North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 36.5%30+36
LAB 55.4%26 42.6%03-323
LIB 4.6%0 8.3%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 8.0%00+00
Green 1.3%0 2.5%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 0.0%00+00
Other 0.5%0 2.2%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne Central, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Darlington (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Brexit
%
Green
%
NAT
%
UKIP
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
52522Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.825.854.08.38.13.80.00.00.00.0LABLAB
87487Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.328.850.05.110.72.80.00.00.02.6LABLAB
97477Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.329.047.77.612.20.00.00.00.03.5LABLAB
103471Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.429.647.47.110.52.80.00.00.02.6LABLAB
109465Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.830.648.08.610.12.70.00.00.00.0LABLAB
112462Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.833.350.511.50.04.70.00.00.00.0LABLAB
117457South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.330.046.46.111.23.80.00.00.02.6LABLAB
128446Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.929.844.714.37.53.60.00.00.00.0LABLAB
137437Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.332.345.87.811.42.70.00.00.00.0LABLAB
143431Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.632.144.68.210.32.10.00.00.02.6LABLAB
146428Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.231.042.910.89.82.60.00.00.02.9LABLAB
148426Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.933.244.77.911.42.80.00.00.00.0LABLAB
155419Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.433.043.58.69.42.90.00.00.02.6LABLAB
156418Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.833.544.010.69.22.70.00.00.00.0LABLAB
157417Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.434.645.09.48.22.70.00.00.00.0LABLAB
159415Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.033.443.57.69.83.10.00.00.02.6LABLAB
181393Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.536.043.56.611.30.00.00.00.02.6LABLAB
186388Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.734.240.79.111.22.00.00.00.02.8LABLAB
189385Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.036.142.59.29.33.00.00.00.00.0LABLAB
193381Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.534.640.79.69.92.50.00.00.02.7LABLAB
200374Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.235.940.96.613.80.00.00.00.02.8LABLAB
212362Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.242.245.65.46.80.00.00.00.00.0LABLAB
214360Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.642.545.79.10.02.60.00.00.00.0LABLAB
230344Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.140.639.54.910.62.00.00.00.02.4LABCON
241333Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.643.239.86.56.62.10.00.00.01.8LABCON
254320Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.046.539.37.07.20.00.00.00.00.0LABCON
313261Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.856.834.37.50.01.40.00.00.00.0CONCON
342232Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.855.429.212.50.02.80.00.00.00.0CONCON
407167Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.855.023.319.50.02.10.00.00.00.0CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.