London: Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party	2024 Votes	2024 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	20.5%	9	15.2%	1	3	-2	7
LAB	43.0%	59	23.9%	0	39	-39	20
LIB	11.0%	6	12.9%	0	0	+0	6
Reform	8.7%	0	21.2%	15	0	+15	15
Green	10.1%	0	22.7%	27	0	+27	27
Other	6.7%	1	4.1%	0	1	-1	0

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Hornsey and Friern Barnet' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Hornchurch and Upminster', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Dagenham and Rainham (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Croydon South (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

LAB Seats	Reform Seats	Seat	MP at 2024	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Reform %	Green %	MIN %	OTH %	2024 Win	Pred Win
0	387	Hornsey and Friern Barnet	Catherine West	69,885	69.6	7.2	33.8	11.4	11.5	34.0	1.5	0.5	LAB	Green
1	386	Lewisham West and East Dulwich	Ellie Reeves	70,099	66.2	7.1	32.0	7.8	12.7	38.2	1.6	0.6	LAB	Green
1	386	Dulwich and West Norwood	Helen Hayes	74,265	61.1	8.1	31.1	8.4	12.9	37.4	1.6	0.5	LAB	Green
3	384	Clapham and Brixton Hill	Bell Ribeiro-Addy	74,435	57.4	8.7	29.4	11.1	13.0	35.7	1.5	0.6	LAB	Green
4	384	Battersea	Marsha de Cordova	72,767	64.7	15.9	29.8	15.8	13.7	22.4	1.7	0.7	LAB	LAB
5	383	Tooting	Rosena Allin-Khan	76,082	69.6	13.3	30.5	10.6	14.5	28.9	1.4	0.7	LAB	LAB
5	382	Lewisham North	Vicky Foxcroft	74,204	59.5	6.7	28.1	7.7	12.7	42.0	2.0	0.8	LAB	Green
5	382	Walthamstow	Stella Creasy	76,338	60.1	5.7	31.0	7.1	15.7	36.4	2.4	1.7	LAB	Green
5	382	Hackney South and Shoreditch	Meg Hillier	78,262	53.3	6.1	28.0	6.9	13.3	43.1	1.7	0.8	LAB	Green
6	382	Putney	Fleur Anderson	72,614	67.9	16.6	28.6	18.9	14.0	19.8	1.6	0.6	LAB	LAB
6	381	Peckham	Miatta Fahnbulleh	72,123	53.8	6.8	28.5	7.8	14.9	39.0	2.1	1.0	LAB	Green
6	381	Vauxhall and Camberwell Green	Florence Eshalomi	69,658	53.9	7.4	28.2	9.4	14.7	38.0	1.7	0.5	LAB	Green
7	381	Finchley and Golders Green	Sarah Sackman	77,500	63.6	21.8	31.4	9.7	18.2	17.3	1.1	0.5	LAB	LAB
8	380	Hampstead and Highgate	Tulip Siddiq	80,029	60.7	12.3	28.5	13.8	16.3	27.3	1.1	0.7	LAB	LAB
8	379	Islington South and Finsbury	Emily Thornberry	74,122	57.7	7.4	28.8	8.8	16.7	36.3	1.3	0.7	LAB	Green
10	377	Hackney North and Stoke Newington	Diane Abbott	77,797	52.6	7.3	26.0	8.5	14.5	41.0	1.8	0.8	LAB	Green
10	377	Holborn and St Pancras	Keir Starmer	71,300	54.1	6.5	28.1	7.5	17.4	31.8	7.6	1.1	LAB	Green
10	377	Tottenham	David Lammy	75,906	52.9	6.2	28.0	7.6	17.3	36.8	2.5	1.7	LAB	Green
13	375	Hammersmith and Chiswick	Andy Slaughter	75,860	60.7	13.8	28.0	12.2	18.4	25.6	1.2	0.8	LAB	LAB
13	374	Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Neil Coyle	69,473	54.1	7.9	25.2	17.6	15.8	31.0	1.5	1.0	LAB	Green
15	373	Beckenham and Penge	Liam Conlon	76,876	67.9	17.7	29.2	14.5	20.0	16.6	1.7	0.4	LAB	LAB
16	372	Chelsea and Fulham	Ben Coleman	78,468	60.0	25.6	27.3	12.6	18.1	15.2	0.9	0.3	LAB	LAB
16	371	Leyton and Wanstead	Calvin Bailey	73,366	59.6	9.3	27.6	9.3	18.5	30.6	2.3	2.5	LAB	Green
17	371	Hayes and Harlington	John McDonnell	74,405	51.5	5.1	46.1	1.8	37.0	5.2	3.8	1.0	LAB	LAB
18	369	Streatham and Croydon North	Steve Reed	82,829	53.8	10.7	26.3	10.5	17.4	32.3	1.9	1.0	LAB	Green
18	369	Greenwich and Woolwich	Matthew Pennycook	73,573	58.1	10.1	27.9	8.7	19.0	31.8	1.7	0.8	LAB	Green
21	367	Chipping Barnet	Dan Tomlinson	78,038	65.2	24.5	30.2	7.5	21.7	14.7	1.0	0.4	LAB	LAB
23	365	Ealing Central and Acton	Rupa Huq	78,436	60.9	12.9	26.8	14.0	18.5	24.4	2.5	0.9	LAB	LAB
25	363	Harrow West	Gareth Thomas	79,902	56.6	21.1	27.2	9.8	19.4	18.7	1.6	2.1	LAB	LAB
25	362	Queen's Park and Maida Vale	Georgia Gould	75,558	50.7	9.1	27.7	9.4	20.0	30.4	2.5	0.9	LAB	Green
29	358	Islington North	Jeremy Corbyn	72,582	67.5	6.2	20.8	6.9	13.9	27.1	25.1	0.0	MIN	Green
30	357	Lewisham East	Janet Daby	73,376	55.4	9.8	28.4	7.3	21.8	30.0	1.9	0.8	LAB	Green
30	357	Wimbledon	Paul Christopher Kohler	76,352	72.0	16.8	19.1	37.2	12.8	12.2	1.2	0.7	LIB	LIB
31	356	Stratford and Bow	Uma Kumaran	80,560	53.9	7.5	23.7	9.5	17.6	33.6	3.9	4.2	LAB	Green
32	356	Enfield North	Feryal Clark	78,770	55.2	10.9	34.4	8.4	28.6	13.8	2.8	1.1	LAB	LAB
33	355	Ealing Southall	Deirdre Costigan	78,669	59.5	11.3	27.0	8.5	21.3	25.1	4.9	1.9	LAB	LAB
37	351	Brentford and Isleworth	Ruth Cadbury	79,283	57.1	15.1	28.3	10.1	23.0	18.7	3.7	1.1	LAB	LAB
40	348	Kensington and Bayswater	Joe Powell	77,306	54.2	20.1	25.3	14.2	20.6	16.7	2.4	0.8	LAB	LAB
47	340	Brent East	Dawn Butler	77,257	48.9	11.1	26.3	9.1	22.7	26.8	2.2	1.8	LAB	Green
48	340	Cities of London and Westminster	Rachel Blake	73,369	53.4	18.7	23.1	18.9	19.5	17.7	1.3	0.8	LAB	LAB
49	338	Southgate and Wood Green	Bambos Charalambous	77,542	58.9	13.4	25.0	12.0	21.4	25.6	1.7	0.9	LAB	Green
51	337	Feltham and Heston	Seema Malhotra	76,983	50.5	6.0	41.3	2.8	38.1	6.2	3.1	2.5	LAB	LAB
57	331	Mitcham and Morden	Siobhain McDonagh	77,272	58.6	11.2	27.9	8.8	25.1	24.0	2.0	0.9	LAB	LAB
61	326	Richmond Park	Sarah Olney	68,103	76.7	16.3	13.0	45.1	11.0	13.0	0.8	0.7	LIB	LIB
61	326	East Ham	Stephen Timms	79,086	47.9	8.0	23.2	5.7	21.5	26.9	14.8	0.0	LAB	Green
61	326	Croydon South	Chris Philp	74,968	65.9	30.0	20.9	16.9	19.2	11.4	1.1	0.4	CON	CON
62	325	Hendon	David Pinto-Duschinsky	74,865	55.1	25.2	24.8	8.1	23.6	15.9	1.8	0.7	LAB	CON
62	325	Croydon West	Sarah Jones	77,942	48.9	14.4	23.5	9.6	22.3	26.6	2.4	1.2	LAB	Green
63	325	Brent West	Barry Gardiner	79,937	51.8	19.5	24.6	8.8	23.6	17.2	5.4	0.9	LAB	LAB
69	318	Poplar and Limehouse	Apsana Begum	84,469	51.0	11.9	20.0	10.4	20.3	31.1	5.0	1.3	LAB	Green
73	314	Bethnal Green and Stepney	Rushanara Ali	81,922	56.9	7.9	16.0	9.2	16.6	33.0	17.3	0.0	LAB	Green
74	314	Eltham and Chislehurst	Clive Efford	74,224	61.4	13.5	33.3	6.5	33.9	10.6	1.6	0.6	LAB	Reform
79	308	Twickenham	Munira Wilson	74,980	71.5	13.6	12.5	41.9	13.9	15.4	2.3	0.3	LIB	LIB
82	306	Ealing North	James Murray	74,820	57.8	12.8	25.2	7.6	27.0	22.3	4.1	1.1	LAB	Reform
83	305	Ilford North	Wes Streeting	77,835	60.2	14.9	21.2	6.6	23.4	14.0	20.0	0.0	LAB	Reform
86	302	Croydon East	Natasha Dawn Irons	76,660	57.1	21.8	20.8	14.7	23.4	17.6	1.3	0.4	LAB	Reform
88	300	Edmonton and Winchmore Hill	Kate Osamor	75,792	54.2	14.6	23.0	10.9	26.2	21.7	2.2	1.4	LAB	Reform
89	298	Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner	David Simmonds	71,683	65.7	32.4	18.1	16.5	21.5	10.3	0.9	0.3	CON	CON
93	294	Harrow East	Bob Blackman	76,386	62.5	36.8	17.7	11.5	22.0	9.5	1.4	1.0	CON	CON
94	294	West Ham and Beckton	James Edward Asser	78,790	46.1	9.7	21.6	7.1	25.9	25.2	9.1	1.3	LAB	Reform
96	292	Ilford South	Jas Athwal	80,993	50.8	11.0	19.3	5.7	23.8	22.2	18.0	0.0	LAB	Reform
101	286	Kingston and Surbiton	Ed Davey	77,340	65.5	14.6	13.0	36.7	18.1	15.2	0.9	1.4	LIB	LIB
111	276	Sutton and Cheam	Luke Taylor	72,302	65.8	22.1	12.6	34.8	18.7	10.3	0.7	0.7	LIB	LIB
117	271	Erith and Thamesmead	Abena Oppong-Asare	78,886	51.2	12.1	24.6	6.6	31.0	22.7	2.1	0.9	LAB	Reform
120	268	Uxbridge and South Ruislip	Danny Boy Beales	74,746	61.4	24.9	20.9	10.8	27.5	14.0	1.4	0.5	LAB	Reform
156	231	Chingford and Woodford Green	Iain Duncan Smith	75,178	64.5	31.2	16.2	7.4	25.7	8.9	10.6	0.0	CON	CON
169	218	Carshalton and Wallington	Bobby Dean	74,362	62.8	19.4	11.7	33.7	22.4	10.5	1.5	0.8	LIB	LIB
181	207	Bromley and Biggin Hill	Peter Fortune	70,713	66.2	25.4	18.8	13.1	30.6	10.5	1.0	0.5	CON	Reform
193	195	Barking	Nesil Caliskan	79,825	45.7	9.9	20.4	6.3	33.5	23.5	4.9	1.6	LAB	Reform
290	98	Bexleyheath and Crayford	Daniel Francis	69,470	62.6	21.3	17.7	11.0	38.4	9.7	1.4	0.5	LAB	Reform
318	69	Orpington	Gareth Bacon	71,203	64.7	43.5	9.5	7.1	33.0	5.6	0.9	0.3	CON	CON
349	39	Dagenham and Rainham	Margaret Mullane	76,478	50.8	14.8	17.1	5.2	44.1	16.7	1.3	0.7	LAB	Reform
351	36	Old Bexley and Sidcup	Louie French	72,290	65.9	41.6	9.8	4.8	37.0	5.4	0.9	0.3	CON	CON
361	27	Romford	Andrew Rosindell	72,978	60.4	38.6	10.3	4.4	39.5	5.6	1.1	0.4	CON	Reform
382	6	Hornchurch and Upminster	Julia Lopez	75,438	62.2	35.0	8.0	2.5	48.1	5.4	0.6	0.4	CON	Reform

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.