julian Brazier  (CON)
Electorate: 76,808
Turnout: 64.07%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,05044.81%36.32%
LIB16,00232.52%18.02%
LAB7,94016.14%25.50%
UKIP1,907 3.88%15.83%
OTH1,310 2.66% 4.33%
CON Majority6,04812.29%Pred Maj 10.83%
Chance of winning
CON
68.9%
LIB
4.1%
LAB
23.1%
UKIP
3.8%
OTH
0.1%


Carlisle
County/Area: Cumbria (North)
MP: John Stevenson  (CON)
Electorate: 65,263
Turnout: 64.66%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON16,58939.31%30.28%
LAB15,73637.29%45.91%
LIB6,56715.56% 3.43%
OTH2,339 5.54% 7.08%
UKIP969 2.30%13.30%
CON Majority853 2.02%Pred Maj 15.63%
Chance of winning
CON
18.5%
LAB
80.6%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.1%
UKIP
0.8%

LAB Gain

Carshalton and Wallington
County/Area: Sutton (South London)
MP: Tom Brake  (LIB)
Electorate: 66,520
Turnout: 69.03%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB22,18048.30%31.78%
CON16,92036.85%27.89%
LAB4,015 8.74%19.12%
OTH1,455 3.17% 5.02%
UKIP1,348 2.94%16.19%
LIB Majority5,26011.46%Pred Maj 3.88%
Chance of winning
LIB
40.8%
CON
31.9%
LAB
18.7%
OTH
0.4%
UKIP
8.2%


Castle Point
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP: Rebecca Harris  (CON)
Electorate: 67,284
Turnout: 66.92%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,80643.99%35.50%
MIN12,17427.04%27.04%
LAB6,60914.68%21.04%
LIB4,232 9.40% 2.26%
OTH2,205 4.90% 6.03%
UKIP0 0.00% 8.12%
CON Majority7,63216.95%Pred Maj 8.46%
Chance of winning
CON
75.9%
MIN
8.7%
LAB
14.8%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.6%


Charnwood
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Stephen Dorrell  (CON)
Electorate: 74,473
Turnout: 71.89%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,56049.61%41.07%
LIB11,53121.54% 6.19%
LAB10,53619.68%29.40%
OTH3,116 5.82% 7.55%
UKIP1,799 3.36%15.78%
CON Majority15,02928.07%Pred Maj 11.67%
Chance of winning
CON
73.6%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
24.3%
OTH
0.1%
UKIP
1.9%


Chatham and Aylesford
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP: Tracey Crouch  (CON)
Electorate: 71,122
Turnout: 61.59%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,23046.18%37.69%
LAB14,16132.33%39.71%
LIB5,83213.31% 3.66%
OTH2,270 5.18% 6.50%
UKIP1,314 3.00%12.43%
CON Majority6,06913.85%Pred Maj 2.02%
Chance of winning
CON
46.1%
LAB
53.0%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.1%
UKIP
0.8%

LAB Gain

Cheadle
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Mark Hunter  (LIB)
Electorate: 72,458
Turnout: 72.47%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB24,71747.07%31.23%
CON21,44540.84%31.54%
LAB4,920 9.37%19.61%
UKIP1,430 2.72%15.80%
OTH0 0.00% 1.83%
LIB Majority3,272 6.23%Pred Maj 0.31%
Chance of winning
LIB
34.2%
CON
43.0%
LAB
16.2%
UKIP
6.5%
OTH
0.1%

CON Gain

Chelmsford
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP: Simon Burns  (CON)
Electorate: 77,529
Turnout: 70.42%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,20746.17%37.69%
LIB20,09736.81%21.63%
LAB5,98010.95%20.59%
OTH1,782 3.26% 4.98%
UKIP1,527 2.80%15.11%
CON Majority5,110 9.36%Pred Maj 16.06%
Chance of winning
CON
75.0%
LIB
6.3%
LAB
15.1%
OTH
0.1%
UKIP
3.5%


Chelsea and Fulham
County/Area: Hammersmith and Fulham (North London)
MP: Greg Hands  (CON)
Electorate: 66,295
Turnout: 60.12%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,09360.45%51.49%
LAB7,37118.49%27.61%
LIB6,47316.24% 2.82%
OTH1,441 3.62% 5.24%
UKIP478 1.20%12.84%
CON Majority16,72241.96%Pred Maj 23.89%
Chance of winning
CON
90.4%
LAB
8.5%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
1.0%


Cheltenham
County/Area: Gloucestershire (West)
MP: Martin Horwood  (LIB)
Electorate: 78,998
Turnout: 66.82%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB26,65950.50%36.39%
CON21,73941.18%32.68%
LAB2,703 5.12%14.33%
UKIP1,192 2.26%14.02%
OTH493 0.93% 2.58%
LIB Majority4,920 9.32%Pred Maj 3.72%
Chance of winning
LIB
54.9%
CON
38.9%
LAB
3.9%
UKIP
2.3%
OTH
0.0%


Chesham and Amersham
County/Area: Buckinghamshire (Essex)
MP: Cheryl Gillan  (CON)
Electorate: 70,333
Turnout: 74.57%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,65860.37%51.88%
LIB14,94828.50%13.32%
LAB2,942 5.61%15.25%
UKIP2,129 4.06%16.37%
OTH767 1.46% 3.18%
CON Majority16,71031.86%Pred Maj 35.51%
Chance of winning
CON
96.1%
LIB
0.5%
LAB
2.3%
UKIP
1.1%
OTH
0.0%


Chester, City of
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP: Stephen Mosley  (CON)
Electorate: 68,874
Turnout: 67.94%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,99540.60%31.97%
LAB16,41235.08%44.72%
LIB8,93019.09% 4.03%
OTH1,228 2.62% 4.35%
UKIP1,225 2.62%14.93%
CON Majority2,583 5.52%Pred Maj 12.75%
Chance of winning
CON
23.4%
LAB
74.9%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.1%
UKIP
1.6%

LAB Gain

Chesterfield
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP: Toby Perkins  (LAB)
Electorate: 71,878
Turnout: 63.77%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,89139.03%48.01%
LIB17,34237.83%22.49%
CON7,21415.74% 9.02%
OTH1,960 4.28% 5.88%
UKIP1,432 3.12%14.60%
LAB Majority549 1.20%Pred Maj 25.53%
Chance of winning
LAB
94.4%
LIB
2.9%
CON
0.9%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
1.8%


Chichester
County/Area: West Sussex (South East)
MP: Andrew Tyrie  (CON)
Electorate: 81,462
Turnout: 69.71%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,42755.34%46.85%
LIB15,55027.38%12.89%
LAB5,93710.45%19.82%
UKIP3,873 6.82%18.77%
OTH0 0.00% 1.67%
CON Majority15,87727.96%Pred Maj 27.04%
Chance of winning
CON
92.8%
LIB
0.3%
LAB
5.0%
UKIP
1.9%
OTH
0.0%


Chingford and Woodford Green
County/Area: Waltham Forest (North London)
MP: Iain Duncan Smith  (CON)
Electorate: 64,831
Turnout: 66.49%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,74352.76%43.81%
LAB9,78022.69%31.99%
LIB7,24216.80% 2.92%
OTH2,208 5.12% 6.78%
UKIP1,133 2.63%14.50%
CON Majority12,96330.07%Pred Maj 11.82%
Chance of winning
CON
74.8%
LAB
24.0%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
1.2%


Chippenham
County/Area: Wiltshire (West)
MP: Duncan Hames  (LIB)
Electorate: 72,105
Turnout: 72.65%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB23,97045.76%31.65%
CON21,50041.04%32.53%
LAB3,620 6.91%16.12%
UKIP1,783 3.40%15.17%
OTH1,512 2.89% 4.53%
LIB Majority2,470 4.72%Pred Maj 0.89%
Chance of winning
LIB
38.2%
CON
49.7%
LAB
8.9%
UKIP
3.2%
OTH
0.0%

CON Gain

Chipping Barnet
County/Area: Barnet (North London)
MP: Theresa Villiers  (CON)
Electorate: 77,798
Turnout: 65.05%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,70048.81%39.85%
LAB12,77325.24%35.62%
LIB10,20220.16% 3.63%
OTH1,491 2.95% 4.80%
UKIP1,442 2.85%16.10%
CON Majority11,92723.57%Pred Maj 4.23%
Chance of winning
CON
60.7%
LAB
37.4%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.1%
UKIP
1.8%


Chorley
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Lindsay Hoyle  (LAB)
Electorate: 70,950
Turnout: 70.15%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,51543.23%51.52%
CON18,92238.02%28.72%
LIB6,95713.98% 2.91%
UKIP2,021 4.06%14.65%
OTH359 0.72% 2.20%
LAB Majority2,593 5.21%Pred Maj 22.80%
Chance of winning
LAB
90.5%
CON
9.1%
LIB
0.0%
UKIP
0.4%
OTH
0.0%


Christchurch
County/Area: Dorset (South West)
MP: Christopher Chope  (CON)
Electorate: 68,861
Turnout: 71.76%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,88856.44%47.93%
LIB12,47825.25%11.14%
LAB4,849 9.81%19.02%
UKIP4,201 8.50%20.26%
OTH0 0.00% 1.64%
CON Majority15,41031.18%Pred Maj 27.66%
Chance of winning
CON
93.5%
LIB
0.3%
LAB
4.0%
UKIP
2.2%
OTH
0.0%


Cities of London and Westminster
County/Area: City of Westminster (North London)
MP: Mark Field  (CON)
Electorate: 66,489
Turnout: 55.54%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,26452.16%43.21%
LAB8,18822.17%32.55%
LIB7,57420.51% 3.98%
OTH1,241 3.36% 5.21%
UKIP664 1.80%15.05%
CON Majority11,07629.99%Pred Maj 10.66%
Chance of winning
CON
72.3%
LAB
26.3%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
1.3%


Clacton
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP: Douglas Carswell  (CON)
Electorate: 67,194
Turnout: 64.18%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,86753.03%44.54%
LAB10,79925.04%32.50%
LIB5,57712.93% 3.11%
OTH3,880 9.00%10.33%
UKIP0 0.00% 9.52%
CON Majority12,06827.99%Pred Maj 12.04%
Chance of winning
CON
75.6%
LAB
24.1%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.3%


Cleethorpes
County/Area: Humber area (Humberside)
MP: Martin Vickers  (CON)
Electorate: 70,214
Turnout: 64.04%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,93942.12%33.35%
LAB14,64132.56%41.72%
LIB8,19218.22% 4.50%
UKIP3,194 7.10%18.80%
OTH0 0.00% 1.63%
CON Majority4,298 9.56%Pred Maj 8.37%
Chance of winning
CON
33.0%
LAB
64.8%
LIB
0.0%
UKIP
2.1%
OTH
0.1%

LAB Gain

Colchester
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP: Bob Russell  (LIB)
Electorate: 74,062
Turnout: 62.30%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB22,15148.01%32.83%
CON15,16932.88%24.39%
LAB5,68012.31%21.95%
OTH1,789 3.88% 5.60%
UKIP1,350 2.93%15.24%
LIB Majority6,98215.13%Pred Maj 8.44%
Chance of winning
LIB
52.3%
CON
22.1%
LAB
19.8%
OTH
0.1%
UKIP
5.7%


Colne Valley
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Jason McCartney  (CON)
Electorate: 80,062
Turnout: 69.07%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,44036.96%28.19%
LIB15,60328.22%13.16%
LAB14,58926.38%36.09%
OTH3,501 6.33% 8.06%
UKIP1,163 2.10%14.50%
CON Majority4,837 8.75%Pred Maj 7.89%
Chance of winning
CON
31.4%
LIB
1.6%
LAB
63.5%
OTH
0.4%
UKIP
3.1%

LAB Gain

Congleton
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP: Fiona Bruce  (CON)
Electorate: 73,692
Turnout: 68.91%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,25045.79%37.16%
LIB16,18731.88%16.10%
LAB8,74717.23%27.16%
UKIP2,147 4.23%16.92%
OTH449 0.88% 2.66%
CON Majority7,06313.91%Pred Maj 10.00%
Chance of winning
CON
65.9%
LIB
2.9%
LAB
26.1%
UKIP
5.0%
OTH
0.1%


Copeland
County/Area: Cumbria (North)
MP: Jamie Reed  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,291
Turnout: 67.60%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,69946.04%52.96%
CON15,86637.08%28.05%
LIB4,36510.20% 2.25%
OTH1,863 4.35% 5.59%
UKIP994 2.32%11.16%
LAB Majority3,833 8.96%Pred Maj 24.91%
Chance of winning
LAB
94.9%
CON
5.0%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.1%


Corby
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP: Louise Bagshaw  (CON)
Electorate: 78,305
Turnout: 69.26%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,88642.20%33.71%
LAB20,99138.70%46.63%
LIB7,83414.44% 3.48%
OTH2,525 4.66% 6.07%
UKIP0 0.00%10.12%
CON Majority1,895 3.49%Pred Maj 12.92%

Result shown is original general election result. Mr Andy Sawford (Lab) gained the seat in a by-election on 15 November 2012, after Ms Louise Mensch resigned the seat on 29 August 2012 for family reasons.

Chance of winning
CON
21.7%
LAB
78.0%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.3%

LAB Gain

Cornwall North
County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP: Dan Rogerson  (LIB)
Electorate: 68,662
Turnout: 68.22%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB22,51248.06%33.95%
CON19,53141.69%33.19%
UKIP2,300 4.91%16.67%
LAB1,971 4.21%13.42%
OTH530 1.13% 2.78%
LIB Majority2,981 6.36%Pred Maj 0.76%
Chance of winning
LIB
45.0%
CON
46.9%
UKIP
3.5%
LAB
4.6%
OTH
0.0%


Cornwall South East
County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP: Sheryll Murray  (CON)
Electorate: 72,237
Turnout: 68.69%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,39045.13%36.62%
LIB19,17038.64%24.53%
LAB3,507 7.07%16.28%
UKIP3,083 6.21%17.98%
OTH1,467 2.96% 4.60%
CON Majority3,220 6.49%Pred Maj 12.09%
Chance of winning
CON
75.7%
LIB
10.9%
LAB
7.9%
UKIP
5.5%
OTH
0.0%


Cotswolds, The
County/Area: Gloucestershire (West)
MP: Geoffrey Clifton-Brown  (CON)
Electorate: 76,728
Turnout: 71.46%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,07553.03%44.52%
LIB16,21129.56%15.46%
LAB5,88610.73%19.95%
UKIP2,292 4.18%15.94%
OTH1,368 2.49% 4.14%
CON Majority12,86423.46%Pred Maj 24.57%
Chance of winning
CON
91.3%
LIB
1.0%
LAB
5.9%
UKIP
1.8%
OTH
0.0%


Coventry North East
County/Area: Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
MP: Bob Ainsworth  (LAB)
Electorate: 73,035
Turnout: 59.40%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,38449.29%58.14%
CON9,60922.15%13.52%
LIB7,21016.62% 3.51%
OTH3,889 8.96%10.54%
UKIP1,291 2.98%14.28%
LAB Majority11,77527.14%Pred Maj 43.86%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.3%
CON
0.6%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.1%


Coventry North West
County/Area: Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
MP: Geoffrey Robinson  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,871
Turnout: 63.89%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,93642.82%52.09%
CON13,64829.31%20.69%
LIB8,34417.92% 3.79%
OTH3,337 7.17% 8.82%
UKIP1,295 2.78%14.62%
LAB Majority6,28813.51%Pred Maj 31.40%
Chance of winning
LAB
95.7%
CON
3.8%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.5%


Coventry South
County/Area: Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
MP: Jim Cunningham  (LAB)
Electorate: 73,652
Turnout: 62.35%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,19741.80%51.11%
CON15,35233.43%24.80%
LIB8,27818.03% 3.81%
UKIP1,767 3.85%15.73%
OTH1,330 2.90% 4.56%
LAB Majority3,845 8.37%Pred Maj 26.30%
Chance of winning
LAB
92.6%
CON
6.9%
LIB
0.0%
UKIP
0.5%
OTH
0.0%


Crawley
County/Area: West Sussex (South East)
MP: Henry Smith  (CON)
Electorate: 72,781
Turnout: 65.27%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,26444.76%36.28%
LAB15,33632.28%39.99%
LIB6,84414.41% 3.97%
OTH2,678 5.64% 7.01%
UKIP1,382 2.91%12.75%
CON Majority5,92812.48%Pred Maj 3.72%
Chance of winning
CON
42.5%
LAB
56.4%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.1%
UKIP
1.0%

LAB Gain

Crewe and Nantwich
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP: Edward Timpson  (CON)
Electorate: 77,460
Turnout: 65.95%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,42045.85%37.22%
LAB17,37434.01%42.34%
LIB7,65614.99% 3.17%
UKIP1,414 2.77%13.40%
OTH1,220 2.39% 3.87%
CON Majority6,04611.84%Pred Maj 5.12%
Chance of winning
CON
39.7%
LAB
59.6%
LIB
0.0%
UKIP
0.7%
OTH
0.0%

LAB Gain

Croydon Central
County/Area: Croydon (South London)
MP: Gavin Barwell  (CON)
Electorate: 78,880
Turnout: 62.97%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,56739.40%30.44%
LAB16,68833.60%41.69%
LIB6,55313.19% 2.29%
MIN3,239 6.52% 6.52%
OTH2,623 5.28% 6.72%
UKIP997 2.01%12.33%
CON Majority2,879 5.80%Pred Maj 11.25%
Chance of winning
CON
26.1%
LAB
72.7%
LIB
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.1%
UKIP
1.1%

LAB Gain

Croydon North
County/Area: Croydon (South London)
MP: Malcolm Wicks  (LAB)
Electorate: 85,212
Turnout: 60.64%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,94756.02%64.37%
CON12,46624.12%15.17%
LIB7,22613.98% 2.43%
OTH2,146 4.15% 5.64%
UKIP891 1.72%12.39%
LAB Majority16,48131.89%Pred Maj 49.20%

Result shown is original general election result. Mr Steve Reed (Lab) held the seat in a by-election on 29 November 2012, after the death of Mr Malcolm Wicks in September 2012.

Chance of winning
LAB
99.8%
CON
0.1%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.1%


Croydon South
County/Area: Croydon (South London)
MP: Richard Ottaway  (CON)
Electorate: 81,301
Turnout: 69.28%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,68450.93%41.97%
LIB12,86622.84% 6.32%
LAB11,28720.04%30.42%
UKIP2,504 4.45%17.70%
OTH981 1.74% 3.59%
CON Majority15,81828.08%Pred Maj 11.55%
Chance of winning
CON
73.1%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
24.1%
UKIP
2.7%
OTH
0.0%


Dagenham and Rainham
County/Area: Barking and Dagenham (North London)
MP: Jon Cruddas  (LAB)
Electorate: 69,764
Turnout: 63.40%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,81340.27%46.82%
CON15,18334.33%25.37%
MIN4,95211.20%11.20%
LIB3,806 8.60% 1.49%
UKIP1,569 3.55%11.90%
OTH909 2.06% 3.22%
LAB Majority2,630 5.95%Pred Maj 21.44%
Chance of winning
LAB
92.5%
CON
7.3%
MIN
0.0%
LIB
0.0%
UKIP
0.2%
OTH
0.0%


Darlington
County/Area: Durham (North)
MP: Jenny Chapman  (LAB)
Electorate: 69,352
Turnout: 61.85%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,89139.38%49.41%
CON13,50331.48%22.44%
LIB10,04623.42% 7.83%
OTH1,262 2.94% 4.73%
UKIP1,194 2.78%15.59%
LAB Majority3,388 7.90%Pred Maj 26.96%
Chance of winning
LAB
91.0%
CON
7.5%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
1.4%


Dartford
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP: Gareth Johnson  (CON)
Electorate: 76,271
Turnout: 65.66%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,42848.78%40.29%
LAB13,80027.56%35.35%
LIB7,36114.70% 4.05%
OTH2,649 5.29% 6.68%
UKIP1,842 3.68%13.63%
CON Majority10,62821.22%Pred Maj 4.94%
Chance of winning
CON
62.9%
LAB
36.4%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.7%


Daventry
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP: Chris Heaton-Harris  (CON)
Electorate: 71,451
Turnout: 72.46%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,25256.50%48.01%
LIB10,06419.44% 4.68%
LAB8,16815.78%25.24%
UKIP2,333 4.51%16.59%
OTH1,957 3.78% 5.47%
CON Majority19,18837.06%Pred Maj 22.77%
Chance of winning
CON
90.1%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
8.4%
UKIP
1.4%
OTH
0.0%


Denton and Reddish
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Andrew Gwynne  (LAB)
Electorate: 64,765
Turnout: 58.11%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,19150.99%60.55%
CON9,36024.87%15.57%
LIB6,72717.87% 3.72%
UKIP2,060 5.47%17.67%
OTH297 0.79% 2.49%
LAB Majority9,83126.12%Pred Maj 42.87%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.3%
CON
0.5%
LIB
0.0%
UKIP
0.2%
OTH
0.0%


Derby North
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP: Chris Williamson  (LAB)
Electorate: 71,484
Turnout: 63.06%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB14,89633.04%42.77%
CON14,28331.68%23.15%
LIB12,63828.03%12.69%
OTH2,434 5.40% 7.13%
UKIP829 1.84%14.26%
LAB Majority613 1.36%Pred Maj 19.62%
Chance of winning
LAB
83.1%
CON
13.0%
LIB
1.0%
OTH
0.2%
UKIP
2.7%


Derby South
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP: Margaret Beckett  (LAB)
Electorate: 71,012
Turnout: 58.00%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,85143.34%53.07%
CON11,72928.48%19.94%
LIB8,43020.47% 5.12%
UKIP1,821 4.42%16.84%
OTH1,357 3.29% 5.03%
LAB Majority6,12214.86%Pred Maj 33.12%
Chance of winning
LAB
96.7%
CON
2.7%
LIB
0.0%
UKIP
0.6%
OTH
0.0%


Derbyshire Dales
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP: Patrick McLoughlin  (CON)
Electorate: 63,367
Turnout: 73.82%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,37852.11%43.58%
LIB10,51222.47% 7.13%
LAB9,06119.37%29.09%
UKIP1,779 3.80%16.22%
OTH1,050 2.24% 3.98%
CON Majority13,86629.64%Pred Maj 14.48%
Chance of winning
CON
78.3%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
20.1%
UKIP
1.5%
OTH
0.0%


Derbyshire Mid
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP: Pauline Latham  (CON)
Electorate: 66,297
Turnout: 71.41%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,87748.32%39.79%
LAB11,58524.47%34.20%
LIB9,71120.51% 5.17%
OTH1,917 4.05% 5.78%
UKIP1,252 2.64%15.06%
CON Majority11,29223.85%Pred Maj 5.59%
Chance of winning
CON
63.9%
LAB
35.0%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.1%
UKIP
1.0%


Derbyshire North East
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP: Natascha Engel  (LAB)
Electorate: 71,422
Turnout: 65.85%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,94838.16%47.88%
CON15,50332.96%24.43%
LIB10,94723.27% 7.93%
UKIP2,636 5.60%18.02%
OTH0 0.00% 1.74%
LAB Majority2,445 5.20%Pred Maj 23.46%
Chance of winning
LAB
87.6%
CON
10.0%
LIB
0.1%
UKIP
2.3%
OTH
0.0%


Derbyshire South
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP: Heather Wheeler  (CON)
Electorate: 70,610
Turnout: 71.40%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,93545.49%36.96%
LAB15,80731.35%39.79%
LIB8,01215.89% 3.70%
OTH2,459 4.88% 6.38%
UKIP1,206 2.39%13.17%
CON Majority7,12814.14%Pred Maj 2.84%
Chance of winning
CON
44.2%
LAB
54.8%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.1%
UKIP
0.9%

LAB Gain

Devizes
County/Area: Wiltshire (West)
MP: Claire Perry  (CON)
Electorate: 67,374
Turnout: 68.78%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,51955.07%46.56%
LIB12,51427.00%12.90%
LAB4,71110.17%19.38%
UKIP2,076 4.48%16.24%
OTH1,520 3.28% 4.92%
CON Majority13,00528.06%Pred Maj 27.18%
Chance of winning
CON
92.7%
LIB
0.3%
LAB
5.1%
UKIP
1.9%
OTH
0.0%


Devon Central
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Mel Stride  (CON)
Electorate: 71,204
Turnout: 75.66%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,73751.49%42.98%
LIB18,50734.35%20.24%
LAB3,715 6.90%16.11%
UKIP2,870 5.33%17.09%
OTH1,044 1.94% 3.58%
CON Majority9,23017.13%Pred Maj 22.73%
Chance of winning
CON
90.0%
LIB
2.7%
LAB
4.9%
UKIP
2.4%
OTH
0.0%


Devon East
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Hugo Swire  (CON)
Electorate: 73,109
Turnout: 72.62%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,66248.33%39.83%
LIB16,54831.17%17.06%
LAB5,72110.78%19.99%
UKIP4,346 8.19%19.95%
OTH815 1.54% 3.18%
CON Majority9,11417.17%Pred Maj 19.84%
Chance of winning
CON
83.3%
LIB
2.2%
LAB
9.7%
UKIP
4.8%
OTH
0.0%


Devon North
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Nick Harvey  (LIB)
Electorate: 74,508
Turnout: 68.88%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB24,30547.36%33.25%
CON18,48436.02%27.51%
UKIP3,720 7.25%19.01%
LAB2,671 5.20%14.42%
OTH2,141 4.17% 5.82%
LIB Majority5,82111.34%Pred Maj 5.74%
Chance of winning
LIB
55.0%
CON
31.2%
UKIP
6.6%
LAB
7.2%
OTH
0.0%


Devon South West
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Gary Streeter  (CON)
Electorate: 70,059
Turnout: 71.17%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,90855.97%47.46%
LIB12,03424.14%10.03%
LAB6,19312.42%21.63%
UKIP3,084 6.19%17.95%
OTH641 1.29% 2.93%
CON Majority15,87431.84%Pred Maj 25.83%
Chance of winning
CON
92.4%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
5.7%
UKIP
1.8%
OTH
0.0%


Devon West and Torridge
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Geoffrey Cox  (CON)
Electorate: 76,574
Turnout: 72.16%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,23045.66%37.15%
LIB22,27340.31%26.20%
UKIP3,021 5.47%17.23%
LAB2,917 5.28%14.49%
OTH1,816 3.29% 4.93%
CON Majority2,957 5.35%Pred Maj 10.95%
Chance of winning
CON
75.9%
LIB
13.2%
UKIP
4.3%
LAB
6.6%
OTH
0.0%


Dewsbury
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Simon Reevell  (CON)
Electorate: 78,901
Turnout: 68.45%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,89834.99%26.22%
LAB17,37232.17%40.93%
LIB9,15016.94% 4.19%
OTH4,775 8.84%10.41%
MIN3,813 7.06% 7.06%
UKIP0 0.00%11.19%
CON Majority1,526 2.83%Pred Maj 14.71%
Chance of winning
CON
19.3%
LAB
78.7%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
0.2%
MIN
0.0%
UKIP
1.7%

LAB Gain

Don Valley
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP: Caroline Flint  (LAB)
Electorate: 73,214
Turnout: 59.32%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,47237.93%46.74%
CON12,87729.65%20.88%
LIB7,42217.09% 4.22%
OTH4,75510.95%12.52%
UKIP1,904 4.38%15.64%
LAB Majority3,595 8.28%Pred Maj 25.86%
Chance of winning
LAB
91.1%
CON
6.9%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.3%
UKIP
1.7%


Doncaster Central
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP: Rosie Winterton  (LAB)
Electorate: 75,207
Turnout: 55.51%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,56939.69%49.40%
CON10,34024.77%16.00%
LIB8,79521.07% 6.01%
OTH4,62011.07%12.80%
UKIP1,421 3.40%15.80%
LAB Majority6,22914.92%Pred Maj 33.40%
Chance of winning
LAB
94.3%
CON
3.7%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.3%
UKIP
1.7%


Doncaster North
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP: Ed Milliband  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,381
Turnout: 57.31%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,63747.34%55.47%
CON8,72821.04%12.27%
LIB6,17414.88% 3.68%
MIN2,818 6.79% 6.79%
OTH2,329 5.61% 7.07%
UKIP1,797 4.33%14.72%
LAB Majority10,90926.30%Pred Maj 40.75%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.4%
CON
0.4%
LIB
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.2%


Dorset Mid and Poole North
County/Area: Dorset (South West)
MP: Annette Brooke  (LIB)
Electorate: 64,660
Turnout: 72.36%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB21,10045.10%30.99%
CON20,83144.52%36.01%
LAB2,748 5.87%15.09%
UKIP2,109 4.51%16.27%
OTH0 0.00% 1.64%
LIB Majority269 0.57%Pred Maj 5.03%
Chance of winning
LIB
27.8%
CON
63.4%
LAB
5.7%
UKIP
3.1%
OTH
0.0%

CON Gain

Dorset North
County/Area: Dorset (South West)
MP: Robert Walter  (CON)
Electorate: 73,698
Turnout: 73.46%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,64051.05%42.54%
LIB20,01536.97%22.86%
LAB2,910 5.37%14.59%
UKIP2,812 5.19%16.96%
OTH764 1.41% 3.05%
CON Majority7,62514.08%Pred Maj 19.69%
Chance of winning
CON
89.1%
LIB
4.3%
LAB
4.1%
UKIP
2.5%
OTH
0.0%


Dorset South
County/Area: Dorset (South West)
MP: Richard Drax  (CON)
Electorate: 73,838
Turnout: 68.14%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,66745.05%36.55%
LAB15,22430.26%39.18%
LIB9,55719.00% 5.59%
UKIP2,034 4.04%15.44%
OTH828 1.65% 3.24%
CON Majority7,44314.79%Pred Maj 2.64%
Chance of winning
CON
45.4%
LAB
53.2%
LIB
0.0%
UKIP
1.3%
OTH
0.1%

LAB Gain

Dorset West
County/Area: Dorset (South West)
MP: Oliver Letwin  (CON)
Electorate: 76,869
Turnout: 74.59%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,28747.59%39.08%
LIB23,36440.75%26.64%
LAB3,815 6.65%15.87%
UKIP2,196 3.83%15.59%
OTH675 1.18% 2.82%
CON Majority3,923 6.84%Pred Maj 12.44%
Chance of winning
CON
80.2%
LIB
11.4%
LAB
6.0%
UKIP
2.4%
OTH
0.0%


Dover
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP: Charlie Elphicke  (CON)
Electorate: 71,832
Turnout: 70.14%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,17444.01%35.52%
LAB16,90033.54%41.66%
LIB7,96215.80% 4.35%
UKIP1,747 3.47%13.84%
OTH1,602 3.18% 4.63%
CON Majority5,27410.47%Pred Maj 6.14%
Chance of winning
CON
36.6%
LAB
62.2%
LIB
0.0%
UKIP
1.1%
OTH
0.1%

LAB Gain

Dudley North
County/Area: Black Country (West Midlands)
MP: Ian Austin  (LAB)
Electorate: 60,838
Turnout: 63.45%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB14,92338.66%45.56%
CON14,27436.98%28.35%
LIB4,06610.53% 2.22%
UKIP3,267 8.46%17.27%
OTH2,072 5.37% 6.60%
LAB Majority649 1.68%Pred Maj 17.20%
Chance of winning
LAB
85.9%
CON
12.8%
LIB
0.0%
UKIP
1.3%
OTH
0.0%


Dudley South
County/Area: Black Country (West Midlands)
MP: Chris Kelly  (CON)
Electorate: 60,572
Turnout: 63.01%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON16,45043.10%34.48%
LAB12,59433.00%41.55%
LIB5,98915.69% 3.31%
UKIP3,132 8.21%19.13%
OTH0 0.00% 1.53%
CON Majority3,85610.10%Pred Maj 7.08%
Chance of winning
CON
35.4%
LAB
62.7%
LIB
0.0%
UKIP
1.9%
OTH
0.0%

LAB Gain

Dulwich and West Norwood
County/Area: Lambeth (South London)
MP: Tessa Jowell  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,817
Turnout: 66.21%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,46146.59%56.96%
LIB13,09627.16%10.64%
CON10,68422.16%13.20%
OTH1,266 2.63% 4.48%
UKIP707 1.47%14.72%
LAB Majority9,36519.42%Pred Maj 42.25%
Chance of winning
LAB
98.7%
LIB
0.0%
CON
1.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.3%


Durham North
County/Area: Durham (North)
MP: Kevan Jones  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,548
Turnout: 60.65%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,69850.52%60.55%
CON8,62221.05%12.01%
LIB8,61721.03% 5.44%
OTH1,686 4.12% 5.91%
UKIP1,344 3.28%16.09%
LAB Majority12,07629.48%Pred Maj 44.47%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.4%
CON
0.4%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.2%


Durham North West
County/Area: Durham (North)
MP: Pat Glass  (LAB)
Electorate: 70,618
Turnout: 62.05%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,53942.31%52.34%
LIB10,92724.94% 9.35%
CON8,76620.01%10.97%
MIN2,472 5.64% 5.64%
OTH1,852 4.23% 6.02%
UKIP1,259 2.87%15.68%
LAB Majority7,61217.37%Pred Maj 36.66%
Chance of winning
LAB
97.9%
LIB
0.1%
CON
1.1%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.9%


Durham, City of
County/Area: Durham (North)
MP: Roberta Blackman-Woods  (LAB)
Electorate: 68,832
Turnout: 67.20%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,49644.31%53.11%
LIB17,42937.68%22.09%
CON6,14613.29% 7.29%
OTH1,325 2.86% 4.43%
UKIP856 1.85%13.08%
LAB Majority3,067 6.63%Pred Maj 31.02%
Chance of winning
LAB
98.0%
LIB
1.1%
CON
0.2%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.7%


Ealing Central and Acton
County/Area: Ealing (South London)
MP: Angie Bray  (CON)
Electorate: 63,489
Turnout: 74.34%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON17,94438.02%29.06%
LAB14,22830.14%40.52%
LIB13,04127.63%11.10%
OTH1,222 2.59% 4.44%
UKIP765 1.62%14.87%
CON Majority3,716 7.87%Pred Maj 11.46%
Chance of winning
CON
27.0%
LAB
69.5%
LIB
0.8%
OTH
0.1%
UKIP
2.6%

LAB Gain

Ealing North
County/Area: Ealing (South London)
MP: Stephen Pound  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,902
Turnout: 70.22%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,02350.39%58.47%
CON14,72230.88%21.92%
LIB6,28313.18% 2.29%
OTH1,965 4.12% 5.56%
UKIP685 1.44%11.76%
LAB Majority9,30119.51%Pred Maj 36.55%
Chance of winning
LAB
98.6%
CON
1.3%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.1%


Ealing Southall
County/Area: Ealing (South London)
MP: Virendra Sharma  (LAB)
Electorate: 60,379
Turnout: 70.81%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,02451.51%60.18%
CON12,73329.78%20.83%
LIB6,38314.93% 2.59%
OTH1,616 3.78% 5.33%
UKIP0 0.00%11.07%
LAB Majority9,29121.73%Pred Maj 39.36%
Chance of winning
LAB
98.8%
CON
1.1%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.1%


Easington
County/Area: Durham (North)
MP: Grahame Morris  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,873
Turnout: 54.66%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,57958.94%66.56%
LIB5,59716.03% 3.53%
CON4,79013.72% 7.52%
OTH2,317 6.64% 7.99%
UKIP1,631 4.67%14.39%
LAB Majority14,98242.91%Pred Maj 52.16%
Chance of winning
LAB
100.0%
LIB
0.0%
CON
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.0%


East Ham
County/Area: Newham (North London)
MP: Stephen Timms  (LAB)
Electorate: 90,675
Turnout: 55.55%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB35,47170.42%77.09%
CON7,64515.18% 8.38%
LIB5,84911.61% 2.02%
OTH1,408 2.80% 3.99%
UKIP0 0.00% 8.52%
LAB Majority27,82655.24%Pred Maj 68.57%
Chance of winning
LAB
100.0%
CON
0.0%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.0%


Eastbourne
County/Area: East Sussex (South East)
MP: Stephen Lloyd  (LIB)
Electorate: 77,840
Turnout: 66.96%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB24,65847.31%32.81%
CON21,22340.72%32.23%
LAB2,497 4.79%14.15%
MIN1,327 2.55% 2.55%
UKIP1,305 2.50%14.46%
OTH1,114 2.14% 3.81%
LIB Majority3,435 6.59%Pred Maj 0.58%
Chance of winning
LIB
43.6%
CON
46.6%
LAB
6.7%
MIN
0.0%
UKIP
3.1%
OTH
0.0%


Eastleigh
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Christopher Huhne  (LIB)
Electorate: 77,435
Turnout: 69.28%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB24,96646.53%32.04%
CON21,10239.33%30.85%
LAB5,153 9.60%18.97%
UKIP1,933 3.60%15.55%
OTH496 0.92% 2.59%
LIB Majority3,864 7.20%Pred Maj 1.19%

Result shown is original general election result. Mr Michael Thornton (Lib Dem) held the seat in a by-election on 28 February 2013, after Mr Christopher Huhne was convicted of perverting the course of justice on 4 February.

Chance of winning
LIB
41.1%
CON
43.0%
LAB
12.0%
UKIP
3.9%
OTH
0.0%


Eddisbury
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP: Stephen O'Brien  (CON)
Electorate: 65,306
Turnout: 69.54%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,47251.68%43.06%
LIB10,21722.50% 6.72%
LAB9,79421.57%31.50%
UKIP1,931 4.25%16.94%
OTH0 0.00% 1.77%
CON Majority13,25529.19%Pred Maj 11.55%
Chance of winning
CON
74.5%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
23.6%
UKIP
1.8%
OTH
0.0%


Edmonton
County/Area: Enfield (North London)
MP: Andy Love  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,902
Turnout: 63.19%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,66553.66%60.85%
CON12,05229.85%20.89%
LIB4,25210.53% 1.83%
OTH1,372 3.40% 4.68%
UKIP1,036 2.57%11.75%
LAB Majority9,61323.81%Pred Maj 39.95%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.5%
CON
0.4%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.1%


Ellesmere Port and Neston
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP: Andrew Miller  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,097
Turnout: 70.10%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,75044.65%53.00%
CON15,41934.86%26.23%
LIB6,66315.06% 3.18%
UKIP1,619 3.66%14.32%
OTH782 1.77% 3.26%
LAB Majority4,331 9.79%Pred Maj 26.77%
Chance of winning
LAB
94.5%
CON
5.2%
LIB
0.0%
UKIP
0.3%
OTH
0.0%


Elmet and Rothwell
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Alec Shelbrooke  (CON)
Electorate: 77,724
Turnout: 71.78%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,77842.62%33.85%
LAB19,25734.52%43.10%
LIB9,10916.33% 4.03%
OTH2,052 3.68% 5.21%
UKIP1,593 2.86%13.81%
CON Majority4,521 8.10%Pred Maj 9.25%
Chance of winning
CON
31.0%
LAB
67.8%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.1%
UKIP
1.1%

LAB Gain

Eltham
County/Area: Greenwich (South London)
MP: Clive Efford  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,590
Turnout: 67.05%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,41641.50%49.40%
CON15,75337.54%28.58%
LIB5,29912.63% 2.19%
OTH2,485 5.92% 7.33%
UKIP1,011 2.41%12.49%
LAB Majority1,663 3.96%Pred Maj 20.82%
Chance of winning
LAB
88.7%
CON
10.9%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.4%


Enfield North
County/Area: Enfield (North London)
MP: Nick de Bois  (CON)
Electorate: 66,258
Turnout: 67.09%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,80442.30%33.35%
LAB17,11238.49%46.23%
LIB5,40312.15% 2.11%
OTH2,196 4.94% 6.32%
UKIP938 2.11%11.99%
CON Majority1,692 3.81%Pred Maj 12.89%
Chance of winning
CON
22.1%
LAB
77.4%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.5%

LAB Gain

Enfield Southgate
County/Area: Enfield (North London)
MP: David Burrowes  (CON)
Electorate: 64,138
Turnout: 69.15%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,92849.44%40.49%
LAB14,30232.25%40.54%
LIB6,12413.81% 2.40%
OTH1,493 3.37% 4.85%
UKIP505 1.14%11.73%
CON Majority7,62617.19%Pred Maj 0.06%
Chance of winning
CON
51.4%
LAB
48.2%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.4%

LAB Gain

Epping Forest
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP: Eleanor Laing  (CON)
Electorate: 72,198
Turnout: 64.52%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,14853.98%45.50%
LIB10,01721.50% 6.32%
LAB6,64114.26%23.90%
OTH2,926 6.28% 8.00%
UKIP1,852 3.98%16.29%
CON Majority15,13132.48%Pred Maj 21.60%
Chance of winning
CON
88.5%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
9.6%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
1.8%


Epsom and Ewell
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP: Chris Grayling  (CON)
Electorate: 78,104
Turnout: 70.36%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,86856.17%47.68%
LIB14,73426.81%12.32%
LAB6,53811.90%21.26%
UKIP2,549 4.64%16.59%
OTH266 0.48% 2.15%
CON Majority16,13429.36%Pred Maj 26.42%
Chance of winning
CON
92.9%
LIB
0.4%
LAB
5.2%
UKIP
1.5%
OTH
0.0%


Erewash
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP: Jessica Lee  (CON)
Electorate: 69,654
Turnout: 68.40%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,80539.47%30.94%
LAB16,30434.22%43.17%
LIB8,34317.51% 4.08%
OTH3,335 7.00% 8.60%
UKIP855 1.79%13.22%
CON Majority2,501 5.25%Pred Maj 12.23%
Chance of winning
CON
23.1%
LAB
75.4%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.1%
UKIP
1.4%

LAB Gain

Erith and Thamesmead
County/Area: Bexley (South London)
MP: Teresa Pearce  (LAB)
Electorate: 69,918
Turnout: 60.75%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,06844.89%52.59%
CON13,36531.46%22.51%
LIB5,11612.04% 2.09%
MIN2,184 5.14% 5.14%
OTH1,604 3.78% 5.15%
UKIP1,139 2.68%12.51%
LAB Majority5,70313.43%Pred Maj 30.08%
Chance of winning
LAB
97.2%
CON
2.6%
LIB
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
UKIP
0.2%


Esher and Walton
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP: Dominic Raab  (CON)
Electorate: 75,338
Turnout: 72.40%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,13458.91%50.43%
LIB13,54124.83%10.33%
LAB5,82910.69%20.05%
UKIP1,783 3.27%15.22%
OTH1,256 2.30% 3.97%
CON Majority18,59334.09%Pred Maj 30.38%
Chance of winning
CON
95.1%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
3.7%
UKIP
1.1%
OTH
0.0%


Exeter
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Ben Bradshaw  (LAB)
Electorate: 77,157
Turnout: 67.72%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,94238.17%47.38%
CON17,22132.96%24.45%
LIB10,58120.25% 6.14%
OTH2,573 4.92% 6.57%
UKIP1,930 3.69%15.46%
LAB Majority2,721 5.21%Pred Maj 22.93%
Chance of winning
LAB
86.9%
CON
10.6%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
0.2%
UKIP
2.2%