London: Majority Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 33.1%21 19.0%010-1011
LAB 54.5%49 42.5%90+958
LIB 8.8%3 11.1%10+14
UKIP 1.3%0 3.6%00+00
Green 1.8%0 5.5%00+00
ChUK 0.0%0 5.9%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 11.3%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 1.1%00+00

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, East Ham, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Orpington, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Croydon South (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Hendon (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
ChUK
%
Brexit
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
2548East Ham Stephen Timms83,82767.67.866.74.72.55.80.04.67.50.00.4LABLAB
6544Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali86,07169.57.862.97.42.56.20.05.27.70.00.4LABLAB
10540Tottenham David Lammy72,88367.77.961.37.32.76.10.05.58.40.00.6LABLAB
11539Walthamstow Stella Creasy68,14470.69.362.76.72.45.50.05.57.40.00.5LABLAB
12538Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier82,00467.57.560.39.32.56.30.05.77.80.00.7LABLAB
15535Ilford South Mike Gapes85,35867.511.961.75.12.36.10.05.07.30.00.4LABLAB
17533West Ham Lyn Brown92,24365.89.759.16.13.45.70.05.010.30.00.6LABLAB
20530Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman85,58667.18.857.69.32.95.70.05.79.10.00.8LABLAB
21529Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott83,95567.18.056.89.92.77.70.05.88.30.00.7LABLAB
23527Lewisham Deptford Vicky Foxcroft78,47270.29.556.79.72.66.50.06.08.20.00.8LABLAB
25525Poplar and Limehouse Jim Fitzpatrick87,27467.411.157.48.42.85.80.05.68.50.00.5LABLAB
27523Islington North Jeremy Corbyn74,83173.48.454.511.52.97.00.06.18.90.00.8LABLAB
29521Brent Central Dawn Butler80,84564.711.756.27.83.05.80.05.59.30.00.7LABLAB
33517Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer88,08867.010.953.19.93.07.10.05.99.30.00.8LABLAB
34516Ealing Southall Virendra Sharma65,18869.312.154.37.23.27.40.05.29.90.00.8LABLAB
35515Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer65,28570.712.754.88.92.75.80.05.98.50.00.6LABLAB
37513Croydon North Steve Reed87,46168.212.754.57.13.35.80.05.610.20.00.9LABLAB
39511Edmonton Kate Osamor65,70566.513.655.15.83.45.40.05.410.50.00.7LABLAB
40510Hornsey and Wood Green Catherine West79,94477.910.150.616.62.06.50.07.06.60.00.7LABLAB
42508Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes77,94772.012.552.211.62.56.00.06.57.90.00.9LABLAB
47503Streatham Chuka Umunna78,53271.013.551.310.62.76.30.06.38.50.00.9LABLAB
55495Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry69,53469.112.147.513.13.36.40.06.310.30.01.0LABLAB
57493Barking Margaret Hodge77,02061.912.747.94.95.65.80.04.916.90.01.2LABLAB
58492Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh68,70570.014.950.17.03.85.60.05.611.90.01.1LABLAB
62488Lewisham East Heidi Alexander68,12669.314.448.98.33.85.90.05.811.80.01.2LABLAB
63487Lewisham West and Penge Ellie Reeves72,90273.014.348.79.63.55.80.06.011.00.01.1LABLAB
64486Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell73,26865.215.849.95.24.25.80.05.013.00.01.1LABLAB
65485Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook77,19068.814.548.59.93.55.50.05.911.00.01.1LABLAB
68482Ealing North Steve Pound74,76470.216.650.16.43.65.60.05.511.30.01.0LABLAB
70480Hammersmith Andy Slaughter72,80371.816.249.49.33.05.60.06.09.60.00.9LABLAB
72478Brent North Barry Gardiner82,55668.417.650.16.83.16.40.05.49.70.00.9LABLAB
74476Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle87,22767.19.241.623.72.95.60.07.29.00.00.8LABLAB
76474Vauxhall Kate Hoey81,90767.211.944.318.72.76.00.06.98.70.00.9LABLAB
83467Westminster North Karen Buck63,84667.818.049.38.72.85.50.06.08.90.00.7LABLAB
92458Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra81,70764.917.146.86.04.46.10.05.013.50.01.1LABLAB
102448Hampstead and Kilburn Tulip Siddiq82,95770.418.146.510.72.75.90.06.48.80.01.0LABLAB
104446Harrow West Gareth Thomas69,79872.119.247.56.83.36.20.05.610.40.01.0LABLAB
112438Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq74,20074.620.347.69.62.54.80.06.38.10.00.9LABLAB
113437Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan77,96074.619.746.89.82.55.80.06.48.10.00.9LABLAB
132418Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury85,15172.421.045.48.43.34.60.05.910.40.01.1LABLAB
144406Ilford North Wes Streeting72,99772.522.645.96.03.44.80.05.410.80.01.0LABLAB
149401Enfield North Joan Ryan68,45470.921.444.16.34.04.90.05.712.50.01.1LABLAB
157393Erith and Thamesmead Teresa Pearce69,72463.819.040.35.85.65.30.05.317.10.01.7LABLAB
189361Eltham Clive Efford64,47471.623.440.37.04.44.20.05.613.60.01.6LABLAB
202348Enfield Southgate Bambos Charalambous65,13774.225.240.78.13.25.10.06.210.30.01.1LABLAB
207343Croydon Central Sarah Jones80,04571.324.039.06.44.64.90.05.614.20.01.5LABLAB
222328Hendon Matthew Offord76,32968.425.338.47.63.85.90.05.812.00.01.1CONLAB
225325Battersea Marsha De Cordova77,57271.024.837.711.92.95.40.06.79.40.01.1LABLAB
230320Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas70,62064.921.233.94.67.14.90.04.921.50.02.0LABLAB
233317Kensington Emma Dent Coad60,59463.823.034.813.23.66.00.06.811.40.01.1LABLAB
234316Harrow East Bob Blackman71,75770.926.538.16.93.95.80.05.512.10.01.2CONLAB
236314Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer73,13871.625.236.410.13.36.60.06.410.70.01.2CONLAB
248302Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers77,02072.026.736.28.93.65.40.06.311.50.01.3CONLAB
261289Putney Justine Greening65,02672.125.533.513.33.35.70.06.810.60.01.1CONLAB
262288Cities of London and Westminster Mark Field61,53362.824.632.612.83.76.60.06.911.70.01.2CONLAB
284266Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith66,07871.128.634.47.64.34.50.05.913.40.01.4CONLAB
305245Uxbridge and South Ruislip Boris Johnson69,93866.827.830.66.85.55.30.05.516.90.01.7CONLAB
312238Wimbledon Stephen Hammond66,77177.227.929.415.03.35.60.07.210.50.01.2CONLAB
325225Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands63,72866.129.228.412.83.85.40.06.912.10.01.3CONCON
347203Croydon South Chris Philp83,51873.331.728.38.64.64.90.06.114.30.01.6CONCON
357193Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill65,11371.730.326.18.95.34.90.06.016.60.01.8CONCON
358192Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett65,31569.230.326.05.66.44.50.05.219.80.02.2CONCON
364185Carshalton and Wallington Tom Brake70,84971.621.215.935.04.32.90.05.813.50.01.3LIBLIB
379171Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Nick Hurd73,42572.732.225.99.14.85.50.06.014.80.01.6CONCON
382167Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey81,58476.220.613.840.03.53.60.06.111.20.01.1LIBLIB
400150Romford Andrew Rosindell73,51667.932.223.65.46.74.30.05.120.40.02.2CONCON
430120Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Dockerill80,82169.432.121.25.07.44.60.05.022.40.02.3CONCON
431119Beckenham Bob Stewart67,92876.035.224.39.74.54.10.06.214.20.01.7CONCON
433116Twickenham Vince Cable83,36279.521.210.247.62.52.70.06.48.40.00.9LIBLIB
440110Sutton and Cheam Paul Scully70,40473.830.218.919.84.53.90.07.114.10.01.5CONCON
45793Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire66,00572.834.822.56.16.14.50.05.418.60.02.1CONCON
48168Richmond Park Zac Goldsmith80,02579.124.510.543.02.73.00.06.58.80.01.0CONLIB
50248Orpington Jo Johnson67,90674.335.719.98.05.84.60.05.818.00.02.0CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.