Yorkshire: Majority Sorted Seats

This page shows all the seats in Yorkshire sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Leeds Central, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Richmond, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Colne Valley (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Morley and Outwood (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Yorkshire seats with predictions

Lab Seats	Con Seats	Seat	MP at 2010	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	UKIP %	NAT %	MIN %	OTH %	2010 Win	Pred Win
61	531	Leeds Central	Hilary Benn	64,698	57.8	11.40	59.00	5.77	12.39	0.00	0.00	11.44	LAB	LAB
80	512	Leeds East	George Mudie	65,067	58.1	14.40	59.33	4.32	11.41	0.00	0.00	10.52	LAB	LAB
105	487	Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford	Yvette Cooper	82,239	56.2	15.70	56.82	4.05	10.98	0.00	0.00	12.45	LAB	LAB
109	483	Leeds West	Rachel Reeves	67,453	57.5	11.07	51.95	9.13	15.27	0.00	0.00	12.58	LAB	LAB
130	462	Hemsworth	Jon Trickett	72,552	60.4	15.55	54.31	3.19	9.62	0.00	9.00	8.32	LAB	LAB
165	427	York Central	Hugh Bayley	74,908	62.1	17.31	49.66	10.10	14.76	0.00	0.00	8.17	LAB	LAB
179	413	Bradford West	Marsha Singh	62,519	64.9	22.38	52.50	2.88	11.13	0.00	3.38	7.74	LAB	LAB
180	412	Bradford South	Gerry Sutcliffe	63,580	59.8	20.34	50.45	4.52	15.25	0.00	0.00	9.44	LAB	LAB
185	407	Huddersfield	Barry Sheerman	66,316	61.1	19.00	48.51	9.67	12.39	0.00	0.00	10.43	LAB	LAB
193	399	Leeds North East	Fabian Hamilton	67,899	70.0	24.35	52.26	4.84	14.00	0.00	0.00	4.56	LAB	LAB
216	376	Batley and Spen	Mike Wood	76,732	66.6	24.80	50.62	3.91	10.76	0.00	7.21	2.69	LAB	LAB
228	364	Bradford East	David Ward	65,116	62.1	18.07	42.51	18.65	12.39	0.00	0.00	8.38	LIB	LAB
244	348	Halifax	Linda Riordan	70,380	61.9	25.22	46.81	4.73	13.56	0.00	0.00	9.68	LAB	LAB
250	342	Wakefield	Mary Creagh	70,834	62.7	26.87	47.85	4.03	10.95	0.00	0.00	10.29	LAB	LAB
258	334	Morley and Outwood	Ed Balls	74,200	65.8	26.57	46.30	4.14	14.20	0.00	7.24	1.55	LAB	LAB
288	304	Pudsey	Stuart Andrew	69,257	70.9	29.68	44.78	5.77	14.88	0.00	0.00	4.89	CON	LAB
291	301	Dewsbury	Simon Reevell	78,901	68.5	26.22	40.93	4.19	11.19	0.00	7.06	10.41	CON	LAB
300	291	Leeds North West	Greg Mulholland	65,399	66.5	17.79	30.71	32.44	13.77	0.00	0.00	5.29	LIB	LIB
316	276	Keighley	Kris Hopkins	65,893	72.4	33.17	43.89	3.66	13.44	0.00	0.00	5.84	CON	LAB
325	267	Elmet and Rothwell	Alec Shelbrooke	77,724	71.8	33.85	43.10	4.03	13.81	0.00	0.00	5.21	CON	LAB
334	258	Colne Valley	Jason McCartney	80,062	69.1	28.19	36.09	13.16	14.50	0.00	0.00	8.06	CON	LAB
343	249	Calder Valley	Craig Whittaker	76,903	67.3	30.62	36.68	10.12	14.66	0.00	0.00	7.93	CON	LAB
367	225	Scarborough and Whitby	Robert Goodwill	75,443	65.3	34.06	36.04	7.45	15.40	0.00	0.00	7.05	CON	LAB
375	217	Shipley	Philip Davies	67,689	73.0	39.79	38.15	4.95	12.39	0.00	0.00	4.72	CON	CON
393	199	Selby and Ainsty	Nigel Adams	72,789	71.1	40.65	34.72	4.38	14.67	0.00	0.00	5.58	CON	CON
397	195	York Outer	Julian Sturdy	74,965	71.1	34.22	26.79	21.01	14.46	0.00	0.00	3.53	CON	CON
507	85	Harrogate and Knaresborough	Andrew Jones	75,269	70.6	36.97	16.13	28.73	14.38	0.00	0.00	3.79	CON	CON
508	84	Thirsk and Malton	Anne McIntosh	76,231	50.0	44.10	23.26	8.24	18.95	0.00	0.00	5.45	CON	CON
520	72	Skipton and Ripon	Julian Smith	77,381	70.7	41.82	19.75	17.35	15.88	0.00	0.00	5.20	CON	CON
573	19	Richmond	William Hague	79,478	67.2	54.03	24.69	4.72	12.04	0.00	0.00	4.52	CON	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2010. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.