| Electorate | 64,808 | Turnout | 58.17% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 16,746 | 44.42% | 42.34% |
| ||||
| NAT | 8,385 | 22.24% | 32.73% |
| ||||
| LIB | 7,001 | 18.57% | 10.73% |
| ||||
| CON | 4,666 | 12.38% | 10.01% |
| ||||
| OTH | 903 | 2.40% | 4.18% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 8,361 | 22.18% | Pred Maj | 9.61% | ||||
| Electorate | 64,031 | Turnout | 67.21% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 15,722 | 36.53% | 34.46% |
| ||||
| LIB | 12,216 | 28.39% | 19.94% |
| ||||
| CON | 8,914 | 20.71% | 16.89% |
| ||||
| NAT | 5,102 | 11.86% | 24.11% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,080 | 2.51% | 4.60% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 3,506 | 8.15% | Pred Maj | 10.35% | ||||
| Electorate | 66,110 | Turnout | 68.36% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LIB | 17,362 | 38.42% | 29.97% |
| ||||
| CON | 13,678 | 30.26% | 26.44% |
| ||||
| NAT | 7,086 | 15.68% | 27.37% |
| ||||
| LAB | 6,159 | 13.63% | 12.21% |
| ||||
| OTH | 910 | 2.01% | 4.01% |
| ||||
| LIB Majority | 3,684 | 8.15% | Pred Maj | 2.60% | ||||
| Electorate | 62,364 | Turnout | 57.48% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 20,849 | 58.16% | 56.08% |
| ||||
| NAT | 8,441 | 23.55% | 29.66% |
| ||||
| CON | 3,133 | 8.74% | 7.07% |
| ||||
| LIB | 2,898 | 8.08% | 4.67% |
| ||||
| OTH | 528 | 1.47% | 2.52% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 12,408 | 34.61% | Pred Maj | 26.42% | ||||
| Electorate | 62,863 | Turnout | 60.39% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| NAT | 15,020 | 39.57% | 48.25% |
| ||||
| CON | 11,738 | 30.92% | 27.10% |
| ||||
| LAB | 6,535 | 17.22% | 15.43% |
| ||||
| LIB | 4,090 | 10.77% | 6.22% |
| ||||
| OTH | 577 | 1.52% | 3.00% |
| ||||
| NAT Majority | 3,282 | 8.65% | Pred Maj | 21.14% | ||||
| Electorate | 67,165 | Turnout | 67.31% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LIB | 14,292 | 31.61% | 23.17% |
| ||||
| CON | 10,861 | 24.03% | 20.20% |
| ||||
| LAB | 10,274 | 22.73% | 20.65% |
| ||||
| NAT | 8,563 | 18.94% | 31.20% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,217 | 2.69% | 4.78% |
| ||||
| LIB Majority | 3,431 | 7.59% | Pred Maj | 8.03% | NAT Gain | |||
| Electorate | 73,320 | Turnout | 62.59% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 21,632 | 47.14% | 45.06% |
| ||||
| CON | 11,721 | 25.54% | 21.72% |
| ||||
| NAT | 8,276 | 18.03% | 26.42% |
| ||||
| LIB | 4,264 | 9.29% | 5.37% |
| ||||
| OTH | 0 | 0.00% | 1.43% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 9,911 | 21.60% | Pred Maj | 18.64% | ||||
| Electorate | 68,352 | Turnout | 64.25% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 20,950 | 47.71% | 45.63% |
| ||||
| CON | 8,943 | 20.36% | 16.54% |
| ||||
| NAT | 8,364 | 19.05% | 28.39% |
| ||||
| LIB | 5,236 | 11.92% | 6.89% |
| ||||
| OTH | 422 | 0.96% | 2.55% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 12,007 | 27.34% | Pred Maj | 17.25% | ||||
| Electorate | 74,953 | Turnout | 61.53% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 21,860 | 47.40% | 45.33% |
| ||||
| NAT | 11,965 | 25.95% | 33.89% |
| ||||
| CON | 7,212 | 15.64% | 12.65% |
| ||||
| LIB | 4,630 | 10.04% | 5.80% |
| ||||
| OTH | 449 | 0.97% | 2.33% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 9,895 | 21.46% | Pred Maj | 11.43% | ||||
| Electorate | 64,300 | Turnout | 59.82% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| NAT | 15,868 | 41.25% | 49.85% |
| ||||
| CON | 11,841 | 30.78% | 26.96% |
| ||||
| LAB | 5,382 | 13.99% | 12.54% |
| ||||
| LIB | 4,365 | 11.35% | 6.55% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,010 | 2.63% | 4.09% |
| ||||
| NAT Majority | 4,027 | 10.47% | Pred Maj | 22.89% | ||||
| Electorate | 73,826 | Turnout | 66.39% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LIB | 22,230 | 45.35% | 36.91% |
| ||||
| CON | 16,555 | 33.78% | 29.96% |
| ||||
| LAB | 5,003 | 10.21% | 9.15% |
| ||||
| NAT | 4,497 | 9.17% | 20.56% |
| ||||
| OTH | 729 | 1.49% | 3.43% |
| ||||
| LIB Majority | 5,675 | 11.58% | Pred Maj | 6.95% | ||||
| Electorate | 47,257 | Turnout | 60.88% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LIB | 11,907 | 41.39% | 32.94% |
| ||||
| LAB | 7,081 | 24.61% | 22.54% |
| ||||
| NAT | 5,516 | 19.17% | 30.29% |
| ||||
| CON | 3,744 | 13.01% | 10.53% |
| ||||
| OTH | 520 | 1.81% | 3.70% |
| ||||
| LIB Majority | 4,826 | 16.78% | Pred Maj | 2.65% | ||||
| Electorate | 70,067 | Turnout | 59.42% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 27,728 | 66.60% | 64.52% |
| ||||
| NAT | 7,014 | 16.85% | 22.99% |
| ||||
| LIB | 3,519 | 8.45% | 4.88% |
| ||||
| CON | 3,374 | 8.10% | 6.56% |
| ||||
| OTH | 0 | 0.00% | 1.05% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 20,714 | 49.75% | Pred Maj | 41.53% | ||||
| Electorate | 64,037 | Turnout | 64.26% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 23,549 | 57.23% | 55.15% |
| ||||
| NAT | 9,794 | 23.80% | 30.37% |
| ||||
| LIB | 3,924 | 9.54% | 5.51% |
| ||||
| CON | 3,407 | 8.28% | 6.70% |
| ||||
| OTH | 476 | 1.16% | 2.28% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 13,755 | 33.43% | Pred Maj | 24.79% | ||||
| Electorate | 74,581 | Turnout | 69.95% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 23,950 | 45.90% | 43.83% |
| ||||
| CON | 16,501 | 31.63% | 27.81% |
| ||||
| NAT | 6,419 | 12.30% | 20.53% |
| ||||
| LIB | 4,608 | 8.83% | 5.10% |
| ||||
| OTH | 695 | 1.33% | 2.73% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 7,449 | 14.28% | Pred Maj | 16.02% | ||||
| Electorate | 66,627 | Turnout | 68.88% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| CON | 17,457 | 38.04% | 34.22% |
| ||||
| LAB | 13,263 | 28.90% | 26.83% |
| ||||
| LIB | 9,080 | 19.79% | 11.43% |
| ||||
| NAT | 4,945 | 10.78% | 22.95% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,147 | 2.50% | 4.58% |
| ||||
| CON Majority | 4,194 | 9.14% | Pred Maj | 7.39% | ||||
| Electorate | 63,795 | Turnout | 75.16% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LIB | 18,551 | 38.69% | 30.24% |
| ||||
| LAB | 16,367 | 34.13% | 32.06% |
| ||||
| CON | 7,431 | 15.50% | 12.54% |
| ||||
| NAT | 5,054 | 10.54% | 22.06% |
| ||||
| OTH | 545 | 1.14% | 3.10% |
| ||||
| LIB Majority | 2,184 | 4.55% | Pred Maj | 1.82% | LAB Gain | |||
| Electorate | 66,085 | Turnout | 63.96% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 25,905 | 61.29% | 59.22% |
| ||||
| NAT | 8,497 | 20.10% | 26.06% |
| ||||
| LIB | 3,434 | 8.12% | 4.69% |
| ||||
| CON | 3,242 | 7.67% | 6.21% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,188 | 2.81% | 3.83% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 17,408 | 41.19% | Pred Maj | 33.15% | ||||
| Electorate | 65,471 | Turnout | 61.96% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| NAT | 15,350 | 37.84% | 45.91% |
| ||||
| LAB | 13,529 | 33.35% | 31.27% |
| ||||
| CON | 6,177 | 15.23% | 12.32% |
| ||||
| LIB | 4,285 | 10.56% | 6.10% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,227 | 3.02% | 4.40% |
| ||||
| NAT Majority | 1,821 | 4.49% | Pred Maj | 14.63% | ||||
| Electorate | 63,013 | Turnout | 58.92% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 17,994 | 48.47% | 46.39% |
| ||||
| NAT | 10,716 | 28.86% | 36.27% |
| ||||
| LIB | 4,233 | 11.40% | 6.59% |
| ||||
| CON | 3,461 | 9.32% | 7.54% |
| ||||
| OTH | 722 | 1.94% | 3.21% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 7,278 | 19.60% | Pred Maj | 10.12% | ||||
| Electorate | 73,769 | Turnout | 66.35% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 22,639 | 46.25% | 44.18% |
| ||||
| LIB | 17,169 | 35.08% | 26.63% |
| ||||
| NAT | 5,201 | 10.63% | 20.72% |
| ||||
| CON | 3,305 | 6.75% | 5.46% |
| ||||
| OTH | 633 | 1.29% | 3.01% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 5,470 | 11.18% | Pred Maj | 17.55% | ||||
| Electorate | 76,534 | Turnout | 66.57% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 26,241 | 51.51% | 49.43% |
| ||||
| NAT | 11,738 | 23.04% | 30.51% |
| ||||
| CON | 6,613 | 12.98% | 10.50% |
| ||||
| LIB | 5,052 | 9.92% | 5.73% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,302 | 2.56% | 3.83% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 14,503 | 28.47% | Pred Maj | 18.92% | ||||
| Electorate | 73,438 | Turnout | 66.94% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 21,919 | 44.59% | 42.51% |
| ||||
| CON | 9,661 | 19.65% | 15.90% |
| ||||
| LIB | 8,288 | 16.86% | 9.74% |
| ||||
| NAT | 7,883 | 16.04% | 27.10% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,410 | 2.87% | 4.75% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 12,258 | 24.93% | Pred Maj | 15.41% | ||||
| Electorate | 60,941 | Turnout | 65.42% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 17,314 | 43.43% | 41.36% |
| ||||
| NAT | 8,133 | 20.40% | 30.97% |
| ||||
| LIB | 7,751 | 19.44% | 11.23% |
| ||||
| CON | 4,358 | 10.93% | 8.84% |
| ||||
| MIN | 2,035 | 5.10% | 5.10% |
| ||||
| OTH | 274 | 0.69% | 2.49% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 9,181 | 23.03% | Pred Maj | 10.38% | ||||
| Electorate | 69,204 | Turnout | 68.43% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 17,740 | 37.46% | 35.39% |
| ||||
| LIB | 16,016 | 33.82% | 25.37% |
| ||||
| CON | 7,079 | 14.95% | 12.09% |
| ||||
| NAT | 4,568 | 9.65% | 21.08% |
| ||||
| MIN | 1,062 | 2.24% | 2.24% |
| ||||
| OTH | 891 | 1.88% | 3.83% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 1,724 | 3.64% | Pred Maj | 10.01% | ||||
| Electorate | 59,354 | Turnout | 73.80% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 15,215 | 34.74% | 32.66% |
| ||||
| LIB | 14,899 | 34.02% | 25.57% |
| ||||
| CON | 9,452 | 21.58% | 17.76% |
| ||||
| NAT | 3,354 | 7.66% | 19.91% |
| ||||
| OTH | 881 | 2.01% | 4.10% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 316 | 0.72% | Pred Maj | 7.09% | ||||
| Electorate | 66,359 | Turnout | 68.51% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 19,473 | 42.83% | 40.76% |
| ||||
| CON | 11,026 | 24.25% | 20.43% |
| ||||
| LIB | 8,194 | 18.02% | 10.41% |
| ||||
| NAT | 5,530 | 12.16% | 23.70% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,239 | 2.73% | 4.69% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 8,447 | 18.58% | Pred Maj | 17.05% | ||||
| Electorate | 65,161 | Turnout | 71.28% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LIB | 16,684 | 35.92% | 27.47% |
| ||||
| LAB | 12,881 | 27.73% | 25.66% |
| ||||
| CON | 10,767 | 23.18% | 19.36% |
| ||||
| NAT | 6,115 | 13.17% | 25.42% |
| ||||
| OTH | 0 | 0.00% | 2.09% |
| ||||
| LIB Majority | 3,803 | 8.19% | Pred Maj | 1.82% | ||||
| Electorate | 81,869 | Turnout | 62.02% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 23,207 | 45.70% | 43.63% |
| ||||
| NAT | 15,364 | 30.26% | 37.58% |
| ||||
| CON | 5,698 | 11.22% | 9.08% |
| ||||
| LIB | 5,225 | 10.29% | 5.94% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,283 | 2.53% | 3.77% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 7,843 | 15.45% | Pred Maj | 6.05% | ||||
| Electorate | 62,969 | Turnout | 63.62% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LIB | 17,763 | 44.34% | 35.89% |
| ||||
| CON | 8,715 | 21.75% | 17.93% |
| ||||
| LAB | 6,869 | 17.15% | 15.37% |
| ||||
| NAT | 5,685 | 14.19% | 26.19% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,032 | 2.58% | 4.62% |
| ||||
| LIB Majority | 9,048 | 22.58% | Pred Maj | 9.70% | ||||
| Electorate | 60,062 | Turnout | 50.91% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 15,908 | 52.02% | 49.95% |
| ||||
| NAT | 5,357 | 17.52% | 26.35% |
| ||||
| LIB | 5,010 | 16.38% | 9.46% |
| ||||
| CON | 2,158 | 7.06% | 5.71% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,347 | 4.40% | 5.91% |
| ||||
| MIN | 800 | 2.62% | 2.62% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 10,551 | 34.50% | Pred Maj | 23.59% | ||||
| Electorate | 61,516 | Turnout | 52.29% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 19,797 | 61.55% | 59.47% |
| ||||
| NAT | 7,957 | 24.74% | 29.06% |
| ||||
| LIB | 1,617 | 5.03% | 2.90% |
| ||||
| CON | 1,453 | 4.52% | 3.65% |
| ||||
| MIN | 677 | 2.10% | 2.10% |
| ||||
| OTH | 663 | 2.06% | 2.80% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 11,840 | 36.81% | Pred Maj | 30.41% | ||||
| Electorate | 51,416 | Turnout | 57.59% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 13,181 | 44.51% | 42.44% |
| ||||
| LIB | 9,283 | 31.35% | 22.90% |
| ||||
| NAT | 3,530 | 11.92% | 22.06% |
| ||||
| CON | 2,089 | 7.05% | 5.71% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,530 | 5.17% | 6.90% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 3,898 | 13.16% | Pred Maj | 19.54% | ||||
| Electorate | 59,859 | Turnout | 49.13% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 20,100 | 68.35% | 66.27% |
| ||||
| NAT | 4,158 | 14.14% | 19.56% |
| ||||
| LIB | 2,262 | 7.69% | 4.44% |
| ||||
| CON | 1,569 | 5.34% | 4.32% |
| ||||
| MIN | 798 | 2.71% | 2.71% |
| ||||
| OTH | 522 | 1.77% | 2.70% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 15,942 | 54.21% | Pred Maj | 46.71% | ||||
| Electorate | 60,968 | Turnout | 58.36% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 19,233 | 54.05% | 51.98% |
| ||||
| LIB | 5,622 | 15.80% | 9.13% |
| ||||
| NAT | 5,430 | 15.26% | 24.36% |
| ||||
| CON | 3,537 | 9.94% | 8.04% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,760 | 4.95% | 6.50% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 13,611 | 38.25% | Pred Maj | 27.62% | ||||
| Electorate | 65,029 | Turnout | 61.66% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 20,736 | 51.72% | 49.64% |
| ||||
| NAT | 8,078 | 20.15% | 28.05% |
| ||||
| LIB | 4,739 | 11.82% | 6.83% |
| ||||
| CON | 4,592 | 11.45% | 9.27% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,949 | 4.86% | 6.21% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 12,658 | 31.57% | Pred Maj | 21.59% | ||||
| Electorate | 58,182 | Turnout | 54.62% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 19,863 | 62.50% | 60.42% |
| ||||
| NAT | 5,192 | 16.34% | 22.44% |
| ||||
| LIB | 2,870 | 9.03% | 5.22% |
| ||||
| CON | 2,084 | 6.56% | 5.30% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,772 | 5.58% | 6.62% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 14,671 | 46.16% | Pred Maj | 37.99% | ||||
| Electorate | 67,893 | Turnout | 59.65% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 25,247 | 62.34% | 60.26% |
| ||||
| NAT | 8,799 | 21.73% | 27.44% |
| ||||
| LIB | 3,108 | 7.67% | 4.43% |
| ||||
| CON | 2,922 | 7.21% | 5.84% |
| ||||
| OTH | 425 | 1.05% | 2.02% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 16,448 | 40.61% | Pred Maj | 32.82% | ||||
| Electorate | 73,420 | Turnout | 66.43% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LIB | 17,575 | 36.03% | 27.59% |
| ||||
| NAT | 10,827 | 22.20% | 34.24% |
| ||||
| LAB | 9,811 | 20.11% | 18.04% |
| ||||
| CON | 9,111 | 18.68% | 15.11% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,451 | 2.97% | 5.03% |
| ||||
| LIB Majority | 6,748 | 13.83% | Pred Maj | 6.65% | NAT Gain | |||
| Electorate | 59,209 | Turnout | 63.34% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 20,993 | 55.98% | 53.90% |
| ||||
| NAT | 6,567 | 17.51% | 26.06% |
| ||||
| LIB | 5,007 | 13.35% | 7.71% |
| ||||
| CON | 4,502 | 12.00% | 9.71% |
| ||||
| OTH | 433 | 1.15% | 2.61% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 14,426 | 38.47% | Pred Maj | 27.84% | ||||
| Electorate | 72,528 | Turnout | 64.92% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LIB | 19,172 | 40.72% | 32.27% |
| ||||
| LAB | 10,407 | 22.10% | 20.03% |
| ||||
| NAT | 8,803 | 18.70% | 29.86% |
| ||||
| CON | 6,278 | 13.33% | 10.79% |
| ||||
| OTH | 2,426 | 5.15% | 7.06% |
| ||||
| LIB Majority | 8,765 | 18.61% | Pred Maj | 2.41% | ||||
| Electorate | 74,131 | Turnout | 62.80% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 24,460 | 52.54% | 50.47% |
| ||||
| NAT | 12,082 | 25.95% | 32.69% |
| ||||
| CON | 6,592 | 14.16% | 11.46% |
| ||||
| LIB | 3,419 | 7.34% | 4.24% |
| ||||
| OTH | 0 | 0.00% | 1.15% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 12,378 | 26.59% | Pred Maj | 17.78% | ||||
| Electorate | 73,665 | Turnout | 62.18% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 29,559 | 64.54% | 62.46% |
| ||||
| NAT | 6,550 | 14.30% | 20.95% |
| ||||
| LIB | 4,269 | 9.32% | 5.38% |
| ||||
| CON | 4,258 | 9.30% | 7.52% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,166 | 2.55% | 3.68% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 23,009 | 50.24% | Pred Maj | 41.51% | ||||
| Electorate | 74,773 | Turnout | 62.26% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 23,258 | 49.96% | 47.88% |
| ||||
| NAT | 9,780 | 21.01% | 29.30% |
| ||||
| CON | 6,981 | 15.00% | 12.13% |
| ||||
| LIB | 5,249 | 11.28% | 6.51% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,286 | 2.76% | 4.18% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 13,478 | 28.95% | Pred Maj | 18.59% | ||||
| Electorate | 80,907 | Turnout | 63.59% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 25,634 | 49.82% | 47.75% |
| ||||
| NAT | 13,081 | 25.42% | 33.77% |
| ||||
| LIB | 6,589 | 12.81% | 7.40% |
| ||||
| CON | 6,146 | 11.95% | 9.66% |
| ||||
| OTH | 0 | 0.00% | 1.42% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 12,553 | 24.40% | Pred Maj | 13.98% | ||||
| Electorate | 75,924 | Turnout | 63.10% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 23,215 | 48.46% | 46.38% |
| ||||
| NAT | 12,424 | 25.93% | 33.47% |
| ||||
| LIB | 5,316 | 11.10% | 6.41% |
| ||||
| CON | 5,158 | 10.77% | 8.71% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,794 | 3.74% | 5.03% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 10,791 | 22.52% | Pred Maj | 12.92% | ||||
| Electorate | 61,387 | Turnout | 63.93% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 18,449 | 47.01% | 44.94% |
| ||||
| NAT | 8,100 | 20.64% | 30.52% |
| ||||
| LIB | 6,711 | 17.10% | 9.88% |
| ||||
| CON | 4,661 | 11.88% | 9.61% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,321 | 3.37% | 5.05% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 10,349 | 26.37% | Pred Maj | 14.41% | ||||
| Electorate | 65,925 | Turnout | 62.20% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| NAT | 16,273 | 39.69% | 49.71% |
| ||||
| CON | 10,683 | 26.05% | 22.23% |
| ||||
| LAB | 7,007 | 17.09% | 15.32% |
| ||||
| LIB | 5,956 | 14.53% | 8.39% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,085 | 2.65% | 4.35% |
| ||||
| NAT Majority | 5,590 | 13.63% | Pred Maj | 27.47% | ||||
| Electorate | 66,918 | Turnout | 58.46% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 23,910 | 61.11% | 59.04% |
| ||||
| NAT | 7,104 | 18.16% | 25.00% |
| ||||
| LIB | 3,840 | 9.82% | 5.67% |
| ||||
| CON | 3,660 | 9.36% | 7.57% |
| ||||
| OTH | 609 | 1.56% | 2.72% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 16,806 | 42.96% | Pred Maj | 34.04% | ||||
| Electorate | 22,266 | Turnout | 66.10% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| NAT | 6,723 | 45.68% | 50.86% |
| ||||
| LAB | 4,838 | 32.87% | 30.80% |
| ||||
| MIN | 1,412 | 9.59% | 9.59% |
| ||||
| LIB | 1,097 | 7.45% | 4.31% |
| ||||
| CON | 647 | 4.40% | 3.56% |
| ||||
| OTH | 0 | 0.00% | 0.88% |
| ||||
| NAT Majority | 1,885 | 12.81% | Pred Maj | 20.06% | ||||
| Electorate | 75,115 | Turnout | 67.19% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 19,131 | 37.91% | 35.83% |
| ||||
| NAT | 13,944 | 27.63% | 36.78% |
| ||||
| CON | 10,342 | 20.49% | 16.67% |
| ||||
| LIB | 5,754 | 11.40% | 6.59% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,298 | 2.57% | 4.13% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 5,187 | 10.28% | Pred Maj | 0.95% | NAT Gain | |||
| Electorate | 33,085 | Turnout | 58.47% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LIB | 11,989 | 61.97% | 53.52% |
| ||||
| LAB | 2,061 | 10.65% | 9.55% |
| ||||
| NAT | 2,042 | 10.56% | 20.43% |
| ||||
| CON | 2,032 | 10.50% | 8.50% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,222 | 6.32% | 8.00% |
| ||||
| LIB Majority | 9,928 | 51.32% | Pred Maj | 33.09% | ||||
| Electorate | 63,704 | Turnout | 68.61% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 23,613 | 54.03% | 51.95% |
| ||||
| NAT | 8,333 | 19.07% | 27.02% |
| ||||
| CON | 6,381 | 14.60% | 11.81% |
| ||||
| LIB | 4,597 | 10.52% | 6.08% |
| ||||
| OTH | 783 | 1.79% | 3.15% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 15,280 | 34.96% | Pred Maj | 24.93% | ||||
| Electorate | 61,197 | Turnout | 65.36% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 23,842 | 59.61% | 57.53% |
| ||||
| NAT | 7,228 | 18.07% | 24.91% |
| ||||
| CON | 3,979 | 9.95% | 8.05% |
| ||||
| LIB | 3,812 | 9.53% | 5.50% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,137 | 2.84% | 4.01% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 16,614 | 41.54% | Pred Maj | 32.63% | ||||
| Electorate | 72,141 | Turnout | 66.91% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| NAT | 19,118 | 39.61% | 48.78% |
| ||||
| CON | 14,739 | 30.54% | 26.72% |
| ||||
| LAB | 7,923 | 16.41% | 14.71% |
| ||||
| LIB | 5,954 | 12.34% | 7.13% |
| ||||
| OTH | 534 | 1.11% | 2.67% |
| ||||
| NAT Majority | 4,379 | 9.07% | Pred Maj | 22.06% | ||||
| Electorate | 66,249 | Turnout | 77.26% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 25,987 | 50.77% | 48.70% |
| ||||
| CON | 15,567 | 30.42% | 26.60% |
| ||||
| LIB | 4,720 | 9.22% | 5.33% |
| ||||
| NAT | 4,535 | 8.86% | 17.23% |
| ||||
| OTH | 372 | 0.73% | 2.15% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 10,420 | 20.36% | Pred Maj | 22.10% | ||||
| Electorate | 51,836 | Turnout | 67.21% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LIB | 18,335 | 52.63% | 44.18% |
| ||||
| LAB | 5,265 | 15.11% | 13.54% |
| ||||
| NAT | 5,263 | 15.11% | 25.66% |
| ||||
| CON | 4,260 | 12.23% | 9.89% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,715 | 4.92% | 6.72% |
| ||||
| LIB Majority | 13,070 | 37.52% | Pred Maj | 18.52% | ||||
| Electorate | 76,408 | Turnout | 61.49% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 28,566 | 60.80% | 58.73% |
| ||||
| NAT | 7,564 | 16.10% | 23.78% |
| ||||
| LIB | 5,636 | 12.00% | 6.93% |
| ||||
| CON | 4,540 | 9.66% | 7.82% |
| ||||
| OTH | 675 | 1.44% | 2.75% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 21,002 | 44.70% | Pred Maj | 34.95% | ||||
| Electorate | 66,080 | Turnout | 70.81% | Top | ||||
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes | Chance of winning | |||||
| LAB | 19,558 | 41.80% | 39.72% |
| ||||
| CON | 11,204 | 23.94% | 20.12% |
| ||||
| NAT | 8,091 | 17.29% | 27.57% |
| ||||
| LIB | 6,797 | 14.53% | 8.39% |
| ||||
| OTH | 1,141 | 2.44% | 4.19% |
| ||||
| LAB Majority | 8,354 | 17.85% | Pred Maj | 12.15% | ||||