| Party | 2010 Votes | 2010 Seats | Pred Votes | Pred Seats |
| CON | 36.97% | 307 | 37.59% | 279 |
| LAB | 29.66% | 258 | 37.83% | 312 |
| LIB | 23.56% | 57 | 11.42% | 14 |
| NAT | 2.26% | 9 | 3.71% | 27 |
| MIN | 7.54% | 19 | 9.45% | 18 |
Prediction based on opinion polls from 18 Jan 12 to 27 Jan 12, sampling 9,288 people.
| Conservative majority |
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| Labour majority |
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| Con/Lib coalition |
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| Lab/Lib coaliltion |
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| Lib choice of coalition |
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| No overall control |
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The future is never certain. But using our advanced modelling techniques, we can estimate the probability of the various possible outcomes at the next general election.