Yorks/Humber: Majority Sorted Seats

Yorks/Humber Prediction

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 40.4%17 36.0%20+219
LAB 49.0%37 42.8%03-334
LIB 5.0%0 7.2%10+11
UKIP 2.6%0 6.0%00+00
Green 1.3%0 3.4%00+00
Minor 1.7%0 4.6%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Yorks/Humber sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Sheffield Central, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Richmond, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to York Outer (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Colne Valley (prediction: CON).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Yorks/Humber seats with predictions

SeatMP at 2017ElectorateTurn
25546Sheffield Central Paul Blomfield77,56061.710.
37534Leeds Central Hilary Benn89,53753.
45526Bradford West Naz Shah67,56867.412.958.
50521Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough Gill Furniss70,34459.517.
53518Bradford East Imran Hussain70,38964.815.959.
71500Barnsley Central Dan Jarvis64,20460.919.757.73.711.
76495Hull North Diana Johnson64,66657.520.757.
79492Leeds West Rachel Reeves67,95562.121.757.
92479York Central Rachael Maskell77,31568.725.758.
95476Wentworth and Dearne John Healey74,89058.726.858.
97474Doncaster North Ed Miliband72,37258.523.
100471Barnsley East Stephanie Peacock69,20458.922.553.
102469Leeds North East Fabian Hamilton70,11275.626.656.
106465Sheffield Heeley Louise Haigh68,04065.024.353.
110461Leeds East Richard Burgon65,95062.826.
116455Rotherham Sarah Champion63,23760.
122449Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford Yvette Cooper81,64160.325.653.
133438Hull East Karl Turner65,95955.525.552.15.710.
135436Huddersfield Barry Sheerman67,03365.428.554.
136435Sheffield South East Clive Betts68,94563.
148423Leeds North West Alex Sobel68,15267.915.337.937.
150421Doncaster Central Rosie Winterton71,71660.029.951.
152419Hull West and Hessle Emma Hardy60,18157.425.446.
156415Hemsworth Jon Trickett71,87063.929.449.
182389Batley and Spen Tracy Brabin80,15367.134.449.
184387Bradford South Judith Cummins67,75260.633.748.
188382Sheffield Hallam Jared O Mara73,45577.619.332.
204367Don Valley Caroline Flint73,98862.237.346.
205366Halifax Holly Lynch71,22467.837.
217354Scunthorpe Nic Dakin61,57865.339.
221350Rother Valley Kevin Barron75,23065.835.841.94.610.
224347Great Grimsby Melanie Onn61,74357.537.743.
229342Dewsbury Paula Sherriff81,33869.540.644.
233338Wakefield Mary Creagh70,34065.840.543.
240331Penistone and Stocksbridge Angela Smith71,29369.838.739.66.410.
245326Colne Valley Thelma Walker84,38171.641.741.
250321Keighley John Grogan71,42972.441.640.
259312Pudsey Stuart Andrew72,62274.342.940.
263308Calder Valley Craig Whittaker79,04573.441.738.
285286Morley and Outwood Andrea Jenkyns76,49568.446.340.
299272Scarborough and Whitby Robert Goodwill73,59368.643.935.
306265Shipley Philip Davies73,13373.046.936.
328243York Outer Julian Sturdy75,85675.746.730.512.
338233Elmet and Rothwell Alec Shelbrooke80,29174.249.931.
373198Cleethorpes Martin Vickers73,04765.552.729.
391180Selby and Ainsty Nigel Adams75,76574.054.327.
398173Beverley and Holderness Graham Stuart80,65769.053.926.
411160Brigg and Goole Andrew Percy66,06968.
416155Yorkshire East Greg Knight81,06566.653.824.
437134Haltemprice and Howden David Davis71,52071.956.524.
471100Thirsk and Malton Kevin Hollinrake78,67071.155.619.
47497Skipton and Ripon Julian Smith78,10874.458.
49675Harrogate and Knaresborough Andrew Jones77,26573.451.013.925.
53734Richmond Rishi Sunak80,92070.559.517.

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.