London: Majority Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 33.1%21 19.0%010-1011
LAB 54.5%49 42.5%90+958
LIB 8.8%3 11.1%10+14
UKIP 1.3%0 3.6%00+00
Green 1.8%0 5.5%00+00
ChUK 0.0%0 5.9%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 11.3%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 1.1%00+00

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, East Ham, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Orpington, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Croydon South (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Hendon (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
2548East Ham Stephen Timms83,82767.67.866.
6544Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali86,07169.57.862.
10540Tottenham David Lammy72,88367.77.961.
11539Walthamstow Stella Creasy68,14470.69.362.
12538Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier82,00467.57.560.
15535Ilford South Mike Gapes85,35867.511.961.
17533West Ham Lyn Brown92,24365.89.759.
20530Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman85,58667.18.857.
21529Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott83,95567.
23527Lewisham Deptford Vicky Foxcroft78,47270.29.556.
25525Poplar and Limehouse Jim Fitzpatrick87,27467.411.
27523Islington North Jeremy Corbyn74,83173.48.454.511.
29521Brent Central Dawn Butler80,84564.711.756.
33517Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer88,08867.010.953.
34516Ealing Southall Virendra Sharma65,18869.312.
35515Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer65,28570.712.754.
37513Croydon North Steve Reed87,46168.212.754.
39511Edmonton Kate Osamor65,70566.513.655.
40510Hornsey and Wood Green Catherine West79,94477.910.150.616.
42508Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes77,94772.012.552.
47503Streatham Chuka Umunna78,53271.013.551.310.
55495Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry69,53469.112.147.513.
57493Barking Margaret Hodge77,02061.912.747.
58492Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh68,70570.014.950.
62488Lewisham East Heidi Alexander68,12669.314.448.
63487Lewisham West and Penge Ellie Reeves72,90273.014.348.
64486Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell73,26865.215.849.
65485Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook77,19068.814.548.
68482Ealing North Steve Pound74,76470.216.650.
70480Hammersmith Andy Slaughter72,80371.816.
72478Brent North Barry Gardiner82,55668.417.650.
74476Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle87,22767.19.241.623.
76474Vauxhall Kate Hoey81,90767.211.944.318.
83467Westminster North Karen Buck63,84667.818.
92458Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra81,70764.917.
102448Hampstead and Kilburn Tulip Siddiq82,95770.418.146.510.
104446Harrow West Gareth Thomas69,79872.
112438Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq74,20074.620.347.
113437Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan77,96074.619.746.
132418Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury85,15172.421.
144406Ilford North Wes Streeting72,99772.522.645.
149401Enfield North Joan Ryan68,45470.921.444.
157393Erith and Thamesmead Teresa Pearce69,72463.819.
189361Eltham Clive Efford64,47471.623.440.
202348Enfield Southgate Bambos Charalambous65,13774.
207343Croydon Central Sarah Jones80,04571.324.
222328Hendon Matthew Offord76,32968.425.338.
225325Battersea Marsha De Cordova77,57271.024.837.711.
230320Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas70,62064.921.
233317Kensington Emma Dent Coad60,59463.823.034.813.
234316Harrow East Bob Blackman71,75770.926.538.
236314Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer73,13871.625.236.410.
248302Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers77,02072.026.736.
261289Putney Justine Greening65,02672.125.533.513.
262288Cities of London and Westminster Mark Field61,53362.824.632.612.
284266Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith66,07871.128.634.
305245Uxbridge and South Ruislip Boris Johnson69,93866.827.830.
312238Wimbledon Stephen Hammond66,77177.227.929.415.
325225Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands63,72866.129.228.412.
347203Croydon South Chris Philp83,51873.331.728.
357193Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill65,11371.730.326.
358192Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett65,31569.230.326.
364185Carshalton and Wallington Tom Brake70,84971.621.215.935.
379171Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Nick Hurd73,42572.732.
382167Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey81,58476.220.613.840.
400150Romford Andrew Rosindell73,51667.932.
430120Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Dockerill80,82169.432.
431119Beckenham Bob Stewart67,92876.
433116Twickenham Vince Cable83,36279.521.
440110Sutton and Cheam Paul Scully70,40473.830.218.919.
45793Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire66,00572.834.822.
48168Richmond Park Zac Goldsmith80,02579.124.510.543.
50248Orpington Jo Johnson67,90674.335.719.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.