London: Majority Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 33.1%21 32.3%31+223
LAB 54.5%49 43.5%02-247
LIB 8.8%3 15.6%11+03
Brexit 0.0%0 3.2%00+00
Green 1.8%0 3.1%00+00
UKIP 1.3%0 0.0%00+00
Other 0.5%0 2.2%00+00

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, East Ham, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Hornchurch and Upminster, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Uxbridge and South Ruislip (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Kensington (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Brexit
%
Green
%
NAT
%
UKIP
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
4570East Ham Stephen Timms83,82767.616.069.85.34.42.70.00.00.01.8LABLAB
7567Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali86,07169.514.764.88.33.85.70.00.00.02.7LABLAB
9565Tottenham David Lammy72,88367.715.463.99.93.74.80.00.00.02.2LABLAB
10564Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier82,00467.513.862.112.72.76.10.00.00.02.6LABLAB
11563Walthamstow Stella Creasy68,14470.616.864.88.93.63.90.00.00.02.1LABLAB
14560Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes77,94772.023.167.80.03.64.30.00.00.01.1LABLAB
16558West Ham Lyn Brown92,24365.819.662.67.25.03.40.00.00.02.2LABLAB
18556Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman85,58667.116.259.013.33.45.30.00.00.02.8LABLAB
22552Lewisham Deptford Vicky Foxcroft78,47270.215.757.914.42.76.60.00.00.02.8LABLAB
24550Islington North Jeremy Corbyn74,83173.414.756.516.82.96.40.00.00.02.7LABLAB
25549Ilford South Mike Gapes85,35867.521.762.86.44.32.90.00.00.01.9LABLAB
26548Poplar and Limehouse Jim Fitzpatrick87,27467.420.060.88.74.14.10.00.00.02.4LABLAB
29545Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott83,95567.115.254.716.72.38.40.00.00.02.7LABLAB
32542Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer88,08867.018.454.914.53.06.60.00.00.02.6LABLAB
33541Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer65,28570.721.157.311.23.74.30.00.00.02.3LABLAB
36538Edmonton Kate Osamor65,70566.524.158.47.15.43.00.00.00.02.1LABLAB
37537Ealing Southall Virendra Sharma65,18869.322.556.79.54.83.90.00.00.02.6LABLAB
39535Croydon North Steve Reed87,46168.222.656.510.04.93.40.00.00.02.6LABLAB
42532Streatham Chuka Umunna78,53271.020.652.918.33.24.90.00.00.00.0LABLAB
43531Hornsey and Wood Green Catherine West79,94477.915.147.328.82.43.70.00.00.02.6LABLAB
46528Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry69,53469.120.149.219.73.74.80.00.00.02.6LABLAB
48526Brent Central Dawn Butler80,84564.728.156.812.10.03.00.00.00.00.0LABLAB
55519Lewisham West and Penge Ellie Reeves72,90273.023.250.415.04.34.10.00.00.03.0LABLAB
56518Vauxhall Kate Hoey81,90767.218.745.725.52.84.50.00.00.02.8LABLAB
58516Lewisham East Heidi Alexander68,12669.324.351.113.14.83.50.00.00.03.2LABLAB
59515Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh68,70570.026.152.79.95.82.80.00.00.02.7LABLAB
60514Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook77,19068.824.150.713.54.14.80.00.00.02.8LABLAB
62512Hammersmith Andy Slaughter72,80371.826.052.413.94.03.70.00.00.00.0LABLAB
63511Barking Margaret Hodge77,02061.927.353.77.98.42.80.00.00.00.0LABLAB
64510Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle87,22767.116.542.137.73.70.00.00.00.00.0LABLAB
77497Westminster North Karen Buck63,84667.828.650.811.33.53.40.00.00.02.4LABLAB
78496Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan77,96074.627.449.513.83.23.60.00.00.02.6LABLAB
80494Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell73,26865.229.651.57.06.92.60.00.00.02.4LABLAB
89485Brent North Barry Gardiner82,55668.429.650.49.84.73.00.00.00.02.5LABLAB
93481Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq74,20074.629.649.214.63.92.60.00.00.00.0LABLAB
101473Hampstead and Kilburn Tulip Siddiq82,95770.427.945.919.33.53.50.00.00.00.0LABLAB
104470Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra81,70764.931.649.39.27.02.90.00.00.00.0LABLAB
115459Harrow West Gareth Thomas69,79872.131.748.711.55.23.00.00.00.00.0LABLAB
131443Ealing North Steve Pound74,76470.236.650.99.90.02.50.00.00.00.0LABLAB
140434Enfield North Joan Ryan68,45470.934.147.29.96.22.70.00.00.00.0LABLAB
142432Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury85,15172.433.246.212.85.42.50.00.00.00.0LABLAB
163411Erith and Thamesmead Teresa Pearce69,72463.834.143.78.97.82.70.00.00.02.8LABLAB
178396Battersea Marsha De Cordova77,57271.032.740.419.43.83.70.00.00.00.0LABLAB
180394Ilford North Wes Streeting72,99772.536.544.19.55.32.10.00.00.02.6LABLAB
191383Eltham Clive Efford64,47471.636.742.911.76.52.10.00.00.00.0LABLAB
194380Enfield Southgate Bambos Charalambous65,13774.236.542.513.34.63.00.00.00.00.0LABLAB
207367Croydon Central Sarah Jones80,04571.337.742.211.16.42.60.00.00.00.0LABLAB
237337Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith66,07871.146.843.89.40.00.00.00.00.00.0CONCON
239335Kensington Emma Dent Coad60,59463.833.430.330.02.21.80.00.00.02.3LABCON
253321Putney Justine Greening65,02672.141.834.621.30.02.30.00.00.00.0CONCON
257317Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers77,02072.044.334.815.50.03.40.00.00.02.1CONCON
258316Wimbledon Stephen Hammond66,77177.241.031.525.40.00.00.00.00.02.0CONCON
262312Harrow East Bob Blackman71,75770.948.437.214.40.00.00.00.00.00.0CONCON
263311Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas70,62064.945.934.57.28.01.90.00.00.02.5LABCON
265309Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer73,13871.642.830.227.00.00.00.00.00.00.0CONCON
265308Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey81,58476.230.718.141.64.62.20.00.00.02.7LIBLIB
267307Cities of London and Westminster Mark Field61,53362.844.731.219.60.02.30.00.00.02.3CONCON
267306Twickenham Vince Cable83,36279.528.815.352.23.80.00.00.00.00.0LIBLIB
268306Hendon Matthew Offord76,32968.449.235.014.60.01.20.00.00.00.0CONCON
269305Carshalton and Wallington Tom Brake70,84971.634.420.233.96.32.10.00.00.03.1LIBCON
294280Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands63,72866.145.926.025.70.00.00.00.00.02.4CONCON
312262Croydon South Chris Philp83,51873.352.630.214.50.02.70.00.00.00.0CONCON
315258Richmond Park Zac Goldsmith80,02579.137.514.845.80.00.00.00.00.02.0CONLIB
327247Uxbridge and South Ruislip Boris Johnson69,93866.856.632.38.20.01.20.00.00.01.7CONCON
340234Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill65,11371.753.727.713.70.02.80.00.00.02.0CONCON
362212Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Nick Hurd73,42572.754.726.114.40.02.70.00.00.02.0CONCON
371203Beckenham Bob Stewart67,92876.055.225.916.10.02.80.00.00.00.0CONCON
375199Sutton and Cheam Paul Scully70,40473.849.319.828.90.02.00.00.00.00.0CONCON
432142Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett65,31569.260.627.09.00.01.80.00.00.01.6CONCON
51856Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire66,00572.862.623.710.00.02.00.00.00.01.7CONCON
52153Orpington Jo Johnson67,90674.361.622.213.90.02.30.00.00.00.0CONCON
52945Romford Andrew Rosindell73,51667.964.424.69.10.01.90.00.00.00.0CONCON
55915Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Dockerill80,82169.465.822.38.60.01.90.00.00.01.4CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.