Humberside: Majority Sorted Seats

This page shows all the seats in Humberside sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, South Holland and The Deepings, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Cleethorpes (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Great Grimsby (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Humberside seats with predictions

Lab Seats	Con Seats	Seat	MP at 2010	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	UKIP %	NAT %	MIN %	OTH %	2010 Win	Pred Win
20	572	Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough	David Blunkett	68,186	57.1	6.45	63.17	4.93	14.54	0.00	7.78	3.14	LAB	LAB
51	541	Wentworth and Dearne	John Healey	72,586	58.0	9.86	58.71	3.98	18.43	0.00	0.00	9.02	LAB	LAB
56	536	Sheffield South East	Clive Betts	67,284	61.5	9.77	57.95	8.28	16.36	0.00	0.00	7.65	LAB	LAB
59	533	Hull East	Karl Turner	67,530	50.6	9.31	57.03	7.73	19.64	0.00	0.00	6.29	LAB	LAB
65	527	Barnsley East	Michael Dugher	68,435	56.1	9.26	55.56	4.48	15.38	0.00	8.60	6.72	LAB	LAB
70	522	Barnsley Central	Eric Illsley	65,543	56.5	9.69	55.64	4.27	15.37	0.00	8.94	6.08	LAB	LAB
91	501	Sheffield Central	Paul Blomfield	69,519	59.6	5.70	49.27	25.87	11.72	0.00	0.00	7.44	LAB	LAB
93	499	Doncaster North	Ed Milliband	72,381	57.3	12.27	55.47	3.68	14.72	0.00	6.79	7.07	LAB	LAB
94	498	Rotherham	Denis MacShane	63,565	59.0	9.40	52.53	3.95	15.99	0.00	10.41	7.72	LAB	LAB
99	493	Sheffield Heeley	Meg Munn	65,869	62.0	9.73	51.82	13.33	15.53	0.00	0.00	9.60	LAB	LAB
110	482	Hull West and Hessle	Alan Johnson	57,264	55.0	11.42	52.17	9.18	17.75	0.00	0.00	9.48	LAB	LAB
117	475	Hull North	Diana Johnson	64,082	52.0	7.36	47.66	22.20	14.90	0.00	0.00	7.88	LAB	LAB
159	433	Doncaster Central	Rosie Winterton	75,207	55.5	16.00	49.40	6.01	15.80	0.00	0.00	12.80	LAB	LAB
178	414	Rother Valley	Kevin Barron	72,841	64.2	19.63	49.84	4.29	16.94	0.00	0.00	9.30	LAB	LAB
215	377	Don Valley	Caroline Flint	73,214	59.3	20.88	46.74	4.22	15.64	0.00	0.00	12.52	LAB	LAB
221	371	Penistone and Stocksbridge	Angela Smith	68,501	67.9	22.44	47.47	6.01	16.55	0.00	0.00	7.53	LAB	LAB
226	366	Scunthorpe	Nic Dakin	63,089	58.7	23.88	48.71	4.52	16.28	0.00	0.00	6.61	LAB	LAB
253	339	Great Grimsby	Austin Mitchell	61,229	53.8	21.77	42.41	7.36	18.59	0.00	0.00	9.87	LAB	LAB
277	315	Lincoln	Karl McCartney	73,540	62.2	28.77	44.93	5.19	14.59	0.00	0.00	6.53	CON	LAB
315	276	Sheffield Hallam	Nick Clegg	69,378	73.7	14.78	25.80	38.38	14.73	0.00	0.00	6.32	LIB	LIB
331	261	Cleethorpes	Martin Vickers	70,214	64.0	33.35	41.72	4.50	18.80	0.00	0.00	1.63	CON	LAB
351	241	Brigg and Goole	Andrew Percy	67,345	65.1	36.09	41.18	3.61	14.27	0.00	0.00	4.85	CON	LAB
399	193	Beverley and Holderness	Graham Stuart	79,611	66.8	38.34	30.80	7.64	15.86	0.00	3.91	3.44	CON	CON
403	189	Yorkshire East	Greg Knight	80,342	63.8	38.70	30.00	6.09	16.57	0.00	0.00	8.64	CON	CON
422	170	Boston and Skegness	Mark Simmonds	70,529	61.1	40.68	28.74	3.65	19.81	0.00	0.00	7.12	CON	CON
439	153	Grantham and Stamford	Nicholas Boles	78,000	67.7	41.52	27.70	7.15	15.43	0.00	0.00	8.20	CON	CON
440	152	Louth and Horncastle	Sir Peter Tapsell	77,650	65.0	40.87	27.05	7.11	16.72	0.00	0.00	8.25	CON	CON
454	138	Gainsborough	Edward Leigh	72,144	68.3	40.50	25.34	12.77	16.58	0.00	0.00	4.80	CON	CON
466	126	Haltemprice and Howden	David Davis	70,403	69.2	41.47	25.36	11.38	12.39	0.00	0.00	9.40	CON	CON
470	122	Sleaford and North Hykeham	Stephen Phillips	85,550	69.6	42.83	26.03	4.49	15.31	0.00	6.39	4.95	CON	CON
567	25	South Holland and The Deepings	John Hayes	76,243	65.8	50.29	22.31	3.82	17.08	0.00	0.00	6.50	CON	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2010. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.