User-defined Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 28 of majority

Party2017 Votes2017 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 43.5%318 27.0%424-20298
LAB 41.0%262 30.0%313-10252
LIB 7.6%12 18.0%190+1931
Brexit 0.0%0 10.0%00+00
Green 1.7%1 6.0%00+01
SNP 3.1%35 3.3%141+1348
PlaidC 0.5%4 0.5%02-22
UKIP 1.9%0 3.0%00+00
Other 0.7%0 2.3%00+00
N.Ire 18 00+018

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List of predicted seat changes

SeatCounty/AreaPredicted Change  MP as at 2017
Aberdeen SouthGrampianSNPgain fromCONRoss Thomson
AngusTaysideSNPgain fromCONKirstene Hair
ArfonGwyneddLABgain fromPlaidHywel Williams
AshfieldNottinghamshireCONgain fromLABGloria De Piero
Ayr Carrick and CumnockAyrshire and LanarkSNPgain fromCONBill Grant
Banff and BuchanGrampianSNPgain fromCONDavid Duguid
CambridgeCambridgeshireLIBgain fromLABDaniel Zeichner
CeredigionDyfedLIBgain fromPlaidBen Lake
CheadleEastern ManchesterLIBgain fromCONMary Robinson
CheltenhamGloucestershireLIBgain fromCONAlex Chalk
Chingford and Woodford GreenWaltham ForestLABgain fromCONIain Duncan Smith
Coatbridge, Chryston and BellshillGlasgow areaSNPgain fromLABHugh Gaffney
Cornwall NorthCornwallLIBgain fromCONScott Mann
Dagenham and RainhamBarking and DagenhamCONgain fromLABJon Cruddas
Devon NorthDevonLIBgain fromCONPeter Heaton-Jones
Dudley NorthBlack CountryCONgain fromLABIan Austin
East LothianEdinburgh areaSNPgain fromLABMartin Whitfield
Esher and WaltonSurreyLIBgain fromCONDominic Raab
Fife North EastFifeLIBgain fromSNPStephen Gethins
Glasgow North EastGlasgow areaSNPgain fromLABPaul Sweeney
GordonGrampianSNPgain fromCONColin Clark
KensingtonKensington and ChelseaLIBgain fromLABEmma Dent Coad
Leeds North WestWest YorkshireLIBgain fromLABAlex Sobel
LewesEast SussexLIBgain fromCONMaria Caulfield
MidlothianEdinburgh areaSNPgain fromLABDanielle Rowley
MorayGrampianSNPgain fromCONDouglas Ross
Newcastle-under-LymeStaffordshireCONgain fromLABPaul Farrelly
Ochil and South PerthshireCentralSNPgain fromCONLuke Graham
Renfrewshire EastGlasgow areaSNPgain fromCONPaul Masterton
Richmond ParkRichmond Upon ThamesLIBgain fromCONZac Goldsmith
Rutherglen and Hamilton WestAyrshire and LanarkSNPgain fromLABGed Killen
Sheffield HallamSouth YorkshireLIBgain fromLABJared O Mara
St AlbansHertfordshireLIBgain fromCONAnne Main
St IvesCornwallLIBgain fromCONDerek Thomas
StirlingCentralSNPgain fromCONStephen Kerr
Thornbury and YateBristol areaLIBgain fromCONLuke Hall
Vale of GlamorganSouth GlamorganLABgain fromCONAlun Cairns
WellsSomersetLIBgain fromCONJames Heappey
WinchesterHampshireLIBgain fromCONSteve Brine
WokinghamBerkshireLIBgain fromCONJohn Redwood

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.


© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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