London: Majority Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 33.1%21 28.7%11+021
LAB 54.5%49 48.3%01-148
LIB 8.8%3 11.1%10+14
UKIP 1.3%0 4.7%00+00
Green 1.8%0 3.9%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 3.4%00+00

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, East Ham, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Orpington, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Croydon South (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Battersea (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
6565East Ham Stephen Timms83,82767.69.876.
7564Tottenham David Lammy72,88367.78.875.
9562Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier82,00467.58.373.
13558Walthamstow Stella Creasy68,14470.610.874.
14557Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman85,58667.19.871.
16555Lewisham Deptford Vicky Foxcroft78,47270.210.570.
18553Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott83,95567.19.768.
19552West Ham Lyn Brown92,24365.812.470.
22549Islington North Jeremy Corbyn74,83173.49.666.611.
24547Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali86,07169.59.765.
26545Ilford South Mike Gapes85,35867.516.
27544Croydon North Steve Reed87,46168.
28543Brent Central Dawn Butler80,84564.714.966.
32539Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer88,08867.
34537Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes77,94772.014.963.310.
38533Hornsey and Wood Green Catherine West79,94477.911.359.
39532Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer65,28570.716.
41530Ealing Southall Virendra Sharma65,18869.316.663.
42529Edmonton Kate Osamor65,70566.518.465.
46525Poplar and Limehouse Jim Fitzpatrick87,27467.415.460.
47524Streatham Chuka Umunna78,53271.016.762.
51520Barking Margaret Hodge77,02061.917.861.
52519Lewisham East Heidi Alexander68,12669.318.361.
54517Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh68,70570.019.562.
56515Lewisham West and Penge Ellie Reeves72,90273.018.360.
61510Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry69,53469.115.956.514.
73498Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook77,19068.820.758.
75496Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle87,22767.19.946.933.
77494Vauxhall Kate Hoey81,90767.214.351.
78493Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell73,26865.223.960.
81490Ealing North Steve Pound74,76470.223.759.
87484Hammersmith Andy Slaughter72,80371.823.557.
112459Brent North Barry Gardiner82,55668.428.
121450Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra81,70764.927.
138433Hampstead and Kilburn Tulip Siddiq82,95770.427.752.
139432Westminster North Karen Buck63,84667.828.653.
140431Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan77,96074.628.453.
142429Harrow West Gareth Thomas69,79872.129.754.
145426Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq74,20074.630.
153418Erith and Thamesmead Teresa Pearce69,72463.830.351.
161410Enfield North Joan Ryan68,45470.932.
168403Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury85,15172.432.951.
177394Ilford North Wes Streeting72,99772.534.951.
191380Eltham Clive Efford64,47471.636.
209362Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas70,62064.935.243.73.410.
210361Croydon Central Sarah Jones80,04571.337.745.
214357Enfield Southgate Bambos Charalambous65,13774.
234337Battersea Marsha De Cordova77,57271.036.839.610.
253318Kensington Emma Dent Coad60,59463.837.535.914.
258313Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers77,02072.041.639.
270301Hendon Matthew Offord76,32968.443.339.
277294Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer73,13871.642.337.
279292Putney Justine Greening65,02672.139.434.414.
280291Harrow East Bob Blackman71,75770.944.739.
290281Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith66,07871.144.437.
304267Cities of London and Westminster Mark Field61,53362.841.932.
312259Uxbridge and South Ruislip Boris Johnson69,93866.846.
314257Wimbledon Stephen Hammond66,77177.241.829.
349222Croydon South Chris Philp83,51873.349.729.
351219Carshalton and Wallington Tom Brake70,84971.633.612.643.
353218Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands63,72866.147.926.813.
357214Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett65,31569.250.929.
362209Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill65,11371.749.
371199Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey81,58476.233.410.
398172Twickenham Vince Cable83,36279.533.36.354.
403168Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Nick Hurd73,42572.752.524.
412159Romford Andrew Rosindell73,51667.954.725.
429142Beckenham Bob Stewart67,92876.054.623.710.
443128Sutton and Cheam Paul Scully70,40473.846.414.
450121Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Dockerill80,82169.455.422.
454117Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire66,00572.856.822.
456114Richmond Park Zac Goldsmith80,02579.
52051Orpington Jo Johnson67,90674.358.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.