North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 27.5%20+25
LAB 55.4%26 36.2%02-224
LIB 4.6%0 13.8%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 16.9%00+00
Green 1.3%0 3.4%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 1.0%00+00
Other 0.5%0 1.3%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne Central, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Darlington (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
48499Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.821.346.013.513.
51496Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.819.242.617.911.
57490Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.323.
63484Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.621.942.312.816.
64483Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.322.742.810.318.
78469Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.423.241.411.517.
88459Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.823.641.
94453South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.323.540.310.
106441Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.324.639.
118429Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.625.538.413.417.
119428Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.925.538.410.819.
134413Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.224.635.617.416.
135412Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.924.235.121.712.
138409Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.026.837.412.716.
141406Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.426.636.714.316.
149398Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.827.236.015.715.
150397Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.428.837.514.
152395Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.528.637.09.719.
158389Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.726.634.
170377Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.028.535.413.616.
171376Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.227.834.39.822.
174373Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.528.034.215.517.
184363Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.130.234.711.917.
200347Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.631.833.712.516.
229318Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.234.432.911.816.
233314Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.033.831.611.817.
249298Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.835.331.111.517.
326221Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.838.722.818.913.
362185Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.836.116.427.815.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.