North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 38.3%10 36.4%02-28
LAB 42.6%19 47.4%20+221
LIB 6.8%0 4.4%00+00
Brexit 8.1%0 4.9%00+00
Green 2.4%0 3.4%00+00
Other 1.9%0 3.4%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne East, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Durham North West (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2019ElectorateTurn
62502Newcastle upon Tyne East Nick Brown63,79668.022.663.
70494Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah57,84564.823.
79485South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck62,79360.318.552.22.610.
99465Middlesbrough Andy McDonald60,76456.
103461Easington Grahame Morris61,18256.524.652.82.811.
110454Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,90263.928.955.
115449Jarrow Kate Osborne65,10362.625.850.
118446Gateshead Ian Mearns64,44959.232.956.
131433Blaydon Liz Twist67,85367.329.449.
136428Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell68,48668.631.351.
140424Durham, City of Mary Foy71,27168.629.948.710.
141423Durham North Kevan Jones66,79663.
148416Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson66,27856.630.848.
149415Hartlepool Mike Hill70,85557.927.145.12.717.
163401Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,83557.831.
171393Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,68059.833.548.
172392Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,26172.537.651.
194370Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,64961.838.847.
195369Wansbeck Ian Lavery63,33964.038.446.
206358Blyth Valley Ian Levy64,42963.440.945.
212352Durham North West Richard Holden72,16666.
246318Darlington Peter Gibson66,39765.546.
247317Redcar Jacob Young65,86462.
251313Sedgefield Paul Howell64,32564.645.440.
252312Stockton South Matt Vickers76,87071.348.844.
296268Bishop Auckland Dehenna Davison68,17065.751.939.
317247Hexham Guy Opperman61,32475.352.735.
331233Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,34866.
384180Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan59,93970.355.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.