Constituency List: England F-K

Fareham	Hackney North and Stoke Newington	Hazel Grove	Huddersfield
Faversham and Kent Mid	Hackney South and Shoreditch	Hemel Hempstead	Hull East
Feltham and Heston	Halesowen and Rowley Regis	Hemsworth	Hull North
Filton and Bradley Stoke	Halifax	Hendon	Hull West and Hessle
Finchley and Golders Green	Haltemprice and Howden	Henley	Huntingdon
Folkestone and Hythe	Halton	Hereford and South Herefordshire	Hyndburn
Forest of Dean	Hammersmith	Herefordshire North	Ilford North
Fylde	Hampshire East	Hertford and Stortford	Ilford South
Gainsborough	Hampshire North East	Hertfordshire North East	Ipswich
Garston and Halewood	Hampshire North West	Hertfordshire South West	Isle of Wight
Gateshead	Hampstead and Kilburn	Hertsmere	Islington North
Gedling	Harborough	Hexham	Islington South and Finsbury
Gillingham and Rainham	Harlow	Heywood and Middleton	Jarrow
Gloucester	Harrogate and Knaresborough	High Peak	Keighley
Gosport	Harrow East	Hitchin and Harpenden	Kenilworth and Southam
Grantham and Stamford	Harrow West	Holborn and St Pancras	Kensington
Gravesham	Hartlepool	Hornchurch and Upminster	Kettering
Great Grimsby	Harwich and North Essex	Hornsey and Wood Green	Kingston and Surbiton
Great Yarmouth	Hastings and Rye	Horsham	Kingswood
Greenwich and Woolwich	Havant	Houghton and Sunderland South	Knowsley
Guildford	Hayes and Harlington	Hove

Fareham
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP Mark Hoban (CON)

Electorate

72,600

Turnout

66.91%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

24,151

49.72%

55.14%

97.9%

LAB

12,448

25.63%

16.93%

1.4%

LIB

10,552

21.72%

18.45%

0.6%

OTH

1,426

2.94%

9.48%

0.1%

CON Majority

11,703

24.09%

Pred Maj

36.69%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Faversham and Kent Mid
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP Hugh Robertson (CON)

Electorate

64,999

Turnout

65.69%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

21,411

50.14%

55.25%

97.3%

LAB

12,539

29.36%

20.67%

2.3%

LIB

6,753

15.81%

13.22%

0.3%

OTH

1,998

4.68%

10.85%

0.1%

CON Majority

8,872

20.78%

Pred Maj

34.58%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Feltham and Heston
County/Area: Hounslow (South London)
MP Alan Keen (LAB)

Electorate

80,206

Turnout

49.76%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,308

48.38%

40.52%

65.3%

CON

11,457

28.71%

33.62%

32.1%

LIB

6,660

16.69%

13.70%

1.9%

OTH

2,483

6.22%

12.16%

0.7%

LAB Majority

7,851

19.67%

Pred Maj

6.90%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Filton and Bradley Stoke
County/Area: Bristol area (West)
MP Unknown (new seat) (CON)

Electorate

66,198

Turnout

65.20%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

15,566

36.06%

41.64%

75.6%

LAB

14,104

32.68%

23.49%

13.4%

LIB

11,457

26.54%

23.41%

9.9%

OTH

2,035

4.71%

11.46%

1.1%

CON Majority

1,462

3.39%

Pred Maj

18.15%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Finchley and Golders Green
County/Area: Barnet (North London)
MP Unknown (changed seat) (CON)

Electorate

67,315

Turnout

61.83%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

16,634

39.97%

44.92%

78.8%

LAB

16,353

39.29%

31.43%

19.4%

LIB

7,137

17.15%

14.08%

1.5%

OTH

1,497

3.60%

9.58%

0.3%

CON Majority

281

0.68%

Pred Maj

13.49%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Folkestone and Hythe
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP Michael Howard (CON)

Electorate

74,822

Turnout

68.22%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

27,878

54.61%

58.52%

99.5%

LIB

14,950

29.29%

26.01%

0.4%

LAB

6,286

12.31%

6.96%

0.1%

OTH

1,931

3.78%

8.50%

0.0%

CON Majority

12,928

25.33%

Pred Maj

32.51%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Forest of Dean
County/Area: Gloucestershire (West)
MP Mark Harper (CON)

Electorate

67,228

Turnout

70.86%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

19,475

40.88%

46.26%

83.8%

LAB

17,425

36.58%

27.39%

13.8%

LIB

8,183

17.18%

14.49%

1.8%

OTH

2,555

5.36%

11.86%

0.6%

CON Majority

2,050

4.30%

Pred Maj

18.87%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Fylde
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP Michael Jack (CON)

Electorate

65,799

Turnout

60.11%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

20,876

52.78%

57.50%

97.7%

LAB

10,855

27.44%

19.75%

1.9%

LIB

6,177

15.62%

12.89%

0.3%

OTH

1,647

4.16%

9.86%

0.1%

CON Majority

10,021

25.33%

Pred Maj

37.74%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Gainsborough
County/Area: Lincolnshire (Humberside)
MP Edward Leigh (CON)

Electorate

68,986

Turnout

64.58%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

19,803

44.45%

49.53%

91.8%

LIB

12,016

26.97%

23.44%

4.7%

LAB

11,250

25.25%

17.57%

3.1%

OTH

1,483

3.33%

9.47%

0.4%

CON Majority

7,787

17.48%

Pred Maj

26.09%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Garston and Halewood
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP Maria Eagle (LAB)

Electorate

72,064

Turnout

54.19%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

22,054

56.47%

48.78%

91.5%

LIB

12,133

31.07%

27.57%

6.3%

CON

4,156

10.64%

15.71%

2.1%

OTH

711

1.82%

7.94%

0.1%

LAB Majority

9,921

25.40%

Pred Maj

21.21%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Gateshead
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP David Clelland (LAB)

Electorate

64,488

Turnout

52.90%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

21,562

63.20%

55.48%

98.4%

LIB

7,305

21.41%

18.05%

0.5%

CON

3,789

11.11%

16.12%

1.1%

OTH

1,461

4.28%

10.34%

0.0%

LAB Majority

14,257

41.79%

Pred Maj

37.43%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Gedling
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP Vernon Coaker (LAB)

Electorate

70,559

Turnout

63.88%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

21,011

46.62%

39.03%

44.7%

CON

16,842

37.37%

41.90%

54.7%

LIB

6,079

13.49%

11.07%

0.3%

OTH

1,141

2.53%

8.00%

0.3%

LAB Majority

4,169

9.25%

Pred Maj

2.86%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Gillingham and Rainham
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP Unknown (changed seat) (CON)

Electorate

70,517

Turnout

62.50%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

17,992

40.82%

45.89%

78.7%

LAB

17,909

40.63%

31.94%

20.0%

LIB

6,749

15.31%

12.81%

0.9%

OTH

1,423

3.23%

9.36%

0.4%

CON Majority

0.19%

Pred Maj

13.95%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Gloucester
County/Area: Gloucestershire (West)
MP Parmjit Dhanda (LAB)

Electorate

75,245

Turnout

62.79%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

21,525

45.56%

36.37%

40.9%

CON

17,085

36.16%

41.33%

56.2%

LIB

6,708

14.20%

11.97%

2.0%

OTH

1,931

4.09%

10.33%

0.9%

LAB Majority

4,440

9.40%

Pred Maj

4.96%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Gosport
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP Peter Viggers (CON)

Electorate

71,121

Turnout

60.51%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

19,270

44.78%

49.94%

93.3%

LAB

13,539

31.46%

22.77%

5.5%

LIB

7,147

16.61%

13.89%

0.7%

OTH

3,081

7.16%

13.40%

0.5%

CON Majority

5,731

13.32%

Pred Maj

27.17%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Grantham and Stamford
County/Area: Lincolnshire (Humberside)
MP Quentin Davies (CON)

Electorate

72,751

Turnout

63.60%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

21,010

45.41%

50.25%

93.5%

LAB

14,760

31.90%

24.22%

5.6%

LIB

7,867

17.00%

14.00%

0.5%

OTH

2,631

5.69%

11.54%

0.4%

CON Majority

6,250

13.51%

Pred Maj

26.03%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Gravesham
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP Adam Holloway (CON)

Electorate

68,704

Turnout

65.76%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

19,739

43.69%

48.42%

82.3%

LAB

19,087

42.24%

33.55%

17.2%

LIB

4,851

10.74%

8.98%

0.3%

OTH

1,505

3.33%

9.05%

0.2%

CON Majority

652

1.44%

Pred Maj

14.87%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Great Grimsby
County/Area: Humberside (Humberside)
MP Austin Mitchell (LAB)

Electorate

63,710

Turnout

51.74%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

15,513

47.06%

39.37%

69.2%

CON

7,857

23.83%

28.86%

25.4%

LIB

6,357

19.28%

15.88%

3.3%

OTH

3,239

9.83%

15.89%

2.1%

LAB Majority

7,656

23.22%

Pred Maj

10.52%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Great Yarmouth
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP Tony Wright (LAB)

Electorate

68,886

Turnout

60.06%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,849

45.56%

37.82%

39.8%

CON

15,794

38.17%

42.56%

59.5%

LIB

4,585

11.08%

9.14%

0.3%

OTH

2,148

5.19%

10.49%

0.4%

LAB Majority

3,055

7.38%

Pred Maj

4.74%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Greenwich and Woolwich
County/Area: Greenwich (South London)
MP Nick Raynsford (LAB)

Electorate

62,406

Turnout

55.58%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,311

52.79%

44.93%

86.9%

LIB

7,056

20.34%

16.76%

2.5%

CON

6,297

18.15%

23.34%

9.3%

OTH

3,022

8.71%

14.98%

1.3%

LAB Majority

11,255

32.45%

Pred Maj

21.59%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Guildford
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP Unknown (changed seat) (LIB)

Electorate

73,824

Turnout

68.37%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

21,884

43.36%

40.08%

29.5%

CON

21,779

43.15%

46.61%

70.3%

LAB

5,070

10.05%

5.68%

0.1%

OTH

1,737

3.44%

7.62%

0.1%

LIB Majority

105

0.21%

Pred Maj

6.53%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hackney North and Stoke Newington
County/Area: Hackney (North London)
MP Diane Abbott (LAB)

Electorate

63,309

Turnout

49.60%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

15,093

48.07%

40.20%

82.8%

LIB

7,254

23.10%

19.52%

6.4%

CON

4,514

14.38%

19.56%

9.4%

MIN

2,849

9.07%

0.0%

OTH

1,690

5.38%

11.65%

1.4%

LAB Majority

7,839

24.96%

Pred Maj

20.64%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hackney South and Shoreditch
County/Area: Hackney (North London)
MP Meg Hillier (LAB)

Electorate

60,768

Turnout

49.73%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

16,223

53.68%

45.82%

90.3%

LIB

6,433

21.29%

17.70%

2.7%

CON

4,228

13.99%

19.17%

5.5%

OTH

3,278

10.85%

17.11%

1.5%

MIN

0.19%

0.0%

LAB Majority

9,790

32.40%

Pred Maj

26.65%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Halesowen and Rowley Regis
County/Area: West Midlands (West Midlands)
MP Sylvia Heal (LAB)

Electorate

65,669

Turnout

62.73%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,919

45.93%

38.13%

43.8%

CON

15,143

36.76%

41.36%

55.3%

LIB

5,180

12.57%

10.22%

0.4%

OTH

1,952

4.74%

10.29%

0.5%

LAB Majority

3,776

9.17%

Pred Maj

3.23%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Halifax
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP Linda Riordan (LAB)

Electorate

64,998

Turnout

61.17%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

16,624

41.81%

34.13%

40.1%

CON

13,198

33.19%

38.10%

56.3%

LIB

7,095

17.84%

14.69%

2.8%

OTH

2,844

7.15%

13.08%

0.8%

LAB Majority

3,426

8.62%

Pred Maj

3.98%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Haltemprice and Howden
County/Area: Humberside (Humberside)
MP David Davis (CON)

Electorate

68,096

Turnout

70.11%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

22,627

47.39%

51.20%

90.4%

LIB

17,617

36.90%

33.36%

9.4%

LAB

6,065

12.70%

7.82%

0.1%

OTH

1,436

3.01%

7.61%

0.1%

CON Majority

5,010

10.49%

Pred Maj

17.84%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Comment: Result shown is at 5 May 2005. David Davis resigned from the seat and stood again in the subsequent by-election on 10 July 2008 which he won.

Halton
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP Derek Twigg (LAB)

Electorate

68,803

Turnout

53.35%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

23,246

63.33%

55.53%

95.9%

CON

7,254

19.76%

24.70%

3.8%

LIB

6,096

16.61%

13.50%

0.3%

OTH

112

0.31%

6.27%

0.0%

LAB Majority

15,992

43.57%

Pred Maj

30.83%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hammersmith
County/Area: Hammersmith and Fulham (North London)
MP Unknown (changed seat) (LAB)

Electorate

68,198

Turnout

59.88%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,409

45.08%

37.21%

46.9%

CON

13,676

33.49%

38.56%

49.9%

LIB

7,622

18.66%

15.32%

2.6%

OTH

1,132

2.77%

8.90%

0.6%

LAB Majority

4,733

11.59%

Pred Maj

1.35%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hampshire East
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP Michael Mates (CON)

Electorate

70,436

Turnout

65.90%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

24,553

52.90%

56.77%

97.3%

LIB

15,562

33.53%

30.25%

2.6%

LAB

5,637

12.15%

6.87%

0.1%

OTH

662

1.43%

6.11%

0.0%

CON Majority

8,991

19.37%

Pred Maj

26.52%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hampshire North East
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP James Arbuthnot (CON)

Electorate

68,361

Turnout

63.91%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

21,910

50.15%

55.57%

98.1%

LIB

10,803

24.73%

21.45%

1.0%

LAB

9,295

21.27%

12.58%

0.8%

OTH

1,683

3.85%

10.40%

0.1%

CON Majority

11,107

25.42%

Pred Maj

34.12%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hampshire North West
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP Sir George Young (CON)

Electorate

75,727

Turnout

64.28%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

24,489

50.31%

55.73%

98.0%

LIB

12,173

25.01%

21.73%

1.1%

LAB

10,086

20.72%

12.03%

0.8%

OTH

1,926

3.96%

10.50%

0.1%

CON Majority

12,316

25.30%

Pred Maj

34.00%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hampstead and Kilburn
County/Area: Camden (North London)
MP Unknown (changed seat) (LIB)

Electorate

76,628

Turnout

55.36%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

15,592

36.75%

33.17%

44.5%

LAB

14,971

35.29%

27.43%

24.3%

CON

9,609

22.65%

27.83%

29.5%

OTH

2,250

5.30%

11.57%

1.7%

LIB Majority

621

1.46%

Pred Maj

5.34%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Harborough
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP Edward Garnier (CON)

Electorate

75,159

Turnout

64.27%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

20,623

42.69%

47.66%

84.7%

LIB

16,724

34.62%

31.04%

13.3%

LAB

9,421

19.50%

12.11%

1.6%

OTH

1,538

3.18%

9.19%

0.4%

CON Majority

3,899

8.07%

Pred Maj

16.63%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Harlow
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP Bill Rammell (LAB)

Electorate

63,222

Turnout

62.92%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

16,591

41.70%

33.97%

23.3%

CON

16,119

40.52%

45.01%

76.2%

LIB

4,951

12.45%

10.26%

0.2%

OTH

2,121

5.33%

10.76%

0.3%

LAB Majority

472

1.19%

Pred Maj

11.05%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Harrogate and Knaresborough
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP Phil Willis (LIB)

Electorate

74,274

Turnout

65.41%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

26,153

53.83%

50.30%

81.5%

CON

16,899

34.78%

37.85%

18.4%

LAB

4,100

8.44%

5.20%

0.1%

OTH

1,433

2.95%

6.66%

0.0%

LIB Majority

9,254

19.05%

Pred Maj

12.44%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Harrow East
County/Area: Harrow (North London)
MP Tony McNulty (LAB)

Electorate

69,502

Turnout

60.48%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,244

45.78%

37.92%

37.9%

CON

16,320

38.82%

43.52%

61.3%

LIB

5,863

13.95%

11.45%

0.5%

OTH

608

1.45%

7.12%

0.3%

LAB Majority

2,924

6.96%

Pred Maj

5.60%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Harrow West
County/Area: Harrow (North London)
MP Gareth Thomas (LAB)

Electorate

65,853

Turnout

63.49%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,547

46.75%

38.89%

55.3%

CON

12,965

31.01%

36.14%

41.3%

LIB

8,087

19.34%

15.88%

2.8%

OTH

1,210

2.89%

9.09%

0.6%

LAB Majority

6,582

15.74%

Pred Maj

2.75%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hartlepool
County/Area: Cleveland (North)
MP Iain Wright (LAB)

Electorate

68,776

Turnout

51.52%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,249

51.51%

43.79%

85.1%

LIB

10,773

30.41%

27.05%

9.9%

CON

4,057

11.45%

16.47%

4.1%

OTH

2,352

6.64%

12.70%

0.9%

LAB Majority

7,476

21.10%

Pred Maj

16.74%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Harwich and North Essex
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP Bernard Jenkin (CON)

Electorate

71,106

Turnout

64.94%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

18,953

41.05%

46.10%

87.1%

LAB

15,391

33.33%

25.59%

10.3%

LIB

9,023

19.54%

16.12%

1.9%

OTH

2,809

6.08%

12.19%

0.7%

CON Majority

3,562

7.71%

Pred Maj

20.51%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hastings and Rye
County/Area: East Sussex (South East)
MP Michael Foster (LAB)

Electorate

76,254

Turnout

59.50%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,382

40.52%

31.82%

23.4%

CON

17,566

38.72%

43.81%

74.6%

LIB

7,055

15.55%

13.00%

1.4%

OTH

2,367

5.22%

11.37%

0.6%

LAB Majority

816

1.80%

Pred Maj

11.98%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Havant
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP David Willetts (CON)

Electorate

68,002

Turnout

60.33%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

18,198

44.36%

49.78%

93.6%

LAB

11,792

28.74%

20.05%

4.5%

LIB

8,294

20.22%

16.94%

1.4%

OTH

2,740

6.68%

13.23%

0.5%

CON Majority

6,406

15.62%

Pred Maj

29.72%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hayes and Harlington
County/Area: Hillingdon (South London)
MP John McDonnell (LAB)

Electorate

64,840

Turnout

56.68%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,797

56.59%

48.72%

85.5%

CON

10,252

27.89%

32.20%

14.2%

LIB

3,396

9.24%

7.58%

0.1%

OTH

2,308

6.28%

11.49%

0.2%

LAB Majority

10,545

28.69%

Pred Maj

16.52%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hazel Grove
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP Andrew Stunell (LIB)

Electorate

63,030

Turnout

61.15%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

19,381

50.28%

46.79%

78.7%

CON

11,572

30.02%

34.48%

20.4%

LAB

6,360

16.50%

10.16%

0.6%

OTH

1,231

3.19%

8.58%

0.3%

LIB Majority

7,809

20.26%

Pred Maj

12.31%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hemel Hempstead
County/Area: Hertfordshire (Essex)
MP Michael Penning (CON)

Electorate

71,891

Turnout

64.45%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

18,591

40.12%

44.97%

78.7%

LAB

18,404

39.72%

31.98%

19.9%

LIB

7,856

16.96%

13.98%

1.1%

OTH

1,483

3.20%

9.06%

0.3%

CON Majority

187

0.40%

Pred Maj

12.99%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hemsworth
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP Jon Trickett (LAB)

Electorate

70,601

Turnout

54.85%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

22,459

58.00%

50.31%

93.3%

CON

8,467

21.87%

26.59%

6.2%

LIB

6,023

15.55%

12.81%

0.3%

OTH

1,774

4.58%

10.29%

0.2%

LAB Majority

13,992

36.13%

Pred Maj

23.72%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hendon
County/Area: Barnet (North London)
MP Andrew Dismore (LAB)

Electorate

68,872

Turnout

58.30%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,117

45.12%

37.26%

40.1%

CON

14,930

37.18%

41.89%

58.7%

LIB

5,685

14.16%

11.62%

0.8%

OTH

1,422

3.54%

9.23%

0.4%

LAB Majority

3,187

7.94%

Pred Maj

4.64%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Henley
County/Area: Oxfordshire (West)
MP Boris Johnson (CON)

Electorate

72,681

Turnout

67.72%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

26,281

53.40%

57.80%

99.4%

LIB

13,040

26.49%

23.36%

0.4%

LAB

7,051

14.33%

7.75%

0.2%

OTH

2,846

5.78%

11.10%

0.0%

CON Majority

13,241

26.90%

Pred Maj

34.44%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Comment: Result shown is at 5 May 2005. Boris Johnson stepped down from this seat after he was elected Mayor of London in May 2008. John Howell (Con) held the seat at the by-election on 26 June 2008.

Hereford and South Herefordshire
County/Area: Hereford and Worcestershire (Severn)
MP Paul Keetch (LIB)

Electorate

69,847

Turnout

65.31%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

19,964

43.76%

40.03%

38.3%

CON

18,502

40.56%

44.09%

60.9%

LAB

4,744

10.40%

6.34%

0.4%

OTH

2,408

5.28%

9.54%

0.4%

LIB Majority

1,462

3.20%

Pred Maj

4.06%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Herefordshire North
County/Area: Hereford and Worcestershire (Severn)
MP Bill Wiggin (CON)

Electorate

65,699

Turnout

67.61%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

22,499

50.65%

55.07%

98.7%

LIB

11,652

26.23%

22.50%

0.8%

LAB

6,855

15.43%

9.42%

0.3%

OTH

3,411

7.68%

13.02%

0.2%

CON Majority

10,847

24.42%

Pred Maj

32.58%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hertford and Stortford
County/Area: Hertfordshire (Essex)
MP Mark Prisk (CON)

Electorate

72,707

Turnout

67.70%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

24,752

50.28%

55.25%

98.5%

LAB

11,934

24.24%

16.50%

1.1%

LIB

9,047

18.38%

15.16%

0.3%

OTH

3,492

7.09%

13.09%

0.1%

CON Majority

12,818

26.04%

Pred Maj

38.74%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hertfordshire North East
County/Area: Hertfordshire (Essex)
MP Oliver Heald (CON)

Electorate

71,943

Turnout

65.57%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

23,013

48.78%

53.84%

96.8%

LAB

13,351

28.30%

20.56%

2.7%

LIB

9,235

19.58%

16.14%

0.4%

OTH

1,577

3.34%

9.45%

0.1%

CON Majority

9,662

20.48%

Pred Maj

33.28%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hertfordshire South West
County/Area: Hertfordshire (Essex)
MP David Gauke (CON)

Electorate

74,373

Turnout

68.39%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

23,904

47.00%

52.09%

94.4%

LIB

15,253

29.99%

26.48%

4.5%

LAB

10,565

20.77%

13.03%

1.0%

OTH

1,142

2.25%

8.40%

0.1%

CON Majority

8,651

17.01%

Pred Maj

25.61%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hertsmere
County/Area: Hertfordshire (Essex)
MP James Clappison (CON)

Electorate

67,572

Turnout

63.00%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

22,665

53.24%

58.20%

98.7%

LAB

11,572

27.18%

19.44%

1.1%

LIB

7,817

18.36%

15.14%

0.2%

OTH

518

1.22%

7.21%

0.0%

CON Majority

11,093

26.06%

Pred Maj

38.76%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hexham
County/Area: Northumberland (North)
MP Peter Atkinson (CON)

Electorate

59,867

Turnout

68.77%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

17,476

42.45%

47.46%

87.7%

LAB

12,451

30.24%

22.52%

6.5%

LIB

10,631

25.82%

22.46%

5.2%

OTH

615

1.49%

7.55%

0.6%

CON Majority

5,025

12.20%

Pred Maj

24.94%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Heywood and Middleton
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP Jim Dobbin (LAB)

Electorate

76,126

Turnout

54.84%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,392

48.85%

41.16%

76.5%

CON

8,891

21.30%

26.32%

18.2%

LIB

8,107

19.42%

16.02%

3.4%

OTH

4,358

10.44%

16.50%

1.9%

LAB Majority

11,501

27.55%

Pred Maj

14.84%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

High Peak
County/Area: Derbyshire (East Midlands)
MP Tom Levitt (LAB)

Electorate

69,483

Turnout

66.41%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,807

42.92%

35.34%

40.6%

CON

15,716

34.06%

39.12%

55.8%

LIB

9,516

20.62%

17.04%

3.1%

OTH

1,105

2.39%

8.51%

0.5%

LAB Majority

4,091

8.87%

Pred Maj

3.78%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hitchin and Harpenden
County/Area: Hertfordshire (Essex)
MP Peter Lilley (CON)

Electorate

69,751

Turnout

70.33%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

24,015

48.96%

54.05%

97.2%

LIB

13,198

26.90%

23.40%

1.6%

LAB

10,811

22.04%

14.30%

1.1%

OTH

1,031

2.10%

8.25%

0.1%

CON Majority

10,817

22.05%

Pred Maj

30.65%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Holborn and St Pancras
County/Area: Camden (North London)
MP Frank Dobson (LAB)

Electorate

85,188

Turnout

51.38%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,491

44.53%

36.67%

63.9%

LIB

11,401

26.05%

22.46%

11.3%

CON

8,981

20.52%

25.70%

22.5%

OTH

3,899

8.91%

15.17%

2.3%

LAB Majority

8,090

18.48%

Pred Maj

10.96%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hornchurch and Upminster
County/Area: Havering (North London)
MP Angela Watkinson (CON)

Electorate

77,165

Turnout

63.18%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

23,127

47.44%

51.71%

95.2%

LAB

16,167

33.16%

25.30%

4.5%

LIB

4,290

8.80%

7.22%

0.2%

OTH

3,715

7.62%

12.78%

0.1%

MIN

1,455

2.98%

0.0%

CON Majority

6,960

14.28%

Pred Maj

26.41%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hornsey and Wood Green
County/Area: Haringey (North London)
MP Lynne Featherstone (LIB)

Electorate

76,622

Turnout

61.77%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

20,512

43.34%

39.76%

66.9%

LAB

18,116

38.28%

30.42%

25.6%

CON

6,013

12.71%

17.89%

6.4%

OTH

2,685

5.67%

11.94%

1.1%

LIB Majority

2,396

5.06%

Pred Maj

9.34%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Horsham
County/Area: West Sussex (South East)
MP Francis Maude (CON)

Electorate

74,566

Turnout

67.32%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

24,509

48.82%

53.74%

97.5%

LIB

13,740

27.37%

24.10%

2.0%

LAB

8,750

17.43%

9.86%

0.4%

OTH

3,199

6.37%

12.31%

0.1%

CON Majority

10,769

21.45%

Pred Maj

29.64%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Houghton and Sunderland South
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP Fraser Kemp (LAB)

Electorate

69,512

Turnout

50.71%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

23,586

66.91%

59.19%

99.0%

CON

5,429

15.40%

19.97%

1.0%

LIB

4,972

14.10%

11.74%

0.0%

OTH

1,265

3.59%

9.11%

0.0%

LAB Majority

18,157

51.51%

Pred Maj

39.22%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hove
County/Area: East Sussex (South East)
MP Celia Barlow (LAB)

Electorate

70,296

Turnout

64.04%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

16,848

37.42%

28.73%

20.9%

CON

16,391

36.41%

41.68%

74.6%

LIB

8,106

18.00%

15.06%

3.3%

OTH

3,645

8.10%

14.47%

1.2%

MIN

0.07%

0.0%

LAB Majority

457

1.02%

Pred Maj

12.95%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Huddersfield
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP Barry Sheerman (LAB)

Electorate

62,446

Turnout

56.79%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

16,375

46.18%

38.49%

70.6%

LIB

8,453

23.84%

20.30%

7.1%

CON

7,460

21.04%

26.12%

20.4%

OTH

3,172

8.95%

15.08%

1.9%

LAB Majority

7,922

22.34%

Pred Maj

12.38%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hull East
County/Area: Humberside (Humberside)
MP John Prescott (LAB)

Electorate

67,953

Turnout

47.57%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,090

55.97%

48.28%

93.6%

LIB

6,408

19.83%

16.32%

1.5%

CON

4,251

13.15%

18.22%

3.9%

OTH

3,573

11.05%

17.18%

1.0%

LAB Majority

11,682

36.14%

Pred Maj

30.07%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hull North
County/Area: Humberside (Humberside)
MP Diana Johnson (LAB)

Electorate

60,279

Turnout

47.27%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

14,940

52.43%

44.75%

88.9%

LIB

7,494

26.30%

22.77%

5.1%

CON

3,733

13.10%

18.18%

5.0%

OTH

2,328

8.17%

14.31%

1.0%

LAB Majority

7,446

26.13%

Pred Maj

21.98%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hull West and Hessle
County/Area: Humberside (Humberside)
MP Alan Johnson (LAB)

Electorate

61,259

Turnout

45.24%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

15,252

55.04%

47.35%

89.9%

LIB

5,829

21.03%

17.50%

1.8%

CON

5,745

20.73%

25.81%

7.9%

OTH

887

3.20%

9.34%

0.4%

LAB Majority

9,423

34.00%

Pred Maj

21.54%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Huntingdon
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (East Anglia)
MP Jonathan Djanogly (CON)

Electorate

78,432

Turnout

62.52%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

25,128

51.24%

56.12%

98.9%

LIB

12,703

25.91%

22.40%

0.6%

LAB

9,215

18.79%

11.52%

0.4%

OTH

1,990

4.06%

9.96%

0.1%

CON Majority

12,425

25.34%

Pred Maj

33.72%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Hyndburn
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP Greg Pope (LAB)

Electorate

68,175

Turnout

58.85%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,320

45.67%

37.98%

53.9%

CON

12,772

31.84%

36.47%

43.9%

LIB

5,819

14.50%

11.97%

1.4%

OTH

3,207

7.99%

13.59%

0.8%

LAB Majority

5,548

13.83%

Pred Maj

1.51%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Ilford North
County/Area: Redbridge (North London)
MP Lee Scott (CON)

Electorate

69,300

Turnout

60.80%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

18,427

43.73%

48.41%

85.0%

LAB

16,744

39.74%

31.87%

14.5%

LIB

5,798

13.76%

11.30%

0.4%

OTH

1,167

2.77%

8.42%

0.1%

CON Majority

1,683

3.99%

Pred Maj

16.53%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Ilford South
County/Area: Redbridge (North London)
MP Mike Gapes (LAB)

Electorate

79,639

Turnout

53.61%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,856

48.85%

40.99%

66.9%

CON

11,627

27.23%

32.42%

29.1%

LIB

8,761

20.52%

16.94%

3.3%

OTH

1,448

3.39%

9.65%

0.7%

LAB Majority

9,229

21.62%

Pred Maj

8.57%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Ipswich
County/Area: Suffolk (East Anglia)
MP Chris Mole (LAB)

Electorate

72,820

Turnout

61.17%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,425

43.61%

35.87%

48.9%

CON

13,692

30.74%

35.83%

46.4%

LIB

9,263

20.79%

17.29%

4.0%

OTH

2,165

4.86%

11.01%

0.7%

LAB Majority

5,733

12.87%

Pred Maj

0.04%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Isle of Wight
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP Andrew Turner (CON)

Electorate

109,045

Turnout

61.30%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

32,717

48.95%

53.81%

96.6%

LIB

19,737

29.53%

26.25%

3.0%

LAB

11,483

17.18%

9.71%

0.3%

OTH

2,904

4.34%

10.22%

0.1%

CON Majority

12,980

19.42%

Pred Maj

27.56%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Islington North
County/Area: Islington (North London)
MP Jeremy Corbyn (LAB)

Electorate

58,427

Turnout

53.90%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

16,117

51.18%

43.31%

84.7%

LIB

9,401

29.85%

26.27%

9.3%

CON

3,740

11.88%

17.06%

5.0%

OTH

2,234

7.09%

13.36%

1.0%

LAB Majority

6,716

21.33%

Pred Maj

17.05%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Islington South and Finsbury
County/Area: Islington (North London)
MP Emily Thornberry (LAB)

Electorate

57,748

Turnout

53.61%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

12,345

39.87%

32.01%

39.7%

LIB

11,859

38.30%

34.72%

46.6%

CON

4,595

14.84%

20.02%

11.9%

OTH

2,161

6.98%

13.24%

1.8%

LAB Majority

486

1.57%

Pred Maj

2.71%

LIB Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Jarrow
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP Stephen Hepburn (LAB)

Electorate

63,372

Turnout

54.98%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

21,075

60.49%

52.77%

97.5%

LIB

7,810

22.42%

19.06%

0.8%

CON

4,237

12.16%

17.18%

1.6%

OTH

1,719

4.93%

11.00%

0.1%

LAB Majority

13,265

38.07%

Pred Maj

33.71%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Keighley
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP Ann Cryer (LAB)

Electorate

68,228

Turnout

67.88%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,719

44.74%

37.05%

47.5%

CON

15,868

34.26%

38.69%

51.0%

LIB

5,484

11.84%

9.75%

0.6%

OTH

4,241

9.16%

14.51%

0.9%

LAB Majority

4,851

10.47%

Pred Maj

1.64%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Kenilworth and Southam
County/Area: Warwickshire (East Midlands)
MP Unknown (new seat) (CON)

Electorate

62,919

Turnout

68.41%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

21,853

50.77%

55.83%

98.0%

LAB

11,294

26.24%

18.66%

1.6%

LIB

8,882

20.64%

17.05%

0.3%

OTH

1,011

2.35%

8.46%

0.1%

CON Majority

10,559

24.53%

Pred Maj

37.17%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Kensington
County/Area: Kensington and Chelsea (North London)
MP Sir Malcolm Rifkind (CON)

Electorate

61,682

Turnout

51.30%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

14,133

44.67%

49.81%

93.3%

LAB

9,031

28.54%

20.68%

4.8%

LIB

6,179

19.53%

16.03%

1.1%

OTH

2,297

7.26%

13.48%

0.8%

CON Majority

5,102

16.13%

Pred Maj

29.13%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Kettering
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP Philip Hollobone (CON)

Electorate

65,855

Turnout

67.95%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

19,656

43.92%

48.19%

79.5%

LAB

19,552

43.69%

35.95%

20.4%

LIB

4,311

9.63%

7.94%

0.0%

OTH

1,231

2.75%

7.91%

0.1%

CON Majority

104

0.23%

Pred Maj

12.24%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Kingston and Surbiton
County/Area: Kingston upon Thames (South London)
MP Edward Davey (LIB)

Electorate

73,341

Turnout

68.50%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

25,659

51.07%

47.49%

76.0%

CON

16,558

32.96%

36.92%

23.4%

LAB

6,610

13.16%

7.98%

0.4%

OTH

1,411

2.81%

7.60%

0.2%

LIB Majority

9,101

18.12%

Pred Maj

10.57%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Kingswood
County/Area: Bristol area (West)
MP Roger Berry (LAB)

Electorate

64,921

Turnout

67.76%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,442

46.47%

37.28%

45.9%

CON

15,109

34.35%

39.81%

50.0%

LIB

8,078

18.36%

15.48%

3.1%

OTH

362

0.82%

7.42%

1.0%

LAB Majority

5,333

12.12%

Pred Maj

2.53%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Knowsley
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP Eddie O'Hara (LAB)

Electorate

78,857

Turnout

52.08%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

31,449

76.58%

68.89%

100.0%

LIB

5,276

12.85%

10.60%

0.0%

CON

3,200

7.79%

12.29%

0.0%

OTH

1,140

2.78%

8.21%

0.0%

LAB Majority

26,173

63.74%

Pred Maj

56.60%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations