Constituency List: England L-Q
- Lancashire West
- Lancaster and Fleetwood
- Leeds Central
- Leeds East
- Leeds North East
- Leeds North West
- Leeds West
- Leicester East
- Leicester South
- Leicester West
- Leicestershire North West
- Leicestershire South
- Leigh
- Lewes
- Lewisham Deptford
- Lewisham East
- Lewisham West and Penge
- Leyton and Wanstead
- Lichfield
- Lincoln
- Liverpool Riverside
- Liverpool Walton
- Liverpool Wavertree
- Liverpool West Derby
- Loughborough
- Louth and Horncastle
- Ludlow
- Luton North
- Luton South
- Macclesfield
- Maidenhead
- Maidstone and The Weald
- Makerfield
- Maldon
- Manchester Central
- Manchester Gorton
- Manchester Withington
- Mansfield
- Meon Valley
- Meriden
- Middlesbrough
- Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East
- Milton Keynes North
- Milton Keynes South
- Mitcham and Morden
- Mole Valley
- Morecambe and Lunesdale
- Morley and Outwood
- New Forest East
- New Forest West
- Newark
- Newbury
- Newcastle upon Tyne Central
- Newcastle upon Tyne East
- Newcastle upon Tyne North
- Newcastle-under-Lyme
- Newton Abbot
- Norfolk Mid
- Norfolk North
- Norfolk North West
- Norfolk South
- Norfolk South West
- Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford
- Northampton North
- Northampton South
- Northamptonshire South
- Norwich North
- Norwich South
- Nottingham East
- Nottingham North
- Nottingham South
- Nuneaton
- Old Bexley and Sidcup
- Oldham East and Saddleworth
- Oldham West and Royton
- Orpington
- Oxford East
- Oxford West and Abingdon
- Pendle
- Penistone and Stocksbridge
- Penrith and The Border
- Peterborough
- Plymouth Moor View
- Plymouth Sutton and Devonport
- Poole
- Poplar and Limehouse
- Portsmouth North
- Portsmouth South
- Preston
- Pudsey
- Putney
Lancashire West
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Rosie Cooper (LAB)
Electorate: 75,975
Turnout: 63.80%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 21,883 | 45.14% | 51.73% |
| CON | 17,540 | 36.19% | 25.29% |
| LIB | 6,573 | 13.56% | 1.87% |
| UKIP | 1,775 | 3.66% | 17.71% |
| OTH | 702 | 1.45% | 3.41% |
| LAB Majority | 4,343 | 8.96% | Pred Maj 26.44% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| CON |
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| LIB |
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| UKIP |
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| OTH |
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Lancaster and Fleetwood
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Eric Ollerenshaw (CON)
Electorate: 69,908
Turnout: 61.08%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 15,404 | 36.07% | 25.17% |
| LAB | 15,071 | 35.29% | 43.28% |
| LIB | 8,167 | 19.13% | 2.64% |
| OTH | 3,039 | 7.12% | 9.49% |
| UKIP | 1,020 | 2.39% | 19.42% |
| CON Majority | 333 | 0.78% | Pred Maj 18.10% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
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| LAB |
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| LIB |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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LAB Gain
Leeds Central
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Hilary Benn (LAB)
Electorate: 64,698
Turnout: 57.80%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 18,434 | 49.30% | 57.07% |
| LIB | 7,789 | 20.83% | 4.44% |
| CON | 7,541 | 20.17% | 9.89% |
| OTH | 3,630 | 9.71% | 12.02% |
| UKIP | 0 | 0.00% | 16.59% |
| LAB Majority | 10,645 | 28.47% | Pred Maj 40.48% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| LIB |
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| CON |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Leeds East
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: George Mudie (LAB)
Electorate: 65,067
Turnout: 58.11%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 19,056 | 50.40% | 57.57% |
| CON | 8,763 | 23.17% | 12.89% |
| LIB | 6,618 | 17.50% | 3.16% |
| OTH | 3,376 | 8.93% | 11.06% |
| UKIP | 0 | 0.00% | 15.31% |
| LAB Majority | 10,293 | 27.22% | Pred Maj 42.26% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| CON |
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| LIB |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Leeds North East
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Fabian Hamilton (LAB)
Electorate: 67,899
Turnout: 70.01%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 20,287 | 42.68% | 50.35% |
| CON | 15,742 | 33.12% | 22.84% |
| LIB | 9,310 | 19.59% | 3.54% |
| OTH | 1,354 | 2.85% | 5.13% |
| UKIP | 842 | 1.77% | 18.15% |
| LAB Majority | 4,545 | 9.56% | Pred Maj 27.52% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| CON |
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| LIB |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Leeds North West
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Greg Mulholland (LIB)
Electorate: 65,399
Turnout: 66.49%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 20,653 | 47.50% | 31.11% |
| CON | 11,550 | 26.56% | 16.28% |
| LAB | 9,132 | 21.00% | 28.77% |
| OTH | 1,548 | 3.56% | 5.87% |
| UKIP | 600 | 1.38% | 17.96% |
| LIB Majority | 9,103 | 20.93% | Pred Maj 2.33% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB |
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| CON |
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| LAB |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Leeds West
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Rachel Reeves (LAB)
Electorate: 67,453
Turnout: 57.45%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 16,389 | 42.29% | 50.02% |
| LIB | 9,373 | 24.19% | 7.80% |
| CON | 7,641 | 19.72% | 9.58% |
| OTH | 4,209 | 10.86% | 13.16% |
| UKIP | 1,140 | 2.94% | 19.44% |
| LAB Majority | 7,016 | 18.10% | Pred Maj 30.59% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| LIB |
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| CON |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Leicester East
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Keith Vaz (LAB)
Electorate: 72,986
Turnout: 65.76%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 25,804 | 53.76% | 60.14% |
| CON | 11,722 | 24.42% | 14.42% |
| LIB | 6,817 | 14.20% | 2.34% |
| OTH | 2,927 | 6.10% | 7.99% |
| UKIP | 725 | 1.51% | 15.11% |
| LAB Majority | 14,082 | 29.34% | Pred Maj 45.03% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| CON |
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| LIB |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Leicester South
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Peter Soulsby (LAB)
Electorate: 77,175
Turnout: 61.06%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 21,479 | 45.58% | 53.36% |
| LIB | 12,671 | 26.89% | 10.19% |
| CON | 10,066 | 21.36% | 11.36% |
| OTH | 2,188 | 4.64% | 6.96% |
| UKIP | 720 | 1.53% | 18.13% |
| LAB Majority | 8,808 | 18.69% | Pred Maj 35.23% |
Result shown is original general election result. Mr Jon Ashworth (Lab) held the seat in a by-election on 5 May 2011, after Sir Peter Soulsby resigned to stand for Mayor of Leicester.
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| LIB |
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| CON |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Leicester West
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Elizabeth Kendall (LAB)
Electorate: 64,900
Turnout: 55.19%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 13,745 | 38.37% | 46.16% |
| CON | 9,728 | 27.16% | 17.16% |
| LIB | 8,107 | 22.63% | 5.93% |
| OTH | 3,356 | 9.37% | 11.68% |
| UKIP | 883 | 2.47% | 19.07% |
| LAB Majority | 4,017 | 11.21% | Pred Maj 27.09% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| CON |
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| LIB |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Leicestershire North West
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Andrew Bridgen (CON)
Electorate: 71,219
Turnout: 72.95%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 23,147 | 44.55% | 34.55% |
| LAB | 15,636 | 30.10% | 37.06% |
| LIB | 8,639 | 16.63% | 2.75% |
| OTH | 3,396 | 6.54% | 8.61% |
| UKIP | 1,134 | 2.18% | 17.04% |
| CON Majority | 7,511 | 14.46% | Pred Maj 2.51% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
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| LAB |
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| LIB |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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LAB Gain
Leicestershire South
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Andrew Robathan (CON)
Electorate: 76,639
Turnout: 71.21%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 27,000 | 49.47% | 39.47% |
| LIB | 11,476 | 21.03% | 4.33% |
| LAB | 11,392 | 20.87% | 28.66% |
| OTH | 2,721 | 4.99% | 7.30% |
| UKIP | 1,988 | 3.64% | 20.25% |
| CON Majority | 15,524 | 28.44% | Pred Maj 10.81% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
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| LIB |
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| LAB |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Leigh
County/Area: Western Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Andrew Burnham (LAB)
Electorate: 76,350
Turnout: 58.06%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 21,295 | 48.04% | 55.77% |
| CON | 9,284 | 20.94% | 10.04% |
| LIB | 8,049 | 18.16% | 2.51% |
| OTH | 4,169 | 9.40% | 11.71% |
| UKIP | 1,535 | 3.46% | 19.97% |
| LAB Majority | 12,011 | 27.09% | Pred Maj 35.80% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| CON |
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| LIB |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Lewes
County/Area: East Sussex (South East)
MP: Norman Baker (LIB)
Electorate: 68,708
Turnout: 72.90%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 26,048 | 52.00% | 36.23% |
| CON | 18,401 | 36.74% | 26.79% |
| LAB | 2,508 | 5.01% | 12.50% |
| UKIP | 1,728 | 3.45% | 19.45% |
| OTH | 1,403 | 2.80% | 5.03% |
| LIB Majority | 7,647 | 15.27% | Pred Maj 9.44% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB |
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| CON |
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| LAB |
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| UKIP |
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| OTH |
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Lewisham Deptford
County/Area: Lewisham (South London)
MP: Joan Ruddock (LAB)
Electorate: 67,058
Turnout: 61.47%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 22,132 | 53.69% | 60.99% |
| LIB | 9,633 | 23.37% | 5.39% |
| CON | 5,551 | 13.47% | 6.40% |
| OTH | 3,904 | 9.47% | 11.64% |
| UKIP | 0 | 0.00% | 15.58% |
| LAB Majority | 12,499 | 30.32% | Pred Maj 45.41% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| LIB |
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| CON |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Lewisham East
County/Area: Lewisham (South London)
MP: Heidi Alexander (LAB)
Electorate: 65,926
Turnout: 63.28%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 17,966 | 43.06% | 51.37% |
| LIB | 11,750 | 28.16% | 10.18% |
| CON | 9,850 | 23.61% | 13.11% |
| OTH | 1,382 | 3.31% | 5.78% |
| UKIP | 771 | 1.85% | 19.56% |
| LAB Majority | 6,216 | 14.90% | Pred Maj 31.80% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| LIB |
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| CON |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Lewisham West and Penge
County/Area: Lewisham (South London)
MP: Jim Dowd (LAB)
Electorate: 69,022
Turnout: 65.24%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 18,501 | 41.09% | 49.39% |
| LIB | 12,673 | 28.14% | 10.16% |
| CON | 11,489 | 25.52% | 15.02% |
| OTH | 1,248 | 2.77% | 5.24% |
| UKIP | 1,117 | 2.48% | 20.19% |
| LAB Majority | 5,828 | 12.94% | Pred Maj 29.20% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| LIB |
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| CON |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Leyton and Wanstead
County/Area: Waltham Forest (North London)
MP: John Cryer (LAB)
Electorate: 63,541
Turnout: 63.20%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 17,511 | 43.60% | 51.91% |
| LIB | 11,095 | 27.63% | 9.64% |
| CON | 8,928 | 22.23% | 11.73% |
| OTH | 1,545 | 3.85% | 6.32% |
| UKIP | 1,080 | 2.69% | 20.40% |
| LAB Majority | 6,416 | 15.98% | Pred Maj 31.50% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| LIB |
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| CON |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Lichfield
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP: Michael Fabricant (CON)
Electorate: 72,586
Turnout: 71.04%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 28,048 | 54.40% | 44.28% |
| LIB | 10,365 | 20.10% | 2.93% |
| LAB | 10,230 | 19.84% | 27.79% |
| UKIP | 2,920 | 5.66% | 22.63% |
| OTH | 0 | 0.00% | 2.36% |
| CON Majority | 17,683 | 34.29% | Pred Maj 16.49% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
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| LIB |
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| LAB |
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| UKIP |
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| OTH |
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Lincoln
County/Area: Lincolnshire (Humberside)
MP: Karl McCartney (CON)
Electorate: 73,540
Turnout: 62.17%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 17,163 | 37.54% | 27.26% |
| LAB | 16,105 | 35.22% | 43.00% |
| LIB | 9,256 | 20.24% | 3.86% |
| OTH | 2,193 | 4.80% | 7.11% |
| UKIP | 1,004 | 2.20% | 18.78% |
| CON Majority | 1,058 | 2.31% | Pred Maj 15.74% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
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| LAB |
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| LIB |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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LAB Gain
Liverpool Riverside
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Louise Ellman (LAB)
Electorate: 74,539
Turnout: 52.05%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 22,998 | 59.27% | 66.03% |
| LIB | 8,825 | 22.74% | 5.50% |
| CON | 4,243 | 10.94% | 4.98% |
| OTH | 2,061 | 5.31% | 7.32% |
| UKIP | 674 | 1.74% | 16.16% |
| LAB Majority | 14,173 | 36.53% | Pred Maj 49.87% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| LIB |
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| CON |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Liverpool Walton
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Steve Rotheram (LAB)
Electorate: 62,612
Turnout: 54.84%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 24,709 | 71.96% | 76.58% |
| LIB | 4,891 | 14.24% | 1.97% |
| CON | 2,241 | 6.53% | 2.97% |
| MIN | 1,104 | 3.22% | 3.22% |
| UKIP | 898 | 2.62% | 12.46% |
| OTH | 492 | 1.43% | 2.81% |
| LAB Majority | 19,818 | 57.72% | Pred Maj 64.12% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| LIB |
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| CON |
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| MIN |
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| UKIP |
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| OTH |
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Liverpool Wavertree
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Luciana Berger (LAB)
Electorate: 62,518
Turnout: 60.64%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 20,132 | 53.10% | 59.31% |
| LIB | 12,965 | 34.20% | 16.96% |
| CON | 2,830 | 7.46% | 3.40% |
| OTH | 1,097 | 2.89% | 4.74% |
| UKIP | 890 | 2.35% | 15.60% |
| LAB Majority | 7,167 | 18.90% | Pred Maj 42.35% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| LIB |
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| CON |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Liverpool West Derby
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Stephen Twigg (LAB)
Electorate: 63,082
Turnout: 56.73%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 22,953 | 64.14% | 68.76% |
| LIB | 4,486 | 12.54% | 1.73% |
| MIN | 3,327 | 9.30% | 9.30% |
| CON | 3,311 | 9.25% | 4.21% |
| UKIP | 1,093 | 3.05% | 12.91% |
| OTH | 614 | 1.72% | 3.09% |
| LAB Majority | 18,467 | 51.61% | Pred Maj 55.85% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| LIB |
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| MIN |
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| CON |
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| UKIP |
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| OTH |
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Loughborough
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Nicky Morgan (CON)
Electorate: 77,502
Turnout: 68.18%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 21,971 | 41.58% | 31.58% |
| LAB | 18,227 | 34.50% | 41.87% |
| LIB | 9,675 | 18.31% | 3.02% |
| OTH | 2,040 | 3.86% | 6.05% |
| UKIP | 925 | 1.75% | 17.48% |
| CON Majority | 3,744 | 7.09% | Pred Maj 10.29% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
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| LAB |
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| LIB |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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LAB Gain
Louth and Horncastle
County/Area: Lincolnshire (Humberside)
MP: Sir Peter Tapsell (CON)
Electorate: 77,650
Turnout: 65.03%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 25,065 | 49.64% | 39.36% |
| LIB | 11,194 | 22.17% | 5.78% |
| LAB | 8,760 | 17.35% | 25.12% |
| OTH | 3,292 | 6.52% | 8.83% |
| UKIP | 2,183 | 4.32% | 20.91% |
| CON Majority | 13,871 | 27.47% | Pred Maj 14.24% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
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| LIB |
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| LAB |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Ludlow
County/Area: Shropshire (Severn)
MP: Philip Dunne (CON)
Electorate: 66,631
Turnout: 73.14%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 25,720 | 52.78% | 42.67% |
| LIB | 15,971 | 32.77% | 15.60% |
| LAB | 3,272 | 6.71% | 14.66% |
| UKIP | 2,127 | 4.36% | 21.33% |
| OTH | 1,642 | 3.37% | 5.73% |
| CON Majority | 9,749 | 20.01% | Pred Maj 21.34% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
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| LIB |
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| LAB |
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| UKIP |
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| OTH |
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Luton North
County/Area: Bedfordshire (East Anglia)
MP: Kelvin Hopkins (LAB)
Electorate: 65,062
Turnout: 66.12%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 21,192 | 49.26% | 54.84% |
| CON | 13,672 | 31.78% | 21.83% |
| LIB | 4,784 | 11.12% | 1.93% |
| OTH | 1,806 | 4.20% | 5.86% |
| UKIP | 1,564 | 3.64% | 15.54% |
| LAB Majority | 7,520 | 17.48% | Pred Maj 33.01% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
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| CON |
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| LIB |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Luton South
County/Area: Bedfordshire (East Anglia)
MP: Gavin Shuker (LAB)
Electorate: 59,962
Turnout: 70.40%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 14,725 | 34.88% | 42.60% |
| CON | 12,396 | 29.36% | 19.41% |
| LIB | 9,567 | 22.66% | 6.14% |
| OTH | 4,553 | 10.79% | 13.08% |
| UKIP | 975 | 2.31% | 18.77% |
| LAB Majority | 2,329 | 5.52% | Pred Maj 23.18% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
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| OTH |
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| UKIP |
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Macclesfield
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP: David Rutley (CON)
Electorate: 73,417
Turnout: 68.18%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 23,503 | 46.95% | 36.84% |
| LIB | 11,544 | 23.06% | 5.89% |
| LAB | 10,164 | 20.30% | 28.25% |
| OTH | 3,430 | 6.85% | 9.22% |
| UKIP | 1,418 | 2.83% | 19.80% |
| CON Majority | 11,959 | 23.89% | Pred Maj 8.58% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Maidenhead
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP: Theresa May (CON)
Electorate: 72,844
Turnout: 73.75%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 31,937 | 59.45% | 49.50% |
| LIB | 15,168 | 28.24% | 12.46% |
| LAB | 3,795 | 7.06% | 14.56% |
| OTH | 1,577 | 2.94% | 5.17% |
| UKIP | 1,243 | 2.31% | 18.31% |
| CON Majority | 16,769 | 31.22% | Pred Maj 31.19% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Maidstone and The Weald
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP: Helen Grant (CON)
Electorate: 71,041
Turnout: 68.87%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 23,491 | 48.01% | 38.06% |
| LIB | 17,602 | 35.98% | 20.20% |
| LAB | 4,769 | 9.75% | 17.24% |
| UKIP | 1,637 | 3.35% | 19.34% |
| OTH | 1,429 | 2.92% | 5.15% |
| CON Majority | 5,889 | 12.04% | Pred Maj 17.86% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Makerfield
County/Area: Western Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Yvonne Fovargue (LAB)
Electorate: 73,641
Turnout: 59.44%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 20,700 | 47.29% | 54.34% |
| CON | 8,210 | 18.76% | 8.53% |
| LIB | 7,082 | 16.18% | 2.23% |
| OTH | 4,355 | 9.95% | 12.04% |
| MIN | 3,424 | 7.82% | 7.82% |
| UKIP | 0 | 0.00% | 15.03% |
| LAB Majority | 12,490 | 28.53% | Pred Maj 39.31% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| MIN |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Maldon
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP: John Whittingdale (CON)
Electorate: 68,861
Turnout: 69.55%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 28,661 | 59.84% | 49.89% |
| LIB | 9,254 | 19.32% | 3.36% |
| LAB | 6,070 | 12.67% | 20.23% |
| UKIP | 2,446 | 5.11% | 21.22% |
| OTH | 1,464 | 3.06% | 5.30% |
| CON Majority | 19,407 | 40.52% | Pred Maj 28.67% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Manchester Central
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Tony Lloyd (LAB)
Electorate: 90,110
Turnout: 44.31%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 21,059 | 52.74% | 59.64% |
| LIB | 10,620 | 26.60% | 9.36% |
| CON | 4,704 | 11.78% | 5.36% |
| OTH | 2,937 | 7.36% | 9.41% |
| UKIP | 607 | 1.52% | 16.23% |
| LAB Majority | 10,439 | 26.15% | Pred Maj 43.40% |
Result shown is original general election result. Ms Lucy Powell (Lab) held the seat in a by-election on 15 November 2012, after Mr Tony Lloyd resigned to stand successfully for Manchester Police Commissioner.
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Manchester Gorton
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Sir Gerald Kaufman (LAB)
Electorate: 75,933
Turnout: 50.47%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 19,211 | 50.13% | 56.90% |
| LIB | 12,508 | 32.64% | 15.40% |
| CON | 4,224 | 11.02% | 5.01% |
| OTH | 2,382 | 6.22% | 8.23% |
| UKIP | 0 | 0.00% | 14.46% |
| LAB Majority | 6,703 | 17.49% | Pred Maj 41.51% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Manchester Withington
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: John Leech (LIB)
Electorate: 74,371
Turnout: 60.55%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 20,110 | 44.66% | 27.42% |
| LAB | 18,216 | 40.45% | 47.24% |
| CON | 5,005 | 11.11% | 5.06% |
| OTH | 1,002 | 2.23% | 4.24% |
| UKIP | 698 | 1.55% | 16.04% |
| LIB Majority | 1,894 | 4.21% | Pred Maj 19.82% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
LAB Gain
Mansfield
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Alan Meale (LAB)
Electorate: 80,069
Turnout: 60.44%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 18,753 | 38.75% | 45.42% |
| CON | 12,741 | 26.33% | 16.32% |
| LIB | 7,469 | 15.43% | 2.55% |
| MIN | 4,339 | 8.97% | 8.97% |
| UKIP | 2,985 | 6.17% | 20.40% |
| OTH | 2,108 | 4.36% | 6.34% |
| LAB Majority | 6,012 | 12.42% | Pred Maj 25.02% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| MIN |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Meon Valley
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: George Hollingbery (CON)
Electorate: 70,488
Turnout: 72.69%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 28,818 | 56.24% | 46.29% |
| LIB | 16,693 | 32.58% | 16.81% |
| LAB | 3,266 | 6.37% | 13.87% |
| UKIP | 1,490 | 2.91% | 18.90% |
| OTH | 971 | 1.90% | 4.12% |
| CON Majority | 12,125 | 23.66% | Pred Maj 27.39% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Meriden
County/Area: Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
MP: Caroline Spelman (CON)
Electorate: 83,826
Turnout: 62.23%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 26,956 | 51.68% | 41.57% |
| LAB | 10,703 | 20.52% | 27.92% |
| LIB | 9,278 | 17.79% | 2.52% |
| OTH | 3,847 | 7.38% | 9.57% |
| UKIP | 1,378 | 2.64% | 18.43% |
| CON Majority | 16,253 | 31.16% | Pred Maj 13.65% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Middlesbrough
County/Area: Teeside (North)
MP: Sir Stuart Bell (LAB)
Electorate: 65,148
Turnout: 51.35%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 15,351 | 45.89% | 53.71% |
| LIB | 6,662 | 19.91% | 3.02% |
| CON | 6,283 | 18.78% | 8.84% |
| OTH | 3,923 | 11.73% | 14.05% |
| UKIP | 1,236 | 3.69% | 20.39% |
| LAB Majority | 8,689 | 25.97% | Pred Maj 33.32% |
Result shown is original general election result. Mr Andy McDonald (Lab) held the seat in a by-election on 29 November 2012, after the death of Sir Stuart Bell in October 2012.
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East
County/Area: Teeside (North)
MP: Tom Blenkinsop (LAB)
Electorate: 72,664
Turnout: 63.60%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 18,138 | 39.25% | 46.26% |
| CON | 16,461 | 35.62% | 25.03% |
| LIB | 7,340 | 15.88% | 2.41% |
| OTH | 2,394 | 5.18% | 7.27% |
| UKIP | 1,881 | 4.07% | 19.04% |
| LAB Majority | 1,677 | 3.63% | Pred Maj 21.23% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Milton Keynes North
County/Area: Buckinghamshire (Essex)
MP: Mark Lancaster (CON)
Electorate: 85,841
Turnout: 62.78%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 23,419 | 43.46% | 33.51% |
| LAB | 14,458 | 26.83% | 34.55% |
| LIB | 11,894 | 22.07% | 5.55% |
| OTH | 2,345 | 4.35% | 6.65% |
| UKIP | 1,772 | 3.29% | 19.75% |
| CON Majority | 8,961 | 16.63% | Pred Maj 1.04% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
LAB Gain
Milton Keynes South
County/Area: Buckinghamshire (Essex)
MP: Iain Stewart (CON)
Electorate: 90,487
Turnout: 61.15%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 23,034 | 41.63% | 31.68% |
| LAB | 17,833 | 32.23% | 39.39% |
| LIB | 9,787 | 17.69% | 3.07% |
| OTH | 2,605 | 4.71% | 6.84% |
| UKIP | 2,074 | 3.75% | 19.02% |
| CON Majority | 5,201 | 9.40% | Pred Maj 7.71% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
LAB Gain
Mitcham and Morden
County/Area: Merton (South London)
MP: Siobhain McDonagh (LAB)
Electorate: 65,939
Turnout: 66.42%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 24,722 | 56.45% | 62.62% |
| CON | 11,056 | 25.24% | 14.75% |
| LIB | 5,202 | 11.88% | 1.20% |
| OTH | 1,960 | 4.48% | 6.31% |
| UKIP | 857 | 1.96% | 15.13% |
| LAB Majority | 13,666 | 31.20% | Pred Maj 47.49% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Mole Valley
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP: Sir Paul Beresford (CON)
Electorate: 72,612
Turnout: 74.81%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 31,263 | 57.55% | 47.60% |
| LIB | 15,610 | 28.73% | 12.96% |
| LAB | 3,804 | 7.00% | 14.50% |
| UKIP | 2,752 | 5.07% | 21.06% |
| OTH | 895 | 1.65% | 3.88% |
| CON Majority | 15,653 | 28.81% | Pred Maj 26.54% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Morecambe and Lunesdale
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: David Morris (CON)
Electorate: 69,965
Turnout: 62.08%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 18,035 | 41.52% | 30.62% |
| LAB | 17,169 | 39.53% | 46.05% |
| LIB | 5,791 | 13.33% | 1.84% |
| UKIP | 1,843 | 4.24% | 18.17% |
| OTH | 598 | 1.38% | 3.32% |
| CON Majority | 866 | 1.99% | Pred Maj 15.43% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
LAB Gain
Morley and Outwood
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Ed Balls (LAB)
Electorate: 74,200
Turnout: 65.84%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 18,365 | 37.59% | 44.59% |
| CON | 17,264 | 35.34% | 25.06% |
| LIB | 8,186 | 16.76% | 3.03% |
| MIN | 3,535 | 7.24% | 7.24% |
| UKIP | 1,506 | 3.08% | 18.01% |
| OTH | 0 | 0.00% | 2.08% |
| LAB Majority | 1,101 | 2.25% | Pred Maj 19.53% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| MIN |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
New Forest East
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Julian Lewis (CON)
Electorate: 72,858
Turnout: 68.68%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 26,443 | 52.85% | 42.90% |
| LIB | 15,136 | 30.25% | 14.48% |
| LAB | 4,915 | 9.82% | 17.32% |
| UKIP | 2,518 | 5.03% | 21.03% |
| OTH | 1,024 | 2.05% | 4.28% |
| CON Majority | 11,307 | 22.60% | Pred Maj 21.87% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
New Forest West
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Desmond Swayne (CON)
Electorate: 68,332
Turnout: 69.62%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 27,980 | 58.82% | 48.87% |
| LIB | 11,084 | 23.30% | 7.53% |
| LAB | 4,666 | 9.81% | 17.31% |
| UKIP | 2,783 | 5.85% | 21.85% |
| OTH | 1,059 | 2.23% | 4.46% |
| CON Majority | 16,896 | 35.52% | Pred Maj 27.02% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Newark
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Patrick Mercer (CON)
Electorate: 71,785
Turnout: 71.36%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 27,590 | 53.86% | 43.85% |
| LAB | 11,438 | 22.33% | 30.11% |
| LIB | 10,246 | 20.00% | 3.30% |
| UKIP | 1,954 | 3.81% | 20.42% |
| OTH | 0 | 0.00% | 2.31% |
| CON Majority | 16,152 | 31.53% | Pred Maj 13.74% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Newbury
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP: Richard Benyon (CON)
Electorate: 78,329
Turnout: 74.80%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 33,057 | 56.42% | 46.47% |
| LIB | 20,809 | 35.52% | 19.74% |
| LAB | 2,505 | 4.28% | 11.77% |
| UKIP | 1,475 | 2.52% | 18.51% |
| OTH | 743 | 1.27% | 3.50% |
| CON Majority | 12,248 | 20.90% | Pred Maj 26.73% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Newcastle upon Tyne Central
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP: Chi Onwurah (LAB)
Electorate: 60,507
Turnout: 56.45%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 15,694 | 45.95% | 53.88% |
| LIB | 8,228 | 24.09% | 7.12% |
| CON | 6,611 | 19.35% | 9.11% |
| OTH | 2,870 | 8.40% | 10.76% |
| UKIP | 754 | 2.21% | 19.13% |
| LAB Majority | 7,466 | 21.86% | Pred Maj 34.75% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Newcastle upon Tyne East
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP: Nick Brown (LAB)
Electorate: 64,487
Turnout: 58.68%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 17,043 | 45.04% | 52.46% |
| LIB | 12,590 | 33.27% | 16.30% |
| CON | 6,068 | 16.04% | 7.54% |
| OTH | 2,139 | 5.65% | 7.86% |
| UKIP | 0 | 0.00% | 15.83% |
| LAB Majority | 4,453 | 11.77% | Pred Maj 36.16% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Newcastle upon Tyne North
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP: Catherine McKinnell (LAB)
Electorate: 67,110
Turnout: 65.48%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 17,950 | 40.85% | 48.59% |
| LIB | 14,536 | 33.08% | 16.11% |
| CON | 7,966 | 18.13% | 8.53% |
| OTH | 2,209 | 5.03% | 7.33% |
| UKIP | 1,285 | 2.92% | 19.45% |
| LAB Majority | 3,414 | 7.77% | Pred Maj 29.14% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Newcastle-under-Lyme
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP: Paul Farrelly (LAB)
Electorate: 69,433
Turnout: 62.21%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 16,393 | 37.95% | 45.81% |
| CON | 14,841 | 34.36% | 24.25% |
| LIB | 8,466 | 19.60% | 2.78% |
| UKIP | 3,491 | 8.08% | 24.83% |
| OTH | 0 | 0.00% | 2.33% |
| LAB Majority | 1,552 | 3.59% | Pred Maj 20.97% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Newton Abbot
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Anne-Marie Morris (CON)
Electorate: 69,343
Turnout: 69.63%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 20,774 | 43.03% | 33.05% |
| LIB | 20,251 | 41.94% | 26.59% |
| LAB | 3,387 | 7.01% | 14.40% |
| UKIP | 3,088 | 6.40% | 22.15% |
| OTH | 783 | 1.62% | 3.82% |
| CON Majority | 523 | 1.08% | Pred Maj 6.46% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Norfolk Mid
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: George Freeman (CON)
Electorate: 74,260
Turnout: 68.36%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 25,123 | 49.49% | 39.54% |
| LIB | 11,267 | 22.19% | 5.67% |
| LAB | 8,857 | 17.45% | 25.16% |
| UKIP | 2,800 | 5.52% | 21.98% |
| OTH | 2,718 | 5.35% | 7.65% |
| CON Majority | 13,856 | 27.29% | Pred Maj 14.38% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Norfolk North
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Norman Lamb (LIB)
Electorate: 67,841
Turnout: 73.20%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 27,554 | 55.48% | 38.96% |
| CON | 15,928 | 32.07% | 22.12% |
| LAB | 2,896 | 5.83% | 13.55% |
| UKIP | 2,680 | 5.40% | 21.86% |
| OTH | 603 | 1.21% | 3.51% |
| LIB Majority | 11,626 | 23.41% | Pred Maj 16.84% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Norfolk North West
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Henry Bellingham (CON)
Electorate: 73,207
Turnout: 65.29%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 25,916 | 54.22% | 44.27% |
| LIB | 11,106 | 23.23% | 6.71% |
| LAB | 6,353 | 13.29% | 21.01% |
| OTH | 2,584 | 5.41% | 7.70% |
| UKIP | 1,841 | 3.85% | 20.31% |
| CON Majority | 14,810 | 30.98% | Pred Maj 23.26% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Norfolk South
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Richard Bacon (CON)
Electorate: 76,165
Turnout: 72.20%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 27,133 | 49.34% | 39.39% |
| LIB | 16,193 | 29.45% | 12.92% |
| LAB | 7,252 | 13.19% | 20.90% |
| UKIP | 2,329 | 4.24% | 20.70% |
| OTH | 2,086 | 3.79% | 6.09% |
| CON Majority | 10,940 | 19.89% | Pred Maj 18.49% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Norfolk South West
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Elizabeth Truss (CON)
Electorate: 74,298
Turnout: 66.15%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 23,753 | 48.33% | 38.38% |
| LIB | 10,613 | 21.59% | 5.07% |
| LAB | 9,119 | 18.55% | 26.27% |
| UKIP | 3,061 | 6.23% | 22.69% |
| OTH | 2,604 | 5.30% | 7.59% |
| CON Majority | 13,140 | 26.73% | Pred Maj 12.11% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Yvette Cooper (LAB)
Electorate: 82,239
Turnout: 56.23%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 22,293 | 48.21% | 55.13% |
| CON | 11,314 | 24.47% | 14.19% |
| LIB | 7,585 | 16.40% | 2.96% |
| OTH | 5,047 | 10.92% | 12.97% |
| UKIP | 0 | 0.00% | 14.75% |
| LAB Majority | 10,979 | 23.74% | Pred Maj 40.37% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Northampton North
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP: Michael Ellis (CON)
Electorate: 64,230
Turnout: 62.70%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 13,735 | 34.11% | 24.16% |
| LAB | 11,799 | 29.30% | 37.01% |
| LIB | 11,250 | 27.94% | 11.41% |
| OTH | 2,249 | 5.58% | 7.88% |
| UKIP | 1,238 | 3.07% | 19.54% |
| CON Majority | 1,936 | 4.81% | Pred Maj 12.86% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
LAB Gain
Northampton South
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP: Brian Binley (CON)
Electorate: 66,923
Turnout: 58.24%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 15,917 | 40.84% | 30.89% |
| LAB | 9,913 | 25.43% | 33.01% |
| LIB | 7,579 | 19.44% | 3.38% |
| OTH | 3,672 | 9.42% | 11.68% |
| UKIP | 1,897 | 4.87% | 21.04% |
| CON Majority | 6,004 | 15.40% | Pred Maj 2.13% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
LAB Gain
Northamptonshire South
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP: Andrea Leadsom (CON)
Electorate: 82,032
Turnout: 73.01%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 33,081 | 55.24% | 45.29% |
| LIB | 12,603 | 21.04% | 4.52% |
| LAB | 10,380 | 17.33% | 25.05% |
| UKIP | 2,406 | 4.02% | 20.48% |
| OTH | 1,420 | 2.37% | 4.67% |
| CON Majority | 20,478 | 34.19% | Pred Maj 20.24% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Norwich North
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Chloe Smith (CON)
Electorate: 65,258
Turnout: 65.24%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 17,280 | 40.59% | 30.64% |
| LAB | 13,379 | 31.43% | 38.73% |
| LIB | 7,783 | 18.28% | 3.18% |
| OTH | 2,253 | 5.29% | 7.46% |
| UKIP | 1,878 | 4.41% | 19.99% |
| CON Majority | 3,901 | 9.16% | Pred Maj 8.09% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
LAB Gain
Norwich South
County/Area: Norfolk (East Anglia)
MP: Simon Wright (LIB)
Electorate: 73,649
Turnout: 64.56%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 13,960 | 29.36% | 12.83% |
| LAB | 13,650 | 28.71% | 36.42% |
| CON | 10,902 | 22.93% | 12.98% |
| MIN | 7,095 | 14.92% | 14.92% |
| UKIP | 1,145 | 2.41% | 18.87% |
| OTH | 799 | 1.68% | 3.97% |
| LIB Majority | 310 | 0.65% | Pred Maj 17.55% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| MIN |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
LAB Gain
Nottingham East
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Christopher Leslie (LAB)
Electorate: 58,707
Turnout: 56.40%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 15,022 | 45.37% | 53.15% |
| LIB | 8,053 | 24.32% | 7.62% |
| CON | 7,846 | 23.70% | 13.69% |
| UKIP | 1,138 | 3.44% | 20.04% |
| OTH | 1,053 | 3.18% | 5.49% |
| LAB Majority | 6,969 | 21.05% | Pred Maj 33.11% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Nottingham North
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Graham Allen (LAB)
Electorate: 63,240
Turnout: 54.21%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 16,646 | 48.55% | 55.62% |
| CON | 8,508 | 24.82% | 14.81% |
| LIB | 5,849 | 17.06% | 2.82% |
| OTH | 1,944 | 5.67% | 7.77% |
| UKIP | 1,338 | 3.90% | 18.98% |
| LAB Majority | 8,138 | 23.74% | Pred Maj 36.64% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Nottingham South
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Lillian Greenwood (LAB)
Electorate: 67,441
Turnout: 60.48%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 15,209 | 37.29% | 45.07% |
| CON | 13,437 | 32.94% | 22.94% |
| LIB | 9,406 | 23.06% | 6.36% |
| OTH | 1,770 | 4.34% | 6.65% |
| UKIP | 967 | 2.37% | 18.98% |
| LAB Majority | 1,772 | 4.34% | Pred Maj 22.13% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Nuneaton
County/Area: Warwickshire (East Midlands)
MP: Marcus Jones (CON)
Electorate: 67,837
Turnout: 65.81%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 18,536 | 41.52% | 31.51% |
| LAB | 16,467 | 36.88% | 43.53% |
| LIB | 6,846 | 15.33% | 2.53% |
| OTH | 2,797 | 6.26% | 8.24% |
| UKIP | 0 | 0.00% | 14.18% |
| CON Majority | 2,069 | 4.63% | Pred Maj 12.02% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
LAB Gain
Old Bexley and Sidcup
County/Area: Bexley (South London)
MP: James Brokenshire (CON)
Electorate: 65,665
Turnout: 69.28%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 24,625 | 54.13% | 43.63% |
| LAB | 8,768 | 19.27% | 26.36% |
| LIB | 6,996 | 15.38% | 1.55% |
| OTH | 3,571 | 7.85% | 9.96% |
| UKIP | 1,532 | 3.37% | 18.50% |
| CON Majority | 15,857 | 34.86% | Pred Maj 17.27% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Oldham East and Saddleworth
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Phil Woolas (LAB)
Electorate: 72,765
Turnout: 61.18%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 14,186 | 31.86% | 40.07% |
| LIB | 14,083 | 31.63% | 14.39% |
| CON | 11,773 | 26.44% | 15.54% |
| OTH | 2,758 | 6.19% | 8.63% |
| UKIP | 1,720 | 3.86% | 21.36% |
| LAB Majority | 103 | 0.23% | Pred Maj 18.70% |
Result shown is original general election result. Ms Debbie Abrahams (Lab) held the seat in a by-election on 13 January 2011, after Mr Phil Woolas was stripped of the seat by an election court.
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Oldham West and Royton
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Michael Meacher (LAB)
Electorate: 72,651
Turnout: 59.06%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 19,503 | 45.45% | 53.42% |
| CON | 10,151 | 23.66% | 12.76% |
| LIB | 8,193 | 19.09% | 2.63% |
| OTH | 3,676 | 8.57% | 10.94% |
| UKIP | 1,387 | 3.23% | 20.25% |
| LAB Majority | 9,352 | 21.79% | Pred Maj 33.18% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Orpington
County/Area: Bromley (South London)
MP: Joseph Johnson (CON)
Electorate: 67,732
Turnout: 72.21%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 29,200 | 59.70% | 49.20% |
| LIB | 12,000 | 24.53% | 6.55% |
| LAB | 4,400 | 9.00% | 17.30% |
| OTH | 1,951 | 3.99% | 6.46% |
| UKIP | 1,360 | 2.78% | 20.49% |
| CON Majority | 17,200 | 35.17% | Pred Maj 28.71% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Oxford East
County/Area: Oxfordshire (West)
MP: Andrew Smith (LAB)
Electorate: 81,886
Turnout: 63.08%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 21,938 | 42.47% | 49.69% |
| LIB | 17,357 | 33.60% | 18.25% |
| CON | 9,727 | 18.83% | 9.44% |
| OTH | 1,427 | 2.76% | 4.91% |
| UKIP | 1,202 | 2.33% | 17.72% |
| LAB Majority | 4,581 | 8.87% | Pred Maj 31.44% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Oxford West and Abingdon
County/Area: Oxfordshire (West)
MP: Nicola Blackwood (CON)
Electorate: 86,458
Turnout: 65.33%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 23,906 | 42.33% | 32.35% |
| LIB | 23,730 | 42.01% | 26.66% |
| LAB | 5,999 | 10.62% | 18.00% |
| UKIP | 1,518 | 2.69% | 18.44% |
| OTH | 1,327 | 2.35% | 4.54% |
| CON Majority | 176 | 0.31% | Pred Maj 5.69% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Pendle
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Andrew Stephenson (CON)
Electorate: 66,417
Turnout: 67.82%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 17,512 | 38.88% | 27.98% |
| LAB | 13,927 | 30.92% | 39.12% |
| LIB | 9,095 | 20.19% | 2.95% |
| OTH | 3,035 | 6.74% | 9.18% |
| UKIP | 1,476 | 3.28% | 20.78% |
| CON Majority | 3,585 | 7.96% | Pred Maj 11.14% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
LAB Gain
Penistone and Stocksbridge
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP: Angela Smith (LAB)
Electorate: 68,501
Turnout: 67.91%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 17,565 | 37.76% | 45.53% |
| CON | 14,516 | 31.21% | 20.93% |
| LIB | 9,800 | 21.07% | 4.68% |
| OTH | 2,699 | 5.80% | 8.11% |
| UKIP | 1,936 | 4.16% | 20.75% |
| LAB Majority | 3,049 | 6.55% | Pred Maj 24.61% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Penrith and The Border
County/Area: Cumbria (North)
MP: Rory Stewart (CON)
Electorate: 64,548
Turnout: 69.85%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 24,071 | 53.39% | 42.80% |
| LIB | 12,830 | 28.46% | 11.49% |
| LAB | 5,834 | 12.94% | 20.97% |
| UKIP | 1,259 | 2.79% | 19.93% |
| OTH | 1,093 | 2.42% | 4.81% |
| CON Majority | 11,241 | 24.93% | Pred Maj 21.83% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Peterborough
County/Area: Cambridgeshire (East Anglia)
MP: Stewart Jackson (CON)
Electorate: 70,316
Turnout: 63.89%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 18,133 | 40.36% | 30.41% |
| LAB | 13,272 | 29.54% | 37.17% |
| LIB | 8,816 | 19.62% | 3.41% |
| UKIP | 3,007 | 6.69% | 22.96% |
| OTH | 1,699 | 3.78% | 6.05% |
| CON Majority | 4,861 | 10.82% | Pred Maj 6.75% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
LAB Gain
Plymouth Moor View
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Alison Seabeck (LAB)
Electorate: 67,261
Turnout: 61.74%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 15,433 | 37.16% | 43.85% |
| CON | 13,845 | 33.34% | 23.37% |
| LIB | 7,016 | 16.90% | 3.92% |
| UKIP | 3,188 | 7.68% | 21.95% |
| OTH | 2,044 | 4.92% | 6.91% |
| LAB Majority | 1,588 | 3.82% | Pred Maj 20.48% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Oliver Colville (CON)
Electorate: 71,035
Turnout: 61.79%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 15,050 | 34.29% | 24.31% |
| LAB | 13,901 | 31.67% | 39.05% |
| LIB | 10,829 | 24.67% | 9.32% |
| UKIP | 2,854 | 6.50% | 22.25% |
| OTH | 1,260 | 2.87% | 5.07% |
| CON Majority | 1,149 | 2.62% | Pred Maj 14.74% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
LAB Gain
Poole
County/Area: Dorset (South West)
MP: Robert Syms (CON)
Electorate: 64,661
Turnout: 73.36%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 22,532 | 47.50% | 37.53% |
| LIB | 14,991 | 31.60% | 16.25% |
| LAB | 6,041 | 12.74% | 20.12% |
| UKIP | 2,507 | 5.29% | 21.04% |
| OTH | 1,365 | 2.88% | 5.07% |
| CON Majority | 7,541 | 15.90% | Pred Maj 16.49% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Poplar and Limehouse
County/Area: Tower Hamlets (North London)
MP: Jim Fitzpatrick (LAB)
Electorate: 74,956
Turnout: 62.30%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 18,679 | 40.00% | 45.98% |
| CON | 12,649 | 27.09% | 16.59% |
| MIN | 8,160 | 17.47% | 17.47% |
| LIB | 5,209 | 11.15% | 1.12% |
| OTH | 1,438 | 3.08% | 4.86% |
| UKIP | 565 | 1.21% | 13.98% |
| LAB Majority | 6,030 | 12.91% | Pred Maj 28.51% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| MIN |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Portsmouth North
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Penny Mordaunt (CON)
Electorate: 70,329
Turnout: 62.73%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 19,533 | 44.27% | 34.33% |
| LAB | 12,244 | 27.75% | 35.25% |
| LIB | 8,874 | 20.11% | 4.34% |
| UKIP | 1,812 | 4.11% | 20.10% |
| OTH | 1,655 | 3.75% | 5.98% |
| CON Majority | 7,289 | 16.52% | Pred Maj 0.92% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
LAB Gain
Portsmouth South
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Mike Hancock (LIB)
Electorate: 70,242
Turnout: 58.75%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 18,921 | 45.85% | 30.08% |
| CON | 13,721 | 33.25% | 23.30% |
| LAB | 5,640 | 13.67% | 21.17% |
| OTH | 2,106 | 5.10% | 7.33% |
| UKIP | 876 | 2.12% | 18.12% |
| LIB Majority | 5,200 | 12.60% | Pred Maj 6.78% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
Preston
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Mark Hendrick (LAB)
Electorate: 62,460
Turnout: 52.04%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB | 15,668 | 48.20% | 56.40% |
| LIB | 7,935 | 24.41% | 7.17% |
| CON | 7,060 | 21.72% | 10.82% |
| UKIP | 1,462 | 4.50% | 22.00% |
| OTH | 380 | 1.17% | 3.61% |
| LAB Majority | 7,733 | 23.79% | Pred Maj 34.41% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| CON |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
Pudsey
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Stuart Andrew (CON)
Electorate: 69,257
Turnout: 70.87%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 18,874 | 38.45% | 28.17% |
| LAB | 17,215 | 35.07% | 42.85% |
| LIB | 10,224 | 20.83% | 4.44% |
| OTH | 1,549 | 3.16% | 5.47% |
| UKIP | 1,221 | 2.49% | 19.07% |
| CON Majority | 1,659 | 3.38% | Pred Maj 14.67% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||
LAB Gain
Putney
County/Area: Wandsworth (South London)
MP: Justine Greening (CON)
Electorate: 63,370
Turnout: 64.36%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 21,223 | 52.04% | 41.54% |
| LAB | 11,170 | 27.39% | 34.89% |
| LIB | 6,907 | 16.94% | 1.71% |
| OTH | 1,050 | 2.57% | 4.80% |
| UKIP | 435 | 1.07% | 17.07% |
| CON Majority | 10,053 | 24.65% | Pred Maj 6.65% |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
| ||
| LAB |
| ||
| LIB |
| ||
| OTH |
| ||
| UKIP |
| ||