London: Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party	2024 Votes	2024 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	20.5%	9	17.8%	9	1	+8	17
LAB	43.0%	59	25.6%	0	28	-28	31
LIB	11.0%	6	10.4%	0	0	+0	6
Reform	8.7%	0	18.1%	3	0	+3	3
Green	10.1%	0	20.9%	16	0	+16	16
Other	6.7%	1	7.2%	1	0	+1	2

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Hornsey and Friern Barnet' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Hornchurch and Upminster', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hornchurch and Upminster (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Vauxhall and Camberwell Green (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

LAB Seats	Reform Seats	Seat	MP at 2024	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Reform %	Green %	MIN %	OTH %	2024 Win	Pred Win
1	338	Hornsey and Friern Barnet	Catherine West	69,885	69.6	8.2	35.6	10.3	12.0	29.0	4.4	0.5	LAB	LAB
2	337	Lewisham West and East Dulwich	Ellie Reeves	70,099	66.2	8.0	35.3	6.6	13.6	32.3	3.2	1.1	LAB	LAB
4	335	Dulwich and West Norwood	Helen Hayes	74,265	61.1	8.7	34.7	7.0	14.0	33.3	0.0	2.4	LAB	LAB
6	333	Tooting	Rosena Allin-Khan	76,082	69.6	14.5	33.2	8.1	12.7	26.0	4.1	1.3	LAB	LAB
7	332	Putney	Fleur Anderson	72,614	67.9	19.2	31.4	12.3	11.3	20.3	4.1	1.3	LAB	LAB
9	329	Lewisham North	Vicky Foxcroft	74,204	59.5	7.1	32.2	6.0	13.1	37.5	2.6	1.5	LAB	Green
11	328	Battersea	Marsha de Cordova	72,767	64.7	18.9	30.7	10.7	11.8	23.2	2.7	2.0	LAB	LAB
11	327	Hackney North and Stoke Newington	Diane Abbott	77,797	52.6	7.9	32.0	5.7	13.4	37.7	0.0	3.4	LAB	Green
11	327	Walthamstow	Stella Creasy	76,338	60.1	6.8	32.6	5.2	14.1	34.5	4.1	2.6	LAB	Green
12	327	Clapham and Brixton Hill	Bell Ribeiro-Addy	74,435	57.4	9.7	32.4	9.3	13.9	32.1	0.0	2.6	LAB	LAB
12	326	Hackney South and Shoreditch	Meg Hillier	78,262	53.3	6.3	30.4	4.9	12.7	40.3	4.7	0.7	LAB	Green
13	326	Vauxhall and Camberwell Green	Florence Eshalomi	69,658	53.9	8.1	33.1	7.8	15.4	33.0	0.0	2.6	LAB	LAB
13	325	Peckham	Miatta Fahnbulleh	72,123	53.8	7.4	32.9	5.8	15.5	35.2	0.0	3.2	LAB	Green
16	323	Hammersmith and Chiswick	Andy Slaughter	75,860	60.7	15.1	32.1	9.0	15.7	22.8	2.5	2.8	LAB	LAB
18	320	Tottenham	David Lammy	75,906	52.9	7.0	31.6	5.4	16.7	33.6	1.8	3.8	LAB	Green
20	319	Beckenham and Penge	Liam Conlon	76,876	67.9	21.2	31.7	10.7	17.1	16.2	0.0	3.1	LAB	LAB
21	318	Hampstead and Highgate	Tulip Siddiq	80,029	60.7	14.5	29.3	11.4	14.8	26.3	0.0	3.6	LAB	LAB
21	317	Islington South and Finsbury	Emily Thornberry	74,122	57.7	8.6	31.3	7.9	16.8	32.0	0.0	3.4	LAB	Green
22	317	Ealing Southall	Deirdre Costigan	78,669	59.5	14.6	29.3	7.1	15.3	21.3	9.6	2.8	LAB	LAB
22	316	Holborn and St Pancras	Keir Starmer	71,300	54.1	7.9	28.0	5.7	14.2	29.6	13.8	0.9	LAB	Green
23	316	Greenwich and Woolwich	Matthew Pennycook	73,573	58.1	11.2	31.3	7.5	17.4	27.0	4.0	1.6	LAB	LAB
24	315	Southgate and Wood Green	Bambos Charalambous	77,542	58.9	14.3	30.8	8.5	17.1	22.4	4.7	2.1	LAB	LAB
24	314	East Ham	Stephen Timms	79,086	47.9	10.2	26.4	4.9	12.8	29.5	15.2	1.0	LAB	Green
24	314	Streatham and Croydon North	Steve Reed	82,829	53.8	10.9	29.5	7.9	15.9	29.9	4.8	1.1	LAB	Green
27	312	Leyton and Wanstead	Calvin Bailey	73,366	59.6	10.9	29.6	6.9	16.6	27.9	3.5	4.5	LAB	LAB
28	311	Queen's Park and Maida Vale	Georgia Gould	75,558	50.7	10.6	29.3	7.0	16.7	28.0	7.3	1.2	LAB	LAB
29	310	Lewisham East	Janet Daby	73,376	55.4	10.6	32.7	5.9	20.1	25.2	4.0	1.6	LAB	LAB
30	309	Ealing Central and Acton	Rupa Huq	78,436	60.9	15.1	27.2	10.6	14.7	24.8	6.5	1.2	LAB	LAB
34	304	Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Neil Coyle	69,473	54.1	9.2	27.1	14.4	15.9	30.1	0.0	3.3	LAB	Green
35	304	Croydon West	Sarah Jones	77,942	48.9	14.3	29.3	7.1	18.3	24.8	4.2	2.1	LAB	LAB
36	302	Islington North	Jeremy Corbyn	72,582	67.5	5.4	22.5	4.4	11.6	27.9	28.2	0.0	MIN	MIN
37	302	Mitcham and Morden	Siobhain McDonagh	77,272	58.6	13.0	30.7	7.4	19.9	21.4	6.7	1.1	LAB	LAB
39	300	Brent East	Dawn Butler	77,257	48.9	13.0	29.8	6.8	19.1	23.9	3.3	4.0	LAB	LAB
39	299	Stratford and Bow	Uma Kumaran	80,560	53.9	7.9	24.9	5.5	14.1	36.3	5.6	5.6	LAB	Green
41	297	Cities of London and Westminster	Rachel Blake	73,369	53.4	26.6	25.1	10.3	15.4	16.0	4.6	2.0	LAB	CON
43	295	Bethnal Green and Stepney	Rushanara Ali	81,922	56.9	6.2	19.5	8.0	10.3	37.6	17.5	0.9	LAB	Green
43	295	Poplar and Limehouse	Apsana Begum	84,469	51.0	11.1	23.1	8.5	13.9	32.6	9.2	1.6	LAB	Green
46	293	Enfield North	Feryal Clark	78,770	55.2	17.2	29.2	8.0	20.4	18.7	3.2	3.3	LAB	LAB
47	292	Hayes and Harlington	John McDonnell	74,405	51.5	20.2	27.0	6.1	18.2	17.3	11.2	0.0	LAB	LAB
47	291	Ilford South	Jas Athwal	80,993	50.8	14.0	23.0	5.1	14.4	23.0	18.8	1.6	LAB	Green
48	291	Edmonton and Winchmore Hill	Kate Osamor	75,792	54.2	15.4	29.4	7.7	20.9	19.8	2.7	4.0	LAB	LAB
51	288	Finchley and Golders Green	Sarah Sackman	77,500	63.6	26.7	27.7	9.9	19.3	13.3	0.0	3.1	LAB	LAB
55	284	Brentford and Isleworth	Ruth Cadbury	79,283	57.1	20.5	25.1	9.2	17.0	18.6	8.8	0.7	LAB	LAB
55	283	Kensington and Bayswater	Joe Powell	77,306	54.2	28.0	24.8	7.9	16.7	15.0	6.4	1.3	LAB	CON
58	280	Harrow West	Gareth Thomas	79,902	56.6	25.1	25.1	9.8	17.5	18.2	0.0	4.5	LAB	CON
65	273	Ilford North	Wes Streeting	77,835	60.2	19.9	20.6	5.6	13.7	15.8	24.4	0.0	LAB	MIN
66	273	Ealing North	James Murray	74,820	57.8	15.4	27.2	6.3	20.4	19.4	10.1	1.1	LAB	LAB
66	272	Brent West	Barry Gardiner	79,937	51.8	31.1	22.2	6.8	15.6	14.6	9.7	0.0	LAB	CON
75	263	Chelsea and Fulham	Ben Coleman	78,468	60.0	28.7	24.1	9.7	18.3	13.5	5.4	0.3	LAB	CON
75	263	Croydon South	Chris Philp	74,968	65.9	32.2	23.3	11.2	17.6	9.6	5.3	0.7	CON	CON
76	262	Wimbledon	Paul Christopher Kohler	76,352	72.0	21.2	16.3	33.4	11.0	13.7	3.2	1.2	LIB	LIB
77	262	Erith and Thamesmead	Abena Oppong-Asare	78,886	51.2	11.1	32.5	4.4	27.3	16.3	7.7	0.7	LAB	LAB
81	257	West Ham and Beckton	James Edward Asser	78,790	46.1	10.5	23.6	4.8	18.9	25.7	15.8	0.7	LAB	Green
99	239	Harrow East	Bob Blackman	76,386	62.5	42.9	19.2	8.4	15.8	7.7	2.6	3.5	CON	CON
100	238	Chipping Barnet	Dan Tomlinson	78,038	65.2	28.8	26.0	8.5	23.0	10.9	0.0	2.7	LAB	CON
102	237	Eltham and Chislehurst	Clive Efford	74,224	61.4	21.6	26.6	8.3	23.8	13.9	3.3	2.5	LAB	LAB
105	234	Feltham and Heston	Seema Malhotra	76,983	50.5	20.2	24.4	7.0	21.7	15.6	6.9	4.3	LAB	LAB
105	233	Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner	David Simmonds	71,683	65.7	37.2	20.8	12.5	18.2	7.9	0.0	3.4	CON	CON
106	233	Croydon East	Natasha Dawn Irons	76,660	57.1	21.7	24.6	11.1	22.0	17.9	0.0	2.7	LAB	LAB
131	207	Hendon	David Pinto-Duschinsky	74,865	55.1	29.1	21.4	7.7	21.4	13.0	6.6	0.8	LAB	CON
134	204	Richmond Park	Sarah Olney	68,103	76.7	20.7	10.0	44.3	10.5	11.9	0.0	2.6	LIB	LIB
136	202	Uxbridge and South Ruislip	Danny Boy Beales	74,746	61.4	29.1	22.7	8.3	23.6	12.2	0.0	4.0	LAB	CON
137	201	Twickenham	Munira Wilson	74,980	71.5	14.6	12.3	38.6	13.4	14.7	6.4	0.0	LIB	LIB
145	194	Barking	Nesil Caliskan	79,825	45.7	11.6	22.8	4.6	24.9	23.3	11.0	1.8	LAB	Reform
162	176	Kingston and Surbiton	Ed Davey	77,340	65.5	16.6	12.9	34.4	16.5	14.7	1.8	3.1	LIB	LIB
165	173	Chingford and Woodford Green	Iain Duncan Smith	75,178	64.5	28.1	17.3	6.2	21.2	8.5	18.7	0.0	CON	CON
172	166	Sutton and Cheam	Luke Taylor	72,302	65.8	23.8	13.6	31.7	18.3	9.9	0.0	2.7	LIB	LIB
174	164	Bromley and Biggin Hill	Peter Fortune	70,713	66.2	31.1	21.4	10.0	26.3	7.9	0.0	3.3	CON	CON
189	149	Carshalton and Wallington	Bobby Dean	74,362	62.8	22.5	12.2	30.5	18.8	9.6	4.7	1.6	LIB	LIB
245	93	Bexleyheath and Crayford	Daniel Francis	69,470	62.6	32.6	19.2	6.2	31.6	6.2	0.0	4.2	LAB	CON
252	87	Dagenham and Rainham	Margaret Mullane	76,478	50.8	13.1	26.0	4.5	39.0	12.3	0.0	5.1	LAB	Reform
293	45	Orpington	Gareth Bacon	71,203	64.7	43.8	11.1	6.2	31.1	3.9	0.0	3.8	CON	CON
305	33	Old Bexley and Sidcup	Louie French	72,290	65.9	43.0	11.0	4.1	34.1	3.9	0.0	3.9	CON	CON
314	24	Romford	Andrew Rosindell	72,978	60.4	39.5	9.6	3.7	35.6	4.0	6.9	0.7	CON	CON
335	4	Hornchurch and Upminster	Julia Lopez	75,438	62.2	37.6	8.0	3.1	45.3	3.2	0.0	2.9	CON	Reform

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.