East Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

This page shows all the seats in East Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Luton North, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Daventry, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Great Yarmouth (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of East Anglia seats with predictions

Lab Seats	Con Seats	Seat	MP at 2010	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	NAT %	MIN %	OTH %	2010 Win	Pred Win
164	428	Luton North	Kelvin Hopkins	65,062	66.1	32.24	55.08	3.73	0.00	0.00	8.96	LAB	LAB
217	375	Norwich South	Simon Wright	73,649	64.6	23.74	39.16	16.07	0.00	14.92	6.11	LIB	LAB
221	371	Luton South	Gavin Shuker	59,962	70.4	30.18	45.34	9.37	0.00	0.00	15.11	LAB	LAB
261	331	Cambridge	Julian Huppert	77,081	65.0	26.41	34.74	25.85	0.00	7.59	5.41	LIB	LAB
271	321	Bedford	Richard Fuller	68,491	65.9	39.71	46.29	6.66	0.00	0.00	7.34	CON	LAB
283	309	Waveney	Peter Aldous	78,532	65.1	40.77	45.68	4.47	0.00	0.00	9.08	CON	LAB
284	308	Northampton North	Michael Ellis	64,230	62.7	34.92	39.76	14.64	0.00	0.00	10.68	CON	LAB
287	305	Ipswich	Ben Gummer	78,371	59.9	39.88	44.24	6.11	0.00	0.00	9.77	CON	LAB
292	300	Corby	Louise Bagshaw	78,305	69.3	42.79	46.26	4.84	0.00	0.00	6.11	CON	LAB
314	278	Norwich North	Chloe Smith	65,258	65.2	41.33	40.98	6.13	0.00	0.00	11.55	CON	CON
322	270	Peterborough	Stewart Jackson	70,316	63.9	41.16	39.80	6.58	0.00	0.00	12.46	CON	CON
329	263	Great Yarmouth	Brandon Lewis	70,315	61.2	43.72	40.71	4.82	0.00	0.00	10.75	CON	CON
346	246	Northampton South	Brian Binley	66,923	58.2	41.63	35.60	6.52	0.00	0.00	16.25	CON	CON
364	228	Kettering	Philip Hollobone	68,837	68.8	49.76	38.19	5.31	0.00	0.00	6.73	CON	CON
381	211	Wellingborough	Peter Bone	76,857	67.2	48.93	34.37	5.74	0.00	0.00	10.95	CON	CON
390	201	Norfolk North	Norman Lamb	67,841	73.2	32.89	16.29	42.19	0.00	5.40	3.23	LIB	LIB
410	182	Norfolk South West	Elizabeth Truss	74,298	66.2	49.14	29.01	8.30	0.00	0.00	13.55	CON	CON
415	177	Suffolk Coastal	Therese Coffey	76,687	71.6	47.22	26.51	16.49	0.00	0.00	9.78	CON	CON
418	174	Bury St Edmunds	David Ruffley	84,727	69.3	48.33	27.11	13.14	0.00	0.00	11.43	CON	CON
432	160	Norfolk Mid	George Freeman	74,260	68.4	50.30	27.90	8.90	0.00	0.00	12.89	CON	CON
436	156	Broadland	Keith Simpson	73,168	72.0	47.02	24.29	19.07	0.00	0.00	9.62	CON	CON
446	146	Bedfordshire South West	Andrew Selous	76,559	66.3	53.63	30.05	6.73	0.00	4.22	5.37	CON	CON
449	143	Suffolk South	Tim Yeo	72,498	70.9	48.56	24.79	17.56	0.00	0.00	9.09	CON	CON
451	141	Cambridgeshire North West	Shailesh Vara	88,857	65.6	51.30	27.40	8.58	0.00	8.28	4.43	CON	CON
453	139	Cambridgeshire North East	Stephen Barclay	73,224	71.1	52.41	28.27	6.75	0.00	0.00	12.57	CON	CON
463	129	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	Daniel Poulter	75,848	70.4	51.59	26.62	11.68	0.00	0.00	10.11	CON	CON
473	119	Suffolk West	Matthew Hancock	74,413	64.6	51.37	25.20	10.13	0.00	0.00	13.30	CON	CON
479	113	Norfolk South	Richard Bacon	76,165	72.2	50.15	23.64	16.15	0.00	0.00	10.05	CON	CON
488	104	Cambridgeshire South	Andrew Lansley	78,995	74.8	48.22	20.66	20.84	0.00	0.00	10.28	CON	CON
490	102	Bedfordshire Mid	Nadine Dorries	76,023	72.2	53.30	25.23	11.60	0.00	5.15	4.72	CON	CON
493	99	Huntingdon	Jonathan Djanogly	83,557	64.9	49.68	21.48	15.63	0.00	6.00	7.20	CON	CON
495	97	Northamptonshire South	Andrea Leadsom	82,032	73.0	56.05	27.79	7.75	0.00	0.00	8.41	CON	CON
513	79	Bedfordshire North East	Alastair Burt	78,060	71.2	56.60	26.58	8.39	0.00	4.13	4.30	CON	CON
521	71	Cambridgeshire South East	James Paice	83,068	69.3	48.78	18.06	24.35	0.00	0.00	8.81	CON	CON
526	66	Norfolk North West	Henry Bellingham	73,207	65.3	55.03	23.75	9.94	0.00	0.00	11.28	CON	CON
527	65	Daventry	Chris Heaton-Harris	71,451	72.5	57.29	25.94	6.52	0.00	0.00	10.25	CON	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2010. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.