Constituency List: Wales


Aberavon
County/Area: West Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Hywel Francis  (LAB)
Electorate: 50,789
Turnout: 60.95%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,07351.92%61.46%
LIB5,03416.26% 4.13%
CON4,41114.25%14.99%
NAT2,198 7.10% 7.10%
OTH1,966 6.35% 8.19%
MIN1,276 4.12% 4.12%
LAB Majority11,03935.66%Pred Maj 46.47%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.6%
LIB
0.0%
CON
0.4%
NAT
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
MIN
0.0%

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Aberconwy
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP: Guto Bebb  (CON)
Electorate: 44,593
Turnout: 67.20%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON10,73435.82%36.70%
LAB7,33624.48%35.81%
LIB5,78619.31% 4.91%
NAT5,34117.82%17.82%
OTH769 2.57% 4.75%
CON Majority3,39811.34%Pred Maj 0.89%
Chance of winning
CON
52.1%
LAB
47.0%
LIB
0.3%
NAT
0.0%
OTH
0.6%

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Alyn and Deeside
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP: Mark Tami  (LAB)
Electorate: 60,931
Turnout: 65.52%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,80439.59%50.33%
CON12,88532.27%33.11%
LIB7,30818.31% 4.65%
NAT1,549 3.88% 3.88%
MIN1,368 3.43% 3.43%
OTH1,009 2.53% 4.60%
LAB Majority2,919 7.31%Pred Maj 17.22%
Chance of winning
LAB
82.7%
CON
17.1%
LIB
0.0%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.2%

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Arfon
County/Area: Gwynedd (Wales)
MP: Hywel Williams  (NAT)
Electorate: 41,198
Turnout: 63.30%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
NAT9,38335.98%35.98%
LAB7,92830.40%38.65%
CON4,41616.93%17.58%
LIB3,66614.06% 3.57%
OTH685 2.63% 4.22%
NAT Majority1,455 5.58%Pred Maj 2.67%
Chance of winning
NAT
37.2%
LAB
61.2%
CON
1.6%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%

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LAB Gain
Blaenau Gwent
County/Area: Gwent (Wales)
MP: Nick Smith  (LAB)
Electorate: 52,438
Turnout: 61.78%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,97452.40%58.35%
MIN6,45819.94%19.94%
LIB3,28510.14% 2.58%
CON2,265 6.99% 7.46%
OTH2,080 6.42% 7.57%
NAT1,333 4.11% 4.11%
LAB Majority10,51632.46%Pred Maj 38.41%
Chance of winning
LAB
100.0%
MIN
0.0%
LIB
0.0%
CON
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
NAT
0.0%

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Brecon and Radnorshire
County/Area: Powys (Wales)
MP: Roger Williams  (LIB)
Electorate: 53,589
Turnout: 72.49%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB17,92946.16%31.24%
CON14,18236.51%37.42%
LAB4,09610.54%22.28%
NAT989 2.55% 2.55%
MIN876 2.26% 2.26%
OTH773 1.99% 4.26%
LIB Majority3,747 9.65%Pred Maj 6.19%
Chance of winning
LIB
27.0%
CON
53.7%
LAB
18.4%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.9%

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CON Gain
Bridgend
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Madeleine Moon  (LAB)
Electorate: 58,700
Turnout: 65.33%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB13,93136.33%48.07%
CON11,66830.43%31.34%
LIB8,65822.58% 7.66%
NAT2,269 5.92% 5.92%
MIN1,020 2.66% 2.66%
OTH801 2.09% 4.36%
LAB Majority2,263 5.90%Pred Maj 16.72%
Chance of winning
LAB
79.4%
CON
20.1%
LIB
0.2%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.3%

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Caerphilly
County/Area: Gwent (Wales)
MP: Wayne David  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,134
Turnout: 62.27%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,37744.91%53.54%
CON6,62217.11%17.79%
NAT6,46016.70%16.70%
LIB5,68814.70% 3.74%
MIN1,635 4.23% 4.23%
OTH910 2.35% 4.02%
LAB Majority10,75527.80%Pred Maj 35.75%
Chance of winning
LAB
98.9%
CON
1.1%
NAT
0.0%
LIB
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.0%

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Cardiff Central
County/Area: South Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Jenny Willott  (LIB)
Electorate: 61,162
Turnout: 59.11%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB14,97641.43%26.51%
LAB10,40028.77%40.50%
CON7,79921.57%22.49%
NAT1,246 3.45% 3.45%
OTH965 2.67% 4.94%
MIN765 2.12% 2.12%
LIB Majority4,57612.66%Pred Maj 14.00%
Chance of winning
LIB
13.4%
LAB
69.2%
CON
16.2%
NAT
0.0%
OTH
1.2%
MIN
0.0%

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LAB Gain
Cardiff North
County/Area: South Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Jonathan Evans  (CON)
Electorate: 65,553
Turnout: 72.66%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON17,86037.50%38.34%
LAB17,66637.09%47.84%
LIB8,72418.32% 4.65%
NAT1,588 3.33% 3.33%
MIN1,130 2.37% 2.37%
OTH662 1.39% 3.47%
CON Majority194 0.41%Pred Maj 9.50%
Chance of winning
CON
30.9%
LAB
68.9%
LIB
0.0%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.2%

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LAB Gain
Cardiff South and Penarth
County/Area: South Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Alun Michael  (LAB)
Electorate: 73,704
Turnout: 60.20%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,26238.91%50.64%
CON12,55328.29%29.21%
LIB9,87522.26% 7.34%
NAT1,851 4.17% 4.17%
OTH1,683 3.79% 6.06%
MIN1,145 2.58% 2.58%
LAB Majority4,70910.61%Pred Maj 21.43%
Chance of winning
LAB
85.4%
CON
14.2%
LIB
0.1%
NAT
0.0%
OTH
0.3%
MIN
0.0%

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Cardiff West
County/Area: South Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Kevin Brennan  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,787
Turnout: 65.23%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,89441.25%51.54%
CON12,14329.65%30.45%
LIB7,18617.54% 4.46%
NAT2,868 7.00% 7.00%
MIN1,117 2.73% 2.73%
OTH750 1.83% 3.82%
LAB Majority4,75111.60%Pred Maj 21.09%
Chance of winning
LAB
89.2%
CON
10.7%
LIB
0.0%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.1%

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Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
County/Area: Dyfed (Wales)
MP: Jonathan Edwards  (NAT)
Electorate: 52,385
Turnout: 72.56%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
NAT13,54635.64%35.64%
LAB10,06526.48%33.59%
CON8,50622.38%22.93%
LIB4,60912.13% 3.08%
MIN1,285 3.38% 3.38%
OTH0 0.00% 1.37%
NAT Majority3,481 9.16%Pred Maj 2.04%
Chance of winning
NAT
61.1%
LAB
35.5%
CON
3.4%
LIB
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.0%

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Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South
County/Area: Dyfed (Wales)
MP: Simon Hart  (CON)
Electorate: 57,519
Turnout: 70.42%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON16,64941.10%41.65%
LAB13,22632.65%39.74%
LIB4,89012.07% 3.07%
NAT4,23210.45%10.45%
MIN1,146 2.83% 2.83%
OTH364 0.90% 2.27%
CON Majority3,423 8.45%Pred Maj 1.92%
Chance of winning
CON
54.8%
LAB
45.1%
LIB
0.0%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.1%

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Ceredigion
County/Area: Dyfed (Wales)
MP: Mark Williams  (LIB)
Electorate: 59,043
Turnout: 64.80%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LIB19,13950.03%35.11%
NAT10,81528.27%28.27%
CON4,42111.56%12.47%
LAB2,210 5.78%17.51%
MIN977 2.55% 2.55%
OTH696 1.82% 4.09%
LIB Majority8,32421.76%Pred Maj 6.84%
Chance of winning
LIB
71.1%
NAT
4.8%
CON
7.7%
LAB
14.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
2.4%

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Clwyd South
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP: Susan Elan Jones  (LAB)
Electorate: 53,748
Turnout: 64.53%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB13,31138.38%48.47%
CON10,47730.21%31.00%
LIB5,96517.20% 4.37%
NAT3,009 8.68% 8.68%
MIN1,100 3.17% 3.17%
OTH819 2.36% 4.31%
LAB Majority2,834 8.17%Pred Maj 17.48%
Chance of winning
LAB
84.4%
CON
15.4%
LIB
0.0%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.2%

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Clwyd West
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP: David Jones  (CON)
Electorate: 57,913
Turnout: 65.81%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON15,83341.54%42.24%
LAB9,41424.70%33.63%
NAT5,86415.39%15.39%
LIB5,80115.22% 3.87%
MIN864 2.27% 2.27%
OTH335 0.88% 2.60%
CON Majority6,41916.84%Pred Maj 8.61%
Chance of winning
CON
70.0%
LAB
29.8%
NAT
0.0%
LIB
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.2%

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Cynon Valley
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Ann Clwyd  (LAB)
Electorate: 50,656
Turnout: 58.98%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,68152.49%60.58%
NAT6,06420.30%20.30%
LIB4,12013.79% 3.50%
CON3,01010.07%10.71%
MIN1,001 3.35% 3.35%
OTH0 0.00% 1.56%
LAB Majority9,61732.19%Pred Maj 40.28%
Chance of winning
LAB
100.0%
NAT
0.0%
LIB
0.0%
CON
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.0%

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Delyn
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP: David Hanson  (LAB)
Electorate: 53,470
Turnout: 69.17%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,08340.78%49.90%
CON12,81134.64%35.35%
LIB5,74715.54% 3.95%
NAT1,844 4.99% 4.99%
MIN844 2.28% 2.28%
OTH655 1.77% 3.53%
LAB Majority2,272 6.14%Pred Maj 14.55%
Chance of winning
LAB
82.7%
CON
17.2%
LIB
0.0%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.1%

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Dwyfor Meirionnydd
County/Area: Gwynedd (Wales)
MP: Elfyn Llwyd  (NAT)
Electorate: 45,354
Turnout: 63.73%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
NAT12,81444.33%44.33%
CON6,44722.30%22.86%
LAB4,02113.91%21.09%
LIB3,53812.24% 3.11%
MIN1,310 4.53% 4.53%
OTH776 2.68% 4.07%
NAT Majority6,36722.03%Pred Maj 21.47%
Chance of winning
NAT
99.7%
CON
0.0%
LAB
0.3%
LIB
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.0%

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Gower
County/Area: West Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Martin Caton  (LAB)
Electorate: 61,696
Turnout: 67.54%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,01638.43%49.63%
CON13,33332.00%32.87%
LIB7,94719.07% 4.85%
NAT2,760 6.62% 6.62%
MIN963 2.31% 2.31%
OTH652 1.56% 3.73%
LAB Majority2,683 6.44%Pred Maj 16.76%
Chance of winning
LAB
81.1%
CON
18.7%
LIB
0.0%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.2%

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Islwyn
County/Area: Gwent (Wales)
MP: Christopher Evans  (LAB)
Electorate: 54,826
Turnout: 63.27%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,06949.20%55.29%
CON4,85413.99%14.47%
NAT4,51813.02%13.02%
LIB3,59710.37% 2.63%
OTH3,157 9.10%10.28%
MIN1,495 4.31% 4.31%
LAB Majority12,21535.21%Pred Maj 40.82%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.7%
CON
0.3%
NAT
0.0%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.0%
MIN
0.0%

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Llanelli
County/Area: Dyfed (Wales)
MP: Nia Griffith  (LAB)
Electorate: 55,637
Turnout: 67.33%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,91642.49%48.60%
NAT11,21529.94%29.94%
CON5,38114.36%14.84%
LIB3,90210.42% 2.65%
MIN1,047 2.79% 2.79%
OTH0 0.00% 1.18%
LAB Majority4,70112.55%Pred Maj 18.66%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.5%
NAT
0.2%
CON
0.3%
LIB
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.0%

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Merthyr Tydfil And Rhymney
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Dai Havard  (LAB)
Electorate: 54,715
Turnout: 58.62%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB14,00743.67%55.40%
LIB9,95131.02%16.11%
CON2,412 7.52% 8.43%
OTH2,240 6.98% 9.25%
MIN1,845 5.75% 5.75%
NAT1,621 5.05% 5.05%
LAB Majority4,05612.64%Pred Maj 39.30%
Chance of winning
LAB
97.7%
LIB
0.5%
CON
1.5%
OTH
0.3%
MIN
0.0%
NAT
0.0%

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Monmouth
County/Area: Gwent (Wales)
MP: David Davies  (CON)
Electorate: 62,768
Turnout: 74.11%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,46648.29%49.18%
LAB12,04125.88%37.27%
LIB9,02619.40% 4.93%
NAT1,273 2.74% 2.74%
MIN1,126 2.42% 2.42%
OTH587 1.26% 3.46%
CON Majority10,42522.41%Pred Maj 11.91%
Chance of winning
CON
76.1%
LAB
23.7%
LIB
0.1%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.1%

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Montgomeryshire
County/Area: Powys (Wales)
MP: Glyn Davies  (CON)
Electorate: 48,730
Turnout: 69.39%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON13,97641.33%42.25%
LIB12,79237.83%22.91%
NAT2,802 8.29% 8.29%
LAB2,407 7.12%18.85%
MIN1,128 3.34% 3.34%
OTH708 2.09% 4.36%
CON Majority1,184 3.50%Pred Maj 19.33%
Chance of winning
CON
78.7%
LIB
8.3%
NAT
0.0%
LAB
12.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
1.0%

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Neath
County/Area: West Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Peter Hain  (LAB)
Electorate: 57,186
Turnout: 64.91%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,17246.26%55.01%
NAT7,39719.93%19.93%
LIB5,53514.91% 3.79%
CON4,84713.06%13.74%
MIN1,342 3.62% 3.62%
OTH829 2.23% 3.92%
LAB Majority9,77526.33%Pred Maj 35.08%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.7%
NAT
0.0%
LIB
0.0%
CON
0.3%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.0%

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Newport East
County/Area: Gwent (Wales)
MP: Jessica Morden  (LAB)
Electorate: 54,437
Turnout: 63.28%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB12,74436.99%48.73%
LIB11,09432.21%17.29%
CON7,91822.99%23.90%
MIN1,168 3.39% 3.39%
OTH800 2.32% 4.59%
NAT724 2.10% 2.10%
LAB Majority1,650 4.79%Pred Maj 24.83%
Chance of winning
LAB
86.9%
LIB
2.1%
CON
10.3%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.7%
NAT
0.0%

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Newport West
County/Area: Gwent (Wales)
MP: Paul Flynn  (LAB)
Electorate: 62,111
Turnout: 63.95%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,38941.26%50.99%
CON12,84532.34%33.10%
LIB6,58716.58% 4.21%
OTH1,594 4.01% 5.89%
MIN1,183 2.98% 2.98%
NAT1,122 2.82% 2.82%
LAB Majority3,544 8.92%Pred Maj 17.90%
Chance of winning
LAB
85.4%
CON
14.5%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.1%
MIN
0.0%
NAT
0.0%

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Ogmore
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Huw Irranca-Davies  (LAB)
Electorate: 55,527
Turnout: 62.40%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB18,64453.81%62.71%
CON5,39815.58%16.27%
LIB5,26015.18% 3.86%
NAT3,326 9.60% 9.60%
MIN1,242 3.58% 3.58%
OTH780 2.25% 3.97%
LAB Majority13,24638.23%Pred Maj 46.44%
Chance of winning
LAB
100.0%
CON
0.0%
LIB
0.0%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.0%

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Pontypridd
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Owen Smith  (LAB)
Electorate: 58,219
Turnout: 62.99%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB14,22038.78%50.51%
LIB11,43531.18%16.26%
CON5,93216.18%17.09%
NAT2,673 7.29% 7.29%
MIN1,229 3.35% 3.35%
OTH1,182 3.22% 5.49%
LAB Majority2,785 7.59%Pred Maj 33.42%
Chance of winning
LAB
93.1%
LIB
1.4%
CON
5.0%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.5%

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Preseli Pembrokeshire
County/Area: Dyfed (Wales)
MP: Stephen Crabb  (CON)
Electorate: 57,419
Turnout: 68.97%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON16,94442.79%43.45%
LAB12,33931.16%39.69%
LIB5,75914.54% 3.70%
NAT3,654 9.23% 9.23%
MIN906 2.29% 2.29%
OTH0 0.00% 1.65%
CON Majority4,60511.63%Pred Maj 3.76%
Chance of winning
CON
59.7%
LAB
40.2%
LIB
0.0%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.1%

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Rhondda
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Chris Bryant  (LAB)
Electorate: 51,554
Turnout: 60.27%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB17,18355.30%61.55%
NAT5,63018.12%18.12%
LIB3,30910.65% 2.71%
MIN2,599 8.36% 8.36%
CON1,993 6.41% 6.90%
OTH358 1.15% 2.36%
LAB Majority11,55337.18%Pred Maj 43.43%
Chance of winning
LAB
100.0%
NAT
0.0%
LIB
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
CON
0.0%
OTH
0.0%

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Swansea East
County/Area: West Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Sian James  (LAB)
Electorate: 59,823
Turnout: 54.62%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,81951.47%62.21%
LIB5,98118.30% 4.65%
CON4,82314.76%15.60%
NAT2,181 6.67% 6.67%
MIN1,715 5.25% 5.25%
OTH1,157 3.54% 5.62%
LAB Majority10,83833.17%Pred Maj 46.62%
Chance of winning
LAB
99.7%
LIB
0.0%
CON
0.3%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.0%

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Swansea West
County/Area: West Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Geraint Davies  (LAB)
Electorate: 61,334
Turnout: 58.03%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB12,33534.66%46.39%
LIB11,83133.24%18.32%
CON7,40720.81%21.73%
OTH1,673 4.70% 6.97%
NAT1,437 4.04% 4.04%
MIN910 2.56% 2.56%
LAB Majority504 1.42%Pred Maj 24.67%
Chance of winning
LAB
84.7%
LIB
3.2%
CON
10.8%
OTH
1.3%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%

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Torfaen
County/Area: Gwent (Wales)
MP: Paul Murphy  (LAB)
Electorate: 61,178
Turnout: 61.53%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB16,84744.76%54.52%
CON7,54120.03%20.80%
LIB6,26416.64% 4.23%
OTH3,326 8.84%10.72%
NAT2,005 5.33% 5.33%
MIN1,657 4.40% 4.40%
LAB Majority9,30624.72%Pred Maj 33.73%
Chance of winning
LAB
95.9%
CON
3.9%
LIB
0.0%
OTH
0.2%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%

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Vale of Clwyd
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP: Chris Ruane  (LAB)
Electorate: 55,781
Turnout: 63.70%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB15,01742.26%49.65%
CON12,50835.20%35.78%
LIB4,47212.59% 3.20%
NAT2,068 5.82% 5.82%
MIN827 2.33% 2.33%
OTH642 1.81% 3.23%
LAB Majority2,509 7.06%Pred Maj 13.87%
Chance of winning
LAB
86.3%
CON
13.7%
LIB
0.0%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.0%

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Vale of Glamorgan
County/Area: South Glamorgan (Wales)
MP: Alun Cairns  (CON)
Electorate: 70,262
Turnout: 69.27%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON20,34141.80%42.49%
LAB16,03432.95%41.87%
LIB7,40315.21% 3.87%
NAT2,667 5.48% 5.48%
MIN1,529 3.14% 3.14%
OTH693 1.42% 3.15%
CON Majority4,307 8.85%Pred Maj 0.62%
Chance of winning
CON
51.2%
LAB
48.6%
LIB
0.0%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.2%

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Wrexham
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP: Ian Lucas  (LAB)
Electorate: 50,872
Turnout: 64.82%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB12,16136.88%48.61%
LIB8,50325.79%10.87%
CON8,37525.40%26.31%
NAT2,029 6.15% 6.15%
MIN1,134 3.44% 3.44%
OTH774 2.35% 4.61%
LAB Majority3,65811.09%Pred Maj 22.30%
Chance of winning
LAB
87.2%
LIB
0.3%
CON
12.2%
NAT
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.3%

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Ynys Mon
County/Area: Gwynedd (Wales)
MP: Albert Owen  (LAB)
Electorate: 50,075
Turnout: 68.78%
2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
LAB11,49033.36%37.77%
NAT9,02926.21%26.21%
CON7,74422.48%22.83%
LIB2,592 7.53% 1.91%
MIN2,225 6.46% 6.46%
OTH1,364 3.96% 4.81%
LAB Majority2,461 7.14%Pred Maj 11.56%
Chance of winning
LAB
92.7%
NAT
1.2%
CON
6.0%
LIB
0.0%
MIN
0.0%
OTH
0.1%

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