London: Majority Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 33.1%21 20.1%09-912
LAB 54.5%49 36.3%44+049
LIB 8.8%3 22.6%90+912
Brexit 0.0%0 10.8%00+00
Green 1.8%0 7.6%00+00
UKIP 1.3%0 1.0%00+00
Other 0.5%0 1.7%00+00

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, East Ham, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Orpington, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Romford (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Bermondsey and Old Southwark (prediction: LIB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Brexit
%
Green
%
UKIP
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
2451East Ham Stephen Timms83,82767.69.668.010.93.56.20.80.00.9LABLAB
8445Tottenham David Lammy72,88367.78.757.917.45.38.40.90.01.3LABLAB
9444Walthamstow Stella Creasy68,14470.610.358.917.04.77.10.80.01.1LABLAB
10443Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali86,07169.59.857.819.13.38.20.80.01.0LABLAB
12441Ilford South Mike Gapes85,35867.514.561.811.73.76.60.80.00.9LABLAB
13440West Ham Lyn Brown92,24365.811.958.514.55.77.41.00.01.1LABLAB
19434Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier82,00467.58.351.222.95.010.10.90.01.5LABLAB
24429Ealing Southall Virendra Sharma65,18869.314.354.614.56.28.20.90.01.4LABLAB
25428Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman85,58667.19.348.722.87.19.40.90.01.8LABLAB
26427Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott83,95567.19.048.322.54.912.90.90.01.5LABLAB
27426Edmonton Kate Osamor65,70566.515.854.913.56.96.81.00.01.2LABLAB
28425Brent Central Dawn Butler80,84564.713.352.319.45.87.00.90.01.2LABLAB
29424Poplar and Limehouse Jim Fitzpatrick87,27467.413.952.619.94.37.30.90.01.1LABLAB
31422Croydon North Steve Reed87,46168.213.751.216.38.67.71.00.01.5LABLAB
34419Lewisham Deptford Vicky Foxcroft78,47270.29.646.023.26.512.10.90.01.8LABLAB
39414Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer65,28570.714.149.520.75.87.70.90.01.3LABLAB
40413Islington North Jeremy Corbyn74,83173.48.943.827.66.310.60.90.01.8LABLAB
42411Barking Margaret Hodge77,02061.915.149.312.213.17.41.40.01.5LABLAB
48405Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell73,26865.218.751.210.99.87.11.10.01.3LABLAB
50403Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh68,70570.015.847.115.911.17.31.10.01.6LABLAB
52401Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer88,08867.012.243.125.25.911.10.90.01.6LABLAB
56397Ealing North Steve Pound74,76470.218.748.014.79.07.21.00.01.5LABLAB
63390Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes77,94772.012.340.127.97.39.30.90.02.1LABLAB
64389Lewisham East Heidi Alexander68,12669.314.742.120.611.28.41.10.01.9LABLAB
65388Brent North Barry Gardiner82,55668.421.448.713.86.57.40.90.01.2LABLAB
65387Hornsey and Wood Green Catherine West79,94477.99.436.538.45.47.70.80.01.8LABLIB
71382Streatham Chuka Umunna78,53271.013.740.426.87.19.20.90.01.8LABLAB
73380Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra81,70764.920.446.612.410.57.71.10.01.3LABLAB
77376Lewisham West and Penge Ellie Reeves72,90273.014.339.923.110.88.91.00.02.0LABLAB
81372Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook77,19068.815.840.722.59.28.91.00.01.9LABLAB
95358Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry69,53469.113.036.331.37.79.00.90.01.9LABLAB
100353Hammersmith Andy Slaughter72,80371.818.141.022.67.68.01.00.01.7LABLAB
109344Harrow West Gareth Thomas69,79872.122.344.215.38.27.60.90.01.5LABLAB
115338Westminster North Karen Buck63,84667.821.843.020.35.57.10.90.01.4LABLAB
116336Vauxhall Kate Hoey81,90767.212.133.036.46.98.80.90.01.8LABLIB
124328Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle87,22767.18.528.247.46.56.90.90.01.6LABLIB
137316Enfield North Joan Ryan68,45470.923.040.614.912.06.81.10.01.6LABLAB
138315Ilford North Wes Streeting72,99772.525.342.513.310.16.40.90.01.4LABLAB
140313Erith and Thamesmead Teresa Pearce69,72463.820.137.313.818.27.41.30.02.0LABLAB
142311Hampstead and Kilburn Tulip Siddiq82,95770.419.736.725.77.47.90.90.01.8LABLAB
148305Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan77,96074.621.137.923.27.37.80.90.01.8LABLAB
151302Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq74,20074.621.838.423.27.46.70.90.01.6LABLAB
160293Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury85,15172.423.538.919.39.16.70.90.01.6LABLAB
195258Eltham Clive Efford64,47471.623.333.916.217.06.61.00.02.0LABLAB
197256Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas70,62064.922.132.411.024.26.91.60.01.9LABLAB
207246Croydon Central Sarah Jones80,04571.325.333.615.215.87.21.10.01.9LABLAB
208245Enfield Southgate Bambos Charalambous65,13774.226.634.618.610.57.10.90.01.7LABLAB
230223Harrow East Bob Blackman71,75770.931.635.813.59.77.20.90.01.4CONLAB
231222Hendon Matthew Offord76,32968.430.634.815.89.07.40.90.01.5CONLAB
249204Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers77,02072.027.829.519.912.17.81.00.01.9CONLAB
250203Battersea Marsha De Cordova77,57271.025.827.427.09.07.91.00.02.0LABLAB
251202Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer73,13871.629.230.720.58.88.10.90.01.7CONLAB
251201Kensington Emma Dent Coad60,59463.825.526.628.18.68.30.90.01.9LABLIB
259194Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith66,07871.129.228.717.414.97.01.00.01.8CONCON
266186Putney Justine Greening65,02672.126.924.628.09.48.21.00.01.9CONLIB
269183Cities of London and Westminster Mark Field61,53362.827.624.328.28.58.50.90.01.8CONLIB
270183Uxbridge and South Ruislip Boris Johnson69,93866.829.926.316.017.47.51.20.01.8CONCON
292160Wimbledon Stephen Hammond66,77177.227.519.831.310.77.70.90.02.1CONLIB
295158Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett65,31569.229.221.212.826.86.61.30.02.0CONCON
296156Carshalton and Wallington Tom Brake70,84971.619.411.244.717.05.10.90.01.7LIBLIB
310143Croydon South Chris Philp83,51873.331.221.519.617.37.31.10.02.0CONCON
314139Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill65,11371.729.419.320.020.47.41.20.02.2CONCON
319133Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey81,58476.219.89.151.711.95.20.70.01.6LIBLIB
322131Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands63,72866.131.020.027.211.07.81.00.02.0CONCON
328125Romford Andrew Rosindell73,51667.930.918.912.128.26.51.40.02.0CONCON
331121Twickenham Vince Cable83,36279.518.56.059.79.93.90.50.01.5LIBLIB
343110Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Nick Hurd73,42572.733.420.219.316.57.71.00.02.0CONCON
35598Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Dockerill80,82169.430.916.612.030.36.71.50.02.1CONCON
36290Sutton and Cheam Paul Scully70,40473.826.712.036.217.15.30.90.01.7CONLIB
36984Beckenham Bob Stewart67,92876.032.416.720.820.16.81.00.02.2CONCON
37083Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire66,00572.832.817.013.926.36.61.30.02.0CONCON
39458Richmond Park Zac Goldsmith80,02579.123.76.553.49.74.60.60.01.7CONLIB
41637Orpington Jo Johnson67,90674.333.213.918.224.86.61.10.02.2CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.