North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 17.8%02-21
LAB 55.4%26 33.1%10+127
LIB 4.6%0 13.8%10+11
Brexit 0.0%0 23.5%00+00
Green 1.3%0 7.9%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 1.8%00+00
Other 0.5%0 2.2%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne Central, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Berwick-upon-Tweed (prediction: LIB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Durham North (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
53400Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.814.745.014.713.
54399Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.314.944.710.
66387Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.312.739.710.425.
70383Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.613.139.913.321.
72381Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.812.639.
80373Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.413.538.511.824.
88365South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.314.
89364Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.814.238.112.523.
114339Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.314.836.
123330Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.915.235.110.726.
125328Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.615.435.113.624.
135318Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.214.532.317.623.
145308Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.017.834.712.922.
147306Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.416.833.514.
153300Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.518.034.39.826.
159294Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.715.731.315.426.
164289Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.817.832.916.
165288Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.916.
168285Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.419.434.013.920.
172281Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.216.931.49.929.
174279Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.
178275Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.517.430.615.524.
189264Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.119.531.211.426.
206247Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.622.030.512.
220233Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.022.628.111.327.
224229Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.
234219Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.824.027.911.
301152Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.828.419.217.622.
322130Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.824.813.926.724.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.