London: Majority Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 33.1%21 32.3%31+223
LAB 54.5%49 43.5%02-247
LIB 8.8%3 15.6%11+03
Brexit 0.0%0 3.2%00+00
Green 1.8%0 3.1%00+00
UKIP 1.3%0 0.0%00+00
Other 0.5%0 2.2%00+00

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, East Ham, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Hornchurch and Upminster, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Uxbridge and South Ruislip (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Kensington (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
4570East Ham Stephen Timms83,82767.616.
7567Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali86,07169.514.764.
9565Tottenham David Lammy72,88367.715.463.
10564Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier82,00467.513.862.
11563Walthamstow Stella Creasy68,14470.616.864.
14560Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes77,94772.
16558West Ham Lyn Brown92,24365.819.662.
18556Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman85,58667.
22552Lewisham Deptford Vicky Foxcroft78,47270.215.757.914.
24550Islington North Jeremy Corbyn74,83173.414.756.516.
25549Ilford South Mike Gapes85,35867.521.762.
26548Poplar and Limehouse Jim Fitzpatrick87,27467.420.
29545Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott83,95567.115.254.716.
32542Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer88,08867.018.454.914.
33541Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer65,28570.721.157.311.
36538Edmonton Kate Osamor65,70566.524.
37537Ealing Southall Virendra Sharma65,18869.322.556.
39535Croydon North Steve Reed87,46168.222.656.510.
42532Streatham Chuka Umunna78,53271.020.652.918.
43531Hornsey and Wood Green Catherine West79,94477.915.147.328.
46528Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry69,53469.
48526Brent Central Dawn Butler80,84564.728.156.812.
55519Lewisham West and Penge Ellie Reeves72,90273.023.250.415.
56518Vauxhall Kate Hoey81,90767.218.745.725.
58516Lewisham East Heidi Alexander68,12669.324.351.
59515Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh68,70570.
60514Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook77,19068.824.150.713.
62512Hammersmith Andy Slaughter72,80371.826.052.413.
63511Barking Margaret Hodge77,02061.927.353.
64510Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle87,22767.116.542.
77497Westminster North Karen Buck63,84667.828.650.811.
78496Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan77,96074.627.449.513.
80494Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell73,26865.229.651.
89485Brent North Barry Gardiner82,55668.429.650.
93481Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq74,20074.629.649.
101473Hampstead and Kilburn Tulip Siddiq82,95770.427.945.919.
104470Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra81,70764.931.649.
115459Harrow West Gareth Thomas69,79872.131.748.711.
131443Ealing North Steve Pound74,76470.236.650.
140434Enfield North Joan Ryan68,45470.934.
142432Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury85,15172.433.
163411Erith and Thamesmead Teresa Pearce69,72463.834.
178396Battersea Marsha De Cordova77,57271.032.740.419.
180394Ilford North Wes Streeting72,99772.536.544.
191383Eltham Clive Efford64,47471.636.742.911.
194380Enfield Southgate Bambos Charalambous65,13774.236.542.513.
207367Croydon Central Sarah Jones80,04571.337.742.
237337Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith66,07871.146.843.
239335Kensington Emma Dent Coad60,59463.833.430.330.
253321Putney Justine Greening65,02672.141.834.621.
257317Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers77,02072.044.334.815.
258316Wimbledon Stephen Hammond66,77177.241.031.525.
262312Harrow East Bob Blackman71,75770.948.437.
263311Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas70,62064.945.934.
265309Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer73,13871.642.830.
265308Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey81,58476.230.718.
267307Cities of London and Westminster Mark Field61,53362.844.731.
267306Twickenham Vince Cable83,36279.528.815.352.
268306Hendon Matthew Offord76,32968.449.
269305Carshalton and Wallington Tom Brake70,84971.634.420.
294280Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands63,72866.145.926.
312262Croydon South Chris Philp83,51873.352.630.
315258Richmond Park Zac Goldsmith80,02579.137.514.845.
327247Uxbridge and South Ruislip Boris Johnson69,93866.856.632.
340234Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill65,11371.753.727.713.
362212Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Nick Hurd73,42572.754.726.
371203Beckenham Bob Stewart67,92876.055.225.916.
375199Sutton and Cheam Paul Scully70,40473.849.319.828.
432142Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett65,31569.260.627.
51856Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire66,00572.862.623.710.
52153Orpington Jo Johnson67,90674.361.622.
52945Romford Andrew Rosindell73,51667.964.424.
55915Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Dockerill80,82169.465.822.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.