North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 29.3%01-12
LAB 55.4%26 53.3%10+127
LIB 4.6%0 5.6%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 7.9%00+00
Green 1.3%0 3.1%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 0.7%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne East, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Stockton South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
49520Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.816.265.47.27.23.70.00.00.2LABLAB
65504Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.618.863.05.19.53.30.00.00.2LABLAB
67502Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.317.661.62.38.83.00.06.50.2LABLAB
69500Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.819.562.85.98.13.50.00.00.2LABLAB
70499Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.419.963.03.79.53.60.00.00.2LABLAB
74495Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.321.663.62.18.12.60.01.80.2LABLAB
85484Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.822.262.43.98.13.10.00.00.2LABLAB
89480South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.320.859.42.711.45.40.00.00.2LABLAB
102467Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.323.758.63.410.93.10.00.00.2LABLAB
119450Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.624.957.85.69.61.80.00.00.2LABLAB
120449Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.924.657.43.29.83.60.00.01.4LABLAB
134435Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.223.054.010.19.23.10.00.00.7LABLAB
144425Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.924.753.310.96.43.50.00.01.2LABLAB
147422Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.427.655.25.87.63.50.00.00.2LABLAB
155414Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.728.153.47.78.71.80.00.00.2LABLAB
157412Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.028.353.45.09.03.40.00.00.9LABLAB
160409Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.828.853.26.37.82.90.00.01.0LABLAB
163406Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.431.454.94.16.33.00.00.00.5LABLAB
164405Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.531.454.82.68.42.70.00.00.2LABLAB
175394Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.032.253.85.64.14.00.00.00.2LABLAB
177392Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.529.450.78.18.63.00.00.00.2LABLAB
178391Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.229.150.42.815.51.80.00.00.2LABLAB
190379Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.133.751.33.08.33.50.00.00.2LABLAB
224345Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.638.248.53.36.73.00.00.00.2LABLAB
242327Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.241.746.42.86.32.50.00.00.2LABLAB
247322Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.041.846.03.84.11.80.00.02.5LABLAB
273296Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.844.545.43.94.11.80.00.00.2CONLAB
357212Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.849.032.08.16.14.60.00.00.2CONCON
416153Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.847.422.422.24.13.70.00.00.2CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.