| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 20.5% | 9 | 19.3% | 1 | 1 | +0 | 9 |
| LAB | 43.0% | 59 | 35.0% | 1 | 2 | -1 | 58 |
| LIB | 11.0% | 6 | 8.1% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 6 |
| Reform | 8.7% | 0 | 13.8% | 2 | 0 | +2 | 2 |
| Green | 10.1% | 0 | 17.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 6.7% | 1 | 6.8% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Dulwich and West Norwood' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Hornchurch and Upminster', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Twickenham (prediction: LIB), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Erith and Thamesmead (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 421 | Dulwich and West Norwood | Helen Hayes | 74,265 | 61.1 | 6.1 | 54.0 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 28.4 | 4.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 3 | 420 | Lewisham West and East Dulwich | Ellie Reeves | 70,099 | 66.2 | 5.7 | 53.5 | 1.1 | 6.1 | 28.8 | 4.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 4 | 419 | Clapham and Brixton Hill | Bell Ribeiro-Addy | 74,435 | 57.4 | 7.1 | 52.8 | 1.6 | 6.2 | 27.4 | 4.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 5 | 418 | Hornsey and Friern Barnet | Catherine West | 69,885 | 69.6 | 7.9 | 52.9 | 3.0 | 6.8 | 24.6 | 4.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 6 | 417 | Lewisham North | Vicky Foxcroft | 74,204 | 59.5 | 5.2 | 51.3 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 31.9 | 4.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 7 | 416 | Vauxhall and Camberwell Green | Florence Eshalomi | 69,658 | 53.9 | 5.8 | 52.0 | 1.3 | 6.7 | 28.7 | 5.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 8 | 415 | Peckham | Miatta Fahnbulleh | 72,123 | 53.8 | 5.6 | 51.8 | 1.0 | 6.6 | 29.7 | 5.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 10 | 413 | Hackney South and Shoreditch | Meg Hillier | 78,262 | 53.3 | 5.2 | 48.9 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 34.0 | 5.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 11 | 412 | Hackney North and Stoke Newington | Diane Abbott | 77,797 | 52.6 | 6.2 | 48.5 | 1.0 | 6.1 | 32.2 | 6.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 12 | 411 | Walthamstow | Stella Creasy | 76,338 | 60.1 | 5.8 | 48.9 | 0.8 | 6.6 | 32.2 | 5.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 13 | 410 | Tottenham | David Lammy | 75,906 | 52.9 | 6.1 | 48.7 | 0.8 | 7.0 | 31.0 | 6.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 14 | 409 | Streatham and Croydon North | Steve Reed | 82,829 | 53.8 | 7.8 | 49.6 | 1.4 | 7.9 | 27.4 | 5.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 15 | 408 | Holborn and St Pancras | Keir Starmer | 71,300 | 54.1 | 8.8 | 48.0 | 0.9 | 7.2 | 28.7 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 17 | 406 | Islington South and Finsbury | Emily Thornberry | 74,122 | 57.7 | 6.7 | 48.3 | 1.2 | 8.0 | 29.5 | 6.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 18 | 405 | Greenwich and Woolwich | Matthew Pennycook | 73,573 | 58.1 | 8.4 | 49.2 | 1.8 | 9.1 | 24.9 | 6.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 23 | 400 | Queen's Park and Maida Vale | Georgia Gould | 75,558 | 50.7 | 8.5 | 47.2 | 1.1 | 8.1 | 28.4 | 6.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 25 | 398 | Lewisham East | Janet Daby | 73,376 | 55.4 | 9.1 | 49.2 | 2.3 | 10.7 | 21.7 | 6.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 26 | 397 | Leyton and Wanstead | Calvin Bailey | 73,366 | 59.6 | 9.3 | 46.6 | 1.1 | 8.2 | 28.4 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 28 | 395 | East Ham | Stephen Timms | 79,086 | 47.9 | 8.7 | 44.7 | 0.7 | 7.4 | 31.3 | 7.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 31 | 392 | Tooting | Rosena Allin-Khan | 76,082 | 69.6 | 16.3 | 45.3 | 5.0 | 8.4 | 20.1 | 4.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 35 | 388 | Harrow West | Gareth Thomas | 79,902 | 56.6 | 32.5 | 41.1 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 15.2 | 4.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 41 | 382 | Stratford and Bow | Uma Kumaran | 80,560 | 53.9 | 8.1 | 42.1 | 0.8 | 7.2 | 35.4 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 45 | 378 | Putney | Fleur Anderson | 72,614 | 67.9 | 23.9 | 43.1 | 5.6 | 8.8 | 14.2 | 4.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 58 | 365 | Hammersmith and Chiswick | Andy Slaughter | 75,860 | 60.7 | 17.8 | 42.7 | 5.6 | 10.8 | 17.2 | 5.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 59 | 364 | Battersea | Marsha de Cordova | 72,767 | 64.7 | 20.5 | 41.4 | 7.1 | 10.0 | 16.8 | 4.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 60 | 363 | Croydon West | Sarah Jones | 77,942 | 48.9 | 14.7 | 42.8 | 4.8 | 11.5 | 19.3 | 7.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 65 | 358 | Ealing Southall | Deirdre Costigan | 78,669 | 59.5 | 16.9 | 40.8 | 4.1 | 10.4 | 20.9 | 6.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 66 | 357 | Islington North | Jeremy Corbyn | 72,582 | 67.5 | 15.6 | 37.5 | 3.6 | 7.3 | 18.7 | 17.3 | 0.0 | MIN | LAB |
| 68 | 355 | Bermondsey and Old Southwark | Neil Coyle | 69,473 | 54.1 | 10.9 | 40.8 | 8.4 | 10.8 | 22.5 | 6.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 71 | 352 | Brent West | Barry Gardiner | 79,937 | 51.8 | 33.6 | 36.8 | 1.3 | 7.0 | 14.5 | 6.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 72 | 351 | Cities of London and Westminster | Rachel Blake | 73,369 | 53.4 | 36.6 | 36.8 | 1.7 | 7.1 | 11.7 | 6.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 72 | 350 | Kensington and Bayswater | Joe Powell | 77,306 | 54.2 | 37.8 | 36.7 | 1.4 | 7.1 | 11.1 | 5.9 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 75 | 348 | Bethnal Green and Stepney | Rushanara Ali | 81,922 | 56.9 | 10.2 | 37.4 | 2.8 | 8.2 | 29.6 | 11.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 76 | 347 | Brent East | Dawn Butler | 77,257 | 48.9 | 15.8 | 40.2 | 3.8 | 11.0 | 21.8 | 7.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 77 | 346 | Mitcham and Morden | Siobhain McDonagh | 77,272 | 58.6 | 14.0 | 43.0 | 4.6 | 13.8 | 17.3 | 7.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 82 | 341 | Hampstead and Highgate | Tulip Siddiq | 80,029 | 60.7 | 17.7 | 38.3 | 8.0 | 10.2 | 19.9 | 5.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 84 | 339 | Southgate and Wood Green | Bambos Charalambous | 77,542 | 58.9 | 17.1 | 40.5 | 5.5 | 12.6 | 17.3 | 6.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 84 | 338 | Croydon South | Chris Philp | 74,968 | 65.9 | 38.8 | 35.5 | 1.4 | 7.7 | 10.3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 86 | 337 | West Ham and Beckton | James Edward Asser | 78,790 | 46.1 | 13.6 | 39.6 | 2.4 | 12.1 | 23.7 | 8.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 90 | 333 | Ealing Central and Acton | Rupa Huq | 78,436 | 60.9 | 18.6 | 37.6 | 7.7 | 11.5 | 18.5 | 6.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 93 | 330 | Erith and Thamesmead | Abena Oppong-Asare | 78,886 | 51.2 | 13.2 | 42.3 | 3.3 | 16.5 | 15.6 | 9.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 102 | 321 | Poplar and Limehouse | Apsana Begum | 84,469 | 51.0 | 14.4 | 36.1 | 5.3 | 11.3 | 25.5 | 7.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 103 | 320 | Ealing North | James Murray | 74,820 | 57.8 | 17.5 | 38.6 | 3.7 | 13.8 | 18.5 | 7.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 104 | 319 | Edmonton and Winchmore Hill | Kate Osamor | 75,792 | 54.2 | 18.5 | 38.8 | 4.5 | 14.4 | 15.8 | 7.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 107 | 316 | Beckenham and Penge | Liam Conlon | 76,876 | 67.9 | 21.6 | 39.8 | 6.4 | 15.6 | 11.3 | 5.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 110 | 313 | Ilford South | Jas Athwal | 80,993 | 50.8 | 19.2 | 34.5 | 3.0 | 10.9 | 24.1 | 8.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 110 | 312 | Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner | David Simmonds | 71,683 | 65.7 | 41.5 | 31.6 | 1.5 | 8.1 | 10.2 | 6.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 116 | 307 | Chelsea and Fulham | Ben Coleman | 78,468 | 60.0 | 32.1 | 35.3 | 2.9 | 12.9 | 11.7 | 5.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 118 | 305 | Croydon East | Natasha Dawn Irons | 76,660 | 57.1 | 25.8 | 37.2 | 5.3 | 15.0 | 11.5 | 5.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 119 | 304 | Finchley and Golders Green | Sarah Sackman | 77,500 | 63.6 | 26.4 | 36.0 | 4.0 | 13.8 | 14.2 | 5.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 119 | 303 | Harrow East | Bob Blackman | 76,386 | 62.5 | 44.2 | 29.4 | 1.0 | 7.4 | 10.9 | 7.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 122 | 301 | Hayes and Harlington | John McDonnell | 74,405 | 51.5 | 17.5 | 38.0 | 3.8 | 16.2 | 16.7 | 7.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 126 | 297 | Enfield North | Feryal Clark | 78,770 | 55.2 | 18.6 | 38.1 | 4.8 | 16.7 | 14.8 | 6.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 127 | 295 | Chingford and Woodford Green | Iain Duncan Smith | 75,178 | 64.5 | 40.8 | 29.7 | 0.8 | 8.2 | 11.0 | 9.5 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 141 | 282 | Brentford and Isleworth | Ruth Cadbury | 79,283 | 57.1 | 20.4 | 35.1 | 6.0 | 15.2 | 16.7 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 154 | 269 | Ilford North | Wes Streeting | 77,835 | 60.2 | 22.5 | 31.1 | 3.2 | 12.5 | 15.9 | 14.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 159 | 263 | Bromley and Biggin Hill | Peter Fortune | 70,713 | 66.2 | 38.3 | 29.4 | 4.3 | 11.5 | 7.5 | 9.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 163 | 260 | Barking | Nesil Caliskan | 79,825 | 45.7 | 14.2 | 34.5 | 2.7 | 16.8 | 21.4 | 10.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 179 | 244 | Feltham and Heston | Seema Malhotra | 76,983 | 50.5 | 19.5 | 34.0 | 3.8 | 17.8 | 16.6 | 8.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 208 | 215 | Eltham and Chislehurst | Clive Efford | 74,224 | 61.4 | 21.4 | 35.0 | 5.0 | 21.1 | 10.4 | 7.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 211 | 212 | Chipping Barnet | Dan Tomlinson | 78,038 | 65.2 | 23.8 | 33.9 | 4.6 | 20.3 | 11.9 | 5.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 242 | 181 | Dagenham and Rainham | Margaret Mullane | 76,478 | 50.8 | 5.8 | 45.8 | 0.6 | 33.9 | 1.8 | 12.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 282 | 141 | Hendon | David Pinto-Duschinsky | 74,865 | 55.1 | 24.6 | 29.8 | 4.5 | 20.6 | 13.6 | 6.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 290 | 132 | Wimbledon | Paul Christopher Kohler | 76,352 | 72.0 | 23.4 | 19.7 | 35.5 | 11.3 | 7.4 | 2.7 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 350 | 72 | Twickenham | Munira Wilson | 74,980 | 71.5 | 20.4 | 15.6 | 39.8 | 12.4 | 7.9 | 3.9 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 355 | 67 | Orpington | Gareth Bacon | 71,203 | 64.7 | 28.3 | 24.5 | 7.1 | 22.7 | 8.3 | 9.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 357 | 66 | Uxbridge and South Ruislip | Danny Boy Beales | 74,746 | 61.4 | 22.5 | 28.3 | 4.2 | 26.6 | 11.4 | 6.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 376 | 46 | Old Bexley and Sidcup | Louie French | 72,290 | 65.9 | 27.5 | 24.4 | 4.8 | 25.7 | 7.9 | 9.7 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 379 | 44 | Bexleyheath and Crayford | Daniel Francis | 69,470 | 62.6 | 25.1 | 26.6 | 5.1 | 28.1 | 6.1 | 9.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 380 | 42 | Kingston and Surbiton | Ed Davey | 77,340 | 65.5 | 24.7 | 10.7 | 41.7 | 12.4 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 382 | 40 | Richmond Park | Sarah Olney | 68,103 | 76.7 | 29.1 | 3.5 | 56.3 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 394 | 29 | Romford | Andrew Rosindell | 72,978 | 60.4 | 25.8 | 23.5 | 5.0 | 27.4 | 7.9 | 10.4 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 396 | 26 | Sutton and Cheam | Luke Taylor | 72,302 | 65.8 | 37.1 | 3.8 | 45.6 | 8.3 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 401 | 21 | Carshalton and Wallington | Bobby Dean | 74,362 | 62.8 | 25.3 | 14.3 | 30.2 | 19.8 | 5.7 | 4.8 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 417 | 5 | Hornchurch and Upminster | Julia Lopez | 75,438 | 62.2 | 41.1 | 10.9 | 3.4 | 27.8 | 4.0 | 12.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.