Constituency List: England L-Q



Lancashire West
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Rosie Cooper  (LAB)
Electorate: 75,975
Turnout: 63.80%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,88345.14%52.54%
CON17,54036.19%36.76%
LIB6,57313.56% 4.16%
OTH2,477 5.11% 6.54%
LAB Majority4,343 8.96%Pred Maj 15.78%
Chance of winning
LAB
87.9%
CON
12.1%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%


Lancaster and Fleetwood
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Eric Ollerenshaw  (CON)
Electorate: 69,908
Turnout: 61.08%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON15,40436.07%36.89%
LAB15,07135.29%45.73%
LIB8,16719.13% 5.86%
OTH4,059 9.51%11.52%
CON Majority333 0.78%Pred Maj 8.84%
Chance of winning
CON
31.3%
LAB
68.1%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.6%

LAB Gain

Leeds Central
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Hilary Benn  (LAB)
Electorate: 64,698
Turnout: 57.80%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,43449.30%59.67%
LIB7,78920.83% 7.65%
CON7,54120.17%20.97%
OTH3,630 9.71%11.71%
LAB Majority10,64528.47%Pred Maj 38.69%
Chance of winning
LAB
98.0%
LIB
0.0%
CON
1.9%
OTH
0.1%


Leeds East
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: George Mudie  (LAB)
Electorate: 65,067
Turnout: 58.11%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,05650.40%59.47%
CON8,76323.17%23.88%
LIB6,61817.50% 5.97%
OTH3,376 8.93%10.68%
LAB Majority10,29327.22%Pred Maj 35.59%
Chance of winning
LAB
98.2%
CON
1.8%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%


Leeds North East
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Fabian Hamilton  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,899
Turnout: 70.01%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,28742.68%52.83%
CON15,74233.12%33.91%
LIB9,31019.59% 6.68%
OTH2,196 4.62% 6.58%
LAB Majority4,545 9.56%Pred Maj 18.93%
Chance of winning
LAB
86.6%
CON
13.2%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.2%


Leeds North West
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Greg Mulholland  (LIB)
Electorate: 65,399
Turnout: 66.49%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB20,65347.50%34.31%
CON11,55026.56%27.37%
LAB9,13221.00%31.37%
OTH2,148 4.94% 6.94%
LIB Majority9,10320.93%Pred Maj 2.94%
Chance of winning
LIB
39.5%
CON
24.0%
LAB
35.7%
OTH
0.8%


Leeds West
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Rachel Reeves  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,453
Turnout: 57.45%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,38942.29%52.66%
LIB9,37324.19%11.00%
CON7,64119.72%20.53%
OTH5,34913.80%15.81%
LAB Majority7,01618.10%Pred Maj 32.14%
Chance of winning
LAB
94.1%
LIB
0.1%
CON
4.9%
OTH
0.9%


Leicester East
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Keith Vaz  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,986
Turnout: 65.76%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB25,80453.76%61.27%
CON11,72224.42%25.01%
LIB6,81714.20% 4.66%
OTH3,652 7.61% 9.06%
LAB Majority14,08229.34%Pred Maj 36.26%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.1%
CON
0.9%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%


Leicester South
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Peter Soulsby  (LAB)
Electorate: 77,175
Turnout: 61.06%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,47945.58%56.15%
LIB12,67126.89%13.46%
CON10,06621.36%22.18%
OTH2,908 6.17% 8.21%
LAB Majority8,80818.69%Pred Maj 33.96%

Result shown is original general election result. Sir Peter Soulsby has since resigned to stand for Mayor of Leicester.

Chance of winning
LAB
95.8%
LIB
0.0%
CON
4.0%
OTH
0.2%


Leicester West
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Elizabeth Kendall  (LAB)
Electorate: 64,900
Turnout: 55.19%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB13,74538.37%48.94%
CON9,72827.16%27.98%
LIB8,10722.63% 9.20%
OTH4,23911.83%13.88%
LAB Majority4,01711.21%Pred Maj 20.96%
Chance of winning
LAB
85.3%
CON
13.5%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
1.1%


Leicestershire North West
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Andrew Bridgen  (CON)
Electorate: 71,219
Turnout: 72.95%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,14744.55%45.24%
LAB15,63630.10%38.88%
LIB8,63916.63% 5.46%
OTH4,530 8.72%10.42%
CON Majority7,51114.46%Pred Maj 6.36%
Chance of winning
CON
62.7%
LAB
37.0%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.3%


Leicestershire South
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Andrew Robathan  (CON)
Electorate: 76,639
Turnout: 71.21%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,00049.47%50.30%
LIB11,47621.03% 7.60%
LAB11,39220.87%31.44%
OTH4,709 8.63%10.67%
CON Majority15,52428.44%Pred Maj 18.85%
Chance of winning
CON
85.3%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
14.4%
OTH
0.2%


Leigh
County/Area: Western Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Andrew Burnham  (LAB)
Electorate: 76,350
Turnout: 58.06%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,29548.04%57.94%
CON9,28420.94%21.71%
LIB8,04918.16% 5.57%
OTH5,70412.87%14.78%
LAB Majority12,01127.09%Pred Maj 36.23%
Chance of winning
LAB
97.1%
CON
2.7%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.2%


Lewes
County/Area: East Sussex (South East)
MP: Norman Baker  (LIB)
Electorate: 68,708
Turnout: 72.90%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB26,04852.00%39.32%
CON18,40136.74%37.52%
LAB2,508 5.01%14.99%
MIN1,728 3.45% 3.45%
OTH1,403 2.80% 4.73%
LIB Majority7,64715.27%Pred Maj 1.80%
Chance of winning
LIB
54.2%
CON
42.8%
LAB
2.7%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.3%


Lewisham Deptford
County/Area: Lewisham (South London)
MP: Joan Ruddock  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,058
Turnout: 61.47%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,13253.69%65.07%
LIB9,63323.37% 8.90%
CON5,55113.47%14.35%
OTH3,904 9.47%11.67%
LAB Majority12,49930.32%Pred Maj 50.72%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.3%
LIB
0.0%
CON
0.7%
OTH
0.0%


Lewisham East
County/Area: Lewisham (South London)
MP: Heidi Alexander  (LAB)
Electorate: 65,926
Turnout: 63.28%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,96643.06%54.45%
LIB11,75028.16%13.70%
CON9,85023.61%24.50%
OTH2,153 5.16% 7.36%
LAB Majority6,21614.90%Pred Maj 29.95%
Chance of winning
LAB
93.9%
LIB
0.2%
CON
5.7%
OTH
0.2%


Lewisham West and Penge
County/Area: Lewisham (South London)
MP: Jim Dowd  (LAB)
Electorate: 69,022
Turnout: 65.24%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,50141.09%52.47%
LIB12,67328.14%13.68%
CON11,48925.52%26.40%
OTH2,365 5.25% 7.45%
LAB Majority5,82812.94%Pred Maj 26.07%
Chance of winning
LAB
90.5%
LIB
0.3%
CON
9.0%
OTH
0.2%


Leyton and Wanstead
County/Area: Waltham Forest (North London)
MP: John Cryer  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,541
Turnout: 63.20%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,51143.60%54.99%
LIB11,09527.63%13.16%
CON8,92822.23%23.12%
OTH2,625 6.54% 8.73%
LAB Majority6,41615.98%Pred Maj 31.87%
Chance of winning
LAB
94.6%
LIB
0.2%
CON
5.0%
OTH
0.2%


Lichfield
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP: Michael Fabricant  (CON)
Electorate: 72,586
Turnout: 71.04%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,04854.40%55.24%
LIB10,36520.10% 6.29%
LAB10,23019.84%30.70%
OTH2,920 5.66% 7.76%
CON Majority17,68334.29%Pred Maj 24.54%
Chance of winning
CON
91.8%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
8.0%
OTH
0.1%


Lincoln
County/Area: Lincolnshire (Humberside)
MP: Karl McCartney  (CON)
Electorate: 73,540
Turnout: 62.17%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON17,16337.54%38.35%
LAB16,10535.22%45.60%
LIB9,25620.24% 7.06%
OTH3,197 6.99% 9.00%
CON Majority1,058 2.31%Pred Maj 7.25%
Chance of winning
CON
35.3%
LAB
64.3%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.4%

LAB Gain

Liverpool Riverside
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Louise Ellman  (LAB)
Electorate: 74,539
Turnout: 52.05%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,99859.27%70.18%
LIB8,82522.74% 8.88%
CON4,24310.94%11.79%
OTH2,735 7.05% 9.16%
LAB Majority14,17336.53%Pred Maj 58.40%
Chance of winning
LAB
100.0%
LIB
0.0%
CON
0.0%
OTH
0.0%


Liverpool Walton
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Steve Rotheram  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,612
Turnout: 54.84%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,70971.96%79.74%
LIB4,89114.24% 4.37%
CON2,241 6.53% 7.13%
OTH1,390 4.05% 5.55%
MIN1,104 3.22% 3.22%
LAB Majority19,81857.72%Pred Maj 72.60%
Chance of winning
LAB
100.0%
LIB
0.0%
CON
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
MIN
0.0%


Liverpool Wavertree
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Luciana Berger  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,518
Turnout: 60.64%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,13253.10%64.01%
LIB12,96534.20%20.33%
CON2,830 7.46% 8.31%
OTH1,987 5.24% 7.35%
LAB Majority7,16718.90%Pred Maj 43.68%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.8%
LIB
0.0%
CON
0.2%
OTH
0.0%


Liverpool West Derby
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Stephen Twigg  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,082
Turnout: 56.73%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,95364.14%70.98%
LIB4,48612.54% 3.84%
MIN3,327 9.30% 9.30%
CON3,311 9.25% 9.79%
OTH1,707 4.77% 6.09%
LAB Majority18,46751.61%Pred Maj 61.20%
Chance of winning
LAB
100.0%
LIB
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
CON
0.0%
OTH
0.0%


Loughborough
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Nicky Morgan  (CON)
Electorate: 77,502
Turnout: 68.18%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,97141.58%42.34%
LAB18,22734.50%44.17%
LIB9,67518.31% 6.01%
OTH2,965 5.61% 7.48%
CON Majority3,744 7.09%Pred Maj 1.83%
Chance of winning
CON
45.5%
LAB
54.2%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.3%

LAB Gain

Louth and Horncastle
County/Area: Lincolnshire (Humberside)
MP: Sir Peter Tapsell  (CON)
Electorate: 77,650
Turnout: 65.03%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,06549.64%50.45%
LIB11,19422.17% 8.99%
LAB8,76017.35%27.72%
OTH5,47510.84%12.85%
CON Majority13,87127.47%Pred Maj 22.73%
Chance of winning
CON
88.8%
LIB
0.3%
LAB
10.6%
OTH
0.3%


Ludlow
County/Area: Shropshire (Severn)
MP: Philip Dunne  (CON)
Electorate: 66,631
Turnout: 73.14%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,72052.78%53.63%
LIB15,97132.77%18.96%
LAB3,272 6.71%17.58%
MIN2,127 4.36% 4.36%
OTH1,642 3.37% 5.47%
CON Majority9,74920.01%Pred Maj 34.66%
Chance of winning
CON
96.5%
LIB
0.3%
LAB
3.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.2%


Luton North
County/Area: Bedfordshire (East Anglia)
MP: Kelvin Hopkins  (LAB)
Electorate: 65,062
Turnout: 66.12%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,19249.26%55.08%
CON13,67231.78%32.24%
LIB4,78411.12% 3.73%
OTH3,370 7.83% 8.96%
LAB Majority7,52017.48%Pred Maj 22.84%
Chance of winning
LAB
95.2%
CON
4.8%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%


Luton South
County/Area: Bedfordshire (East Anglia)
MP: Gavin Shuker  (LAB)
Electorate: 59,962
Turnout: 70.40%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB14,72534.88%45.34%
CON12,39629.36%30.18%
LIB9,56722.66% 9.37%
OTH5,52813.09%15.11%
LAB Majority2,329 5.52%Pred Maj 15.16%
Chance of winning
LAB
76.4%
CON
21.5%
LIB
0.3%
OTH
1.8%


Macclesfield
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP: David Rutley  (CON)
Electorate: 73,417
Turnout: 68.18%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,50346.95%47.80%
LIB11,54423.06% 9.25%
LAB10,16420.30%31.17%
OTH4,848 9.68%11.78%
CON Majority11,95923.89%Pred Maj 16.63%
Chance of winning
CON
82.0%
LIB
0.3%
LAB
17.4%
OTH
0.3%


Maidenhead
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP: Theresa May  (CON)
Electorate: 72,844
Turnout: 73.75%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,93759.45%60.23%
LIB15,16828.24%15.55%
LAB3,795 7.06%17.05%
OTH2,820 5.25% 7.18%
CON Majority16,76931.22%Pred Maj 43.18%
Chance of winning
CON
99.1%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
0.8%
OTH
0.0%


Maidstone and The Weald
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP: Helen Grant  (CON)
Electorate: 71,041
Turnout: 68.87%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,49148.01%48.79%
LIB17,60235.98%23.29%
LAB4,769 9.75%19.73%
OTH3,066 6.27% 8.19%
CON Majority5,88912.04%Pred Maj 25.50%
Chance of winning
CON
92.5%
LIB
2.3%
LAB
4.9%
OTH
0.3%


Makerfield
County/Area: Western Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Yvonne Fovargue  (LAB)
Electorate: 73,641
Turnout: 59.44%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,70047.29%56.12%
CON8,21018.76%19.44%
LIB7,08216.18% 4.96%
OTH4,355 9.95%11.65%
MIN3,424 7.82% 7.82%
LAB Majority12,49028.53%Pred Maj 36.67%
Chance of winning
LAB
98.4%
CON
1.6%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
MIN
0.0%


Maldon
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP: John Whittingdale  (CON)
Electorate: 68,861
Turnout: 69.55%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,66159.84%60.63%
LIB9,25419.32% 6.48%
LAB6,07012.67%22.78%
OTH3,910 8.16%10.11%
CON Majority19,40740.52%Pred Maj 37.85%
Chance of winning
CON
97.7%
LIB
0.0%
LAB
2.3%
OTH
0.0%


Manchester Central
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Tony Lloyd  (LAB)
Electorate: 90,110
Turnout: 44.31%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,05952.74%63.65%
LIB10,62026.60%12.73%
CON4,70411.78%12.63%
OTH3,544 8.88%10.98%
LAB Majority10,43926.15%Pred Maj 50.92%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.8%
LIB
0.0%
CON
0.2%
OTH
0.0%


Manchester Gorton
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Sir Gerald Kaufman  (LAB)
Electorate: 75,933
Turnout: 50.47%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,21150.13%61.04%
LIB12,50832.64%18.77%
CON4,22411.02%11.87%
OTH2,382 6.22% 8.32%
LAB Majority6,70317.49%Pred Maj 42.27%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.5%
LIB
0.0%
CON
0.4%
OTH
0.1%


Manchester Withington
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: John Leech  (LIB)
Electorate: 74,371
Turnout: 60.55%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB20,11044.66%30.79%
LAB18,21640.45%51.36%
CON5,00511.11%11.97%
OTH1,700 3.78% 5.88%
LIB Majority1,894 4.21%Pred Maj 20.57%
Chance of winning
LIB
9.3%
LAB
88.4%
CON
2.0%
OTH
0.3%

LAB Gain

Mansfield
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Alan Meale  (LAB)
Electorate: 80,069
Turnout: 60.44%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,75338.75%46.90%
CON12,74126.33%26.96%
LIB7,46915.43% 5.07%
OTH5,09310.52%12.10%
MIN4,339 8.97% 8.97%
LAB Majority6,01212.42%Pred Maj 19.94%
Chance of winning
LAB
90.1%
CON
9.5%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.4%
MIN
0.0%


Meon Valley
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: George Hollingbery  (CON)
Electorate: 70,488
Turnout: 72.69%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,81856.24%57.02%
LIB16,69332.58%19.89%
LAB3,266 6.37%16.36%
OTH2,461 4.80% 6.73%
CON Majority12,12523.66%Pred Maj 37.13%
Chance of winning
CON
98.5%
LIB
0.3%
LAB
1.2%
OTH
0.0%


Meriden
County/Area: Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
MP: Caroline Spelman  (CON)
Electorate: 83,826
Turnout: 62.23%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,95651.68%52.43%
LAB10,70320.52%30.18%
LIB9,27817.79% 5.51%
OTH5,22510.02%11.88%
CON Majority16,25331.16%Pred Maj 22.25%
Chance of winning
CON
89.1%
LAB
10.7%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
0.1%


Middlesbrough
County/Area: Teeside (North)
MP: Sir Stuart Bell  (LAB)
Electorate: 65,148
Turnout: 51.35%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,35145.89%56.58%
LIB6,66219.91% 6.32%
CON6,28318.78%19.61%
OTH5,15915.42%17.49%
LAB Majority8,68925.97%Pred Maj 36.96%
Chance of winning
LAB
96.2%
LIB
0.0%
CON
3.4%
OTH
0.4%


Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East
County/Area: Teeside (North)
MP: Tom Blenkinsop  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,664
Turnout: 63.60%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,13839.25%47.78%
CON16,46135.62%36.28%
LIB7,34015.88% 5.04%
OTH4,275 9.25%10.90%
LAB Majority1,677 3.63%Pred Maj 11.49%
Chance of winning
LAB
76.9%
CON
22.8%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.3%


Milton Keynes North
County/Area: Buckinghamshire (Essex)
MP: Mark Lancaster  (CON)
Electorate: 85,841
Turnout: 62.78%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,41943.46%44.27%
LAB14,45826.83%37.29%
LIB11,89422.07% 8.78%
OTH4,117 7.64% 9.66%
CON Majority8,96116.63%Pred Maj 6.99%
Chance of winning
CON
64.7%
LAB
34.8%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
0.4%


Milton Keynes South
County/Area: Buckinghamshire (Essex)
MP: Iain Stewart  (CON)
Electorate: 90,487
Turnout: 61.15%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,03441.63%42.35%
LAB17,83332.23%41.48%
LIB9,78717.69% 5.93%
OTH4,679 8.46%10.24%
CON Majority5,201 9.40%Pred Maj 0.87%
Chance of winning
CON
49.4%
LAB
50.1%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.5%


Mitcham and Morden
County/Area: Merton (South London)
MP: Siobhain McDonagh  (LAB)
Electorate: 65,939
Turnout: 66.42%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,72256.45%63.21%
CON11,05625.24%25.77%
LIB5,20211.88% 3.29%
OTH2,817 6.43% 7.74%
LAB Majority13,66631.20%Pred Maj 37.44%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.5%
CON
0.5%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%


Mole Valley
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP: Sir Paul Beresford  (CON)
Electorate: 72,612
Turnout: 74.81%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,26357.55%58.33%
LIB15,61028.73%16.05%
LAB3,804 7.00%16.99%
OTH3,647 6.71% 8.64%
CON Majority15,65328.81%Pred Maj 41.34%
Chance of winning
CON
98.7%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
1.2%
OTH
0.0%


Morecambe and Lunesdale
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: David Morris  (CON)
Electorate: 69,965
Turnout: 62.08%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,03541.52%42.09%
LAB17,16939.53%46.80%
LIB5,79113.33% 4.09%
OTH2,441 5.62% 7.02%
CON Majority866 1.99%Pred Maj 4.71%
Chance of winning
CON
35.4%
LAB
64.5%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.1%

LAB Gain

Morley and Outwood
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Ed Balls  (LAB)
Electorate: 74,200
Turnout: 65.84%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,36537.59%46.28%
CON17,26435.34%36.01%
LIB8,18616.76% 5.71%
MIN3,535 7.24% 7.24%
OTH1,506 3.08% 4.76%
LAB Majority1,101 2.25%Pred Maj 10.27%
Chance of winning
LAB
74.7%
CON
25.1%
LIB
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.2%


New Forest East
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Julian Lewis  (CON)
Electorate: 72,858
Turnout: 68.68%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,44352.85%53.63%
LIB15,13630.25%17.56%
LAB4,915 9.82%19.81%
OTH3,542 7.08% 9.01%
CON Majority11,30722.60%Pred Maj 33.82%
Chance of winning
CON
96.1%
LIB
0.3%
LAB
3.5%
OTH
0.1%


New Forest West
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Desmond Swayne  (CON)
Electorate: 68,332
Turnout: 69.62%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,98058.82%59.59%
LIB11,08423.30%10.61%
LAB4,666 9.81%19.79%
OTH3,842 8.08%10.00%
CON Majority16,89635.52%Pred Maj 39.80%
Chance of winning
CON
98.2%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
1.7%
OTH
0.0%


Newark
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Patrick Mercer  (CON)
Electorate: 71,785
Turnout: 71.36%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,59053.86%54.68%
LAB11,43822.33%32.90%
LIB10,24620.00% 6.57%
OTH1,954 3.81% 5.86%
CON Majority16,15231.53%Pred Maj 21.79%
Chance of winning
CON
90.2%
LAB
9.6%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
0.1%


Newbury
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP: Richard Benyon  (CON)
Electorate: 78,329
Turnout: 74.80%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,05756.42%57.20%
LIB20,80935.52%22.83%
LAB2,505 4.28%14.26%
OTH2,218 3.79% 5.71%
CON Majority12,24820.90%Pred Maj 34.37%
Chance of winning
CON
98.8%
LIB
0.3%
LAB
0.9%
OTH
0.0%


Newcastle upon Tyne Central
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP: Chi Onwurah  (LAB)
Electorate: 60,507
Turnout: 56.45%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,69445.95%56.69%
LIB8,22824.09%10.44%
CON6,61119.35%20.19%
OTH3,62410.61%12.68%
LAB Majority7,46621.86%Pred Maj 36.49%
Chance of winning
LAB
96.6%
LIB
0.0%
CON
3.2%
OTH
0.2%


Newcastle upon Tyne East
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP: Nick Brown  (LAB)
Electorate: 64,487
Turnout: 58.68%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,04345.04%55.78%
LIB12,59033.27%19.62%
CON6,06816.04%16.87%
OTH2,139 5.65% 7.73%
LAB Majority4,45311.77%Pred Maj 36.16%
Chance of winning
LAB
97.5%
LIB
0.5%
CON
1.9%
OTH
0.1%


Newcastle upon Tyne North
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP: Catherine McKinnell  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,110
Turnout: 65.48%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,95040.85%51.58%
LIB14,53633.08%19.43%
CON7,96618.13%18.96%
OTH3,494 7.95%10.02%
LAB Majority3,414 7.77%Pred Maj 32.16%
Chance of winning
LAB
93.9%
LIB
1.4%
CON
4.3%
OTH
0.4%


Newcastle-under-Lyme
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP: Paul Farrelly  (LAB)
Electorate: 69,433
Turnout: 62.21%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,39337.95%48.60%
CON14,84134.36%35.19%
LIB8,46619.60% 6.07%
OTH3,491 8.08%10.14%
LAB Majority1,552 3.59%Pred Maj 13.41%
Chance of winning
LAB
75.4%
CON
24.1%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
0.4%


Newton Abbot
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Anne-Marie Morris  (CON)
Electorate: 69,343
Turnout: 69.63%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,77443.03%43.78%
LIB20,25141.94%29.59%
LAB3,387 7.01%16.73%
MIN3,088 6.40% 6.40%
OTH783 1.62% 3.50%
CON Majority523 1.08%Pred Maj 14.19%
Chance of winning
CON
82.9%
LIB
12.6%
LAB
4.4%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.1%


Norfolk Mid
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: George Freeman  (CON)
Electorate: 74,260
Turnout: 68.36%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,12349.49%50.30%
LIB11,26722.19% 8.90%
LAB8,85717.45%27.90%
OTH5,51810.87%12.89%
CON Majority13,85627.29%Pred Maj 22.40%
Chance of winning
CON
88.9%
LIB
0.2%
LAB
10.6%
OTH
0.3%


Norfolk North
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Norman Lamb  (LIB)
Electorate: 67,841
Turnout: 73.20%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB27,55455.48%42.19%
CON15,92832.07%32.89%
LAB2,896 5.83%16.29%
MIN2,680 5.40% 5.40%
OTH603 1.21% 3.23%
LIB Majority11,62623.41%Pred Maj 9.30%
Chance of winning
LIB
70.8%
CON
24.2%
LAB
4.6%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.4%


Norfolk North West
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Henry Bellingham  (CON)
Electorate: 73,207
Turnout: 65.29%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,91654.22%55.03%
LIB11,10623.23% 9.94%
LAB6,35313.29%23.75%
OTH4,425 9.26%11.28%
CON Majority14,81030.98%Pred Maj 31.28%
Chance of winning
CON
95.6%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
4.2%
OTH
0.1%


Norfolk South
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Richard Bacon  (CON)
Electorate: 76,165
Turnout: 72.20%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,13349.34%50.15%
LIB16,19329.45%16.15%
LAB7,25213.19%23.64%
OTH4,415 8.03%10.05%
CON Majority10,94019.89%Pred Maj 26.51%
Chance of winning
CON
92.6%
LIB
0.3%
LAB
6.9%
OTH
0.2%


Norfolk South West
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Elizabeth Truss  (CON)
Electorate: 74,298
Turnout: 66.15%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,75348.33%49.14%
LIB10,61321.59% 8.30%
LAB9,11918.55%29.01%
OTH5,66511.53%13.55%
CON Majority13,14026.73%Pred Maj 20.13%
Chance of winning
CON
86.2%
LIB
0.2%
LAB
13.2%
OTH
0.4%


Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Yvette Cooper  (LAB)
Electorate: 82,239
Turnout: 56.23%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,29348.21%56.72%
CON11,31424.47%25.13%
LIB7,58516.40% 5.59%
OTH5,04710.92%12.56%
LAB Majority10,97923.74%Pred Maj 31.59%
Chance of winning
LAB
96.9%
CON
3.1%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%


Northampton North
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP: Michael Ellis  (CON)
Electorate: 64,230
Turnout: 62.70%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON13,73534.11%34.92%
LAB11,79929.30%39.76%
LIB11,25027.94%14.64%
OTH3,487 8.66%10.68%
CON Majority1,936 4.81%Pred Maj 4.83%
Chance of winning
CON
38.8%
LAB
58.9%
LIB
1.4%
OTH
0.9%

LAB Gain

Northampton South
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP: Brian Binley  (CON)
Electorate: 66,923
Turnout: 58.24%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON15,91740.84%41.63%
LAB9,91325.43%35.60%
LIB7,57919.44% 6.52%
OTH5,56914.29%16.25%
CON Majority6,00415.40%Pred Maj 6.03%
Chance of winning
CON
59.1%
LAB
39.4%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
1.4%


Northamptonshire South
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP: Andrea Leadsom  (CON)
Electorate: 82,032
Turnout: 73.01%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON33,08155.24%56.05%
LIB12,60321.04% 7.75%
LAB10,38017.33%27.79%
OTH3,826 6.39% 8.41%
CON Majority20,47834.19%Pred Maj 28.26%
Chance of winning
CON
94.6%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
5.2%
OTH
0.1%


Norwich North
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Chloe Smith  (CON)
Electorate: 65,258
Turnout: 65.24%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON17,28040.59%41.33%
LAB13,37931.43%40.98%
LIB7,78318.28% 6.13%
OTH4,131 9.70%11.55%
CON Majority3,901 9.16%Pred Maj 0.35%
Chance of winning
CON
48.5%
LAB
50.9%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.6%


Norwich South
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Simon Wright  (LIB)
Electorate: 73,649
Turnout: 64.56%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB13,96029.36%16.07%
LAB13,65028.71%39.16%
CON10,90222.93%23.74%
MIN7,09514.92%14.92%
OTH1,944 4.09% 6.11%
LIB Majority310 0.65%Pred Maj 15.42%
Chance of winning
LIB
3.0%
LAB
76.1%
CON
19.8%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
1.1%

LAB Gain

Nottingham East
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Christopher Leslie  (LAB)
Electorate: 58,707
Turnout: 56.40%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,02245.37%55.93%
LIB8,05324.32%10.89%
CON7,84623.70%24.52%
OTH2,191 6.62% 8.66%
LAB Majority6,96921.05%Pred Maj 31.42%
Chance of winning
LAB
95.2%
LIB
0.0%
CON
4.6%
OTH
0.2%


Nottingham North
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Graham Allen  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,240
Turnout: 54.21%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,64648.55%57.57%
CON8,50824.82%25.52%
LIB5,84917.06% 5.60%
OTH3,282 9.57%11.31%
LAB Majority8,13823.74%Pred Maj 32.05%
Chance of winning
LAB
96.5%
CON
3.5%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%


Nottingham South
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Lillian Greenwood  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,441
Turnout: 60.48%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,20937.29%47.85%
CON13,43732.94%33.77%
LIB9,40623.06% 9.63%
OTH2,737 6.71% 8.75%
LAB Majority1,772 4.34%Pred Maj 14.09%
Chance of winning
LAB
76.9%
CON
22.7%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
0.3%


Nuneaton
County/Area: Warwickshire (East Midlands)
MP: Marcus Jones  (CON)
Electorate: 67,837
Turnout: 65.81%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,53641.52%42.15%
LAB16,46736.88%44.99%
LIB6,84615.33% 5.04%
OTH2,797 6.26% 7.83%
CON Majority2,069 4.63%Pred Maj 2.84%
Chance of winning
CON
41.1%
LAB
58.7%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.2%

LAB Gain

Old Bexley and Sidcup
County/Area: Bexley (South London)
MP: James Brokenshire  (CON)
Electorate: 65,665
Turnout: 69.28%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,62554.13%54.81%
LAB8,76819.27%28.03%
LIB6,99615.38% 4.25%
OTH5,10311.22%12.91%
CON Majority15,85734.86%Pred Maj 26.79%
Chance of winning
CON
92.3%
LAB
7.5%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
0.1%


Oldham East and Saddleworth
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Phil Woolas  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,765
Turnout: 61.18%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB14,18631.86%42.77%
LIB14,08331.63%17.77%
CON11,77326.44%27.29%
OTH4,47810.06%12.17%
LAB Majority103 0.23%Pred Maj 15.48%

Result shown is original general election result. Ms Debbie Abrahams (Lab) held the seat in a by-election on 13 January 2011, after Mr Phil Woolas was stripped of the seat by an election court.

Chance of winning
LAB
74.8%
LIB
2.6%
CON
21.2%
OTH
1.4%


Oldham West and Royton
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Michael Meacher  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,651
Turnout: 59.06%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,50345.45%55.87%
CON10,15123.66%24.47%
LIB8,19319.09% 5.85%
OTH5,06311.80%13.81%
LAB Majority9,35221.79%Pred Maj 31.40%
Chance of winning
LAB
95.0%
CON
4.8%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.2%


Orpington
County/Area: Bromley (South London)
MP: Joseph Johnson  (CON)
Electorate: 67,732
Turnout: 72.21%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,20059.70%60.59%
LIB12,00024.53%10.07%
LAB4,400 9.00%20.38%
OTH3,311 6.77% 8.97%
CON Majority17,20035.17%Pred Maj 40.21%
Chance of winning
CON
97.3%
LIB
0.1%
LAB
2.6%
OTH
0.0%


Oxford East
County/Area: Oxfordshire (West)
MP: Andrew Smith  (LAB)
Electorate: 81,886
Turnout: 63.08%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,93842.47%52.19%
LIB17,35733.60%21.25%
CON9,72718.83%19.59%
OTH2,629 5.09% 6.97%
LAB Majority4,581 8.87%Pred Maj 30.94%
Chance of winning
LAB
93.4%
LIB
1.8%
CON
4.5%
OTH
0.3%


Oxford West and Abingdon
County/Area: Oxfordshire (West)
MP: Nicola Blackwood  (CON)
Electorate: 86,458
Turnout: 65.33%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,90642.33%43.08%
LIB23,73042.01%29.66%
LAB5,99910.62%20.34%
OTH2,845 5.04% 6.91%
CON Majority176 0.31%Pred Maj 13.42%
Chance of winning
CON
79.4%
LIB
12.6%
LAB
7.7%
OTH
0.3%


Pendle
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Andrew Stephenson  (CON)
Electorate: 66,417
Turnout: 67.82%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON17,51238.88%39.73%
LAB13,92730.92%41.83%
LIB9,09520.19% 6.32%
OTH4,51110.01%12.12%
CON Majority3,585 7.96%Pred Maj 2.10%
Chance of winning
CON
44.6%
LAB
54.5%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
0.8%

LAB Gain

Penistone and Stocksbridge
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP: Angela Smith  (LAB)
Electorate: 68,501
Turnout: 67.91%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,56537.76%48.13%
CON14,51631.21%32.02%
LIB9,80021.07% 7.89%
OTH4,635 9.96%11.97%
LAB Majority3,049 6.55%Pred Maj 16.12%
Chance of winning
LAB
79.5%
CON
19.6%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
0.8%


Penrith and The Border
County/Area: Cumbria (North)
MP: Rory Stewart  (CON)
Electorate: 64,548
Turnout: 69.85%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,07153.39%54.23%
LIB12,83028.46%14.81%
LAB5,83412.94%23.68%
OTH2,352 5.22% 7.29%
CON Majority11,24124.93%Pred Maj 30.55%
Chance of winning
CON
94.7%
LIB
0.3%
LAB
4.9%
OTH
0.1%


Peterborough
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (East Anglia)
MP: Stewart Jackson  (CON)
Electorate: 70,316
Turnout: 63.89%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,13340.36%41.16%
LAB13,27229.54%39.80%
LIB8,81619.62% 6.58%
OTH4,70610.47%12.46%
CON Majority4,86110.82%Pred Maj 1.36%
Chance of winning
CON
50.9%
LAB
48.5%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.6%


Plymouth Moor View
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Alison Seabeck  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,261
Turnout: 61.74%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,43337.16%45.37%
CON13,84533.34%33.98%
LIB7,01616.90% 6.46%
OTH5,23212.60%14.18%
LAB Majority1,588 3.82%Pred Maj 11.39%
Chance of winning
LAB
75.6%
CON
23.1%
LIB
0.1%
OTH
1.2%


Plymouth Sutton and Devonport
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Oliver Colville  (CON)
Electorate: 71,035
Turnout: 61.79%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON15,05034.29%35.04%
LAB13,90131.67%41.39%
LIB10,82924.67%12.32%
OTH4,114 9.37%11.25%
CON Majority1,149 2.62%Pred Maj 6.34%
Chance of winning
CON
35.0%
LAB
63.3%
LIB
0.8%
OTH
0.9%

LAB Gain

Poole
County/Area: Dorset (South West)
MP: Robert Syms  (CON)
Electorate: 64,661
Turnout: 73.36%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,53247.50%48.26%
LIB14,99131.60%19.25%
LAB6,04112.74%22.45%
OTH3,872 8.16%10.04%
CON Majority7,54115.90%Pred Maj 25.81%
Chance of winning
CON
91.3%
LIB
1.1%
LAB
7.3%
OTH
0.3%


Poplar and Limehouse
County/Area: Tower Hamlets (North London)
MP: Jim Fitzpatrick  (LAB)
Electorate: 74,956
Turnout: 62.30%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,67940.00%46.35%
CON12,64927.09%27.58%
MIN8,16017.47%17.47%
LIB5,20911.15% 3.09%
OTH2,003 4.29% 5.51%
LAB Majority6,03012.91%Pred Maj 18.76%
Chance of winning
LAB
94.2%
CON
5.8%
MIN
0.0%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%


Portsmouth North
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Penny Mordaunt  (CON)
Electorate: 70,329
Turnout: 62.73%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON19,53344.27%45.05%
LAB12,24427.75%37.74%
LIB8,87420.11% 7.43%
OTH3,467 7.86% 9.79%
CON Majority7,28916.52%Pred Maj 7.32%
Chance of winning
CON
65.1%
LAB
34.6%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.3%


Portsmouth South
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Mike Hancock  (LIB)
Electorate: 70,242
Turnout: 58.75%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB18,92145.85%33.16%
CON13,72133.25%34.03%
LAB5,64013.67%23.65%
OTH2,982 7.23% 9.15%
LIB Majority5,20012.60%Pred Maj 0.87%
Chance of winning
LIB
35.7%
CON
47.3%
LAB
16.4%
OTH
0.6%

CON Gain

Preston
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Mark Hendrick  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,460
Turnout: 52.04%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,66848.20%59.11%
LIB7,93524.41%10.54%
CON7,06021.72%22.57%
OTH1,842 5.67% 7.77%
LAB Majority7,73323.79%Pred Maj 36.54%
Chance of winning
LAB
97.2%
LIB
0.0%
CON
2.8%
OTH
0.0%


Pudsey
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Stuart Andrew  (CON)
Electorate: 69,257
Turnout: 70.87%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,87438.45%39.26%
LAB17,21535.07%45.44%
LIB10,22420.83% 7.65%
OTH2,770 5.64% 7.65%
CON Majority1,659 3.38%Pred Maj 6.18%
Chance of winning
CON
37.3%
LAB
62.3%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.4%

LAB Gain

Putney
County/Area: Wandsworth (South London)
MP: Justine Greening  (CON)
Electorate: 63,370
Turnout: 64.36%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,22352.04%52.79%
LAB11,17027.39%37.02%
LIB6,90716.94% 4.69%
OTH1,485 3.64% 5.50%
CON Majority10,05324.65%Pred Maj 15.76%
Chance of winning
CON
82.2%
LAB
17.7%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.1%