Constituency List: Scotland

Aberdeen North Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Glasgow Central Livingston
Aberdeen South Dunbartonshire East Glasgow East Midlothian
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine Dunbartonshire West Glasgow North Moray
Airdrie and Shotts Dundee East Glasgow North East Motherwell and Wishaw
Angus Dundee West Glasgow North West Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)
Argyll and Bute Dunfermline and West Fife Glasgow South Ochil and South Perthshire
Ayr Carrick and Cumnock East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow Glasgow South West Orkney and Shetland
Ayrshire Central East Lothian Glenrothes Paisley and Renfrewshire North
Ayrshire North and Arran Edinburgh East Gordon Paisley and Renfrewshire South
Banff and Buchan Edinburgh North and Leith Inverclyde Perth and North Perthshire
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Edinburgh South Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey Renfrewshire East
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross Edinburgh South West Kilmarnock and Loudoun Ross Skye and Lochaber
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill Edinburgh West Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath Rutherglen and Hamilton West
Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East Falkirk Lanark and Hamilton East Stirling
Dumfries and Galloway Fife North East Linlithgow and East Falkirk

Aberdeen North
County/Area: Grampian (East Scotland)
MP Frank Doran  (LAB)
Electorate65,714 Turnout55.75%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 15,55742.47%42.56%
 83.2%
LIB 8,76223.92%14.36%
  2.2%
NAT 8,16822.30%25.48%
 11.7%
CON 3,456 9.43%13.93%
  1.8%
OTH 691 1.89% 3.67%
  1.1%
LAB Majority6,79518.55%  Pred Maj17.07%

Aberdeen South
County/Area: Grampian (East Scotland)
MP Anne Begg  (LAB)
Electorate67,012 Turnout62.11%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 15,27236.69%36.78%
 71.2%
LIB 13,92433.45%23.89%
 15.9%
CON 7,13417.14%21.63%
  8.0%
NAT 4,120 9.90%13.09%
  3.3%
OTH 1,171 2.81% 4.60%
  1.6%
LAB Majority1,348 3.24%  Pred Maj12.89%

Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine
County/Area: Grampian (East Scotland)
MP Sir Robert Smith  (LIB)
Electorate65,548 Turnout63.54%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LIB 19,28546.30%36.74%
 66.2%
CON 11,81428.37%32.86%
 29.3%
LAB 5,47013.13%13.22%
  2.6%
NAT 4,70011.29%14.47%
  1.8%
OTH 379 0.91% 2.70%
  0.1%
LIB Majority7,47117.94%  Pred Maj 3.88%

Airdrie and Shotts
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP Dr John Reid  (LAB)
Electorate61,955 Turnout53.52%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 19,56859.01%59.07%
 99.2%
NAT 5,48416.54%18.36%
  0.5%
LIB 3,79211.44% 5.97%
  0.0%
CON 3,271 9.86%12.43%
  0.2%
OTH 1,043 3.15% 4.17%
  0.1%
LAB Majority14,08442.48%  Pred Maj40.70%

Angus
County/Area: Tayside (East Scotland)
MP Michael Weir  (NAT)
Electorate63,093 Turnout60.46%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
NAT 12,84033.66%36.44%
 53.4%
CON 11,23929.46%33.39%
 40.2%
LAB 6,85017.96%18.04%
  6.2%
LIB 6,66017.46% 9.11%
  0.1%
OTH 556 1.46% 3.02%
  0.1%
NAT Majority1,601 4.20%  Pred Maj 3.06%

Argyll and Bute
County/Area: Argyll and Bute (West Scotland)
MP Alan Reid  (LIB)
Electorate67,325 Turnout64.21%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LIB 15,78636.52%26.96%
 31.7%
CON 10,15023.48%27.97%
 31.8%
LAB 9,69622.43%22.52%
 25.0%
NAT 6,71615.54%18.72%
 10.9%
OTH 881 2.04% 3.82%
  0.6%
LIB Majority5,63613.04%  Pred Maj 1.02%CON Gain

Ayr Carrick and Cumnock
County/Area: Ayrshire and Lanark (West Scotland)
MP Sandra Osborne  (LAB)
Electorate73,448 Turnout61.33%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 20,43345.36%45.42%
 88.9%
CON 10,43623.17%26.33%
  9.1%
LIB 6,34114.08% 7.35%
  0.1%
NAT 5,93213.17%15.41%
  1.6%
OTH 1,906 4.23% 5.49%
  0.3%
LAB Majority9,99722.19%  Pred Maj19.09%

Ayrshire Central
County/Area: Ayrshire and Lanark (West Scotland)
MP Brian Donohoe  (LAB)
Electorate68,643 Turnout62.46%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 19,90546.43%46.50%
 91.3%
CON 9,48222.12%25.72%
  6.8%
LIB 6,88116.05% 8.38%
  0.1%
NAT 4,96911.59%14.15%
  1.4%
OTH 1,634 3.81% 5.25%
  0.4%
LAB Majority10,42324.31%  Pred Maj20.78%

Ayrshire North and Arran
County/Area: Ayrshire and Lanark (West Scotland)
MP Katy Clark  (LAB)
Electorate73,737 Turnout59.95%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 19,41743.92%44.00%
 88.8%
CON 8,12118.37%22.06%
  5.0%
NAT 7,93817.96%20.58%
  5.4%
LIB 7,26416.43% 8.58%
  0.2%
OTH 1,465 3.31% 4.78%
  0.6%
LAB Majority11,29625.55%  Pred Maj21.94%

Banff and Buchan
County/Area: Grampian (East Scotland)
MP Alex Salmond  (NAT)
Electorate65,570 Turnout56.76%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
NAT 19,04451.17%53.29%
 99.9%
CON 7,20719.37%22.36%
  0.1%
LIB 4,95213.31% 6.95%
  0.0%
LAB 4,47612.03%12.09%
  0.0%
OTH 1,537 4.13% 5.32%
  0.0%
NAT Majority11,83731.81%  Pred Maj30.94%

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk
County/Area: Borders (East Scotland)
MP Michael Moore  (LIB)
Electorate71,702 Turnout63.30%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LIB 18,99341.85%32.29%
 45.0%
CON 13,09228.84%33.34%
 44.6%
LAB 7,20615.88%15.97%
  8.5%
NAT 3,885 8.56%11.75%
  1.7%
OTH 2,212 4.87% 6.66%
  0.2%
LIB Majority5,90113.00%  Pred Maj 1.05%CON Gain

Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross
County/Area: Highland (East Scotland)
MP John Thurso  (LIB)
Electorate46,837 Turnout59.06%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LIB 13,95750.45%40.89%
 87.6%
LAB 5,78920.93%21.02%
  8.4%
NAT 3,68613.32%16.51%
  2.9%
CON 2,83510.25%14.74%
  0.7%
OTH 1,396 5.05% 6.83%
  0.4%
LIB Majority8,16829.53%  Pred Maj19.88%

Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP Tom Clarke  (LAB)
Electorate67,385 Turnout56.90%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 24,72564.48%64.54%
 99.8%
NAT 5,20613.58%15.49%
  0.2%
LIB 4,60512.01% 6.27%
  0.0%
CON 2,775 7.24% 9.94%
  0.0%
OTH 1,033 2.69% 3.77%
  0.0%
LAB Majority19,51950.90%  Pred Maj49.05%

Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP Rosemary McKenna  (LAB)
Electorate64,748 Turnout60.37%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 20,25151.81%51.88%
 96.2%
NAT 8,68922.23%24.60%
  3.4%
LIB 5,81714.88% 7.77%
  0.0%
CON 2,718 6.95%10.30%
  0.1%
OTH 1,613 4.13% 5.46%
  0.3%
LAB Majority11,56229.58%  Pred Maj27.27%

Dumfries and Galloway
County/Area: Dumfries and Galloway (West Scotland)
MP Russell Brown  (LAB)
Electorate74,273 Turnout68.52%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 20,92441.12%41.15%
 58.6%
CON 18,00235.37%37.25%
 41.0%
NAT 6,18212.15%13.48%
  0.4%
LIB 4,259 8.37% 4.37%
  0.0%
OTH 1,524 2.99% 3.74%
  0.0%
LAB Majority2,922 5.74%  Pred Maj 3.90%

Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale
County/Area: Dumfries and Galloway (West Scotland)
MP David Mundell  (CON)
Electorate66,045 Turnout67.55%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
CON 16,14136.18%40.67%
 70.3%
LAB 14,40332.28%32.37%
 28.0%
LIB 9,04620.28%10.72%
  0.2%
NAT 4,075 9.13%12.32%
  1.3%
OTH 951 2.13% 3.92%
  0.2%
CON Majority1,738 3.90%  Pred Maj 8.30%

Dunbartonshire East
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP Jo Swinson  (LIB)
Electorate64,763 Turnout72.15%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LIB 19,53341.81%32.24%
 45.0%
LAB 15,47233.11%33.20%
 47.6%
CON 7,70816.50%20.99%
  5.1%
NAT 2,716 5.81% 9.00%
  1.2%
OTH 1,295 2.77% 4.56%
  1.1%
LIB Majority4,061 8.69%  Pred Maj 0.96%LAB Gain

Dunbartonshire West
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP John McFall  (LAB)
Electorate67,805 Turnout61.34%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 21,60051.94%52.00%
 96.7%
NAT 9,04721.75%24.05%
  2.9%
LIB 5,99914.42% 7.53%
  0.0%
CON 2,679 6.44% 9.68%
  0.1%
OTH 2,264 5.44% 6.73%
  0.3%
LAB Majority12,55330.18%  Pred Maj27.95%

Dundee East
County/Area: Tayside (East Scotland)
MP Stewart Hosie  (NAT)
Electorate63,335 Turnout62.43%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
NAT 14,70837.20%39.01%
 58.2%
LAB 14,32536.23%36.28%
 41.5%
CON 5,06112.80%15.36%
  0.2%
LIB 4,49811.38% 5.94%
  0.0%
OTH 948 2.40% 3.41%
  0.1%
NAT Majority383 0.97%  Pred Maj 2.73%

Dundee West
County/Area: Tayside (East Scotland)
MP James McGovern  (LAB)
Electorate65,857 Turnout56.09%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 16,46844.59%44.65%
 78.1%
NAT 11,08930.02%32.32%
 21.3%
LIB 5,32314.41% 7.52%
  0.0%
CON 3,062 8.29%11.53%
  0.3%
OTH 994 2.69% 3.98%
  0.3%
LAB Majority5,37914.56%  Pred Maj12.33%

Dunfermline and West Fife
County/Area: Fife (East Scotland)
MP Rachel Squire  (LAB)
Electorate70,775 Turnout59.90%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 20,11147.44%47.53%
 93.6%
LIB 8,54920.17%10.61%
  0.4%
NAT 8,02618.93%22.12%
  4.4%
CON 4,37610.32%14.82%
  1.0%
OTH 1,332 3.14% 4.93%
  0.6%
LAB Majority11,56227.27%  Pred Maj25.41%
Comment: Result shown is as at 5 May 2005, before the death of Rachel Squire. The Liberal Democrats (Willie Rennie) won the by-election on 9 February 2006.

East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow
County/Area: Ayrshire and Lanark (West Scotland)
MP Adam Ingram  (LAB)
Electorate75,132 Turnout63.53%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 23,26448.74%48.81%
 95.5%
NAT 8,54117.89%20.53%
  3.1%
LIB 7,90416.56% 8.64%
  0.2%
CON 4,77610.01%13.73%
  0.4%
OTH 3,248 6.80% 8.28%
  0.8%
LAB Majority14,72330.84%  Pred Maj28.28%

East Lothian
County/Area: Edinburgh area (East Scotland)
MP Anne Picking  (LAB)
Electorate70,989 Turnout64.48%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 18,98341.47%41.56%
 86.7%
LIB 11,36324.82%15.26%
  3.3%
CON 7,31515.98%20.47%
  4.5%
NAT 5,99513.10%16.28%
  3.8%
OTH 2,120 4.63% 6.42%
  1.7%
LAB Majority7,62016.65%  Pred Maj21.09%

Edinburgh East
County/Area: Edinburgh area (East Scotland)
MP Gavin Strang  (LAB)
Electorate64,826 Turnout61.25%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 15,89940.04%40.13%
 81.6%
LIB 9,69724.42%14.86%
  3.6%
NAT 6,76017.02%20.21%
  8.6%
CON 4,09310.31%14.80%
  2.3%
OTH 3,260 8.21%10.00%
  3.9%
LAB Majority6,20215.62%  Pred Maj19.92%

Edinburgh North and Leith
County/Area: Edinburgh area (East Scotland)
MP Mark Lazarowicz  (LAB)
Electorate68,038 Turnout62.67%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 14,59734.23%34.32%
 66.9%
LIB 12,44429.18%19.62%
 10.4%
CON 7,96918.69%23.18%
 14.4%
NAT 4,34410.19%13.38%
  5.1%
OTH 3,286 7.71% 9.49%
  3.2%
LAB Majority2,153 5.05%  Pred Maj11.14%

Edinburgh South
County/Area: Edinburgh area (East Scotland)
MP Nigel Griffiths  (LAB)
Electorate60,993 Turnout70.00%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 14,18833.23%33.32%
 55.3%
LIB 13,78332.28%22.72%
 13.6%
CON 10,29124.10%28.60%
 28.3%
NAT 2,635 6.17% 9.36%
  1.9%
OTH 1,801 4.22% 6.00%
  0.9%
LAB Majority405 0.95%  Pred Maj 4.72%

Edinburgh South West
County/Area: Edinburgh area (East Scotland)
MP Alistair Darling  (LAB)
Electorate67,135 Turnout65.43%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 17,47639.79%39.88%
 75.8%
CON 10,23423.30%27.79%
 18.6%
LIB 9,25221.06%11.50%
  1.4%
NAT 4,65410.60%13.78%
  2.9%
OTH 2,310 5.26% 7.05%
  1.3%
LAB Majority7,24216.49%  Pred Maj12.08%

Edinburgh West
County/Area: Edinburgh area (East Scotland)
MP John Barrett  (LIB)
Electorate65,741 Turnout68.85%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LIB 22,41749.52%39.96%
 88.6%
CON 8,81719.48%23.97%
  3.8%
LAB 8,43318.63%18.72%
  5.9%
NAT 4,124 9.11%12.30%
  1.5%
OTH 1,474 3.26% 5.04%
  0.2%
LIB Majority13,60030.05%  Pred Maj15.99%

Falkirk
County/Area: Central (East Scotland)
MP Eric Joyce  (LAB)
Electorate76,784 Turnout59.58%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 23,26450.85%50.92%
 96.1%
NAT 9,78921.40%23.95%
  3.5%
LIB 7,32116.00% 8.35%
  0.1%
CON 4,538 9.92%13.52%
  0.2%
OTH 838 1.83% 3.26%
  0.1%
LAB Majority13,47529.45%  Pred Maj26.98%

Fife North East
County/Area: Fife (East Scotland)
MP Sir Menzies Campbell  (LIB)
Electorate62,057 Turnout62.13%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LIB 20,08852.10%42.54%
 94.2%
CON 7,51719.50%23.99%
  2.4%
LAB 4,92012.76%12.85%
  2.2%
NAT 4,01110.40%13.59%
  1.0%
OTH 2,020 5.24% 7.03%
  0.2%
LIB Majority12,57132.60%  Pred Maj18.55%

Glasgow Central
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP Mohammad Sarwar  (LAB)
Electorate64,053 Turnout43.77%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 13,51848.21%48.30%
 96.1%
LIB 4,98717.79% 9.28%
  0.2%
NAT 4,14814.79%17.63%
  1.9%
OTH 2,255 8.04% 9.63%
  1.6%
CON 1,757 6.27%10.26%
  0.2%
MIN 1,372 4.89% 4.89%
  0.0%
LAB Majority8,53130.43%  Pred Maj30.67%

Glasgow East
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP David Marshall  (LAB)
Electorate64,130 Turnout48.24%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 18,77560.68%60.74%
 99.3%
NAT 5,26817.03%18.92%
  0.6%
LIB 3,66511.85% 6.18%
  0.0%
CON 2,135 6.90% 9.56%
  0.0%
OTH 1,096 3.54% 4.60%
  0.1%
LAB Majority13,50743.66%  Pred Maj41.82%
Comment: Result shown is at 5 May 2005. David Marshall stepped down for health reasons, and John Mason (SNP) won the seat at the by-election on 24 July 2008.

Glasgow North
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP Ann McKechin  (LAB)
Electorate55,419 Turnout50.38%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 11,00139.40%39.49%
 84.2%
LIB 7,66327.45%17.89%
  7.5%
NAT 3,61412.94%16.13%
  4.5%
CON 2,441 8.74%13.24%
  2.0%
MIN 2,135 7.65% 7.65%
  0.0%
OTH 1,067 3.82% 5.61%
  1.8%
LAB Majority3,33811.96%  Pred Maj21.61%

Glasgow North East
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP Michael Martin  (LAB)
Electorate62,042 Turnout45.80%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 15,15353.32%53.32%
 98.0%
NAT 5,01917.66%17.66%
  0.3%
OTH 4,21014.81%14.81%
  1.7%
MIN 4,03614.20%14.20%
  0.0%
LAB Majority10,13435.66%  Pred Maj35.66%

Glasgow North West
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP John Robertson  (LAB)
Electorate61,880 Turnout55.04%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 16,74849.17%49.26%
 96.1%
LIB 6,65519.54%10.20%
  0.2%
NAT 4,67613.73%16.84%
  1.6%
CON 3,262 9.58%13.97%
  0.5%
OTH 2,720 7.99% 9.73%
  1.6%
LAB Majority10,09329.63%  Pred Maj32.42%

Glasgow South
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP Tom Harris  (LAB)
Electorate68,837 Turnout55.83%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 18,15347.24%47.32%
 94.7%
LIB 7,32119.05% 9.94%
  0.3%
NAT 4,86012.65%15.68%
  1.5%
CON 4,83612.58%16.86%
  1.3%
OTH 3,261 8.49%10.19%
  2.2%
LAB Majority10,83228.19%  Pred Maj30.46%

Glasgow South West
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP Ian Davidson  (LAB)
Electorate62,005 Turnout49.96%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 18,65360.22%60.27%
 99.5%
NAT 4,75715.36%17.21%
  0.5%
LIB 3,59311.60% 6.05%
  0.0%
CON 1,786 5.77% 8.37%
  0.0%
MIN 1,666 5.38% 5.38%
  0.0%
OTH 522 1.69% 2.72%
  0.0%
LAB Majority13,89644.86%  Pred Maj43.06%

Glenrothes
County/Area: Fife (East Scotland)
MP John MacDougall  (LAB)
Electorate66,563 Turnout56.14%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 19,39551.91%51.96%
 96.3%
NAT 8,73123.37%25.38%
  3.4%
LIB 4,72812.65% 6.60%
  0.0%
CON 2,651 7.09% 9.94%
  0.1%
OTH 1,861 4.98% 6.11%
  0.2%
LAB Majority10,66428.54%  Pred Maj26.58%
Comment: Result shown is at 5 May 2005, before the death of John MacDougall in August 2008. Labour (Lindsay Roy) held the seat at the by-election on 6 November 2008.

Gordon
County/Area: Grampian (East Scotland)
MP Malcolm Bruce  (LIB)
Electorate71,925 Turnout61.78%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LIB 20,00845.02%35.46%
 73.5%
LAB 8,98220.21%20.30%
 12.6%
CON 7,84217.65%22.14%
  6.5%
NAT 7,09815.97%19.16%
  6.9%
OTH 508 1.14% 2.93%
  0.5%
LIB Majority11,02624.81%  Pred Maj13.32%

Inverclyde
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP David Cairns  (LAB)
Electorate59,291 Turnout60.88%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 18,31850.75%50.82%
 96.2%
NAT 7,05919.56%22.26%
  3.0%
LIB 6,12316.96% 8.85%
  0.2%
CON 3,69210.23%14.04%
  0.2%
OTH 906 2.51% 4.02%
  0.4%
LAB Majority11,25931.19%  Pred Maj28.56%

Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey
County/Area: Highland (East Scotland)
MP Danny Alexander  (LIB)
Electorate69,636 Turnout63.55%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LIB 17,83040.29%30.73%
 43.9%
LAB 13,68230.92%31.01%
 46.1%
NAT 5,99213.54%16.73%
  6.6%
CON 4,57910.35%14.84%
  1.8%
OTH 2,172 4.91% 6.69%
  1.6%
LIB Majority4,148 9.37%  Pred Maj 0.28%LAB Gain

Kilmarnock and Loudoun
County/Area: Ayrshire and Lanark (West Scotland)
MP Des Browne  (LAB)
Electorate72,851 Turnout60.92%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 20,97647.26%47.31%
 88.2%
NAT 12,27327.65%29.43%
 11.2%
CON 5,02611.32%13.83%
  0.5%
LIB 4,94511.14% 5.82%
  0.0%
OTH 1,163 2.62% 3.62%
  0.1%
LAB Majority8,70319.61%  Pred Maj17.88%

Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath
County/Area: Fife (East Scotland)
MP Gordon Brown  (LAB)
Electorate71,606 Turnout58.37%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 24,27858.09%58.15%
 99.2%
NAT 6,06214.50%16.58%
  0.5%
LIB 5,45013.04% 6.81%
  0.0%
CON 4,30810.31%13.24%
  0.2%
OTH 1,698 4.06% 5.23%
  0.1%
LAB Majority18,21643.58%  Pred Maj41.56%

Lanark and Hamilton East
County/Area: Ayrshire and Lanark (West Scotland)
MP Jimmy Hood  (LAB)
Electorate73,736 Turnout59.11%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 20,07246.05%46.13%
 92.6%
LIB 8,12518.64% 9.73%
  0.4%
NAT 7,74617.77%20.74%
  4.4%
CON 5,57612.79%16.98%
  1.7%
OTH 2,070 4.75% 6.41%
  0.9%
LAB Majority11,94727.41%  Pred Maj25.39%

Linlithgow and East Falkirk
County/Area: Central (East Scotland)
MP Michael Connarty  (LAB)
Electorate76,739 Turnout60.45%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 22,12147.69%47.76%
 91.7%
NAT 10,91923.54%25.98%
  6.8%
LIB 7,10015.31% 7.99%
  0.1%
CON 5,48611.83%15.27%
  1.1%
OTH 763 1.64% 3.01%
  0.3%
LAB Majority11,20224.15%  Pred Maj21.78%

Livingston
County/Area: Edinburgh area (East Scotland)
MP Robin Cook  (LAB)
Electorate76,353 Turnout58.07%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 22,65751.10%51.17%
 96.3%
NAT 9,56021.56%24.02%
  3.4%
LIB 6,83215.41% 8.04%
  0.0%
CON 4,49910.15%13.61%
  0.2%
OTH 789 1.78% 3.16%
  0.1%
LAB Majority13,09729.54%  Pred Maj27.15%
Comment: Result shown is as at 5 May 2005, before the death of Robin Cook. Labour (Jim Devine) held the by-election on 29 September 2005.

Midlothian
County/Area: Edinburgh area (East Scotland)
MP David Hamilton  (LAB)
Electorate60,644 Turnout62.17%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 17,15345.49%45.58%
 91.8%
LIB 9,88826.23%16.67%
  2.7%
NAT 6,40016.97%20.16%
  3.9%
CON 3,537 9.38%13.88%
  1.0%
OTH 726 1.93% 3.71%
  0.6%
LAB Majority7,26519.27%  Pred Maj25.42%

Moray
County/Area: Grampian (East Scotland)
MP Angus Robertson  (NAT)
Electorate66,463 Turnout58.37%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
NAT 14,19636.59%39.66%
 77.6%
CON 8,52021.96%26.28%
 10.5%
LAB 7,91920.41%20.50%
 11.2%
LIB 7,46019.23%10.04%
  0.5%
OTH 698 1.80% 3.52%
  0.2%
NAT Majority5,67614.63%  Pred Maj13.38%

Motherwell and Wishaw
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP Frank Roy  (LAB)
Electorate66,987 Turnout55.40%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 21,32757.47%57.53%
 99.1%
NAT 6,10516.45%18.37%
  0.6%
LIB 4,46412.03% 6.28%
  0.0%
CON 3,440 9.27%11.97%
  0.2%
OTH 1,773 4.78% 5.85%
  0.1%
LAB Majority15,22241.02%  Pred Maj39.16%

Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)
County/Area: Western Isles (East Scotland)
MP Angus MacNeil  (NAT)
Electorate21,576 Turnout64.13%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
NAT 6,21344.90%46.17%
 80.4%
LAB 4,77234.49%34.53%
 19.6%
OTH 1,145 8.28% 8.98%
  0.0%
LIB 1,096 7.92% 4.13%
  0.0%
CON 610 4.41% 6.19%
  0.0%
NAT Majority1,44110.41%  Pred Maj11.64%

Ochil and South Perthshire
County/Area: Tayside (East Scotland)
MP Gordon Banks  (LAB)
Electorate70,731 Turnout66.02%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 14,64531.36%31.42%
 44.3%
NAT 13,95729.89%32.01%
 42.0%
CON 10,02121.46%24.45%
 12.9%
LIB 6,21813.32% 6.95%
  0.2%
OTH 1,856 3.97% 5.16%
  0.6%
LAB Majority688 1.47%  Pred Maj 0.59%NAT Gain

Orkney and Shetland
County/Area: Orkney and Shetland (East Scotland)
MP Alistair Carmichael  (LIB)
Electorate33,048 Turnout53.69%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LIB 9,13851.50%41.94%
 95.3%
LAB 2,51114.15%14.24%
  2.6%
CON 2,35713.28%17.78%
  0.9%
NAT 1,83310.33%13.52%
  1.0%
MIN 992 5.59% 5.59%
  0.0%
OTH 911 5.13% 6.92%
  0.2%
LIB Majority6,62737.35%  Pred Maj24.17%

Paisley and Renfrewshire North
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP James Sheridan  (LAB)
Electorate63,076 Turnout64.82%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 18,69745.73%45.81%
 91.7%
NAT 7,69618.82%21.73%
  5.0%
LIB 7,46418.26% 9.53%
  0.3%
CON 5,56613.61%17.72%
  2.4%
OTH 1,462 3.58% 5.21%
  0.6%
LAB Majority11,00126.91%  Pred Maj24.08%

Paisley and Renfrewshire South
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP Douglas Alexander  (LAB)
Electorate60,181 Turnout62.91%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 19,90452.57%52.65%
 97.2%
LIB 6,67217.62% 9.20%
  0.2%
NAT 6,65317.57%20.38%
  2.1%
CON 3,188 8.42%12.38%
  0.2%
OTH 1,443 3.81% 5.39%
  0.3%
LAB Majority13,23234.95%  Pred Maj32.27%

Perth and North Perthshire
County/Area: Tayside (East Scotland)
MP Peter Wishart  (NAT)
Electorate70,895 Turnout64.79%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
NAT 15,46933.68%36.25%
 50.9%
CON 13,94830.37%33.99%
 43.6%
LAB 8,60118.73%18.80%
  5.5%
LIB 7,40316.12% 8.41%
  0.0%
OTH 509 1.11% 2.55%
  0.0%
NAT Majority1,521 3.31%  Pred Maj 2.26%

Renfrewshire East
County/Area: Glasgow area (West Scotland)
MP Jim Murphy  (LAB)
Electorate65,714 Turnout72.14%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 20,81543.91%43.99%
 74.3%
CON 14,15829.87%33.97%
 24.8%
LIB 8,65918.27% 9.53%
  0.2%
NAT 3,245 6.85% 9.76%
  0.5%
OTH 528 1.11% 2.75%
  0.2%
LAB Majority6,65714.04%  Pred Maj10.02%

Ross Skye and Lochaber
County/Area: Highland (East Scotland)
MP Charles Kennedy  (LIB)
Electorate50,507 Turnout64.42%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LIB 19,10058.70%49.14%
 98.0%
LAB 4,85114.91%15.00%
  1.1%
CON 3,27510.07%14.56%
  0.3%
NAT 3,119 9.59%12.77%
  0.5%
OTH 2,193 6.74% 8.53%
  0.1%
LIB Majority14,24943.79%  Pred Maj34.14%

Rutherglen and Hamilton West
County/Area: Ayrshire and Lanark (West Scotland)
MP Tommy McAvoy  (LAB)
Electorate73,998 Turnout58.46%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 24,05455.60%55.69%
 98.9%
LIB 7,94218.36% 9.58%
  0.0%
NAT 6,02313.92%16.85%
  0.7%
CON 3,621 8.37%12.50%
  0.2%
OTH 1,621 3.75% 5.39%
  0.2%
LAB Majority16,11237.24%  Pred Maj38.84%

Stirling
County/Area: Central (East Scotland)
MP Anne McGuire  (LAB)
Electorate64,554 Turnout67.68%Top
2005 Votes2005 SharePredicted VotesChance of winning
LAB 15,72936.00%36.09%
 62.6%
CON 10,96225.09%29.58%
 29.6%
LIB 9,05220.72%11.16%
  1.8%
NAT 5,50312.60%15.78%
  4.8%
OTH 2,445 5.60% 7.38%
  1.2%
LAB Majority4,76710.91%  Pred Maj 6.51%