Constituency List: Wales

Aberavon	Cardiff South and Penarth	Gower	Pontypridd
Aberconwy	Cardiff West	Islwyn	Preseli Pembrokeshire
Alyn and Deeside	Carmarthen East and Dinefwr	Llanelli	Rhondda
Arfon	Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South	Merthyr Tydfil And Rhymney	Swansea East
Blaenau Gwent	Ceredigion	Monmouth	Swansea West
Brecon and Radnorshire	Clwyd South	Montgomeryshire	Torfaen
Bridgend	Clwyd West	Neath	Vale of Clwyd
Caerphilly	Cynon Valley	Newport East	Vale of Glamorgan
Cardiff Central	Delyn	Newport West	Wrexham
Cardiff North	Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Ogmore	Ynys Mon

Aberavon
Region: Wales
MP Hywel Francis (LAB)

Electorate	51,080	Turnout	58.94%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	18,077	60.05%		51.35%
LIB	4,140	13.75%		10.60%
NAT	3,545	11.78%		11.78%
CON	3,064	10.18%		17.89%
OTH	1,278	4.25%		8.38%
LAB Majority	13,937	46.30%	Pred Maj	33.46%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Aberconwy
Region: Wales
MP Betty Williams (LAB)

Electorate	43,231	Turnout	62.24%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	8,852	32.90%		24.20%
CON	7,927	29.46%		38.11%
LIB	5,582	20.74%		16.15%
NAT	3,336	12.40%		12.40%
OTH	1,212	4.50%		9.14%
LAB Majority	925	3.44%	Pred Maj	13.90%	CON Gain
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Alyn and Deeside
Region: Wales
MP Mark Tami (LAB)

Electorate	58,939	Turnout	60.22%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	17,331	48.83%		40.13%
CON	8,953	25.22%		33.48%
LIB	6,174	17.39%		13.40%
OTH	1,718	4.84%		9.27%
NAT	1,320	3.72%		3.72%
LAB Majority	8,378	23.60%	Pred Maj	6.65%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Arfon
Region: Wales
MP Unknown (changed seat) (LAB)

Electorate	42,307	Turnout	61.18%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	9,223	35.63%		26.94%
NAT	8,967	34.64%		34.64%
CON	3,897	15.06%		22.57%
LIB	3,214	12.42%		9.57%
OTH	583	2.25%		6.28%
LAB Majority	256	0.99%	Pred Maj	7.71%	NAT Gain
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Blaenau Gwent
Region: Wales
MP Peter Law (MIN)

Electorate	53,301	Turnout	66.14%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
MIN	20,505	58.17%		58.17%
LAB	11,384	32.29%		23.60%
LIB	1,511	4.29%		3.30%
NAT	843	2.39%		2.39%
CON	816	2.31%		8.61%
OTH	192	0.54%		3.92%
MIN Majority	9,121	25.87%	Pred Maj	34.57%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Comment: Result shown is as at 5 May 2005, before the death of Peter Law in April 2006. Dai Davies (Ind) held the seat at the by-election on 29 June 2006.

Brecon and Radnorshire
Region: Wales
MP Roger Williams (LIB)

Electorate	55,171	Turnout	69.49%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LIB	17,182	44.81%		40.22%
CON	13,277	34.63%		41.86%
LAB	5,755	15.01%		8.48%
NAT	1,404	3.66%		3.66%
OTH	723	1.89%		5.76%
LIB Majority	3,905	10.18%	Pred Maj	1.64%	CON Gain
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Bridgend
Region: Wales
MP Madeleine Moon (LAB)

Electorate	58,178	Turnout	59.21%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	14,893	43.23%		34.54%
CON	8,862	25.72%		34.37%
LIB	7,703	22.36%		17.77%
NAT	2,136	6.20%		6.20%
OTH	855	2.48%		7.12%
LAB Majority	6,031	17.51%	Pred Maj	0.17%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Caerphilly
Region: Wales
MP Wayne David (LAB)

Electorate	62,496	Turnout	58.61%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	20,273	55.35%		46.66%
NAT	6,530	17.83%		17.83%
CON	5,489	14.99%		22.17%
LIB	3,727	10.18%		7.84%
OTH	607	1.66%		5.51%
LAB Majority	13,743	37.52%	Pred Maj	24.49%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cardiff Central
Region: Wales
MP Jenny Willott (LIB)

Electorate	61,001	Turnout	59.23%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LIB	17,991	49.79%		45.20%
LAB	12,398	34.31%		25.62%
CON	3,339	9.24%		17.89%
NAT	1,271	3.52%		3.52%
OTH	1,133	3.14%		7.77%
LIB Majority	5,593	15.48%	Pred Maj	19.58%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cardiff North
Region: Wales
MP Julie Morgan (LAB)

Electorate	64,341	Turnout	70.50%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	17,707	39.04%		30.34%
CON	16,561	36.51%		44.96%
LIB	8,483	18.70%		14.41%
NAT	1,936	4.27%		4.27%
OTH	673	1.48%		6.02%
LAB Majority	1,146	2.53%	Pred Maj	14.62%	CON Gain
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cardiff South and Penarth
Region: Wales
MP Alun Michael (LAB)

Electorate	68,997	Turnout	56.92%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	18,111	46.11%		37.42%
CON	9,349	23.80%		32.44%
LIB	7,816	19.90%		15.33%
NAT	2,057	5.24%		5.24%
OTH	1,942	4.94%		9.57%
LAB Majority	8,762	22.31%	Pred Maj	4.98%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cardiff West
Region: Wales
MP Kevin Brennan (LAB)

Electorate	64,976	Turnout	58.00%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	16,597	44.04%		35.35%
CON	8,739	23.19%		31.52%
LIB	6,732	17.86%		13.76%
NAT	4,724	12.54%		12.54%
OTH	894	2.37%		6.84%
LAB Majority	7,858	20.85%	Pred Maj	3.83%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
Region: Wales
MP Adam Price (NAT)

Electorate	52,154	Turnout	71.59%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
NAT	17,318	46.38%		46.38%
LAB	10,677	28.59%		19.90%
CON	4,960	13.28%		20.35%
LIB	3,508	9.40%		7.24%
OTH	876	2.35%		6.13%
NAT Majority	6,641	17.79%	Pred Maj	26.03%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South
Region: Wales
MP Nick Ainger (LAB)

Electorate	56,984	Turnout	67.42%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	14,037	36.54%		27.84%
CON	12,186	31.72%		39.55%
NAT	5,677	14.78%		14.78%
LIB	5,584	14.53%		11.20%
OTH	934	2.43%		6.63%
LAB Majority	1,851	4.82%	Pred Maj	11.71%	CON Gain
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Ceredigion
Region: Wales
MP Mark Williams (LIB)

Electorate	53,144	Turnout	67.20%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LIB	13,075	36.61%		32.02%
NAT	12,830	35.93%		35.93%
CON	4,409	12.35%		18.74%
LAB	4,297	12.03%		6.80%
OTH	1,102	3.09%		6.51%
LIB Majority	245	0.69%	Pred Maj	3.90%	NAT Gain
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Clwyd South
Region: Wales
MP Martyn Jones (LAB)

Electorate	49,768	Turnout	62.90%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	14,416	46.05%		37.36%
CON	8,039	25.68%		33.59%
LIB	4,719	15.07%		11.62%
NAT	2,774	8.86%		8.86%
OTH	1,357	4.33%		8.58%
LAB Majority	6,377	20.37%	Pred Maj	3.76%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Clwyd West
Region: Wales
MP David Jones (CON)

Electorate	56,371	Turnout	63.98%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
CON	12,917	35.81%		43.52%
LAB	12,775	35.42%		26.73%
LIB	4,947	13.72%		10.57%
NAT	4,099	11.36%		11.36%
OTH	1,329	3.68%		7.82%
CON Majority	142	0.39%	Pred Maj	16.80%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cynon Valley
Region: Wales
MP Ann Clwyd (LAB)

Electorate	49,354	Turnout	58.91%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	18,295	62.93%		54.23%
NAT	3,938	13.55%		13.55%
LIB	3,767	12.96%		9.98%
CON	2,240	7.70%		15.30%
OTH	833	2.87%		6.94%
LAB Majority	14,357	49.38%	Pred Maj	38.93%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Delyn
Region: Wales
MP David Hanson (LAB)

Electorate	52,766	Turnout	64.44%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	15,540	45.70%		37.01%
CON	8,896	26.16%		34.50%
LIB	6,089	17.91%		13.80%
NAT	2,524	7.42%		7.42%
OTH	955	2.81%		7.28%
LAB Majority	6,644	19.54%	Pred Maj	2.51%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Dwyfor Meirionnydd
Region: Wales
MP Elfyn Llwyd (NAT)

Electorate	48,286	Turnout	61.10%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
NAT	14,771	50.06%		50.06%
LAB	5,925	20.08%		11.39%
CON	4,459	15.11%		22.61%
LIB	3,627	12.29%		9.47%
OTH	722	2.45%		6.47%
NAT Majority	8,846	29.98%	Pred Maj	27.46%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Gower
Region: Wales
MP Martin Caton (LAB)

Electorate	60,936	Turnout	64.90%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	16,790	42.45%		33.76%
CON	10,084	25.50%		33.91%
LIB	7,292	18.44%		14.21%
NAT	3,090	7.81%		7.81%
OTH	2,293	5.80%		10.31%
LAB Majority	6,706	16.96%	Pred Maj	0.15%	CON Gain
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Islwyn
Region: Wales
MP Don Touhig (LAB)

Electorate	55,038	Turnout	60.81%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	21,604	64.55%		55.86%
NAT	4,248	12.69%		12.69%
LIB	4,007	11.97%		9.23%
CON	3,580	10.70%		18.14%
OTH	29	0.09%		4.08%
LAB Majority	17,356	51.86%	Pred Maj	37.71%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Llanelli
Region: Wales
MP Nia Griffith (LAB)

Electorate	55,678	Turnout	63.48%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	16,592	46.94%		38.25%
NAT	9,358	26.48%		26.48%
CON	4,844	13.71%		21.29%
LIB	4,550	12.87%		9.92%
OTH	0	0.00%		4.07%
LAB Majority	7,234	20.47%	Pred Maj	11.77%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Merthyr Tydfil And Rhymney
Region: Wales
MP Dai Havard (LAB)

Electorate	54,579	Turnout	54.92%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	18,129	60.48%		51.78%
LIB	4,195	13.99%		10.78%
NAT	2,972	9.91%		9.91%
CON	2,680	8.94%		16.69%
OTH	2,000	6.67%		10.83%
LAB Majority	13,934	46.48%	Pred Maj	35.09%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Monmouth
Region: Wales
MP David Davies (CON)

Electorate	63,093	Turnout	72.36%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
CON	21,396	46.87%		54.44%
LAB	16,869	36.95%		28.26%
LIB	5,852	12.82%		9.88%
NAT	993	2.18%		2.18%
OTH	543	1.19%		5.25%
CON Majority	4,527	9.92%	Pred Maj	26.18%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Montgomeryshire
Region: Wales
MP Lembit Opik (LIB)

Electorate	48,086	Turnout	64.32%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LIB	15,575	50.36%		45.77%
CON	8,489	27.45%		33.88%
LAB	3,759	12.15%		6.87%
NAT	2,134	6.90%		6.90%
OTH	970	3.14%		6.58%
LIB Majority	7,086	22.91%	Pred Maj	11.90%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Neath
Region: Wales
MP Peter Hain (LAB)

Electorate	57,596	Turnout	62.17%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	18,831	52.59%		43.89%
NAT	6,124	17.10%		17.10%
LIB	5,111	14.27%		11.00%
CON	4,135	11.55%		19.34%
OTH	1,609	4.49%		8.67%
LAB Majority	12,707	35.48%	Pred Maj	24.55%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Newport East
Region: Wales
MP Jessica Morden (LAB)

Electorate	54,956	Turnout	57.91%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	14,389	45.21%		36.52%
LIB	7,551	23.73%		19.14%
CON	7,459	23.44%		32.08%
NAT	1,221	3.84%		3.84%
OTH	1,205	3.79%		8.42%
LAB Majority	6,838	21.49%	Pred Maj	4.43%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Newport West
Region: Wales
MP Paul Flynn (LAB)

Electorate	60,287	Turnout	59.27%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	16,021	44.84%		36.14%
CON	10,563	29.56%		37.90%
LIB	6,398	17.91%		13.80%
OTH	1,472	4.12%		8.59%
NAT	1,278	3.58%		3.58%
LAB Majority	5,458	15.27%	Pred Maj	1.75%	CON Gain
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Ogmore
Region: Wales
MP Huw Irranca-Davies (LAB)

Electorate	55,231	Turnout	57.91%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	19,406	60.67%		51.98%
LIB	4,592	14.36%		11.06%
CON	4,404	13.77%		21.57%
NAT	3,414	10.67%		10.67%
OTH	169	0.53%		4.71%
LAB Majority	14,814	46.32%	Pred Maj	30.40%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Pontypridd
Region: Wales
MP Kim Howells (LAB)

Electorate	55,960	Turnout	60.90%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	18,830	55.25%		46.55%
LIB	6,279	18.42%		14.20%
CON	3,966	11.64%		20.05%
NAT	3,889	11.41%		11.41%
OTH	1,118	3.28%		7.79%
LAB Majority	12,551	36.83%	Pred Maj	26.51%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Preseli Pembrokeshire
Region: Wales
MP Stephen Crabb (CON)

Electorate	56,443	Turnout	69.49%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
CON	14,283	36.42%		44.00%
LAB	13,622	34.73%		26.04%
LIB	5,045	12.86%		9.91%
NAT	4,981	12.70%		12.70%
OTH	1,289	3.29%		7.35%
CON Majority	661	1.69%	Pred Maj	17.96%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Rhondda
Region: Wales
MP Chris Bryant (LAB)

Electorate	51,041	Turnout	61.03%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	21,198	68.06%		59.36%
NAT	4,956	15.91%		15.91%
LIB	3,264	10.48%		8.07%
CON	1,730	5.55%		12.78%
OTH	0	0.00%		3.87%
LAB Majority	16,242	52.14%	Pred Maj	43.45%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Swansea East
Region: Wales
MP Sian James (LAB)

Electorate	58,813	Turnout	52.43%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	17,457	56.62%		47.92%
LIB	6,208	20.13%		15.54%
CON	3,103	10.06%		18.71%
NAT	2,129	6.90%		6.90%
OTH	1,937	6.28%		10.92%
LAB Majority	11,249	36.48%	Pred Maj	29.21%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Swansea West
Region: Wales
MP Alan Williams (LAB)

Electorate	57,946	Turnout	57.10%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	13,833	41.81%		33.11%
LIB	9,564	28.91%		24.32%
CON	5,285	15.97%		24.62%
NAT	2,150	6.50%		6.50%
OTH	1,516	4.58%		9.22%
MIN	738	2.23%		2.23%
LAB Majority	4,269	12.90%	Pred Maj	8.49%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Torfaen
Region: Wales
MP Paul Murphy (LAB)

Electorate	60,669	Turnout	59.30%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	20,472	56.90%		48.21%
CON	5,681	15.79%		23.81%
LIB	5,678	15.78%		12.16%
NAT	2,242	6.23%		6.23%
MIN	1,145	3.18%		3.18%
OTH	761	2.12%		6.41%
LAB Majority	14,791	41.11%	Pred Maj	24.40%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Vale of Clwyd
Region: Wales
MP Chris Ruane (LAB)

Electorate	52,518	Turnout	62.18%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	14,962	45.82%		37.12%
CON	10,376	31.77%		39.18%
LIB	3,826	11.72%		9.03%
NAT	2,366	7.25%		7.25%
OTH	1,126	3.45%		7.42%
LAB Majority	4,586	14.04%	Pred Maj	2.06%	CON Gain
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Vale of Glamorgan
Region: Wales
MP John Smith (LAB)

Electorate	68,246	Turnout	68.52%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	19,320	41.32%		32.62%
CON	17,397	37.20%		44.81%
LIB	6,099	13.04%		10.05%
NAT	2,515	5.38%		5.38%
OTH	1,430	3.06%		7.14%
LAB Majority	1,923	4.11%	Pred Maj	12.19%	CON Gain
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Wrexham
Region: Wales
MP Ian Lucas (LAB)

Electorate	48,016	Turnout	63.28%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	13,993	46.05%		37.36%
LIB	7,174	23.61%		19.02%
CON	6,079	20.01%		28.65%
NAT	1,744	5.74%		5.74%
OTH	1,395	4.59%		9.23%
LAB Majority	6,819	22.44%	Pred Maj	8.70%
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Ynys Mon
Region: Wales
MP Albert Owen (LAB)

Electorate	52,512	Turnout	67.53%	Top
	2005 Votes	2005 Share	Prediction
LAB	12,278	34.62%		25.93%
NAT	11,036	31.12%		31.12%
MIN	5,216	14.71%		14.71%
CON	3,915	11.04%		17.72%
LIB	2,418	6.82%		5.25%
OTH	599	1.69%		5.27%
LAB Majority	1,242	3.50%	Pred Maj	5.19%	NAT Gain
Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations