| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 22.8% | 9 | 16.6% | 0 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| LAB | 40.9% | 43 | 22.7% | 0 | 31 | -31 | 12 |
| LIB | 7.1% | 1 | 9.1% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| Reform | 16.7% | 0 | 29.1% | 27 | 0 | +27 | 27 |
| Green | 7.5% | 0 | 17.3% | 8 | 0 | +8 | 8 |
| Other | 5.0% | 1 | 5.1% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
This page shows all the seats in Yorks/Humber sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Sheffield Hallam' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Bridlington and the Wolds', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Bridlington and the Wolds (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Sheffield Hallam (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 327 | Sheffield Hallam | Olivia Blake | 73,033 | 70.7 | 10.1 | 29.4 | 22.1 | 10.5 | 25.1 | 0.9 | 1.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 7 | 322 | Leeds North East | Fabian Hamilton | 70,178 | 64.4 | 12.4 | 32.1 | 6.6 | 14.8 | 27.1 | 5.4 | 1.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 13 | 315 | Sheffield Central | Abtisam Mohamed | 60,777 | 52.3 | 4.1 | 22.5 | 4.7 | 9.9 | 55.1 | 1.5 | 2.3 | LAB | Green |
| 22 | 307 | Leeds North West | Katie White | 71,592 | 69.5 | 17.8 | 30.4 | 12.3 | 19.3 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 3.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 24 | 305 | Doncaster North | Ed Miliband | 69,759 | 44.4 | 7.9 | 43.0 | 3.4 | 32.3 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 5.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 25 | 303 | Sheffield Heeley | Louise Haigh | 73,359 | 52.4 | 9.5 | 27.9 | 8.8 | 18.7 | 30.0 | 2.1 | 3.0 | LAB | Green |
| 25 | 303 | Leeds Central and Headingley | Alex Sobel | 70,554 | 44.8 | 5.7 | 24.2 | 5.8 | 15.2 | 44.3 | 3.7 | 1.1 | LAB | Green |
| 28 | 301 | York Central | Rachael Maskell | 79,557 | 54.5 | 9.2 | 30.8 | 7.0 | 22.2 | 27.6 | 0.0 | 3.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 53 | 276 | Calder Valley | Josh Fenton-Glynn | 77,364 | 64.1 | 19.4 | 28.3 | 8.8 | 23.6 | 16.2 | 0.0 | 3.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 54 | 274 | Bradford West | Naz Shah | 77,897 | 47.6 | 8.0 | 19.5 | 5.2 | 15.1 | 31.3 | 17.6 | 3.4 | LAB | Green |
| 54 | 274 | Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough | Gill Furniss | 70,453 | 44.9 | 8.1 | 25.6 | 5.6 | 21.5 | 29.4 | 6.5 | 3.2 | LAB | Green |
| 58 | 270 | Leeds South | Hilary Benn | 75,953 | 41.7 | 9.5 | 25.7 | 5.8 | 22.3 | 30.8 | 2.1 | 3.9 | LAB | Green |
| 62 | 267 | Sheffield South East | Clive Betts | 74,194 | 48.2 | 13.2 | 26.3 | 9.3 | 23.4 | 20.6 | 3.5 | 3.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 68 | 261 | York Outer | Luke Charters | 76,228 | 67.0 | 21.9 | 23.4 | 16.1 | 21.3 | 15.4 | 0.0 | 1.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 71 | 258 | Shipley | Anna Dixon | 74,130 | 65.2 | 18.1 | 25.9 | 8.8 | 24.4 | 19.4 | 1.1 | 2.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 74 | 255 | Leeds West and Pudsey | Rachel Reeves | 70,069 | 54.9 | 12.2 | 27.1 | 6.4 | 25.9 | 21.5 | 4.9 | 2.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 75 | 254 | Selby | Keir Mather | 78,055 | 63.1 | 11.7 | 37.4 | 4.1 | 36.4 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 3.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 80 | 248 | Bradford East | Imran Hussain | 75,167 | 49.5 | 9.4 | 21.0 | 7.2 | 20.5 | 25.0 | 14.5 | 2.3 | LAB | Green |
| 82 | 247 | Doncaster Central | Sally Jameson | 74,678 | 50.8 | 5.8 | 41.1 | 1.7 | 41.0 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 2.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 104 | 225 | Wakefield and Rothwell | Simon Lightwood | 75,067 | 54.2 | 7.6 | 35.6 | 4.0 | 38.0 | 8.0 | 4.2 | 2.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 116 | 213 | Spen Valley | Kim Leadbeater | 72,642 | 56.5 | 17.3 | 25.9 | 8.0 | 29.5 | 13.5 | 0.0 | 5.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 119 | 209 | Huddersfield | Harpreet Uppal | 77,795 | 51.6 | 11.5 | 20.9 | 6.5 | 24.8 | 32.6 | 0.0 | 3.7 | LAB | Green |
| 120 | 209 | Colne Valley | Paul Davies | 72,638 | 63.6 | 21.4 | 22.4 | 9.5 | 26.5 | 17.9 | 0.0 | 2.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 124 | 205 | Hull West and Haltemprice | Emma Hardy | 73,252 | 52.1 | 8.0 | 35.8 | 4.1 | 40.3 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 4.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 136 | 193 | Leeds South West and Morley | Mark Sewards | 71,854 | 56.0 | 13.7 | 29.2 | 5.9 | 35.3 | 12.6 | 0.0 | 3.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 146 | 182 | Dewsbury and Batley | Iqbal Hussain Mohamed | 71,685 | 53.1 | 10.4 | 15.2 | 6.2 | 22.2 | 21.9 | 24.1 | 0.0 | MIN | MIN |
| 148 | 181 | Penistone and Stocksbridge | Marie Tidball | 70,770 | 62.1 | 20.2 | 23.4 | 9.8 | 30.5 | 12.9 | 0.0 | 3.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 155 | 174 | Leeds East | Richard Burgon | 76,207 | 51.7 | 11.8 | 25.2 | 5.9 | 33.0 | 19.5 | 0.0 | 4.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 156 | 173 | Hull North and Cottingham | Diana Johnson | 75,280 | 50.8 | 11.2 | 24.0 | 8.8 | 31.9 | 19.4 | 0.0 | 4.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 165 | 164 | Barnsley North | Dan Jarvis | 78,267 | 47.1 | 3.0 | 38.8 | 1.6 | 47.4 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 5.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 166 | 163 | Rawmarsh and Conisbrough | John Healey | 69,132 | 49.0 | 3.7 | 37.3 | 1.3 | 46.1 | 3.9 | 7.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 167 | 162 | Keighley and Ilkley | Robbie Moore | 74,367 | 62.1 | 24.4 | 21.4 | 6.4 | 30.3 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 3.4 | CON | Reform |
| 179 | 150 | Ossett and Denby Dale | Jade Botterill | 72,312 | 60.7 | 19.0 | 22.8 | 8.8 | 32.9 | 13.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 184 | 145 | Halifax | Kate Alexandra Dearden | 77,516 | 51.9 | 13.1 | 20.2 | 6.8 | 30.7 | 19.4 | 7.6 | 2.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 185 | 143 | Wetherby and Easingwold | Alec Shelbrooke | 74,334 | 70.3 | 33.3 | 17.2 | 8.7 | 27.8 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 3.1 | CON | CON |
| 199 | 129 | Harrogate and Knaresborough | Tom Gordon | 77,970 | 66.8 | 21.6 | 8.4 | 36.8 | 20.3 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 2.1 | LIB | LIB |
| 200 | 129 | Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley | Yvette Cooper | 74,618 | 48.2 | 4.0 | 37.1 | 1.6 | 49.1 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 4.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 201 | 128 | Normanton and Hemsworth | Jon Trickett | 75,645 | 48.1 | 3.7 | 37.3 | 1.6 | 49.4 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 4.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 208 | 121 | Scarborough and Whitby | Alison Hume | 74,558 | 59.3 | 19.0 | 21.8 | 9.7 | 34.7 | 11.8 | 0.0 | 3.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 218 | 111 | Bradford South | Judith Cummins | 71,002 | 46.5 | 10.0 | 19.6 | 5.7 | 34.0 | 20.3 | 1.7 | 8.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 223 | 106 | Barnsley South | Stephanie Peacock | 75,850 | 46.3 | 3.1 | 35.8 | 1.6 | 50.6 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 5.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 225 | 104 | Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme | Lee Pitcher | 70,154 | 55.8 | 24.8 | 21.4 | 5.9 | 36.3 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 3.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 230 | 99 | Scunthorpe | Nicholas Dakin | 74,263 | 52.6 | 19.9 | 20.5 | 7.8 | 35.8 | 12.4 | 0.0 | 3.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 232 | 97 | Rother Valley | Jake Richards | 69,460 | 59.9 | 24.5 | 20.6 | 6.8 | 36.3 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 234 | 95 | Rotherham | Sarah Champion | 75,929 | 48.6 | 4.6 | 23.8 | 6.8 | 39.4 | 16.2 | 5.8 | 3.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 241 | 88 | Skipton and Ripon | Julian Smith | 79,251 | 67.4 | 28.9 | 16.7 | 9.3 | 32.9 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 2.7 | CON | Reform |
| 244 | 85 | Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes | Melanie Onn | 78,875 | 46.4 | 16.5 | 21.7 | 6.9 | 38.4 | 11.8 | 0.0 | 4.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 270 | 58 | Beverley and Holderness | Graham Stuart | 70,559 | 63.6 | 43.1 | 11.1 | 4.6 | 32.6 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 3.3 | CON | CON |
| 273 | 56 | Hull East | Karl Turner | 70,650 | 42.2 | 9.3 | 19.5 | 9.0 | 41.9 | 15.6 | 0.0 | 4.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 279 | 49 | Richmond and Northallerton | Rishi Sunak | 73,888 | 65.7 | 45.2 | 8.7 | 5.4 | 32.5 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 3.0 | CON | CON |
| 282 | 47 | Brigg and Immingham | Martin Vickers | 74,297 | 57.2 | 34.5 | 12.8 | 5.2 | 38.0 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 3.7 | CON | Reform |
| 290 | 38 | Goole and Pocklington | David Davis | 78,287 | 63.5 | 41.2 | 9.7 | 4.8 | 36.4 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 2.6 | CON | CON |
| 299 | 29 | Thirsk and Malton | Kevin Hollinrake | 78,484 | 63.4 | 40.7 | 8.4 | 5.8 | 37.4 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | CON | CON |
| 308 | 21 | Bridlington and the Wolds | Charlie Dewhirst | 72,931 | 58.9 | 38.9 | 8.7 | 4.0 | 40.3 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 3.8 | CON | Reform |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.