Swing Plot 2001-2005

The chart below shows the swings recorded in each of the 19 mainland regions between the 2001 and 2005 elections. Each region is represented by one point. The x co-ordinate of the point is the swing to or against the Conservatives, the y co-ordinate is the swing to or against the Labour party. A positive number represents a swing towards, and a negative number a swing against.

Election Swing plot 2001-2005

The clear general trend is a swing against Labour, of about 6% on average. But the beneficiaries of the swing are varied. Around London and south-eastern England, the Conservatives gain by 1% to 3%. But in other regions, such as Yorkshire, North, West Midlands and South West, the Conservatives lose ground too as the Liberal Democrats and other parties gain.

These regional variations explain some of the seats which were won against national swing expectations, particularly in London.

We can also see the data in tabular form:

Region 2001 Election 2005 Election Swing
CON%LAB%CON%LAB%CON%LAB%
East Scotland17.037.216.333.5-0.7-3.7
West Scotland13.951.815.346.11.4-5.7
North24.755.722.949.6-1.8-6.1
Lancashire28.952.327.847.1-1.1-5.2
Greater Manchester24.353.723.747.2-0.6-6.5
Yorkshire34.145.132.440.7-1.7-4.4
Humberside30.349.130.243.0-0.1-6.1
West Midlands30.651.329.544.4-1.1-6.9
East Midlands35.246.734.640.8-0.6-5.9
Severn37.541.238.735.71.2-5.5
Wales21.048.621.442.70.4-5.9
East Anglia41.238.441.631.60.4-6.8
Essex43.035.246.028.73.0-6.5
West37.232.938.627.81.4-5.1
North London29.752.630.642.10.9-10.5
South London31.342.633.236.11.9-6.5
South West39.820.639.118.1-0.7-2.5
South43.026.145.521.22.5-4.9
South East43.132.944.627.91.5-5.0
Total32.742.033.236.20.5-5.8

Details of the regions' makeup can be seen here. Compare with the 1997-2001 swing.