Constituency List: Scotland

Electorate	64,808	Turnout	58.17%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	16,746	44.42%	42.34%		71.8%
NAT	8,385	22.24%	32.73%		27.1%
LIB	7,001	18.57%	10.73%		0.9%
CON	4,666	12.38%	10.01%		0.0%
OTH	903	2.40%	4.18%		0.2%
LAB Majority	8,361	22.18%	Pred Maj	9.61%

Electorate	64,031	Turnout	67.21%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	15,722	36.53%	34.46%		63.5%
LIB	12,216	28.39%	19.94%		10.8%
CON	8,914	20.71%	16.89%		2.7%
NAT	5,102	11.86%	24.11%		21.3%
OTH	1,080	2.51%	4.60%		1.7%
LAB Majority	3,506	8.15%	Pred Maj	10.35%

Electorate	66,110	Turnout	68.36%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	17,362	38.42%	29.97%		42.9%
CON	13,678	30.26%	26.44%		21.5%
NAT	7,086	15.68%	27.37%		27.9%
LAB	6,159	13.63%	12.21%		7.3%
OTH	910	2.01%	4.01%		0.4%
LIB Majority	3,684	8.15%	Pred Maj	2.60%

Electorate	62,364	Turnout	57.48%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	20,849	58.16%	56.08%		94.9%
NAT	8,441	23.55%	29.66%		5.1%
CON	3,133	8.74%	7.07%		0.0%
LIB	2,898	8.08%	4.67%		0.0%
OTH	528	1.47%	2.52%		0.0%
LAB Majority	12,408	34.61%	Pred Maj	26.42%

Electorate	62,863	Turnout	60.39%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
NAT	15,020	39.57%	48.25%		97.2%
CON	11,738	30.92%	27.10%		1.6%
LAB	6,535	17.22%	15.43%		1.2%
LIB	4,090	10.77%	6.22%		0.0%
OTH	577	1.52%	3.00%		0.0%
NAT Majority	3,282	8.65%	Pred Maj	21.14%

Electorate	67,165	Turnout	67.31%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	14,292	31.61%	23.17%		23.0%
CON	10,861	24.03%	20.20%		7.8%
LAB	10,274	22.73%	20.65%		23.5%
NAT	8,563	18.94%	31.20%		44.6%
OTH	1,217	2.69%	4.78%		1.1%
LIB Majority	3,431	7.59%	Pred Maj	8.03%	NAT Gain

Electorate	73,320	Turnout	62.59%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	21,632	47.14%	45.06%		85.1%
CON	11,721	25.54%	21.72%		2.5%
NAT	8,276	18.03%	26.42%		12.3%
LIB	4,264	9.29%	5.37%		0.1%
OTH	0	0.00%	1.43%		0.0%
LAB Majority	9,911	21.60%	Pred Maj	18.64%

Electorate	68,352	Turnout	64.25%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	20,950	47.71%	45.63%		84.5%
CON	8,943	20.36%	16.54%		0.6%
NAT	8,364	19.05%	28.39%		14.7%
LIB	5,236	11.92%	6.89%		0.1%
OTH	422	0.96%	2.55%		0.1%
LAB Majority	12,007	27.34%	Pred Maj	17.25%

Electorate	74,953	Turnout	61.53%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	21,860	47.40%	45.33%		76.5%
NAT	11,965	25.95%	33.89%		23.4%
CON	7,212	15.64%	12.65%		0.0%
LIB	4,630	10.04%	5.80%		0.0%
OTH	449	0.97%	2.33%		0.1%
LAB Majority	9,895	21.46%	Pred Maj	11.43%

Electorate	64,300	Turnout	59.82%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
NAT	15,868	41.25%	49.85%		98.3%
CON	11,841	30.78%	26.96%		1.1%
LAB	5,382	13.99%	12.54%		0.6%
LIB	4,365	11.35%	6.55%		0.0%
OTH	1,010	2.63%	4.09%		0.0%
NAT Majority	4,027	10.47%	Pred Maj	22.89%

Electorate	73,826	Turnout	66.39%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	22,230	45.35%	36.91%		66.5%
CON	16,555	33.78%	29.96%		21.5%
LAB	5,003	10.21%	9.15%		2.1%
NAT	4,497	9.17%	20.56%		9.8%
OTH	729	1.49%	3.43%		0.1%
LIB Majority	5,675	11.58%	Pred Maj	6.95%

Electorate	47,257	Turnout	60.88%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	11,907	41.39%	32.94%		47.6%
LAB	7,081	24.61%	22.54%		17.9%
NAT	5,516	19.17%	30.29%		33.6%
CON	3,744	13.01%	10.53%		0.2%
OTH	520	1.81%	3.70%		0.7%
LIB Majority	4,826	16.78%	Pred Maj	2.65%

Electorate	70,067	Turnout	59.42%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	27,728	66.60%	64.52%		98.7%
NAT	7,014	16.85%	22.99%		1.3%
LIB	3,519	8.45%	4.88%		0.0%
CON	3,374	8.10%	6.56%		0.0%
OTH	0	0.00%	1.05%		0.0%
LAB Majority	20,714	49.75%	Pred Maj	41.53%

Electorate	64,037	Turnout	64.26%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	23,549	57.23%	55.15%		94.0%
NAT	9,794	23.80%	30.37%		6.0%
LIB	3,924	9.54%	5.51%		0.0%
CON	3,407	8.28%	6.70%		0.0%
OTH	476	1.16%	2.28%		0.0%
LAB Majority	13,755	33.43%	Pred Maj	24.79%

Electorate	74,581	Turnout	69.95%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	23,950	45.90%	43.83%		83.9%
CON	16,501	31.63%	27.81%		9.2%
NAT	6,419	12.30%	20.53%		6.8%
LIB	4,608	8.83%	5.10%		0.1%
OTH	695	1.33%	2.73%		0.0%
LAB Majority	7,449	14.28%	Pred Maj	16.02%

Electorate	66,627	Turnout	68.88%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
CON	17,457	38.04%	34.22%		54.8%
LAB	13,263	28.90%	26.83%		28.1%
LIB	9,080	19.79%	11.43%		1.2%
NAT	4,945	10.78%	22.95%		15.7%
OTH	1,147	2.50%	4.58%		0.2%
CON Majority	4,194	9.14%	Pred Maj	7.39%

Electorate	63,795	Turnout	75.16%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	18,551	38.69%	30.24%		36.6%
LAB	16,367	34.13%	32.06%		45.8%
CON	7,431	15.50%	12.54%		0.5%
NAT	5,054	10.54%	22.06%		15.7%
OTH	545	1.14%	3.10%		1.4%
LIB Majority	2,184	4.55%	Pred Maj	1.82%	LAB Gain

Electorate	66,085	Turnout	63.96%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	25,905	61.29%	59.22%		97.4%
NAT	8,497	20.10%	26.06%		2.6%
LIB	3,434	8.12%	4.69%		0.0%
CON	3,242	7.67%	6.21%		0.0%
OTH	1,188	2.81%	3.83%		0.0%
LAB Majority	17,408	41.19%	Pred Maj	33.15%

Electorate	65,471	Turnout	61.96%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
NAT	15,350	37.84%	45.91%		83.1%
LAB	13,529	33.35%	31.27%		16.9%
CON	6,177	15.23%	12.32%		0.0%
LIB	4,285	10.56%	6.10%		0.0%
OTH	1,227	3.02%	4.40%		0.0%
NAT Majority	1,821	4.49%	Pred Maj	14.63%

Electorate	63,013	Turnout	58.92%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	17,994	48.47%	46.39%		72.7%
NAT	10,716	28.86%	36.27%		27.2%
LIB	4,233	11.40%	6.59%		0.0%
CON	3,461	9.32%	7.54%		0.0%
OTH	722	1.94%	3.21%		0.1%
LAB Majority	7,278	19.60%	Pred Maj	10.12%

Electorate	73,769	Turnout	66.35%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	22,639	46.25%	44.18%		82.7%
LIB	17,169	35.08%	26.63%		10.5%
NAT	5,201	10.63%	20.72%		6.5%
CON	3,305	6.75%	5.46%		0.0%
OTH	633	1.29%	3.01%		0.3%
LAB Majority	5,470	11.18%	Pred Maj	17.55%

Electorate	76,534	Turnout	66.57%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	26,241	51.51%	49.43%		87.2%
NAT	11,738	23.04%	30.51%		12.7%
CON	6,613	12.98%	10.50%		0.0%
LIB	5,052	9.92%	5.73%		0.0%
OTH	1,302	2.56%	3.83%		0.1%
LAB Majority	14,503	28.47%	Pred Maj	18.92%

Electorate	73,438	Turnout	66.94%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	21,919	44.59%	42.51%		80.1%
CON	9,661	19.65%	15.90%		0.9%
LIB	8,288	16.86%	9.74%		0.9%
NAT	7,883	16.04%	27.10%		17.6%
OTH	1,410	2.87%	4.75%		0.5%
LAB Majority	12,258	24.93%	Pred Maj	15.41%

Electorate	60,941	Turnout	65.42%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	17,314	43.43%	41.36%		73.3%
NAT	8,133	20.40%	30.97%		25.1%
LIB	7,751	19.44%	11.23%		1.4%
CON	4,358	10.93%	8.84%		0.0%
MIN	2,035	5.10%	5.10%		0.0%
OTH	274	0.69%	2.49%		0.2%
LAB Majority	9,181	23.03%	Pred Maj	10.38%

Electorate	69,204	Turnout	68.43%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	17,740	37.46%	35.39%		63.1%
LIB	16,016	33.82%	25.37%		19.9%
CON	7,079	14.95%	12.09%		0.5%
NAT	4,568	9.65%	21.08%		14.8%
MIN	1,062	2.24%	2.24%		0.0%
OTH	891	1.88%	3.83%		1.7%
LAB Majority	1,724	3.64%	Pred Maj	10.01%

Electorate	59,354	Turnout	73.80%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	15,215	34.74%	32.66%		55.8%
LIB	14,899	34.02%	25.57%		23.8%
CON	9,452	21.58%	17.76%		3.4%
NAT	3,354	7.66%	19.91%		15.4%
OTH	881	2.01%	4.10%		1.6%
LAB Majority	316	0.72%	Pred Maj	7.09%

Electorate	66,359	Turnout	68.51%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	19,473	42.83%	40.76%		80.6%
CON	11,026	24.25%	20.43%		3.2%
LIB	8,194	18.02%	10.41%		1.7%
NAT	5,530	12.16%	23.70%		13.8%
OTH	1,239	2.73%	4.69%		0.7%
LAB Majority	8,447	18.58%	Pred Maj	17.05%

Electorate	65,161	Turnout	71.28%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	16,684	35.92%	27.47%		34.4%
LAB	12,881	27.73%	25.66%		31.9%
CON	10,767	23.18%	19.36%		6.8%
NAT	6,115	13.17%	25.42%		25.8%
OTH	0	0.00%	2.09%		1.1%
LIB Majority	3,803	8.19%	Pred Maj	1.82%

Electorate	81,869	Turnout	62.02%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	23,207	45.70%	43.63%		63.6%
NAT	15,364	30.26%	37.58%		36.3%
CON	5,698	11.22%	9.08%		0.0%
LIB	5,225	10.29%	5.94%		0.0%
OTH	1,283	2.53%	3.77%		0.1%
LAB Majority	7,843	15.45%	Pred Maj	6.05%

Electorate	62,969	Turnout	63.62%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	17,763	44.34%	35.89%		67.0%
CON	8,715	21.75%	17.93%		1.4%
LAB	6,869	17.15%	15.37%		8.7%
NAT	5,685	14.19%	26.19%		22.0%
OTH	1,032	2.58%	4.62%		0.9%
LIB Majority	9,048	22.58%	Pred Maj	9.70%

Electorate	60,062	Turnout	50.91%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	15,908	52.02%	49.95%		91.9%
NAT	5,357	17.52%	26.35%		7.6%
LIB	5,010	16.38%	9.46%		0.3%
CON	2,158	7.06%	5.71%		0.0%
OTH	1,347	4.40%	5.91%		0.2%
MIN	800	2.62%	2.62%		0.0%
LAB Majority	10,551	34.50%	Pred Maj	23.59%

Electorate	61,516	Turnout	52.29%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	19,797	61.55%	59.47%		96.8%
NAT	7,957	24.74%	29.06%		3.2%
LIB	1,617	5.03%	2.90%		0.0%
CON	1,453	4.52%	3.65%		0.0%
MIN	677	2.10%	2.10%		0.0%
OTH	663	2.06%	2.80%		0.0%
LAB Majority	11,840	36.81%	Pred Maj	30.41%

Electorate	51,416	Turnout	57.59%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	13,181	44.51%	42.44%		80.1%
LIB	9,283	31.35%	22.90%		8.3%
NAT	3,530	11.92%	22.06%		10.4%
CON	2,089	7.05%	5.71%		0.0%
OTH	1,530	5.17%	6.90%		1.2%
LAB Majority	3,898	13.16%	Pred Maj	19.54%

Electorate	59,859	Turnout	49.13%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	20,100	68.35%	66.27%		99.5%
NAT	4,158	14.14%	19.56%		0.5%
LIB	2,262	7.69%	4.44%		0.0%
CON	1,569	5.34%	4.32%		0.0%
MIN	798	2.71%	2.71%		0.0%
OTH	522	1.77%	2.70%		0.0%
LAB Majority	15,942	54.21%	Pred Maj	46.71%

Electorate	60,968	Turnout	58.36%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	19,233	54.05%	51.98%		95.0%
LIB	5,622	15.80%	9.13%		0.2%
NAT	5,430	15.26%	24.36%		4.6%
CON	3,537	9.94%	8.04%		0.0%
OTH	1,760	4.95%	6.50%		0.2%
LAB Majority	13,611	38.25%	Pred Maj	27.62%

Electorate	65,029	Turnout	61.66%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	20,736	51.72%	49.64%		89.5%
NAT	8,078	20.15%	28.05%		10.4%
LIB	4,739	11.82%	6.83%		0.0%
CON	4,592	11.45%	9.27%		0.0%
OTH	1,949	4.86%	6.21%		0.1%
LAB Majority	12,658	31.57%	Pred Maj	21.59%

Electorate	58,182	Turnout	54.62%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	19,863	62.50%	60.42%		98.5%
NAT	5,192	16.34%	22.44%		1.5%
LIB	2,870	9.03%	5.22%		0.0%
CON	2,084	6.56%	5.30%		0.0%
OTH	1,772	5.58%	6.62%		0.0%
LAB Majority	14,671	46.16%	Pred Maj	37.99%

Electorate	67,893	Turnout	59.65%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	25,247	62.34%	60.26%		97.2%
NAT	8,799	21.73%	27.44%		2.8%
LIB	3,108	7.67%	4.43%		0.0%
CON	2,922	7.21%	5.84%		0.0%
OTH	425	1.05%	2.02%		0.0%
LAB Majority	16,448	40.61%	Pred Maj	32.82%

Electorate	73,420	Turnout	66.43%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	17,575	36.03%	27.59%		31.0%
NAT	10,827	22.20%	34.24%		51.7%
LAB	9,811	20.11%	18.04%		15.8%
CON	9,111	18.68%	15.11%		0.7%
OTH	1,451	2.97%	5.03%		0.8%
LIB Majority	6,748	13.83%	Pred Maj	6.65%	NAT Gain

Electorate	59,209	Turnout	63.34%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	20,993	55.98%	53.90%		95.9%
NAT	6,567	17.51%	26.06%		4.1%
LIB	5,007	13.35%	7.71%		0.0%
CON	4,502	12.00%	9.71%		0.0%
OTH	433	1.15%	2.61%		0.0%
LAB Majority	14,426	38.47%	Pred Maj	27.84%

Electorate	72,528	Turnout	64.92%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	19,172	40.72%	32.27%		47.1%
LAB	10,407	22.10%	20.03%		15.2%
NAT	8,803	18.70%	29.86%		35.6%
CON	6,278	13.33%	10.79%		0.2%
OTH	2,426	5.15%	7.06%		1.9%
LIB Majority	8,765	18.61%	Pred Maj	2.41%

Electorate	74,131	Turnout	62.80%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	24,460	52.54%	50.47%		86.0%
NAT	12,082	25.95%	32.69%		14.0%
CON	6,592	14.16%	11.46%		0.0%
LIB	3,419	7.34%	4.24%		0.0%
OTH	0	0.00%	1.15%		0.0%
LAB Majority	12,378	26.59%	Pred Maj	17.78%

Electorate	73,665	Turnout	62.18%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	29,559	64.54%	62.46%		98.8%
NAT	6,550	14.30%	20.95%		1.2%
LIB	4,269	9.32%	5.38%		0.0%
CON	4,258	9.30%	7.52%		0.0%
OTH	1,166	2.55%	3.68%		0.0%
LAB Majority	23,009	50.24%	Pred Maj	41.51%

Electorate	74,773	Turnout	62.26%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	23,258	49.96%	47.88%		86.8%
NAT	9,780	21.01%	29.30%		13.0%
CON	6,981	15.00%	12.13%		0.0%
LIB	5,249	11.28%	6.51%		0.1%
OTH	1,286	2.76%	4.18%		0.1%
LAB Majority	13,478	28.95%	Pred Maj	18.59%

Electorate	80,907	Turnout	63.59%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	25,634	49.82%	47.75%		80.3%
NAT	13,081	25.42%	33.77%		19.6%
LIB	6,589	12.81%	7.40%		0.0%
CON	6,146	11.95%	9.66%		0.0%
OTH	0	0.00%	1.42%		0.1%
LAB Majority	12,553	24.40%	Pred Maj	13.98%

Electorate	75,924	Turnout	63.10%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	23,215	48.46%	46.38%		78.3%
NAT	12,424	25.93%	33.47%		21.6%
LIB	5,316	11.10%	6.41%		0.0%
CON	5,158	10.77%	8.71%		0.0%
OTH	1,794	3.74%	5.03%		0.1%
LAB Majority	10,791	22.52%	Pred Maj	12.92%

Electorate	61,387	Turnout	63.93%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	18,449	47.01%	44.94%		80.8%
NAT	8,100	20.64%	30.52%		18.8%
LIB	6,711	17.10%	9.88%		0.2%
CON	4,661	11.88%	9.61%		0.0%
OTH	1,321	3.37%	5.05%		0.2%
LAB Majority	10,349	26.37%	Pred Maj	14.41%

Electorate	65,925	Turnout	62.20%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
NAT	16,273	39.69%	49.71%		97.4%
CON	10,683	26.05%	22.23%		0.6%
LAB	7,007	17.09%	15.32%		1.9%
LIB	5,956	14.53%	8.39%		0.1%
OTH	1,085	2.65%	4.35%		0.0%
NAT Majority	5,590	13.63%	Pred Maj	27.47%

Electorate	66,918	Turnout	58.46%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	23,910	61.11%	59.04%		97.5%
NAT	7,104	18.16%	25.00%		2.5%
LIB	3,840	9.82%	5.67%		0.0%
CON	3,660	9.36%	7.57%		0.0%
OTH	609	1.56%	2.72%		0.0%
LAB Majority	16,806	42.96%	Pred Maj	34.04%

Electorate	22,266	Turnout	66.10%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
NAT	6,723	45.68%	50.86%		96.9%
LAB	4,838	32.87%	30.80%		3.1%
MIN	1,412	9.59%	9.59%		0.0%
LIB	1,097	7.45%	4.31%		0.0%
CON	647	4.40%	3.56%		0.0%
OTH	0	0.00%	0.88%		0.0%
NAT Majority	1,885	12.81%	Pred Maj	20.06%

Electorate	75,115	Turnout	67.19%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	19,131	37.91%	35.83%		49.1%
NAT	13,944	27.63%	36.78%		50.0%
CON	10,342	20.49%	16.67%		0.5%
LIB	5,754	11.40%	6.59%		0.3%
OTH	1,298	2.57%	4.13%		0.1%
LAB Majority	5,187	10.28%	Pred Maj	0.95%	NAT Gain

Electorate	33,085	Turnout	58.47%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	11,989	61.97%	53.52%		96.1%
LAB	2,061	10.65%	9.55%		0.6%
NAT	2,042	10.56%	20.43%		2.9%
CON	2,032	10.50%	8.50%		0.0%
OTH	1,222	6.32%	8.00%		0.4%
LIB Majority	9,928	51.32%	Pred Maj	33.09%

Electorate	63,704	Turnout	68.61%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	23,613	54.03%	51.95%		93.8%
NAT	8,333	19.07%	27.02%		6.1%
CON	6,381	14.60%	11.81%		0.0%
LIB	4,597	10.52%	6.08%		0.0%
OTH	783	1.79%	3.15%		0.1%
LAB Majority	15,280	34.96%	Pred Maj	24.93%

Electorate	61,197	Turnout	65.36%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	23,842	59.61%	57.53%		97.0%
NAT	7,228	18.07%	24.91%		3.0%
CON	3,979	9.95%	8.05%		0.0%
LIB	3,812	9.53%	5.50%		0.0%
OTH	1,137	2.84%	4.01%		0.0%
LAB Majority	16,614	41.54%	Pred Maj	32.63%

Electorate	72,141	Turnout	66.91%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
NAT	19,118	39.61%	48.78%		97.3%
CON	14,739	30.54%	26.72%		1.5%
LAB	7,923	16.41%	14.71%		1.2%
LIB	5,954	12.34%	7.13%		0.0%
OTH	534	1.11%	2.67%		0.0%
NAT Majority	4,379	9.07%	Pred Maj	22.06%

Electorate	66,249	Turnout	77.26%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	25,987	50.77%	48.70%		93.5%
CON	15,567	30.42%	26.60%		4.1%
LIB	4,720	9.22%	5.33%		0.0%
NAT	4,535	8.86%	17.23%		2.4%
OTH	372	0.73%	2.15%		0.0%
LAB Majority	10,420	20.36%	Pred Maj	22.10%

Electorate	51,836	Turnout	67.21%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	18,335	52.63%	44.18%		85.5%
LAB	5,265	15.11%	13.54%		2.7%
NAT	5,263	15.11%	25.66%		11.3%
CON	4,260	12.23%	9.89%		0.1%
OTH	1,715	4.92%	6.72%		0.4%
LIB Majority	13,070	37.52%	Pred Maj	18.52%

Electorate	76,408	Turnout	61.49%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	28,566	60.80%	58.73%		97.9%
NAT	7,564	16.10%	23.78%		2.1%
LIB	5,636	12.00%	6.93%		0.0%
CON	4,540	9.66%	7.82%		0.0%
OTH	675	1.44%	2.75%		0.0%
LAB Majority	21,002	44.70%	Pred Maj	34.95%

Electorate	66,080	Turnout	70.81%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	19,558	41.80%	39.72%		73.9%
CON	11,204	23.94%	20.12%		3.3%
NAT	8,091	17.29%	27.57%		22.0%
LIB	6,797	14.53%	8.39%		0.5%
OTH	1,141	2.44%	4.19%		0.3%
LAB Majority	8,354	17.85%	Pred Maj	12.15%