London: Majority Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 32.0%21 18.7%016-165
LAB 48.1%49 55.9%150+1564
LIB 14.9%3 8.7%10+14
Reform 1.4%0 8.8%00+00
Green 3.1%0 7.0%00+00
Other 0.5%0 1.0%00+00

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, East Ham, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Old Bexley and Sidcup, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Finchley and Golders Green (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Hendon (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2019ElectorateTurn
4576East Ham Stephen Timms88,31961.96.780.
9571Tottenham David Lammy75,74061.
12568Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali88,26268.
13567Walthamstow Stella Creasy70,26768.86.376.
15565West Ham Lyn Brown97,94761.56.876.
16564Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier89,38760.95.374.
17563Lewisham Deptford Vicky Foxcroft80,63168.75.774.
18562Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman88,97163.55.674.
19561Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott92,46261.
23557Ilford South Sam Tarry84,97262.911.
24556Poplar and Limehouse Apsana Begum91,83666.77.971.
29551Croydon North Steve Reed88,46862.
32548Islington North Jeremy Corbyn75,16271.
33547Brent Central Dawn Butler84,03258.510.370.
34546Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer86,06166.08.968.
35545Barking Margaret Hodge77,95357.
36544Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer64,85268.710.470.
37543Edmonton Kate Osamor65,74761.411.
38542Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes80,33169.48.667.13.16.614.00.00.7LABLAB
40540Lewisham East Janet Daby67,85766.010.368.
41539Vauxhall Florence Eshalomi88,65963.58.666.
43537Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh70,02165.312.568.
46534Ealing Southall Virendra Sharma64,58165.413.
47533Lewisham West and Penge Ellie Reeves74,61769.810.366.
51529Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook79,99766.411.466.
52528Streatham Bell Ribeiro-Addy84,78366.78.963.
53527Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry70,48967.89.764.
61519Hammersmith Andy Slaughter74,75969.512.664.
67513Ealing North James Murray74,47366.615.466.
70510Hornsey and Wood Green Catherine West81,81474.78.358.
73507Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell72,35760.817.
75505Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle93,24862.98.957.916.
88492Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan76,95476.015.462.
102478Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra80,93459.
104476Westminster North Karen Buck65,51965.516.660.
109471Erith and Thamesmead Abena Oppong-Asare65,39963.318.
113467Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq75,51072.615.658.
115465Brent North Barry Gardiner83,78861.919.962.
125455Hampstead and Kilburn Tulip Siddiq86,57166.314.656.
126454Harrow West Gareth Thomas72,46466.120.462.
130450Enfield North Feryal Clark68,30166.
141439Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury85,77568.
154426Croydon Central Sarah Jones81,40766.420.759.
165415Eltham Clive Efford64,08668.
168412Ilford North Wes Streeting72,97368.722.859.
169411Battersea Marsha De Cordova79,35075.619.556.
186394Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas71,04561.621.356.62.712.
197383Putney Fleur Anderson65,55677.021.353.
208372Enfield Southgate Bambos Charalambous65,52572.123.755.
249331Hendon Matthew Offord82,66166.627.
264316Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith65,39374.127.952.
270310Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers79,96072.027.351.
291289Kensington Felicity Buchan64,60967.725.447.
323257Cities of London and Westminster Nickie Aiken63,70067.
331249Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer77,57371.
342238Harrow East Bob Blackman72,10668.634.747.
350230Wimbledon Stephen Hammond68,24077.723.335.
372208Croydon South Chris Philp83,98270.733.541.
373207Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill66,69768.332.
378202Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands67,11069.832.339.
384196Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett65,46666.135.741.
395185Uxbridge and South Ruislip Boris Johnson70,36568.539.543.
414166Beckenham Bob Stewart68,66273.634.737.29.810.
416164Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Lopez80,76566.834.136.44.714.
444135Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey81,97574.220.420.043.510.
446134Romford Andrew Rosindell72,35065.338.938.
456123Carshalton and Wallington Elliot Colburn72,94167.325.923.932.611.
480100Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner David Simmonds72,81672.740.
49188Twickenham Munira Wilson84,90676.021.215.947.
51862Sutton and Cheam Paul Scully71,77970.332.624.626.910.
53247Richmond Park Sarah Olney82,69978.726.015.942.
55525Orpington Gareth Bacon68,87770.742.630.
56713Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire66,10469.847.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.