| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 22.8% | 9 | 16.7% | 0 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| LAB | 40.9% | 43 | 22.4% | 0 | 32 | -32 | 11 |
| LIB | 7.1% | 1 | 8.4% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| Reform | 16.7% | 0 | 32.7% | 32 | 0 | +32 | 32 |
| Green | 7.5% | 0 | 14.8% | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| Other | 5.0% | 1 | 4.9% | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 |
This page shows all the seats in Yorks/Humber sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Sheffield Hallam' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Bridlington and the Wolds', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Richmond and Northallerton (prediction: CON), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Doncaster North (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 383 | Sheffield Hallam | Olivia Blake | 73,033 | 70.7 | 10.1 | 31.1 | 24.7 | 9.2 | 20.0 | 2.2 | 2.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 10 | 374 | Leeds North West | Katie White | 71,592 | 69.5 | 14.6 | 33.4 | 12.4 | 21.7 | 13.2 | 3.1 | 1.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 15 | 368 | Sheffield Central | Abtisam Mohamed | 60,777 | 52.3 | 6.7 | 19.9 | 7.2 | 9.7 | 47.4 | 4.7 | 4.3 | LAB | Green |
| 18 | 366 | York Outer | Luke Charters | 76,228 | 67.0 | 21.7 | 30.5 | 13.8 | 20.8 | 10.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 19 | 365 | Leeds North East | Fabian Hamilton | 70,178 | 64.4 | 12.2 | 28.1 | 8.4 | 18.5 | 25.4 | 4.0 | 3.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 30 | 354 | Calder Valley | Josh Fenton-Glynn | 77,364 | 64.1 | 6.4 | 44.6 | 2.5 | 38.0 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 1.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 34 | 350 | Sheffield South East | Clive Betts | 74,194 | 48.2 | 4.8 | 43.4 | 2.0 | 37.5 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 4.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 37 | 347 | York Central | Rachael Maskell | 79,557 | 54.5 | 8.7 | 29.4 | 5.9 | 24.0 | 27.7 | 3.0 | 1.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 39 | 345 | Sheffield Heeley | Louise Haigh | 73,359 | 52.4 | 11.4 | 26.9 | 9.1 | 21.7 | 24.3 | 3.4 | 3.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 39 | 344 | Leeds Central and Headingley | Alex Sobel | 70,554 | 44.8 | 6.0 | 21.7 | 6.3 | 16.6 | 43.7 | 3.6 | 2.1 | LAB | Green |
| 44 | 340 | Doncaster North | Ed Miliband | 69,759 | 44.4 | 7.5 | 40.6 | 1.7 | 35.9 | 6.7 | 3.6 | 4.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 73 | 311 | Shipley | Anna Dixon | 74,130 | 65.2 | 22.3 | 24.6 | 9.7 | 23.8 | 15.8 | 2.0 | 1.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 75 | 309 | Colne Valley | Paul Davies | 72,638 | 63.6 | 21.9 | 26.3 | 8.0 | 26.1 | 14.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 88 | 295 | Keighley and Ilkley | Robbie Moore | 74,367 | 62.1 | 27.5 | 24.7 | 5.4 | 26.6 | 11.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 | CON | CON |
| 95 | 289 | Hull North and Cottingham | Diana Johnson | 75,280 | 50.8 | 4.0 | 40.4 | 2.1 | 43.6 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 98 | 286 | Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough | Gill Furniss | 70,453 | 44.9 | 9.7 | 22.9 | 6.0 | 26.6 | 24.8 | 4.5 | 5.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 100 | 284 | Penistone and Stocksbridge | Marie Tidball | 70,770 | 62.1 | 5.9 | 41.1 | 2.1 | 44.9 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 111 | 272 | Leeds South | Hilary Benn | 75,953 | 41.7 | 11.8 | 22.1 | 5.4 | 26.9 | 27.0 | 3.5 | 3.4 | LAB | Green |
| 114 | 270 | Selby | Keir Mather | 78,055 | 63.1 | 8.6 | 37.7 | 2.8 | 42.7 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 136 | 247 | Wetherby and Easingwold | Alec Shelbrooke | 74,334 | 70.3 | 32.7 | 18.6 | 11.0 | 25.6 | 9.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 | CON | CON |
| 138 | 246 | Doncaster Central | Sally Jameson | 74,678 | 50.8 | 5.3 | 38.6 | 1.3 | 45.7 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 1.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 148 | 235 | Bradford West | Naz Shah | 77,897 | 47.6 | 8.4 | 16.6 | 5.2 | 24.4 | 20.5 | 24.9 | 0.0 | LAB | MIN |
| 153 | 230 | Harrogate and Knaresborough | Tom Gordon | 77,970 | 66.8 | 25.6 | 9.0 | 37.6 | 17.1 | 8.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 | LIB | LIB |
| 159 | 225 | Ossett and Denby Dale | Jade Botterill | 72,312 | 60.7 | 20.0 | 23.9 | 7.9 | 32.6 | 12.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 166 | 217 | Skipton and Ripon | Julian Smith | 79,251 | 67.4 | 31.9 | 19.9 | 7.7 | 29.8 | 8.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | CON | CON |
| 174 | 210 | Leeds West and Pudsey | Rachel Reeves | 70,069 | 54.9 | 13.3 | 22.8 | 7.1 | 32.9 | 19.3 | 2.9 | 1.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 180 | 204 | Wakefield and Rothwell | Simon Lightwood | 75,067 | 54.2 | 6.4 | 34.9 | 2.8 | 45.4 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 2.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 196 | 188 | Bradford East | Imran Hussain | 75,167 | 49.5 | 9.9 | 19.2 | 6.8 | 30.9 | 16.1 | 17.1 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 201 | 183 | Hull West and Haltemprice | Emma Hardy | 73,252 | 52.1 | 4.8 | 37.1 | 2.0 | 49.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 202 | 182 | Rother Valley | Jake Richards | 69,460 | 59.9 | 23.4 | 24.0 | 5.8 | 36.3 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 204 | 180 | Leeds South West and Morley | Mark Sewards | 71,854 | 56.0 | 17.1 | 24.5 | 5.1 | 36.9 | 12.7 | 2.2 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 205 | 179 | Huddersfield | Harpreet Uppal | 77,795 | 51.6 | 14.2 | 18.0 | 6.4 | 30.5 | 26.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 219 | 165 | Scarborough and Whitby | Alison Hume | 74,558 | 59.3 | 21.9 | 21.7 | 8.1 | 35.4 | 10.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 220 | 164 | Beverley and Holderness | Graham Stuart | 70,559 | 63.6 | 22.1 | 21.6 | 10.2 | 35.3 | 7.1 | 1.9 | 1.7 | CON | Reform |
| 227 | 157 | Spen Valley | Kim Leadbeater | 72,642 | 56.5 | 16.5 | 21.4 | 10.5 | 35.5 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 2.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 256 | 128 | Leeds East | Richard Burgon | 76,207 | 51.7 | 13.1 | 21.8 | 4.8 | 38.1 | 17.3 | 2.7 | 2.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 260 | 124 | Scunthorpe | Nicholas Dakin | 74,263 | 52.6 | 20.5 | 21.4 | 6.4 | 38.1 | 10.2 | 1.8 | 1.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 277 | 107 | Barnsley North | Dan Jarvis | 78,267 | 47.1 | 2.9 | 35.2 | 1.2 | 53.2 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 1.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 297 | 86 | Goole and Pocklington | David Davis | 78,287 | 63.5 | 36.6 | 15.3 | 5.5 | 34.7 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
| 300 | 84 | Halifax | Kate Alexandra Dearden | 77,516 | 51.9 | 14.6 | 18.3 | 6.2 | 38.0 | 16.3 | 3.2 | 3.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 310 | 74 | Dewsbury and Batley | Iqbal Hussain Mohamed | 71,685 | 53.1 | 14.1 | 13.9 | 5.9 | 34.3 | 14.5 | 3.7 | 13.6 | MIN | Reform |
| 315 | 69 | Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme | Lee Pitcher | 70,154 | 55.8 | 20.4 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 41.0 | 9.4 | 2.2 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 322 | 62 | Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley | Yvette Cooper | 74,618 | 48.2 | 4.3 | 32.8 | 1.3 | 54.5 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 324 | 60 | Rawmarsh and Conisbrough | John Healey | 69,132 | 49.0 | 6.2 | 29.2 | 2.2 | 51.1 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 337 | 46 | Richmond and Northallerton | Rishi Sunak | 73,888 | 65.7 | 47.1 | 8.9 | 5.6 | 31.8 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | CON | CON |
| 338 | 46 | Normanton and Hemsworth | Jon Trickett | 75,645 | 48.1 | 5.6 | 30.2 | 2.0 | 53.3 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 341 | 43 | Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes | Melanie Onn | 78,875 | 46.4 | 11.3 | 25.3 | 3.9 | 48.9 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 345 | 39 | Hull East | Karl Turner | 70,650 | 42.2 | 5.1 | 28.2 | 3.7 | 52.5 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 349 | 35 | Bradford South | Judith Cummins | 71,002 | 46.5 | 11.6 | 16.9 | 4.8 | 41.8 | 16.6 | 3.3 | 5.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 354 | 30 | Rotherham | Sarah Champion | 75,929 | 48.6 | 4.9 | 22.7 | 5.1 | 47.9 | 13.5 | 2.5 | 3.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 358 | 26 | Barnsley South | Stephanie Peacock | 75,850 | 46.3 | 4.1 | 30.1 | 1.6 | 55.8 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 361 | 22 | Thirsk and Malton | Kevin Hollinrake | 78,484 | 63.4 | 43.1 | 9.6 | 4.7 | 35.6 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | CON | CON |
| 365 | 19 | Brigg and Immingham | Martin Vickers | 74,297 | 57.2 | 31.7 | 13.7 | 6.3 | 40.6 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | CON | Reform |
| 374 | 10 | Bridlington and the Wolds | Charlie Dewhirst | 72,931 | 58.9 | 34.0 | 9.5 | 4.6 | 44.4 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 | CON | Reform |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.