London: Majority Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 32.0%21 18.7%016-165
LAB 48.1%49 55.9%150+1564
LIB 14.9%3 8.7%10+14
Reform 1.4%0 8.8%00+00
Green 3.1%0 7.0%00+00
Other 0.5%0 1.0%00+00

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, East Ham, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Old Bexley and Sidcup, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Finchley and Golders Green (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Hendon (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2019ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2019
Win
Pred
Win
4576East Ham Stephen Timms88,31961.96.780.31.66.34.20.00.8LABLAB
9571Tottenham David Lammy75,74061.95.276.43.16.67.80.00.9LABLAB
12568Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali88,26268.65.275.73.17.47.10.01.5LABLAB
13567Walthamstow Stella Creasy70,26768.86.376.82.66.66.90.00.8LABLAB
15565West Ham Lyn Brown97,94761.56.876.02.47.46.30.01.1LABLAB
16564Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier89,38760.95.374.43.46.69.60.00.8LABLAB
17563Lewisham Deptford Vicky Foxcroft80,63168.75.774.43.76.68.80.00.7LABLAB
18562Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman88,97163.55.674.13.56.89.30.00.7LABLAB
19561Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott92,46261.56.071.63.96.810.90.00.8LABLAB
23557Ilford South Sam Tarry84,97262.911.274.71.77.43.90.01.2LABLAB
24556Poplar and Limehouse Apsana Begum91,83666.77.971.34.18.56.50.01.7LABLAB
29551Croydon North Steve Reed88,46862.99.171.63.37.87.20.01.0LABLAB
32548Islington North Jeremy Corbyn75,16271.66.266.75.47.813.10.00.8LABLAB
33547Brent Central Dawn Butler84,03258.510.370.33.67.87.20.00.8LABLAB
34546Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer86,06166.08.968.84.57.89.20.00.7LABLAB
35545Barking Margaret Hodge77,95357.111.170.92.09.55.30.01.2LABLAB
36544Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer64,85268.710.470.13.67.67.30.00.8LABLAB
37543Edmonton Kate Osamor65,74761.411.270.72.87.86.50.01.0LABLAB
38542Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes80,33169.48.667.13.16.614.00.00.7LABLAB
40540Lewisham East Janet Daby67,85766.010.368.14.28.57.90.00.9LABLAB
41539Vauxhall Florence Eshalomi88,65963.58.666.26.48.110.00.00.7LABLAB
43537Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh70,02165.312.568.93.48.36.00.00.9LABLAB
46534Ealing Southall Virendra Sharma64,58165.413.069.33.37.85.70.00.9LABLAB
47533Lewisham West and Penge Ellie Reeves74,61769.810.366.35.58.78.30.00.8LABLAB
51529Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook79,99766.411.466.84.48.28.40.00.8LABLAB
52528Streatham Bell Ribeiro-Addy84,78366.78.963.78.38.110.30.00.8LABLAB
53527Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry70,48967.89.764.46.38.89.90.00.8LABLAB
61519Hammersmith Andy Slaughter74,75969.512.664.75.18.48.30.00.9LABLAB
67513Ealing North James Murray74,47366.615.466.13.18.16.40.00.9LABLAB
70510Hornsey and Wood Green Catherine West81,81474.78.358.215.68.09.20.00.7LABLAB
73507Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell72,35760.817.166.82.18.64.30.01.1LABLAB
75505Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle93,24862.98.957.916.38.77.30.00.8LABLAB
88492Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan76,95476.015.462.55.07.98.60.00.7LABLAB
102478Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra80,93459.119.163.62.79.04.50.01.1LABLAB
104476Westminster North Karen Buck65,51965.516.660.94.88.68.20.01.0LABLAB
109471Erith and Thamesmead Abena Oppong-Asare65,39963.318.161.83.19.86.10.01.2LABLAB
113467Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq75,51072.615.658.77.69.08.10.00.9LABLAB
115465Brent North Barry Gardiner83,78861.919.962.93.48.54.30.01.0LABLAB
125455Hampstead and Kilburn Tulip Siddiq86,57166.314.656.79.49.09.40.00.9LABLAB
126454Harrow West Gareth Thomas72,46466.120.462.13.68.24.70.01.0LABLAB
130450Enfield North Feryal Clark68,30166.019.060.43.79.06.80.01.1LABLAB
141439Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury85,77568.019.159.34.79.06.90.00.9LABLAB
154426Croydon Central Sarah Jones81,40766.420.759.04.39.25.80.01.1LABLAB
165415Eltham Clive Efford64,08668.220.257.63.910.26.90.01.2LABLAB
168412Ilford North Wes Streeting72,97368.722.859.92.88.74.80.01.0LABLAB
169411Battersea Marsha De Cordova79,35075.619.556.56.48.68.20.00.8LABLAB
186394Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas71,04561.621.356.62.712.15.70.01.6LABLAB
197383Putney Fleur Anderson65,55677.021.353.87.78.87.60.00.8LABLAB
208372Enfield Southgate Bambos Charalambous65,52572.123.755.34.48.96.80.00.9LABLAB
249331Hendon Matthew Offord82,66166.627.053.14.18.95.90.01.0CONLAB
264316Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith65,39374.127.952.64.29.45.10.00.9CONLAB
270310Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers79,96072.027.351.24.99.16.70.00.9CONLAB
291289Kensington Felicity Buchan64,60967.725.447.19.59.57.50.01.0CONLAB
323257Cities of London and Westminster Nickie Aiken63,70067.126.043.013.29.27.70.00.9CONLAB
331249Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer77,57371.028.043.112.19.26.80.00.9CONLAB
342238Harrow East Bob Blackman72,10668.634.747.74.49.13.00.01.0CONLAB
350230Wimbledon Stephen Hammond68,24077.723.335.225.19.46.10.00.9CONLAB
372208Croydon South Chris Philp83,98270.733.541.88.29.95.60.01.0CONLAB
373207Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill66,69768.332.140.19.210.76.80.01.1CONLAB
378202Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands67,11069.832.339.111.49.36.90.00.9CONLAB
384196Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett65,46666.135.741.55.111.15.50.01.2CONLAB
395185Uxbridge and South Ruislip Boris Johnson70,36568.539.543.93.06.83.71.21.9CONLAB
414166Beckenham Bob Stewart68,66273.634.737.29.810.37.10.00.9CONLAB
416164Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Lopez80,76566.834.136.44.714.87.30.02.6CONLAB
444135Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey81,97574.220.420.043.510.05.30.00.8LIBLIB
446134Romford Andrew Rosindell72,35065.338.938.25.111.35.30.01.2CONCON
456123Carshalton and Wallington Elliot Colburn72,94167.325.923.932.611.55.20.01.0CONLIB
480100Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner David Simmonds72,81672.740.235.68.99.94.50.00.9CONCON
49188Twickenham Munira Wilson84,90676.021.215.947.89.45.20.00.6LIBLIB
51862Sutton and Cheam Paul Scully71,77970.332.624.626.910.34.80.00.8CONCON
53247Richmond Park Sarah Olney82,69978.726.015.942.19.55.80.00.7LIBLIB
55525Orpington Gareth Bacon68,87770.742.630.210.010.65.80.00.9CONCON
56713Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire66,10469.847.131.54.111.04.40.02.0CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.