General Election Prediction
Current Prediction: Labour majority 40
|Party||2010 Votes||2010 Seats||Pred Votes||Pred Seats|
|NAT|| 2.26%||9|| 2.78%||12|
|MIN|| 4.37%||19|| 7.50%||19|
Prediction based on opinion polls from 11 Jul 14 to 01 Aug 14, sampling 10,026 people.
Can the Conservatives win?
Each election since 1983 is represented by a two-segment line which shows the state of the major parties
in the run-up to the election. The line shows where their poll support was at (a) two years before the
election (start of the line), (b) one year before the election (shown by a small dot), and
(c) the election result itself (marked with a labelled dot). The average opinion poll
support over 2013 is marked with a grey circle.
Read the analysis and conclusions from this data to see if
the Conservatives can win.