London: Majority Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 33.1%21 27.7%51+425
LAB 54.5%49 35.7%06-643
LIB 8.8%3 21.0%20+25
Brexit 0.0%0 8.5%00+00
Green 1.8%0 4.8%00+00
UKIP 1.3%0 0.8%00+00
Other 0.5%0 1.5%00+00

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, East Ham, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Orpington, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Kingston and Surbiton (prediction: LIB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Enfield Southgate (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
3544East Ham Stephen Timms83,82767.616.
11536Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali86,07169.515.456.
12535Tottenham David Lammy72,88367.714.854.815.
13534Walthamstow Stella Creasy68,14470.616.455.714.
17530Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier82,00467.513.851.
19528West Ham Lyn Brown92,24365.818.454.411.
22525Ilford South Mike Gapes85,35867.521.555.
23524Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman85,58667.115.448.519.
26521Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott83,95567.114.846.619.94.411.
28519Poplar and Limehouse Jim Fitzpatrick87,27467.419.851.416.
30517Lewisham Deptford Vicky Foxcroft78,47270.215.346.220.24.810.
33514Islington North Jeremy Corbyn74,83173.414.744.923.
36511Brent Central Dawn Butler80,84564.719.948.917.
38509Edmonton Kate Osamor65,70566.522.650.612.
39508Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer65,28570.720.447.718.
40507Croydon North Steve Reed87,46168.220.848.
43504Ealing Southall Virendra Sharma65,18869.321.647.814.
46501Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer88,08867.018.143.322.
50497Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes77,94772.018.441.925.
52495Hornsey and Wood Green Catherine West79,94477.915.138.434.
54493Streatham Chuka Umunna78,53271.019.442.423.
56491Barking Margaret Hodge77,02061.923.445.610.713.
61486Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh68,70570.023.744.614.710.
66481Lewisham East Heidi Alexander68,12669.322.041.919.
73474Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry69,53469.119.338.
74473Lewisham West and Penge Ellie Reeves72,90273.021.540.421.
80467Hammersmith Andy Slaughter72,80371.824.
82465Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook77,19068.822.640.620.
83464Vauxhall Kate Hoey81,90767.217.935.832.
85462Ealing North Steve Pound74,76470.226.444.
86461Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell73,26865.226.944.610.711.
99447Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle87,22767.114.830.842.
103444Westminster North Karen Buck63,84667.827.542.718.
110437Brent North Barry Gardiner82,55668.428.542.614.
117430Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan77,96074.626.739.820.
120427Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra81,70764.928.441.312.311.
129418Hampstead and Kilburn Tulip Siddiq82,95770.426.137.623.
136411Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq74,20074.628.
144403Harrow West Gareth Thomas69,79872.129.939.815.
156391Enfield North Joan Ryan68,45470.930.938.814.
173374Erith and Thamesmead Teresa Pearce69,72463.829.936.213.313.
176371Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury85,15172.430.936.918.
183364Ilford North Wes Streeting72,99772.533.438.
210337Eltham Clive Efford64,47471.633.033.615.911.
219328Enfield Southgate Bambos Charalambous65,13774.234.133.818.
222325Battersea Marsha De Cordova77,57271.031.431.
223324Croydon Central Sarah Jones80,04571.333.833.415.
241306Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas70,62064.934.231.210.518.
246301Kensington Emma Dent Coad60,59463.831.928.
253294Hendon Matthew Offord76,32968.436.932.
261286Putney Justine Greening65,02672.132.827.
267280Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer73,13871.635.729.
271276Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers77,02072.035.828.720.
278269Cities of London and Westminster Mark Field61,53362.834.
280267Harrow East Bob Blackman71,75770.939.130.814.
295252Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith66,07871.138.227.917.
308239Wimbledon Stephen Hammond66,77177.234.822.
312235Uxbridge and South Ruislip Boris Johnson69,93866.839.225.815.613.
325222Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands63,72866.138.022.525.
342204Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey81,58476.227.810.
349197Carshalton and Wallington Tom Brake70,84971.630.211.842.411.
356191Croydon South Chris Philp83,51873.341.022.219.810.
356190Twickenham Vince Cable83,36279.525.76.858.
369178Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill65,11371.740.720.420.412.
375172Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett65,31569.242.621.713.316.
397149Richmond Park Zac Goldsmith80,02579.130.57.452.
407140Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Nick Hurd73,42572.743.819.519.910.
410137Sutton and Cheam Paul Scully70,40473.837.112.735.
431116Romford Andrew Rosindell73,51667.945.119.512.417.
441106Beckenham Bob Stewart67,92876.043.917.821.510.
47374Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire66,00572.846.317.814.815.
48265Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Dockerill80,82169.446.217.312.518.
50938Orpington Jo Johnson67,90674.346.414.919.314.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.