Constituency List: England L-Q



Lancashire West
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: Rosie Cooper  (LAB)
Electorate: 70,945
Turnout: 70.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,474 49.3% 45.0%
CON16,114 32.4% 37.1%
UKIP6,058 12.2% 10.7%
Green1,582 3.2% 3.7%
LIB1,298 2.6% 3.2%
OTH150 0.3% 0.2%
LAB Majority8,360 16.8%Pred Maj 7.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
61%
CON
36%
UKIP
2%
Green
0%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Lancaster and Fleetwood
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: Catherine Smith  (LAB)
Electorate: 60,883
Turnout: 68.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,643 42.3% 38.0%
CON16,378 39.2% 43.7%
UKIP4,060 9.7% 8.6%
Green2,093 5.0% 5.5%
LIB1,390 3.3% 3.9%
OTH174 0.4% 0.3%
LAB Majority1,265 3.0%Pred Maj 5.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
42%
CON
55%
UKIP
2%
Green
1%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

CON Gain

Leeds Central
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP at 2015: Hilary Benn  (LAB)
Electorate: 81,799
Turnout: 55.1%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,758 55.0% 50.6%
CON7,791 17.3% 22.6%
UKIP7,082 15.7% 13.7%
Green3,558 7.9% 8.5%
LIB1,529 3.4% 4.0%
OTH330 0.7% 0.6%
LAB Majority16,967 37.7%Pred Maj 28.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
78%
CON
17%
UKIP
3%
Green
1%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Leeds East
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP at 2015: Richard Burgon  (LAB)
Electorate: 64,754
Turnout: 59.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,530 53.7% 49.4%
CON7,997 20.9% 26.4%
UKIP7,256 19.0% 16.6%
LIB1,296 3.4% 4.1%
Green1,117 2.9% 3.5%
LAB Majority12,533 32.8%Pred Maj 23.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
75%
CON
20%
UKIP
4%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Leeds North East
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP at 2015: Fabian Hamilton  (LAB)
Electorate: 69,097
Turnout: 69.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,137 47.9% 43.5%
CON15,887 32.9% 37.4%
UKIP3,706 7.7% 6.7%
LIB2,569 5.3% 5.9%
Green2,541 5.3% 5.8%
OTH451 0.9% 0.7%
LAB Majority7,250 15.0%Pred Maj 6.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
57%
CON
39%
UKIP
2%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Leeds North West
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP at 2015: Greg Mulholland  (LIB)
Electorate: 61,974
Turnout: 70.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LIB15,948 36.8% 37.3%
LAB13,041 30.1% 25.7%
CON8,083 18.6% 23.0%
Green3,042 7.0% 7.5%
UKIP2,997 6.9% 6.0%
OTH246 0.6% 0.4%
LIB Majority2,907 6.7%Pred Maj 11.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LIB
39%
LAB
26%
CON
28%
Green
2%
UKIP
5%
OTH
1%


Leeds West
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP at 2015: Rachel Reeves  (LAB)
Electorate: 64,950
Turnout: 59.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,456 48.0% 43.7%
CON7,729 20.1% 25.7%
UKIP7,104 18.5% 16.2%
Green3,217 8.4% 9.0%
LIB1,495 3.9% 4.6%
OTH422 1.1% 0.8%
LAB Majority10,727 27.9%Pred Maj 17.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
63%
CON
28%
UKIP
7%
Green
1%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Leicester East
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Keith Vaz  (LAB)
Electorate: 75,430
Turnout: 63.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,386 61.1% 56.8%
CON11,034 23.0% 27.6%
UKIP4,290 8.9% 7.9%
Green1,468 3.1% 3.6%
LIB1,233 2.6% 3.1%
OTH657 1.4% 1.1%
LAB Majority18,352 38.2%Pred Maj 29.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
83%
CON
14%
UKIP
2%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%


Leicester South
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Jonathan Ashworth  (LAB)
Electorate: 73,518
Turnout: 62.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,473 59.8% 55.5%
CON9,628 21.0% 25.4%
UKIP3,832 8.3% 7.3%
Green2,533 5.5% 6.0%
LIB2,127 4.6% 5.2%
OTH349 0.8% 0.6%
LAB Majority17,845 38.8%Pred Maj 30.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
82%
CON
15%
UKIP
2%
Green
0%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Leicester West
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Elizabeth Kendall  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,204
Turnout: 54.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,051 46.5% 42.2%
CON8,848 25.6% 31.0%
UKIP5,950 17.2% 15.2%
Green1,878 5.4% 6.0%
LIB1,507 4.4% 5.0%
OTH288 0.8% 0.6%
LAB Majority7,203 20.9%Pred Maj 11.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
57%
CON
35%
UKIP
6%
Green
1%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Leicestershire North West
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Andrew Bridgen  (CON)
Electorate: 72,194
Turnout: 71.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,505 49.5% 54.6%
LAB14,132 27.4% 23.1%
UKIP8,704 16.9% 14.9%
LIB2,033 3.9% 4.6%
Green1,174 2.3% 2.9%
CON Majority11,373 22.1%Pred Maj 31.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
84%
LAB
13%
UKIP
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Leicestershire South
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Alberto Costa  (CON)
Electorate: 76,877
Turnout: 70.1%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,700 53.2% 58.4%
LAB11,876 22.0% 17.7%
UKIP9,363 17.4% 15.3%
LIB3,987 7.4% 8.0%
Green0 0.0% 0.6%
CON Majority16,824 31.2%Pred Maj 40.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
91%
LAB
7%
UKIP
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Leigh
County/Area: Western Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP at 2015: Andrew Burnham  (LAB)
Electorate: 75,974
Turnout: 59.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,312 53.9% 49.7%
CON10,216 22.6% 28.2%
UKIP8,903 19.7% 17.3%
LIB1,150 2.5% 3.2%
OTH542 1.2% 0.9%
Green0 0.0% 0.6%
LAB Majority14,096 31.2%Pred Maj 21.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
74%
CON
21%
UKIP
4%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%
Green
0%


Lewes
County/Area: East Sussex (South East)
MP at 2015: Maria Caulfield  (CON)
Electorate: 69,481
Turnout: 72.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,206 38.0% 41.1%
LIB18,123 35.9% 36.2%
UKIP5,427 10.7% 9.4%
LAB5,000 9.9% 7.4%
Green2,784 5.5% 5.9%
CON Majority1,083 2.1%Pred Maj 4.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
64%
LIB
27%
UKIP
4%
LAB
4%
Green
1%


Lewisham Deptford
County/Area: Lewisham (South London)
MP at 2015: Vicky Foxcroft  (LAB)
Electorate: 73,426
Turnout: 64.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,572 60.2% 55.9%
CON7,056 14.9% 19.3%
Green5,932 12.5% 13.0%
LIB2,497 5.3% 5.8%
UKIP2,013 4.2% 3.7%
OTH1,356 2.9% 2.2%
LAB Majority21,516 45.4%Pred Maj 36.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
84%
CON
13%
Green
1%
LIB
1%
UKIP
1%
OTH
0%


Lewisham East
County/Area: Lewisham (South London)
MP at 2015: Heidi Alexander  (LAB)
Electorate: 73,428
Turnout: 58.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,907 55.7% 51.4%
CON9,574 22.3% 27.0%
UKIP3,886 9.1% 8.0%
LIB2,455 5.7% 6.3%
Green2,429 5.7% 6.2%
OTH672 1.6% 1.2%
LAB Majority14,333 33.4%Pred Maj 24.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
76%
CON
21%
UKIP
1%
LIB
1%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Lewisham West and Penge
County/Area: Lewisham (South London)
MP at 2015: Jim Dowd  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,289
Turnout: 66.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,347 50.6% 46.3%
CON11,633 24.2% 28.7%
Green4,077 8.5% 9.0%
UKIP3,764 7.8% 6.9%
LIB3,709 7.7% 8.3%
OTH595 1.2% 1.0%
LAB Majority12,714 26.4%Pred Maj 17.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
67%
CON
28%
Green
1%
UKIP
2%
LIB
2%
OTH
0%


Leyton and Wanstead
County/Area: Waltham Forest (North London)
MP at 2015: John Cryer  (LAB)
Electorate: 64,746
Turnout: 62.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,858 58.6% 54.3%
CON8,939 22.0% 26.2%
Green2,974 7.3% 7.8%
UKIP2,341 5.8% 5.1%
LIB2,304 5.7% 6.2%
OTH289 0.7% 0.5%
LAB Majority14,919 36.7%Pred Maj 28.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
80%
CON
17%
Green
1%
UKIP
1%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Lichfield
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP at 2015: Michael Fabricant  (CON)
Electorate: 83,339
Turnout: 61.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,389 55.2% 60.2%
LAB10,200 19.8% 15.5%
UKIP8,082 15.7% 13.8%
LIB2,700 5.2% 5.9%
Green1,976 3.8% 4.4%
OTH120 0.2% 0.2%
CON Majority18,189 35.3%Pred Maj 44.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
93%
LAB
5%
UKIP
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Lincoln
County/Area: Lincolnshire (Humberside)
MP at 2015: Karl McCartney  (CON)
Electorate: 74,121
Turnout: 63.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,976 42.6% 47.7%
LAB18,533 39.6% 35.2%
UKIP5,721 12.2% 10.7%
LIB1,992 4.3% 4.9%
OTH630 1.3% 1.0%
Green0 0.0% 0.6%
CON Majority1,443 3.1%Pred Maj 12.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
66%
LAB
31%
UKIP
2%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%
Green
0%


Liverpool Riverside
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: Louise Ellman  (LAB)
Electorate: 70,950
Turnout: 62.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,835 67.4% 63.2%
Green5,372 12.1% 12.6%
CON4,245 9.6% 13.8%
UKIP2,510 5.7% 5.0%
LIB1,719 3.9% 4.4%
OTH582 1.3% 1.0%
LAB Majority24,463 55.3%Pred Maj 49.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
91%
Green
0%
CON
7%
UKIP
1%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%


Liverpool Walton
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: Steve Rotheram  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,868
Turnout: 61.1%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB31,222 81.3% 77.1%
UKIP3,445 9.0% 7.9%
CON1,802 4.7% 9.0%
Green956 2.5% 3.0%
LIB899 2.3% 2.9%
OTH79 0.2% 0.2%
LAB Majority27,777 72.3%Pred Maj 68.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
96%
UKIP
1%
CON
3%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%


Liverpool Wavertree
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: Luciana Berger  (LAB)
Electorate: 61,731
Turnout: 66.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,401 69.3% 65.1%
CON4,098 10.0% 14.5%
UKIP3,375 8.2% 7.2%
LIB2,454 6.0% 6.5%
Green2,140 5.2% 5.7%
OTH506 1.2% 1.0%
LAB Majority24,303 59.3%Pred Maj 50.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
92%
CON
6%
UKIP
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Liverpool West Derby
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: Stephen Twigg  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,875
Turnout: 64.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB30,842 75.2% 70.9%
UKIP3,475 8.5% 7.4%
CON2,710 6.6% 11.8%
OTH2,049 5.0% 3.8%
Green996 2.4% 3.0%
LIB959 2.3% 3.0%
LAB Majority27,367 66.7%Pred Maj 59.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
93%
UKIP
1%
CON
5%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%


Loughborough
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Nicky Morgan  (CON)
Electorate: 72,644
Turnout: 71.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,762 49.5% 54.1%
LAB16,579 31.9% 27.5%
UKIP5,704 11.0% 9.7%
LIB2,130 4.1% 4.6%
Green1,845 3.5% 4.1%
CON Majority9,183 17.7%Pred Maj 26.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
83%
LAB
15%
UKIP
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Louth and Horncastle
County/Area: Lincolnshire (Humberside)
MP at 2015: Victoria Atkins  (CON)
Electorate: 74,280
Turnout: 67.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,755 51.2% 56.7%
UKIP10,778 21.4% 18.9%
LAB9,077 18.0% 14.1%
LIB2,255 4.5% 5.2%
Green1,549 3.1% 3.7%
OTH922 1.8% 1.4%
CON Majority14,977 29.8%Pred Maj 37.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
90%
UKIP
3%
LAB
6%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Ludlow
County/Area: Shropshire (Severn)
MP at 2015: Philip Dunne  (CON)
Electorate: 66,423
Turnout: 72.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,093 54.3% 57.9%
UKIP7,164 14.9% 13.1%
LIB6,469 13.5% 13.9%
LAB5,902 12.3% 9.6%
Green2,435 5.1% 5.5%
CON Majority18,929 39.4%Pred Maj 44.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
93%
UKIP
2%
LIB
1%
LAB
4%
Green
0%


Luton North
County/Area: Bedfordshire (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: Kelvin Hopkins  (LAB)
Electorate: 66,533
Turnout: 64.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,243 52.2% 47.5%
CON12,739 29.9% 35.0%
UKIP5,318 12.5% 10.9%
LIB1,299 3.1% 3.7%
Green972 2.3% 2.9%
LAB Majority9,504 22.3%Pred Maj 12.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
66%
CON
31%
UKIP
2%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Luton South
County/Area: Bedfordshire (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: Gavin Shuker  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,234
Turnout: 62.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,660 44.2% 39.4%
CON12,949 30.7% 36.2%
UKIP5,129 12.1% 10.6%
LIB3,183 7.5% 8.2%
Green1,237 2.9% 3.6%
OTH1,058 2.5% 1.9%
LAB Majority5,711 13.5%Pred Maj 3.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
47%
CON
45%
UKIP
5%
LIB
2%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Macclesfield
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP at 2015: David Rutley  (CON)
Electorate: 71,580
Turnout: 69.3%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,063 52.5% 57.3%
LAB11,252 22.7% 18.3%
UKIP6,037 12.2% 10.7%
LIB3,842 7.7% 8.3%
Green2,404 4.8% 5.4%
CON Majority14,811 29.9%Pred Maj 39.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
90%
LAB
8%
UKIP
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Maidenhead
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP at 2015: Theresa May  (CON)
Electorate: 74,963
Turnout: 71.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON35,453 65.8% 69.2%
LAB6,394 11.9% 8.9%
LIB5,337 9.9% 10.3%
UKIP4,539 8.4% 7.4%
Green1,915 3.6% 3.9%
OTH217 0.4% 0.3%
CON Majority29,059 54.0%Pred Maj 58.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
98%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
UKIP
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Maidstone and The Weald
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP at 2015: Helen Grant  (CON)
Electorate: 73,181
Turnout: 68.3%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,745 45.5% 49.4%
LIB12,036 24.1% 24.5%
UKIP7,930 15.9% 13.9%
LAB5,268 10.5% 7.9%
Green1,396 2.8% 3.2%
OTH635 1.3% 1.0%
CON Majority10,709 21.4%Pred Maj 24.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
84%
LIB
7%
UKIP
4%
LAB
4%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Makerfield
County/Area: Western Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP at 2015: Yvonne Fovargue  (LAB)
Electorate: 74,370
Turnout: 60.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,208 51.8% 47.6%
UKIP10,053 22.4% 20.0%
CON8,752 19.5% 24.9%
LIB1,639 3.7% 4.3%
Green1,136 2.5% 3.1%
LAB Majority13,155 29.4%Pred Maj 22.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
72%
UKIP
7%
CON
20%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Maldon
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP at 2015: John Whittingdale  (CON)
Electorate: 69,455
Turnout: 69.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,112 60.6% 64.4%
UKIP7,042 14.7% 12.8%
LAB5,690 11.8% 9.0%
MIN2,424 5.0% 5.0%
LIB2,157 4.5% 4.9%
Green1,504 3.1% 3.6%
OTH116 0.2% 0.2%
CON Majority22,070 45.9%Pred Maj 51.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
97%
UKIP
2%
LAB
1%
MIN
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Manchester Central
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP at 2015: Lucy Powell  (LAB)
Electorate: 86,078
Turnout: 52.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,772 61.3% 57.0%
CON6,133 13.5% 18.3%
UKIP5,033 11.1% 9.8%
Green3,838 8.5% 9.0%
LIB1,867 4.1% 4.7%
OTH688 1.5% 1.2%
LAB Majority21,639 47.7%Pred Maj 38.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
86%
CON
11%
UKIP
2%
Green
1%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Manchester Gorton
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP at 2015: Sir Gerald Kaufman  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,959
Turnout: 57.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,187 67.1% 62.9%
Green4,108 9.8% 10.3%
CON4,063 9.7% 14.1%
UKIP3,434 8.2% 7.2%
LIB1,782 4.2% 4.8%
OTH445 1.1% 0.8%
LAB Majority24,079 57.3%Pred Maj 48.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
91%
Green
0%
CON
7%
UKIP
1%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%


Manchester Withington
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP at 2015: Jeff Smith  (LAB)
Electorate: 80,590
Turnout: 62.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,843 53.7% 49.5%
LIB11,970 24.0% 24.4%
CON4,872 9.8% 13.6%
Green4,048 8.1% 8.5%
UKIP2,172 4.3% 3.8%
OTH61 0.1% 0.1%
LAB Majority14,873 29.8%Pred Maj 25.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
78%
LIB
6%
CON
13%
Green
1%
UKIP
3%
OTH
0%


Mansfield
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Alan Meale  (LAB)
Electorate: 77,534
Turnout: 60.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,603 39.4% 35.1%
CON13,288 28.2% 33.7%
UKIP11,850 25.1% 22.7%
LIB1,642 3.5% 4.2%
Green1,486 3.1% 3.8%
OTH324 0.7% 0.5%
LAB Majority5,315 11.3%Pred Maj 1.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
44%
CON
43%
UKIP
11%
LIB
1%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Meon Valley
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP at 2015: George Hollingbery  (CON)
Electorate: 72,738
Turnout: 71.1%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,578 61.1% 64.7%
UKIP7,665 14.8% 13.0%
LAB5,656 10.9% 8.2%
LIB4,987 9.6% 10.1%
Green1,831 3.5% 4.0%
CON Majority23,913 46.2%Pred Maj 51.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
97%
UKIP
1%
LAB
1%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Meriden
County/Area: Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
MP at 2015: Caroline Spelman  (CON)
Electorate: 81,079
Turnout: 64.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,791 54.7% 59.8%
LAB9,996 19.0% 14.8%
UKIP8,908 16.9% 14.9%
LIB2,638 5.0% 5.6%
Green2,170 4.1% 4.7%
OTH100 0.2% 0.1%
CON Majority18,795 35.7%Pred Maj 44.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
92%
LAB
5%
UKIP
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Middlesbrough
County/Area: Teesside (North)
MP at 2015: Andy McDonald  (LAB)
Electorate: 61,868
Turnout: 52.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,584 56.8% 52.5%
UKIP6,107 18.7% 16.4%
CON5,388 16.5% 21.8%
Green1,407 4.3% 4.9%
LIB1,220 3.7% 4.4%
LAB Majority12,477 38.1%Pred Maj 30.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
81%
UKIP
4%
CON
14%
Green
1%
LIB
1%


Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East
County/Area: Teesside (North)
MP at 2015: Tom Blenkinsop  (LAB)
Electorate: 71,153
Turnout: 64.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,193 42.0% 37.7%
CON16,925 37.1% 42.1%
UKIP6,935 15.2% 13.4%
LIB1,564 3.4% 4.0%
Green1,060 2.3% 2.9%
LAB Majority2,268 5.0%Pred Maj 4.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
43%
CON
52%
UKIP
3%
LIB
1%
Green
0%

CON Gain

Milton Keynes North
County/Area: Buckinghamshire (Essex)
MP at 2015: Mark Lancaster  (CON)
Electorate: 84,892
Turnout: 68.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,244 47.2% 52.4%
LAB17,491 30.3% 25.6%
UKIP6,852 11.9% 10.4%
LIB3,575 6.2% 6.8%
Green2,255 3.9% 4.5%
OTH275 0.5% 0.4%
CON Majority9,753 16.9%Pred Maj 26.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
83%
LAB
13%
UKIP
3%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Milton Keynes South
County/Area: Buckinghamshire (Essex)
MP at 2015: Iain Stewart  (CON)
Electorate: 87,968
Turnout: 67.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,601 46.8% 52.1%
LAB18,929 32.1% 27.4%
UKIP7,803 13.2% 11.6%
LIB2,309 3.9% 4.6%
Green1,936 3.3% 3.9%
OTH371 0.6% 0.5%
CON Majority8,672 14.7%Pred Maj 24.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
82%
LAB
15%
UKIP
3%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Mitcham and Morden
County/Area: Merton (South London)
MP at 2015: Siobhain McDonagh  (LAB)
Electorate: 68,474
Turnout: 65.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB27,380 60.7% 56.3%
CON10,458 23.2% 27.7%
UKIP4,287 9.5% 8.3%
Green1,422 3.2% 3.7%
LIB1,378 3.1% 3.6%
OTH217 0.5% 0.4%
LAB Majority16,922 37.5%Pred Maj 28.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
82%
CON
16%
UKIP
1%
Green
1%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Mole Valley
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP at 2015: Sir Paul Beresford  (CON)
Electorate: 74,317
Turnout: 74.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,434 60.6% 63.4%
LIB7,981 14.5% 14.8%
UKIP6,181 11.2% 9.8%
LAB4,565 8.3% 6.2%
Green2,979 5.4% 5.7%
CON Majority25,453 46.2%Pred Maj 48.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
97%
LIB
1%
UKIP
1%
LAB
1%
Green
0%


Morecambe and Lunesdale
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: David Morris  (CON)
Electorate: 66,476
Turnout: 65.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,691 45.5% 50.2%
LAB15,101 34.9% 30.7%
UKIP5,358 12.4% 10.9%
LIB1,612 3.7% 4.3%
Green1,395 3.2% 3.8%
OTH85 0.2% 0.2%
CON Majority4,590 10.6%Pred Maj 19.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
72%
LAB
25%
UKIP
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Morley and Outwood
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP at 2015: Andrea Jenkyns  (CON)
Electorate: 76,179
Turnout: 63.3%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,776 38.9% 44.3%
LAB18,354 38.0% 33.7%
UKIP7,951 16.5% 14.4%
LIB1,426 3.0% 3.6%
Green1,264 2.6% 3.2%
OTH479 1.0% 0.8%
CON Majority422 0.9%Pred Maj 10.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
62%
LAB
33%
UKIP
4%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


New Forest East
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP at 2015: Julian Lewis  (CON)
Electorate: 72,720
Turnout: 68.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,819 56.3% 60.5%
UKIP8,657 17.5% 15.4%
LAB6,018 12.2% 9.1%
LIB4,626 9.4% 9.9%
Green2,327 4.7% 5.2%
CON Majority19,162 38.8%Pred Maj 45.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
95%
UKIP
2%
LAB
2%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


New Forest West
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP at 2015: Desmond Swayne  (CON)
Electorate: 68,465
Turnout: 69.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,420 59.9% 63.8%
UKIP7,816 16.5% 14.5%
LAB5,133 10.8% 8.1%
LIB3,293 6.9% 7.4%
Green2,748 5.8% 6.2%
CON Majority20,604 43.5%Pred Maj 49.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
97%
UKIP
2%
LAB
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Newark
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Robert Jenrick  (CON)
Electorate: 73,724
Turnout: 70.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,834 57.0% 61.9%
LAB11,360 21.7% 17.4%
UKIP6,294 12.0% 10.6%
LIB2,385 4.6% 5.2%
Green1,792 3.4% 4.0%
OTH637 1.2% 0.9%
CON Majority18,474 35.3%Pred Maj 44.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
93%
LAB
5%
UKIP
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Newbury
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP at 2015: Richard Benyon  (CON)
Electorate: 79,058
Turnout: 72.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,973 61.0% 63.9%
LIB8,605 15.0% 15.4%
UKIP6,195 10.8% 9.5%
LAB4,837 8.4% 6.3%
Green2,324 4.1% 4.4%
OTH366 0.6% 0.5%
CON Majority26,368 46.0%Pred Maj 48.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
97%
LIB
1%
UKIP
1%
LAB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Newcastle upon Tyne Central
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP at 2015: Chi Onwurah  (LAB)
Electorate: 61,061
Turnout: 57.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,301 55.0% 50.6%
CON6,628 18.9% 23.9%
UKIP5,214 14.9% 13.1%
LIB2,218 6.3% 6.9%
Green1,724 4.9% 5.5%
LAB Majority12,673 36.1%Pred Maj 26.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
78%
CON
17%
UKIP
3%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Newcastle upon Tyne East
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP at 2015: Nick Brown  (LAB)
Electorate: 74,112
Turnout: 52.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,378 49.4% 45.0%
CON6,884 17.6% 22.4%
UKIP4,910 12.5% 11.0%
LIB4,332 11.0% 11.6%
Green3,426 8.7% 9.3%
OTH292 0.7% 0.6%
LAB Majority12,494 31.9%Pred Maj 22.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
69%
CON
23%
UKIP
5%
LIB
3%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Newcastle upon Tyne North
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP at 2015: Catherine McKinnell  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,267
Turnout: 66.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,689 46.1% 41.7%
CON10,536 23.5% 28.8%
UKIP7,447 16.6% 14.6%
LIB4,366 9.7% 10.4%
Green1,515 3.4% 4.0%
OTH338 0.8% 0.6%
LAB Majority10,153 22.6%Pred Maj 13.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
60%
CON
30%
UKIP
7%
LIB
3%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Newcastle-under-Lyme
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP at 2015: Paul Farrelly  (LAB)
Electorate: 66,752
Turnout: 64.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,520 38.4% 34.0%
CON15,870 36.9% 42.2%
UKIP7,252 16.9% 14.9%
LIB1,826 4.2% 4.9%
Green1,246 2.9% 3.5%
OTH283 0.7% 0.5%
LAB Majority650 1.5%Pred Maj 8.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
35%
CON
58%
UKIP
5%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

CON Gain

Newton Abbot
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP at 2015: Anne-Marie Morris  (CON)
Electorate: 69,743
Turnout: 69.1%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,794 47.3% 50.8%
LIB11,506 23.9% 24.3%
UKIP6,726 14.0% 12.3%
LAB4,736 9.8% 7.2%
Green2,216 4.6% 5.0%
OTH221 0.5% 0.4%
CON Majority11,288 23.4%Pred Maj 26.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
85%
LIB
9%
UKIP
3%
LAB
2%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Norfolk Mid
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: George Freeman  (CON)
Electorate: 76,975
Turnout: 67.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,206 52.1% 57.6%
UKIP9,930 19.0% 16.7%
LAB9,585 18.4% 14.0%
LIB3,300 6.3% 7.0%
Green2,191 4.2% 4.8%
CON Majority17,276 33.1%Pred Maj 40.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
91%
UKIP
3%
LAB
5%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Norfolk North
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: Norman Lamb  (LIB)
Electorate: 68,958
Turnout: 71.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LIB19,299 39.1% 39.5%
CON15,256 30.9% 34.5%
UKIP8,328 16.9% 14.8%
LAB5,043 10.2% 7.8%
Green1,488 3.0% 3.4%
LIB Majority4,043 8.2%Pred Maj 5.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LIB
40%
CON
45%
UKIP
7%
LAB
7%
Green
1%


Norfolk North West
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: Henry Bellingham  (CON)
Electorate: 72,400
Turnout: 65.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,727 52.2% 57.8%
LAB10,779 22.8% 18.0%
UKIP8,412 17.8% 15.6%
Green1,780 3.8% 4.4%
LIB1,673 3.5% 4.2%
CON Majority13,948 29.4%Pred Maj 39.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
91%
LAB
6%
UKIP
3%
Green
0%
LIB
1%


Norfolk South
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: Richard Bacon  (CON)
Electorate: 78,885
Turnout: 72.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,995 54.3% 59.2%
LAB10,502 18.4% 14.0%
UKIP7,847 13.7% 12.0%
LIB4,689 8.2% 8.8%
Green3,090 5.4% 6.0%
CON Majority20,493 35.9%Pred Maj 45.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
93%
LAB
4%
UKIP
2%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Norfolk South West
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: Elizabeth Truss  (CON)
Electorate: 76,970
Turnout: 65.1%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,515 50.9% 56.3%
UKIP11,654 23.3% 20.8%
LAB8,649 17.3% 13.2%
LIB2,217 4.4% 5.1%
Green2,075 4.1% 4.7%
CON Majority13,861 27.7%Pred Maj 35.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
90%
UKIP
4%
LAB
4%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP at 2015: Yvette Cooper  (LAB)
Electorate: 82,592
Turnout: 55.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,213 54.9% 50.6%
UKIP9,785 21.3% 18.8%
CON9,569 20.8% 26.4%
LIB1,330 2.9% 3.6%
Green0 0.0% 0.6%
LAB Majority15,428 33.6%Pred Maj 24.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
77%
UKIP
4%
CON
18%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Northampton North
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: Michael Ellis  (CON)
Electorate: 59,147
Turnout: 66.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON16,699 42.4% 47.8%
LAB13,454 34.1% 29.4%
UKIP6,354 16.1% 14.1%
Green1,503 3.8% 4.4%
LIB1,401 3.6% 4.2%
CON Majority3,245 8.2%Pred Maj 18.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
73%
LAB
21%
UKIP
4%
Green
1%
LIB
1%


Northampton South
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: David Mackintosh  (CON)
Electorate: 61,284
Turnout: 63.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON16,163 41.6% 47.3%
LAB12,370 31.8% 27.1%
UKIP7,114 18.3% 16.0%
LIB1,673 4.3% 5.0%
Green1,403 3.6% 4.3%
OTH161 0.4% 0.3%
CON Majority3,793 9.8%Pred Maj 20.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
73%
LAB
19%
UKIP
6%
LIB
2%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Northamptonshire South
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: Andrea Leadsom  (CON)
Electorate: 85,092
Turnout: 71.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON36,607 60.1% 64.7%
LAB10,191 16.7% 12.8%
UKIP8,204 13.5% 11.8%
LIB3,613 5.9% 6.5%
Green2,247 3.7% 4.2%
CON Majority26,416 43.4%Pred Maj 52.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
96%
LAB
2%
UKIP
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Norwich North
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: Chloe Smith  (CON)
Electorate: 65,136
Turnout: 66.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,052 43.7% 49.0%
LAB14,589 33.5% 28.7%
UKIP5,986 13.7% 12.0%
Green1,939 4.4% 5.0%
LIB1,894 4.3% 5.0%
OTH132 0.3% 0.2%
CON Majority4,463 10.2%Pred Maj 20.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
76%
LAB
19%
UKIP
3%
Green
1%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Norwich South
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: Clive Lewis  (LAB)
Electorate: 74,875
Turnout: 64.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,033 39.3% 34.5%
CON11,379 23.5% 28.3%
Green6,749 13.9% 14.5%
LIB6,607 13.6% 14.2%
UKIP4,539 9.4% 8.2%
OTH156 0.3% 0.2%
LAB Majority7,654 15.8%Pred Maj 6.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
41%
CON
43%
Green
3%
LIB
6%
UKIP
7%
OTH
0%


Nottingham East
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Christopher Leslie  (LAB)
Electorate: 60,464
Turnout: 58.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,208 54.6% 50.2%
CON7,314 20.8% 25.4%
UKIP3,501 9.9% 8.8%
Green3,473 9.9% 10.4%
LIB1,475 4.2% 4.7%
OTH238 0.7% 0.5%
LAB Majority11,894 33.8%Pred Maj 24.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
74%
CON
21%
UKIP
3%
Green
1%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Nottingham North
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Graham Allen  (LAB)
Electorate: 65,918
Turnout: 53.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,283 54.6% 50.2%
CON7,423 21.0% 26.4%
UKIP6,542 18.5% 16.3%
Green1,088 3.1% 3.7%
LIB847 2.4% 3.0%
OTH160 0.5% 0.3%
LAB Majority11,860 33.6%Pred Maj 23.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
75%
CON
21%
UKIP
4%
Green
0%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Nottingham South
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Lillian Greenwood  (LAB)
Electorate: 68,987
Turnout: 63.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,697 47.6% 43.3%
CON13,761 31.7% 36.4%
UKIP4,900 11.3% 9.9%
Green2,345 5.4% 5.9%
LIB1,532 3.5% 4.1%
OTH230 0.5% 0.4%
LAB Majority6,936 16.0%Pred Maj 6.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
56%
CON
40%
UKIP
3%
Green
1%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Nuneaton
County/Area: Warwickshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Marcus Jones  (CON)
Electorate: 68,032
Turnout: 67.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,827 45.5% 50.5%
LAB15,945 34.9% 30.5%
UKIP6,582 14.4% 12.7%
Green1,281 2.8% 3.4%
LIB816 1.8% 2.4%
OTH298 0.7% 0.5%
CON Majority4,882 10.7%Pred Maj 20.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
74%
LAB
23%
UKIP
2%
Green
0%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Old Bexley and Sidcup
County/Area: Bexley (South London)
MP at 2015: James Brokenshire  (CON)
Electorate: 66,035
Turnout: 70.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,682 52.8% 58.1%
LAB8,879 19.0% 14.9%
UKIP8,528 18.2% 16.0%
LIB1,644 3.5% 4.2%
Green1,336 2.9% 3.5%
MIN1,216 2.6% 2.6%
OTH463 1.0% 0.8%
CON Majority15,803 33.8%Pred Maj 42.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
88%
LAB
9%
UKIP
2%
LIB
1%
Green
1%
MIN
0%
OTH
0%


Oldham East and Saddleworth
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP at 2015: Debbie Abrahams  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,005
Turnout: 61.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,529 39.4% 35.2%
CON11,527 25.9% 31.2%
UKIP8,557 19.2% 16.9%
LIB5,718 12.9% 13.5%
Green1,152 2.6% 3.2%
LAB Majority6,002 13.5%Pred Maj 4.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
49%
CON
39%
UKIP
8%
LIB
3%
Green
1%


Oldham West and Royton
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP at 2015: Michael Meacher  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,341
Turnout: 59.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,630 54.8% 50.6%
UKIP8,892 20.6% 18.2%
CON8,187 19.0% 24.4%
LIB1,589 3.7% 4.3%
Green839 1.9% 2.6%
LAB Majority14,738 34.2%Pred Maj 26.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions

Result shown is original general election result. Mr Jim McMahon (Lab) held the seat in a by-election on 3 December 2016, following the death of Mr Meacher in October 2015.

Chance of winning
LAB
77%
UKIP
4%
CON
18%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Orpington
County/Area: Bromley (South London)
MP at 2015: Joseph Johnson  (CON)
Electorate: 68,129
Turnout: 72.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,152 57.4% 61.8%
UKIP8,173 16.7% 14.6%
LAB7,645 15.6% 12.2%
LIB3,330 6.8% 7.3%
Green1,732 3.5% 4.0%
CON Majority19,979 40.7%Pred Maj 47.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
94%
UKIP
1%
LAB
5%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Oxford East
County/Area: Oxfordshire (West)
MP at 2015: Andrew Smith  (LAB)
Electorate: 78,974
Turnout: 64.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,356 50.0% 44.7%
CON10,076 19.9% 25.0%
Green5,890 11.6% 12.2%
LIB5,453 10.8% 11.4%
UKIP3,451 6.8% 6.0%
OTH463 0.9% 0.7%
LAB Majority15,280 30.1%Pred Maj 19.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
65%
CON
24%
Green
2%
LIB
5%
UKIP
3%
OTH
0%


Oxford West and Abingdon
County/Area: Oxfordshire (West)
MP at 2015: Nicola Blackwood  (CON)
Electorate: 79,767
Turnout: 71.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,153 45.7% 49.4%
LIB16,571 28.9% 29.4%
LAB7,274 12.7% 9.3%
UKIP3,963 6.9% 6.1%
Green2,497 4.4% 4.8%
OTH789 1.4% 1.1%
CON Majority9,582 16.7%Pred Maj 20.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
80%
LIB
15%
LAB
3%
UKIP
2%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Pendle
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: Andrew Stephenson  (CON)
Electorate: 64,657
Turnout: 68.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,978 47.2% 51.8%
LAB15,525 34.9% 30.7%
UKIP5,415 12.2% 10.7%
LIB1,487 3.3% 3.9%
Green1,043 2.3% 2.9%
CON Majority5,453 12.3%Pred Maj 21.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
76%
LAB
22%
UKIP
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Penistone and Stocksbridge
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP at 2015: Angela Smith  (LAB)
Electorate: 71,048
Turnout: 65.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,691 42.0% 37.7%
CON12,968 27.7% 33.5%
UKIP10,738 22.9% 20.4%
LIB2,957 6.3% 7.0%
OTH500 1.1% 0.8%
Green0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority6,723 14.3%Pred Maj 4.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
50%
CON
39%
UKIP
9%
LIB
2%
OTH
0%
Green
0%


Penrith and The Border
County/Area: Cumbria (North)
MP at 2015: Rory Stewart  (CON)
Electorate: 65,209
Turnout: 67.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,202 59.7% 63.4%
LAB6,308 14.4% 11.2%
UKIP5,353 12.2% 10.7%
LIB3,745 8.5% 9.0%
Green2,313 5.3% 5.7%
CON Majority19,894 45.3%Pred Maj 52.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
97%
LAB
2%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Peterborough
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: Stewart Jackson  (CON)
Electorate: 72,521
Turnout: 64.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,684 39.7% 45.6%
LAB16,759 35.6% 30.8%
UKIP7,485 15.9% 13.9%
LIB1,774 3.8% 4.5%
Green1,218 2.6% 3.3%
OTH1,155 2.5% 1.9%
CON Majority1,925 4.1%Pred Maj 14.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
68%
LAB
25%
UKIP
5%
LIB
1%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Plymouth Moor View
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP at 2015: Johnny Mercer  (CON)
Electorate: 68,115
Turnout: 62.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON16,020 37.6% 43.9%
LAB14,994 35.2% 29.8%
UKIP9,152 21.5% 19.1%
LIB1,265 3.0% 3.7%
Green1,023 2.4% 3.1%
OTH152 0.4% 0.3%
CON Majority1,026 2.4%Pred Maj 14.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
65%
LAB
24%
UKIP
7%
LIB
3%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Plymouth Sutton and Devonport
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP at 2015: Oliver Colville  (CON)
Electorate: 73,495
Turnout: 65.3%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,120 37.8% 43.5%
LAB17,597 36.7% 31.3%
UKIP6,731 14.0% 12.4%
Green3,401 7.1% 7.7%
LIB2,008 4.2% 4.9%
OTH106 0.2% 0.2%
CON Majority523 1.1%Pred Maj 12.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
64%
LAB
26%
UKIP
4%
Green
2%
LIB
4%
OTH
0%


Poole
County/Area: Dorset (South West)
MP at 2015: Robert Syms  (CON)
Electorate: 72,557
Turnout: 65.3%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,745 50.1% 55.2%
UKIP7,956 16.8% 14.8%
LAB6,102 12.9% 9.4%
LIB5,572 11.8% 12.4%
Green2,198 4.6% 5.2%
OTH1,820 3.8% 3.0%
CON Majority15,789 33.3%Pred Maj 40.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
90%
UKIP
3%
LAB
3%
LIB
3%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Poplar and Limehouse
County/Area: Tower Hamlets (North London)
MP at 2015: Jim Fitzpatrick  (LAB)
Electorate: 82,076
Turnout: 62.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB29,886 58.5% 54.2%
CON12,962 25.4% 29.7%
UKIP3,128 6.1% 5.4%
Green2,463 4.8% 5.3%
LIB2,149 4.2% 4.7%
OTH456 0.9% 0.7%
LAB Majority16,924 33.2%Pred Maj 24.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
78%
CON
20%
UKIP
1%
Green
1%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Portsmouth North
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP at 2015: Penny Mordaunt  (CON)
Electorate: 73,105
Turnout: 62.1%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,343 47.0% 53.1%
LAB10,806 23.8% 18.8%
UKIP8,660 19.1% 16.8%
LIB2,828 6.2% 7.0%
Green1,450 3.2% 3.9%
OTH303 0.7% 0.5%
CON Majority10,537 23.2%Pred Maj 34.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
85%
LAB
8%
UKIP
4%
LIB
2%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Portsmouth South
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP at 2015: Flick Drummond  (CON)
Electorate: 71,639
Turnout: 58.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON14,585 34.8% 40.2%
LIB9,344 22.3% 23.0%
LAB8,184 19.5% 14.6%
UKIP5,595 13.4% 11.7%
Green3,145 7.5% 8.1%
MIN716 1.7% 1.7%
OTH334 0.8% 0.6%
CON Majority5,241 12.5%Pred Maj 17.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
62%
LIB
14%
LAB
14%
UKIP
8%
Green
3%
MIN
0%
OTH
0%


Preston
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: Mark Hendrick  (LAB)
Electorate: 59,981
Turnout: 55.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,755 56.0% 51.8%
CON6,688 20.0% 24.9%
UKIP5,139 15.4% 13.5%
Green1,643 4.9% 5.5%
LIB1,244 3.7% 4.3%
LAB Majority12,067 36.1%Pred Maj 26.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
78%
CON
17%
UKIP
3%
Green
0%
LIB
1%


Pudsey
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP at 2015: Stuart Andrew  (CON)
Electorate: 70,533
Turnout: 72.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,637 46.4% 50.9%
LAB19,136 37.6% 33.2%
UKIP4,689 9.2% 8.0%
LIB1,926 3.8% 4.3%
Green1,539 3.0% 3.5%
CON Majority4,501 8.8%Pred Maj 17.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
74%
LAB
24%
UKIP
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Putney
County/Area: Wandsworth (South London)
MP at 2015: Justine Greening  (CON)
Electorate: 63,918
Turnout: 67.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,018 53.8% 57.8%
LAB12,838 30.0% 25.7%
LIB2,717 6.3% 6.8%
Green2,067 4.8% 5.3%
UKIP1,989 4.6% 4.1%
OTH184 0.4% 0.3%
CON Majority10,180 23.8%Pred Maj 32.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
86%
LAB
13%
LIB
0%
Green
1%
UKIP
0%
OTH
0%