London: Majority Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 33.1%21 20.1%09-912
LAB 54.5%49 36.3%44+049
LIB 8.8%3 22.6%90+912
Brexit 0.0%0 10.8%00+00
Green 1.8%0 7.6%00+00
UKIP 1.3%0 1.0%00+00
Other 0.5%0 1.7%00+00

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, East Ham, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Orpington, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Romford (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Bermondsey and Old Southwark (prediction: LIB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
2451East Ham Stephen Timms83,82767.69.668.
8445Tottenham David Lammy72,88367.78.757.917.
9444Walthamstow Stella Creasy68,14470.610.358.917.
10443Bethnal Green and Bow Rushanara Ali86,07169.59.857.819.
12441Ilford South Mike Gapes85,35867.514.561.811.
13440West Ham Lyn Brown92,24365.811.958.514.
19434Hackney South and Shoreditch Meg Hillier82,00467.58.351.
24429Ealing Southall Virendra Sharma65,18869.314.354.614.
25428Camberwell and Peckham Harriet Harman85,58667.19.348.722.
26427Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott83,95567.19.048.322.54.912.
27426Edmonton Kate Osamor65,70566.515.854.913.
28425Brent Central Dawn Butler80,84564.713.352.319.
29424Poplar and Limehouse Jim Fitzpatrick87,27467.413.952.619.
31422Croydon North Steve Reed87,46168.213.751.
34419Lewisham Deptford Vicky Foxcroft78,47270.29.646.023.26.512.
39414Leyton and Wanstead John Cryer65,28570.714.149.520.
40413Islington North Jeremy Corbyn74,83173.48.943.827.66.310.
42411Barking Margaret Hodge77,02061.915.149.312.
48405Hayes and Harlington John McDonnell73,26865.218.751.
50403Mitcham and Morden Siobhain McDonagh68,70570.015.847.115.911.
52401Holborn and St Pancras Keir Starmer88,08867.
56397Ealing North Steve Pound74,76470.218.748.
63390Dulwich and West Norwood Helen Hayes77,94772.012.340.
64389Lewisham East Heidi Alexander68,12669.314.742.120.611.
65388Brent North Barry Gardiner82,55668.421.448.713.
65387Hornsey and Wood Green Catherine West79,94477.99.436.538.
71382Streatham Chuka Umunna78,53271.013.740.426.
73380Feltham and Heston Seema Malhotra81,70764.920.446.612.410.
77376Lewisham West and Penge Ellie Reeves72,90273.014.339.923.
81372Greenwich and Woolwich Matthew Pennycook77,19068.815.840.722.
95358Islington South and Finsbury Emily Thornberry69,53469.113.036.331.
100353Hammersmith Andy Slaughter72,80371.818.
109344Harrow West Gareth Thomas69,79872.122.344.
115338Westminster North Karen Buck63,84667.821.843.
116336Vauxhall Kate Hoey81,90767.
124328Bermondsey and Old Southwark Neil Coyle87,22767.18.528.
137316Enfield North Joan Ryan68,45470.923.040.614.912.
138315Ilford North Wes Streeting72,99772.525.342.513.310.
140313Erith and Thamesmead Teresa Pearce69,72463.820.137.313.818.
142311Hampstead and Kilburn Tulip Siddiq82,95770.419.736.725.
148305Tooting Rosena Allin-Khan77,96074.621.137.923.
151302Ealing Central and Acton Rupa Huq74,20074.621.838.423.
160293Brentford and Isleworth Ruth Cadbury85,15172.423.538.919.
195258Eltham Clive Efford64,47471.623.333.916.
197256Dagenham and Rainham Jon Cruddas70,62064.922.132.411.
207246Croydon Central Sarah Jones80,04571.325.333.615.
208245Enfield Southgate Bambos Charalambous65,13774.226.634.618.610.
230223Harrow East Bob Blackman71,75770.931.635.813.
231222Hendon Matthew Offord76,32968.430.634.815.
249204Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers77,02072.027.829.519.912.
250203Battersea Marsha De Cordova77,57271.025.827.427.
251202Finchley and Golders Green Mike Freer73,13871.629.230.720.
251201Kensington Emma Dent Coad60,59463.825.526.628.
259194Chingford and Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith66,07871.129.228.717.414.
266186Putney Justine Greening65,02672.126.924.628.
269183Cities of London and Westminster Mark Field61,53362.827.624.328.
270183Uxbridge and South Ruislip Boris Johnson69,93866.829.926.316.
292160Wimbledon Stephen Hammond66,77177.227.519.831.310.
295158Bexleyheath and Crayford David Evennett65,31569.
296156Carshalton and Wallington Tom Brake70,84971.619.411.244.717.
310143Croydon South Chris Philp83,51873.331.221.519.617.
314139Bromley and Chislehurst Bob Neill65,11371.729.419.320.
319133Kingston and Surbiton Ed Davey81,58476.
322131Chelsea and Fulham Greg Hands63,72866.
328125Romford Andrew Rosindell73,51667.930.918.912.
331121Twickenham Vince Cable83,36279.518.
343110Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Nick Hurd73,42572.733.420.219.316.
35598Hornchurch and Upminster Julia Dockerill80,82169.430.916.612.
36290Sutton and Cheam Paul Scully70,40473.826.712.
36984Beckenham Bob Stewart67,92876.032.416.720.820.
37083Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire66,00572.832.817.013.926.
39458Richmond Park Zac Goldsmith80,02579.123.76.553.
41637Orpington Jo Johnson67,90674.333.213.918.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.