London: Majority Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 33.1%21 28.0%04-417
LAB 54.5%49 52.4%30+352
LIB 8.8%3 9.8%10+14
UKIP 1.3%0 5.4%00+00
Green 1.8%0 3.6%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 0.8%00+00

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, East Ham, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Orpington, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Croydon South (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Battersea (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
6563East Ham Stephen Timms83,82767.69.381.12.04.42.30.00.01.0LABLAB
7562Tottenham David Lammy72,88367.78.479.44.23.93.90.00.00.2LABLAB
9560Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier82,00467.57.977.36.52.94.10.00.01.3LABLAB
13556Walthamstow Stella Creasy68,14470.610.278.43.73.44.00.00.00.2LABLAB
14555Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman85,58667.19.375.66.83.24.30.00.00.8LABLAB
16553Lewisham Deptford Vicky Foxcroft78,47270.210.074.96.13.34.50.00.01.2LABLAB
18551Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott83,95567.19.272.97.63.26.10.00.01.1LABLAB
19550West Ham Lyn Brown92,24365.811.874.64.05.63.30.00.00.8LABLAB
22547Islington North Jeremy Corbyn74,83173.49.170.89.83.95.50.00.00.9LABLAB
24545Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali86,07169.59.269.75.84.74.00.06.50.2LABLAB
26543Ilford South Mike Gapes85,35867.515.573.72.45.12.90.00.00.4LABLAB
27542Croydon North Steve Reed87,46168.214.572.03.95.53.60.00.00.5LABLAB
28541Brent Central Dawn Butler80,84564.714.270.95.95.33.50.00.00.3LABLAB
31538Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer88,08867.013.467.97.85.35.20.00.00.4LABLAB
34535Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes77,94772.014.267.59.04.24.40.00.00.7LABLAB
38531Hornsey and Wood Green Catherine West79,94477.910.863.216.94.23.50.00.90.5LABLAB
39530Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer65,28570.715.467.77.54.34.90.00.00.3LABLAB
40529Ealing Southall Virendra Sharma65,18869.315.968.15.35.44.20.00.01.1LABLAB
42527Edmonton Kate Osamor65,70566.517.769.33.16.33.40.00.00.3LABLAB
45524Poplar and Limehouse Jim Fitzpatrick87,27467.414.765.17.85.73.60.02.50.5LABLAB
46523Streatham Chuka Umunna78,53271.015.966.37.64.95.00.00.00.3LABLAB
51518Barking Margaret Hodge77,02061.917.065.62.410.73.50.00.00.9LABLAB
52517Lewisham East Heidi Alexander68,12669.317.665.85.56.03.70.00.01.5LABLAB
54515Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh68,70570.018.866.54.26.53.30.00.00.7LABLAB
56513Lewisham West and Penge Ellie Reeves72,90273.017.664.47.35.64.10.00.01.0LABLAB
61508Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry69,53469.115.260.713.26.24.40.00.00.3LABLAB
73496Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook77,19068.820.062.38.24.35.00.00.00.3LABLAB
75494Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle87,22767.19.451.131.94.62.50.00.00.4LABLAB
76493Vauxhall Kate Hoey81,90767.213.655.221.64.14.00.00.01.5LABLAB
78491Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell73,26865.223.264.42.46.73.10.00.00.3LABLAB
81488Ealing North Steve Pound74,76470.223.063.83.56.03.40.00.00.3LABLAB
87482Hammersmith Andy Slaughter72,80371.822.761.76.55.33.50.00.00.3LABLAB
112457Brent North Barry Gardiner82,55668.427.260.74.04.33.10.00.00.7LABLAB
121448Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra81,70764.926.359.13.77.13.50.00.00.3LABLAB
138431Hampstead and Kilburn Tulip Siddiq82,95770.426.956.88.14.33.20.00.00.6LABLAB
139430Westminster North Karen Buck63,84667.827.957.76.34.33.30.00.00.5LABLAB
140429Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan77,96074.627.657.56.44.93.40.00.00.3LABLAB
142427Harrow West Gareth Thomas69,79872.129.058.73.65.23.20.00.00.3LABLAB
145424Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq74,20074.629.357.56.74.32.00.00.00.3LABLAB
153416Erith and Thamesmead Teresa Pearce69,72463.829.655.42.88.23.10.00.01.0LABLAB
161408Enfield North Joan Ryan68,45470.931.555.93.26.03.10.00.00.3LABLAB
167402Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury85,15172.432.255.26.14.32.00.00.00.3LABLAB
176393Ilford North Wes Streeting72,99772.534.155.63.14.32.00.00.01.0LABLAB
192377Eltham Clive Efford64,47471.635.452.34.34.32.00.00.01.9LABLAB
210359Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas70,62064.934.547.92.111.43.10.00.01.0LABLAB
211358Croydon Central Sarah Jones80,04571.337.050.23.06.13.00.00.00.7LABLAB
214355Enfield Southgate Bambos Charalambous65,13774.237.249.65.14.33.60.00.00.3LABLAB
234335Battersea Marsha De Cordova77,57271.036.143.89.14.93.50.02.20.3LABLAB
253316Kensington Emma Dent Coad60,59463.836.740.113.34.33.90.00.01.7LABLAB
258311Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers77,02072.040.943.56.54.34.50.00.00.3CONLAB
269300Hendon Matthew Offord76,32968.442.643.84.95.43.10.00.00.3CONLAB
278291Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer73,13871.641.541.67.75.23.70.00.00.3CONLAB
279290Putney Justine Greening65,02672.138.638.612.75.34.30.00.00.4CONCON
281288Harrow East Bob Blackman71,75770.944.043.84.24.33.50.00.00.3CONCON
290279Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith66,07871.143.741.85.44.34.50.00.00.3CONCON
303266Cities of London and Westminster Mark Field61,53362.841.136.312.15.44.10.00.01.0CONCON
313256Uxbridge and South Ruislip Boris Johnson69,93866.845.337.95.07.73.80.00.00.3CONCON
315254Wimbledon Stephen Hammond66,77177.241.033.415.65.44.30.00.00.3CONCON
348221Croydon South Chris Philp83,51873.349.033.66.96.13.80.00.00.6CONCON
352217Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands63,72866.147.231.112.15.53.90.00.00.3CONCON
355213Carshalton and Wallington Tom Brake70,84971.632.916.542.14.22.90.00.90.6LIBLIB
356213Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett65,31569.250.133.33.88.63.30.00.00.9CONCON
362207Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill65,11371.748.531.28.37.34.40.00.00.3CONCON
373195Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey81,58476.232.613.245.75.12.70.00.00.7LIBLIB
401168Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Nick Hurd73,42572.751.828.98.26.54.30.00.00.3CONCON
410159Romford Andrew Rosindell73,51667.954.029.73.59.03.60.00.00.3CONCON
410158Twickenham Vince Cable83,36279.532.68.253.73.61.70.00.00.2LIBLIB
426143Beckenham Bob Stewart67,92876.053.928.09.04.34.60.00.00.3CONCON
439130Sutton and Cheam Paul Scully70,40473.845.718.427.84.33.60.00.00.3CONCON
446123Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Dockerill80,82169.454.726.43.510.53.90.00.00.9CONCON
449120Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire66,00572.856.027.14.47.73.70.00.01.1CONCON
47494Richmond Park Zac Goldsmith80,02579.139.78.146.04.31.60.00.00.2CONLIB
51455Orpington Jo Johnson67,90674.357.522.27.78.34.10.00.00.3CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.