| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 20.5% | 9 | 16.7% | 9 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| LAB | 43.0% | 59 | 23.5% | 0 | 37 | -37 | 22 |
| LIB | 11.0% | 6 | 11.8% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 6 |
| Reform | 8.7% | 0 | 19.0% | 5 | 0 | +5 | 5 |
| Green | 10.1% | 0 | 22.3% | 24 | 0 | +24 | 24 |
| Other | 6.7% | 1 | 6.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Hornsey and Friern Barnet' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Hornchurch and Upminster', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Uxbridge and South Ruislip (prediction: CON), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Streatham and Croydon North (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 346 | Hornsey and Friern Barnet | Catherine West | 69,885 | 69.6 | 7.7 | 36.5 | 11.5 | 12.0 | 28.4 | 3.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 7 | 344 | Dulwich and West Norwood | Helen Hayes | 74,265 | 61.1 | 7.1 | 34.7 | 8.6 | 10.9 | 34.5 | 4.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 7 | 343 | Lewisham West and East Dulwich | Ellie Reeves | 70,099 | 66.2 | 6.5 | 34.7 | 8.2 | 11.3 | 34.8 | 4.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 10 | 340 | Lewisham North | Vicky Foxcroft | 74,204 | 59.5 | 5.9 | 32.0 | 7.9 | 11.1 | 38.6 | 4.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 15 | 335 | Hackney South and Shoreditch | Meg Hillier | 78,262 | 53.3 | 5.5 | 31.4 | 6.8 | 11.3 | 40.7 | 4.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 16 | 335 | Tooting | Rosena Allin-Khan | 76,082 | 69.6 | 13.2 | 32.6 | 9.3 | 13.0 | 27.8 | 4.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 16 | 334 | Clapham and Brixton Hill | Bell Ribeiro-Addy | 74,435 | 57.4 | 8.1 | 31.0 | 11.4 | 11.5 | 33.3 | 4.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 19 | 331 | Hackney North and Stoke Newington | Diane Abbott | 77,797 | 52.6 | 7.5 | 31.9 | 7.0 | 12.9 | 37.0 | 3.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 19 | 331 | Vauxhall and Camberwell Green | Florence Eshalomi | 69,658 | 53.9 | 6.7 | 30.4 | 9.9 | 11.9 | 35.8 | 5.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 21 | 329 | Peckham | Miatta Fahnbulleh | 72,123 | 53.8 | 5.9 | 30.4 | 8.0 | 13.1 | 37.4 | 5.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 22 | 328 | Walthamstow | Stella Creasy | 76,338 | 60.1 | 5.4 | 31.3 | 6.4 | 14.6 | 37.1 | 5.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 24 | 326 | Islington South and Finsbury | Emily Thornberry | 74,122 | 57.7 | 7.3 | 29.5 | 8.8 | 13.9 | 34.9 | 5.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 24 | 326 | Greenwich and Woolwich | Matthew Pennycook | 73,573 | 58.1 | 8.9 | 30.5 | 8.6 | 15.0 | 30.8 | 6.1 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 25 | 326 | Streatham and Croydon North | Steve Reed | 82,829 | 53.8 | 9.4 | 30.2 | 10.1 | 15.1 | 29.9 | 5.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 27 | 324 | Lewisham East | Janet Daby | 73,376 | 55.4 | 8.4 | 31.7 | 7.7 | 16.9 | 28.5 | 6.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 28 | 323 | Battersea | Marsha de Cordova | 72,767 | 64.7 | 18.3 | 29.5 | 12.9 | 15.4 | 19.5 | 4.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 29 | 322 | Hammersmith and Chiswick | Andy Slaughter | 75,860 | 60.7 | 14.6 | 30.1 | 10.4 | 16.1 | 24.3 | 4.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 31 | 319 | Tottenham | David Lammy | 75,906 | 52.9 | 5.5 | 29.5 | 7.0 | 15.8 | 36.7 | 5.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 33 | 318 | Putney | Fleur Anderson | 72,614 | 67.9 | 20.1 | 29.6 | 14.3 | 16.2 | 15.9 | 3.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 35 | 316 | Hampstead and Highgate | Tulip Siddiq | 80,029 | 60.7 | 13.7 | 28.6 | 12.1 | 15.4 | 25.8 | 4.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 40 | 310 | Islington North | Jeremy Corbyn | 72,582 | 67.5 | 4.0 | 22.3 | 6.6 | 10.2 | 23.5 | 33.4 | 0.0 | MIN | MIN |
| 41 | 310 | Croydon West | Sarah Jones | 77,942 | 48.9 | 11.9 | 29.1 | 8.8 | 17.2 | 26.7 | 6.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 43 | 308 | Mitcham and Morden | Siobhain McDonagh | 77,272 | 58.6 | 11.0 | 30.6 | 8.7 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 6.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 46 | 304 | Holborn and St Pancras | Keir Starmer | 71,300 | 54.1 | 6.5 | 25.9 | 7.1 | 15.1 | 33.4 | 12.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 52 | 298 | Queen's Park and Maida Vale | Georgia Gould | 75,558 | 50.7 | 8.9 | 26.8 | 9.0 | 16.6 | 32.6 | 6.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 56 | 295 | Southgate and Wood Green | Bambos Charalambous | 77,542 | 58.9 | 14.3 | 28.8 | 10.0 | 18.8 | 23.3 | 4.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 64 | 286 | East Ham | Stephen Timms | 79,086 | 47.9 | 7.9 | 25.2 | 5.8 | 16.6 | 33.4 | 11.1 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 67 | 284 | Ealing Central and Acton | Rupa Huq | 78,436 | 60.9 | 14.1 | 26.2 | 12.4 | 17.9 | 24.3 | 5.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 68 | 282 | Bermondsey and Old Southwark | Neil Coyle | 69,473 | 54.1 | 8.9 | 24.6 | 16.8 | 16.5 | 27.0 | 6.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 68 | 282 | Leyton and Wanstead | Calvin Bailey | 73,366 | 59.6 | 8.5 | 27.1 | 7.7 | 19.2 | 31.9 | 5.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 69 | 282 | Beckenham and Penge | Liam Conlon | 76,876 | 67.9 | 19.8 | 29.2 | 11.8 | 21.3 | 12.9 | 5.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 71 | 279 | Ealing Southall | Deirdre Costigan | 78,669 | 59.5 | 11.1 | 27.1 | 7.1 | 19.5 | 28.7 | 6.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 74 | 276 | Bethnal Green and Stepney | Rushanara Ali | 81,922 | 56.9 | 6.9 | 21.9 | 8.9 | 15.0 | 32.8 | 14.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 77 | 274 | Enfield North | Feryal Clark | 78,770 | 55.2 | 9.7 | 36.8 | 5.7 | 30.2 | 10.4 | 7.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 78 | 273 | Erith and Thamesmead | Abena Oppong-Asare | 78,886 | 51.2 | 9.8 | 28.6 | 6.8 | 22.0 | 24.0 | 8.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 81 | 269 | Brent East | Dawn Butler | 77,257 | 48.9 | 10.4 | 25.8 | 7.9 | 19.4 | 29.6 | 6.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 86 | 264 | Poplar and Limehouse | Apsana Begum | 84,469 | 51.0 | 10.9 | 24.5 | 8.9 | 18.8 | 31.4 | 5.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 93 | 258 | Hayes and Harlington | John McDonnell | 74,405 | 51.5 | 14.9 | 27.0 | 6.5 | 22.3 | 19.0 | 10.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 96 | 254 | Finchley and Golders Green | Sarah Sackman | 77,500 | 63.6 | 25.7 | 23.9 | 8.2 | 19.3 | 17.7 | 5.2 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 97 | 254 | Ealing North | James Murray | 74,820 | 57.8 | 12.2 | 25.9 | 7.3 | 21.4 | 25.5 | 7.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 98 | 252 | Stratford and Bow | Uma Kumaran | 80,560 | 53.9 | 6.5 | 24.8 | 6.5 | 20.4 | 36.5 | 5.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 103 | 248 | Harrow West | Gareth Thomas | 79,902 | 56.6 | 21.3 | 22.3 | 8.5 | 18.6 | 22.2 | 7.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 105 | 246 | Brentford and Isleworth | Ruth Cadbury | 79,283 | 57.1 | 16.1 | 25.2 | 9.4 | 21.6 | 19.2 | 8.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 108 | 243 | Edmonton and Winchmore Hill | Kate Osamor | 75,792 | 54.2 | 14.1 | 26.0 | 9.1 | 22.7 | 22.3 | 5.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 118 | 232 | Chipping Barnet | Dan Tomlinson | 78,038 | 65.2 | 27.0 | 23.6 | 7.2 | 21.3 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 123 | 227 | West Ham and Beckton | James Edward Asser | 78,790 | 46.1 | 8.3 | 23.1 | 6.6 | 21.1 | 29.1 | 11.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 123 | 227 | Ilford South | Jas Athwal | 80,993 | 50.8 | 10.4 | 21.0 | 5.5 | 19.0 | 29.6 | 14.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 129 | 221 | Brent West | Barry Gardiner | 79,937 | 51.8 | 24.4 | 20.6 | 8.1 | 19.4 | 19.8 | 7.7 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 130 | 220 | Chelsea and Fulham | Ben Coleman | 78,468 | 60.0 | 31.0 | 20.8 | 9.8 | 19.7 | 14.2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 130 | 220 | Kensington and Bayswater | Joe Powell | 77,306 | 54.2 | 27.3 | 21.4 | 10.6 | 20.4 | 15.4 | 4.9 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 130 | 220 | Cities of London and Westminster | Rachel Blake | 73,369 | 53.4 | 27.7 | 20.2 | 12.8 | 19.2 | 15.9 | 4.2 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 131 | 220 | Eltham and Chislehurst | Clive Efford | 74,224 | 61.4 | 14.4 | 31.8 | 6.3 | 31.0 | 9.2 | 7.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 134 | 216 | Wimbledon | Paul Christopher Kohler | 76,352 | 72.0 | 20.1 | 12.9 | 41.6 | 12.4 | 9.7 | 3.4 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 152 | 199 | Ilford North | Wes Streeting | 77,835 | 60.2 | 15.2 | 20.3 | 5.9 | 21.4 | 17.8 | 19.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 164 | 187 | Croydon East | Natasha Dawn Irons | 76,660 | 57.1 | 22.8 | 20.6 | 12.5 | 23.3 | 15.5 | 5.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 165 | 185 | Croydon South | Chris Philp | 74,968 | 65.9 | 35.8 | 16.6 | 12.0 | 19.6 | 12.9 | 3.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 170 | 180 | Barking | Nesil Caliskan | 79,825 | 45.7 | 8.8 | 22.2 | 6.0 | 25.5 | 28.1 | 9.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 175 | 175 | Twickenham | Munira Wilson | 74,980 | 71.5 | 15.2 | 10.2 | 44.7 | 14.0 | 12.6 | 3.3 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 180 | 171 | Feltham and Heston | Seema Malhotra | 76,983 | 50.5 | 14.6 | 22.2 | 6.9 | 26.3 | 18.6 | 11.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 191 | 159 | Richmond Park | Sarah Olney | 68,103 | 76.7 | 19.0 | 8.1 | 47.6 | 12.6 | 9.5 | 3.1 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 192 | 158 | Hendon | David Pinto-Duschinsky | 74,865 | 55.1 | 27.8 | 18.8 | 7.0 | 23.4 | 16.7 | 6.3 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 203 | 147 | Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner | David Simmonds | 71,683 | 65.7 | 40.7 | 13.8 | 10.8 | 19.5 | 12.1 | 3.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 227 | 123 | Kingston and Surbiton | Ed Davey | 77,340 | 65.5 | 16.4 | 9.4 | 39.5 | 16.9 | 13.5 | 4.3 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 238 | 112 | Chingford and Woodford Green | Iain Duncan Smith | 75,178 | 64.5 | 28.2 | 12.8 | 7.1 | 20.9 | 13.1 | 17.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 240 | 110 | Sutton and Cheam | Luke Taylor | 72,302 | 65.8 | 29.5 | 5.0 | 42.5 | 13.3 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 249 | 101 | Harrow East | Bob Blackman | 76,386 | 62.5 | 47.6 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 20.4 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 254 | 97 | Dagenham and Rainham | Margaret Mullane | 76,478 | 50.8 | 13.0 | 22.2 | 5.6 | 31.9 | 17.5 | 9.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 277 | 73 | Carshalton and Wallington | Bobby Dean | 74,362 | 62.8 | 21.8 | 8.7 | 35.0 | 21.1 | 8.1 | 5.3 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 279 | 71 | Bromley and Biggin Hill | Peter Fortune | 70,713 | 66.2 | 36.8 | 13.1 | 9.3 | 25.7 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 330 | 20 | Uxbridge and South Ruislip | Danny Boy Beales | 74,746 | 61.4 | 44.7 | 9.6 | 3.4 | 29.6 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 335 | 15 | Orpington | Gareth Bacon | 71,203 | 64.7 | 46.3 | 7.2 | 5.7 | 29.5 | 6.5 | 4.7 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 336 | 14 | Bexleyheath and Crayford | Daniel Francis | 69,470 | 62.6 | 36.8 | 11.6 | 5.0 | 34.3 | 5.9 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 340 | 10 | Old Bexley and Sidcup | Louie French | 72,290 | 65.9 | 44.7 | 7.8 | 4.0 | 32.5 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 340 | 10 | Romford | Andrew Rosindell | 72,978 | 60.4 | 41.4 | 7.8 | 3.8 | 34.5 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 342 | 9 | Hornchurch and Upminster | Julia Lopez | 75,438 | 62.2 | 35.7 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 35.8 | 6.4 | 9.8 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.