North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 27.5%20+25
LAB 55.4%26 36.2%02-224
LIB 4.6%0 13.8%00+00
Brexit 0.0%0 16.9%00+00
Green 1.3%0 3.4%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 1.0%00+00
Other 0.5%0 1.3%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne Central, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Darlington (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Brexit
%
Green
%
UKIP
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2017
Win
Pred
Win
48499Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.821.346.013.513.04.31.00.01.0LABLAB
51496Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.819.242.617.911.76.41.00.01.2LABLAB
57490Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.323.045.19.017.63.21.10.01.1LABLAB
63484Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.621.942.312.816.64.01.10.01.3LABLAB
64483Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.322.742.810.318.73.21.20.01.3LABLAB
78469Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.423.241.411.517.83.61.20.01.3LABLAB
88459Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.823.641.212.217.13.61.10.01.3LABLAB
94453South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.323.540.310.119.04.51.30.01.2LABLAB
106441Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.324.639.211.019.33.41.30.01.3LABLAB
118429Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.625.538.413.417.62.71.10.01.2LABLAB
119428Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.925.538.410.819.03.41.30.01.6LABLAB
134413Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.224.635.617.416.83.21.10.01.3LABLAB
135412Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.924.235.121.712.44.20.90.01.4LABLAB
138409Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.026.837.412.716.93.61.10.01.4LABLAB
141406Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.426.636.714.316.43.71.00.01.3LABLAB
149398Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.827.236.015.715.53.31.00.01.4LABLAB
150397Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.428.837.514.014.03.60.90.01.3LABLAB
152395Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.528.637.09.719.72.61.10.01.2LABLAB
158389Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.726.634.215.019.62.31.10.01.2LABLAB
170377Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.028.535.413.616.63.80.90.01.2LABLAB
171376Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.227.834.39.822.92.51.50.01.2LABLAB
174373Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.528.034.215.517.03.11.00.01.2LABLAB
184363Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.130.234.711.917.73.31.00.01.2LABLAB
200347Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.631.833.712.516.73.21.00.01.2LABLAB
229318Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.234.432.911.816.12.70.90.01.1LABCON
233314Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.033.831.611.817.52.41.00.01.9LABCON
249298Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.835.331.111.517.92.30.80.01.2CONCON
326221Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.838.722.818.913.83.70.80.01.1CONCON
362185Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.836.116.427.815.22.70.70.01.1CONCON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.