Constituency List: Scotland



Aberdeen North

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Kirsty Blackman  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:75,925
Turnout: 55.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP14,533 34.5% 34.5%
LAB12,773 30.3% 18.3%
CON5,881 14.0% 13.0%
Reform3,781 9.0% 21.0%
LIB2,583 6.1% 4.9%
Green1,275 3.0% 4.2%
OTH1,269 3.0% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.2%
SNP Majority1,760 4.2% 13.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
78%
LAB
10%
CON
1%
Reform
11%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Aberdeen South

Prediction: CON gain from SNP

MP at 2024:Stephen Flynn  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:77,328
Turnout: 59.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP15,213 32.8% 39.2%
LAB11,455 24.7% 2.7%
CON11,300 24.4% 49.7%
Reform3,199 6.9% 4.5%
LIB2,921 6.3% 1.4%
Green1,609 3.5% 0.6%
OTH648 1.4% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 2.0%
SNP Majority3,758 8.1% 10.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Result shown is the original general election result before the resignation of Stephen Flynn in May 2026. Douglas Lumsden (Conservative) won the by-election on 18 June 2026.

Chance of winning
SNP
25%
LAB
0%
CON
75%
Reform
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Aberdeenshire North and Moray East

Prediction: CON gain from SNP

MP at 2024:Seamus Logan  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:70,058
Turnout: 54.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP13,455 35.2% 38.6%
CON12,513 32.8% 38.7%
Reform5,562 14.6% 13.9%
LAB3,876 10.1% 0.8%
LIB2,782 7.3% 3.5%
Green0 0.0% 1.2%
MIN0 0.0% 3.3%
SNP Majority942 2.5% 0.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
49%
CON
44%
Reform
6%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
MIN
0%

Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2024:Andrew Campbell Bowie  (CON)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:72,994
Turnout: 67.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
CON17,428 35.6% 48.3%
SNP13,987 28.6% 37.9%
LAB6,397 13.1% 1.1%
LIB6,342 13.0% 3.3%
Reform3,497 7.1% 5.3%
Green1,032 2.1% 0.7%
OTH275 0.6% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 3.5%
CON Majority3,441 7.0% 10.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
70%
SNP
27%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
3%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Airdrie and Shotts

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Kenneth Stevenson  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,199
Turnout: 52.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,871 51.5% 46.2%
SNP11,324 30.9% 36.5%
Reform2,971 8.1% 10.4%
CON1,696 4.6% 1.3%
OTH1,079 2.9% 0.0%
LIB725 2.0% 0.4%
Green0 0.0% 0.7%
MIN0 0.0% 4.6%
LAB Majority7,547 20.6% 9.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
66%
SNP
30%
Reform
4%
CON
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
MIN
0%

Alloa and Grangemouth

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Brian Leishman  (LAB)
County/Area:Central (Scotland)
Electorate:70,680
Turnout: 58.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,039 43.8% 33.8%
SNP11,917 28.9% 31.2%
Reform3,804 9.2% 19.1%
CON3,127 7.6% 6.2%
OTH1,519 3.7% 0.0%
Green1,421 3.4% 3.5%
LIB1,151 2.8% 1.7%
MIN223 0.5% 4.5%
LAB Majority6,122 14.9% 2.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
47%
SNP
41%
Reform
12%
CON
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
MIN
0%

Angus and Perthshire Glens

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Dave Doogan  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:76,668
Turnout: 61.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP19,142 40.4% 47.3%
CON14,272 30.1% 40.6%
LAB6,799 14.4% 1.4%
Reform3,246 6.9% 5.1%
LIB3,156 6.7% 1.6%
OTH733 1.5% 0.0%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
MIN0 0.0% 3.5%
SNP Majority4,870 10.3% 6.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
68%
CON
31%
LAB
0%
Reform
1%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
MIN
0%

Arbroath and Broughty Ferry

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Stephen Patrick Gethins  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:76,149
Turnout: 57.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP15,581 35.3% 37.7%
LAB14,722 33.4% 18.0%
CON6,841 15.5% 16.7%
Reform3,800 8.6% 19.4%
LIB2,249 5.1% 4.7%
OTH924 2.1% 0.0%
Green0 0.0% 1.4%
MIN0 0.0% 2.2%
SNP Majority859 1.9% 18.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top

Result shown is the original general election result before the resignation of Stephen Gethins in May 2026. Lara Bird (SNP) won the by-election on 18 June 2026.

Chance of winning
SNP
84%
LAB
5%
CON
3%
Reform
8%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
MIN
0%

Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Brendan O'Hara  (SNP)
County/Area:Argyll and Bute (Scotland)
Electorate:71,756
Turnout: 62.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP15,582 34.7% 34.6%
CON9,350 20.8% 19.2%
LAB8,585 19.1% 9.0%
LIB7,359 16.4% 14.2%
Reform3,045 6.8% 16.9%
OTH941 2.1% 0.0%
Green0 0.0% 2.4%
MIN0 0.0% 3.8%
SNP Majority6,232 13.9% 15.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
80%
CON
11%
LAB
1%
LIB
2%
Reform
6%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
MIN
0%

Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Elaine Stewart  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:70,340
Turnout: 58.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB14,930 36.5% 22.7%
SNP10,776 26.3% 26.3%
CON9,247 22.6% 20.9%
Reform3,544 8.7% 19.7%
LIB1,081 2.6% 2.1%
Green886 2.2% 3.9%
OTH472 1.2% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.4%
LAB Majority4,154 10.1% 3.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
27%
SNP
43%
CON
16%
Reform
15%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Ayrshire Central

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Alan Gemmell  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:69,413
Turnout: 59.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,091 43.7% 36.0%
SNP11,222 27.1% 30.0%
CON6,147 14.8% 9.0%
Reform3,420 8.3% 16.1%
Green1,039 2.5% 2.9%
LIB983 2.4% 1.3%
OTH517 1.2% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.7%
LAB Majority6,869 16.6% 6.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
56%
SNP
31%
CON
2%
Reform
11%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Ayrshire North and Arran

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Irene Campbell  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:72,176
Turnout: 58.6%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,821 39.8% 28.2%
SNP13,270 31.4% 32.5%
CON5,954 14.1% 11.0%
Reform3,415 8.1% 18.1%
Green1,327 3.1% 3.9%
LIB1,005 2.4% 1.7%
OTH470 1.1% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.6%
LAB Majority3,551 8.4% 4.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
38%
SNP
54%
CON
1%
Reform
7%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Bathgate and Linlithgow

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Kirsteen Sullivan  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,185
Turnout: 58.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,774 47.0% 36.3%
SNP11,451 27.2% 29.8%
Reform3,524 8.4% 17.3%
CON3,144 7.5% 5.4%
LIB2,171 5.2% 3.1%
Green1,390 3.3% 3.4%
OTH611 1.5% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.7%
LAB Majority8,323 19.8% 6.5%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
61%
SNP
30%
Reform
9%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2024:John Lamont  (CON)
County/Area:Borders (Scotland)
Electorate:76,438
Turnout: 60.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
CON18,872 40.5% 50.3%
SNP12,273 26.4% 33.6%
LAB6,311 13.6% 1.7%
LIB3,686 7.9% 2.6%
Reform3,340 7.2% 7.1%
Green1,526 3.3% 1.2%
OTH550 1.2% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 3.4%
CON Majority6,599 14.2% 16.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
84%
SNP
14%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
2%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Jamie Stone  (LIB)
County/Area:Highland (Scotland)
Electorate:74,627
Turnout: 61.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB22,736 49.4% 55.7%
SNP12,247 26.6% 31.0%
LAB3,409 7.4% 0.3%
Reform3,360 7.3% 8.6%
CON1,860 4.0% 1.3%
Green1,641 3.6% 0.9%
OTH795 1.7% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 2.2%
LIB Majority10,489 22.8% 24.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
92%
SNP
7%
LAB
0%
Reform
1%
CON
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Coatbridge and Bellshill

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Frank McNally  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,667
Turnout: 53.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,291 49.8% 44.2%
SNP12,947 33.4% 39.3%
Reform2,601 6.7% 9.5%
CON1,382 3.6% 1.1%
Green1,229 3.2% 1.1%
LIB671 1.7% 0.4%
OTH610 1.6% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.4%
LAB Majority6,344 16.4% 4.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
59%
SNP
39%
Reform
2%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Melanie Ward  (LAB)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:71,845
Turnout: 56.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,662 45.7% 37.5%
SNP11,414 28.0% 31.4%
CON3,203 7.8% 5.1%
Reform3,128 7.7% 16.1%
LIB1,593 3.9% 2.0%
Green1,556 3.8% 3.1%
OTH1,258 3.1% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.7%
LAB Majority7,248 17.8% 6.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
58%
SNP
33%
CON
0%
Reform
9%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Katrina Murray  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,350
Turnout: 58.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,513 45.2% 41.4%
SNP14,369 35.1% 41.5%
Reform3,167 7.7% 9.7%
CON1,939 4.7% 1.2%
Green1,694 4.1% 1.2%
LIB1,294 3.2% 0.6%
MIN0 0.0% 4.3%
LAB Majority4,144 10.1% 0.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
44%
SNP
53%
Reform
3%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
MIN
0%

Dumfries and Galloway

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2024:John Cooper  (CON)
County/Area:Dumfries and Galloway (Scotland)
Electorate:78,541
Turnout: 58.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
CON13,527 29.6% 37.8%
SNP12,597 27.5% 34.5%
LAB11,767 25.7% 8.0%
Reform4,313 9.4% 11.6%
LIB2,092 4.6% 2.1%
Green1,249 2.7% 2.0%
OTH230 0.5% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 3.9%
CON Majority930 2.0% 3.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
49%
SNP
39%
LAB
3%
Reform
10%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2024:David Mundell  (CON)
County/Area:Dumfries and Galloway (Scotland)
Electorate:71,900
Turnout: 61.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
CON14,999 33.9% 33.7%
SNP10,757 24.3% 25.3%
LAB10,140 22.9% 11.1%
Reform3,822 8.6% 17.5%
LIB2,800 6.3% 4.7%
Green1,488 3.4% 3.8%
OTH208 0.5% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 3.9%
CON Majority4,242 9.6% 8.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
73%
SNP
20%
LAB
1%
Reform
6%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Dunbartonshire Mid

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Susan Murray  (LIB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:73,596
Turnout: 71.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB22,349 42.4% 53.6%
SNP12,676 24.0% 31.0%
LAB10,993 20.8% 2.0%
CON2,452 4.6% 1.3%
Reform2,099 4.0% 7.7%
Green1,720 3.3% 1.0%
OTH449 0.9% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 3.3%
LIB Majority9,673 18.3% 22.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
88%
SNP
10%
LAB
1%
CON
0%
Reform
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Dunbartonshire West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Douglas McAllister  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:69,074
Turnout: 57.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,312 48.8% 43.6%
SNP13,302 33.6% 39.7%
Reform2,770 7.0% 9.6%
Green1,496 3.8% 1.1%
CON1,474 3.7% 1.1%
LIB839 2.1% 0.4%
OTH391 1.0% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.4%
LAB Majority6,010 15.2% 3.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
57%
SNP
42%
Reform
2%
Green
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Dundee Central

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Chris Law  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:74,221
Turnout: 52.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP15,544 40.0% 41.8%
LAB14,869 38.3% 28.7%
LIB2,402 6.2% 3.8%
Reform2,363 6.1% 15.4%
OTH1,909 4.9% 0.0%
CON1,569 4.0% 4.4%
MIN192 0.5% 4.0%
Green0 0.0% 1.9%
SNP Majority675 1.7% 13.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
77%
LAB
21%
LIB
0%
Reform
2%
OTH
0%
CON
0%
MIN
0%
Green
0%

Dunfermline and Dollar

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Graeme Downie  (LAB)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:72,824
Turnout: 61.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,336 45.7% 40.4%
SNP12,095 27.2% 32.3%
CON3,297 7.4% 3.7%
LIB3,181 7.1% 2.9%
Reform2,887 6.5% 13.1%
Green2,078 4.7% 2.9%
OTH663 1.5% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.7%
LAB Majority8,241 18.5% 8.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
62%
SNP
30%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
8%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

East Kilbride and Strathaven

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Joani Reid  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:76,415
Turnout: 61.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB22,682 48.6% 45.5%
SNP13,625 29.2% 35.7%
CON3,547 7.6% 1.9%
Reform3,377 7.2% 10.4%
Green1,811 3.9% 1.3%
LIB1,074 2.3% 0.5%
OTH591 1.3% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.7%
LAB Majority9,057 19.4% 9.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
64%
SNP
31%
CON
0%
Reform
5%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Edinburgh East and Musselburgh

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Chris Murray  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:76,188
Turnout: 59.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,790 41.2% 40.3%
SNP15,075 33.1% 42.3%
Green4,669 10.2% 2.6%
CON2,598 5.7% 1.4%
Reform2,129 4.7% 8.3%
LIB1,949 4.3% 0.9%
OTH365 0.8% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.3%
LAB Majority3,715 8.2% 2.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
41%
SNP
56%
Green
0%
CON
0%
Reform
3%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Edinburgh North and Leith

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Tracy Gilbert  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:78,411
Turnout: 63.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB20,805 42.1% 43.4%
SNP13,537 27.4% 37.8%
Green5,417 10.9% 2.8%
LIB3,879 7.8% 1.6%
CON3,254 6.6% 1.6%
Reform1,818 3.7% 8.3%
OTH765 1.5% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.5%
LAB Majority7,268 14.7% 5.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
54%
SNP
40%
Green
1%
LIB
0%
CON
0%
Reform
5%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Edinburgh South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Ian Murray  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,839
Turnout: 66.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB24,976 53.3% 36.7%
SNP7,725 16.5% 16.7%
Green4,270 9.1% 10.6%
CON4,001 8.5% 8.4%
LIB2,746 5.9% 4.7%
Reform1,845 3.9% 17.8%
OTH1,263 2.7% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 5.1%
LAB Majority17,251 36.8% 18.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
88%
SNP
5%
Green
0%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
6%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Edinburgh South West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Scott Arthur  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:73,784
Turnout: 61.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,663 40.9% 43.0%
SNP12,446 27.3% 35.6%
CON5,558 12.2% 3.2%
Green3,450 7.6% 2.5%
LIB3,014 6.6% 1.6%
Reform2,087 4.6% 9.4%
OTH446 1.0% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.7%
LAB Majority6,217 13.6% 7.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
54%
SNP
38%
CON
1%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
6%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Edinburgh West

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Christine Anne Jardine  (LIB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:76,490
Turnout: 68.6%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB26,645 50.8% 49.7%
SNP10,175 19.4% 19.7%
LAB7,854 15.0% 5.3%
CON2,897 5.5% 5.5%
Reform2,209 4.2% 13.0%
Green2,100 4.0% 3.7%
OTH591 1.1% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 3.1%
LIB Majority16,470 31.4% 30.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
97%
SNP
2%
LAB
0%
CON
0%
Reform
1%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Falkirk

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Euan Stainbank  (LAB)
County/Area:Central (Scotland)
Electorate:73,584
Turnout: 57.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,343 43.0% 36.5%
SNP13,347 31.3% 35.2%
CON3,576 8.4% 4.7%
Reform3,375 7.9% 15.1%
Green1,711 4.0% 2.8%
OTH1,181 2.8% 0.0%
LIB1,092 2.6% 1.2%
MIN0 0.0% 4.6%
LAB Majority4,996 11.7% 1.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
45%
SNP
47%
CON
0%
Reform
8%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%
MIN
0%

Fife North East

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Wendy Chamberlain  (LIB)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:69,762
Turnout: 61.2%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB23,384 54.7% 60.1%
SNP9,905 23.2% 27.6%
LAB4,026 9.4% 0.3%
Reform2,094 4.9% 7.3%
CON1,666 3.9% 1.1%
Green1,653 3.9% 1.0%
MIN0 0.0% 2.6%
LIB Majority13,479 31.5% 32.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
97%
SNP
3%
LAB
0%
Reform
0%
CON
0%
Green
0%
MIN
0%

Glasgow East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:John Grady  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:68,988
Turnout: 51.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,543 43.9% 41.4%
SNP11,759 33.2% 41.1%
Green2,727 7.7% 2.0%
Reform2,371 6.7% 9.5%
CON1,707 4.8% 1.3%
LIB872 2.5% 0.5%
OTH466 1.3% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.3%
LAB Majority3,784 10.7% 0.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
44%
SNP
52%
Green
0%
Reform
3%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Glasgow North

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Martin Rhodes  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:67,579
Turnout: 51.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB14,655 42.2% 40.7%
SNP11,116 32.0% 41.9%
Green4,233 12.2% 3.0%
Reform1,655 4.8% 8.4%
CON1,366 3.9% 1.2%
LIB1,142 3.3% 0.7%
OTH572 1.6% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.1%
LAB Majority3,539 10.2% 1.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
41%
SNP
56%
Green
1%
Reform
3%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Glasgow North East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Maureen Burke  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:72,610
Turnout: 47.0%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,639 45.9% 42.7%
SNP11,002 32.3% 39.9%
Green2,471 7.2% 1.8%
Reform2,272 6.7% 9.8%
CON1,182 3.5% 1.2%
OTH933 2.7% 0.0%
LIB592 1.7% 0.4%
MIN0 0.0% 4.2%
LAB Majority4,637 13.6% 2.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
53%
SNP
44%
Green
0%
Reform
3%
CON
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%
MIN
0%

Glasgow South

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Gordon McKee  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,219
Turnout: 60.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,696 41.8% 40.5%
SNP13,542 32.0% 42.1%
Green5,554 13.1% 3.2%
Reform1,736 4.1% 8.2%
CON1,617 3.8% 1.2%
LIB1,316 3.1% 0.6%
OTH917 2.2% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.1%
LAB Majority4,154 9.8% 1.6%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
41%
SNP
56%
Green
1%
Reform
2%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Glasgow South West

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Zubir Ahmed  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:68,871
Turnout: 51.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,552 43.6% 40.8%
SNP12,267 34.4% 42.1%
Green2,727 7.6% 1.9%
Reform2,236 6.3% 9.2%
CON1,387 3.9% 1.2%
LIB958 2.7% 0.5%
OTH542 1.5% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.2%
LAB Majority3,285 9.2% 1.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
42%
SNP
56%
Green
0%
Reform
3%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Glasgow West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Patricia Ferguson  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:69,028
Turnout: 57.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,621 46.7% 43.5%
SNP12,175 30.5% 39.2%
Green3,662 9.2% 2.4%
Reform2,098 5.3% 8.7%
CON1,720 4.3% 1.2%
LIB1,316 3.3% 0.7%
OTH310 0.8% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.4%
LAB Majority6,446 16.2% 4.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
58%
SNP
39%
Green
0%
Reform
3%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Glenrothes and Mid Fife

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Richard Baker  (LAB)
County/Area:Fife (Scotland)
Electorate:70,655
Turnout: 51.1%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,994 44.3% 37.8%
SNP13,040 36.1% 40.6%
Reform3,528 9.8% 12.5%
CON1,973 5.5% 2.0%
LIB1,604 4.4% 1.5%
Green0 0.0% 1.2%
MIN0 0.0% 4.4%
LAB Majority2,954 8.2% 2.9%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
39%
SNP
57%
Reform
4%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
MIN
0%

Gordon and Buchan

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2024:Harriet Cross  (CON)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:69,605
Turnout: 63.0%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
CON14,418 32.9% 46.0%
SNP13,540 30.9% 39.7%
LIB7,307 16.7% 4.4%
LAB4,686 10.7% 0.5%
Reform3,897 8.9% 5.5%
Green0 0.0% 0.4%
MIN0 0.0% 3.4%
CON Majority878 2.0% 6.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
CON
62%
SNP
34%
LIB
0%
LAB
0%
Reform
3%
Green
0%
MIN
0%

Hamilton and Clyde Valley

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Imogen Walker  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:75,480
Turnout: 55.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,020 49.9% 43.0%
SNP11,548 27.4% 31.7%
CON4,589 10.9% 4.2%
Reform3,299 7.8% 13.1%
LIB1,511 3.6% 1.4%
OTH117 0.3% 0.0%
Green0 0.0% 1.6%
MIN0 0.0% 5.1%
LAB Majority9,472 22.5% 11.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
72%
SNP
23%
CON
0%
Reform
5%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
MIN
0%

Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Martin McCluskey  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:70,124
Turnout: 57.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,931 46.9% 44.7%
SNP12,560 31.1% 37.5%
CON2,863 7.1% 1.7%
Reform2,476 6.1% 9.7%
LIB1,259 3.1% 0.6%
Green1,173 2.9% 1.1%
OTH1,088 2.7% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.6%
LAB Majority6,371 15.8% 7.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
58%
SNP
38%
CON
0%
Reform
4%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Angus MacDonald  (LIB)
County/Area:Highland (Scotland)
Electorate:77,927
Turnout: 61.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB18,159 37.8% 45.9%
SNP15,999 33.3% 39.1%
LAB6,246 13.0% 0.8%
Reform2,934 6.1% 8.6%
CON2,502 5.2% 1.4%
Green2,038 4.2% 1.1%
OTH178 0.4% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 3.0%
LIB Majority2,160 4.5% 6.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
64%
SNP
35%
LAB
0%
Reform
1%
CON
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Kilmarnock and Loudoun

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Lillian Jones  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:74,628
Turnout: 56.9%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,055 44.9% 41.9%
SNP13,936 32.8% 38.8%
CON3,527 8.3% 2.1%
Reform3,472 8.2% 10.9%
Green1,237 2.9% 1.3%
LIB850 2.0% 0.5%
OTH401 0.9% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.6%
LAB Majority5,119 12.1% 3.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
48%
SNP
48%
CON
0%
Reform
4%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Livingston

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Gregor Poynton  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:78,043
Turnout: 57.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,324 40.9% 28.9%
SNP14,796 33.0% 34.2%
Reform3,977 8.9% 18.9%
CON3,469 7.7% 6.3%
LIB2,025 4.5% 3.1%
Green1,704 3.8% 4.1%
OTH545 1.2% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.4%
LAB Majority3,528 7.9% 5.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
34%
SNP
57%
Reform
9%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Lothian East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Douglas Alexander  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:75,456
Turnout: 63.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB23,555 49.0% 32.9%
SNP10,290 21.4% 21.6%
CON5,535 11.5% 10.3%
Reform3,039 6.3% 19.2%
LIB2,649 5.5% 4.4%
Green2,477 5.1% 6.6%
OTH557 1.2% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 5.1%
LAB Majority13,265 27.6% 11.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
76%
SNP
14%
CON
1%
Reform
9%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Midlothian

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Kirsty McNeill  (LAB)
County/Area:Edinburgh area (Scotland)
Electorate:73,916
Turnout: 59.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,480 48.6% 45.6%
SNP13,313 30.1% 36.5%
Reform3,276 7.4% 9.7%
CON3,248 7.4% 1.5%
LIB2,589 5.9% 1.2%
OTH259 0.6% 0.0%
Green0 0.0% 0.7%
MIN0 0.0% 4.8%
LAB Majority8,167 18.5% 9.1%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
65%
SNP
31%
Reform
4%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
MIN
0%

Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey

Prediction: CON gain from SNP

MP at 2024:Graham Leadbitter  (SNP)
County/Area:Grampian (Scotland)
Electorate:77,072
Turnout: 60.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP14,961 32.1% 42.3%
CON13,960 30.0% 43.3%
LAB8,259 17.7% 2.2%
LIB3,785 8.1% 2.0%
Reform3,490 7.5% 5.7%
Green1,676 3.6% 0.8%
OTH423 0.9% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 3.6%
SNP Majority1,001 2.2% 1.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
51%
CON
45%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
3%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Pamela Nash  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:71,777
Turnout: 54.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,168 49.1% 45.1%
SNP12,083 31.0% 37.3%
Reform3,004 7.7% 10.1%
CON2,415 6.2% 1.4%
Green1,200 3.1% 1.1%
LIB822 2.1% 0.4%
OTH334 0.9% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.6%
LAB Majority7,085 18.2% 7.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
62%
SNP
34%
Reform
4%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Torcuil Crichton  (LAB)
County/Area:Western Isles (Scotland)
Electorate:21,235
Turnout: 63.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB6,692 49.5% 35.6%
SNP2,856 21.1% 21.2%
OTH2,254 16.7% 0.0%
Reform697 5.2% 23.8%
CON647 4.8% 9.8%
LIB382 2.8% 2.2%
Green0 0.0% 2.9%
MIN0 0.0% 4.5%
LAB Majority3,836 28.4% 11.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
73%
SNP
14%
OTH
1%
Reform
11%
CON
1%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
MIN
0%

Orkney and Shetland

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Alistair Carmichael  (LIB)
County/Area:Orkney and Shetland (Scotland)
Electorate:34,236
Turnout: 60.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LIB11,392 55.1% 52.9%
SNP3,585 17.3% 16.7%
Green2,046 9.9% 7.5%
Reform1,586 7.7% 15.1%
LAB1,493 7.2% 1.7%
CON586 2.8% 4.2%
MIN0 0.0% 2.1%
LIB Majority7,807 37.7% 36.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LIB
98%
SNP
1%
Green
0%
Reform
1%
LAB
0%
CON
0%
MIN
0%

Paisley and Renfrewshire North

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Alison Suzanne Watt Taylor  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:71,103
Turnout: 58.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,561 47.1% 43.8%
SNP13,228 31.9% 38.5%
Reform3,228 7.8% 9.9%
CON2,659 6.4% 1.4%
Green1,469 3.5% 1.1%
LIB1,374 3.3% 0.7%
MIN0 0.0% 4.6%
LAB Majority6,333 15.3% 5.3%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
57%
SNP
40%
Reform
3%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
MIN
0%

Paisley and Renfrewshire South

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Johanna Baxter  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:71,574
Turnout: 57.7%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB19,583 47.4% 44.1%
SNP13,056 31.6% 38.3%
Reform2,956 7.2% 9.9%
CON2,219 5.4% 1.4%
Green1,724 4.2% 1.2%
LIB1,315 3.2% 0.6%
OTH430 1.0% 0.0%
MIN0 0.0% 4.5%
LAB Majority6,527 15.8% 5.8%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
58%
SNP
38%
Reform
4%
CON
0%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Perth and Kinross-shire

Prediction: SNP hold

MP at 2024:Pete Wishart  (SNP)
County/Area:Tayside (Scotland)
Electorate:77,261
Turnout: 64.8%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
SNP18,928 37.8% 46.1%
CON14,801 29.6% 40.9%
LAB9,018 18.0% 2.2%
LIB3,681 7.4% 1.8%
Reform2,970 5.9% 4.9%
OTH679 1.4% 0.0%
Green0 0.0% 0.5%
MIN0 0.0% 3.6%
SNP Majority4,127 8.2% 5.2%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
SNP
66%
CON
33%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
1%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
MIN
0%

Renfrewshire East

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Blair McDougall  (LAB)
County/Area:Glasgow area (Scotland)
Electorate:73,380
Turnout: 68.4%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,935 43.7% 46.6%
SNP13,514 26.9% 32.9%
CON8,494 16.9% 4.4%
Reform2,360 4.7% 9.5%
Green1,510 3.0% 1.3%
OTH1,264 2.5% 0.0%
LIB1,150 2.3% 0.5%
MIN0 0.0% 4.7%
LAB Majority8,421 16.8% 13.7%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
62%
SNP
28%
CON
4%
Reform
5%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
LIB
0%
MIN
0%

Rutherglen

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Michael Shanks  (LAB)
County/Area:Ayrshire and Lanark (Scotland)
Electorate:72,674
Turnout: 58.5%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB21,460 50.5% 46.8%
SNP12,693 29.9% 35.8%
Reform2,685 6.3% 9.8%
CON2,420 5.7% 1.5%
LIB1,714 4.0% 0.8%
OTH1,512 3.6% 0.0%
Green0 0.0% 0.7%
MIN0 0.0% 4.7%
LAB Majority8,767 20.6% 11.0%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
69%
SNP
27%
Reform
4%
CON
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%
Green
0%
MIN
0%

Stirling and Strathallan

Prediction: SNP gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Chris Kane  (LAB)
County/Area:Central (Scotland)
Electorate:76,284
Turnout: 65.3%

Party2024 Votes2024 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,856 33.9% 20.7%
SNP15,462 31.1% 31.1%
CON9,469 19.0% 17.4%
Reform3,145 6.3% 17.4%
LIB2,530 5.1% 4.0%
Green2,320 4.7% 5.2%
MIN0 0.0% 4.3%
LAB Majority1,394 2.8% 10.4%
Pred Maj
Seat details with ward map, results and predictions. Top
Chance of winning
LAB
21%
SNP
65%
CON
6%
Reform
8%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
MIN
0%