North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 17.8%02-21
LAB 55.4%26 33.1%10+127
LIB 4.6%0 13.8%10+11
Brexit 0.0%0 23.5%00+00
Green 1.3%0 7.9%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 1.8%00+00
Other 0.5%0 2.2%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne Central, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Berwick-upon-Tweed (prediction: LIB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Durham North (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Brexit
%
Green
%
UKIP
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
53400Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.814.745.014.713.19.21.50.01.7LABLAB
54399Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.314.944.710.019.17.71.80.01.7LABLAB
66387Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.312.739.710.425.67.32.10.02.2LABLAB
70383Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.613.139.913.321.28.61.90.02.1LABLAB
72381Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.812.639.119.214.111.51.40.02.0LABLAB
80373Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.413.538.511.824.37.82.00.02.2LABLAB
88365South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.314.138.210.224.28.92.30.02.1LABLAB
89364Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.814.238.112.523.57.71.80.02.1LABLAB
114339Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.314.836.011.025.78.12.20.02.2LABLAB
123330Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.915.235.110.726.58.02.20.02.2LABLAB
125328Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.615.435.113.624.47.51.80.02.3LABLAB
135318Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.214.532.317.623.87.81.80.02.3LABLAB
145308Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.017.834.712.922.08.61.90.02.1LABLAB
147306Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.416.833.514.123.68.11.70.02.3LABLAB
153300Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.518.034.39.826.97.02.00.02.1LABLAB
159294Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.715.731.315.426.86.81.90.02.1LABLAB
164289Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.817.832.916.021.58.01.70.02.2LABLAB
165288Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.916.231.022.117.89.11.40.02.4LABLAB
168285Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.419.434.013.920.88.11.40.02.4LABLAB
172281Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.216.931.49.929.18.12.50.02.2LABLAB
174279Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.018.132.213.325.37.41.50.02.1LABLAB
178275Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.517.430.615.524.77.71.80.02.3LABLAB
189264Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.119.531.211.426.07.71.90.02.3LABLAB
206247Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.622.030.512.024.17.51.70.02.1LABLAB
220233Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.022.628.111.327.36.91.60.02.1LABLAB
224229Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.225.030.011.622.87.11.50.02.1LABLAB
234219Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.824.027.911.127.06.41.40.02.1CONLAB
301152Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.828.419.217.622.88.21.40.02.4CONCON
322130Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.824.813.926.724.76.41.30.02.1CONLIB

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.