Constituency List: Wales

Electorate	50,789	Turnout	60.95%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	16,073	51.92%	60.72%		99.2%
LIB	5,034	16.26%	6.93%		0.0%
CON	4,411	14.25%	18.01%		0.8%
NAT	2,198	7.10%	7.10%		0.0%
OTH	1,966	6.35%	3.12%		0.0%
MIN	1,276	4.12%	4.12%		0.0%
LAB Majority	11,039	35.66%	Pred Maj	42.71%

Electorate	44,593	Turnout	67.20%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
CON	10,734	35.82%	39.53%		64.5%
LAB	7,336	24.48%	33.16%		34.3%
LIB	5,786	19.31%	8.23%		0.9%
NAT	5,341	17.82%	17.82%		0.0%
OTH	769	2.57%	1.26%		0.3%
CON Majority	3,398	11.34%	Pred Maj	6.37%

Electorate	60,931	Turnout	65.52%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	15,804	39.59%	47.84%		75.9%
CON	12,885	32.27%	35.80%		23.9%
LIB	7,308	18.31%	7.80%		0.1%
NAT	1,549	3.88%	3.88%		0.0%
MIN	1,368	3.43%	3.43%		0.0%
OTH	1,009	2.53%	1.24%		0.1%
LAB Majority	2,919	7.31%	Pred Maj	12.04%

Electorate	41,198	Turnout	63.30%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
NAT	9,383	35.98%	35.98%		46.8%
LAB	7,928	30.40%	36.99%		51.0%
CON	4,416	16.93%	19.75%		2.2%
LIB	3,666	14.06%	5.99%		0.0%
OTH	685	2.63%	1.29%		0.0%
NAT Majority	1,455	5.58%	Pred Maj	1.01%	LAB Gain

Electorate	52,438	Turnout	61.78%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	16,974	52.40%	58.76%		100.0%
MIN	6,458	19.94%	19.94%		0.0%
LIB	3,285	10.14%	4.32%		0.0%
CON	2,265	6.99%	9.71%		0.0%
OTH	2,080	6.42%	3.16%		0.0%
NAT	1,333	4.11%	4.11%		0.0%
LAB Majority	10,516	32.46%	Pred Maj	38.83%

Electorate	53,589	Turnout	72.49%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	17,929	46.16%	34.68%		33.9%
CON	14,182	36.51%	40.25%		56.6%
LAB	4,096	10.54%	19.29%		9.3%
NAT	989	2.55%	2.55%		0.0%
MIN	876	2.26%	2.26%		0.0%
OTH	773	1.99%	0.98%		0.2%
LIB Majority	3,747	9.65%	Pred Maj	5.57%	CON Gain

Electorate	58,700	Turnout	65.33%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	13,931	36.33%	45.11%		72.1%
CON	11,668	30.43%	34.18%		27.2%
LIB	8,658	22.58%	11.10%		0.5%
NAT	2,269	5.92%	5.92%		0.0%
MIN	1,020	2.66%	2.66%		0.0%
OTH	801	2.09%	1.03%		0.2%
LAB Majority	2,263	5.90%	Pred Maj	10.93%

Electorate	62,134	Turnout	62.75%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	17,377	44.57%	51.57%		97.5%
CON	6,622	16.98%	19.98%		2.5%
NAT	6,460	16.57%	16.57%		0.0%
LIB	5,988	15.36%	6.55%		0.0%
MIN	1,635	4.19%	4.19%		0.0%
OTH	910	2.33%	1.15%		0.0%
LAB Majority	10,755	27.58%	Pred Maj	31.59%

Electorate	61,162	Turnout	59.11%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	14,976	41.43%	29.95%		24.4%
LAB	10,400	28.77%	37.76%		55.8%
CON	7,799	21.57%	25.41%		19.3%
NAT	1,246	3.45%	3.45%		0.0%
OTH	965	2.67%	1.31%		0.5%
MIN	765	2.12%	2.12%		0.0%
LIB Majority	4,576	12.66%	Pred Maj	7.81%	LAB Gain

Electorate	65,553	Turnout	72.66%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
CON	17,860	37.50%	40.85%		41.0%
LAB	17,666	37.09%	44.95%		58.8%
LIB	8,724	18.32%	7.81%		0.1%
NAT	1,588	3.33%	3.33%		0.0%
MIN	1,130	2.37%	2.37%		0.0%
OTH	662	1.39%	0.68%		0.1%
CON Majority	194	0.41%	Pred Maj	4.09%	LAB Gain

Electorate	73,704	Turnout	60.20%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	17,263	38.91%	48.30%		79.7%
CON	12,553	28.29%	32.30%		19.8%
LIB	9,875	22.26%	10.78%		0.3%
NAT	1,851	4.17%	4.17%		0.0%
OTH	1,683	3.79%	1.86%		0.2%
MIN	1,145	2.58%	2.58%		0.0%
LAB Majority	4,710	10.62%	Pred Maj	15.99%

Electorate	62,787	Turnout	65.23%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	16,893	41.25%	48.95%		84.5%
CON	12,143	29.65%	32.94%		15.4%
LIB	7,186	17.55%	7.48%		0.1%
NAT	2,868	7.00%	7.00%		0.0%
MIN	1,117	2.73%	2.73%		0.0%
OTH	750	1.83%	0.90%		0.0%
LAB Majority	4,750	11.60%	Pred Maj	16.01%

Electorate	52,385	Turnout	72.56%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
NAT	13,546	35.64%	35.64%		71.8%
LAB	10,065	26.48%	31.35%		24.0%
CON	8,506	22.38%	24.46%		4.2%
LIB	4,609	12.13%	5.17%		0.0%
MIN	1,285	3.38%	3.38%		0.0%
NAT Majority	3,481	9.16%	Pred Maj	4.28%

Electorate	57,519	Turnout	70.42%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
CON	16,649	41.10%	43.31%		66.4%
LAB	13,226	32.65%	37.82%		33.5%
LIB	4,890	12.07%	5.15%		0.0%
NAT	4,232	10.45%	10.45%		0.0%
MIN	1,146	2.83%	2.83%		0.0%
OTH	364	0.90%	0.44%		0.1%
CON Majority	3,423	8.45%	Pred Maj	5.49%

Electorate	59,043	Turnout	64.80%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LIB	19,139	50.03%	38.55%		83.5%
NAT	10,815	28.27%	28.27%		4.0%
CON	4,421	11.56%	15.27%		6.4%
LAB	2,210	5.78%	14.46%		5.8%
MIN	977	2.55%	2.55%		0.0%
OTH	696	1.82%	0.89%		0.3%
LIB Majority	8,324	21.76%	Pred Maj	10.28%

Electorate	53,748	Turnout	64.53%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	13,311	38.38%	46.14%		78.5%
CON	10,477	30.21%	33.52%		21.3%
LIB	5,965	17.20%	7.33%		0.1%
NAT	3,009	8.68%	8.68%		0.0%
MIN	1,100	3.17%	3.17%		0.0%
OTH	819	2.36%	1.16%		0.1%
LAB Majority	2,834	8.17%	Pred Maj	12.61%

Electorate	57,913	Turnout	65.81%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
CON	15,833	41.54%	44.29%		80.4%
LAB	9,414	24.70%	31.13%		19.4%
NAT	5,864	15.39%	15.39%		0.0%
LIB	5,801	15.22%	6.49%		0.1%
MIN	864	2.27%	2.27%		0.0%
OTH	335	0.88%	0.43%		0.1%
CON Majority	6,419	16.84%	Pred Maj	13.16%

Electorate	50,656	Turnout	58.98%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	15,681	52.49%	58.03%		100.0%
NAT	6,064	20.30%	20.30%		0.0%
LIB	4,120	13.79%	5.88%		0.0%
CON	3,010	10.07%	12.44%		0.0%
MIN	1,001	3.35%	3.35%		0.0%
LAB Majority	9,617	32.19%	Pred Maj	37.73%

Electorate	53,470	Turnout	69.17%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	15,083	40.78%	47.66%		75.8%
CON	12,811	34.64%	37.58%		24.2%
LIB	5,747	15.54%	6.62%		0.0%
NAT	1,844	4.99%	4.99%		0.0%
MIN	844	2.28%	2.28%		0.0%
OTH	655	1.77%	0.87%		0.0%
LAB Majority	2,272	6.14%	Pred Maj	10.08%

Electorate	45,354	Turnout	63.73%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
NAT	12,814	44.33%	44.33%		99.7%
CON	6,447	22.30%	24.81%		0.1%
LAB	4,021	13.91%	19.79%		0.2%
LIB	3,538	12.24%	5.22%		0.0%
MIN	1,310	4.53%	4.53%		0.0%
OTH	776	2.68%	1.32%		0.0%
NAT Majority	6,367	22.03%	Pred Maj	19.52%

Electorate	61,696	Turnout	67.54%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	16,016	38.43%	46.66%		74.3%
CON	13,333	32.00%	35.51%		25.4%
LIB	7,947	19.07%	8.13%		0.2%
NAT	2,760	6.62%	6.62%		0.0%
MIN	963	2.31%	2.31%		0.0%
OTH	652	1.56%	0.77%		0.1%
LAB Majority	2,683	6.44%	Pred Maj	11.15%

Electorate	54,826	Turnout	63.27%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	17,069	49.20%	56.61%		99.0%
CON	4,854	13.99%	17.16%		1.0%
NAT	4,518	13.02%	13.02%		0.0%
LIB	3,597	10.37%	4.42%		0.0%
OTH	3,157	9.10%	4.47%		0.0%
MIN	1,495	4.31%	4.31%		0.0%
LAB Majority	12,215	35.21%	Pred Maj	39.46%

Electorate	55,637	Turnout	67.33%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	15,916	42.49%	46.67%		98.8%
NAT	11,215	29.94%	29.94%		0.3%
CON	5,381	14.36%	16.15%		0.9%
LIB	3,902	10.42%	4.44%		0.0%
MIN	1,047	2.79%	2.79%		0.0%
LAB Majority	4,701	12.55%	Pred Maj	16.74%

Electorate	54,715	Turnout	58.62%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	14,007	43.67%	54.20%		96.4%
LIB	9,951	31.02%	19.55%		1.6%
CON	2,412	7.52%	12.02%		1.9%
OTH	2,240	6.98%	3.43%		0.1%
MIN	1,845	5.75%	5.75%		0.0%
NAT	1,621	5.05%	5.05%		0.0%
LAB Majority	4,056	12.64%	Pred Maj	34.65%

Electorate	62,768	Turnout	74.11%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
CON	22,466	48.29%	51.82%		83.4%
LAB	12,041	25.88%	34.13%		16.4%
LIB	9,026	19.40%	8.27%		0.2%
NAT	1,273	2.74%	2.74%		0.0%
MIN	1,126	2.42%	2.42%		0.0%
OTH	587	1.26%	0.62%		0.0%
CON Majority	10,425	22.41%	Pred Maj	17.69%

Electorate	48,730	Turnout	69.39%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
CON	13,976	41.33%	45.09%		83.5%
LIB	12,792	37.83%	26.36%		10.3%
NAT	2,802	8.29%	8.29%		0.0%
LAB	2,407	7.12%	15.90%		6.0%
MIN	1,128	3.34%	3.34%		0.0%
OTH	708	2.09%	1.03%		0.2%
CON Majority	1,184	3.50%	Pred Maj	18.73%

Electorate	57,186	Turnout	64.91%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	17,172	46.26%	53.05%		99.2%
NAT	7,397	19.93%	19.93%		0.0%
LIB	5,535	14.91%	6.36%		0.0%
CON	4,847	13.06%	15.96%		0.8%
MIN	1,342	3.62%	3.62%		0.0%
OTH	829	2.23%	1.10%		0.0%
LAB Majority	9,775	26.33%	Pred Maj	33.12%

Electorate	54,437	Turnout	63.28%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	12,744	36.99%	45.86%		82.0%
LIB	11,094	32.21%	20.73%		4.4%
CON	7,918	22.99%	26.77%		13.4%
MIN	1,168	3.39%	3.39%		0.0%
OTH	800	2.32%	1.14%		0.2%
NAT	724	2.10%	2.10%		0.0%
LAB Majority	1,650	4.79%	Pred Maj	19.09%

Electorate	62,111	Turnout	63.95%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	16,389	41.26%	49.36%		79.1%
CON	12,845	32.34%	35.80%		20.8%
LIB	6,587	16.58%	7.07%		0.1%
OTH	1,594	4.01%	1.97%		0.0%
MIN	1,183	2.98%	2.98%		0.0%
NAT	1,122	2.82%	2.82%		0.0%
LAB Majority	3,544	8.92%	Pred Maj	13.56%

Electorate	55,527	Turnout	62.40%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	18,644	53.81%	60.71%		99.9%
CON	5,398	15.58%	18.53%		0.1%
LIB	5,260	15.18%	6.47%		0.0%
NAT	3,326	9.60%	9.60%		0.0%
MIN	1,242	3.58%	3.58%		0.0%
OTH	780	2.25%	1.11%		0.0%
LAB Majority	13,246	38.23%	Pred Maj	42.18%

Electorate	58,219	Turnout	63.00%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	14,226	38.79%	47.97%		90.4%
LIB	11,435	31.18%	19.70%		2.9%
CON	5,932	16.17%	20.10%		6.5%
NAT	2,673	7.29%	7.29%		0.0%
MIN	1,229	3.35%	3.35%		0.0%
OTH	1,182	3.22%	1.58%		0.2%
LAB Majority	2,791	7.61%	Pred Maj	27.88%

Electorate	57,419	Turnout	68.97%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
CON	16,944	42.79%	45.28%		72.4%
LAB	12,339	31.16%	37.00%		27.6%
LIB	5,759	14.54%	6.20%		0.0%
NAT	3,654	9.23%	9.23%		0.0%
MIN	906	2.29%	2.29%		0.0%
CON Majority	4,605	11.63%	Pred Maj	8.28%

Electorate	51,554	Turnout	60.27%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	17,183	55.30%	59.99%		100.0%
NAT	5,630	18.12%	18.12%		0.0%
LIB	3,309	10.65%	4.54%		0.0%
MIN	2,599	8.36%	8.36%		0.0%
CON	1,993	6.41%	8.42%		0.0%
OTH	358	1.15%	0.57%		0.0%
LAB Majority	11,553	37.18%	Pred Maj	41.87%

Electorate	59,823	Turnout	54.62%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	16,819	51.47%	60.09%		99.2%
LIB	5,981	18.30%	7.80%		0.0%
CON	4,823	14.76%	18.44%		0.8%
NAT	2,181	6.67%	6.67%		0.0%
MIN	1,715	5.25%	5.25%		0.0%
OTH	1,157	3.54%	1.74%		0.0%
LAB Majority	10,838	33.17%	Pred Maj	41.65%

Electorate	61,334	Turnout	58.03%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	12,335	34.66%	44.37%		77.9%
LIB	11,831	33.24%	21.77%		6.6%
CON	7,407	20.81%	24.96%		15.1%
OTH	1,673	4.70%	2.31%		0.4%
NAT	1,437	4.04%	4.04%		0.0%
MIN	910	2.56%	2.56%		0.0%
LAB Majority	504	1.42%	Pred Maj	19.41%

Electorate	61,178	Turnout	61.53%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	16,847	44.76%	54.60%		94.6%
CON	7,541	20.03%	24.24%		5.4%
LIB	6,264	16.64%	7.09%		0.0%
OTH	3,326	8.84%	4.34%		0.0%
NAT	2,005	5.33%	5.33%		0.0%
MIN	1,657	4.40%	4.40%		0.0%
LAB Majority	9,306	24.72%	Pred Maj	30.36%

Electorate	55,781	Turnout	63.70%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	15,017	42.26%	47.96%		79.9%
CON	12,508	35.20%	37.64%		20.1%
LIB	4,472	12.59%	5.36%		0.0%
NAT	2,068	5.82%	5.82%		0.0%
MIN	827	2.33%	2.33%		0.0%
OTH	642	1.81%	0.89%		0.0%
LAB Majority	2,509	7.06%	Pred Maj	10.33%

Electorate	70,262	Turnout	69.27%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
CON	20,341	41.80%	44.63%		63.6%
LAB	16,034	32.95%	39.57%		36.3%
LIB	7,403	15.21%	6.48%		0.0%
NAT	2,667	5.48%	5.48%		0.0%
MIN	1,529	3.14%	3.14%		0.0%
OTH	693	1.42%	0.70%		0.1%
CON Majority	4,307	8.85%	Pred Maj	5.06%

Electorate	50,872	Turnout	64.82%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	12,161	36.88%	45.75%		80.7%
LIB	8,503	25.79%	14.31%		1.5%
CON	8,375	25.40%	29.19%		17.6%
NAT	2,029	6.15%	6.15%		0.0%
MIN	1,134	3.44%	3.44%		0.0%
OTH	774	2.35%	1.15%		0.2%
LAB Majority	3,658	11.09%	Pred Maj	16.56%

Electorate	50,075	Turnout	68.78%	Top
	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes		Chance of winning
LAB	11,490	33.36%	37.79%		88.1%
NAT	9,029	26.21%	26.21%		0.7%
CON	7,744	22.48%	24.38%		11.2%
LIB	2,592	7.53%	3.21%		0.0%
MIN	2,225	6.46%	6.46%		0.0%
OTH	1,364	3.96%	1.95%		0.0%
LAB Majority	2,461	7.14%	Pred Maj	11.58%