London: Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 20.5%9 15.5%05-54
LAB 43.0%59 27.8%010-1049
LIB 11.0%6 14.8%00+06
Reform 8.7%0 22.4%140+1414
Green 10.1%0 12.7%00+00
Other 6.7%1 6.7%10+12

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Hornsey and Friern Barnet' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Harrow East', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Harrow East (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Hornsey and Friern Barnet (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
2154Hornsey and Friern Barnet Catherine West69,88569.66.741.417.313.318.01.81.4LABLAB
3153Lewisham West and East Dulwich Ellie Reeves70,09966.26.239.513.915.022.31.31.9LABLAB
7149Walthamstow Stella Creasy76,33860.14.937.110.817.222.32.94.8LABLAB
8148Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier78,26253.34.836.912.214.927.02.51.7LABLAB
9147Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes74,26561.17.039.015.014.721.80.02.5LABLAB
12144Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott77,79752.66.437.111.515.925.40.03.7LABLAB
14142Lewisham North Vicky Foxcroft74,20459.55.335.814.015.725.51.22.5LABLAB
19137Peckham Miatta Fahnbulleh72,12353.85.234.614.317.823.10.05.2LABLAB
20136Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Florence Eshalomi69,65853.96.335.617.617.520.50.02.5LABLAB
21135Clapham and Brixton Hill Bell Ribeiro-Addy74,43557.47.837.018.615.018.60.03.0LABLAB
22134Tottenham David Lammy75,90652.95.034.011.818.422.51.47.0LABLAB
23133Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry74,12257.76.935.914.518.320.20.04.2LABLAB
29127Lewisham East Janet Daby73,37655.47.534.612.823.917.01.72.5LABLAB
32124Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer71,30054.16.432.712.017.914.313.82.9LABLAB
35121Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook73,57358.18.334.314.321.617.41.62.4LABLAB
37119Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan76,08269.615.741.112.513.613.21.62.2LABLAB
42114Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh77,27258.69.233.513.026.313.62.51.9LABLAB
44112Queen's Park and Maida Vale Georgia Gould75,55850.79.333.615.319.316.33.82.3LABLAB
45111Streatham and Croydon North Steve Reed82,82953.88.332.416.619.019.52.12.1LABLAB
51105Leyton and Wanstead Calvin Bailey73,36659.68.130.312.419.718.02.88.7LABLAB
52104Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle69,47354.16.528.724.320.316.20.03.9LABLAB
5799Hammersmith and Chiswick Andy Slaughter75,86060.716.538.613.515.711.50.93.3LABLAB
5898East Ham Stephen Timms79,08647.96.328.310.824.015.512.32.8LABLAB
6195Erith and Thamesmead Abena Oppong-Asare78,88651.211.132.410.130.311.43.11.7LABLAB
6294Hampstead and Highgate Tulip Siddiq80,02960.712.934.117.316.415.90.03.3LABLAB
6591Southgate and Wood Green Bambos Charalambous77,54258.911.932.813.921.915.01.82.7LABLAB
6690Stratford and Bow Uma Kumaran80,56053.95.726.210.619.820.65.511.6LABLAB
6789Brent East Dawn Butler77,25748.910.530.413.823.213.52.16.5LABLAB
6987Ealing Southall Deirdre Costigan78,66959.59.328.712.224.613.36.75.2LABLAB
7086Croydon West Sarah Jones77,94248.910.129.315.225.315.11.93.1LABLAB
7284Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq78,43660.912.231.317.019.214.83.22.4LABLAB
7283Islington North Jeremy Corbyn72,58267.54.723.19.414.510.437.00.9MINMIN
7581Poplar and Limehouse Apsana Begum84,46951.07.825.914.322.118.27.83.9LABLAB
7679West Ham and Beckton James Edward Asser78,79046.17.124.310.327.014.414.52.3LABReform
7977Putney Fleur Anderson72,61467.919.936.614.915.69.91.21.9LABLAB
8076Battersea Marsha de Cordova72,76764.719.736.314.014.811.31.12.8LABLAB
8174Bethnal Green and Stepney Rushanara Ali81,92256.94.220.614.717.917.724.00.9LABMIN
8274Ealing North James Murray74,82057.814.530.810.924.411.05.92.5LABLAB
8373Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell74,40551.514.931.18.730.88.84.61.1LABLAB
8571Edmonton and Winchmore Hill Kate Osamor75,79254.215.431.312.023.411.01.45.5LABLAB
8868Enfield North Feryal Clark78,77055.215.531.010.726.510.51.54.3LABLAB
8966Barking Nesil Caliskan79,82545.77.322.68.935.215.37.23.5LABReform
9066Beckenham and Penge Liam Conlon76,87667.919.934.912.021.89.30.02.1LABLAB
9659Dagenham and Rainham Margaret Mullane76,47850.811.625.37.640.611.20.03.8LABReform
9758Ilford South Jas Athwal80,99350.88.722.210.226.712.515.83.9LABReform
10155Eltham and Chislehurst Clive Efford74,22461.417.630.510.029.68.90.92.5LABLAB
10749Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury79,28357.117.228.511.924.410.75.22.0LABLAB
10847Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra76,98350.514.624.38.732.88.54.36.7LABReform
10947Finchley and Golders Green Sarah Sackman77,50063.624.432.912.617.99.20.03.1LABLAB
11145Harrow West Gareth Thomas79,90256.620.927.810.323.28.50.09.3LABLAB
11144Croydon East Natasha Dawn Irons76,66057.120.126.711.729.010.30.02.3LABReform
11244Chipping Barnet Dan Tomlinson78,03865.225.331.010.821.68.70.02.5LABLAB
11243Ilford North Wes Streeting77,83560.215.721.38.024.46.722.81.1LABReform
11442Cities of London and Westminster Rachel Blake73,36953.426.129.814.316.88.81.62.5LABLAB
11541Brent West Barry Gardiner79,93751.822.325.611.624.49.35.51.1LABLAB
11640Kensington and Bayswater Joe Powell77,30654.227.830.711.616.17.93.32.5LABLAB
11838Chelsea and Fulham Ben Coleman78,46860.029.030.512.517.38.21.31.2LABLAB
11937Hendon David Pinto-Duschinsky74,86555.125.126.010.724.19.43.01.8LABLAB
12035Wimbledon Paul Christopher Kohler76,35272.019.418.337.215.96.41.01.9LIBLIB
12035Bexleyheath and Crayford Daniel Francis69,47062.622.720.29.837.67.20.02.5LABReform
12035Twickenham Munira Wilson74,98071.515.712.544.417.37.51.61.1LIBLIB
12134Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey77,34065.515.711.538.921.67.40.84.0LIBLIB
12233Uxbridge and South Ruislip Danny Boy Beales74,74661.426.821.68.927.711.80.03.2LABReform
12233Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith75,17864.524.118.48.225.05.617.81.1CONReform
12332Sutton and Cheam Luke Taylor72,30265.820.213.930.427.35.80.02.4LIBLIB
12531Bromley and Biggin Hill Peter Fortune70,71366.228.321.612.527.18.10.02.4CONCON
12530Romford Andrew Rosindell72,97860.424.817.48.837.77.02.61.6CONReform
12530Carshalton and Wallington Bobby Dean74,36262.818.010.233.729.65.31.21.9LIBLIB
12728Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Lopez75,43862.223.915.28.942.26.80.03.1CONReform
12827Richmond Park Sarah Olney68,10376.720.010.744.315.07.30.02.8LIBLIB
12927Croydon South Chris Philp74,96865.931.822.513.220.38.91.81.6CONCON
13025Old Bexley and Sidcup Louie French72,29065.927.517.78.735.97.10.03.1CONReform
13223Orpington Gareth Bacon71,20364.728.515.913.532.46.80.02.8CONReform
14016Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner David Simmonds71,68365.735.218.413.322.58.50.02.0CONCON
1497Harrow East Bob Blackman76,38662.538.116.49.122.87.51.34.9CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.