East Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

This page shows all the seats in East Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Luton North, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Huntingdon, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Kettering (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Ipswich (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of East Anglia seats with predictions

Lab Seats	Con Seats	Seat	MP at 2005	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	NAT %	MIN %	OTH %	2005 Win	Pred Win
212	366	Luton North	Kelvin Hopkins	68,387	57.4	44.39	38.34	10.94	0.00	0.00	6.33	LAB	CON
220	358	Norwich South	Charles Clarke	68,434	60.0	34.69	27.63	24.09	0.00	7.20	6.39	LAB	CON
228	350	Norwich North	Ian Gibson	65,827	61.1	43.88	35.74	12.75	0.00	0.14	7.49	LAB	CON
235	342	Cambridge	David Howarth	75,758	62.6	31.48	22.64	37.61	0.00	0.00	8.27	LIB	LIB
236	342	Luton South	Margaret Moran	71,739	54.1	41.51	32.31	16.61	0.00	0.00	9.57	LAB	CON
245	333	Waveney	Bob Blizzard	77,033	64.4	45.58	34.90	10.62	0.00	0.00	8.89	LAB	CON
247	331	Ipswich	Chris Mole	72,820	61.2	44.08	33.23	14.85	0.00	0.00	7.83	LAB	CON
268	310	Northampton North	Sally Keeble	64,901	57.0	42.28	29.10	20.61	0.00	0.00	8.02	LAB	CON
271	307	Great Yarmouth	Tony Wright	68,886	60.1	49.34	35.18	7.79	0.00	0.00	7.68	LAB	CON
286	292	Bedford	Patrick Hall	71,551	59.7	46.73	31.21	16.04	0.00	0.00	6.02	LAB	CON
298	280	Northampton South	Unknown (changed seat)	65,050	60.1	49.44	32.29	11.04	0.00	0.00	7.23	LAB	CON
312	266	Corby	Phil Hope	72,999	66.5	51.54	32.72	8.96	0.00	2.63	4.14	LAB	CON
329	249	Kettering	Philip Hollobone	65,855	68.0	54.75	33.32	6.77	0.00	0.00	5.16	CON	CON
345	233	Wellingborough	Peter Bone	74,070	66.5	54.59	31.49	8.30	0.00	0.00	5.63	CON	CON
368	210	Peterborough	Stewart Jackson	73,954	60.9	54.72	25.13	11.38	0.00	0.00	8.77	CON	CON
394	184	Norfolk Mid	Keith Simpson	72,410	65.8	60.83	23.89	8.38	0.00	0.00	6.89	CON	CON
403	175	Norfolk South West	Christopher Fraser	72,198	62.4	58.67	20.41	12.59	0.00	0.00	8.33	CON	CON
418	160	Broadland	Unknown (new seat)	72,963	67.1	50.81	10.69	30.47	0.00	0.00	8.03	CON	CON
423	155	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	Sir Michael Lord	72,255	66.7	58.32	17.32	14.62	0.00	0.00	9.73	CON	CON
425	153	Bedfordshire South West	Andrew Selous	74,095	61.8	60.84	19.83	11.85	0.00	0.00	7.48	CON	CON
430	148	Cambridgeshire North East	Malcolm Moss	78,922	59.8	60.51	19.16	12.33	0.00	0.00	7.99	CON	CON
433	145	Suffolk South	Tim Yeo	68,038	71.8	55.48	14.04	22.48	0.00	0.00	8.00	CON	CON
435	143	Suffolk Coastal	John Gummer	77,359	67.9	57.76	15.85	16.24	0.00	0.00	10.15	CON	CON
436	142	Norfolk North West	Henry Bellingham	74,537	61.6	62.68	20.74	10.55	0.00	0.00	6.03	CON	CON
436	141	Norfolk North	Norman Lamb	67,540	73.0	46.04	4.08	46.29	0.00	0.00	3.59	LIB	LIB
438	140	Bury St Edmunds	David Ruffley	80,135	66.0	59.18	17.06	14.11	0.00	0.00	9.65	CON	CON
446	132	Suffolk West	Richard Spring	72,333	60.7	62.01	18.58	11.81	0.00	0.00	7.60	CON	CON
457	121	Cambridgeshire North West	Shailesh Vara	84,808	61.7	59.15	14.94	17.62	0.00	0.00	8.29	CON	CON
465	113	Daventry	Tim Boswell	69,962	67.7	64.99	19.26	10.21	0.00	0.00	5.54	CON	CON
470	108	Norfolk South	Richard Bacon	72,344	68.4	57.56	11.19	25.11	0.00	0.18	5.96	CON	CON
482	96	Bedfordshire North East	Alastair Burt	72,297	68.0	62.54	14.99	15.47	0.00	0.00	7.00	CON	CON
491	87	Bedfordshire Mid	Nadine Dorries	73,312	68.3	60.81	11.88	16.92	0.00	0.00	10.39	CON	CON
497	81	Cambridgeshire South	Andrew Lansley	77,923	68.1	58.98	9.45	22.91	0.00	0.00	8.66	CON	CON
499	79	Cambridgeshire South East	James Paice	79,396	65.3	60.30	10.60	26.12	0.00	0.00	2.97	CON	CON
512	66	Northamptonshire South	Unknown (new seat)	74,135	65.0	64.29	13.34	12.66	0.00	0.00	9.71	CON	CON
551	27	Huntingdon	Jonathan Djanogly	78,432	62.5	64.07	9.05	19.97	0.00	0.00	6.92	CON	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2005. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.