Yorkshire: Majority Sorted Seats

This page shows all the seats in Yorkshire sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Leeds Central, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Richmond, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Calder Valley (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Morley and Outwood (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Yorkshire seats with predictions

Lab Seats	Con Seats	Seat	MP at 2010	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	NAT %	MIN %	OTH %	2010 Win	Pred Win
69	523	Leeds Central	Hilary Benn	64,698	57.8	20.97	59.67	7.65	0.00	0.00	11.71	LAB	LAB
89	503	Leeds East	George Mudie	65,067	58.1	23.88	59.47	5.97	0.00	0.00	10.68	LAB	LAB
111	481	Leeds West	Rachel Reeves	67,453	57.5	20.53	52.66	11.00	0.00	0.00	15.81	LAB	LAB
117	475	Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford	Yvette Cooper	82,239	56.2	25.13	56.72	5.59	0.00	0.00	12.56	LAB	LAB
137	455	Hemsworth	Jon Trickett	72,552	60.4	24.84	53.48	4.41	0.00	9.00	8.27	LAB	LAB
160	432	York Central	Hugh Bayley	74,908	62.1	26.89	50.33	11.97	0.00	0.00	10.81	LAB	LAB
177	415	Bradford South	Gerry Sutcliffe	63,580	59.8	29.85	50.76	6.23	0.00	0.00	13.16	LAB	LAB
179	413	Huddersfield	Barry Sheerman	66,316	61.1	28.58	49.18	11.55	0.00	0.00	10.70	LAB	LAB
181	411	Bradford West	Marsha Singh	62,519	64.9	31.62	51.40	3.98	0.00	3.38	9.63	LAB	LAB
183	409	Leeds North East	Fabian Hamilton	67,899	70.0	33.91	52.83	6.68	0.00	0.00	6.58	LAB	LAB
208	384	Batley and Spen	Mike Wood	76,732	66.6	34.21	50.41	5.40	0.00	7.21	2.77	LAB	LAB
215	377	Bradford East	David Ward	65,116	62.1	27.65	43.18	20.52	0.00	0.00	8.65	LIB	LAB
237	355	Halifax	Linda Riordan	70,380	61.9	34.77	47.30	6.52	0.00	0.00	11.41	LAB	LAB
245	347	Wakefield	Mary Creagh	70,834	62.7	36.30	47.74	5.56	0.00	0.00	10.39	LAB	LAB
253	339	Morley and Outwood	Ed Balls	74,200	65.8	36.01	46.28	5.71	0.00	7.24	4.76	LAB	LAB
275	317	Pudsey	Stuart Andrew	69,257	70.9	39.26	45.44	7.65	0.00	0.00	7.65	CON	LAB
280	312	Dewsbury	Simon Reevell	78,901	68.5	35.68	40.95	5.77	0.00	7.06	10.54	CON	LAB
288	303	Leeds North West	Greg Mulholland	65,399	66.5	27.37	31.37	34.31	0.00	0.00	6.94	LIB	LIB
308	284	Keighley	Kris Hopkins	65,893	72.4	42.54	43.45	5.05	0.00	0.00	8.96	CON	LAB
313	279	Elmet and Rothwell	Alec Shelbrooke	77,724	71.8	43.28	42.98	5.57	0.00	0.00	8.17	CON	CON
321	271	Colne Valley	Jason McCartney	80,062	69.1	37.77	36.75	15.03	0.00	0.00	10.44	CON	CON
327	265	Calder Valley	Craig Whittaker	76,903	67.3	40.20	37.34	11.99	0.00	0.00	10.46	CON	CON
353	239	Scarborough and Whitby	Robert Goodwill	75,443	65.3	43.64	36.71	9.33	0.00	0.00	10.33	CON	CON
363	229	Shipley	Philip Davies	67,689	73.0	49.37	38.81	6.83	0.00	0.00	4.99	CON	CON
383	209	Selby and Ainsty	Nigel Adams	72,789	71.1	50.13	34.91	6.05	0.00	0.00	8.91	CON	CON
387	205	York Outer	Julian Sturdy	74,965	71.1	43.80	27.46	22.88	0.00	0.00	5.86	CON	CON
510	82	Harrogate and Knaresborough	Andrew Jones	75,269	70.6	46.55	16.79	30.60	0.00	0.00	6.05	CON	CON
511	81	Thirsk and Malton	Anne McIntosh	76,231	50.0	53.68	23.92	10.11	0.00	0.00	12.28	CON	CON
523	69	Skipton and Ripon	Julian Smith	77,381	70.7	51.40	20.42	19.23	0.00	0.00	8.96	CON	CON
574	18	Richmond	William Hague	79,478	67.2	63.57	25.17	6.51	0.00	0.00	4.75	CON	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2010. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.