Constituency List: England T-Z

Wolverhampton South East
Wolverhampton South West
Worcester
Worcestershire Mid
Worcestershire West
Workington
Worsley and Eccles South
Worthing East and Shoreham
Worthing West
Wrekin, The
Wycombe
Wyre and Preston North
Wyre Forest
Wythenshawe and Sale East
Yeovil
York Central
York Outer
Yorkshire East

Tamworth
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP: Christopher Pincher (CON)
Electorate: 72,693
Turnout: 63.82%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	21,238	45.78%	46.47%
LAB	15,148	32.65%	41.46%
LIB	7,516	16.20%	5.01%
OTH	2,488	5.36%	7.06%
CON Majority	6,090	13.13%	Pred Maj 5.01%

Chance of winning

CON

61.3%

LAB

38.6%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Tatton
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP: George Osborne (CON)
Electorate: 65,689
Turnout: 68.86%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	24,687	54.58%	55.43%
LIB	10,200	22.55%	8.74%
LAB	7,803	17.25%	28.12%
OTH	2,541	5.62%	7.72%
CON Majority	14,487	32.03%	Pred Maj 27.31%

Chance of winning

CON

93.5%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

6.3%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Taunton Deane
County/Area: Somerset (South West)
MP: Jeremy Browne (LIB)
Electorate: 82,537
Turnout: 70.45%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LIB	28,531	49.06%	36.71%
CON	24,538	42.20%	42.96%
LAB	2,967	5.10%	14.82%
OTH	2,114	3.64%	5.51%
LIB Majority	3,993	6.87%	Pred Maj 6.24%

Chance of winning

LIB

31.1%

CON

66.5%

LAB

2.1%

OTH

0.3%

Top

CON Gain

Telford
County/Area: Shropshire (Severn)
MP: David Wright (LAB)
Electorate: 65,061
Turnout: 63.49%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	15,974	38.67%	47.08%
CON	14,996	36.30%	36.96%
LIB	6,399	15.49%	4.79%
OTH	3,941	9.54%	11.17%
LAB Majority	978	2.37%	Pred Maj 10.13%

Chance of winning

LAB

74.5%

CON

25.2%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Tewkesbury
County/Area: Gloucestershire (West)
MP: Laurence Robertson (CON)
Electorate: 76,655
Turnout: 70.39%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	25,472	47.20%	47.96%
LIB	19,162	35.51%	23.16%
LAB	6,253	11.59%	21.31%
OTH	3,074	5.70%	7.57%
CON Majority	6,310	11.69%	Pred Maj 24.80%

Chance of winning

CON

91.3%

LIB

2.3%

LAB

6.3%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Thanet North
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP: Roger Gale (CON)
Electorate: 69,432
Turnout: 62.43%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	22,826	52.66%	53.42%
LAB	9,298	21.45%	31.13%
LIB	8,400	19.38%	7.08%
OTH	2,819	6.50%	8.37%
CON Majority	13,528	31.21%	Pred Maj 22.29%

Chance of winning

CON

89.8%

LAB

10.0%

LIB

0.1%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Thanet South
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP: Laura Sandys (CON)
Electorate: 71,596
Turnout: 64.16%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	22,043	47.99%	48.58%
LAB	14,426	31.41%	38.94%
LIB	6,935	15.10%	5.52%
OTH	2,529	5.51%	6.96%
CON Majority	7,617	16.58%	Pred Maj 9.63%

Chance of winning

CON

72.1%

LAB

27.8%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Thirsk and Malton
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Anne McIntosh (CON)
Electorate: 76,231
Turnout: 50.03%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	20,167	52.87%	53.68%
LIB	8,886	23.30%	10.11%
LAB	5,169	13.55%	23.92%
OTH	3,920	10.28%	12.28%
CON Majority	11,281	29.58%	Pred Maj 29.76%

Result shown is the actual general election which was delayed in this seat to 27 May 2010, due to the death of the UKIP candidate.

Chance of winning

CON

94.2%

LIB

0.2%

LAB

5.5%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Thornbury and Yate
County/Area: Bristol area (West)
MP: Steve Webb (LIB)
Electorate: 64,092
Turnout: 75.24%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LIB	25,032	51.91%	39.55%
CON	17,916	37.15%	37.91%
LAB	3,385	7.02%	16.74%
OTH	1,893	3.93%	5.80%
LIB Majority	7,116	14.76%	Pred Maj 1.65%

Chance of winning

LIB

53.6%

CON

43.3%

LAB

2.8%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Thurrock
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP: Jackie Doyle-Price (CON)
Electorate: 77,758
Turnout: 58.93%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	16,869	36.81%	37.25%
LAB	16,777	36.61%	42.21%
LIB	4,901	10.70%	3.59%
OTH	3,656	7.98%	9.06%
MIN	3,618	7.90%	7.90%
CON Majority	92	0.20%	Pred Maj 4.96%

Chance of winning

CON

31.0%

LAB

68.8%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

MIN

0.0%

Top

LAB Gain

Tiverton and Honiton
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Neil Parish (CON)
Electorate: 76,810
Turnout: 71.47%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	27,614	50.30%	51.06%
LIB	18,294	33.33%	20.97%
LAB	4,907	8.94%	18.66%
OTH	4,079	7.43%	9.31%
CON Majority	9,320	16.98%	Pred Maj 30.09%

Chance of winning

CON

95.4%

LIB

0.7%

LAB

3.8%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Tonbridge and Malling
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP: Sir John Stanley (CON)
Electorate: 71,790
Turnout: 71.48%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	29,723	57.92%	58.70%
LIB	11,545	22.50%	9.81%
LAB	6,476	12.62%	22.60%
OTH	3,570	6.96%	8.88%
CON Majority	18,178	35.43%	Pred Maj 36.10%

Chance of winning

CON

97.4%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

2.5%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Tooting
County/Area: Wandsworth (South London)
MP: Sadiq Khan (LAB)
Electorate: 73,836
Turnout: 68.60%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	22,038	43.51%	51.94%
CON	19,514	38.52%	39.18%
LIB	7,509	14.82%	4.10%
OTH	1,594	3.15%	4.78%
LAB Majority	2,524	4.98%	Pred Maj 12.76%

Chance of winning

LAB

80.2%

CON

19.8%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Torbay
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Adrian Sanders (LIB)
Electorate: 76,151
Turnout: 64.62%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LIB	23,126	46.99%	34.64%
CON	19,048	38.71%	39.47%
LAB	3,231	6.57%	16.28%
MIN	2,628	5.34%	5.34%
OTH	1,177	2.39%	4.27%
LIB Majority	4,078	8.29%	Pred Maj 4.82%

Chance of winning

LIB

33.9%

CON

61.7%

LAB

4.2%

MIN

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

CON Gain

Totnes
County/Area: Devon (South West)
MP: Sarah Wollaston (CON)
Electorate: 67,937
Turnout: 70.42%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	21,940	45.86%	46.62%
LIB	17,013	35.56%	23.21%
LAB	3,538	7.40%	17.11%
MIN	2,890	6.04%	6.04%
OTH	2,462	5.15%	7.02%
CON Majority	4,927	10.30%	Pred Maj 23.41%

Chance of winning

CON

92.0%

LIB

3.5%

LAB

4.3%

MIN

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Tottenham
County/Area: Haringey (North London)
MP: David Lammy (LAB)
Electorate: 69,933
Turnout: 58.18%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	24,128	59.30%	69.37%
LIB	7,197	17.69%	4.89%
CON	6,064	14.90%	15.69%
OTH	3,298	8.11%	10.05%
LAB Majority	16,931	41.61%	Pred Maj 53.68%

Chance of winning

LAB

99.9%

LIB

0.0%

CON

0.1%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Truro and Falmouth
County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP: Sarah Newton (CON)
Electorate: 70,598
Turnout: 69.08%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	20,349	41.73%	42.48%
LIB	19,914	40.83%	28.48%
LAB	4,697	9.63%	19.35%
OTH	3,808	7.81%	9.68%
CON Majority	435	0.89%	Pred Maj 14.00%

Chance of winning

CON

79.1%

LIB

11.9%

LAB

8.2%

OTH

0.8%

Top

Tunbridge Wells
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP: Greg Clark (CON)
Electorate: 72,042
Turnout: 69.85%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	28,302	56.24%	57.02%
LIB	12,726	25.29%	12.60%
LAB	5,448	10.83%	20.81%
OTH	3,844	7.64%	9.57%
CON Majority	15,576	30.95%	Pred Maj 36.21%

Chance of winning

CON

97.2%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

2.6%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Twickenham
County/Area: Richmond Upon Thames (South London)
MP: Vincent Cable (LIB)
Electorate: 79,861
Turnout: 74.78%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LIB	32,483	54.39%	39.92%
CON	20,343	34.06%	34.95%
LAB	4,583	7.67%	19.06%
OTH	2,312	3.87%	6.07%
LIB Majority	12,140	20.33%	Pred Maj 4.97%

Chance of winning

LIB

54.7%

CON

34.3%

LAB

9.6%

OTH

1.4%

Top

Tynemouth
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP: Alan Campbell (LAB)
Electorate: 75,680
Turnout: 69.59%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	23,860	45.30%	53.30%
CON	18,121	34.41%	35.03%
LIB	7,845	14.90%	4.73%
OTH	2,842	5.40%	6.94%
LAB Majority	5,739	10.90%	Pred Maj 18.27%

Chance of winning

LAB

90.0%

CON

10.0%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Tyneside North
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP: Mary Glindon (LAB)
Electorate: 77,690
Turnout: 59.73%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	23,505	50.65%	61.39%
LIB	10,621	22.89%	9.24%
CON	8,514	18.35%	19.18%
OTH	3,765	8.11%	10.19%
LAB Majority	12,884	27.76%	Pred Maj 42.21%

Chance of winning

LAB

98.9%

LIB

0.0%

CON

1.1%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Uxbridge and South Ruislip
County/Area: Hillingdon (South London)
MP: John Randall (CON)
Electorate: 71,168
Turnout: 63.34%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	21,758	48.27%	49.15%
LAB	10,542	23.39%	34.74%
LIB	8,995	19.96%	5.52%
OTH	3,781	8.39%	10.58%
CON Majority	11,216	24.88%	Pred Maj 14.41%

Chance of winning

CON

78.1%

LAB

21.5%

LIB

0.1%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Vauxhall
County/Area: Lambeth (South London)
MP: Kate Hoey (LAB)
Electorate: 74,811
Turnout: 57.73%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	21,498	49.77%	61.16%
LIB	10,847	25.11%	10.65%
CON	9,301	21.53%	22.42%
OTH	1,545	3.58%	5.78%
LAB Majority	10,651	24.66%	Pred Maj 38.73%

Chance of winning

LAB

97.7%

LIB

0.0%

CON

2.3%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Wakefield
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Mary Creagh (LAB)
Electorate: 70,834
Turnout: 62.74%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,454	39.27%	47.74%
CON	15,841	35.64%	36.30%
LIB	7,256	16.33%	5.56%
OTH	3,893	8.76%	10.39%
LAB Majority	1,613	3.63%	Pred Maj 11.44%

Chance of winning

LAB

77.1%

CON

22.7%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Wallasey
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Angela Eagle (LAB)
Electorate: 65,915
Turnout: 63.19%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	21,578	51.80%	59.26%
CON	13,071	31.38%	31.96%
LIB	5,693	13.67%	4.19%
OTH	1,312	3.15%	4.59%
LAB Majority	8,507	20.42%	Pred Maj 27.30%

Chance of winning

LAB

96.7%

CON

3.3%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Walsall North
County/Area: Black Country (West Midlands)
MP: David Winnick (LAB)
Electorate: 65,183
Turnout: 55.52%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	13,385	36.99%	44.13%
CON	12,395	34.25%	34.81%
LIB	4,754	13.14%	4.07%
MIN	2,930	8.10%	8.10%
OTH	2,723	7.52%	8.90%
LAB Majority	990	2.74%	Pred Maj 9.32%

Chance of winning

LAB

75.7%

CON

24.1%

LIB

0.0%

MIN

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Walsall South
County/Area: Black Country (West Midlands)
MP: Valerie Vaz (LAB)
Electorate: 64,830
Turnout: 63.06%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	16,211	39.65%	47.47%
CON	14,456	35.36%	35.97%
LIB	5,880	14.38%	4.45%
OTH	4,335	10.60%	12.11%
LAB Majority	1,755	4.29%	Pred Maj 11.50%

Chance of winning

LAB

77.9%

CON

21.8%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Walthamstow
County/Area: Waltham Forest (North London)
MP: Stella Creasy (LAB)
Electorate: 64,625
Turnout: 63.43%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	21,252	51.84%	63.22%
LIB	11,774	28.72%	14.25%
CON	5,734	13.99%	14.87%
OTH	2,234	5.45%	7.65%
LAB Majority	9,478	23.12%	Pred Maj 48.35%

Chance of winning

LAB

99.4%

LIB

0.0%

CON

0.6%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Wansbeck
County/Area: Northumberland (North)
MP: Ian Lavery (LAB)
Electorate: 63,045
Turnout: 60.71%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,548	45.85%	56.59%
LIB	10,517	27.48%	13.83%
CON	6,714	17.54%	18.38%
OTH	3,494	9.13%	11.20%
LAB Majority	7,031	18.37%	Pred Maj 38.21%

Chance of winning

LAB

97.2%

LIB

0.0%

CON

2.6%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Wantage
County/Area: Oxfordshire (West)
MP: Ed Vaizey (CON)
Electorate: 80,456
Turnout: 70.03%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	29,284	51.98%	52.73%
LIB	15,737	27.93%	15.58%
LAB	7,855	13.94%	23.66%
OTH	3,465	6.15%	8.03%
CON Majority	13,547	24.04%	Pred Maj 29.07%

Chance of winning

CON

94.6%

LIB

0.3%

LAB

5.0%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Warley
County/Area: Black Country (West Midlands)
MP: John Spellar (LAB)
Electorate: 63,106
Turnout: 60.64%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	20,240	52.89%	61.30%
CON	9,484	24.78%	25.44%
LIB	5,929	15.49%	4.79%
OTH	2,617	6.84%	8.46%
LAB Majority	10,756	28.11%	Pred Maj 35.87%

Chance of winning

LAB

98.6%

CON

1.4%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Warrington North
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP: Helen Jones (LAB)
Electorate: 71,601
Turnout: 61.75%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	20,135	45.54%	56.41%
CON	13,364	30.23%	31.07%
LIB	9,196	20.80%	6.99%
OTH	1,516	3.43%	5.53%
LAB Majority	6,771	15.32%	Pred Maj 25.33%

Chance of winning

LAB

92.1%

CON

7.9%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Warrington South
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP: David Mowat (CON)
Electorate: 80,506
Turnout: 68.16%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	19,641	35.79%	36.64%
LAB	18,088	32.96%	43.83%
LIB	15,094	27.51%	13.70%
OTH	2,051	3.74%	5.84%
CON Majority	1,553	2.83%	Pred Maj 7.19%

Chance of winning

CON

35.6%

LAB

63.0%

LIB

0.9%

OTH

0.5%

Top

LAB Gain

Warwick and Leamington
County/Area: Warwickshire (East Midlands)
MP: Chris White (CON)
Electorate: 67,800
Turnout: 72.32%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	20,876	42.58%	43.33%
LAB	17,363	35.41%	45.09%
LIB	8,977	18.31%	6.01%
OTH	1,816	3.70%	5.57%
CON Majority	3,513	7.16%	Pred Maj 1.75%

Chance of winning

CON

46.2%

LAB

53.6%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

LAB Gain

Warwickshire North
County/Area: Warwickshire (East Midlands)
MP: Dan Byles (CON)
Electorate: 70,143
Turnout: 67.38%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	18,993	40.18%	40.66%
LAB	18,939	40.07%	46.20%
LIB	5,481	11.60%	3.81%
OTH	3,852	8.15%	9.33%
CON Majority	54	0.11%	Pred Maj 5.54%

Chance of winning

CON

30.7%

LAB

69.2%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.1%

Top

LAB Gain

Washington and Sunderland West
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP: Sharon Hodgson (LAB)
Electorate: 68,910
Turnout: 54.18%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	19,615	52.54%	61.72%
CON	8,157	21.85%	22.56%
LIB	6,382	17.09%	5.43%
OTH	3,180	8.52%	10.29%
LAB Majority	11,458	30.69%	Pred Maj 39.15%

Chance of winning

LAB

98.9%

CON

1.1%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Watford
County/Area: Hertfordshire (Essex)
MP: Richard Harrington (CON)
Electorate: 80,798
Turnout: 68.33%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	19,291	34.94%	35.76%
LIB	17,866	32.36%	19.07%
LAB	14,750	26.72%	37.17%
OTH	3,301	5.98%	8.00%
CON Majority	1,425	2.58%	Pred Maj 1.42%

Chance of winning

CON

44.3%

LIB

3.4%

LAB

51.7%

OTH

0.6%

Top

LAB Gain

Waveney
County/Area: Suffolk (East Anglia)
MP: Peter Aldous (CON)
Electorate: 78,532
Turnout: 65.12%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	20,571	40.22%	40.77%
LAB	19,802	38.72%	45.68%
LIB	6,811	13.32%	4.47%
OTH	3,957	7.74%	9.08%
CON Majority	769	1.50%	Pred Maj 4.92%

Chance of winning

CON

34.6%

LAB

65.2%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

LAB Gain

Wealden
County/Area: East Sussex (South East)
MP: Charles Hendry (CON)
Electorate: 76,537
Turnout: 71.82%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	31,090	56.56%	57.34%
LIB	13,911	25.31%	12.62%
LAB	5,266	9.58%	19.56%
OTH	4,702	8.55%	10.48%
CON Majority	17,179	31.25%	Pred Maj 37.77%

Chance of winning

CON

97.7%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

2.1%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Weaver Vale
County/Area: Cheshire (Severn)
MP: Graham Evans (CON)
Electorate: 66,538
Turnout: 66.11%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	16,953	38.54%	39.33%
LAB	15,962	36.29%	46.41%
LIB	8,196	18.63%	5.77%
OTH	2,879	6.54%	8.50%
CON Majority	991	2.25%	Pred Maj 7.08%

Chance of winning

CON

35.1%

LAB

64.6%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.3%

Top

LAB Gain

Wellingborough
County/Area: Northamptonshire (East Anglia)
MP: Peter Bone (CON)
Electorate: 76,857
Turnout: 67.22%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	24,918	48.23%	48.93%
LAB	13,131	25.42%	34.37%
LIB	8,848	17.13%	5.74%
OTH	4,764	9.22%	10.95%
CON Majority	11,787	22.82%	Pred Maj 14.56%

Chance of winning

CON

79.9%

LAB

20.0%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Wells
County/Area: Somerset (South West)
MP: Tessa Munt (LIB)
Electorate: 79,432
Turnout: 70.33%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LIB	24,560	43.96%	31.61%
CON	23,760	42.53%	43.29%
LAB	4,198	7.51%	17.23%
OTH	3,346	5.99%	7.87%
LIB Majority	800	1.43%	Pred Maj 11.68%

Chance of winning

LIB

16.7%

CON

77.5%

LAB

5.3%

OTH

0.5%

Top

CON Gain

Welwyn Hatfield
County/Area: Hertfordshire (Essex)
MP: Grant Shapps (CON)
Electorate: 72,058
Turnout: 67.96%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	27,894	56.96%	57.63%
LAB	10,471	21.38%	29.93%
LIB	8,010	16.36%	5.49%
OTH	2,597	5.30%	6.95%
CON Majority	17,423	35.58%	Pred Maj 27.69%

Chance of winning

CON

95.2%

LAB

4.8%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Wentworth and Dearne
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP: John Healey (LAB)
Electorate: 72,586
Turnout: 58.01%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	21,316	50.62%	58.98%
CON	7,396	17.57%	18.22%
LIB	6,787	16.12%	5.49%
OTH	6,607	15.69%	17.31%
LAB Majority	13,920	33.06%	Pred Maj 40.77%

Chance of winning

LAB

99.2%

CON

0.8%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

West Bromwich East
County/Area: Black Country (West Midlands)
MP: Tom Watson (LAB)
Electorate: 62,824
Turnout: 60.41%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,657	46.53%	53.67%
CON	10,961	28.88%	29.44%
LIB	4,993	13.16%	4.07%
OTH	4,339	11.43%	12.81%
LAB Majority	6,696	17.64%	Pred Maj 24.23%

Chance of winning

LAB

94.8%

CON

5.2%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

West Bromwich West
County/Area: Black Country (West Midlands)
MP: Adrian Bailey (LAB)
Electorate: 65,013
Turnout: 55.64%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	16,263	44.96%	51.47%
CON	10,612	29.34%	29.85%
LIB	4,336	11.99%	3.71%
MIN	3,394	9.38%	9.38%
OTH	1,566	4.33%	5.59%
LAB Majority	5,651	15.62%	Pred Maj 21.63%

Chance of winning

LAB

95.1%

CON

4.9%

LIB

0.0%

MIN

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

West Ham
County/Area: Newham (North London)
MP: Lyn Brown (LAB)
Electorate: 85,313
Turnout: 55.03%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	29,422	62.67%	69.20%
CON	6,888	14.67%	15.18%
LIB	5,392	11.48%	3.18%
OTH	5,249	11.18%	12.44%
LAB Majority	22,534	47.99%	Pred Maj 54.02%

Chance of winning

LAB

100.0%

CON

0.0%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Westminster North
County/Area: City of Westminster (North London)
MP: Karen Buck (LAB)
Electorate: 66,739
Turnout: 59.33%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,377	43.88%	51.81%
CON	15,251	38.51%	39.13%
LIB	5,513	13.92%	3.85%
OTH	1,457	3.68%	5.21%
LAB Majority	2,126	5.37%	Pred Maj 12.67%

Chance of winning

LAB

81.2%

CON

18.8%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Westmorland and Lonsdale
County/Area: Cumbria (North)
MP: Tim Farron (LIB)
Electorate: 67,881
Turnout: 75.85%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LIB	30,896	60.01%	46.36%
CON	18,632	36.19%	37.02%
LAB	1,158	2.25%	12.99%
OTH	801	1.56%	3.63%
LIB Majority	12,264	23.82%	Pred Maj 9.33%

Chance of winning

LIB

71.0%

CON

25.4%

LAB

2.9%

OTH

0.7%

Top

Weston-Super-Mare
County/Area: Bristol area (West)
MP: John Penrose (CON)
Electorate: 78,487
Turnout: 67.17%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	23,356	44.31%	45.06%
LIB	20,665	39.20%	26.85%
LAB	5,772	10.95%	20.67%
OTH	2,923	5.54%	7.42%
CON Majority	2,691	5.10%	Pred Maj 18.21%

Chance of winning

CON

85.7%

LIB

6.6%

LAB

7.4%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Wigan
County/Area: Western Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Lisa Nandy (LAB)
Electorate: 75,564
Turnout: 58.41%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	21,404	48.49%	56.89%
CON	10,917	24.73%	25.39%
LIB	6,797	15.40%	4.72%
OTH	5,022	11.38%	13.00%
LAB Majority	10,487	23.76%	Pred Maj 31.50%

Chance of winning

LAB

96.7%

CON

3.2%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Wiltshire North
County/Area: Wiltshire (West)
MP: James Gray (CON)
Electorate: 66,313
Turnout: 73.44%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	25,114	51.57%	52.33%
LIB	17,631	36.20%	23.85%
LAB	3,239	6.65%	16.37%
OTH	2,715	5.58%	7.45%
CON Majority	7,483	15.37%	Pred Maj 28.47%

Chance of winning

CON

96.0%

LIB

1.3%

LAB

2.6%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Wiltshire South West
County/Area: Wiltshire (West)
MP: Andrew Murrison (CON)
Electorate: 71,645
Turnout: 68.42%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	25,321	51.66%	52.41%
LIB	14,954	30.51%	18.16%
LAB	5,613	11.45%	21.17%
OTH	3,130	6.39%	8.26%
CON Majority	10,367	21.15%	Pred Maj 31.25%

Chance of winning

CON

95.6%

LIB

0.3%

LAB

4.0%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Wimbledon
County/Area: Merton (South London)
MP: Stephen Hammond (CON)
Electorate: 65,723
Turnout: 72.11%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	23,257	49.07%	49.96%
LIB	11,849	25.00%	10.53%
LAB	10,550	22.26%	33.64%
OTH	1,739	3.67%	5.87%
CON Majority	11,408	24.07%	Pred Maj 16.32%

Chance of winning

CON

82.0%

LIB

0.3%

LAB

17.6%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Winchester
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Steve Brine (CON)
Electorate: 73,806
Turnout: 75.81%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	27,155	48.53%	49.31%
LIB	24,107	43.08%	30.39%
LAB	3,051	5.45%	15.44%
OTH	1,642	2.93%	4.86%
CON Majority	3,048	5.45%	Pred Maj 18.91%

Chance of winning

CON

90.2%

LIB

7.1%

LAB

2.6%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Windsor
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP: Adam Afriyie (CON)
Electorate: 69,511
Turnout: 71.34%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	30,172	60.85%	61.62%
LIB	11,118	22.42%	9.73%
LAB	4,910	9.90%	19.88%
OTH	3,388	6.83%	8.76%
CON Majority	19,054	38.42%	Pred Maj 41.74%

Chance of winning

CON

99.2%

LIB

0.0%

LAB

0.8%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Wirral South
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Alison McGovern (LAB)
Electorate: 56,099
Turnout: 71.13%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	16,276	40.79%	49.82%
CON	15,745	39.46%	40.16%
LIB	6,611	16.57%	5.08%
OTH	1,274	3.19%	4.94%
LAB Majority	531	1.33%	Pred Maj 9.66%

Chance of winning

LAB

73.2%

CON

26.7%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Wirral West
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Esther McVey (CON)
Electorate: 55,050
Turnout: 71.52%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	16,726	42.48%	43.20%
LAB	14,290	36.29%	45.48%
LIB	6,630	16.84%	5.16%
OTH	1,726	4.38%	6.16%
CON Majority	2,436	6.19%	Pred Maj 2.28%

Chance of winning

CON

44.2%

LAB

55.6%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

LAB Gain

Witham
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP: Priti Patel (CON)
Electorate: 66,750
Turnout: 70.16%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	24,448	52.20%	53.01%
LIB	9,252	19.75%	6.63%
LAB	8,656	18.48%	28.81%
OTH	4,479	9.56%	11.56%
CON Majority	15,196	32.45%	Pred Maj 24.19%

Chance of winning

CON

91.0%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

8.8%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Witney
County/Area: Oxfordshire (West)
MP: David Cameron (CON)
Electorate: 78,766
Turnout: 73.34%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	33,973	58.81%	59.54%
LIB	11,233	19.44%	7.44%
LAB	7,511	13.00%	22.45%
OTH	5,052	8.75%	10.57%
CON Majority	22,740	39.36%	Pred Maj 37.10%

Chance of winning

CON

97.4%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

2.5%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Woking
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP: Jonathan Lord (CON)
Electorate: 73,838
Turnout: 71.49%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	26,551	50.30%	51.08%
LIB	19,744	37.40%	24.72%
LAB	4,246	8.04%	18.03%
OTH	2,245	4.25%	6.18%
CON Majority	6,807	12.90%	Pred Maj 26.36%

Chance of winning

CON

94.8%

LIB

1.9%

LAB

3.2%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Wokingham
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP: John Redwood (CON)
Electorate: 76,219
Turnout: 71.54%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	28,754	52.73%	53.51%
LIB	15,262	27.99%	15.30%
LAB	5,516	10.12%	20.10%
OTH	4,996	9.16%	11.09%
CON Majority	13,492	24.74%	Pred Maj 33.41%

Chance of winning

CON

96.0%

LIB

0.3%

LAB

3.6%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Wolverhampton North East
County/Area: Black Country (West Midlands)
MP: Emma Reynolds (LAB)
Electorate: 59,324
Turnout: 58.82%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	14,448	41.41%	48.74%
CON	11,964	34.29%	34.86%
LIB	4,711	13.50%	4.18%
OTH	3,771	10.81%	12.22%
LAB Majority	2,484	7.12%	Pred Maj 13.88%

Chance of winning

LAB

83.4%

CON

16.4%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Wolverhampton South East
County/Area: Black Country (West Midlands)
MP: Pat McFadden (LAB)
Electorate: 60,450
Turnout: 57.41%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	16,505	47.56%	55.81%
CON	9,912	28.56%	29.20%
LIB	5,277	15.20%	4.71%
OTH	3,013	8.68%	10.28%
LAB Majority	6,593	19.00%	Pred Maj 26.61%

Chance of winning

LAB

95.2%

CON

4.8%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Wolverhampton South West
County/Area: Black Country (West Midlands)
MP: Paul Uppal (CON)
Electorate: 59,160
Turnout: 67.88%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	16,344	40.70%	41.38%
LAB	15,653	38.98%	47.67%
LIB	6,430	16.01%	4.96%
OTH	1,733	4.32%	5.99%
CON Majority	691	1.72%	Pred Maj 6.30%

Chance of winning

CON

34.4%

LAB

65.4%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

LAB Gain

Worcester
County/Area: Hereford and Worcestershire (Severn)
MP: Robin Walker (CON)
Electorate: 72,831
Turnout: 67.24%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	19,358	39.53%	40.35%
LAB	16,376	33.44%	44.00%
LIB	9,525	19.45%	6.02%
OTH	3,715	7.59%	9.63%
CON Majority	2,982	6.09%	Pred Maj 3.65%

Chance of winning

CON

42.2%

LAB

57.3%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.5%

Top

LAB Gain

Worcestershire Mid
County/Area: Hereford and Worcestershire (Severn)
MP: Peter Luff (CON)
Electorate: 72,171
Turnout: 70.57%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	27,770	54.52%	55.37%
LIB	11,906	23.38%	9.57%
LAB	7,613	14.95%	25.81%
OTH	3,642	7.15%	9.25%
CON Majority	15,864	31.15%	Pred Maj 29.56%

Chance of winning

CON

94.7%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

5.1%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Worcestershire West
County/Area: Hereford and Worcestershire (Severn)
MP: Harriett Baldwin (CON)
Electorate: 73,270
Turnout: 73.83%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	27,213	50.31%	51.15%
LIB	20,459	37.82%	24.01%
LAB	3,661	6.77%	17.63%
OTH	2,760	5.10%	7.20%
CON Majority	6,754	12.49%	Pred Maj 27.14%

Chance of winning

CON

93.1%

LIB

2.1%

LAB

4.5%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Workington
County/Area: Cumbria (North)
MP: Tony Cunningham (LAB)
Electorate: 59,607
Turnout: 65.86%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,865	45.51%	52.78%
CON	13,290	33.85%	34.42%
LIB	5,318	13.55%	4.30%
OTH	2,786	7.10%	8.50%
LAB Majority	4,575	11.65%	Pred Maj 18.36%

Chance of winning

LAB

91.1%

CON

8.9%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.0%

Top

Worsley and Eccles South
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Barbara Keeley (LAB)
Electorate: 72,473
Turnout: 57.54%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,892	42.91%	51.91%
CON	13,555	32.51%	33.21%
LIB	6,883	16.51%	5.06%
OTH	3,371	8.08%	9.82%
LAB Majority	4,337	10.40%	Pred Maj 18.70%

Chance of winning

LAB

87.7%

CON

12.1%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Worthing East and Shoreham
County/Area: West Sussex (South East)
MP: Tim Loughton (CON)
Electorate: 74,001
Turnout: 65.40%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	23,458	48.47%	49.25%
LIB	12,353	25.52%	12.84%
LAB	8,087	16.71%	26.69%
OTH	4,499	9.30%	11.22%
CON Majority	11,105	22.95%	Pred Maj 22.56%

Chance of winning

CON

89.2%

LIB

0.3%

LAB

10.2%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Worthing West
County/Area: West Sussex (South East)
MP: Peter Bottomley (CON)
Electorate: 75,945
Turnout: 64.68%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	25,416	51.74%	52.52%
LIB	13,687	27.86%	15.17%
LAB	5,800	11.81%	21.79%
OTH	4,220	8.59%	10.52%
CON Majority	11,729	23.88%	Pred Maj 30.73%

Chance of winning

CON

95.3%

LIB

0.3%

LAB

4.3%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Wrekin, The
County/Area: Shropshire (Severn)
MP: Mark Pritchard (CON)
Electorate: 65,544
Turnout: 70.13%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	21,922	47.69%	48.43%
LAB	12,472	27.13%	36.61%
LIB	8,019	17.44%	5.40%
OTH	3,555	7.73%	9.56%
CON Majority	9,450	20.56%	Pred Maj 11.82%

Chance of winning

CON

75.5%

LAB

24.4%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Wycombe
County/Area: Buckinghamshire (Essex)
MP: Steven Baker (CON)
Electorate: 74,502
Turnout: 64.63%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	23,423	48.64%	49.46%
LIB	13,863	28.79%	15.50%
LAB	8,326	17.29%	27.75%
OTH	2,539	5.27%	7.29%
CON Majority	9,560	19.85%	Pred Maj 21.71%

Chance of winning

CON

89.5%

LIB

0.3%

LAB

10.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Wyre and Preston North
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Ben Wallace (CON)
Electorate: 71,201
Turnout: 72.06%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	26,877	52.38%	53.23%
LIB	11,033	21.50%	7.64%
LAB	10,932	21.31%	32.22%
OTH	2,466	4.81%	6.91%
CON Majority	15,844	30.88%	Pred Maj 21.02%

Chance of winning

CON

87.0%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

12.8%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Wyre Forest
County/Area: Hereford and Worcestershire (Severn)
MP: Mark Garnier (CON)
Electorate: 76,711
Turnout: 66.35%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	18,793	36.92%	37.42%
MIN	16,150	31.73%	31.73%
LAB	7,298	14.34%	20.78%
LIB	6,040	11.87%	3.67%
OTH	2,618	5.14%	6.39%
CON Majority	2,643	5.19%	Pred Maj 5.70%

Chance of winning

CON

70.6%

MIN

20.3%

LAB

9.0%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.1%

Top

Wythenshawe and Sale East
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Paul Goggins (LAB)
Electorate: 79,923
Turnout: 50.99%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	17,987	44.14%	55.05%
CON	10,412	25.55%	26.40%
LIB	9,107	22.35%	8.48%
OTH	3,245	7.96%	10.07%
LAB Majority	7,575	18.59%	Pred Maj 28.65%

Chance of winning

LAB

93.5%

CON

6.3%

LIB

0.0%

OTH

0.2%

Top

Yeovil
County/Area: Somerset (South West)
MP: David Laws (LIB)
Electorate: 82,314
Turnout: 69.44%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LIB	31,843	55.71%	43.36%
CON	18,807	32.90%	33.66%
LAB	2,991	5.23%	14.95%
MIN	2,357	4.12%	4.12%
OTH	1,162	2.03%	3.91%
LIB Majority	13,036	22.81%	Pred Maj 9.70%

Chance of winning

LIB

78.2%

CON

20.4%

LAB

1.3%

MIN

0.0%

OTH

0.1%

Top

York Central
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Hugh Bayley (LAB)
Electorate: 74,908
Turnout: 62.05%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
LAB	18,573	39.96%	50.33%
CON	12,122	26.08%	26.89%
LIB	11,694	25.16%	11.97%
OTH	4,094	8.81%	10.81%
LAB Majority	6,451	13.88%	Pred Maj 23.44%

Chance of winning

LAB

89.4%

CON

9.9%

LIB

0.2%

OTH

0.5%

Top

York Outer
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Julian Sturdy (CON)
Electorate: 74,965
Turnout: 71.10%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	22,912	42.99%	43.80%
LIB	19,224	36.07%	22.88%
LAB	9,108	17.09%	27.46%
OTH	2,056	3.86%	5.86%
CON Majority	3,688	6.92%	Pred Maj 16.34%

Chance of winning

CON

78.9%

LIB

4.1%

LAB

16.7%

OTH

0.3%

Top

Yorkshire East
County/Area: Humber area (Humberside)
MP: Greg Knight (CON)
Electorate: 80,342
Turnout: 63.79%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	24,328	47.47%	48.27%
LIB	10,842	21.15%	7.97%
LAB	10,401	20.29%	30.66%
OTH	5,683	11.09%	13.09%
CON Majority	13,486	26.31%	Pred Maj 17.61%

Chance of winning

CON

83.3%

LIB

0.1%

LAB

16.3%

OTH

0.3%

Top