North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2019 Votes2019 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 38.3%10 19.7%09-91
LAB 42.6%19 53.6%90+928
LIB 6.8%0 5.6%00+00
Reform 8.1%0 13.3%00+00
Green 2.4%0 6.0%00+00
Other 1.9%0 1.8%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne East, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Darlington (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2019ElectorateTurn
44536Newcastle upon Tyne East Nick Brown63,79668.010.366.
54526Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah57,84564.811.
68512Middlesbrough Andy McDonald60,76456.112.563.12.813.
81499Gateshead Ian Mearns64,44959.213.962.44.910.
89491Easington Grahame Morris61,18256.512.959.93.716.
94486Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,90263.914.760.24.612.
107473Jarrow Kate Osborne65,10362.614.558.
124456South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck62,79360.311.954.33.817.
128452Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson66,27856.616.558.03.714.
132448Durham North Kevan Jones66,79663.215.356.
150430Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,83557.816.855.64.715.
161419Durham, City of Mary Foy71,27168.614.752.312.312.
162418Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell68,48668.617.054.66.613.
163417Blaydon Liz Twist67,85367.316.854.
167413Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,68059.818.055.25.713.
172408Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,26172.520.557.
188392Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,64961.821.255.83.413.
196384Durham North West Richard Holden72,16666.019.952.
199381Wansbeck Ian Lavery63,33964.020.753.15.613.
201379Blyth Valley Ian Levy64,42963.421.253.54.713.
232348Sedgefield Paul Howell64,32564.621.650.35.715.
246334Darlington Peter Gibson66,39765.524.
255325Redcar Jacob Young65,86462.022.748.
263317Stockton South Matt Vickers76,87071.326.150.94.512.
273307Bishop Auckland Dehenna Davison68,17065.725.849.
289291Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,34866.125.947.74.714.
365215Hexham Guy Opperman61,32475.331.240.68.812.
404176Hartlepool Mike Hill70,85557.935.538.92.511.
445135Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan59,93970.332.531.916.413.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.