| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 22.8% | 9 | 18.7% | 0 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| LAB | 40.9% | 43 | 31.4% | 2 | 11 | -9 | 34 |
| LIB | 7.1% | 1 | 4.9% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| Reform | 16.7% | 0 | 26.5% | 11 | 0 | +11 | 11 |
| Green | 7.5% | 0 | 10.0% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 1 |
| Other | 5.0% | 1 | 8.5% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in Yorks/Humber sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Sheffield Central' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Brigg and Immingham', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Penistone and Stocksbridge (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Bradford East (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 397 | Sheffield Central | Abtisam Mohamed | 60,777 | 52.3 | 6.8 | 43.9 | 3.1 | 9.3 | 33.4 | 3.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 11 | 388 | Leeds North East | Fabian Hamilton | 70,178 | 64.4 | 13.7 | 43.2 | 3.5 | 14.3 | 20.2 | 5.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 20 | 379 | Sheffield Hallam | Olivia Blake | 73,033 | 70.7 | 13.7 | 41.3 | 15.5 | 14.3 | 11.2 | 4.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 26 | 373 | York Central | Rachael Maskell | 79,557 | 54.5 | 10.1 | 41.3 | 3.7 | 15.4 | 21.1 | 8.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 29 | 370 | Sheffield Heeley | Louise Haigh | 73,359 | 52.4 | 11.5 | 43.3 | 5.0 | 17.9 | 15.9 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 34 | 365 | Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough | Gill Furniss | 70,453 | 44.9 | 9.5 | 42.4 | 3.1 | 17.8 | 19.4 | 7.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 47 | 351 | Leeds Central and Headingley | Alex Sobel | 70,554 | 44.8 | 7.4 | 34.4 | 3.5 | 11.8 | 36.0 | 6.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 53 | 346 | Leeds South | Hilary Benn | 75,953 | 41.7 | 11.0 | 39.3 | 3.0 | 17.5 | 21.2 | 8.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 63 | 336 | Sheffield South East | Clive Betts | 74,194 | 48.2 | 7.6 | 48.2 | 2.2 | 28.5 | 5.5 | 8.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 72 | 327 | Bradford East | Imran Hussain | 75,167 | 49.5 | 6.0 | 46.8 | 1.6 | 28.1 | 7.9 | 9.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 74 | 325 | Bradford West | Naz Shah | 77,897 | 47.6 | 8.6 | 34.6 | 2.1 | 16.2 | 24.7 | 13.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 76 | 323 | Leeds West and Pudsey | Rachel Reeves | 70,069 | 54.9 | 7.0 | 48.2 | 1.3 | 30.0 | 5.7 | 7.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 89 | 310 | Leeds North West | Katie White | 71,592 | 69.5 | 18.5 | 38.8 | 6.7 | 21.8 | 7.5 | 6.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 92 | 307 | Leeds East | Richard Burgon | 76,207 | 51.7 | 4.8 | 48.2 | 0.7 | 32.5 | 3.9 | 10.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 145 | 254 | Shipley | Anna Dixon | 74,130 | 65.2 | 22.7 | 35.0 | 4.0 | 24.3 | 8.4 | 5.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 151 | 248 | Bradford South | Judith Cummins | 71,002 | 46.5 | 4.1 | 44.8 | 0.6 | 34.6 | 4.1 | 11.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 156 | 243 | Wakefield and Rothwell | Simon Lightwood | 75,067 | 54.2 | 5.1 | 44.8 | 1.1 | 34.9 | 3.1 | 11.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 166 | 233 | Hull North and Cottingham | Diana Johnson | 75,280 | 50.8 | 4.5 | 44.9 | 1.2 | 35.6 | 2.9 | 11.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 168 | 231 | Rotherham | Sarah Champion | 75,929 | 48.6 | 2.2 | 45.0 | 0.9 | 35.8 | 3.1 | 12.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 169 | 230 | Huddersfield | Harpreet Uppal | 77,795 | 51.6 | 13.5 | 31.8 | 3.1 | 22.8 | 21.1 | 7.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 171 | 228 | Dewsbury and Batley | Iqbal Hussain Mohamed | 71,685 | 53.1 | 12.3 | 31.9 | 3.3 | 22.9 | 11.5 | 18.2 | 0.0 | MIN | LAB |
| 173 | 226 | Calder Valley | Josh Fenton-Glynn | 77,364 | 64.1 | 18.0 | 36.7 | 3.9 | 27.9 | 6.3 | 7.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 181 | 218 | Halifax | Kate Alexandra Dearden | 77,516 | 51.9 | 5.4 | 44.2 | 0.8 | 36.2 | 3.6 | 9.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 182 | 217 | Barnsley North | Dan Jarvis | 78,267 | 47.1 | 3.2 | 43.5 | 0.7 | 35.6 | 2.7 | 14.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 183 | 216 | Keighley and Ilkley | Robbie Moore | 74,367 | 62.1 | 28.4 | 30.1 | 2.9 | 22.3 | 9.7 | 6.7 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 198 | 201 | York Outer | Luke Charters | 76,228 | 67.0 | 23.3 | 31.7 | 8.2 | 25.4 | 5.3 | 6.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 205 | 194 | Colne Valley | Paul Davies | 72,638 | 63.6 | 23.1 | 30.3 | 4.5 | 25.0 | 9.2 | 8.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 209 | 190 | Doncaster North | Ed Miliband | 69,759 | 44.4 | 13.0 | 39.3 | 2.8 | 34.4 | 4.0 | 6.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 211 | 188 | Normanton and Hemsworth | Jon Trickett | 75,645 | 48.1 | 4.0 | 41.9 | 0.7 | 37.0 | 2.7 | 13.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 223 | 176 | Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley | Yvette Cooper | 74,618 | 48.2 | 4.2 | 41.0 | 0.7 | 37.4 | 2.5 | 14.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 229 | 170 | Leeds South West and Morley | Mark Sewards | 71,854 | 56.0 | 6.1 | 42.2 | 0.8 | 39.1 | 1.9 | 9.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 235 | 164 | Selby | Keir Mather | 78,055 | 63.1 | 7.1 | 42.2 | 0.9 | 39.6 | 1.8 | 8.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 248 | 151 | Barnsley South | Stephanie Peacock | 75,850 | 46.3 | 3.4 | 40.5 | 0.7 | 38.4 | 2.4 | 14.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 250 | 149 | Rawmarsh and Conisbrough | John Healey | 69,132 | 49.0 | 4.5 | 41.5 | 0.8 | 39.7 | 2.5 | 11.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 257 | 141 | Wetherby and Easingwold | Alec Shelbrooke | 74,334 | 70.3 | 34.0 | 25.1 | 5.2 | 24.3 | 7.3 | 4.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 265 | 134 | Ossett and Denby Dale | Jade Botterill | 72,312 | 60.7 | 17.4 | 32.4 | 3.2 | 32.2 | 5.8 | 9.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 276 | 123 | Hull West and Haltemprice | Emma Hardy | 73,252 | 52.1 | 5.7 | 40.2 | 1.1 | 41.1 | 2.1 | 9.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 288 | 111 | Doncaster Central | Sally Jameson | 74,678 | 50.8 | 6.4 | 39.5 | 1.0 | 41.3 | 2.0 | 9.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 288 | 110 | Skipton and Ripon | Julian Smith | 79,251 | 67.4 | 29.0 | 26.0 | 5.1 | 28.0 | 6.3 | 5.7 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 304 | 94 | Beverley and Holderness | Graham Stuart | 70,559 | 63.6 | 28.6 | 24.5 | 6.3 | 28.2 | 5.3 | 7.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 310 | 89 | Scunthorpe | Nicholas Dakin | 74,263 | 52.6 | 21.9 | 26.7 | 3.5 | 30.9 | 6.5 | 10.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 313 | 86 | Hull East | Karl Turner | 70,650 | 42.2 | 3.8 | 37.3 | 1.2 | 41.7 | 2.3 | 13.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 315 | 84 | Scarborough and Whitby | Alison Hume | 74,558 | 59.3 | 19.4 | 30.0 | 3.6 | 34.5 | 4.7 | 7.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 329 | 70 | Penistone and Stocksbridge | Marie Tidball | 70,770 | 62.1 | 6.6 | 37.8 | 1.2 | 43.6 | 1.3 | 9.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 351 | 47 | Harrogate and Knaresborough | Tom Gordon | 77,970 | 66.8 | 31.9 | 6.1 | 40.8 | 13.3 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 355 | 44 | Spen Valley | Kim Leadbeater | 72,642 | 56.5 | 12.5 | 33.7 | 2.1 | 41.3 | 2.9 | 7.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 366 | 33 | Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme | Lee Pitcher | 70,154 | 55.8 | 26.8 | 24.3 | 3.6 | 33.1 | 4.6 | 7.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 367 | 32 | Rother Valley | Jake Richards | 69,460 | 59.9 | 27.7 | 24.6 | 2.7 | 33.6 | 4.4 | 7.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 381 | 18 | Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes | Melanie Onn | 78,875 | 46.4 | 5.9 | 34.1 | 0.8 | 45.3 | 1.5 | 12.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 388 | 10 | Goole and Pocklington | David Davis | 78,287 | 63.5 | 36.7 | 17.9 | 3.6 | 30.7 | 4.6 | 6.6 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 392 | 6 | Richmond and Northallerton | Rishi Sunak | 73,888 | 65.7 | 44.5 | 14.5 | 3.9 | 28.4 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 395 | 4 | Bridlington and the Wolds | Charlie Dewhirst | 72,931 | 58.9 | 33.7 | 17.1 | 3.9 | 34.1 | 3.8 | 7.5 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 395 | 3 | Thirsk and Malton | Kevin Hollinrake | 78,484 | 63.4 | 44.0 | 11.3 | 2.8 | 32.4 | 3.4 | 6.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 395 | 3 | Brigg and Immingham | Martin Vickers | 74,297 | 57.2 | 42.9 | 11.2 | 1.8 | 34.7 | 3.3 | 6.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.