Constituency List: England L-Q

Lancashire West
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Rosie Cooper (LAB)
Electorate: 75,975
Turnout: 63.80%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	21,883	45.14%	52.54%
CON	17,540	36.19%	36.76%
LIB	6,573	13.56%	4.16%
OTH	2,477	5.11%	6.54%
LAB Majority	4,343	8.96%	Pred Maj 15.78%

Chance of winning

LAB

87.9%

CON

12.1%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Lancaster and Fleetwood
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Eric Ollerenshaw (CON)
Electorate: 69,908
Turnout: 61.08%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	15,404	36.07%	36.89%
LAB	15,071	35.29%	45.73%
LIB	8,167	19.13%	5.86%
OTH	4,059	9.51%	11.52%
CON Majority	333	0.78%	Pred Maj 8.84%

Chance of winning

CON

31.3%

LAB

68.1%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.6%

Top

LAB Gain

Leeds Central
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Hilary Benn (LAB)
Electorate: 64,698
Turnout: 57.80%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	18,434	49.30%	59.67%
LIB	7,789	20.83%	7.65%
CON	7,541	20.17%	20.97%
OTH	3,630	9.71%	11.71%
LAB Majority	10,645	28.47%	Pred Maj 38.69%

Chance of winning

LAB

98.0%

LIB

0.0%

CON

1.9%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Leeds East
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: George Mudie (LAB)
Electorate: 65,067
Turnout: 58.11%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	19,056	50.40%	59.47%
CON	8,763	23.17%	23.88%
LIB	6,618	17.50%	5.97%
OTH	3,376	8.93%	10.68%
LAB Majority	10,293	27.22%	Pred Maj 35.59%

Chance of winning

LAB

98.2%

CON

1.8%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Leeds North East
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Fabian Hamilton (LAB)
Electorate: 67,899
Turnout: 70.01%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	20,287	42.68%	52.83%
CON	15,742	33.12%	33.91%
LIB	9,310	19.59%	6.68%
OTH	2,196	4.62%	6.58%
LAB Majority	4,545	9.56%	Pred Maj 18.93%

Chance of winning

LAB

86.6%

CON

13.2%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Leeds North West
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Greg Mulholland (LIB)
Electorate: 65,399
Turnout: 66.49%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LIB	20,653	47.50%	34.31%
CON	11,550	26.56%	27.37%
LAB	9,132	21.00%	31.37%
OTH	2,148	4.94%	6.94%
LIB Majority	9,103	20.93%	Pred Maj 2.94%

Chance of winning

LIB

39.5%

CON

24.0%

LAB

35.7%

OTH

0.8%

Top

Leeds West
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Rachel Reeves (LAB)
Electorate: 67,453
Turnout: 57.45%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	16,389	42.29%	52.66%
LIB	9,373	24.19%	11.00%
CON	7,641	19.72%	20.53%
OTH	5,349	13.80%	15.81%
LAB Majority	7,016	18.10%	Pred Maj 32.14%

Chance of winning

LAB

94.1%

LIB

0.1%

CON

4.9%

OTH

0.9%

Top

Leicester East
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Keith Vaz (LAB)
Electorate: 72,986
Turnout: 65.76%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	25,804	53.76%	61.27%
CON	11,722	24.42%	25.01%
LIB	6,817	14.20%	4.66%
OTH	3,652	7.61%	9.06%
LAB Majority	14,082	29.34%	Pred Maj 36.26%

Chance of winning

LAB

99.1%

CON

0.9%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Leicester South
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Peter Soulsby (LAB)
Electorate: 77,175
Turnout: 61.06%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	21,479	45.58%	56.15%
LIB	12,671	26.89%	13.46%
CON	10,066	21.36%	22.18%
OTH	2,908	6.17%	8.21%
LAB Majority	8,808	18.69%	Pred Maj 33.96%

Result shown is original general election result. Sir Peter Soulsby has since resigned to stand for Mayor of Leicester.

Chance of winning

LAB

95.8%

LIB

0.0%

CON

4.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Leicester West
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Elizabeth Kendall (LAB)
Electorate: 64,900
Turnout: 55.19%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	13,745	38.37%	48.94%
CON	9,728	27.16%	27.98%
LIB	8,107	22.63%	9.20%
OTH	4,239	11.83%	13.88%
LAB Majority	4,017	11.21%	Pred Maj 20.96%

Chance of winning

LAB

85.3%

CON

13.5%

LIB

0.1%

OTH

1.1%

Top

Leicestershire North West
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Andrew Bridgen (CON)
Electorate: 71,219
Turnout: 72.95%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	23,147	44.55%	45.24%
LAB	15,636	30.10%	38.88%
LIB	8,639	16.63%	5.46%
OTH	4,530	8.72%	10.42%
CON Majority	7,511	14.46%	Pred Maj 6.36%

Chance of winning

CON

62.7%

LAB

37.0%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Leicestershire South
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Andrew Robathan (CON)
Electorate: 76,639
Turnout: 71.21%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	27,000	49.47%	50.30%
LIB	11,476	21.03%	7.60%
LAB	11,392	20.87%	31.44%
OTH	4,709	8.63%	10.67%
CON Majority	15,524	28.44%	Pred Maj 18.85%

Chance of winning

CON

85.3%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

14.4%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Leigh
County/Area: Western Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Andrew Burnham (LAB)
Electorate: 76,350
Turnout: 58.06%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	21,295	48.04%	57.94%
CON	9,284	20.94%	21.71%
LIB	8,049	18.16%	5.57%
OTH	5,704	12.87%	14.78%
LAB Majority	12,011	27.09%	Pred Maj 36.23%

Chance of winning

LAB

97.1%

CON

2.7%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Lewes
County/Area: East Sussex (South East)
MP: Norman Baker (LIB)
Electorate: 68,708
Turnout: 72.90%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LIB	26,048	52.00%	39.32%
CON	18,401	36.74%	37.52%
LAB	2,508	5.01%	14.99%
MIN	1,728	3.45%	3.45%
OTH	1,403	2.80%	4.73%
LIB Majority	7,647	15.27%	Pred Maj 1.80%

Chance of winning

LIB

54.2%

CON

42.8%

LAB

2.7%

MIN

0.0%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Lewisham Deptford
County/Area: Lewisham (South London)
MP: Joan Ruddock (LAB)
Electorate: 67,058
Turnout: 61.47%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	22,132	53.69%	65.07%
LIB	9,633	23.37%	8.90%
CON	5,551	13.47%	14.35%
OTH	3,904	9.47%	11.67%
LAB Majority	12,499	30.32%	Pred Maj 50.72%

Chance of winning

LAB

99.3%

LIB

0.0%

CON

0.7%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Lewisham East
County/Area: Lewisham (South London)
MP: Heidi Alexander (LAB)
Electorate: 65,926
Turnout: 63.28%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,966	43.06%	54.45%
LIB	11,750	28.16%	13.70%
CON	9,850	23.61%	24.50%
OTH	2,153	5.16%	7.36%
LAB Majority	6,216	14.90%	Pred Maj 29.95%

Chance of winning

LAB

93.9%

LIB

0.2%

CON

5.7%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Lewisham West and Penge
County/Area: Lewisham (South London)
MP: Jim Dowd (LAB)
Electorate: 69,022
Turnout: 65.24%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	18,501	41.09%	52.47%
LIB	12,673	28.14%	13.68%
CON	11,489	25.52%	26.40%
OTH	2,365	5.25%	7.45%
LAB Majority	5,828	12.94%	Pred Maj 26.07%

Chance of winning

LAB

90.5%

LIB

0.3%

CON

9.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Leyton and Wanstead
County/Area: Waltham Forest (North London)
MP: John Cryer (LAB)
Electorate: 63,541
Turnout: 63.20%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,511	43.60%	54.99%
LIB	11,095	27.63%	13.16%
CON	8,928	22.23%	23.12%
OTH	2,625	6.54%	8.73%
LAB Majority	6,416	15.98%	Pred Maj 31.87%

Chance of winning

LAB

94.6%

LIB

0.2%

CON

5.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Lichfield
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP: Michael Fabricant (CON)
Electorate: 72,586
Turnout: 71.04%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	28,048	54.40%	55.24%
LIB	10,365	20.10%	6.29%
LAB	10,230	19.84%	30.70%
OTH	2,920	5.66%	7.76%
CON Majority	17,683	34.29%	Pred Maj 24.54%

Chance of winning

CON

91.8%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

8.0%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Lincoln
County/Area: Lincolnshire (Humberside)
MP: Karl McCartney (CON)
Electorate: 73,540
Turnout: 62.17%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	17,163	37.54%	38.35%
LAB	16,105	35.22%	45.60%
LIB	9,256	20.24%	7.06%
OTH	3,197	6.99%	9.00%
CON Majority	1,058	2.31%	Pred Maj 7.25%

Chance of winning

CON

35.3%

LAB

64.3%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.4%

Top

LAB Gain

Liverpool Riverside
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Louise Ellman (LAB)
Electorate: 74,539
Turnout: 52.05%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	22,998	59.27%	70.18%
LIB	8,825	22.74%	8.88%
CON	4,243	10.94%	11.79%
OTH	2,735	7.05%	9.16%
LAB Majority	14,173	36.53%	Pred Maj 58.40%

Chance of winning

LAB

100.0%

LIB

0.0%

CON

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Liverpool Walton
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Steve Rotheram (LAB)
Electorate: 62,612
Turnout: 54.84%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	24,709	71.96%	79.74%
LIB	4,891	14.24%	4.37%
CON	2,241	6.53%	7.13%
OTH	1,390	4.05%	5.55%
MIN	1,104	3.22%	3.22%
LAB Majority	19,818	57.72%	Pred Maj 72.60%

Chance of winning

LAB

100.0%

LIB

0.0%

CON

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

MIN

0.0%

Top

Liverpool Wavertree
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Luciana Berger (LAB)
Electorate: 62,518
Turnout: 60.64%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	20,132	53.10%	64.01%
LIB	12,965	34.20%	20.33%
CON	2,830	7.46%	8.31%
OTH	1,987	5.24%	7.35%
LAB Majority	7,167	18.90%	Pred Maj 43.68%

Chance of winning

LAB

99.8%

LIB

0.0%

CON

0.2%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Liverpool West Derby
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Stephen Twigg (LAB)
Electorate: 63,082
Turnout: 56.73%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	22,953	64.14%	70.98%
LIB	4,486	12.54%	3.84%
MIN	3,327	9.30%	9.30%
CON	3,311	9.25%	9.79%
OTH	1,707	4.77%	6.09%
LAB Majority	18,467	51.61%	Pred Maj 61.20%

Chance of winning

LAB

100.0%

LIB

0.0%

MIN

0.0%

CON

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Loughborough
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Nicky Morgan (CON)
Electorate: 77,502
Turnout: 68.18%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	21,971	41.58%	42.34%
LAB	18,227	34.50%	44.17%
LIB	9,675	18.31%	6.01%
OTH	2,965	5.61%	7.48%
CON Majority	3,744	7.09%	Pred Maj 1.83%

Chance of winning

CON

45.5%

LAB

54.2%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.3%

Top

LAB Gain

Louth and Horncastle
County/Area: Lincolnshire (Humberside)
MP: Sir Peter Tapsell (CON)
Electorate: 77,650
Turnout: 65.03%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	25,065	49.64%	50.45%
LIB	11,194	22.17%	8.99%
LAB	8,760	17.35%	27.72%
OTH	5,475	10.84%	12.85%
CON Majority	13,871	27.47%	Pred Maj 22.73%

Chance of winning

CON

88.8%

LIB

0.3%

LAB

10.6%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Ludlow
County/Area: Shropshire (Severn)
MP: Philip Dunne (CON)
Electorate: 66,631
Turnout: 73.14%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	25,720	52.78%	53.63%
LIB	15,971	32.77%	18.96%
LAB	3,272	6.71%	17.58%
MIN	2,127	4.36%	4.36%
OTH	1,642	3.37%	5.47%
CON Majority	9,749	20.01%	Pred Maj 34.66%

Chance of winning

CON

96.5%

LIB

0.3%

LAB

3.0%

MIN

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Luton North
County/Area: Bedfordshire (East Anglia)
MP: Kelvin Hopkins (LAB)
Electorate: 65,062
Turnout: 66.12%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	21,192	49.26%	55.08%
CON	13,672	31.78%	32.24%
LIB	4,784	11.12%	3.73%
OTH	3,370	7.83%	8.96%
LAB Majority	7,520	17.48%	Pred Maj 22.84%

Chance of winning

LAB

95.2%

CON

4.8%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Luton South
County/Area: Bedfordshire (East Anglia)
MP: Gavin Shuker (LAB)
Electorate: 59,962
Turnout: 70.40%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	14,725	34.88%	45.34%
CON	12,396	29.36%	30.18%
LIB	9,567	22.66%	9.37%
OTH	5,528	13.09%	15.11%
LAB Majority	2,329	5.52%	Pred Maj 15.16%

Chance of winning

LAB

76.4%

CON

21.5%

LIB

0.3%

OTH

1.8%

Top

Macclesfield
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP: David Rutley (CON)
Electorate: 73,417
Turnout: 68.18%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	23,503	46.95%	47.80%
LIB	11,544	23.06%	9.25%
LAB	10,164	20.30%	31.17%
OTH	4,848	9.68%	11.78%
CON Majority	11,959	23.89%	Pred Maj 16.63%

Chance of winning

CON

82.0%

LIB

0.3%

LAB

17.4%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Maidenhead
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP: Theresa May (CON)
Electorate: 72,844
Turnout: 73.75%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	31,937	59.45%	60.23%
LIB	15,168	28.24%	15.55%
LAB	3,795	7.06%	17.05%
OTH	2,820	5.25%	7.18%
CON Majority	16,769	31.22%	Pred Maj 43.18%

Chance of winning

CON

99.1%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

0.8%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Maidstone and The Weald
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP: Helen Grant (CON)
Electorate: 71,041
Turnout: 68.87%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	23,491	48.01%	48.79%
LIB	17,602	35.98%	23.29%
LAB	4,769	9.75%	19.73%
OTH	3,066	6.27%	8.19%
CON Majority	5,889	12.04%	Pred Maj 25.50%

Chance of winning

CON

92.5%

LIB

2.3%

LAB

4.9%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Makerfield
County/Area: Western Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Yvonne Fovargue (LAB)
Electorate: 73,641
Turnout: 59.44%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	20,700	47.29%	56.12%
CON	8,210	18.76%	19.44%
LIB	7,082	16.18%	4.96%
OTH	4,355	9.95%	11.65%
MIN	3,424	7.82%	7.82%
LAB Majority	12,490	28.53%	Pred Maj 36.67%

Chance of winning

LAB

98.4%

CON

1.6%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

MIN

0.0%

Top

Maldon
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP: John Whittingdale (CON)
Electorate: 68,861
Turnout: 69.55%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	28,661	59.84%	60.63%
LIB	9,254	19.32%	6.48%
LAB	6,070	12.67%	22.78%
OTH	3,910	8.16%	10.11%
CON Majority	19,407	40.52%	Pred Maj 37.85%

Chance of winning

CON

97.7%

LIB

0.0%

LAB

2.3%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Manchester Central
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Tony Lloyd (LAB)
Electorate: 90,110
Turnout: 44.31%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	21,059	52.74%	63.65%
LIB	10,620	26.60%	12.73%
CON	4,704	11.78%	12.63%
OTH	3,544	8.88%	10.98%
LAB Majority	10,439	26.15%	Pred Maj 50.92%

Chance of winning

LAB

99.8%

LIB

0.0%

CON

0.2%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Manchester Gorton
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Sir Gerald Kaufman (LAB)
Electorate: 75,933
Turnout: 50.47%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	19,211	50.13%	61.04%
LIB	12,508	32.64%	18.77%
CON	4,224	11.02%	11.87%
OTH	2,382	6.22%	8.32%
LAB Majority	6,703	17.49%	Pred Maj 42.27%

Chance of winning

LAB

99.5%

LIB

0.0%

CON

0.4%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Manchester Withington
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: John Leech (LIB)
Electorate: 74,371
Turnout: 60.55%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LIB	20,110	44.66%	30.79%
LAB	18,216	40.45%	51.36%
CON	5,005	11.11%	11.97%
OTH	1,700	3.78%	5.88%
LIB Majority	1,894	4.21%	Pred Maj 20.57%

Chance of winning

LIB

9.3%

LAB

88.4%

CON

2.0%

OTH

0.3%

Top

LAB Gain

Mansfield
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Alan Meale (LAB)
Electorate: 80,069
Turnout: 60.44%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	18,753	38.75%	46.90%
CON	12,741	26.33%	26.96%
LIB	7,469	15.43%	5.07%
OTH	5,093	10.52%	12.10%
MIN	4,339	8.97%	8.97%
LAB Majority	6,012	12.42%	Pred Maj 19.94%

Chance of winning

LAB

90.1%

CON

9.5%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.4%

MIN

0.0%

Top

Meon Valley
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: George Hollingbery (CON)
Electorate: 70,488
Turnout: 72.69%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	28,818	56.24%	57.02%
LIB	16,693	32.58%	19.89%
LAB	3,266	6.37%	16.36%
OTH	2,461	4.80%	6.73%
CON Majority	12,125	23.66%	Pred Maj 37.13%

Chance of winning

CON

98.5%

LIB

0.3%

LAB

1.2%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Meriden
County/Area: Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
MP: Caroline Spelman (CON)
Electorate: 83,826
Turnout: 62.23%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	26,956	51.68%	52.43%
LAB	10,703	20.52%	30.18%
LIB	9,278	17.79%	5.51%
OTH	5,225	10.02%	11.88%
CON Majority	16,253	31.16%	Pred Maj 22.25%

Chance of winning

CON

89.1%

LAB

10.7%

LIB

0.1%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Middlesbrough
County/Area: Teeside (North)
MP: Sir Stuart Bell (LAB)
Electorate: 65,148
Turnout: 51.35%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	15,351	45.89%	56.58%
LIB	6,662	19.91%	6.32%
CON	6,283	18.78%	19.61%
OTH	5,159	15.42%	17.49%
LAB Majority	8,689	25.97%	Pred Maj 36.96%

Chance of winning

LAB

96.2%

LIB

0.0%

CON

3.4%

OTH

0.4%

Top

Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East
County/Area: Teeside (North)
MP: Tom Blenkinsop (LAB)
Electorate: 72,664
Turnout: 63.60%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	18,138	39.25%	47.78%
CON	16,461	35.62%	36.28%
LIB	7,340	15.88%	5.04%
OTH	4,275	9.25%	10.90%
LAB Majority	1,677	3.63%	Pred Maj 11.49%

Chance of winning

LAB

76.9%

CON

22.8%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Milton Keynes North
County/Area: Buckinghamshire (Essex)
MP: Mark Lancaster (CON)
Electorate: 85,841
Turnout: 62.78%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	23,419	43.46%	44.27%
LAB	14,458	26.83%	37.29%
LIB	11,894	22.07%	8.78%
OTH	4,117	7.64%	9.66%
CON Majority	8,961	16.63%	Pred Maj 6.99%

Chance of winning

CON

64.7%

LAB

34.8%

LIB

0.1%

OTH

0.4%

Top

Milton Keynes South
County/Area: Buckinghamshire (Essex)
MP: Iain Stewart (CON)
Electorate: 90,487
Turnout: 61.15%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	23,034	41.63%	42.35%
LAB	17,833	32.23%	41.48%
LIB	9,787	17.69%	5.93%
OTH	4,679	8.46%	10.24%
CON Majority	5,201	9.40%	Pred Maj 0.87%

Chance of winning

CON

49.4%

LAB

50.1%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.5%

Top

Mitcham and Morden
County/Area: Merton (South London)
MP: Siobhain McDonagh (LAB)
Electorate: 65,939
Turnout: 66.42%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	24,722	56.45%	63.21%
CON	11,056	25.24%	25.77%
LIB	5,202	11.88%	3.29%
OTH	2,817	6.43%	7.74%
LAB Majority	13,666	31.20%	Pred Maj 37.44%

Chance of winning

LAB

99.5%

CON

0.5%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Mole Valley
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP: Sir Paul Beresford (CON)
Electorate: 72,612
Turnout: 74.81%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	31,263	57.55%	58.33%
LIB	15,610	28.73%	16.05%
LAB	3,804	7.00%	16.99%
OTH	3,647	6.71%	8.64%
CON Majority	15,653	28.81%	Pred Maj 41.34%

Chance of winning

CON

98.7%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

1.2%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Morecambe and Lunesdale
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: David Morris (CON)
Electorate: 69,965
Turnout: 62.08%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	18,035	41.52%	42.09%
LAB	17,169	39.53%	46.80%
LIB	5,791	13.33%	4.09%
OTH	2,441	5.62%	7.02%
CON Majority	866	1.99%	Pred Maj 4.71%

Chance of winning

CON

35.4%

LAB

64.5%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.1%

Top

LAB Gain

Morley and Outwood
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Ed Balls (LAB)
Electorate: 74,200
Turnout: 65.84%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	18,365	37.59%	46.28%
CON	17,264	35.34%	36.01%
LIB	8,186	16.76%	5.71%
MIN	3,535	7.24%	7.24%
OTH	1,506	3.08%	4.76%
LAB Majority	1,101	2.25%	Pred Maj 10.27%

Chance of winning

LAB

74.7%

CON

25.1%

LIB

0.0%

MIN

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

New Forest East
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Julian Lewis (CON)
Electorate: 72,858
Turnout: 68.68%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	26,443	52.85%	53.63%
LIB	15,136	30.25%	17.56%
LAB	4,915	9.82%	19.81%
OTH	3,542	7.08%	9.01%
CON Majority	11,307	22.60%	Pred Maj 33.82%

Chance of winning

CON

96.1%

LIB

0.3%

LAB

3.5%

OTH

0.1%

Top

New Forest West
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Desmond Swayne (CON)
Electorate: 68,332
Turnout: 69.62%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	27,980	58.82%	59.59%
LIB	11,084	23.30%	10.61%
LAB	4,666	9.81%	19.79%
OTH	3,842	8.08%	10.00%
CON Majority	16,896	35.52%	Pred Maj 39.80%

Chance of winning

CON

98.2%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

1.7%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Newark
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Patrick Mercer (CON)
Electorate: 71,785
Turnout: 71.36%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	27,590	53.86%	54.68%
LAB	11,438	22.33%	32.90%
LIB	10,246	20.00%	6.57%
OTH	1,954	3.81%	5.86%
CON Majority	16,152	31.53%	Pred Maj 21.79%

Chance of winning

CON

90.2%

LAB

9.6%

LIB

0.1%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Newbury
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP: Richard Benyon (CON)
Electorate: 78,329
Turnout: 74.80%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	33,057	56.42%	57.20%
LIB	20,809	35.52%	22.83%
LAB	2,505	4.28%	14.26%
OTH	2,218	3.79%	5.71%
CON Majority	12,248	20.90%	Pred Maj 34.37%

Chance of winning

CON

98.8%

LIB

0.3%

LAB

0.9%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Newcastle upon Tyne Central
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP: Chi Onwurah (LAB)
Electorate: 60,507
Turnout: 56.45%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	15,694	45.95%	56.69%
LIB	8,228	24.09%	10.44%
CON	6,611	19.35%	20.19%
OTH	3,624	10.61%	12.68%
LAB Majority	7,466	21.86%	Pred Maj 36.49%

Chance of winning

LAB

96.6%

LIB

0.0%

CON

3.2%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Newcastle upon Tyne East
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP: Nick Brown (LAB)
Electorate: 64,487
Turnout: 58.68%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,043	45.04%	55.78%
LIB	12,590	33.27%	19.62%
CON	6,068	16.04%	16.87%
OTH	2,139	5.65%	7.73%
LAB Majority	4,453	11.77%	Pred Maj 36.16%

Chance of winning

LAB

97.5%

LIB

0.5%

CON

1.9%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Newcastle upon Tyne North
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP: Catherine McKinnell (LAB)
Electorate: 67,110
Turnout: 65.48%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,950	40.85%	51.58%
LIB	14,536	33.08%	19.43%
CON	7,966	18.13%	18.96%
OTH	3,494	7.95%	10.02%
LAB Majority	3,414	7.77%	Pred Maj 32.16%

Chance of winning

LAB

93.9%

LIB

1.4%

CON

4.3%

OTH

0.4%

Top

Newcastle-under-Lyme
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP: Paul Farrelly (LAB)
Electorate: 69,433
Turnout: 62.21%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	16,393	37.95%	48.60%
CON	14,841	34.36%	35.19%
LIB	8,466	19.60%	6.07%
OTH	3,491	8.08%	10.14%
LAB Majority	1,552	3.59%	Pred Maj 13.41%

Chance of winning

LAB

75.4%

CON

24.1%

LIB

0.1%

OTH

0.4%

Top

Newton Abbot
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Anne-Marie Morris (CON)
Electorate: 69,343
Turnout: 69.63%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	20,774	43.03%	43.78%
LIB	20,251	41.94%	29.59%
LAB	3,387	7.01%	16.73%
MIN	3,088	6.40%	6.40%
OTH	783	1.62%	3.50%
CON Majority	523	1.08%	Pred Maj 14.19%

Chance of winning

CON

82.9%

LIB

12.6%

LAB

4.4%

MIN

0.0%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Norfolk Mid
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: George Freeman (CON)
Electorate: 74,260
Turnout: 68.36%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	25,123	49.49%	50.30%
LIB	11,267	22.19%	8.90%
LAB	8,857	17.45%	27.90%
OTH	5,518	10.87%	12.89%
CON Majority	13,856	27.29%	Pred Maj 22.40%

Chance of winning

CON

88.9%

LIB

0.2%

LAB

10.6%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Norfolk North
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Norman Lamb (LIB)
Electorate: 67,841
Turnout: 73.20%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LIB	27,554	55.48%	42.19%
CON	15,928	32.07%	32.89%
LAB	2,896	5.83%	16.29%
MIN	2,680	5.40%	5.40%
OTH	603	1.21%	3.23%
LIB Majority	11,626	23.41%	Pred Maj 9.30%

Chance of winning

LIB

70.8%

CON

24.2%

LAB

4.6%

MIN

0.0%

OTH

0.4%

Top

Norfolk North West
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Henry Bellingham (CON)
Electorate: 73,207
Turnout: 65.29%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	25,916	54.22%	55.03%
LIB	11,106	23.23%	9.94%
LAB	6,353	13.29%	23.75%
OTH	4,425	9.26%	11.28%
CON Majority	14,810	30.98%	Pred Maj 31.28%

Chance of winning

CON

95.6%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

4.2%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Norfolk South
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Richard Bacon (CON)
Electorate: 76,165
Turnout: 72.20%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	27,133	49.34%	50.15%
LIB	16,193	29.45%	16.15%
LAB	7,252	13.19%	23.64%
OTH	4,415	8.03%	10.05%
CON Majority	10,940	19.89%	Pred Maj 26.51%

Chance of winning

CON

92.6%

LIB

0.3%

LAB

6.9%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Norfolk South West
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Elizabeth Truss (CON)
Electorate: 74,298
Turnout: 66.15%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	23,753	48.33%	49.14%
LIB	10,613	21.59%	8.30%
LAB	9,119	18.55%	29.01%
OTH	5,665	11.53%	13.55%
CON Majority	13,140	26.73%	Pred Maj 20.13%

Chance of winning

CON

86.2%

LIB

0.2%

LAB

13.2%

OTH

0.4%

Top

Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Yvette Cooper (LAB)
Electorate: 82,239
Turnout: 56.23%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	22,293	48.21%	56.72%
CON	11,314	24.47%	25.13%
LIB	7,585	16.40%	5.59%
OTH	5,047	10.92%	12.56%
LAB Majority	10,979	23.74%	Pred Maj 31.59%

Chance of winning

LAB

96.9%

CON

3.1%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Northampton North
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP: Michael Ellis (CON)
Electorate: 64,230
Turnout: 62.70%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	13,735	34.11%	34.92%
LAB	11,799	29.30%	39.76%
LIB	11,250	27.94%	14.64%
OTH	3,487	8.66%	10.68%
CON Majority	1,936	4.81%	Pred Maj 4.83%

Chance of winning

CON

38.8%

LAB

58.9%

LIB

1.4%

OTH

0.9%

Top

LAB Gain

Northampton South
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP: Brian Binley (CON)
Electorate: 66,923
Turnout: 58.24%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	15,917	40.84%	41.63%
LAB	9,913	25.43%	35.60%
LIB	7,579	19.44%	6.52%
OTH	5,569	14.29%	16.25%
CON Majority	6,004	15.40%	Pred Maj 6.03%

Chance of winning

CON

59.1%

LAB

39.4%

LIB

0.1%

OTH

1.4%

Top

Northamptonshire South
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP: Andrea Leadsom (CON)
Electorate: 82,032
Turnout: 73.01%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	33,081	55.24%	56.05%
LIB	12,603	21.04%	7.75%
LAB	10,380	17.33%	27.79%
OTH	3,826	6.39%	8.41%
CON Majority	20,478	34.19%	Pred Maj 28.26%

Chance of winning

CON

94.6%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

5.2%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Norwich North
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Chloe Smith (CON)
Electorate: 65,258
Turnout: 65.24%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	17,280	40.59%	41.33%
LAB	13,379	31.43%	40.98%
LIB	7,783	18.28%	6.13%
OTH	4,131	9.70%	11.55%
CON Majority	3,901	9.16%	Pred Maj 0.35%

Chance of winning

CON

48.5%

LAB

50.9%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.6%

Top

Norwich South
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Simon Wright (LIB)
Electorate: 73,649
Turnout: 64.56%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LIB	13,960	29.36%	16.07%
LAB	13,650	28.71%	39.16%
CON	10,902	22.93%	23.74%
MIN	7,095	14.92%	14.92%
OTH	1,944	4.09%	6.11%
LIB Majority	310	0.65%	Pred Maj 15.42%

Chance of winning

LIB

3.0%

LAB

76.1%

CON

19.8%

MIN

0.0%

OTH

1.1%

Top

LAB Gain

Nottingham East
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Christopher Leslie (LAB)
Electorate: 58,707
Turnout: 56.40%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	15,022	45.37%	55.93%
LIB	8,053	24.32%	10.89%
CON	7,846	23.70%	24.52%
OTH	2,191	6.62%	8.66%
LAB Majority	6,969	21.05%	Pred Maj 31.42%

Chance of winning

LAB

95.2%

LIB

0.0%

CON

4.6%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Nottingham North
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Graham Allen (LAB)
Electorate: 63,240
Turnout: 54.21%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	16,646	48.55%	57.57%
CON	8,508	24.82%	25.52%
LIB	5,849	17.06%	5.60%
OTH	3,282	9.57%	11.31%
LAB Majority	8,138	23.74%	Pred Maj 32.05%

Chance of winning

LAB

96.5%

CON

3.5%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Nottingham South
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Lillian Greenwood (LAB)
Electorate: 67,441
Turnout: 60.48%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	15,209	37.29%	47.85%
CON	13,437	32.94%	33.77%
LIB	9,406	23.06%	9.63%
OTH	2,737	6.71%	8.75%
LAB Majority	1,772	4.34%	Pred Maj 14.09%

Chance of winning

LAB

76.9%

CON

22.7%

LIB

0.1%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Nuneaton
County/Area: Warwickshire (East Midlands)
MP: Marcus Jones (CON)
Electorate: 67,837
Turnout: 65.81%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	18,536	41.52%	42.15%
LAB	16,467	36.88%	44.99%
LIB	6,846	15.33%	5.04%
OTH	2,797	6.26%	7.83%
CON Majority	2,069	4.63%	Pred Maj 2.84%

Chance of winning

CON

41.1%

LAB

58.7%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

LAB Gain

Old Bexley and Sidcup
County/Area: Bexley (South London)
MP: James Brokenshire (CON)
Electorate: 65,665
Turnout: 69.28%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	24,625	54.13%	54.81%
LAB	8,768	19.27%	28.03%
LIB	6,996	15.38%	4.25%
OTH	5,103	11.22%	12.91%
CON Majority	15,857	34.86%	Pred Maj 26.79%

Chance of winning

CON

92.3%

LAB

7.5%

LIB

0.1%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Oldham East and Saddleworth
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Phil Woolas (LAB)
Electorate: 72,765
Turnout: 61.18%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	14,186	31.86%	42.77%
LIB	14,083	31.63%	17.77%
CON	11,773	26.44%	27.29%
OTH	4,478	10.06%	12.17%
LAB Majority	103	0.23%	Pred Maj 15.48%

Result shown is original general election result. Ms Debbie Abrahams (Lab) held the seat in a by-election on 13 January 2011, after Mr Phil Woolas was stripped of the seat by an election court.

Chance of winning

LAB

74.8%

LIB

2.6%

CON

21.2%

OTH

1.4%

Top

Oldham West and Royton
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Michael Meacher (LAB)
Electorate: 72,651
Turnout: 59.06%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	19,503	45.45%	55.87%
CON	10,151	23.66%	24.47%
LIB	8,193	19.09%	5.85%
OTH	5,063	11.80%	13.81%
LAB Majority	9,352	21.79%	Pred Maj 31.40%

Chance of winning

LAB

95.0%

CON

4.8%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Orpington
County/Area: Bromley (South London)
MP: Joseph Johnson (CON)
Electorate: 67,732
Turnout: 72.21%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	29,200	59.70%	60.59%
LIB	12,000	24.53%	10.07%
LAB	4,400	9.00%	20.38%
OTH	3,311	6.77%	8.97%
CON Majority	17,200	35.17%	Pred Maj 40.21%

Chance of winning

CON

97.3%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

2.6%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Oxford East
County/Area: Oxfordshire (West)
MP: Andrew Smith (LAB)
Electorate: 81,886
Turnout: 63.08%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	21,938	42.47%	52.19%
LIB	17,357	33.60%	21.25%
CON	9,727	18.83%	19.59%
OTH	2,629	5.09%	6.97%
LAB Majority	4,581	8.87%	Pred Maj 30.94%

Chance of winning

LAB

93.4%

LIB

1.8%

CON

4.5%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Oxford West and Abingdon
County/Area: Oxfordshire (West)
MP: Nicola Blackwood (CON)
Electorate: 86,458
Turnout: 65.33%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	23,906	42.33%	43.08%
LIB	23,730	42.01%	29.66%
LAB	5,999	10.62%	20.34%
OTH	2,845	5.04%	6.91%
CON Majority	176	0.31%	Pred Maj 13.42%

Chance of winning

CON

79.4%

LIB

12.6%

LAB

7.7%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Pendle
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Andrew Stephenson (CON)
Electorate: 66,417
Turnout: 67.82%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	17,512	38.88%	39.73%
LAB	13,927	30.92%	41.83%
LIB	9,095	20.19%	6.32%
OTH	4,511	10.01%	12.12%
CON Majority	3,585	7.96%	Pred Maj 2.10%

Chance of winning

CON

44.6%

LAB

54.5%

LIB

0.1%

OTH

0.8%

Top

LAB Gain

Penistone and Stocksbridge
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP: Angela Smith (LAB)
Electorate: 68,501
Turnout: 67.91%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,565	37.76%	48.13%
CON	14,516	31.21%	32.02%
LIB	9,800	21.07%	7.89%
OTH	4,635	9.96%	11.97%
LAB Majority	3,049	6.55%	Pred Maj 16.12%

Chance of winning

LAB

79.5%

CON

19.6%

LIB

0.1%

OTH

0.8%

Top

Penrith and The Border
County/Area: Cumbria (North)
MP: Rory Stewart (CON)
Electorate: 64,548
Turnout: 69.85%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	24,071	53.39%	54.23%
LIB	12,830	28.46%	14.81%
LAB	5,834	12.94%	23.68%
OTH	2,352	5.22%	7.29%
CON Majority	11,241	24.93%	Pred Maj 30.55%

Chance of winning

CON

94.7%

LIB

0.3%

LAB

4.9%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Peterborough
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (East Anglia)
MP: Stewart Jackson (CON)
Electorate: 70,316
Turnout: 63.89%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	18,133	40.36%	41.16%
LAB	13,272	29.54%	39.80%
LIB	8,816	19.62%	6.58%
OTH	4,706	10.47%	12.46%
CON Majority	4,861	10.82%	Pred Maj 1.36%

Chance of winning

CON

50.9%

LAB

48.5%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.6%

Top

Plymouth Moor View
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Alison Seabeck (LAB)
Electorate: 67,261
Turnout: 61.74%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	15,433	37.16%	45.37%
CON	13,845	33.34%	33.98%
LIB	7,016	16.90%	6.46%
OTH	5,232	12.60%	14.18%
LAB Majority	1,588	3.82%	Pred Maj 11.39%

Chance of winning

LAB

75.6%

CON

23.1%

LIB

0.1%

OTH

1.2%

Top

Plymouth Sutton and Devonport
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Oliver Colville (CON)
Electorate: 71,035
Turnout: 61.79%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	15,050	34.29%	35.04%
LAB	13,901	31.67%	41.39%
LIB	10,829	24.67%	12.32%
OTH	4,114	9.37%	11.25%
CON Majority	1,149	2.62%	Pred Maj 6.34%

Chance of winning

CON

35.0%

LAB

63.3%

LIB

0.8%

OTH

0.9%

Top

LAB Gain

Poole
County/Area: Dorset (South West)
MP: Robert Syms (CON)
Electorate: 64,661
Turnout: 73.36%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	22,532	47.50%	48.26%
LIB	14,991	31.60%	19.25%
LAB	6,041	12.74%	22.45%
OTH	3,872	8.16%	10.04%
CON Majority	7,541	15.90%	Pred Maj 25.81%

Chance of winning

CON

91.3%

LIB

1.1%

LAB

7.3%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Poplar and Limehouse
County/Area: Tower Hamlets (North London)
MP: Jim Fitzpatrick (LAB)
Electorate: 74,956
Turnout: 62.30%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	18,679	40.00%	46.35%
CON	12,649	27.09%	27.58%
MIN	8,160	17.47%	17.47%
LIB	5,209	11.15%	3.09%
OTH	2,003	4.29%	5.51%
LAB Majority	6,030	12.91%	Pred Maj 18.76%

Chance of winning

LAB

94.2%

CON

5.8%

MIN

0.0%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Portsmouth North
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Penny Mordaunt (CON)
Electorate: 70,329
Turnout: 62.73%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	19,533	44.27%	45.05%
LAB	12,244	27.75%	37.74%
LIB	8,874	20.11%	7.43%
OTH	3,467	7.86%	9.79%
CON Majority	7,289	16.52%	Pred Maj 7.32%

Chance of winning

CON

65.1%

LAB

34.6%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Portsmouth South
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Mike Hancock (LIB)
Electorate: 70,242
Turnout: 58.75%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LIB	18,921	45.85%	33.16%
CON	13,721	33.25%	34.03%
LAB	5,640	13.67%	23.65%
OTH	2,982	7.23%	9.15%
LIB Majority	5,200	12.60%	Pred Maj 0.87%

Chance of winning

LIB

35.7%

CON

47.3%

LAB

16.4%

OTH

0.6%

Top

CON Gain

Preston
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Mark Hendrick (LAB)
Electorate: 62,460
Turnout: 52.04%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	15,668	48.20%	59.11%
LIB	7,935	24.41%	10.54%
CON	7,060	21.72%	22.57%
OTH	1,842	5.67%	7.77%
LAB Majority	7,733	23.79%	Pred Maj 36.54%

Chance of winning

LAB

97.2%

LIB

0.0%

CON

2.8%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Pudsey
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Stuart Andrew (CON)
Electorate: 69,257
Turnout: 70.87%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	18,874	38.45%	39.26%
LAB	17,215	35.07%	45.44%
LIB	10,224	20.83%	7.65%
OTH	2,770	5.64%	7.65%
CON Majority	1,659	3.38%	Pred Maj 6.18%

Chance of winning

CON

37.3%

LAB

62.3%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.4%

Top

LAB Gain

Putney
County/Area: Wandsworth (South London)
MP: Justine Greening (CON)
Electorate: 63,370
Turnout: 64.36%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	21,223	52.04%	52.79%
LAB	11,170	27.39%	37.02%
LIB	6,907	16.94%	4.69%
OTH	1,485	3.64%	5.50%
CON Majority	10,053	24.65%	Pred Maj 15.76%

Chance of winning

CON

82.2%

LAB

17.7%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.1%

Top