Constituency List: England C-E

Calder Valley	Chipping Barnet	Daventry	Dulwich and West Norwood
Camberwell and Peckham	Chorley	Denton and Reddish	Durham North
Camborne and Redruth	Christchurch	Derby North	Durham North West
Cambridge	Cities of London and Westminster	Derby South	Durham, City of
Cambridgeshire North East	Clacton	Derbyshire Dales	Ealing Central and Acton
Cambridgeshire North West	Cleethorpes	Derbyshire Mid	Ealing North
Cambridgeshire South	Colchester	Derbyshire North East	Ealing Southall
Cambridgeshire South East	Colne Valley	Derbyshire South	Easington
Cannock Chase	Congleton	Devizes	East Ham
Canterbury	Copeland	Devon Central	Eastbourne
Carlisle	Corby	Devon East	Eastleigh
Carshalton and Wallington	Cornwall North	Devon North	Eddisbury
Castle Point	Cornwall South East	Devon South West	Edmonton
Charnwood	Cotswolds, The	Devon West and Torridge	Ellesmere Port and Neston
Chatham and Aylesford	Coventry North East	Dewsbury	Elmet and Rothwell
Cheadle	Coventry North West	Don Valley	Eltham
Chelmsford	Coventry South	Doncaster Central	Enfield North
Chelsea and Fulham	Crawley	Doncaster North	Enfield Southgate
Cheltenham	Crewe and Nantwich	Dorset Mid and Poole North	Epping Forest
Chesham and Amersham	Croydon Central	Dorset North	Epsom and Ewell
Chester, City of	Croydon North	Dorset South	Erewash
Chesterfield	Croydon South	Dorset West	Erith and Thamesmead
Chichester	Dagenham and Rainham	Dover	Esher and Walton
Chingford and Woodford Green	Darlington	Dudley North	Exeter
Chippenham	Dartford	Dudley South

Calder Valley
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP Christine McCafferty (LAB)

Electorate

71,188

Turnout

66.96%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,380

38.56%

30.87%

25.5%

CON

17,024

35.71%

40.71%

70.7%

LIB

9,032

18.95%

15.60%

2.9%

OTH

3,231

6.78%

12.82%

0.9%

LAB Majority

1,356

2.84%

Pred Maj

9.84%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Camberwell and Peckham
County/Area: Southwark (South London)
MP Harriet Harman (LAB)

Electorate

74,567

Turnout

53.18%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

24,519

61.83%

53.97%

97.1%

LIB

7,970

20.10%

16.52%

0.7%

CON

3,919

9.88%

15.07%

1.9%

OTH

2,177

5.49%

11.75%

0.3%

MIN

1,068

2.69%

0.0%

LAB Majority

16,549

41.73%

Pred Maj

37.45%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Camborne and Redruth
County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP Julia Goldsworthy (LIB)

Electorate

60,635

Turnout

67.07%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

15,008

36.91%

33.77%

46.4%

LAB

12,196

29.99%

20.80%

12.8%

CON

10,030

24.66%

30.24%

37.4%

OTH

3,432

8.44%

15.18%

3.4%

LIB Majority

2,812

6.91%

Pred Maj

3.53%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cambridge
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (East Anglia)
MP David Howarth (LIB)

Electorate

75,758

Turnout

62.57%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

20,655

43.58%

40.07%

72.5%

LAB

15,656

33.03%

25.29%

13.7%

CON

8,603

18.15%

23.24%

12.8%

OTH

2,485

5.24%

11.40%

1.0%

LIB Majority

4,999

10.55%

Pred Maj

14.78%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cambridgeshire North East
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (East Anglia)
MP Malcolm Moss (CON)

Electorate

78,922

Turnout

59.80%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

22,546

47.77%

52.67%

96.1%

LAB

13,938

29.53%

21.79%

3.5%

LIB

8,280

17.54%

14.47%

0.3%

OTH

2,432

5.15%

11.07%

0.1%

CON Majority

8,608

18.24%

Pred Maj

30.88%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cambridgeshire North West
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (East Anglia)
MP Shailesh Vara (CON)

Electorate

84,808

Turnout

61.66%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

23,953

45.81%

50.90%

95.3%

LAB

13,238

25.32%

17.58%

2.7%

LIB

12,321

23.56%

20.06%

1.7%

OTH

2,777

5.31%

11.46%

0.3%

CON Majority

10,715

20.49%

Pred Maj

30.84%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cambridgeshire South
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (East Anglia)
MP Andrew Lansley (CON)

Electorate

77,923

Turnout

68.10%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

24,303

45.80%

50.83%

94.0%

LIB

15,311

28.85%

25.35%

4.6%

LAB

10,415

19.63%

12.03%

1.0%

OTH

3,035

5.72%

11.79%

0.4%

CON Majority

8,992

16.95%

Pred Maj

25.48%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cambridgeshire South East
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (East Anglia)
MP James Paice (CON)

Electorate

79,396

Turnout

65.26%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

24,336

46.97%

52.06%

92.8%

LIB

16,613

32.06%

28.56%

6.2%

LAB

10,868

20.97%

13.23%

0.9%

OTH

0.00%

6.15%

0.1%

CON Majority

7,723

14.90%

Pred Maj

23.50%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cannock Chase
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP Tony Wright (LAB)

Electorate

72,404

Turnout

57.40%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,994

50.52%

42.72%

68.2%

CON

12,460

29.98%

34.72%

30.4%

LIB

5,936

14.28%

11.61%

0.8%

OTH

2,168

5.22%

10.94%

0.6%

LAB Majority

8,534

20.54%

Pred Maj

8.00%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Canterbury
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP Julian Brazier (CON)

Electorate

70,084

Turnout

66.05%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

20,530

44.35%

49.77%

93.4%

LAB

12,943

27.96%

19.27%

4.3%

LIB

10,059

21.73%

18.45%

1.8%

OTH

2,758

5.96%

12.51%

0.5%

CON Majority

7,587

16.39%

Pred Maj

30.50%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Carlisle
County/Area: Cumbria (North)
MP Eric Martlew (LAB)

Electorate

63,761

Turnout

59.91%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

17,803

46.60%

38.88%

49.9%

CON

13,350

34.95%

39.62%

48.3%

LIB

5,915

15.48%

12.88%

1.3%

OTH

1,133

2.97%

8.61%

0.5%

LAB Majority

4,453

11.66%

Pred Maj

0.74%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Carshalton and Wallington
County/Area: Sutton (South London)
MP Tom Brake (LIB)

Electorate

65,858

Turnout

63.48%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

16,919

40.47%

36.89%

35.2%

CON

15,684

37.52%

42.22%

62.7%

LAB

7,236

17.31%

10.50%

1.3%

OTH

1,966

4.70%

10.39%

0.8%

LIB Majority

1,235

2.95%

Pred Maj

5.33%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Castle Point
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP Robert Spink (CON)

Electorate

69,482

Turnout

65.92%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

22,118

48.29%

52.61%

96.6%

LAB

13,918

30.39%

22.65%

3.2%

OTH

5,048

11.02%

16.24%

0.1%

LIB

4,720

10.30%

8.50%

0.1%

CON Majority

8,200

17.90%

Pred Maj

29.96%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Charnwood
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP Stephen Dorrell (CON)

Electorate

71,705

Turnout

66.36%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

22,262

46.79%

51.74%

95.7%

LAB

13,234

27.81%

20.23%

3.5%

LIB

8,923

18.75%

15.39%

0.4%

OTH

3,161

6.64%

12.63%

0.4%

CON Majority

9,028

18.97%

Pred Maj

31.51%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Chatham and Aylesford
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP Jonathan Shaw (LAB)

Electorate

66,737

Turnout

59.73%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

17,985

45.12%

36.43%

40.6%

CON

14,433

36.21%

41.17%

57.1%

LIB

5,536

13.89%

11.61%

1.7%

OTH

1,910

4.79%

10.79%

0.6%

LAB Majority

3,552

8.91%

Pred Maj

4.75%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cheadle
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP Patsy Calton (LIB)

Electorate

72,123

Turnout

68.42%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

23,464

47.55%

44.05%

53.5%

CON

19,765

40.05%

43.40%

46.0%

LAB

5,009

10.15%

6.25%

0.3%

OTH

1,109

2.25%

6.30%

0.2%

LIB Majority

3,699

7.50%

Pred Maj

0.65%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Comment: Result shown is as at 5 May 2005, before the death of Patsy Calton and the by-election of 14 July 2005 (Mark Hunter, Lib Dem hold).

Chelmsford
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP Simon Burns (CON)

Electorate

78,041

Turnout

62.73%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

19,634

40.10%

45.20%

82.9%

LIB

15,787

32.25%

28.74%

12.6%

LAB

12,556

25.65%

17.91%

4.0%

OTH

981

2.00%

8.16%

0.5%

CON Majority

3,847

7.86%

Pred Maj

16.46%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Chelsea and Fulham
County/Area: Hammersmith and Fulham (North London)
MP Unknown (new seat) (CON)

Electorate

61,741

Turnout

57.73%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

19,116

53.63%

58.39%

98.9%

LAB

9,048

25.38%

17.52%

0.8%

LIB

5,271

14.79%

12.14%

0.2%

OTH

2,210

6.20%

11.95%

0.1%

CON Majority

10,068

28.25%

Pred Maj

40.87%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cheltenham
County/Area: Gloucestershire (West)
MP Martin Horwood (LIB)

Electorate

76,485

Turnout

61.16%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

19,200

41.05%

37.91%

37.4%

CON

17,886

38.24%

42.07%

62.0%

LAB

5,431

11.61%

6.28%

0.3%

MIN

2,372

5.07%

0.0%

OTH

1,887

4.03%

8.67%

0.3%

LIB Majority

1,314

2.81%

Pred Maj

4.16%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Chesham and Amersham
County/Area: Buckinghamshire (Essex)
MP Cheryl Gillan (CON)

Electorate

69,961

Turnout

67.40%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

25,327

53.71%

57.63%

99.6%

LIB

12,505

26.52%

23.01%

0.3%

LAB

6,266

13.29%

8.15%

0.1%

OTH

3,055

6.48%

11.21%

0.0%

CON Majority

12,822

27.19%

Pred Maj

34.61%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Chester, City of
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP Christine Russell (LAB)

Electorate

68,855

Turnout

64.34%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

17,248

38.93%

31.13%

24.1%

CON

16,264

36.71%

41.93%

71.5%

LIB

9,707

21.91%

18.17%

3.9%

OTH

1,085

2.45%

8.76%

0.5%

LAB Majority

984

2.22%

Pred Maj

10.80%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Chesterfield
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP Paul Holmes (LIB)

Electorate

72,033

Turnout

59.66%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

20,292

47.22%

43.63%

75.0%

LAB

17,464

40.64%

33.05%

22.6%

CON

3,528

8.21%

13.27%

2.0%

OTH

1,691

3.93%

10.05%

0.4%

LIB Majority

2,828

6.58%

Pred Maj

10.58%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Chichester
County/Area: West Sussex (South East)
MP Andrew Tyrie (CON)

Electorate

77,862

Turnout

66.65%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

24,840

47.86%

53.03%

96.4%

LIB

14,277

27.51%

24.23%

2.6%

LAB

9,719

18.73%

10.59%

0.8%

OTH

3,062

5.90%

12.15%

0.2%

CON Majority

10,563

20.35%

Pred Maj

28.80%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Chingford and Woodford Green
County/Area: Waltham Forest (North London)
MP Iain Duncan Smith (CON)

Electorate

61,386

Turnout

62.96%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

20,556

53.18%

58.18%

98.6%

LAB

9,915

25.65%

17.79%

1.0%

LIB

6,832

17.68%

14.51%

0.3%

OTH

1,347

3.49%

9.52%

0.1%

CON Majority

10,641

27.53%

Pred Maj

40.39%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Chippenham
County/Area: Wiltshire (West)
MP Unknown (new seat) (LIB)

Electorate

69,014

Turnout

67.73%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

20,674

44.23%

41.09%

56.2%

CON

15,493

33.14%

38.53%

42.0%

LAB

8,921

19.08%

10.32%

1.2%

OTH

1,658

3.55%

10.06%

0.6%

LIB Majority

5,181

11.08%

Pred Maj

2.56%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Chipping Barnet
County/Area: Barnet (North London)
MP Theresa Villiers (CON)

Electorate

71,525

Turnout

63.84%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

20,825

45.61%

50.41%

92.8%

LAB

15,397

33.72%

25.86%

6.6%

LIB

6,960

15.24%

12.51%

0.4%

OTH

2,476

5.42%

11.22%

0.2%

CON Majority

5,428

11.89%

Pred Maj

24.55%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Chorley
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP Lindsay Hoyle (LAB)

Electorate

70,648

Turnout

62.88%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

22,089

49.72%

42.03%

57.9%

CON

15,402

34.67%

39.39%

41.4%

LIB

6,933

15.61%

12.88%

0.5%

OTH

0.00%

5.70%

0.2%

LAB Majority

6,687

15.05%

Pred Maj

2.65%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Christchurch
County/Area: Dorset (South West)
MP Christopher Chope (CON)

Electorate

66,670

Turnout

69.67%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

25,904

55.77%

60.37%

99.6%

LIB

11,474

24.70%

21.57%

0.3%

LAB

7,116

15.32%

8.28%

0.1%

OTH

1,958

4.22%

9.78%

0.0%

CON Majority

14,430

31.06%

Pred Maj

38.80%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cities of London and Westminster
County/Area: City of Westminster (North London)
MP Mark Field (CON)

Electorate

63,802

Turnout

50.37%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

15,356

47.78%

52.87%

96.5%

LAB

8,155

25.38%

17.51%

2.6%

LIB

6,033

18.77%

15.41%

0.4%

OTH

2,593

8.07%

14.21%

0.5%

CON Majority

7,201

22.41%

Pred Maj

35.35%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Clacton
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP Douglas Carswell (CON)

Electorate

68,363

Turnout

62.85%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

20,035

46.63%

51.25%

94.7%

LAB

14,219

33.09%

25.35%

4.9%

LIB

6,059

14.10%

11.63%

0.3%

OTH

2,655

6.18%

11.77%

0.1%

CON Majority

5,816

13.54%

Pred Maj

25.90%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cleethorpes
County/Area: Humberside (Humberside)
MP Shona McIsaac (LAB)

Electorate

70,745

Turnout

61.62%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,889

43.33%

35.65%

35.5%

CON

16,248

37.27%

41.94%

63.1%

LIB

6,437

14.77%

12.16%

0.9%

OTH

2,017

4.63%

10.26%

0.5%

LAB Majority

2,641

6.06%

Pred Maj

6.29%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Colchester
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP Bob Russell (LIB)

Electorate

72,578

Turnout

56.83%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

19,694

47.75%

44.25%

67.0%

CON

13,153

31.89%

36.98%

31.5%

LAB

8,396

20.36%

12.62%

1.2%

OTH

0.00%

6.15%

0.3%

LIB Majority

6,541

15.86%

Pred Maj

7.26%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Colne Valley
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP Kali Mountford (LAB)

Electorate

77,180

Turnout

65.62%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,108

35.76%

28.07%

23.8%

CON

16,541

32.66%

37.74%

66.0%

LIB

12,380

24.45%

20.91%

8.8%

OTH

3,613

7.13%

13.27%

1.4%

LAB Majority

1,567

3.09%

Pred Maj

9.67%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Congleton
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP Lady Ann Winterton (CON)

Electorate

72,772

Turnout

64.15%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

21,188

45.39%

50.61%

92.9%

LAB

12,943

27.73%

19.93%

3.6%

LIB

12,551

26.89%

23.15%

3.3%

OTH

0.00%

6.31%

0.2%

CON Majority

8,245

17.66%

Pred Maj

27.46%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Copeland
County/Area: Cumbria (North)
MP Jamie Reed (LAB)

Electorate

62,032

Turnout

62.37%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

17,513

45.26%

37.54%

46.1%

CON

13,597

35.14%

39.68%

52.4%

LIB

5,303

13.71%

11.40%

0.9%

OTH

2,278

5.89%

11.37%

0.6%

LAB Majority

3,916

10.12%

Pred Maj

2.14%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Corby
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP Phil Hope (LAB)

Electorate

72,999

Turnout

66.47%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,913

43.10%

35.36%

27.8%

CON

19,394

39.97%

44.48%

71.6%

LIB

6,183

12.74%

10.51%

0.5%

MIN

1,278

2.63%

0.0%

OTH

757

1.56%

7.02%

0.1%

LAB Majority

1,519

3.13%

Pred Maj

9.12%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cornwall North
County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP Dan Rogerson (LIB)

Electorate

65,008

Turnout

64.53%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

18,638

44.43%

41.30%

60.5%

CON

14,106

33.63%

37.70%

38.6%

LAB

5,342

12.74%

6.89%

0.5%

MIN

2,506

5.97%

0.0%

OTH

1,355

3.23%

8.15%

0.4%

LIB Majority

4,532

10.80%

Pred Maj

3.60%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cornwall South East
County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP Colin Breed (LIB)

Electorate

69,077

Turnout

66.23%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

20,282

44.33%

41.20%

52.9%

CON

16,826

36.78%

40.46%

46.8%

LAB

4,973

10.87%

5.88%

0.2%

MIN

2,521

5.51%

0.0%

OTH

1,148

2.51%

6.96%

0.1%

LIB Majority

3,456

7.55%

Pred Maj

0.74%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cotswolds, The
County/Area: Gloucestershire (West)
MP Geoffrey Clifton-Brown (CON)

Electorate

75,128

Turnout

66.91%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

24,797

49.33%

54.59%

96.9%

LIB

14,121

28.09%

24.96%

2.5%

LAB

9,273

18.45%

9.97%

0.5%

OTH

1,967

3.91%

10.26%

0.1%

MIN

108

0.21%

0.0%

CON Majority

10,676

21.24%

Pred Maj

29.63%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Coventry North East
County/Area: West Midlands (West Midlands)
MP Bob Ainsworth (LAB)

Electorate

72,368

Turnout

53.16%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

21,776

56.61%

48.81%

92.3%

CON

7,291

18.95%

23.91%

6.1%

LIB

6,468

16.81%

13.67%

1.0%

OTH

2,934

7.63%

13.61%

0.6%

LAB Majority

14,485

37.65%

Pred Maj

24.90%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Coventry North West
County/Area: West Midlands (West Midlands)
MP Geoffrey Robinson (LAB)

Electorate

70,122

Turnout

59.36%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,963

47.96%

40.16%

66.8%

CON

11,153

26.80%

31.89%

29.4%

LIB

7,702

18.50%

15.05%

2.6%

OTH

2,804

6.74%

12.90%

1.2%

LAB Majority

8,810

21.17%

Pred Maj

8.27%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Coventry South
County/Area: West Midlands (West Midlands)
MP Jim Cunningham (LAB)

Electorate

69,797

Turnout

59.06%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,028

46.16%

38.36%

56.0%

CON

12,533

30.40%

35.39%

41.1%

LIB

7,114

17.26%

14.03%

2.2%

OTH

2,550

6.19%

12.22%

0.7%

LAB Majority

6,495

15.76%

Pred Maj

2.97%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Crawley
County/Area: West Sussex (South East)
MP Laura Moffatt (LAB)

Electorate

71,912

Turnout

58.37%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

16,412

39.10%

30.41%

20.3%

CON

16,374

39.01%

44.10%

77.7%

LIB

6,501

15.49%

12.95%

1.4%

OTH

2,686

6.40%

12.54%

0.6%

LAB Majority

0.09%

Pred Maj

13.68%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Crewe and Nantwich
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP Gwyneth Dunwoody (LAB)

Electorate

75,560

Turnout

60.15%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

22,050

48.52%

40.72%

58.0%

CON

14,606

32.14%

37.17%

39.8%

LIB

8,038

17.69%

14.38%

1.7%

OTH

753

1.66%

7.73%

0.5%

LAB Majority

7,444

16.38%

Pred Maj

3.55%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Comment: Result shown is at 5 May 2005, before the death of Gwyneth Dunwoody in April 2008. The Conservatives (Edward Timpson) won the by-election on 22 May 2008.

Croydon Central
County/Area: Croydon (South London)
MP Unknown (changed seat) (LAB)

Electorate

75,166

Turnout

60.57%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,711

41.10%

33.23%

21.9%

CON

18,490

40.61%

45.19%

77.3%

LIB

5,744

12.62%

10.36%

0.5%

OTH

2,585

5.68%

11.22%

0.3%

LAB Majority

221

0.49%

Pred Maj

11.96%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Croydon North
County/Area: Croydon (South London)
MP Malcolm Wicks (LAB)

Electorate

86,176

Turnout

52.55%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

24,259

53.57%

45.70%

84.7%

CON

10,119

22.34%

27.30%

13.1%

LIB

7,791

17.20%

14.12%

1.2%

OTH

3,119

6.89%

12.88%

1.0%

LAB Majority

14,140

31.22%

Pred Maj

18.40%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Croydon South
County/Area: Croydon (South London)
MP Richard Ottaway (CON)

Electorate

80,151

Turnout

63.48%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

26,355

51.80%

56.98%

98.5%

LAB

12,274

24.12%

16.26%

1.1%

LIB

10,458

20.55%

16.97%

0.3%

OTH

1,795

3.53%

9.79%

0.1%

CON Majority

14,081

27.67%

Pred Maj

40.01%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Dagenham and Rainham
County/Area: Barking and Dagenham (North London)
MP Jon Cruddas (LAB)

Electorate

70,745

Turnout

56.29%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,756

49.61%

41.75%

59.3%

CON

13,802

34.66%

38.84%

40.2%

LIB

3,036

7.62%

6.26%

0.1%

OTH

2,048

5.14%

10.19%

0.4%

MIN

1,178

2.96%

0.0%

LAB Majority

5,954

14.95%

Pred Maj

2.91%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Darlington
County/Area: Cleveland (North)
MP Alan Milburn (LAB)

Electorate

66,540

Turnout

60.38%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,962

52.17%

44.45%

78.4%

CON

10,490

26.11%

31.01%

19.8%

LIB

7,448

18.54%

15.43%

1.5%

OTH

1,250

3.11%

9.04%

0.3%

MIN

0.07%

0.0%

LAB Majority

10,472

26.06%

Pred Maj

13.44%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Dartford
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP Howard Stoate (LAB)

Electorate

71,682

Turnout

63.21%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,822

43.75%

35.06%

25.2%

CON

18,716

41.31%

45.91%

73.9%

LIB

4,114

9.08%

7.59%

0.4%

OTH

2,659

5.87%

11.44%

0.5%

LAB Majority

1,106

2.44%

Pred Maj

10.86%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Daventry
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP Tim Boswell (CON)

Electorate

69,962

Turnout

67.67%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

25,085

52.99%

57.64%

98.7%

LAB

14,030

29.63%

21.90%

1.2%

LIB

6,873

14.52%

11.97%

0.1%

OTH

1,355

2.86%

8.49%

0.0%

CON Majority

11,055

23.35%

Pred Maj

35.75%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Denton and Reddish
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP Andrew Gwynne (LAB)

Electorate

65,133

Turnout

52.00%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,854

58.62%

50.93%

95.2%

CON

6,169

18.21%

23.01%

4.3%

LIB

5,619

16.59%

13.69%

0.3%

OTH

2,229

6.58%

12.37%

0.2%

LAB Majority

13,685

40.40%

Pred Maj

27.92%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Derby North
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP Bob Laxton (LAB)

Electorate

63,694

Turnout

63.21%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

17,542

43.57%

35.98%

55.7%

LIB

11,143

27.67%

24.09%

12.9%

CON

9,811

24.37%

29.42%

30.5%

OTH

1,768

4.39%

10.50%

0.9%

LAB Majority

6,399

15.89%

Pred Maj

6.56%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Derby South
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP Margaret Beckett (LAB)

Electorate

63,330

Turnout

62.77%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,811

49.83%

42.25%

80.8%

LIB

10,114

25.44%

21.86%

6.5%

CON

7,336

18.45%

23.51%

11.6%

OTH

2,493

6.27%

12.38%

1.1%

LAB Majority

9,697

24.39%

Pred Maj

18.74%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Derbyshire Dales
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP Patrick McLoughlin (CON)

Electorate

61,669

Turnout

68.76%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

22,555

53.19%

58.25%

99.1%

LIB

9,824

23.17%

19.58%

0.3%

LAB

8,761

20.66%

13.08%

0.5%

OTH

1,266

2.99%

9.10%

0.1%

CON Majority

12,731

30.02%

Pred Maj

38.66%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Derbyshire Mid
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP Unknown (new seat) (CON)

Electorate

63,939

Turnout

65.76%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

18,989

45.16%

49.87%

91.5%

LAB

14,912

35.46%

27.88%

8.0%

LIB

6,610

15.72%

12.90%

0.4%

OTH

1,313

3.12%

8.81%

0.1%

MIN

224

0.53%

0.0%

CON Majority

4,077

9.70%

Pred Maj

21.99%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Derbyshire North East
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP Natascha Engel (LAB)

Electorate

70,271

Turnout

61.10%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,497

47.74%

40.15%

67.6%

CON

11,195

26.07%

31.13%

27.9%

LIB

9,269

21.59%

18.00%

3.7%

OTH

1,975

4.60%

10.71%

0.8%

LAB Majority

9,302

21.66%

Pred Maj

9.02%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Derbyshire South
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP Mark Todd (LAB)

Electorate

66,884

Turnout

65.63%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,790

45.08%

37.50%

36.4%

CON

17,171

39.12%

43.54%

63.0%

LIB

5,337

12.16%

9.98%

0.3%

OTH

1,600

3.64%

8.99%

0.3%

LAB Majority

2,619

5.97%

Pred Maj

6.04%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Devizes
County/Area: Wiltshire (West)
MP Michael Ancram (CON)

Electorate

65,130

Turnout

65.43%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

22,647

53.14%

58.69%

98.9%

LAB

9,481

22.25%

13.06%

0.7%

LIB

8,303

19.48%

16.43%

0.3%

OTH

2,183

5.12%

11.82%

0.1%

CON Majority

13,166

30.90%

Pred Maj

42.26%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Devon Central
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP Unknown (new seat) (CON)

Electorate

66,993

Turnout

69.17%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

21,809

47.06%

50.62%

93.3%

LIB

15,354

33.13%

30.00%

6.3%

LAB

4,760

10.27%

5.55%

0.1%

OTH

4,419

9.54%

13.83%

0.3%

CON Majority

6,455

13.93%

Pred Maj

20.62%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Devon East
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP Hugo Swire (CON)

Electorate

70,502

Turnout

68.94%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

23,990

49.36%

53.90%

97.8%

LIB

13,355

27.48%

24.34%

1.8%

LAB

7,282

14.98%

8.10%

0.2%

OTH

3,975

8.18%

13.66%

0.2%

CON Majority

10,635

21.88%

Pred Maj

29.55%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Devon North
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP Nick Harvey (LIB)

Electorate

72,195

Turnout

68.15%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

22,848

46.44%

43.31%

62.8%

CON

17,595

35.76%

39.05%

36.6%

LAB

4,422

8.99%

4.86%

0.1%

OTH

4,333

8.81%

12.78%

0.5%

LIB Majority

5,253

10.68%

Pred Maj

4.25%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Devon South West
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP Gary Streeter (CON)

Electorate

68,405

Turnout

68.55%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

21,386

45.60%

51.18%

94.6%

LIB

11,245

23.98%

20.85%

2.5%

LAB

11,093

23.66%

14.47%

2.4%

OTH

3,170

6.76%

13.50%

0.5%

CON Majority

10,141

21.63%

Pred Maj

30.34%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Devon West and Torridge
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP Unknown (changed seat) (LIB)

Electorate

72,133

Turnout

70.11%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

19,689

38.93%

35.80%

28.9%

CON

19,637

38.83%

42.62%

69.8%

LAB

5,771

11.41%

6.17%

0.2%

OTH

5,475

10.83%

15.41%

1.1%

LIB Majority

0.10%

Pred Maj

6.82%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Dewsbury
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP Shahid Malik (LAB)

Electorate

75,988

Turnout

61.16%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,979

40.84%

33.15%

48.1%

CON

13,587

29.24%

34.01%

48.1%

LIB

7,515

16.17%

13.31%

2.8%

MIN

3,702

7.97%

0.0%

OTH

2,691

5.79%

11.56%

1.0%

LAB Majority

5,392

11.60%

Pred Maj

0.86%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Don Valley
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP Caroline Flint (LAB)

Electorate

71,887

Turnout

54.56%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,623

52.59%

44.90%

80.9%

CON

10,084

25.71%

30.57%

17.7%

LIB

6,746

17.20%

14.16%

1.2%

OTH

988

2.52%

8.39%

0.2%

MIN

777

1.98%

0.0%

LAB Majority

10,539

26.87%

Pred Maj

14.33%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Doncaster Central
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP Rosie Winterton (LAB)

Electorate

72,587

Turnout

52.15%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,796

49.65%

41.97%

80.2%

LIB

9,118

24.09%

20.55%

5.6%

CON

7,285

19.24%

24.32%

13.1%

OTH

2,557

6.75%

12.89%

1.1%

MIN

100

0.26%

0.0%

LAB Majority

9,678

25.57%

Pred Maj

17.64%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Doncaster North
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP Ed Milliband (LAB)

Electorate

71,696

Turnout

50.81%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,634

53.90%

46.22%

91.0%

CON

7,122

19.55%

24.38%

7.5%

LIB

6,131

16.83%

13.86%

1.0%

OTH

2,052

5.63%

11.47%

0.5%

MIN

1,488

4.08%

0.0%

LAB Majority

12,512

34.35%

Pred Maj

21.84%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Dorset Mid and Poole North
County/Area: Dorset (South West)
MP Annette Brooke (LIB)

Electorate

62,778

Turnout

68.97%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

21,623

49.94%

46.81%

67.9%

CON

16,248

37.53%

41.02%

32.1%

LAB

4,308

9.95%

5.38%

0.0%

OTH

1,116

2.58%

6.79%

0.0%

LIB Majority

5,375

12.41%

Pred Maj

5.79%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Dorset North
County/Area: Dorset (South West)
MP Robert Walter (CON)

Electorate

70,654

Turnout

70.87%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

22,610

45.16%

48.74%

87.5%

LIB

18,661

37.27%

34.14%

12.1%

LAB

5,208

10.40%

5.62%

0.1%

OTH

3,591

7.17%

11.50%

0.3%

CON Majority

3,949

7.89%

Pred Maj

14.60%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Dorset South
County/Area: Dorset (South West)
MP Jim Knight (LAB)

Electorate

70,668

Turnout

68.75%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,230

41.64%

32.45%

27.0%

CON

18,419

37.91%

43.19%

70.4%

LIB

7,647

15.74%

13.27%

2.1%

MIN

1,570

3.23%

0.0%

OTH

717

1.48%

7.85%

0.5%

LAB Majority

1,811

3.73%

Pred Maj

10.74%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Dorset West
County/Area: Dorset (South West)
MP Oliver Letwin (CON)

Electorate

69,764

Turnout

76.29%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

24,763

46.53%

49.56%

83.8%

LIB

22,301

41.90%

38.77%

16.1%

LAB

4,121

7.74%

4.19%

0.1%

OTH

2,037

3.83%

7.49%

0.0%

CON Majority

2,462

4.63%

Pred Maj

10.79%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Dover
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP Gwyn Prosser (LAB)

Electorate

71,467

Turnout

67.52%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

21,928

45.44%

36.75%

43.4%

CON

16,863

34.95%

40.06%

53.5%

LIB

7,632

15.82%

13.23%

2.4%

OTH

1,830

3.79%

9.97%

0.7%

LAB Majority

5,065

10.50%

Pred Maj

3.30%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Dudley North
County/Area: West Midlands (West Midlands)
MP Ian Austin (LAB)

Electorate

59,900

Turnout

60.21%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

15,539

43.08%

35.28%

49.7%

CON

11,551

32.03%

36.49%

49.2%

LIB

3,970

11.01%

8.95%

0.5%

MIN

3,362

9.32%

0.0%

OTH

1,646

4.56%

9.96%

0.6%

LAB Majority

3,988

11.06%

Pred Maj

1.20%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Dudley South
County/Area: West Midlands (West Midlands)
MP Ian Pearson (LAB)

Electorate

59,833

Turnout

60.21%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

15,845

43.98%

36.18%

43.5%

CON

12,387

34.38%

39.04%

54.7%

LIB

4,789

13.29%

10.81%

0.9%

OTH

3,007

8.35%

13.97%

0.9%

LAB Majority

3,458

9.60%

Pred Maj

2.86%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Dulwich and West Norwood
County/Area: Lambeth (South London)
MP Tessa Jowell (LAB)

Electorate

70,047

Turnout

56.34%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

17,879

45.31%

37.44%

63.9%

CON

9,588

24.30%

29.48%

29.1%

LIB

9,005

22.82%

19.24%

6.2%

MIN

1,901

4.82%

0.0%

OTH

1,088

2.76%

9.02%

0.8%

LAB Majority

8,291

21.01%

Pred Maj

7.96%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Durham North
County/Area: Durham (North)
MP Kevan Jones (LAB)

Electorate

67,507

Turnout

55.32%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

23,931

64.09%

56.37%

97.8%

LIB

7,153

19.16%

15.94%

0.2%

CON

6,258

16.76%

21.71%

2.0%

OTH

0.00%

5.98%

0.0%

LAB Majority

16,778

44.93%

Pred Maj

34.66%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Durham North West
County/Area: Durham (North)
MP Hilary Armstrong (LAB)

Electorate

68,109

Turnout

57.99%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

21,303

53.94%

46.22%

91.0%

LIB

7,868

19.92%

16.58%

1.7%

CON

6,461

16.36%

21.37%

6.2%

OTH

3,864

9.78%

15.84%

1.1%

LAB Majority

13,435

34.02%

Pred Maj

24.85%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Durham, City of
County/Area: Durham (North)
MP Roberta Blackman-Woods (LAB)

Electorate

71,442

Turnout

62.10%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,928

47.17%

39.45%

58.3%

LIB

17,655

39.79%

36.44%

37.9%

CON

4,179

9.42%

14.44%

3.1%

OTH

1,603

3.61%

9.67%

0.7%

LAB Majority

3,273

7.38%

Pred Maj

3.02%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Ealing Central and Acton
County/Area: Ealing (South London)
MP Andrew Slaughter (LAB)

Electorate

69,548

Turnout

56.57%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

12,916

32.83%

24.96%

17.8%

CON

12,381

31.47%

36.65%

63.3%

LIB

11,342

28.83%

25.24%

17.0%

OTH

2,706

6.88%

13.14%

1.9%

LAB Majority

535

1.36%

Pred Maj

11.41%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Ealing North
County/Area: Ealing (South London)
MP Stephen Pound (LAB)

Electorate

72,680

Turnout

59.30%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,175

46.81%

38.95%

59.3%

CON

12,430

28.84%

33.98%

36.7%

LIB

8,401

19.49%

16.00%

3.2%

OTH

2,095

4.86%

11.07%

0.8%

LAB Majority

7,745

17.97%

Pred Maj

4.96%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Ealing Southall
County/Area: Ealing (South London)
MP Piara Khabra (LAB)

Electorate

62,588

Turnout

56.18%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,584

55.70%

47.83%

90.4%

LIB

7,007

19.93%

16.36%

1.7%

CON

6,867

19.53%

24.71%

7.3%

OTH

1,704

4.85%

11.10%

0.6%

LAB Majority

12,577

35.77%

Pred Maj

23.13%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Comment: Result shown is at 5 May 2005, before the death of Piara Khabra in June 2007. Virendra Sharma (Lab) held the seat at the by-election on 19 July 2007.

Easington
County/Area: Durham (North)
MP John Cummings (LAB)

Electorate

61,945

Turnout

52.29%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

23,207

71.64%

63.92%

99.7%

LIB

4,163

12.85%

10.69%

0.0%

CON

3,399

10.49%

14.97%

0.3%

OTH

1,625

5.02%

10.42%

0.0%

LAB Majority

19,044

58.79%

Pred Maj

48.95%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

East Ham
County/Area: Newham (North London)
MP Stephen Timms (LAB)

Electorate

82,846

Turnout

50.40%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

22,413

53.68%

45.82%

95.3%

MIN

8,409

20.14%

0.0%

CON

5,870

14.06%

18.47%

4.3%

LIB

4,361

10.45%

8.57%

0.3%

OTH

699

1.67%

7.00%

0.1%

LAB Majority

14,004

33.54%

Pred Maj

25.68%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Eastbourne
County/Area: East Sussex (South East)
MP Nigel Waterson (CON)

Electorate

73,889

Turnout

64.90%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

20,628

43.02%

46.66%

75.9%

LIB

19,879

41.46%

38.18%

23.8%

LAB

5,256

10.96%

6.20%

0.1%

OTH

2,188

4.56%

8.96%

0.2%

CON Majority

749

1.56%

Pred Maj

8.48%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Eastleigh
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP Christopher Huhne (LIB)

Electorate

74,263

Turnout

64.77%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

18,442

38.34%

35.06%

29.8%

CON

17,939

37.29%

42.71%

67.5%

LAB

10,051

20.90%

12.20%

1.9%

OTH

1,669

3.47%

10.02%

0.8%

LIB Majority

503

1.05%

Pred Maj

7.65%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Eddisbury
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP Stephen O'Brien (CON)

Electorate

66,467

Turnout

63.19%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

19,992

47.60%

52.75%

94.9%

LAB

13,417

31.94%

24.15%

4.6%

LIB

8,022

19.10%

15.53%

0.4%

OTH

571

1.36%

7.58%

0.1%

CON Majority

6,575

15.65%

Pred Maj

28.60%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Edmonton
County/Area: Enfield (North London)
MP Andy Love (LAB)

Electorate

61,558

Turnout

59.42%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,561

56.22%

48.35%

83.0%

CON

10,639

29.09%

33.54%

16.7%

LIB

4,039

11.04%

9.06%

0.1%

OTH

1,336

3.65%

9.04%

0.2%

LAB Majority

9,922

27.13%

Pred Maj

14.81%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Ellesmere Port and Neston
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP Andrew Miller (LAB)

Electorate

68,181

Turnout

61.65%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,448

48.65%

40.85%

57.6%

CON

13,833

32.91%

37.76%

41.2%

LIB

6,550

15.58%

12.67%

0.7%

OTH

1,204

2.86%

8.72%

0.5%

LAB Majority

6,615

15.74%

Pred Maj

3.09%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Elmet and Rothwell
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP Colin Burgon (LAB)

Electorate

75,553

Turnout

66.73%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

22,270

44.17%

36.49%

42.0%

CON

17,667

35.04%

40.01%

55.2%

LIB

9,355

18.55%

15.28%

2.3%

OTH

996

1.98%

7.97%

0.5%

MIN

130

0.26%

0.0%

LAB Majority

4,603

9.13%

Pred Maj

3.52%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Eltham
County/Area: Greenwich (South London)
MP Clive Efford (LAB)

Electorate

64,028

Turnout

60.50%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

16,233

41.90%

34.04%

37.9%

CON

13,186

34.04%

39.00%

58.7%

LIB

6,698

17.29%

14.19%

2.6%

OTH

2,622

6.77%

12.77%

0.8%

LAB Majority

3,047

7.87%

Pred Maj

4.96%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Enfield North
County/Area: Enfield (North London)
MP Unknown (changed seat) (CON)

Electorate

64,256

Turnout

61.67%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

16,562

41.79%

46.29%

79.9%

LAB

16,287

41.10%

33.24%

19.6%

LIB

4,554

11.49%

9.43%

0.2%

OTH

2,224

5.61%

11.04%

0.3%

CON Majority

275

0.69%

Pred Maj

13.05%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Enfield Southgate
County/Area: Enfield (North London)
MP David Burrowes (CON)

Electorate

63,021

Turnout

65.79%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

18,147

43.77%

48.29%

84.2%

LAB

16,746

40.39%

32.52%

15.4%

LIB

4,935

11.90%

9.77%

0.3%

OTH

1,636

3.95%

9.41%

0.1%

CON Majority

1,401

3.38%

Pred Maj

15.77%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Epping Forest
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP Eleanor Laing (CON)

Electorate

69,817

Turnout

61.66%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

22,372

51.97%

56.96%

98.8%

LAB

9,286

21.57%

13.83%

0.8%

LIB

8,086

18.78%

15.49%

0.3%

OTH

3,308

7.68%

13.72%

0.1%

CON Majority

13,086

30.40%

Pred Maj

41.47%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Epsom and Ewell
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP Chris Grayling (CON)

Electorate

73,704

Turnout

66.05%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

26,641

54.73%

60.08%

99.5%

LIB

10,699

21.98%

18.70%

0.3%

LAB

9,571

19.66%

11.12%

0.2%

OTH

1,769

3.63%

10.10%

0.0%

CON Majority

15,942

32.75%

Pred Maj

41.38%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Erewash
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP Liz Blackman (LAB)

Electorate

68,711

Turnout

64.50%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,388

46.01%

38.42%

61.2%

CON

12,981

29.29%

33.78%

37.2%

LIB

5,754

12.98%

10.66%

0.9%

MIN

2,731

6.16%

0.0%

OTH

2,462

5.56%

10.98%

0.7%

LAB Majority

7,407

16.71%

Pred Maj

4.64%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Erith and Thamesmead
County/Area: Bexley (South London)
MP John Austin (LAB)

Electorate

70,127

Turnout

53.81%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,926

52.80%

44.94%

79.1%

CON

10,038

26.60%

31.14%

19.3%

LIB

4,553

12.07%

9.90%

0.6%

OTH

3,220

8.53%

14.02%

1.0%

LAB Majority

9,888

26.20%

Pred Maj

13.80%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Esher and Walton
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP Ian Taylor (CON)

Electorate

76,926

Turnout

62.24%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

21,882

45.70%

51.01%

93.0%

LIB

14,156

29.57%

26.29%

5.9%

LAB

9,308

19.44%

10.99%

0.8%

OTH

2,532

5.29%

11.70%

0.3%

CON Majority

7,726

16.14%

Pred Maj

24.72%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Exeter
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP Ben Bradshaw (LAB)

Electorate

77,112

Turnout

64.81%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

21,386

42.79%

33.60%

49.5%

CON

12,940

25.89%

31.47%

39.0%

LIB

10,830

21.67%

18.54%

7.3%

OTH

4,822

9.65%

16.39%

4.2%

LAB Majority

8,446

16.90%

Pred Maj

2.13%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations