Yorks/Humber: Majority Sorted Seats

Yorks/Humber Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 40.4%17 40.5%50+522
LAB 49.0%37 39.6%06-631
LIB 5.0%0 9.0%10+11
Brexit 0.0%0 6.2%00+00
Green 1.3%0 3.0%00+00
UKIP 2.6%0 0.0%00+00
Other 1.7%0 1.7%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Yorks/Humber sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Bradford West, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Richmond, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Scarborough and Whitby (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Bradford South (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Yorks/Humber seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
12557Bradford West Naz Shah67,56867.417.
28541Sheffield Central Paul Blomfield77,56061.714.755.49.74.514.
30539Bradford East Imran Hussain70,38964.821.
44525Leeds Central Hilary Benn89,53753.222.354.
48521Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough Gill Furniss70,34459.524.754.
73496York Central Rachael Maskell77,31568.726.451.510.
84485Leeds West Rachel Reeves67,95562.126.549.
85484Leeds North East Fabian Hamilton70,11275.628.
86483Hull North Diana Johnson64,66657.526.649.59.310.
95474Huddersfield Barry Sheerman67,03365.429.550.
103466Leeds East Richard Burgon65,95062.830.349.76.310.
114455Sheffield Heeley Louise Haigh68,04065.
118451Barnsley Central Dan Jarvis64,20460.928.746.85.912.
121448Rotherham Sarah Champion63,23760.029.647.16.913.
125444Leeds North West Alex Sobel68,15267.920.637.732.
129440Sheffield South East Clive Betts68,94563.231.747.
134435Doncaster North Ed Miliband72,37258.530.746.
141428Wentworth and Dearne John Healey74,89058.732.447.07.710.
148421Hull West and Hessle Emma Hardy60,18157.431.144.18.912.
149420Batley and Spen Tracy Brabin80,15367.
150419Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford Yvette Cooper81,64160.332.245.16.813.
151418Hull East Karl Turner65,95955.531.644.
153416Barnsley East Stephanie Peacock69,20458.931.444.16.814.
165404Doncaster Central Rosie Winterton71,71660.
165403Sheffield Hallam Jared O Mara73,45577.619.730.639.
181388Hemsworth Jon Trickett71,87063.933.842.95.912.
183386Halifax Holly Lynch71,22467.836.545.
194375Dewsbury Paula Sherriff81,33869.537.
209360Colne Valley Thelma Walker84,38171.638.944.
219350Scunthorpe Nic Dakin61,57865.340.
225344Wakefield Mary Creagh70,34065.840.
231338Rother Valley Kevin Barron75,23065.838.038.26.411.
234335Keighley John Grogan71,42972.443.343.
236333Penistone and Stocksbridge Angela Smith71,29369.840.138.89.711.
243326Bradford South Judith Cummins67,75260.641.539.64.810.
247322Don Valley Caroline Flint73,98862.235.833.311.
249320Great Grimsby Melanie Onn61,74357.541.138.54.811.
255314Shipley Philip Davies73,13373.046.740.
270299Pudsey Stuart Andrew72,62274.350.436.
275294Calder Valley Craig Whittaker79,04573.451.836.910.
290279York Outer Julian Sturdy75,85675.750.732.815.
310259Morley and Outwood Andrea Jenkyns76,49568.455.734.
329240Scarborough and Whitby Robert Goodwill73,59368.656.933.
342227Elmet and Rothwell Alec Shelbrooke80,29174.256.530.
415154Harrogate and Knaresborough Andrew Jones77,26573.453.722.
443126Beverley and Holderness Graham Stuart80,65769.060.427.
459110Haltemprice and Howden David Davis71,52071.960.326.
464105Selby and Ainsty Nigel Adams75,76574.061.827.
48188Cleethorpes Martin Vickers73,04765.563.627.
49178Skipton and Ripon Julian Smith78,10874.461.
52247Thirsk and Malton Kevin Hollinrake78,67071.162.423.610.
52445Yorkshire East Greg Knight81,06566.663.724.
53336Brigg and Goole Andrew Percy66,06968.265.326.
54326Richmond Rishi Sunak80,92070.563.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.