London: Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 20.5%9 20.6%00+09
LAB 43.0%59 43.0%00+059
LIB 11.0%6 11.1%00+06
Reform 8.7%0 8.7%00+00
Green 10.0%0 10.0%00+00
Other 6.7%1 6.7%00+01

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Hackney South and Shoreditch' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Harrow East', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Finchley and Golders Green (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Beckenham and Penge (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
7527Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier78,26253.35.059.34.83.823.92.40.7LABLAB
8526Walthamstow Stella Creasy76,33860.15.259.23.94.020.03.34.3LABLAB
10524Peckham Miatta Fahnbulleh72,12353.85.958.87.14.619.60.04.0LABLAB
12522Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes74,26561.18.560.37.74.018.90.00.6LABLAB
13521Tottenham David Lammy75,90652.95.957.45.04.019.01.67.0LABLAB
14520Lewisham West and East Dulwich Ellie Reeves70,09966.27.559.07.74.819.40.90.6LABLAB
15519Lewisham North Vicky Foxcroft74,20459.56.157.77.54.521.91.01.2LABLAB
17517Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott77,79752.68.559.53.93.222.60.02.4LABLAB
18516Hornsey and Friern Barnet Catherine West69,88569.68.358.712.64.114.51.60.4LABLAB
19515Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Florence Eshalomi69,65853.97.557.312.15.417.10.00.5LABLAB
21513Lewisham East Janet Daby73,37655.410.858.26.18.513.71.41.2LABLAB
23511Clapham and Brixton Hill Bell Ribeiro-Addy74,43557.410.256.514.44.113.50.01.2LABLAB
27507Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry74,12257.78.453.79.57.917.50.02.9LABLAB
33501Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook73,57358.111.456.29.17.713.21.31.1LABLAB
53481Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer71,30054.17.248.95.96.210.418.92.5LABLAB
56478Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh77,27258.614.055.48.09.110.22.40.8LABLAB
58476East Ham Stephen Timms79,08647.910.351.63.33.611.217.72.4LABLAB
60474Erith and Thamesmead Abena Oppong-Asare78,88651.213.855.14.714.78.62.70.5LABLAB
66468Streatham and Croydon North Steve Reed82,82953.812.052.111.34.517.12.00.9LABLAB
71463Queen's Park and Maida Vale Georgia Gould75,55850.713.352.59.05.513.64.71.5LABLAB
87447Croydon West Sarah Jones77,94248.916.854.19.75.610.11.91.9LABLAB
89445Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle69,47354.17.744.824.29.111.90.02.4LABLAB
91443Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan76,08269.618.455.28.44.810.71.51.0LABLAB
92442Stratford and Bow Uma Kumaran80,56053.97.344.14.74.917.37.514.3LABLAB
97437Leyton and Wanstead Calvin Bailey73,36659.611.247.56.75.715.53.79.7LABLAB
110424West Ham and Beckton James Edward Asser78,79046.110.445.24.57.710.719.81.7LABLAB
116418Brent East Dawn Butler77,25748.916.851.27.15.49.92.86.8LABLAB
124410Ealing Southall Deirdre Costigan78,66959.515.549.16.25.69.39.15.3LABLAB
125409Southgate and Wood Green Bambos Charalambous77,54258.917.651.18.66.912.31.81.6LABLAB
128406Hammersmith and Chiswick Andy Slaughter75,86060.719.152.39.46.49.71.02.2LABLAB
133401Barking Nesil Caliskan79,82545.711.844.52.914.213.79.83.2LABLAB
139395Poplar and Limehouse Apsana Begum84,46951.011.143.09.87.913.910.63.7LABLAB
145389Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell74,40551.521.953.23.410.75.65.20.0LABLAB
150384Hampstead and Highgate Tulip Siddiq80,02960.717.548.312.86.113.70.01.8LABLAB
151383Edmonton and Winchmore Hill Kate Osamor75,79254.219.350.06.78.69.01.64.8LABLAB
154379Islington North Jeremy Corbyn72,58267.54.034.43.43.55.449.20.1MINMIN
158376Bethnal Green and Stepney Rushanara Ali81,92256.94.234.110.34.213.730.53.1LABLAB
164370Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq78,43660.917.546.812.76.511.43.71.4LABLAB
165369Enfield North Feryal Clark78,77055.219.949.15.911.98.51.53.2LABLAB
167367Ealing North James Murray74,82057.818.947.85.99.19.47.31.6LABLAB
187347Putney Fleur Anderson72,61458.923.449.012.26.37.41.00.6LABLAB
189345Battersea Marsha de Cordova72,76764.723.348.810.36.09.01.11.6LABLAB
193341Ilford South Jas Athwal80,99350.815.040.23.45.78.323.44.1LABLAB
196338Dagenham and Rainham Margaret Mullane76,47850.817.842.62.724.210.80.01.9LABLAB
198336Beckenham and Penge Liam Conlon76,87667.924.649.38.510.37.30.00.0LABLAB
224310Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury79,28357.122.544.28.68.78.96.11.0LABLAB
241293Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra76,98350.521.241.54.913.26.55.77.0LABLAB
249285Eltham and Chislehurst Clive Efford74,22461.425.644.05.416.36.80.81.2LABLAB
272262Croydon East Natasha Dawn Irons76,66057.126.842.38.113.49.40.00.0LABLAB
284250Harrow West Gareth Thomas79,90256.629.343.85.55.95.40.010.1LABLAB
292242Ilford North Wes Streeting77,83560.220.533.42.37.73.832.20.0LABLAB
332202Finchley and Golders Green Sarah Sackman77,50063.635.144.36.95.36.30.02.1LABLAB
336198Brent West Barry Gardiner79,93751.832.541.77.35.06.86.70.0LABLAB
354180Kensington and Bayswater Joe Powell77,30654.233.740.67.06.06.54.41.8LABLAB
355179Cities of London and Westminster Rachel Blake73,36953.432.139.011.17.07.31.91.6LABLAB
363171Chipping Barnet Dan Tomlinson78,03865.236.742.45.27.86.80.01.1LABLAB
372162Bexleyheath and Crayford Daniel Francis69,47062.631.336.25.122.74.80.00.0LABLAB
401133Uxbridge and South Ruislip Danny Boy Beales74,74661.434.936.13.814.49.50.01.2LABLAB
408126Chelsea and Fulham Ben Coleman78,46860.039.139.47.76.75.91.10.1LABLAB
411123Hendon David Pinto-Duschinsky74,86555.138.438.44.87.46.53.70.9LABLAB
418116Bromley and Biggin Hill Peter Fortune70,71366.234.033.49.317.55.50.00.2CONCON
418115Wimbledon Paul Christopher Kohler76,35272.022.221.345.15.94.40.60.5LIBLIB
431103Romford Andrew Rosindell72,97860.434.831.54.321.95.02.00.4CONCON
43796Twickenham Munira Wilson74,98071.516.312.556.37.66.70.60.0LIBLIB
43895Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey77,34065.517.112.951.19.55.90.82.7LIBLIB
44193Croydon South Chris Philp74,96865.940.035.38.98.45.81.20.3CONCON
44490Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Lopez75,43862.232.527.65.128.45.60.00.8CONCON
46272Old Bexley and Sidcup Louie French72,29065.937.630.14.121.85.50.00.9CONCON
47163Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith75,17864.535.625.82.67.52.725.70.0CONCON
48252Orpington Gareth Bacon71,20364.738.026.910.319.35.00.00.5CONCON
48350Sutton and Cheam Luke Taylor72,30265.828.917.736.912.23.60.00.6LIBLIB
48746Richmond Park Sarah Olney68,10375.622.19.855.46.35.30.01.1LIBLIB
49043Carshalton and Wallington Bobby Dean74,36262.826.213.143.112.73.30.90.6LIBLIB
50133Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner David Simmonds71,68365.745.429.39.29.96.20.00.0CONCON
5277Harrow East Bob Blackman76,38662.553.428.83.34.64.21.54.2CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.