Humberside: Majority Sorted Seats

This page shows all the seats in Humberside sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, South Holland and The Deepings, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Cleethorpes (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Great Grimsby (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Humberside seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2010ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2010
Win
Pred
Win
20572Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough David Blunkett68,18657.16.4563.174.9314.540.007.783.14LABLAB
51541Wentworth and Dearne John Healey72,58658.09.8658.713.9818.430.000.009.02LABLAB
56536Sheffield South East Clive Betts67,28461.59.7757.958.2816.360.000.007.65LABLAB
59533Hull East Karl Turner67,53050.69.3157.037.7319.640.000.006.29LABLAB
65527Barnsley East Michael Dugher68,43556.19.2655.564.4815.380.008.606.72LABLAB
70522Barnsley Central Eric Illsley65,54356.59.6955.644.2715.370.008.946.08LABLAB
91501Sheffield Central Paul Blomfield69,51959.65.7049.2725.8711.720.000.007.44LABLAB
93499Doncaster North Ed Milliband72,38157.312.2755.473.6814.720.006.797.07LABLAB
94498Rotherham Denis MacShane63,56559.09.4052.533.9515.990.0010.417.72LABLAB
99493Sheffield Heeley Meg Munn65,86962.09.7351.8213.3315.530.000.009.60LABLAB
110482Hull West and Hessle Alan Johnson57,26455.011.4252.179.1817.750.000.009.48LABLAB
117475Hull North Diana Johnson64,08252.07.3647.6622.2014.900.000.007.88LABLAB
159433Doncaster Central Rosie Winterton75,20755.516.0049.406.0115.800.000.0012.80LABLAB
178414Rother Valley Kevin Barron72,84164.219.6349.844.2916.940.000.009.30LABLAB
215377Don Valley Caroline Flint73,21459.320.8846.744.2215.640.000.0012.52LABLAB
221371Penistone and Stocksbridge Angela Smith68,50167.922.4447.476.0116.550.000.007.53LABLAB
226366Scunthorpe Nic Dakin63,08958.723.8848.714.5216.280.000.006.61LABLAB
253339Great Grimsby Austin Mitchell61,22953.821.7742.417.3618.590.000.009.87LABLAB
277315Lincoln Karl McCartney73,54062.228.7744.935.1914.590.000.006.53CONLAB
315276Sheffield Hallam Nick Clegg69,37873.714.7825.8038.3814.730.000.006.32LIBLIB
331261Cleethorpes Martin Vickers70,21464.033.3541.724.5018.800.000.001.63CONLAB
351241Brigg and Goole Andrew Percy67,34565.136.0941.183.6114.270.000.004.85CONLAB
399193Beverley and Holderness Graham Stuart79,61166.838.3430.807.6415.860.003.913.44CONCON
403189Yorkshire East Greg Knight80,34263.838.7030.006.0916.570.000.008.64CONCON
422170Boston and Skegness Mark Simmonds70,52961.140.6828.743.6519.810.000.007.12CONCON
439153Grantham and Stamford Nicholas Boles78,00067.741.5227.707.1515.430.000.008.20CONCON
440152Louth and Horncastle Sir Peter Tapsell77,65065.040.8727.057.1116.720.000.008.25CONCON
454138Gainsborough Edward Leigh72,14468.340.5025.3412.7716.580.000.004.80CONCON
466126Haltemprice and Howden David Davis70,40369.241.4725.3611.3812.390.000.009.40CONCON
470122Sleaford and North Hykeham Stephen Phillips85,55069.642.8326.034.4915.310.006.394.95CONCON
56725South Holland and The Deepings John Hayes76,24365.850.2922.313.8217.080.000.006.50CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2010. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.