North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 30.0%20+25
LAB 55.4%26 49.2%02-224
LIB 4.6%0 6.8%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 7.2%00+00
Green 1.3%0 3.4%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 3.3%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne East, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Stockton South (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
49522Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.816.961.38.46.54.00.00.02.8LABLAB
65506Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.619.558.96.38.83.60.00.02.8LABLAB
67504Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.318.357.43.58.13.30.06.52.8LABLAB
69502Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.820.258.77.17.43.80.00.02.8LABLAB
70501Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.420.658.95.08.83.90.00.02.8LABLAB
74497Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.322.359.43.37.42.90.01.82.8LABLAB
85486Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.822.958.25.17.43.40.00.02.8LABLAB
90481South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.321.555.33.910.75.70.00.02.8LABLAB
103468Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.324.454.54.610.23.40.00.02.8LABLAB
117454Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.625.653.76.88.92.20.00.02.8LABLAB
120451Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.925.353.24.59.13.90.00.04.0LABLAB
134437Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.223.749.911.38.53.40.00.03.2LABLAB
144427Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.925.449.212.25.73.80.00.03.8LABLAB
147424Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.428.351.17.06.93.80.00.02.8LABLAB
155416Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.728.849.39.08.02.20.00.02.8LABLAB
157414Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.029.049.36.28.33.70.00.03.5LABLAB
160411Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.829.549.17.57.13.20.00.03.6LABLAB
163408Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.432.050.85.35.63.30.00.03.1LABLAB
164407Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.532.150.73.87.73.00.00.02.8LABLAB
174397Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.032.949.76.83.44.30.00.02.8LABLAB
176395Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.530.146.69.47.93.30.00.02.8LABLAB
178393Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.229.846.34.014.82.20.00.02.8LABLAB
189382Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.134.447.24.27.63.80.00.02.8LABLAB
223348Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.638.944.44.66.03.30.00.02.8LABLAB
242329Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.242.442.34.05.62.80.00.02.8LABCON
247324Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.042.541.95.03.42.20.00.05.1LABCON
273298Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.845.241.35.13.42.20.00.02.8CONCON
358213Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.849.727.99.45.44.90.00.02.8CONCON
417154Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.848.118.323.43.44.00.00.02.8CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.