| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 20.5% | 9 | 16.5% | 9 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| LAB | 43.0% | 59 | 23.9% | 0 | 37 | -37 | 22 |
| LIB | 11.0% | 6 | 10.4% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 6 |
| Reform | 8.7% | 0 | 18.5% | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| Green | 10.1% | 0 | 23.1% | 26 | 0 | +26 | 26 |
| Other | 6.7% | 1 | 7.5% | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 |
This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Hornsey and Friern Barnet' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Hornchurch and Upminster', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hornchurch and Upminster (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Tooting (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 328 | Hornsey and Friern Barnet | Catherine West | 69,885 | 69.6 | 7.2 | 34.3 | 10.2 | 12.0 | 31.3 | 4.4 | 0.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 1 | 327 | Lewisham West and East Dulwich | Ellie Reeves | 70,099 | 66.2 | 7.0 | 33.8 | 6.5 | 13.7 | 34.6 | 3.2 | 1.3 | LAB | Green |
| 3 | 326 | Tooting | Rosena Allin-Khan | 76,082 | 69.6 | 13.4 | 31.8 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 28.2 | 4.1 | 1.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 4 | 324 | Dulwich and West Norwood | Helen Hayes | 74,265 | 61.1 | 7.6 | 32.9 | 7.0 | 14.3 | 35.5 | 0.0 | 2.8 | LAB | Green |
| 5 | 324 | Putney | Fleur Anderson | 72,614 | 67.9 | 18.0 | 29.9 | 12.3 | 11.6 | 22.6 | 4.1 | 1.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 6 | 322 | Lewisham North | Vicky Foxcroft | 74,204 | 59.5 | 6.1 | 30.7 | 5.9 | 13.3 | 39.7 | 2.6 | 1.8 | LAB | Green |
| 8 | 321 | Battersea | Marsha de Cordova | 72,767 | 64.7 | 17.6 | 29.1 | 10.7 | 12.2 | 25.4 | 2.7 | 2.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 8 | 320 | Hackney South and Shoreditch | Meg Hillier | 78,262 | 53.3 | 5.4 | 29.1 | 4.8 | 12.7 | 42.5 | 4.7 | 0.8 | LAB | Green |
| 8 | 320 | Clapham and Brixton Hill | Bell Ribeiro-Addy | 74,435 | 57.4 | 8.4 | 30.6 | 9.2 | 14.3 | 34.4 | 0.0 | 3.0 | LAB | Green |
| 8 | 320 | Walthamstow | Stella Creasy | 76,338 | 60.1 | 5.8 | 30.8 | 5.1 | 14.5 | 36.7 | 4.1 | 3.0 | LAB | Green |
| 9 | 319 | Hackney North and Stoke Newington | Diane Abbott | 77,797 | 52.6 | 6.6 | 29.9 | 5.7 | 13.9 | 39.9 | 0.0 | 3.9 | LAB | Green |
| 9 | 319 | Vauxhall and Camberwell Green | Florence Eshalomi | 69,658 | 53.9 | 6.9 | 31.2 | 7.8 | 15.9 | 35.2 | 0.0 | 3.0 | LAB | Green |
| 10 | 318 | Peckham | Miatta Fahnbulleh | 72,123 | 53.8 | 6.2 | 31.0 | 5.8 | 15.9 | 37.4 | 0.0 | 3.6 | LAB | Green |
| 11 | 318 | Hammersmith and Chiswick | Andy Slaughter | 75,860 | 60.7 | 13.8 | 30.2 | 9.1 | 16.3 | 25.0 | 2.5 | 3.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 14 | 314 | Holborn and St Pancras | Keir Starmer | 71,300 | 54.1 | 6.8 | 26.6 | 5.6 | 14.2 | 31.9 | 13.8 | 1.0 | LAB | Green |
| 14 | 314 | Tottenham | David Lammy | 75,906 | 52.9 | 5.8 | 29.4 | 5.4 | 17.3 | 35.9 | 1.8 | 4.4 | LAB | Green |
| 14 | 314 | East Ham | Stephen Timms | 79,086 | 47.9 | 9.0 | 25.1 | 4.8 | 12.9 | 31.8 | 15.2 | 1.2 | LAB | Green |
| 15 | 314 | Beckenham and Penge | Liam Conlon | 76,876 | 67.9 | 19.8 | 29.8 | 10.8 | 17.7 | 18.5 | 0.0 | 3.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 16 | 313 | Greenwich and Woolwich | Matthew Pennycook | 73,573 | 58.1 | 9.9 | 29.7 | 7.4 | 17.7 | 29.3 | 4.0 | 1.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 16 | 312 | Streatham and Croydon North | Steve Reed | 82,829 | 53.8 | 9.7 | 28.1 | 7.9 | 16.1 | 32.2 | 4.9 | 1.3 | LAB | Green |
| 17 | 311 | Islington South and Finsbury | Emily Thornberry | 74,122 | 57.7 | 7.3 | 29.2 | 7.9 | 17.4 | 34.3 | 0.0 | 3.9 | LAB | Green |
| 17 | 311 | Hampstead and Highgate | Tulip Siddiq | 80,029 | 60.7 | 13.2 | 27.2 | 11.5 | 15.5 | 28.5 | 0.0 | 4.2 | LAB | Green |
| 18 | 311 | Southgate and Wood Green | Bambos Charalambous | 77,542 | 58.9 | 13.1 | 29.1 | 8.5 | 17.5 | 24.7 | 4.7 | 2.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 19 | 310 | Ealing Southall | Deirdre Costigan | 78,669 | 59.5 | 13.3 | 27.4 | 7.1 | 15.9 | 23.6 | 9.6 | 3.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 22 | 306 | Queen's Park and Maida Vale | Georgia Gould | 75,558 | 50.7 | 9.5 | 27.8 | 7.0 | 16.9 | 30.3 | 7.3 | 1.3 | LAB | Green |
| 22 | 306 | Ealing Central and Acton | Rupa Huq | 78,436 | 60.9 | 13.9 | 25.7 | 10.6 | 14.9 | 27.0 | 6.4 | 1.4 | LAB | Green |
| 23 | 306 | Lewisham East | Janet Daby | 73,376 | 55.4 | 9.4 | 31.2 | 5.8 | 20.4 | 27.4 | 4.0 | 1.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 24 | 304 | Islington North | Jeremy Corbyn | 72,582 | 67.5 | 4.7 | 21.4 | 4.2 | 11.4 | 30.1 | 28.2 | 0.0 | MIN | Green |
| 24 | 304 | Leyton and Wanstead | Calvin Bailey | 73,366 | 59.6 | 9.4 | 27.2 | 7.0 | 17.5 | 30.2 | 3.5 | 5.2 | LAB | Green |
| 25 | 304 | Mitcham and Morden | Siobhain McDonagh | 77,272 | 58.6 | 11.8 | 29.3 | 7.3 | 20.1 | 23.6 | 6.7 | 1.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 26 | 303 | Croydon West | Sarah Jones | 77,942 | 48.9 | 13.0 | 27.7 | 7.1 | 18.7 | 27.0 | 4.2 | 2.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 28 | 300 | Bermondsey and Old Southwark | Neil Coyle | 69,473 | 54.1 | 7.9 | 25.0 | 14.4 | 16.5 | 32.4 | 0.0 | 3.8 | LAB | Green |
| 31 | 297 | Bethnal Green and Stepney | Rushanara Ali | 81,922 | 56.9 | 5.3 | 18.2 | 7.9 | 10.3 | 39.8 | 17.5 | 1.0 | LAB | Green |
| 32 | 297 | Brent East | Dawn Butler | 77,257 | 48.9 | 11.6 | 27.7 | 6.9 | 19.8 | 26.2 | 3.3 | 4.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 34 | 294 | Cities of London and Westminster | Rachel Blake | 73,369 | 53.4 | 25.4 | 23.4 | 10.3 | 15.8 | 18.2 | 4.6 | 2.3 | LAB | CON |
| 35 | 294 | Hayes and Harlington | John McDonnell | 74,405 | 51.5 | 19.2 | 25.9 | 6.0 | 18.2 | 19.5 | 11.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 35 | 293 | Stratford and Bow | Uma Kumaran | 80,560 | 53.9 | 6.6 | 22.5 | 5.5 | 14.9 | 38.6 | 5.6 | 6.3 | LAB | Green |
| 35 | 293 | Poplar and Limehouse | Apsana Begum | 84,469 | 51.0 | 9.9 | 21.5 | 8.4 | 14.2 | 34.8 | 9.2 | 1.8 | LAB | Green |
| 37 | 291 | Ilford South | Jas Athwal | 80,993 | 50.8 | 12.8 | 21.5 | 5.1 | 14.7 | 25.3 | 18.9 | 1.9 | LAB | Green |
| 38 | 291 | Brentford and Isleworth | Ruth Cadbury | 79,283 | 57.1 | 19.4 | 23.8 | 9.1 | 17.1 | 20.8 | 8.8 | 0.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 40 | 288 | Kensington and Bayswater | Joe Powell | 77,306 | 54.2 | 26.8 | 23.4 | 7.8 | 16.9 | 17.2 | 6.4 | 1.5 | LAB | CON |
| 41 | 288 | Enfield North | Feryal Clark | 78,770 | 55.2 | 15.8 | 27.3 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 20.9 | 3.2 | 3.8 | LAB | LAB |
| 45 | 284 | Finchley and Golders Green | Sarah Sackman | 77,500 | 63.6 | 25.3 | 25.7 | 10.0 | 19.9 | 15.5 | 0.0 | 3.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 45 | 283 | Ilford North | Wes Streeting | 77,835 | 60.2 | 18.9 | 19.5 | 5.5 | 13.7 | 18.1 | 24.4 | 0.0 | LAB | MIN |
| 47 | 282 | Edmonton and Winchmore Hill | Kate Osamor | 75,792 | 54.2 | 14.0 | 27.2 | 7.7 | 21.7 | 22.1 | 2.7 | 4.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 47 | 281 | Brent West | Barry Gardiner | 79,937 | 51.8 | 30.1 | 21.1 | 6.7 | 15.6 | 16.9 | 9.7 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 52 | 277 | Ealing North | James Murray | 74,820 | 57.8 | 14.3 | 25.8 | 6.3 | 20.6 | 21.7 | 10.1 | 1.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 54 | 274 | Chelsea and Fulham | Ben Coleman | 78,468 | 60.0 | 27.7 | 22.9 | 9.6 | 18.4 | 15.7 | 5.4 | 0.4 | LAB | CON |
| 54 | 274 | Harrow West | Gareth Thomas | 79,902 | 56.6 | 23.5 | 22.8 | 9.8 | 18.3 | 20.4 | 0.0 | 5.1 | LAB | CON |
| 54 | 274 | Croydon South | Chris Philp | 74,968 | 65.9 | 31.1 | 22.0 | 11.2 | 17.7 | 11.8 | 5.3 | 0.8 | CON | CON |
| 58 | 270 | Wimbledon | Paul Christopher Kohler | 76,352 | 72.0 | 20.0 | 14.9 | 33.4 | 11.2 | 15.9 | 3.2 | 1.4 | LIB | LIB |
| 58 | 270 | West Ham and Beckton | James Edward Asser | 78,790 | 46.1 | 9.5 | 22.3 | 4.7 | 19.0 | 28.0 | 15.8 | 0.8 | LAB | Green |
| 69 | 260 | Erith and Thamesmead | Abena Oppong-Asare | 78,886 | 51.2 | 11.8 | 27.2 | 5.2 | 25.6 | 21.6 | 7.7 | 0.8 | LAB | LAB |
| 78 | 250 | Harrow East | Bob Blackman | 76,386 | 62.5 | 41.5 | 17.1 | 8.5 | 16.4 | 9.9 | 2.6 | 4.0 | CON | CON |
| 79 | 249 | Chipping Barnet | Dan Tomlinson | 78,038 | 65.2 | 27.5 | 24.1 | 8.5 | 23.6 | 13.2 | 0.0 | 3.1 | LAB | CON |
| 80 | 249 | Eltham and Chislehurst | Clive Efford | 74,224 | 61.4 | 20.4 | 24.8 | 8.2 | 24.3 | 16.1 | 3.3 | 2.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 81 | 248 | Croydon East | Natasha Dawn Irons | 76,660 | 57.1 | 20.3 | 22.8 | 11.1 | 22.5 | 20.1 | 0.0 | 3.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 83 | 245 | Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner | David Simmonds | 71,683 | 65.7 | 35.8 | 18.8 | 12.5 | 18.8 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 3.9 | CON | CON |
| 85 | 244 | Feltham and Heston | Seema Malhotra | 76,983 | 50.5 | 18.7 | 22.2 | 7.0 | 22.4 | 17.8 | 6.9 | 4.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 90 | 238 | Hendon | David Pinto-Duschinsky | 74,865 | 55.1 | 28.0 | 20.1 | 7.7 | 21.6 | 15.2 | 6.6 | 0.9 | LAB | CON |
| 97 | 231 | Richmond Park | Sarah Olney | 68,103 | 76.7 | 18.3 | 10.0 | 40.8 | 12.0 | 15.9 | 0.0 | 3.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 101 | 227 | Twickenham | Munira Wilson | 74,980 | 71.5 | 13.6 | 11.2 | 38.5 | 13.4 | 16.9 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 118 | 210 | Uxbridge and South Ruislip | Danny Boy Beales | 74,746 | 61.4 | 27.6 | 20.5 | 8.4 | 24.4 | 14.5 | 0.0 | 4.6 | LAB | CON |
| 118 | 210 | Barking | Nesil Caliskan | 79,825 | 45.7 | 10.4 | 21.3 | 4.5 | 25.1 | 25.5 | 11.1 | 2.0 | LAB | Green |
| 128 | 200 | Chingford and Woodford Green | Iain Duncan Smith | 75,178 | 64.5 | 27.0 | 16.2 | 6.1 | 21.2 | 10.8 | 18.7 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 136 | 192 | Kingston and Surbiton | Ed Davey | 77,340 | 65.5 | 15.3 | 10.9 | 34.4 | 17.1 | 16.9 | 1.8 | 3.6 | LIB | LIB |
| 144 | 184 | Sutton and Cheam | Luke Taylor | 72,302 | 65.8 | 22.2 | 12.1 | 31.3 | 19.0 | 12.3 | 0.0 | 3.1 | LIB | LIB |
| 161 | 167 | Carshalton and Wallington | Bobby Dean | 74,362 | 62.8 | 21.3 | 10.7 | 30.5 | 19.1 | 11.8 | 4.7 | 1.9 | LIB | LIB |
| 209 | 119 | Bromley and Biggin Hill | Peter Fortune | 70,713 | 66.2 | 37.5 | 15.0 | 7.3 | 28.3 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 3.8 | CON | CON |
| 243 | 85 | Bexleyheath and Crayford | Daniel Francis | 69,470 | 62.6 | 33.0 | 16.0 | 5.7 | 32.7 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 4.9 | LAB | CON |
| 252 | 77 | Dagenham and Rainham | Margaret Mullane | 76,478 | 50.8 | 14.2 | 19.6 | 5.7 | 37.5 | 17.2 | 0.0 | 5.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 273 | 55 | Orpington | Gareth Bacon | 71,203 | 64.7 | 43.2 | 9.5 | 5.9 | 32.0 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 4.3 | CON | CON |
| 281 | 47 | Old Bexley and Sidcup | Louie French | 72,290 | 65.9 | 41.6 | 9.8 | 4.1 | 34.8 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 4.4 | CON | CON |
| 291 | 37 | Romford | Andrew Rosindell | 72,978 | 60.4 | 38.6 | 8.9 | 3.6 | 35.8 | 5.4 | 6.9 | 0.8 | CON | CON |
| 325 | 4 | Hornchurch and Upminster | Julia Lopez | 75,438 | 62.2 | 36.3 | 7.0 | 3.1 | 45.9 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 3.3 | CON | Reform |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.