London: Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 20.5%9 18.5%32+110
LAB 43.0%59 32.1%05-554
LIB 11.0%6 13.4%00+06
Reform 8.7%0 16.8%40+44
Green 10.1%0 14.2%00+00
Other 6.7%1 5.1%00+01

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Lewisham West and East Dulwich' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Harrow East', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Harrow East (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Lewisham West and East Dulwich (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
3269Lewisham West and East Dulwich Ellie Reeves70,09966.27.345.411.110.023.91.70.6LABLAB
4268Hornsey and Friern Barnet Catherine West69,88569.67.645.714.98.420.72.50.3LABLAB
6266Walthamstow Stella Creasy76,33860.16.943.79.211.123.63.22.2LABLAB
8264Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes74,26561.18.244.812.210.423.30.01.1LABLAB
9263Lewisham North Vicky Foxcroft74,20459.56.742.911.010.626.31.51.0LABLAB
10262Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier78,26253.36.441.99.410.928.03.10.5LABLAB
11261Peckham Miatta Fahnbulleh72,12353.87.042.011.613.423.60.02.4LABLAB
13259Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott77,79752.68.242.59.911.226.50.01.8LABLAB
14258Tottenham David Lammy75,90652.96.840.910.913.023.61.53.3LABLAB
15257Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Florence Eshalomi69,65853.97.841.414.413.022.10.01.2LABLAB
16256Clapham and Brixton Hill Bell Ribeiro-Addy74,43557.49.042.415.910.620.70.01.4LABLAB
19253Lewisham East Janet Daby73,37655.410.442.29.916.917.62.10.9LABLAB
21251Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry74,12257.78.139.413.913.423.10.02.0LABLAB
23249Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook73,57358.110.741.112.314.618.42.00.9LABLAB
26246Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer71,30054.18.336.310.812.716.814.11.0LABLAB
27245Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan76,08269.615.643.512.110.115.72.20.8LABLAB
28244Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh77,27258.613.240.910.816.914.63.10.5LABLAB
31241Streatham and Croydon North Steve Reed82,82953.811.438.913.012.720.62.70.6LABLAB
34238Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle69,47354.18.434.422.114.518.70.01.9LABLAB
35237Queen's Park and Maida Vale Georgia Gould75,55850.711.337.312.314.718.94.70.8LABLAB
36236Leyton and Wanstead Calvin Bailey73,36659.611.036.912.312.619.93.14.1LABLAB
44228Stratford and Bow Uma Kumaran80,56053.99.133.411.612.522.05.65.8LABLAB
48224Southgate and Wood Green Bambos Charalambous77,54258.914.738.412.014.617.02.31.1LABLAB
53219Erith and Thamesmead Abena Oppong-Asare78,88651.214.237.98.424.410.93.70.3LABLAB
54218East Ham Stephen Timms79,08647.913.036.68.113.615.412.30.9LABLAB
56216Hammersmith and Chiswick Andy Slaughter75,86060.716.239.713.713.214.51.31.5LABLAB
57215Croydon West Sarah Jones77,94248.915.238.411.716.514.82.21.2LABLAB
58214Hampstead and Highgate Tulip Siddiq80,02960.713.937.016.211.419.80.01.7LABLAB
62209Islington North Jeremy Corbyn72,58267.55.628.17.29.011.938.10.0MINMIN
65207Brent East Dawn Butler77,25748.914.536.612.016.315.12.43.1LABLAB
66206Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq78,43660.914.136.014.813.017.34.00.8LABLAB
67205Ealing Southall Deirdre Costigan78,66959.515.337.110.913.314.36.92.1LABLAB
75197West Ham and Beckton James Edward Asser78,79046.111.531.78.518.014.914.70.7LABLAB
76196Poplar and Limehouse Apsana Begum84,46951.012.032.013.014.019.58.01.4LABLAB
79193Battersea Marsha de Cordova72,76764.718.738.514.011.914.21.61.2LABLAB
81191Bethnal Green and Stepney Rushanara Ali81,92256.97.727.312.710.919.021.21.1LABLAB
86186Putney Fleur Anderson72,61467.919.338.714.612.112.71.90.6LABLAB
92180Edmonton and Winchmore Hill Kate Osamor75,79254.217.536.011.419.111.81.72.6LABLAB
94178Barking Nesil Caliskan79,82545.712.831.17.624.215.57.51.3LABLAB
95177Enfield North Feryal Clark78,77055.217.635.510.321.611.31.81.9LABLAB
96176Beckenham and Penge Liam Conlon76,87667.920.938.511.917.010.60.01.0LABLAB
97175Ealing North James Murray74,82057.817.735.29.718.111.96.60.8LABLAB
107165Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell74,40551.521.336.57.421.08.75.20.0LABLAB
112160Ilford South Jas Athwal80,99350.816.930.48.114.812.516.01.4LABLAB
121151Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury79,28357.121.232.711.317.211.55.70.5LABLAB
137135Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra76,98350.520.930.19.822.69.44.42.9LABLAB
137134Dagenham and Rainham Margaret Mullane76,47850.817.726.37.435.411.50.01.7LABReform
140132Eltham and Chislehurst Clive Efford74,22461.421.930.49.426.010.11.20.9LABLAB
141131Croydon East Natasha Dawn Irons76,66057.123.131.410.722.910.80.01.1LABLAB
151121Harrow West Gareth Thomas79,90256.626.433.411.614.99.40.04.3LABLAB
158114Cities of London and Westminster Rachel Blake73,36953.424.630.114.614.912.42.41.1LABLAB
160112Kensington and Bayswater Joe Powell77,30654.225.430.911.815.011.54.51.0LABLAB
164108Finchley and Golders Green Sarah Sackman77,50063.627.832.411.615.211.50.01.5LABLAB
165107Ilford North Wes Streeting77,83560.221.926.36.315.76.823.10.0LABLAB
171100Wimbledon Paul Christopher Kohler76,35272.019.821.935.711.59.11.40.6LIBLIB
17399Chipping Barnet Dan Tomlinson78,03865.229.731.29.717.810.50.01.1LABLAB
17498Brent West Barry Gardiner79,93751.829.130.59.615.39.65.90.0LABLAB
17695Twickenham Munira Wilson74,98071.515.916.242.812.510.32.30.0LIBLIB
18092Chelsea and Fulham Ben Coleman78,46860.029.328.611.416.811.52.30.1LABCON
18190Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey77,34065.517.416.238.315.69.81.01.7LIBLIB
18785Hendon David Pinto-Duschinsky74,86555.130.226.88.719.710.53.60.4LABCON
18982Richmond Park Sarah Olney68,10376.719.114.343.711.110.50.01.3LIBLIB
19279Bexleyheath and Crayford Daniel Francis69,47062.628.422.48.531.98.10.00.7LABReform
19676Uxbridge and South Ruislip Danny Boy Beales74,74661.431.424.67.823.611.90.00.8LABCON
19775Bromley and Biggin Hill Peter Fortune70,71366.231.024.011.124.68.70.00.6CONCON
20666Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith75,17864.529.020.16.220.16.218.40.0CONCON
21160Sutton and Cheam Luke Taylor72,30265.826.116.427.621.67.30.01.0LIBLIB
21359Croydon South Chris Philp74,96865.935.425.410.617.99.11.40.2CONCON
21655Carshalton and Wallington Bobby Dean74,36262.824.013.329.924.06.71.50.5LIBLIB
21853Romford Andrew Rosindell72,97860.430.619.47.531.78.12.40.3CONReform
22051Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Lopez75,43862.229.117.28.436.28.10.01.0CONReform
22448Old Bexley and Sidcup Louie French72,29065.932.819.78.030.18.40.00.9CONCON
23537Orpington Gareth Bacon71,20364.733.418.012.227.48.20.00.8CONCON
25616Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner David Simmonds71,68365.740.421.211.018.18.80.00.4CONCON
2675Harrow East Bob Blackman76,38662.546.720.37.316.17.21.01.4CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.