| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 20.5% | 9 | 16.3% | 8 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| LAB | 43.0% | 59 | 23.9% | 0 | 39 | -39 | 20 |
| LIB | 11.0% | 6 | 10.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 6 |
| Reform | 8.7% | 0 | 18.5% | 4 | 0 | +4 | 4 |
| Green | 10.1% | 0 | 24.6% | 28 | 0 | +28 | 28 |
| Other | 6.7% | 1 | 6.4% | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 |
This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Hornsey and Friern Barnet' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Hornchurch and Upminster', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hornchurch and Upminster (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Hornsey and Friern Barnet (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 326 | Hornsey and Friern Barnet | Catherine West | 69,885 | 69.6 | 7.0 | 34.1 | 10.0 | 11.3 | 32.7 | 4.4 | 0.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 1 | 325 | Lewisham West and East Dulwich | Ellie Reeves | 70,099 | 66.2 | 6.8 | 33.7 | 6.2 | 13.2 | 36.0 | 3.2 | 0.9 | LAB | Green |
| 3 | 324 | Tooting | Rosena Allin-Khan | 76,082 | 69.6 | 13.1 | 31.6 | 7.8 | 12.6 | 29.7 | 4.1 | 1.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 3 | 323 | Dulwich and West Norwood | Helen Hayes | 74,265 | 61.1 | 7.3 | 32.8 | 6.8 | 14.2 | 36.9 | 0.0 | 1.9 | LAB | Green |
| 4 | 323 | Putney | Fleur Anderson | 72,614 | 67.9 | 17.8 | 29.8 | 12.1 | 11.2 | 24.0 | 4.1 | 1.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 6 | 320 | Lewisham North | Vicky Foxcroft | 74,204 | 59.5 | 5.9 | 30.5 | 5.7 | 12.9 | 41.2 | 2.6 | 1.2 | LAB | Green |
| 8 | 319 | Battersea | Marsha de Cordova | 72,767 | 64.7 | 17.3 | 29.0 | 10.5 | 12.0 | 26.9 | 2.7 | 1.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 8 | 318 | Hackney South and Shoreditch | Meg Hillier | 78,262 | 53.3 | 5.3 | 28.9 | 4.5 | 12.1 | 44.0 | 4.7 | 0.6 | LAB | Green |
| 8 | 318 | Walthamstow | Stella Creasy | 76,338 | 60.1 | 5.6 | 30.7 | 5.0 | 14.3 | 38.2 | 4.1 | 2.1 | LAB | Green |
| 8 | 318 | Clapham and Brixton Hill | Bell Ribeiro-Addy | 74,435 | 57.4 | 8.2 | 30.6 | 9.1 | 14.2 | 35.9 | 0.0 | 2.1 | LAB | Green |
| 8 | 318 | Hackney North and Stoke Newington | Diane Abbott | 77,797 | 52.6 | 6.4 | 29.9 | 5.6 | 14.0 | 41.4 | 0.0 | 2.7 | LAB | Green |
| 8 | 318 | Vauxhall and Camberwell Green | Florence Eshalomi | 69,658 | 53.9 | 6.7 | 31.1 | 7.6 | 15.7 | 36.7 | 0.0 | 2.1 | LAB | Green |
| 8 | 318 | Peckham | Miatta Fahnbulleh | 72,123 | 53.8 | 6.0 | 30.9 | 5.7 | 15.9 | 38.9 | 0.0 | 2.5 | LAB | Green |
| 10 | 317 | Hammersmith and Chiswick | Andy Slaughter | 75,860 | 60.7 | 13.5 | 30.1 | 8.9 | 16.2 | 26.5 | 2.5 | 2.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 10 | 316 | Holborn and St Pancras | Keir Starmer | 71,300 | 54.1 | 6.6 | 26.5 | 5.3 | 13.7 | 33.4 | 13.8 | 0.7 | LAB | Green |
| 11 | 315 | Streatham and Croydon North | Steve Reed | 82,829 | 53.8 | 9.4 | 27.9 | 7.6 | 15.6 | 33.6 | 4.9 | 0.9 | LAB | Green |
| 11 | 315 | Greenwich and Woolwich | Matthew Pennycook | 73,573 | 58.1 | 9.7 | 29.6 | 7.2 | 17.4 | 30.8 | 4.0 | 1.3 | LAB | Green |
| 12 | 315 | Beckenham and Penge | Liam Conlon | 76,876 | 67.9 | 19.5 | 29.7 | 10.7 | 17.7 | 19.9 | 0.0 | 2.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 12 | 314 | Tottenham | David Lammy | 75,906 | 52.9 | 5.6 | 29.4 | 5.3 | 17.4 | 37.4 | 1.8 | 3.1 | LAB | Green |
| 14 | 313 | Southgate and Wood Green | Bambos Charalambous | 77,542 | 58.9 | 12.8 | 29.0 | 8.3 | 17.3 | 26.2 | 4.7 | 1.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 14 | 312 | Islington South and Finsbury | Emily Thornberry | 74,122 | 57.7 | 7.1 | 29.2 | 7.8 | 17.5 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 2.8 | LAB | Green |
| 14 | 312 | Hampstead and Highgate | Tulip Siddiq | 80,029 | 60.7 | 12.9 | 27.2 | 11.4 | 15.6 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 2.9 | LAB | Green |
| 15 | 312 | Ealing Southall | Deirdre Costigan | 78,669 | 59.5 | 13.0 | 27.3 | 7.0 | 15.9 | 25.0 | 9.6 | 2.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 17 | 309 | Queen's Park and Maida Vale | Georgia Gould | 75,558 | 50.7 | 9.2 | 27.7 | 6.7 | 16.5 | 31.7 | 7.3 | 0.9 | LAB | Green |
| 18 | 308 | Ealing Central and Acton | Rupa Huq | 78,436 | 60.9 | 13.6 | 25.6 | 10.4 | 14.5 | 28.5 | 6.4 | 1.0 | LAB | Green |
| 19 | 308 | Lewisham East | Janet Daby | 73,376 | 55.4 | 9.1 | 31.0 | 5.6 | 20.1 | 28.9 | 4.0 | 1.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 21 | 305 | East Ham | Stephen Timms | 79,086 | 47.9 | 8.7 | 25.6 | 5.6 | 15.5 | 33.2 | 0.0 | 11.2 | LAB | Green |
| 23 | 304 | Mitcham and Morden | Siobhain McDonagh | 77,272 | 58.6 | 11.5 | 29.2 | 7.1 | 19.6 | 25.1 | 6.7 | 0.8 | LAB | LAB |
| 23 | 303 | Leyton and Wanstead | Calvin Bailey | 73,366 | 59.6 | 9.1 | 27.3 | 7.0 | 17.8 | 31.7 | 3.5 | 3.6 | LAB | Green |
| 24 | 302 | Croydon West | Sarah Jones | 77,942 | 48.9 | 12.7 | 27.6 | 6.9 | 18.5 | 28.5 | 4.2 | 1.7 | LAB | Green |
| 27 | 299 | Bermondsey and Old Southwark | Neil Coyle | 69,473 | 54.1 | 7.6 | 25.0 | 14.3 | 16.5 | 33.9 | 0.0 | 2.7 | LAB | Green |
| 28 | 299 | Hayes and Harlington | John McDonnell | 74,405 | 51.5 | 18.9 | 25.7 | 5.7 | 17.5 | 21.0 | 11.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 30 | 296 | Cities of London and Westminster | Rachel Blake | 73,369 | 53.4 | 25.1 | 23.3 | 10.1 | 15.5 | 19.7 | 4.6 | 1.6 | LAB | CON |
| 33 | 294 | Brent East | Dawn Butler | 77,257 | 48.9 | 11.3 | 27.7 | 6.8 | 20.1 | 27.6 | 3.3 | 3.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 33 | 293 | Islington North | Jeremy Corbyn | 72,582 | 67.5 | 4.5 | 22.1 | 5.2 | 14.5 | 31.6 | 0.0 | 22.0 | MIN | Green |
| 33 | 293 | Poplar and Limehouse | Apsana Begum | 84,469 | 51.0 | 9.7 | 21.4 | 8.3 | 13.9 | 36.3 | 9.2 | 1.3 | LAB | Green |
| 35 | 291 | Stratford and Bow | Uma Kumaran | 80,560 | 53.9 | 6.4 | 22.5 | 5.5 | 15.3 | 40.0 | 5.6 | 4.7 | LAB | Green |
| 36 | 291 | Brentford and Isleworth | Ruth Cadbury | 79,283 | 57.1 | 19.2 | 23.7 | 8.9 | 16.6 | 22.3 | 8.8 | 0.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 37 | 289 | Kensington and Bayswater | Joe Powell | 77,306 | 54.2 | 26.5 | 23.2 | 7.6 | 16.5 | 18.7 | 6.4 | 1.0 | LAB | CON |
| 38 | 288 | Ilford North | Wes Streeting | 77,835 | 60.2 | 18.6 | 19.3 | 5.2 | 13.0 | 19.5 | 24.4 | 0.0 | LAB | MIN |
| 41 | 286 | Enfield North | Feryal Clark | 78,770 | 55.2 | 15.5 | 27.2 | 7.9 | 21.1 | 22.4 | 3.2 | 2.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 43 | 283 | Brent West | Barry Gardiner | 79,937 | 51.8 | 29.8 | 20.9 | 6.4 | 14.9 | 18.4 | 9.7 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 43 | 283 | Bethnal Green and Stepney | Rushanara Ali | 81,922 | 56.9 | 5.2 | 18.8 | 8.7 | 12.9 | 41.3 | 0.0 | 13.2 | LAB | Green |
| 44 | 283 | Finchley and Golders Green | Sarah Sackman | 77,500 | 63.6 | 25.1 | 25.7 | 9.9 | 19.9 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 45 | 282 | Ealing North | James Murray | 74,820 | 57.8 | 14.0 | 25.7 | 6.1 | 20.2 | 23.1 | 10.1 | 0.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 47 | 280 | Edmonton and Winchmore Hill | Kate Osamor | 75,792 | 54.2 | 13.7 | 27.2 | 7.7 | 21.9 | 23.5 | 2.7 | 3.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 47 | 279 | Ilford South | Jas Athwal | 80,993 | 50.8 | 12.5 | 22.0 | 5.8 | 17.0 | 26.8 | 0.0 | 16.1 | LAB | Green |
| 47 | 279 | Chelsea and Fulham | Ben Coleman | 78,468 | 60.0 | 27.4 | 22.7 | 9.4 | 17.7 | 17.2 | 5.4 | 0.2 | LAB | CON |
| 48 | 278 | Croydon South | Chris Philp | 74,968 | 65.9 | 30.8 | 21.8 | 10.9 | 17.2 | 13.3 | 5.3 | 0.6 | CON | CON |
| 49 | 277 | Harrow West | Gareth Thomas | 79,902 | 56.6 | 23.3 | 22.8 | 9.8 | 18.7 | 21.9 | 0.0 | 3.6 | LAB | CON |
| 50 | 276 | Wimbledon | Paul Christopher Kohler | 76,352 | 72.0 | 19.7 | 14.7 | 33.2 | 10.8 | 17.4 | 3.2 | 1.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 51 | 275 | West Ham and Beckton | James Edward Asser | 78,790 | 46.1 | 9.2 | 22.1 | 4.5 | 18.4 | 29.4 | 15.8 | 0.5 | LAB | Green |
| 64 | 263 | Erith and Thamesmead | Abena Oppong-Asare | 78,886 | 51.2 | 11.5 | 27.1 | 4.9 | 25.1 | 23.1 | 7.7 | 0.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 75 | 251 | Chipping Barnet | Dan Tomlinson | 78,038 | 65.2 | 27.2 | 24.1 | 8.4 | 23.5 | 14.7 | 0.0 | 2.2 | LAB | CON |
| 75 | 251 | Harrow East | Bob Blackman | 76,386 | 62.5 | 41.2 | 17.1 | 8.4 | 16.5 | 11.4 | 2.6 | 2.8 | CON | CON |
| 76 | 251 | Eltham and Chislehurst | Clive Efford | 74,224 | 61.4 | 20.1 | 24.7 | 8.1 | 24.2 | 17.6 | 3.3 | 2.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 78 | 249 | Croydon East | Natasha Dawn Irons | 76,660 | 57.1 | 20.1 | 22.7 | 11.0 | 22.5 | 21.6 | 0.0 | 2.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 78 | 248 | Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner | David Simmonds | 71,683 | 65.7 | 35.5 | 18.8 | 12.4 | 18.9 | 11.7 | 0.0 | 2.7 | CON | CON |
| 83 | 244 | Feltham and Heston | Seema Malhotra | 76,983 | 50.5 | 18.4 | 22.2 | 7.0 | 22.7 | 19.3 | 6.9 | 3.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 85 | 241 | Hendon | David Pinto-Duschinsky | 74,865 | 55.1 | 27.7 | 19.9 | 7.4 | 21.0 | 16.7 | 6.6 | 0.6 | LAB | CON |
| 88 | 238 | Twickenham | Munira Wilson | 74,980 | 71.5 | 13.3 | 11.0 | 38.2 | 12.7 | 18.4 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 92 | 234 | Richmond Park | Sarah Olney | 68,103 | 76.7 | 18.0 | 9.9 | 40.7 | 11.9 | 17.4 | 0.0 | 2.1 | LIB | LIB |
| 109 | 217 | Barking | Nesil Caliskan | 79,825 | 45.7 | 10.1 | 21.2 | 4.4 | 24.9 | 27.0 | 11.1 | 1.4 | LAB | Green |
| 112 | 214 | Uxbridge and South Ruislip | Danny Boy Beales | 74,746 | 61.4 | 27.3 | 20.5 | 8.3 | 24.7 | 15.9 | 0.0 | 3.2 | LAB | CON |
| 133 | 193 | Kingston and Surbiton | Ed Davey | 77,340 | 65.5 | 15.0 | 10.9 | 34.2 | 17.1 | 18.4 | 1.8 | 2.5 | LIB | LIB |
| 138 | 188 | Sutton and Cheam | Luke Taylor | 72,302 | 65.8 | 22.0 | 12.0 | 31.2 | 18.9 | 13.8 | 0.0 | 2.2 | LIB | LIB |
| 158 | 168 | Carshalton and Wallington | Bobby Dean | 74,362 | 62.8 | 21.1 | 10.5 | 30.3 | 18.8 | 13.3 | 4.7 | 1.3 | LIB | LIB |
| 194 | 132 | Chingford and Woodford Green | Iain Duncan Smith | 75,178 | 64.5 | 33.3 | 13.4 | 5.4 | 25.5 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 12.5 | CON | CON |
| 208 | 118 | Bromley and Biggin Hill | Peter Fortune | 70,713 | 66.2 | 37.8 | 14.8 | 7.1 | 28.4 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 2.7 | CON | CON |
| 239 | 88 | Bexleyheath and Crayford | Daniel Francis | 69,470 | 62.6 | 32.1 | 16.5 | 5.9 | 32.9 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 3.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 251 | 76 | Dagenham and Rainham | Margaret Mullane | 76,478 | 50.8 | 13.9 | 19.7 | 5.7 | 37.9 | 18.7 | 0.0 | 4.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 271 | 55 | Orpington | Gareth Bacon | 71,203 | 64.7 | 43.4 | 9.5 | 5.8 | 32.2 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 3.0 | CON | CON |
| 281 | 45 | Old Bexley and Sidcup | Louie French | 72,290 | 65.9 | 41.7 | 9.8 | 4.1 | 35.1 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 3.1 | CON | CON |
| 289 | 37 | Romford | Andrew Rosindell | 72,978 | 60.4 | 38.7 | 8.8 | 3.5 | 35.3 | 6.3 | 6.9 | 0.6 | CON | CON |
| 323 | 4 | Hornchurch and Upminster | Julia Lopez | 75,438 | 62.2 | 36.4 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 46.0 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 2.3 | CON | Reform |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.