| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 22.8% | 9 | 15.8% | 0 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| LAB | 40.9% | 43 | 20.1% | 0 | 35 | -35 | 8 |
| LIB | 7.1% | 1 | 9.5% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| Reform | 16.7% | 0 | 33.2% | 33 | 0 | +33 | 33 |
| Green | 7.5% | 0 | 14.7% | 5 | 0 | +5 | 5 |
| Other | 5.0% | 1 | 6.8% | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
This page shows all the seats in Yorks/Humber sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Sheffield Hallam' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Brigg and Immingham', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Rother Valley (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Sheffield Heeley (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 401 | Sheffield Hallam | Olivia Blake | 73,033 | 70.7 | 10.7 | 31.1 | 23.2 | 9.6 | 18.4 | 7.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 35 | 379 | Leeds North West | Katie White | 71,592 | 69.5 | 6.4 | 46.6 | 5.2 | 32.0 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 35 | 378 | Sheffield Central | Abtisam Mohamed | 60,777 | 52.3 | 7.3 | 23.7 | 7.0 | 9.5 | 38.6 | 13.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 41 | 373 | Leeds North East | Fabian Hamilton | 70,178 | 64.4 | 13.9 | 28.5 | 7.8 | 15.6 | 24.4 | 9.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 63 | 350 | Leeds Central and Headingley | Alex Sobel | 70,554 | 44.8 | 7.0 | 25.8 | 7.9 | 17.1 | 29.9 | 12.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 64 | 350 | York Central | Rachael Maskell | 79,557 | 54.5 | 9.8 | 30.7 | 8.1 | 22.2 | 19.3 | 9.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 67 | 347 | Sheffield Heeley | Louise Haigh | 73,359 | 52.4 | 11.0 | 26.4 | 9.6 | 19.1 | 23.7 | 10.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 93 | 320 | Leeds South | Hilary Benn | 75,953 | 41.7 | 11.0 | 23.3 | 6.6 | 20.6 | 26.8 | 11.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 95 | 319 | Sheffield South East | Clive Betts | 74,194 | 48.2 | 12.8 | 27.8 | 8.4 | 26.1 | 16.9 | 8.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 97 | 316 | Bradford West | Naz Shah | 77,897 | 47.6 | 8.4 | 15.3 | 3.2 | 14.1 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 0.0 | LAB | MIN |
| 98 | 316 | York Outer | Luke Charters | 76,228 | 67.0 | 19.9 | 25.8 | 13.4 | 25.2 | 10.9 | 4.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 99 | 315 | Calder Valley | Josh Fenton-Glynn | 77,364 | 64.1 | 7.8 | 39.2 | 3.9 | 38.9 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 116 | 297 | Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough | Gill Furniss | 70,453 | 44.9 | 11.1 | 22.0 | 7.4 | 23.5 | 25.4 | 10.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 129 | 284 | Bradford East | Imran Hussain | 75,167 | 49.5 | 9.0 | 19.2 | 5.1 | 22.6 | 18.3 | 25.7 | 0.0 | LAB | MIN |
| 131 | 283 | Hull North and Cottingham | Diana Johnson | 75,280 | 50.8 | 6.1 | 35.7 | 4.1 | 39.3 | 7.6 | 7.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 137 | 277 | Leeds South West and Morley | Mark Sewards | 71,854 | 56.0 | 5.8 | 38.2 | 2.5 | 42.7 | 4.6 | 6.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 143 | 270 | Huddersfield | Harpreet Uppal | 77,795 | 51.6 | 12.6 | 18.1 | 5.8 | 24.0 | 30.9 | 8.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 147 | 267 | Penistone and Stocksbridge | Marie Tidball | 70,770 | 62.1 | 5.3 | 39.5 | 2.6 | 46.0 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 261 | Selby | Keir Mather | 78,055 | 63.1 | 6.5 | 37.8 | 2.8 | 44.9 | 3.6 | 4.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 160 | 254 | Leeds West and Pudsey | Rachel Reeves | 70,069 | 54.9 | 13.7 | 22.4 | 7.1 | 30.2 | 18.6 | 8.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 164 | 250 | Shipley | Anna Dixon | 74,130 | 65.2 | 20.6 | 20.8 | 8.3 | 29.0 | 14.9 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 171 | 243 | Colne Valley | Paul Davies | 72,638 | 63.6 | 20.3 | 21.7 | 8.8 | 30.5 | 13.1 | 5.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 177 | 237 | Wakefield and Rothwell | Simon Lightwood | 75,067 | 54.2 | 8.5 | 31.1 | 4.8 | 40.5 | 8.5 | 6.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 182 | 231 | Dewsbury and Batley | Iqbal Hussain Mohamed | 71,685 | 53.1 | 11.4 | 11.1 | 3.9 | 21.2 | 18.2 | 34.2 | 0.0 | MIN | MIN |
| 196 | 218 | Leeds East | Richard Burgon | 76,207 | 51.7 | 12.8 | 22.0 | 6.2 | 33.4 | 17.7 | 8.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 225 | 189 | Hull West and Haltemprice | Emma Hardy | 73,252 | 52.1 | 9.1 | 29.3 | 4.8 | 43.5 | 7.7 | 5.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 239 | 175 | Keighley and Ilkley | Robbie Moore | 74,367 | 62.1 | 31.0 | 16.0 | 6.7 | 31.4 | 11.6 | 3.3 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 257 | 157 | Skipton and Ripon | Julian Smith | 79,251 | 67.4 | 28.4 | 15.5 | 10.4 | 32.0 | 11.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 262 | 152 | Barnsley North | Dan Jarvis | 78,267 | 47.1 | 3.5 | 33.5 | 2.1 | 50.6 | 4.4 | 5.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 264 | 150 | Halifax | Kate Alexandra Dearden | 77,516 | 51.9 | 15.4 | 17.1 | 7.2 | 34.2 | 19.3 | 6.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 271 | 142 | Harrogate and Knaresborough | Tom Gordon | 77,970 | 66.8 | 19.6 | 7.6 | 33.0 | 25.6 | 10.1 | 4.2 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 281 | 133 | Doncaster Central | Sally Jameson | 74,678 | 50.8 | 6.1 | 31.3 | 3.5 | 50.5 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 288 | 126 | Beverley and Holderness | Graham Stuart | 70,559 | 63.6 | 21.9 | 17.2 | 11.3 | 37.1 | 9.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 294 | 120 | Spen Valley | Kim Leadbeater | 72,642 | 56.5 | 16.3 | 19.1 | 8.5 | 39.6 | 12.3 | 4.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 296 | 118 | Doncaster North | Ed Miliband | 69,759 | 44.4 | 9.9 | 25.2 | 7.2 | 45.7 | 8.3 | 3.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 297 | 117 | Ossett and Denby Dale | Jade Botterill | 72,312 | 60.7 | 18.6 | 18.4 | 8.2 | 39.2 | 10.8 | 4.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 303 | 111 | Normanton and Hemsworth | Jon Trickett | 75,645 | 48.1 | 5.7 | 29.2 | 2.9 | 50.2 | 6.3 | 5.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 305 | 109 | Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley | Yvette Cooper | 74,618 | 48.2 | 4.8 | 30.9 | 2.2 | 51.9 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 307 | 107 | Rotherham | Sarah Champion | 75,929 | 48.6 | 6.3 | 19.8 | 7.7 | 40.8 | 17.4 | 8.1 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 315 | 99 | Scarborough and Whitby | Alison Hume | 74,558 | 59.3 | 19.2 | 17.4 | 8.3 | 39.2 | 10.7 | 5.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 316 | 98 | Bradford South | Judith Cummins | 71,002 | 46.5 | 12.6 | 15.6 | 6.1 | 37.4 | 20.8 | 7.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 331 | 83 | Rother Valley | Jake Richards | 69,460 | 59.9 | 21.2 | 17.4 | 8.3 | 40.9 | 9.8 | 2.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 335 | 78 | Wetherby and Easingwold | Alec Shelbrooke | 74,334 | 70.3 | 42.8 | 8.5 | 5.7 | 32.3 | 8.3 | 2.4 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 338 | 76 | Rawmarsh and Conisbrough | John Healey | 69,132 | 49.0 | 5.8 | 28.0 | 3.1 | 52.1 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 352 | 62 | Barnsley South | Stephanie Peacock | 75,850 | 46.3 | 5.7 | 25.6 | 3.7 | 51.3 | 7.8 | 6.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 354 | 60 | Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes | Melanie Onn | 78,875 | 46.4 | 10.0 | 23.6 | 5.3 | 49.5 | 7.2 | 4.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 360 | 53 | Goole and Pocklington | David Davis | 78,287 | 63.5 | 37.2 | 10.2 | 6.1 | 36.9 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 366 | 48 | Hull East | Karl Turner | 70,650 | 42.2 | 8.2 | 19.2 | 7.6 | 46.3 | 12.3 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 369 | 45 | Scunthorpe | Nicholas Dakin | 74,263 | 52.6 | 18.5 | 16.1 | 6.9 | 43.8 | 10.0 | 4.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 384 | 29 | Thirsk and Malton | Kevin Hollinrake | 78,484 | 63.4 | 39.5 | 7.3 | 6.2 | 37.4 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 386 | 27 | Richmond and Northallerton | Rishi Sunak | 73,888 | 65.7 | 42.9 | 6.4 | 5.9 | 36.7 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 391 | 23 | Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme | Lee Pitcher | 70,154 | 55.8 | 18.7 | 14.8 | 8.2 | 46.8 | 8.3 | 3.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 405 | 9 | Bridlington and the Wolds | Charlie Dewhirst | 72,931 | 58.9 | 34.1 | 7.1 | 4.7 | 43.8 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 408 | 6 | Brigg and Immingham | Martin Vickers | 74,297 | 57.2 | 35.5 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 46.0 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.