North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	38.3%	10	18.1%	0	10	-10	0
LAB	42.6%	19	54.0%	10	0	+10	29
LIB	6.8%	0	5.8%	0	0	+0	0
Reform	8.1%	0	15.7%	0	0	+0	0
Green	2.4%	0	5.4%	0	0	+0	0
Other	1.9%	0	0.9%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne East, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Sedgefield (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

LAB Seats	CON Seats	Seat	MP at 2019	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Reform %	Green %	MIN %	OTH %	2019 Win	Pred Win
44	522	Newcastle upon Tyne East	Nick Brown	63,796	68.0	8.8	67.1	5.6	10.4	7.7	0.0	0.4	LAB	LAB
54	512	Newcastle upon Tyne Central	Chi Onwurah	57,845	64.8	9.8	66.1	4.4	13.2	5.9	0.0	0.7	LAB	LAB
68	498	Middlesbrough	Andy McDonald	60,764	56.1	11.0	63.5	2.9	16.5	4.7	0.0	1.3	LAB	LAB
80	486	Gateshead	Ian Mearns	64,449	59.2	12.4	62.8	5.2	12.8	6.3	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
88	478	Easington	Grahame Morris	61,182	56.5	11.5	60.3	3.9	19.0	4.3	0.0	1.0	LAB	LAB
93	473	Tyneside North	Mary Glindon	78,902	63.9	13.2	60.6	4.9	15.1	5.6	0.0	0.6	LAB	LAB
104	462	Jarrow	Kate Osborne	65,103	62.6	13.0	58.8	4.3	17.3	5.6	0.0	1.0	LAB	LAB
120	446	South Shields	Emma Lewell-Buck	62,793	60.3	10.3	54.7	4.0	21.5	8.0	0.0	1.4	LAB	LAB
130	436	Durham North	Kevan Jones	66,796	63.2	13.6	56.9	5.3	17.7	5.5	0.0	0.9	LAB	LAB
132	434	Washington and Sunderland West	Sharon Hodgson	66,278	56.6	15.1	58.4	3.9	16.4	5.5	0.0	0.7	LAB	LAB
148	418	Houghton and Sunderland South	Bridget Phillipson	68,835	57.8	15.2	56.0	5.0	17.6	5.4	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
158	408	Newcastle upon Tyne North	Catherine McKinnell	68,486	68.6	15.3	55.0	6.9	16.1	6.2	0.0	0.6	LAB	LAB
159	407	Durham, City of	Mary Foy	71,271	68.6	13.0	52.7	12.7	14.5	6.7	0.0	0.4	LAB	LAB
162	404	Blaydon	Liz Twist	67,853	67.3	15.1	54.7	6.3	17.4	5.8	0.0	0.6	LAB	LAB
165	401	Sunderland Central	Julie Elliott	72,680	59.8	16.4	55.6	6.0	16.2	5.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
170	396	Tynemouth	Alan Campbell	77,261	72.5	19.1	57.7	4.3	12.6	5.8	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
184	382	Stockton North	Alex Cunningham	66,649	61.8	19.8	56.2	3.6	15.4	4.2	0.0	0.7	LAB	LAB
197	369	Durham North West	Richard Holden	72,166	66.0	18.3	52.8	6.5	16.8	5.2	0.0	0.5	CON	LAB
199	367	Wansbeck	Ian Lavery	63,339	64.0	19.1	53.5	5.9	15.5	5.4	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
202	364	Blyth Valley	Ian Levy	64,429	63.4	19.7	53.9	5.0	15.5	5.4	0.0	0.6	CON	LAB
228	338	Sedgefield	Paul Howell	64,325	64.6	20.0	50.7	6.0	17.7	5.0	0.0	0.6	CON	LAB
242	324	Darlington	Peter Gibson	66,397	65.5	22.7	51.1	4.4	14.7	6.4	0.0	0.7	CON	LAB
248	318	Redcar	Jacob Young	65,864	62.0	21.0	48.8	6.5	18.3	4.7	0.0	0.7	CON	LAB
259	307	Stockton South	Matt Vickers	76,870	71.3	24.6	51.3	4.7	14.6	4.0	0.0	0.8	CON	LAB
270	296	Bishop Auckland	Dehenna Davison	68,170	65.7	24.3	49.7	5.4	16.3	3.8	0.0	0.6	CON	LAB
285	281	Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East	Simon Clarke	72,348	66.1	24.4	48.1	4.9	16.6	5.3	0.0	0.7	CON	LAB
358	208	Hexham	Guy Opperman	61,324	75.3	29.5	41.0	9.2	14.0	6.0	0.0	0.3	CON	LAB
399	167	Hartlepool	Mike Hill	70,855	57.9	34.0	39.3	2.7	15.0	2.7	4.8	1.5	LAB	LAB
440	126	Berwick-upon-Tweed	Anne-Marie Trevelyan	59,939	70.3	30.9	32.3	16.7	14.7	5.1	0.0	0.2	CON	LAB

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.