Constituency List: Wales

Aberavon	Cardiff South and Penarth	Gower	Pontypridd
Aberconwy	Cardiff West	Islwyn	Preseli Pembrokeshire
Alyn and Deeside	Carmarthen East and Dinefwr	Llanelli	Rhondda
Arfon	Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South	Merthyr Tydfil And Rhymney	Swansea East
Blaenau Gwent	Ceredigion	Monmouth	Swansea West
Brecon and Radnorshire	Clwyd South	Montgomeryshire	Torfaen
Bridgend	Clwyd West	Neath	Vale of Clwyd
Caerphilly	Cynon Valley	Newport East	Vale of Glamorgan
Cardiff Central	Delyn	Newport West	Wrexham
Cardiff North	Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Ogmore	Ynys Mon

Aberavon
County/Area: West Glamorgan (Wales)
MP Hywel Francis (LAB)

Electorate

51,079

Turnout

58.93%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,077

60.05%

52.32%

98.3%

LIB

4,138

13.75%

11.03%

0.2%

NAT

3,546

11.78%

11.48%

0.0%

CON

3,062

10.17%

15.04%

1.5%

OTH

1,278

4.25%

10.13%

0.0%

LAB Majority

13,939

46.31%

Pred Maj

37.28%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Aberconwy
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP Betty Williams (LAB)

Electorate

43,230

Turnout

62.24%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

8,853

32.90%

25.17%

23.5%

CON

7,926

29.46%

34.89%

65.2%

LIB

5,583

20.75%

16.80%

8.9%

NAT

3,335

12.40%

12.08%

0.0%

OTH

1,209

4.49%

11.06%

2.4%

LAB Majority

927

3.45%

Pred Maj

9.72%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Alyn and Deeside
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP Mark Tami (LAB)

Electorate

58,936

Turnout

60.23%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

17,333

48.83%

41.10%

71.4%

CON

8,954

25.23%

30.33%

25.3%

LIB

6,174

17.39%

13.96%

2.4%

OTH

1,717

4.84%

11.00%

0.9%

NAT

1,317

3.71%

3.61%

0.0%

LAB Majority

8,379

23.61%

Pred Maj

10.78%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Arfon
County/Area: Gwynedd (Wales)
MP Unknown (changed seat) (LAB)

Electorate

42,304

Turnout

61.19%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

9,223

35.63%

27.90%

24.4%

NAT

8,968

34.64%

34.13%

68.4%

CON

3,898

15.06%

19.90%

6.6%

LIB

3,216

12.42%

9.97%

0.4%

OTH

581

2.24%

8.10%

0.2%

LAB Majority

255

0.99%

Pred Maj

6.23%

NAT Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Blaenau Gwent
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan and Gwent (Wales)
MP Peter Law (MIN)

Electorate

53,300

Turnout

66.14%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

MIN

20,506

58.17%

100.0%

LAB

11,385

32.30%

24.57%

0.0%

LIB

1,510

4.28%

3.44%

0.0%

NAT

840

2.38%

2.32%

0.0%

CON

817

2.32%

6.23%

0.0%

OTH

192

0.54%

5.27%

0.0%

MIN Majority

9,121

25.88%

Pred Maj

33.61%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Comment: Result shown is as at 5 May 2005, before the death of Peter Law in April 2006. Dai Davies (Ind) held the seat at the by-election on 29 June 2006.

Brecon and Radnorshire
County/Area: Powys (Wales)
MP Roger Williams (LIB)

Electorate

55,171

Turnout

69.49%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

17,181

44.81%

40.86%

53.8%

CON

13,275

34.63%

39.08%

44.2%

LAB

5,756

15.01%

9.21%

1.2%

NAT

1,406

3.67%

3.57%

0.0%

OTH

721

1.88%

7.27%

0.8%

LIB Majority

3,906

10.19%

Pred Maj

1.78%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Bridgend
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan and Gwent (Wales)
MP Madeleine Moon (LAB)

Electorate

58,178

Turnout

59.22%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

14,894

43.23%

35.50%

56.1%

CON

8,863

25.73%

31.09%

36.7%

LIB

7,701

22.35%

18.40%

6.3%

NAT

2,140

6.21%

6.05%

0.0%

OTH

854

2.48%

8.96%

0.9%

LAB Majority

6,031

17.51%

Pred Maj

4.41%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Caerphilly
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan and Gwent (Wales)
MP Wayne David (LAB)

Electorate

62,496

Turnout

58.60%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,272

55.35%

47.62%

95.6%

NAT

6,529

17.83%

17.37%

0.0%

CON

5,490

14.99%

19.61%

4.2%

LIB

3,727

10.18%

8.17%

0.2%

OTH

606

1.65%

7.23%

0.0%

LAB Majority

13,743

37.52%

Pred Maj

28.01%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cardiff Central
County/Area: South Glamorgan (Wales)
MP Jenny Willott (LIB)

Electorate

61,002

Turnout

59.23%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

17,990

49.79%

45.84%

86.8%

LAB

12,398

34.31%

26.58%

9.3%

CON

3,338

9.24%

14.57%

3.4%

NAT

1,271

3.52%

3.43%

0.0%

OTH

1,133

3.14%

9.58%

0.5%

LIB Majority

5,592

15.48%

Pred Maj

19.26%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cardiff North
County/Area: South Glamorgan (Wales)
MP Julie Morgan (LAB)

Electorate

64,341

Turnout

70.50%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

17,706

39.03%

31.30%

25.6%

CON

16,561

36.51%

41.73%

70.9%

LIB

8,483

18.70%

15.01%

3.0%

NAT

1,938

4.27%

4.16%

0.0%

OTH

673

1.48%

7.79%

0.5%

LAB Majority

1,145

2.52%

Pred Maj

10.43%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cardiff South and Penarth
County/Area: South Glamorgan (Wales)
MP Alun Michael (LAB)

Electorate

68,996

Turnout

56.78%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,013

45.98%

38.25%

66.0%

CON

9,350

23.86%

29.21%

28.8%

LIB

7,817

19.95%

16.01%

4.2%

NAT

2,057

5.25%

5.12%

0.0%

OTH

1,942

4.96%

11.42%

1.0%

LAB Majority

8,663

22.11%

Pred Maj

9.03%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cardiff West
County/Area: South Glamorgan (Wales)
MP Kevin Brennan (LAB)

Electorate

64,977

Turnout

58.00%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

16,598

44.04%

36.31%

64.6%

CON

8,739

23.19%

28.43%

30.5%

LIB

6,730

17.86%

14.33%

3.9%

NAT

4,724

12.54%

12.21%

0.0%

OTH

894

2.37%

8.71%

1.0%

LAB Majority

7,859

20.85%

Pred Maj

7.88%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
County/Area: Dyfed (Wales)
MP Adam Price (NAT)

Electorate

52,154

Turnout

71.59%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

NAT

17,318

46.39%

45.87%

99.8%

LAB

10,676

28.60%

20.86%

0.2%

CON

4,959

13.28%

17.86%

0.0%

LIB

3,506

9.39%

7.54%

0.0%

OTH

876

2.35%

7.87%

0.0%

NAT Majority

6,642

17.79%

Pred Maj

25.01%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South
County/Area: Dyfed (Wales)
MP Nick Ainger (LAB)

Electorate

56,984

Turnout

67.40%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

14,034

36.54%

28.81%

30.5%

CON

12,185

31.72%

36.70%

65.9%

NAT

5,677

14.78%

14.40%

0.0%

LIB

5,583

14.54%

11.67%

2.9%

OTH

931

2.42%

8.43%

0.7%

LAB Majority

1,849

4.81%

Pred Maj

7.89%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Ceredigion
County/Area: Dyfed (Wales)
MP Mark Williams (LIB)

Electorate

53,145

Turnout

67.21%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

13,075

36.61%

32.66%

36.9%

NAT

12,831

35.92%

35.41%

60.2%

CON

4,410

12.35%

16.47%

2.3%

LAB

4,297

12.03%

7.38%

0.2%

OTH

1,104

3.09%

8.08%

0.4%

LIB Majority

244

0.68%

Pred Maj

2.75%

NAT Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Clwyd South
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP Martyn Jones (LAB)

Electorate

49,768

Turnout

62.90%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

14,417

46.05%

38.32%

66.2%

CON

8,041

25.69%

30.64%

30.6%

LIB

4,717

15.07%

12.09%

2.3%

NAT

2,772

8.85%

8.63%

0.0%

OTH

1,358

4.34%

10.32%

0.9%

LAB Majority

6,376

20.37%

Pred Maj

7.69%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Clwyd West
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP David Jones (CON)

Electorate

56,370

Turnout

63.99%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

12,917

35.81%

40.67%

76.3%

LAB

12,776

35.42%

27.69%

20.9%

LIB

4,948

13.72%

11.01%

1.9%

NAT

4,099

11.36%

11.07%

0.0%

OTH

1,329

3.68%

9.56%

0.9%

CON Majority

141

0.39%

Pred Maj

12.98%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Cynon Valley
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan and Gwent (Wales)
MP Ann Clwyd (LAB)

Electorate

49,354

Turnout

58.91%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,295

62.92%

55.19%

99.2%

NAT

3,938

13.54%

13.20%

0.0%

LIB

3,769

12.96%

10.40%

0.1%

CON

2,240

7.70%

12.52%

0.7%

OTH

833

2.87%

8.69%

0.0%

LAB Majority

14,357

49.38%

Pred Maj

42.00%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Delyn
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP David Hanson (LAB)

Electorate

52,767

Turnout

64.44%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

15,541

45.70%

37.97%

62.5%

CON

8,895

26.16%

31.35%

33.4%

LIB

6,086

17.90%

14.36%

3.4%

NAT

2,525

7.43%

7.23%

0.0%

OTH

956

2.81%

9.08%

0.7%

LAB Majority

6,646

19.55%

Pred Maj

6.63%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Dwyfor Meirionnydd
County/Area: Gwynedd (Wales)
MP Elfyn Llwyd (NAT)

Electorate

48,284

Turnout

61.11%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

NAT

14,772

50.07%

49.55%

100.0%

LAB

5,924

20.08%

12.35%

0.0%

CON

4,460

15.12%

19.95%

0.0%

LIB

3,628

12.30%

9.87%

0.0%

OTH

720

2.44%

8.28%

0.0%

NAT Majority

8,848

29.99%

Pred Maj

29.60%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Gower
County/Area: West Glamorgan (Wales)
MP Martin Caton (LAB)

Electorate

60,934

Turnout

64.92%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

16,792

42.45%

34.72%

55.7%

CON

10,086

25.50%

30.74%

37.9%

LIB

7,293

18.44%

14.80%

4.6%

NAT

3,090

7.81%

7.61%

0.0%

OTH

2,295

5.80%

12.13%

1.8%

LAB Majority

6,706

16.95%

Pred Maj

3.98%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Islwyn
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan and Gwent (Wales)
MP Don Touhig (LAB)

Electorate

55,039

Turnout

60.82%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

21,605

64.54%

56.81%

99.1%

NAT

4,248

12.69%

12.36%

0.0%

LIB

4,009

11.98%

9.61%

0.0%

CON

3,582

10.70%

15.42%

0.9%

OTH

0.09%

5.79%

0.0%

LAB Majority

17,357

51.85%

Pred Maj

41.39%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Llanelli
County/Area: Dyfed (Wales)
MP Nia Griffith (LAB)

Electorate

55,680

Turnout

63.48%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

16,593

46.95%

39.22%

88.4%

NAT

9,359

26.48%

25.97%

2.0%

CON

4,844

13.71%

18.59%

8.0%

LIB

4,547

12.87%

10.33%

1.1%

OTH

0.00%

5.90%

0.5%

LAB Majority

7,234

20.47%

Pred Maj

13.25%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Merthyr Tydfil And Rhymney
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan and Gwent (Wales)
MP Dai Havard (LAB)

Electorate

54,578

Turnout

54.92%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,128

60.48%

52.75%

98.3%

LIB

4,192

13.99%

11.22%

0.3%

NAT

2,973

9.92%

9.66%

0.0%

CON

2,680

8.94%

13.81%

1.3%

OTH

2,001

6.68%

12.56%

0.1%

LAB Majority

13,936

46.49%

Pred Maj

38.94%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Monmouth
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan and Gwent (Wales)
MP David Davies (CON)

Electorate

63,093

Turnout

72.36%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

21,397

46.87%

51.54%

89.8%

LAB

16,871

36.95%

29.22%

9.7%

LIB

5,851

12.82%

10.29%

0.4%

NAT

993

2.18%

2.12%

0.0%

OTH

543

1.19%

6.83%

0.1%

CON Majority

4,526

9.91%

Pred Maj

22.32%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Montgomeryshire
County/Area: Powys (Wales)
MP Lembit Opik (LIB)

Electorate

48,084

Turnout

64.31%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LIB

15,573

50.36%

46.41%

81.5%

CON

8,491

27.46%

31.45%

17.2%

LAB

3,757

12.15%

7.45%

0.6%

NAT

2,133

6.90%

6.72%

0.0%

OTH

971

3.14%

7.97%

0.7%

LIB Majority

7,082

22.90%

Pred Maj

14.96%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Neath
County/Area: West Glamorgan (Wales)
MP Peter Hain (LAB)

Electorate

57,596

Turnout

62.18%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,832

52.58%

44.85%

94.5%

NAT

6,126

17.10%

16.66%

0.0%

LIB

5,114

14.28%

11.46%

0.8%

CON

4,135

11.55%

16.52%

4.3%

OTH

1,609

4.49%

10.51%

0.4%

LAB Majority

12,706

35.48%

Pred Maj

28.18%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Newport East
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan and Gwent (Wales)
MP Jessica Morden (LAB)

Electorate

54,956

Turnout

57.91%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

14,388

45.21%

37.48%

64.1%

LIB

7,552

23.73%

19.78%

7.2%

CON

7,459

23.44%

28.77%

27.8%

NAT

1,223

3.84%

3.74%

0.0%

OTH

1,203

3.78%

10.22%

0.9%

LAB Majority

6,836

21.48%

Pred Maj

8.71%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Newport West
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan and Gwent (Wales)
MP Paul Flynn (LAB)

Electorate

60,286

Turnout

59.27%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

16,020

44.84%

37.11%

53.9%

CON

10,563

29.56%

34.71%

42.4%

LIB

6,398

17.91%

14.37%

3.0%

OTH

1,472

4.12%

10.33%

0.7%

NAT

1,277

3.57%

3.48%

0.0%

LAB Majority

5,457

15.27%

Pred Maj

2.40%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Ogmore
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan and Gwent (Wales)
MP Huw Irranca-Davies (LAB)

Electorate

55,230

Turnout

57.90%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,404

60.68%

52.94%

97.4%

LIB

4,593

14.36%

11.53%

0.2%

CON

4,402

13.76%

18.67%

2.4%

NAT

3,412

10.67%

10.39%

0.0%

OTH

169

0.53%

6.46%

0.0%

LAB Majority

14,811

46.31%

Pred Maj

34.27%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Pontypridd
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan and Gwent (Wales)
MP Kim Howells (LAB)

Electorate

55,960

Turnout

60.91%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

18,831

55.25%

47.52%

94.8%

LIB

6,279

18.42%

14.78%

1.1%

CON

3,965

11.63%

16.91%

3.7%

NAT

3,891

11.42%

11.12%

0.0%

OTH

1,119

3.28%

9.66%

0.4%

LAB Majority

12,552

36.83%

Pred Maj

30.60%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Preseli Pembrokeshire
County/Area: Dyfed (Wales)
MP Stephen Crabb (CON)

Electorate

56,441

Turnout

69.49%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

CON

14,287

36.43%

41.23%

79.2%

LAB

13,619

34.73%

26.99%

18.4%

LIB

5,043

12.86%

10.32%

1.7%

NAT

4,979

12.70%

12.37%

0.0%

OTH

1,291

3.29%

9.09%

0.7%

CON Majority

668

1.70%

Pred Maj

14.23%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Rhondda
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan and Gwent (Wales)
MP Chris Bryant (LAB)

Electorate

51,041

Turnout

61.02%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

21,197

68.06%

60.33%

99.8%

NAT

4,956

15.91%

15.50%

0.0%

LIB

3,262

10.47%

8.41%

0.0%

CON

1,731

5.56%

10.18%

0.2%

OTH

0.00%

5.59%

0.0%

LAB Majority

16,241

52.14%

Pred Maj

44.82%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Swansea East
County/Area: West Glamorgan (Wales)
MP Sian James (LAB)

Electorate

58,813

Turnout

52.43%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

17,458

56.62%

48.89%

94.7%

LIB

6,208

20.13%

16.18%

1.6%

CON

3,103

10.06%

15.43%

3.1%

NAT

2,128

6.90%

6.72%

0.0%

OTH

1,938

6.29%

12.77%

0.6%

LAB Majority

11,250

36.48%

Pred Maj

32.70%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Swansea West
County/Area: West Glamorgan (Wales)
MP Alan Williams (LAB)

Electorate

57,946

Turnout

57.09%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

13,833

41.81%

34.08%

58.7%

LIB

9,564

28.91%

24.96%

21.1%

CON

5,284

15.97%

21.34%

18.0%

NAT

2,149

6.50%

6.33%

0.0%

OTH

1,516

4.58%

11.06%

2.2%

MIN

738

2.23%

0.0%

LAB Majority

4,269

12.90%

Pred Maj

9.12%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Torfaen
County/Area: Mid Glamorgan and Gwent (Wales)
MP Paul Murphy (LAB)

Electorate

60,670

Turnout

59.30%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

20,471

56.90%

49.17%

95.1%

CON

5,680

15.79%

20.77%

4.2%

LIB

5,677

15.78%

12.66%

0.5%

NAT

2,243

6.23%

6.07%

0.0%

MIN

1,145

3.18%

0.0%

OTH

761

2.12%

8.14%

0.2%

LAB Majority

14,791

41.11%

Pred Maj

28.40%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Vale of Clwyd
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP Chris Ruane (LAB)

Electorate

52,518

Turnout

62.17%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

14,963

45.82%

38.09%

54.9%

CON

10,375

31.77%

36.41%

43.7%

LIB

3,825

11.71%

9.40%

0.8%

NAT

2,366

7.25%

7.06%

0.0%

OTH

1,124

3.44%

9.04%

0.6%

LAB Majority

4,588

14.05%

Pred Maj

1.69%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Vale of Glamorgan
County/Area: South Glamorgan (Wales)
MP John Smith (LAB)

Electorate

68,245

Turnout

68.52%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

19,321

41.32%

33.59%

29.7%

CON

17,398

37.21%

41.94%

68.5%

LIB

6,098

13.04%

10.47%

1.3%

NAT

2,514

5.38%

5.24%

0.0%

OTH

1,430

3.06%

8.77%

0.5%

LAB Majority

1,923

4.11%

Pred Maj

8.35%

CON Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Wrexham
County/Area: Clwyd (Wales)
MP Ian Lucas (LAB)

Electorate

48,016

Turnout

63.29%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

13,994

46.05%

38.32%

70.9%

LIB

7,175

23.61%

19.66%

7.5%

CON

6,080

20.01%

25.36%

20.5%

NAT

1,742

5.73%

5.59%

0.0%

OTH

1,396

4.59%

11.07%

1.1%

LAB Majority

6,819

22.44%

Pred Maj

12.96%

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations

Ynys Mon
County/Area: Gwynedd (Wales)
MP Albert Owen (LAB)

Electorate

52,517

Turnout

67.52%

Top

2005 Votes

2005 Share

Predicted Votes

Chance of winning

LAB

12,278

34.62%

26.89%

33.0%

NAT

11,037

31.13%

30.61%

63.1%

MIN

5,214

14.70%

0.0%

CON

3,915

11.04%

15.38%

3.7%

LIB

2,420

6.82%

5.48%

0.0%

OTH

596

1.68%

6.93%

0.2%

LAB Majority

1,241

3.50%

Pred Maj

3.72%

NAT Gain

Results for 2005 implied from new boundary calculations