Constituency List: England R-S



Rayleigh and Wickford
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP at 2015: Mark Francois  (CON)
Electorate: 77,870
Turnout: 68.3%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,088 54.7% 59.9%
UKIP11,858 22.3% 19.8%
LAB6,705 12.6% 9.6%
OTH2,418 4.5% 3.5%
LIB1,622 3.0% 3.7%
Green1,529 2.9% 3.5%
CON Majority17,230 32.4%Pred Maj 40.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
93%
UKIP
4%
LAB
2%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Reading East
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP at 2015: Rob Wilson  (CON)
Electorate: 74,651
Turnout: 67.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,217 46.0% 50.8%
LAB16,697 33.1% 28.0%
LIB3,719 7.4% 7.9%
UKIP3,647 7.2% 6.3%
Green3,214 6.4% 6.9%
CON Majority6,520 12.9%Pred Maj 22.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
81%
LAB
14%
LIB
2%
UKIP
2%
Green
1%


Reading West
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP at 2015: Alok Sharma  (CON)
Electorate: 72,302
Turnout: 66.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,082 47.7% 52.9%
LAB16,432 33.9% 28.9%
UKIP4,826 10.0% 8.8%
LIB2,355 4.9% 5.5%
Green1,406 2.9% 3.5%
OTH303 0.6% 0.5%
CON Majority6,650 13.7%Pred Maj 23.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
83%
LAB
13%
UKIP
2%
LIB
1%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Redcar
County/Area: Teesside (North)
MP at 2015: Anna Turley  (LAB)
Electorate: 64,825
Turnout: 63.1%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,946 43.9% 39.5%
LIB7,558 18.5% 19.1%
UKIP7,516 18.4% 16.2%
CON6,630 16.2% 21.7%
Green880 2.2% 2.8%
OTH389 1.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority10,388 25.4%Pred Maj 17.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
59%
LIB
7%
UKIP
8%
CON
25%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Redditch
County/Area: Hereford and Worcestershire (Severn)
MP at 2015: Karen Lumley  (CON)
Electorate: 65,529
Turnout: 67.3%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,771 47.1% 52.3%
LAB13,717 31.1% 26.7%
UKIP7,133 16.2% 14.2%
LIB1,349 3.1% 3.7%
Green960 2.2% 2.8%
OTH168 0.4% 0.3%
CON Majority7,054 16.0%Pred Maj 25.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
80%
LAB
17%
UKIP
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Reigate
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP at 2015: Crispin Blunt  (CON)
Electorate: 73,429
Turnout: 69.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,151 56.8% 60.7%
UKIP6,817 13.3% 11.7%
LAB6,578 12.8% 9.6%
LIB5,369 10.5% 10.9%
Green3,434 6.7% 7.1%
CON Majority22,334 43.5%Pred Maj 49.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
95%
UKIP
2%
LAB
2%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Ribble South
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: Seema Kennedy  (CON)
Electorate: 76,489
Turnout: 68.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,313 46.4% 51.2%
LAB18,368 35.1% 30.9%
UKIP7,377 14.1% 12.4%
LIB2,312 4.4% 5.0%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
CON Majority5,945 11.4%Pred Maj 20.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
74%
LAB
23%
UKIP
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Ribble Valley
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: Nigel Evans  (CON)
Electorate: 77,873
Turnout: 67.1%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,404 48.6% 54.2%
LAB11,798 22.6% 18.4%
UKIP8,250 15.8% 13.9%
LIB2,756 5.3% 6.0%
Green2,193 4.2% 4.8%
OTH1,842 3.5% 2.7%
CON Majority13,606 26.0%Pred Maj 35.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
82%
LAB
14%
UKIP
3%
LIB
1%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Richmond
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP at 2015: Rishi Sunak  (CON)
Electorate: 83,451
Turnout: 64.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,744 51.4% 55.9%
UKIP8,194 15.2% 13.3%
LAB7,124 13.2% 10.3%
LIB3,465 6.4% 7.0%
MIN3,348 6.2% 6.2%
Green2,313 4.3% 4.8%
OTH1,811 3.4% 2.6%
CON Majority19,550 36.2%Pred Maj 42.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
89%
UKIP
3%
LAB
7%
LIB
1%
MIN
0%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Richmond Park
County/Area: Richmond Upon Thames (South London)
MP at 2015: Zac Goldsmith  (CON)
Electorate: 77,297
Turnout: 76.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,404 58.2% 60.8%
LIB11,389 19.3% 19.6%
LAB7,296 12.3% 9.7%
Green3,548 6.0% 6.3%
UKIP2,464 4.2% 3.7%
CON Majority23,015 38.9%Pred Maj 41.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
95%
LIB
1%
LAB
4%
Green
0%
UKIP
0%


Rochdale
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP at 2015: Simon Danczuk  (LAB)
Electorate: 79,170
Turnout: 57.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,961 46.1% 41.9%
UKIP8,519 18.8% 16.5%
CON7,742 17.0% 22.6%
LIB4,667 10.3% 10.9%
MIN1,535 3.4% 3.4%
Green1,382 3.0% 3.7%
OTH624 1.4% 1.1%
LAB Majority12,442 27.4%Pred Maj 19.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
62%
UKIP
8%
CON
26%
LIB
3%
MIN
0%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Rochester and Strood
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP at 2015: Kelly Tolhurst  (CON)
Electorate: 79,000
Turnout: 66.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,142 44.1% 50.1%
UKIP16,009 30.5% 28.0%
LAB10,396 19.8% 14.8%
Green1,516 2.9% 3.6%
LIB1,251 2.4% 3.1%
OTH202 0.4% 0.3%
CON Majority7,133 13.6%Pred Maj 22.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
78%
UKIP
15%
LAB
5%
Green
1%
LIB
2%
OTH
0%


Rochford and Southend East
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP at 2015: James Duddridge  (CON)
Electorate: 71,935
Turnout: 60.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,241 46.4% 52.3%
LAB10,765 24.7% 19.9%
UKIP8,948 20.5% 18.0%
Green2,195 5.0% 5.7%
LIB1,459 3.3% 4.1%
CON Majority9,476 21.7%Pred Maj 32.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
84%
LAB
10%
UKIP
5%
Green
1%
LIB
1%


Romford
County/Area: Havering (North London)
MP at 2015: Andrew Rosindell  (CON)
Electorate: 72,594
Turnout: 67.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,067 51.0% 56.4%
UKIP11,208 22.8% 20.4%
LAB10,268 20.9% 16.5%
LIB1,413 2.9% 3.5%
Green1,222 2.5% 3.1%
CON Majority13,859 28.2%Pred Maj 36.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
86%
UKIP
2%
LAB
11%
LIB
1%
Green
1%


Romsey and Southampton North
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP at 2015: Caroline Nokes  (CON)
Electorate: 66,519
Turnout: 72.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,285 54.3% 57.9%
LIB8,573 17.7% 18.1%
LAB5,749 11.9% 8.9%
UKIP5,511 11.4% 10.0%
Green2,280 4.7% 5.1%
CON Majority17,712 36.6%Pred Maj 39.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
94%
LIB
2%
LAB
2%
UKIP
2%
Green
1%


Rossendale and Darwen
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: Jake Berry  (CON)
Electorate: 84,011
Turnout: 58.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,847 46.6% 51.5%
LAB17,193 35.1% 30.8%
UKIP6,862 14.0% 12.3%
Green1,046 2.1% 2.7%
LIB806 1.6% 2.2%
OTH270 0.6% 0.4%
CON Majority5,654 11.5%Pred Maj 20.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
74%
LAB
24%
UKIP
2%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%


Rother Valley
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP at 2015: Kevin Barron  (LAB)
Electorate: 74,275
Turnout: 63.3%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,501 43.6% 39.2%
UKIP13,204 28.1% 25.6%
CON10,945 23.3% 29.0%
LIB1,992 4.2% 4.9%
OTH377 0.8% 0.6%
Green0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority7,297 15.5%Pred Maj 10.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
55%
UKIP
14%
CON
29%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%
Green
1%


Rotherham
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP at 2015: Sarah Champion  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,698
Turnout: 59.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,860 52.5% 48.1%
UKIP11,414 30.2% 27.7%
CON4,656 12.3% 18.3%
LIB1,093 2.9% 3.6%
OTH800 2.1% 1.6%
Green0 0.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority8,446 22.3%Pred Maj 20.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
75%
UKIP
11%
CON
12%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%
Green
0%


Rugby
County/Area: Warwickshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Mark Pawsey  (CON)
Electorate: 79,557
Turnout: 61.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,040 49.1% 54.0%
LAB13,695 27.9% 23.6%
UKIP6,855 14.0% 12.3%
LIB2,776 5.7% 6.3%
Green1,415 2.9% 3.4%
OTH225 0.5% 0.4%
CON Majority10,345 21.1%Pred Maj 30.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
84%
LAB
13%
UKIP
2%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner
County/Area: Hillingdon (South London)
MP at 2015: Nick Hurd  (CON)
Electorate: 73,219
Turnout: 70.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,521 59.6% 64.3%
LAB10,297 20.1% 15.8%
UKIP5,598 10.9% 9.6%
LIB2,537 5.0% 5.5%
Green1,801 3.5% 4.1%
OTH468 0.9% 0.7%
CON Majority20,224 39.5%Pred Maj 48.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
95%
LAB
4%
UKIP
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Runnymede and Weybridge
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP at 2015: Philip Hammond  (CON)
Electorate: 73,744
Turnout: 67.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,901 59.7% 64.3%
LAB7,767 15.5% 11.6%
UKIP6,951 13.9% 12.2%
LIB3,362 6.7% 7.3%
Green2,071 4.1% 4.7%
CON Majority22,134 44.2%Pred Maj 52.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
97%
LAB
1%
UKIP
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Rushcliffe
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Kenneth Clarke  (CON)
Electorate: 73,294
Turnout: 75.3%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,354 51.4% 55.9%
LAB14,525 26.3% 22.0%
UKIP5,943 10.8% 9.5%
Green3,559 6.5% 7.0%
LIB2,783 5.0% 5.6%
CON Majority13,829 25.1%Pred Maj 34.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
87%
LAB
11%
UKIP
2%
Green
0%
LIB
0%


Rutland and Melton
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Alan Duncan  (CON)
Electorate: 79,789
Turnout: 68.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,383 55.6% 60.0%
UKIP8,678 15.9% 14.0%
LAB8,383 15.4% 12.0%
LIB4,407 8.1% 8.6%
Green2,325 4.3% 4.8%
OTH427 0.8% 0.6%
CON Majority21,705 39.8%Pred Maj 46.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
93%
UKIP
2%
LAB
4%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Saffron Walden
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP at 2015: Sir Alan Haselhurst  (CON)
Electorate: 80,615
Turnout: 71.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,926 57.2% 61.4%
UKIP7,935 13.8% 12.1%
LAB6,791 11.8% 9.0%
LIB6,079 10.6% 11.1%
Green2,174 3.8% 4.3%
OTH1,658 2.9% 2.2%
CON Majority24,991 43.4%Pred Maj 49.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
95%
UKIP
2%
LAB
2%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Salford and Eccles
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP at 2015: Rebecca Long-Bailey  (LAB)
Electorate: 74,290
Turnout: 58.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,364 49.4% 45.2%
CON8,823 20.4% 26.2%
UKIP7,806 18.0% 15.9%
Green2,251 5.2% 5.9%
LIB1,614 3.7% 4.4%
OTH1,403 3.2% 2.5%
LAB Majority12,541 29.0%Pred Maj 19.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
67%
CON
25%
UKIP
6%
Green
1%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Salisbury
County/Area: Wiltshire (West)
MP at 2015: John Glen  (CON)
Electorate: 69,590
Turnout: 72.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,192 55.6% 60.4%
LAB7,771 15.3% 11.2%
UKIP6,152 12.1% 10.7%
LIB5,099 10.1% 10.6%
Green2,762 5.4% 6.0%
OTH729 1.4% 1.1%
CON Majority20,421 40.3%Pred Maj 49.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
95%
LAB
2%
UKIP
1%
LIB
2%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Scarborough and Whitby
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP at 2015: Robert Goodwill  (CON)
Electorate: 73,511
Turnout: 64.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,613 43.2% 48.5%
LAB14,413 30.2% 25.8%
UKIP8,162 17.1% 14.9%
Green2,185 4.6% 5.2%
LIB2,159 4.5% 5.2%
OTH207 0.4% 0.3%
CON Majority6,200 13.0%Pred Maj 22.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
74%
LAB
21%
UKIP
4%
Green
0%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Scunthorpe
County/Area: Humber area (Humberside)
MP at 2015: Nic Dakin  (LAB)
Electorate: 64,010
Turnout: 57.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,393 41.7% 37.3%
CON12,259 33.2% 38.6%
UKIP6,329 17.1% 15.0%
MIN1,097 3.0% 3.0%
Green887 2.4% 3.0%
LIB770 2.1% 2.7%
OTH206 0.6% 0.4%
LAB Majority3,134 8.5%Pred Maj 1.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
44%
CON
49%
UKIP
6%
MIN
0%
Green
0%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%

CON Gain

Sedgefield
County/Area: Durham (North)
MP at 2015: Phil Wilson  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,860
Turnout: 61.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,275 47.2% 42.8%
CON11,432 29.5% 34.7%
UKIP6,426 16.6% 14.6%
LIB1,370 3.5% 4.2%
Green1,213 3.1% 3.7%
LAB Majority6,843 17.7%Pred Maj 8.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
59%
CON
35%
UKIP
5%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Sefton Central
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: Bill Esterson  (LAB)
Electorate: 67,746
Turnout: 72.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,359 53.8% 49.5%
CON14,513 29.6% 34.0%
UKIP4,879 10.0% 8.8%
LIB2,086 4.3% 4.8%
Green1,184 2.4% 2.9%
LAB Majority11,846 24.2%Pred Maj 15.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
70%
CON
27%
UKIP
2%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Selby and Ainsty
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP at 2015: Nigel Adams  (CON)
Electorate: 76,082
Turnout: 69.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,725 52.5% 57.5%
LAB14,168 26.8% 22.5%
UKIP7,389 14.0% 12.2%
LIB1,920 3.6% 4.2%
Green1,465 2.8% 3.3%
OTH137 0.3% 0.2%
CON Majority13,557 25.7%Pred Maj 35.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
88%
LAB
10%
UKIP
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Sevenoaks
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP at 2015: Michael Fallon  (CON)
Electorate: 70,741
Turnout: 70.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,531 56.9% 61.3%
UKIP8,970 17.9% 15.7%
LAB6,448 12.9% 9.6%
LIB3,937 7.9% 8.4%
Green2,238 4.5% 5.0%
CON Majority19,561 39.0%Pred Maj 45.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
95%
UKIP
2%
LAB
2%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP at 2015: Harry Harpham  (LAB)
Electorate: 73,090
Turnout: 54.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,663 56.6% 52.2%
UKIP8,856 22.1% 19.6%
CON4,407 11.0% 16.9%
LIB1,802 4.5% 5.2%
Green1,712 4.3% 4.9%
OTH613 1.5% 1.2%
LAB Majority13,807 34.5%Pred Maj 32.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions

Result shown is original general election result. Ms Gill Furniss (Lab) held the seat in a by-election on 5 May 2016 after the death of her husband Mr Harpham on 4 February 2016.

Chance of winning
LAB
82%
UKIP
5%
CON
12%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Sheffield Central
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP at 2015: Paul Blomfield  (LAB)
Electorate: 77,014
Turnout: 57.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,308 55.0% 50.7%
Green6,999 15.8% 16.4%
CON4,917 11.1% 15.6%
LIB4,278 9.7% 10.2%
UKIP3,296 7.5% 6.5%
OTH375 0.8% 0.7%
LAB Majority17,309 39.2%Pred Maj 34.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
80%
Green
2%
CON
14%
LIB
2%
UKIP
3%
OTH
0%


Sheffield Hallam
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP at 2015: Nick Clegg  (LIB)
Electorate: 73,658
Turnout: 75.3%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LIB22,215 40.0% 40.6%
LAB19,862 35.8% 31.4%
CON7,544 13.6% 18.0%
UKIP3,575 6.4% 5.6%
Green1,772 3.2% 3.7%
OTH513 0.9% 0.7%
LIB Majority2,353 4.2%Pred Maj 9.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LIB
43%
LAB
32%
CON
19%
UKIP
4%
Green
1%
OTH
1%


Sheffield Heeley
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP at 2015: Louise Haigh  (LAB)
Electorate: 69,265
Turnout: 60.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,269 48.2% 43.8%
UKIP7,315 17.4% 15.2%
CON6,792 16.2% 21.6%
LIB4,746 11.3% 11.9%
Green2,566 6.1% 6.7%
OTH360 0.9% 0.7%
LAB Majority12,954 30.8%Pred Maj 22.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
66%
UKIP
7%
CON
23%
LIB
2%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Sheffield South East
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP at 2015: Clive Betts  (LAB)
Electorate: 70,422
Turnout: 59.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,439 51.4% 47.1%
UKIP9,128 21.9% 19.4%
CON7,242 17.4% 23.2%
LIB2,226 5.3% 6.0%
Green1,117 2.7% 3.3%
OTH533 1.3% 1.0%
LAB Majority12,311 29.5%Pred Maj 23.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
72%
UKIP
7%
CON
20%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Sherwood
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Mark Spencer  (CON)
Electorate: 73,334
Turnout: 69.1%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,833 45.0% 50.0%
LAB18,186 35.9% 31.5%
UKIP7,399 14.6% 12.9%
Green1,108 2.2% 2.7%
LIB1,094 2.2% 2.8%
OTH78 0.2% 0.1%
CON Majority4,647 9.2%Pred Maj 18.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
73%
LAB
24%
UKIP
2%
Green
0%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Shipley
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP at 2015: Philip Davies  (CON)
Electorate: 70,466
Turnout: 71.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,269 50.0% 54.6%
LAB15,645 31.0% 26.6%
UKIP4,479 8.9% 7.7%
Green2,657 5.3% 5.8%
LIB1,949 3.9% 4.4%
OTH543 1.1% 0.8%
CON Majority9,624 19.0%Pred Maj 28.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
84%
LAB
14%
UKIP
1%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%


Shrewsbury and Atcham
County/Area: Shropshire (Severn)
MP at 2015: Daniel Kawczynski  (CON)
Electorate: 76,460
Turnout: 70.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,628 45.5% 50.5%
LAB15,063 27.8% 23.5%
UKIP7,813 14.4% 12.7%
LIB4,268 7.9% 8.5%
Green2,247 4.2% 4.7%
OTH83 0.2% 0.1%
CON Majority9,565 17.7%Pred Maj 27.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
78%
LAB
17%
UKIP
3%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Shropshire North
County/Area: Shropshire (Severn)
MP at 2015: Owen Paterson  (CON)
Electorate: 78,910
Turnout: 66.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,041 51.4% 56.7%
LAB10,547 20.1% 15.7%
UKIP9,262 17.6% 15.5%
LIB3,148 6.0% 6.6%
Green2,575 4.9% 5.5%
CON Majority16,494 31.4%Pred Maj 41.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
89%
LAB
7%
UKIP
3%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Sittingbourne and Sheppey
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP at 2015: Gordon Henderson  (CON)
Electorate: 76,018
Turnout: 65.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,425 49.5% 55.5%
UKIP12,257 24.8% 22.4%
LAB9,673 19.6% 14.7%
LIB1,563 3.2% 3.9%
Green1,185 2.4% 3.1%
OTH275 0.6% 0.4%
CON Majority12,168 24.6%Pred Maj 33.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
88%
UKIP
6%
LAB
5%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Skipton and Ripon
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP at 2015: Julian Smith  (CON)
Electorate: 76,243
Turnout: 71.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,248 55.4% 59.9%
LAB9,487 17.4% 13.6%
UKIP7,651 14.0% 12.3%
LIB4,057 7.4% 8.0%
Green3,116 5.7% 6.2%
CON Majority20,761 38.1%Pred Maj 46.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
94%
LAB
4%
UKIP
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Sleaford and North Hykeham
County/Area: Lincolnshire (Humberside)
MP at 2015: Stephen Phillips  (CON)
Electorate: 88,188
Turnout: 70.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,805 56.2% 61.8%
LAB10,690 17.3% 13.5%
UKIP9,716 15.7% 13.7%
LIB3,500 5.7% 6.3%
OTH3,233 5.2% 4.0%
Green0 0.0% 0.6%
CON Majority24,115 38.9%Pred Maj 48.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
94%
LAB
4%
UKIP
2%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%


Slough
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP at 2015: Fiona Mactaggart  (LAB)
Electorate: 86,366
Turnout: 55.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,421 48.5% 43.5%
CON16,085 33.3% 38.7%
UKIP6,274 13.0% 11.4%
LIB1,275 2.6% 3.3%
Green1,220 2.5% 3.1%
LAB Majority7,336 15.2%Pred Maj 4.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
53%
CON
42%
UKIP
3%
LIB
1%
Green
1%


Solihull
County/Area: Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
MP at 2015: Julian Knight  (CON)
Electorate: 77,251
Turnout: 70.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,956 49.2% 52.2%
LIB14,054 25.7% 26.0%
UKIP6,361 11.6% 10.2%
LAB5,693 10.4% 8.1%
Green1,632 3.0% 3.3%
OTH83 0.2% 0.1%
CON Majority12,902 23.6%Pred Maj 26.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
87%
LIB
4%
UKIP
2%
LAB
6%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Somerset North
County/Area: Bristol area (West)
MP at 2015: Liam Fox  (CON)
Electorate: 80,115
Turnout: 73.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,540 53.5% 57.9%
LAB8,441 14.3% 10.5%
UKIP7,669 13.0% 11.5%
LIB7,486 12.7% 13.2%
Green3,806 6.5% 7.0%
CON Majority23,099 39.2%Pred Maj 44.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
94%
LAB
2%
UKIP
2%
LIB
2%
Green
0%


Somerset North East
County/Area: Bristol area (West)
MP at 2015: Jacob Rees-Mogg  (CON)
Electorate: 69,380
Turnout: 73.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,439 49.8% 55.3%
LAB12,690 24.8% 19.5%
UKIP6,150 12.0% 10.6%
LIB4,029 7.9% 8.5%
Green2,802 5.5% 6.1%
CON Majority12,749 24.9%Pred Maj 35.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
89%
LAB
7%
UKIP
2%
LIB
2%
Green
1%


Somerton and Frome
County/Area: Somerset (South West)
MP at 2015: David Warburton  (CON)
Electorate: 83,527
Turnout: 72.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON31,960 53.0% 55.7%
LIB11,692 19.4% 19.7%
UKIP6,439 10.7% 9.4%
Green5,434 9.0% 9.3%
LAB4,419 7.3% 5.4%
OTH365 0.6% 0.5%
CON Majority20,268 33.6%Pred Maj 36.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
92%
LIB
4%
UKIP
2%
Green
1%
LAB
2%
OTH
0%


South Holland and The Deepings
County/Area: Lincolnshire (Humberside)
MP at 2015: John Hayes  (CON)
Electorate: 77,015
Turnout: 63.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,303 59.6% 63.8%
UKIP10,736 21.8% 19.3%
LAB6,122 12.4% 9.7%
Green1,580 3.2% 3.7%
LIB1,466 3.0% 3.5%
CON Majority18,567 37.7%Pred Maj 44.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
96%
UKIP
2%
LAB
2%
Green
0%
LIB
0%


South Shields
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP at 2015: Emma Lewell-Buck  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,730
Turnout: 57.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,589 51.3% 46.9%
UKIP7,975 22.0% 19.6%
CON6,021 16.6% 22.1%
Green1,614 4.5% 5.1%
MIN1,427 3.9% 3.9%
LIB639 1.8% 2.4%
LAB Majority10,614 29.3%Pred Maj 24.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
71%
UKIP
8%
CON
19%
Green
1%
MIN
0%
LIB
1%


Southampton Itchen
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP at 2015: Royston Smith  (CON)
Electorate: 72,309
Turnout: 61.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,656 41.7% 47.2%
LAB16,340 36.5% 31.5%
UKIP6,010 13.4% 11.8%
Green1,876 4.2% 4.8%
LIB1,595 3.6% 4.2%
OTH233 0.5% 0.4%
CON Majority2,316 5.2%Pred Maj 15.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
71%
LAB
23%
UKIP
4%
Green
1%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Southampton Test
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP at 2015: Alan Whitehead  (LAB)
Electorate: 70,285
Turnout: 62.1%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,017 41.3% 36.3%
CON14,207 32.5% 38.4%
UKIP5,566 12.8% 11.2%
Green2,568 5.9% 6.5%
LIB2,121 4.9% 5.6%
OTH1,173 2.7% 2.1%
LAB Majority3,810 8.7%Pred Maj 2.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
39%
CON
51%
UKIP
6%
Green
2%
LIB
3%
OTH
0%

CON Gain

Southend West
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP at 2015: David Amess  (CON)
Electorate: 66,876
Turnout: 66.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,175 49.8% 55.2%
LAB8,154 18.3% 14.0%
UKIP7,803 17.5% 15.4%
LIB4,129 9.3% 9.9%
Green2,083 4.7% 5.3%
OTH165 0.4% 0.3%
CON Majority14,021 31.5%Pred Maj 39.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
89%
LAB
6%
UKIP
3%
LIB
1%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Southport
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: John Pugh  (LIB)
Electorate: 67,328
Turnout: 65.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LIB13,652 31.0% 31.6%
CON12,330 28.0% 33.3%
LAB8,468 19.2% 15.1%
UKIP7,429 16.8% 14.8%
Green1,230 2.8% 3.4%
OTH992 2.2% 1.7%
LIB Majority1,322 3.0%Pred Maj 1.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LIB
24%
CON
45%
LAB
21%
UKIP
9%
Green
1%
OTH
0%

CON Gain

Spelthorne
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP at 2015: Kwasi Kwarteng  (CON)
Electorate: 71,592
Turnout: 68.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,386 49.7% 55.6%
UKIP10,234 20.9% 18.4%
LAB9,114 18.6% 13.9%
LIB3,163 6.4% 7.2%
Green1,724 3.5% 4.2%
OTH458 0.9% 0.7%
CON Majority14,152 28.8%Pred Maj 37.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
89%
UKIP
4%
LAB
5%
LIB
2%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


St Albans
County/Area: Hertfordshire (Essex)
MP at 2015: Anne Main  (CON)
Electorate: 72,507
Turnout: 75.1%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,392 46.6% 51.3%
LAB12,660 23.3% 18.5%
LIB10,076 18.5% 19.1%
UKIP4,271 7.8% 6.9%
Green2,034 3.7% 4.3%
CON Majority12,732 23.4%Pred Maj 32.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
84%
LAB
9%
LIB
4%
UKIP
3%
Green
1%


St Austell and Newquay
County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP at 2015: Steve Double  (CON)
Electorate: 76,607
Turnout: 65.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,250 40.2% 44.8%
LIB12,077 24.0% 24.5%
UKIP8,503 16.9% 14.9%
LAB5,150 10.2% 7.5%
Green2,318 4.6% 5.1%
OTH2,063 4.1% 3.2%
CON Majority8,173 16.2%Pred Maj 20.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
73%
LIB
15%
UKIP
5%
LAB
5%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


St Helens North
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: Conor McGinn  (LAB)
Electorate: 75,262
Turnout: 61.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,378 57.0% 52.8%
CON9,087 19.6% 24.5%
UKIP6,983 15.1% 13.3%
LIB2,046 4.4% 5.0%
Green1,762 3.8% 4.4%
LAB Majority17,291 37.4%Pred Maj 28.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
80%
CON
16%
UKIP
3%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


St Helens South and Whiston
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP at 2015: Marie Rimmer  (LAB)
Electorate: 77,720
Turnout: 62.3%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB28,950 59.8% 55.6%
CON7,707 15.9% 20.7%
UKIP6,766 14.0% 12.3%
LIB2,737 5.7% 6.2%
Green2,237 4.6% 5.2%
LAB Majority21,243 43.9%Pred Maj 34.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
84%
CON
12%
UKIP
2%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


St Ives
County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP at 2015: Derek Thomas  (CON)
Electorate: 65,570
Turnout: 73.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,491 38.3% 41.6%
LIB16,022 33.2% 33.6%
UKIP5,720 11.8% 10.4%
LAB4,510 9.3% 6.8%
Green3,051 6.3% 6.7%
OTH518 1.1% 0.8%
CON Majority2,469 5.1%Pred Maj 8.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
66%
LIB
27%
UKIP
3%
LAB
4%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Stafford
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP at 2015: Jeremy Lefroy  (CON)
Electorate: 68,705
Turnout: 71.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON23,606 48.4% 53.2%
LAB14,429 29.6% 25.2%
UKIP6,293 12.9% 11.4%
MIN1,701 3.5% 3.5%
Green1,390 2.9% 3.4%
LIB1,348 2.8% 3.3%
CON Majority9,177 18.8%Pred Maj 28.0%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
81%
LAB
16%
UKIP
2%
MIN
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%


Staffordshire Moorlands
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP at 2015: Karen Bradley  (CON)
Electorate: 63,104
Turnout: 67.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,770 51.1% 56.1%
LAB11,596 27.2% 22.8%
UKIP6,236 14.6% 12.9%
LIB1,759 4.1% 4.7%
Green1,226 2.9% 3.4%
CON Majority10,174 23.9%Pred Maj 33.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
87%
LAB
11%
UKIP
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Staffordshire South
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP at 2015: Gavin Williamson  (CON)
Electorate: 84,243
Turnout: 58.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,478 59.4% 64.3%
LAB9,107 18.4% 14.3%
UKIP8,267 16.7% 14.7%
LIB1,448 2.9% 3.5%
Green1,298 2.6% 3.2%
CON Majority20,371 41.1%Pred Maj 49.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
95%
LAB
3%
UKIP
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Stalybridge and Hyde
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP at 2015: Jonathan Reynolds  (LAB)
Electorate: 69,081
Turnout: 59.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,447 45.0% 40.7%
CON11,761 28.7% 33.9%
UKIP7,720 18.8% 16.5%
Green1,850 4.5% 5.1%
LIB1,256 3.1% 3.7%
LAB Majority6,686 16.3%Pred Maj 6.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
56%
CON
36%
UKIP
6%
Green
1%
LIB
1%


Stevenage
County/Area: Hertfordshire (Essex)
MP at 2015: Stephen McPartland  (CON)
Electorate: 70,597
Turnout: 67.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,291 44.5% 50.0%
LAB16,336 34.2% 29.4%
UKIP6,864 14.4% 12.6%
LIB1,582 3.3% 4.0%
Green1,369 2.9% 3.5%
OTH357 0.7% 0.6%
CON Majority4,955 10.4%Pred Maj 20.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
77%
LAB
19%
UKIP
3%
LIB
1%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Stockport
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP at 2015: Ann Coffey  (LAB)
Electorate: 63,931
Turnout: 62.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,771 49.9% 45.6%
CON9,710 24.5% 29.3%
UKIP5,206 13.1% 11.5%
LIB3,034 7.7% 8.2%
Green1,753 4.4% 5.0%
OTH175 0.4% 0.3%
LAB Majority10,061 25.4%Pred Maj 16.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
67%
CON
27%
UKIP
4%
LIB
1%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Stockton North
County/Area: Teesside (North)
MP at 2015: Alex Cunningham  (LAB)
Electorate: 66,126
Turnout: 59.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,436 49.1% 44.7%
CON11,069 28.0% 33.7%
UKIP7,581 19.2% 16.9%
LIB884 2.2% 2.9%
OTH601 1.5% 1.2%
Green0 0.0% 0.6%
LAB Majority8,367 21.1%Pred Maj 11.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
62%
CON
31%
UKIP
5%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%
Green
0%


Stockton South
County/Area: Teesside (North)
MP at 2015: James Wharton  (CON)
Electorate: 75,109
Turnout: 69.0%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON24,221 46.8% 51.5%
LAB19,175 37.0% 32.7%
UKIP5,480 10.6% 9.3%
LIB1,366 2.6% 3.2%
Green952 1.8% 2.4%
OTH603 1.2% 0.9%
CON Majority5,046 9.7%Pred Maj 18.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
75%
LAB
23%
UKIP
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Stoke-on-Trent Central
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP at 2015: Tristram Hunt  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,250
Turnout: 49.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB12,220 39.3% 34.9%
UKIP7,041 22.7% 20.3%
CON7,008 22.5% 28.2%
MIN2,120 6.8% 6.8%
LIB1,296 4.2% 4.9%
Green1,123 3.6% 4.3%
OTH276 0.9% 0.7%
LAB Majority5,179 16.7%Pred Maj 6.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
44%
UKIP
12%
CON
39%
MIN
0%
LIB
3%
Green
2%
OTH
0%


Stoke-on-Trent North
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP at 2015: Ruth Smeeth  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,689
Turnout: 53.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,429 39.9% 35.5%
CON10,593 27.4% 33.3%
UKIP9,542 24.7% 22.3%
LIB1,137 2.9% 3.7%
Green1,091 2.8% 3.5%
OTH862 2.2% 1.7%
LAB Majority4,836 12.5%Pred Maj 2.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
46%
CON
42%
UKIP
11%
LIB
1%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Stoke-on-Trent South
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP at 2015: Robert Flello  (LAB)
Electorate: 68,788
Turnout: 56.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,319 39.2% 34.8%
CON12,780 32.7% 38.3%
UKIP8,298 21.2% 18.8%
LIB1,309 3.3% 4.0%
Green1,029 2.6% 3.3%
OTH372 1.0% 0.7%
LAB Majority2,539 6.5%Pred Maj 3.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
40%
CON
51%
UKIP
7%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

CON Gain

Stone
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP at 2015: William Cash  (CON)
Electorate: 67,339
Turnout: 69.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,733 54.7% 60.0%
LAB9,483 20.2% 15.8%
UKIP7,620 16.2% 14.3%
LIB2,473 5.3% 5.9%
Green1,191 2.5% 3.1%
OTH531 1.1% 0.9%
CON Majority16,250 34.6%Pred Maj 44.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
92%
LAB
5%
UKIP
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Stourbridge
County/Area: Black Country (West Midlands)
MP at 2015: Margot James  (CON)
Electorate: 69,077
Turnout: 66.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON21,195 46.0% 51.2%
LAB14,501 31.5% 27.1%
UKIP7,774 16.9% 14.9%
LIB1,538 3.3% 4.0%
Green1,021 2.2% 2.8%
CON Majority6,694 14.5%Pred Maj 24.1%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
78%
LAB
18%
UKIP
3%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Stratford-on-Avon
County/Area: Warwickshire (East Midlands)
MP at 2015: Nadhim Zahawi  (CON)
Electorate: 70,914
Turnout: 72.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON29,674 57.7% 61.2%
UKIP6,798 13.2% 11.6%
LAB6,677 13.0% 10.2%
LIB6,182 12.0% 12.4%
Green2,128 4.1% 4.5%
CON Majority22,876 44.5%Pred Maj 48.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
95%
UKIP
1%
LAB
3%
LIB
0%
Green
0%


Streatham
County/Area: Lambeth (South London)
MP at 2015: Chuka Umunna  (LAB)
Electorate: 78,673
Turnout: 63.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB26,474 53.0% 48.7%
CON12,540 25.1% 29.1%
LIB4,491 9.0% 9.5%
Green4,421 8.9% 9.3%
UKIP1,602 3.2% 2.8%
OTH405 0.8% 0.6%
LAB Majority13,934 27.9%Pred Maj 19.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
70%
CON
27%
LIB
2%
Green
1%
UKIP
1%
OTH
0%


Stretford and Urmston
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP at 2015: Kate Green  (LAB)
Electorate: 69,490
Turnout: 66.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,601 53.0% 48.8%
CON12,916 27.8% 32.4%
UKIP5,068 10.9% 9.6%
Green2,187 4.7% 5.2%
LIB1,362 2.9% 3.5%
OTH252 0.5% 0.4%
LAB Majority11,685 25.2%Pred Maj 16.4%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
70%
CON
27%
UKIP
3%
Green
0%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Stroud
County/Area: Gloucestershire (West)
MP at 2015: Neil Carmichael  (CON)
Electorate: 80,522
Turnout: 75.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,813 45.7% 50.9%
LAB22,947 37.7% 32.4%
UKIP4,848 8.0% 7.0%
Green2,779 4.6% 5.2%
LIB2,086 3.4% 4.1%
OTH346 0.6% 0.4%
CON Majority4,866 8.0%Pred Maj 18.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
77%
LAB
19%
UKIP
1%
Green
1%
LIB
2%
OTH
0%


Suffolk Central and Ipswich North
County/Area: Suffolk (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: Daniel Poulter  (CON)
Electorate: 78,782
Turnout: 68.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON30,317 56.1% 61.1%
LAB10,173 18.8% 14.3%
UKIP7,459 13.8% 12.1%
LIB3,314 6.1% 6.7%
Green2,664 4.9% 5.5%
OTH162 0.3% 0.2%
CON Majority20,144 37.2%Pred Maj 46.8%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
94%
LAB
3%
UKIP
2%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Suffolk Coastal
County/Area: Suffolk (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: Therese Coffey  (CON)
Electorate: 77,537
Turnout: 71.7%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON28,855 51.9% 56.9%
LAB10,013 18.0% 13.7%
UKIP8,655 15.6% 13.6%
LIB4,777 8.6% 9.2%
Green3,294 5.9% 6.5%
CON Majority18,842 33.9%Pred Maj 43.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
91%
LAB
5%
UKIP
3%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Suffolk South
County/Area: Suffolk (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: James Cartlidge  (CON)
Electorate: 73,220
Turnout: 70.9%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,546 53.1% 58.4%
LAB10,001 19.3% 14.7%
UKIP7,897 15.2% 13.3%
LIB4,044 7.8% 8.4%
Green2,253 4.3% 4.9%
OTH166 0.3% 0.2%
CON Majority17,545 33.8%Pred Maj 43.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
92%
LAB
5%
UKIP
2%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Suffolk West
County/Area: Suffolk (East Anglia)
MP at 2015: Matthew Hancock  (CON)
Electorate: 76,197
Turnout: 64.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON25,684 52.2% 57.5%
UKIP10,700 21.7% 19.3%
LAB8,604 17.5% 13.3%
LIB2,465 5.0% 5.7%
Green1,779 3.6% 4.2%
CON Majority14,984 30.4%Pred Maj 38.3%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
91%
UKIP
4%
LAB
4%
LIB
1%
Green
0%


Sunderland Central
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP at 2015: Julie Elliott  (LAB)
Electorate: 72,933
Turnout: 57.3%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,959 50.2% 45.8%
CON9,780 23.4% 28.9%
UKIP7,997 19.1% 16.8%
Green1,706 4.1% 4.7%
LIB1,105 2.6% 3.3%
OTH215 0.5% 0.4%
LAB Majority11,179 26.8%Pred Maj 16.9%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
LAB
67%
CON
25%
UKIP
6%
Green
1%
LIB
1%
OTH
0%


Surrey East
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP at 2015: Sam Gyimah  (CON)
Electorate: 79,654
Turnout: 70.4%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,211 57.4% 61.6%
UKIP9,553 17.0% 15.0%
LAB6,627 11.8% 8.8%
LIB5,189 9.2% 9.8%
Green2,159 3.8% 4.3%
OTH364 0.6% 0.5%
CON Majority22,658 40.4%Pred Maj 46.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
95%
UKIP
2%
LAB
1%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Surrey Heath
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP at 2015: Michael Gove  (CON)
Electorate: 79,515
Turnout: 68.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,582 59.9% 63.8%
UKIP7,778 14.3% 12.5%
LAB6,100 11.2% 8.4%
LIB4,937 9.1% 9.5%
Green2,400 4.4% 4.9%
OTH634 1.2% 0.9%
CON Majority24,804 45.6%Pred Maj 51.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
97%
UKIP
1%
LAB
1%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Surrey South West
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP at 2015: Jeremy Hunt  (CON)
Electorate: 77,050
Turnout: 74.1%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON34,199 59.9% 62.9%
UKIP5,643 9.9% 8.7%
LAB5,415 9.5% 7.1%
MIN4,851 8.5% 8.5%
LIB3,586 6.3% 6.6%
Green3,105 5.4% 5.8%
OTH320 0.6% 0.4%
CON Majority28,556 50.0%Pred Maj 54.2%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
96%
UKIP
1%
LAB
1%
MIN
0%
LIB
1%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Sussex Mid
County/Area: West Sussex (South East)
MP at 2015: Nicholas Soames  (CON)
Electorate: 79,520
Turnout: 72.3%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON32,268 56.1% 60.6%
LAB7,982 13.9% 10.4%
UKIP6,898 12.0% 10.5%
LIB6,604 11.5% 12.0%
Green2,453 4.3% 4.8%
OTH1,287 2.2% 1.7%
CON Majority24,286 42.2%Pred Maj 48.5%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
95%
LAB
2%
UKIP
2%
LIB
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Sutton and Cheam
County/Area: Sutton (South London)
MP at 2015: Paul Scully  (CON)
Electorate: 69,160
Turnout: 72.2%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,732 41.5% 44.7%
LIB16,811 33.7% 34.1%
LAB5,546 11.1% 8.7%
UKIP5,341 10.7% 9.4%
Green1,051 2.1% 2.5%
OTH424 0.8% 0.7%
CON Majority3,921 7.9%Pred Maj 10.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
67%
LIB
19%
LAB
11%
UKIP
2%
Green
1%
OTH
0%


Sutton Coldfield
County/Area: Birmingham (West Midlands)
MP at 2015: Andrew Mitchell  (CON)
Electorate: 74,956
Turnout: 67.8%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON27,782 54.6% 59.7%
LAB11,365 22.3% 18.0%
UKIP7,489 14.7% 13.0%
LIB2,627 5.2% 5.8%
Green1,426 2.8% 3.4%
OTH165 0.3% 0.2%
CON Majority16,417 32.3%Pred Maj 41.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
92%
LAB
6%
UKIP
2%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%


Swindon North
County/Area: Wiltshire (West)
MP at 2015: Justin Tomlinson  (CON)
Electorate: 81,005
Turnout: 64.5%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON26,295 50.3% 56.1%
LAB14,509 27.8% 22.4%
UKIP8,011 15.3% 13.5%
Green1,723 3.3% 4.0%
LIB1,704 3.3% 4.0%
CON Majority11,786 22.6%Pred Maj 33.7%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
88%
LAB
7%
UKIP
2%
Green
1%
LIB
2%


Swindon South
County/Area: Wiltshire (West)
MP at 2015: Robert Buckland  (CON)
Electorate: 73,956
Turnout: 66.6%
2015 Votes2015 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,777 46.2% 51.7%
LAB16,992 34.5% 29.1%
UKIP5,920 12.0% 10.6%
LIB1,817 3.7% 4.4%
Green1,757 3.6% 4.2%
CON Majority5,785 11.7%Pred Maj 22.6%

Seat details with ward map, results and predictions
Chance of winning
CON
80%
LAB
15%
UKIP
2%
LIB
2%
Green
1%