North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 34.4%3 29.3%01-12
LAB 55.4%26 53.3%10+127
LIB 4.6%0 5.6%00+00
UKIP 3.9%0 7.9%00+00
Green 1.3%0 3.1%00+00
Minor 0.5%0 0.7%00+00

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne East, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Stockton South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
49520Newcastle upon Tyne East Nicholas Brown62,33366.816.
65504Gateshead Ian Mearns65,18664.618.863.
67502Easington Grahame Morris62,38558.317.661.
69500Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah55,57166.819.562.
70499Jarrow Stephen Hepburn64,82866.419.963.
74495Middlesbrough Andy McDonald61,11458.321.663.
85484Tyneside North Mary Glindon78,91465.822.
89480South Shields Emma Lewell-Buck63,44964.320.859.42.711.
102467Washington and Sunderland West Sharon Hodgson67,28060.323.758.63.410.
119450Durham North Kevan Jones66,97064.624.957.
120449Houghton and Sunderland South Bridget Phillipson68,12360.924.657.
134435Blaydon Liz Twist68,45970.
144425Durham, City of Roberta Blackman-Woods71,13267.924.753.310.
147422Wansbeck Ian Lavery62,09968.427.655.
155414Redcar Anna Turley66,83663.728.
157412Sunderland Central Julie Elliott72,72862.028.353.
160409Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell66,31272.828.853.
163406Tynemouth Alan Campbell77,43473.431.454.
164405Stockton North Alex Cunningham66,27964.531.454.
175394Blyth Valley Ronnie Campbell63,37167.
177392Durham North West Laura Pidcock71,98266.529.450.
178391Hartlepool Mike Hill70,71859.
190379Sedgefield Phil Wilson63,89065.133.751.
224345Darlington Jenny Chapman66,34167.638.
242327Stockton South Paul Williams75,61971.241.746.
247322Bishop Auckland Helen Goodman67,66164.041.846.
273296Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East Simon Clarke72,33665.844.545.
357212Hexham Guy Opperman61,01275.849.
416153Berwick-upon-Tweed Anne-Marie Trevelyan58,77471.847.422.422.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.