Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 2 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	318	32.0%	17	11	+6	324
LAB	41.0%	262	27.0%	0	24	-24	238
LIB	7.6%	12	7.0%	5	0	+5	17
UKIP	1.9%	0	5.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.7%	1	3.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	3.1%	35	3.1%	13	0	+13	48
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	0	0	+0	4
Other	0.7%	0	22.4%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2017
Angus	Tayside	SNP	gain from	CON	Kirstene Hair
Ashfield	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gloria De Piero
Ayr Carrick and Cumnock	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	CON	Bill Grant
Banff and Buchan	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	David Duguid
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	John Woodcock
Bedford	Bedfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mohammad Yasin
Bishop Auckland	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Goodman
Canterbury	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Duffield
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Hugh Gaffney
Colne Valley	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Thelma Walker
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Laura Smith
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
East Lothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Martin Whitfield
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Paul Sweeney
Gordon	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Colin Clark
Ipswich	Suffolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Sandy Martin
Keighley	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Grogan
Kensington	Kensington and Chelsea	CON	gain from	LAB	Emma Dent Coad
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alex Sobel
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Karen Lee
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Danielle Rowley
Moray	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Douglas Ross
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Ochil and South Perthshire	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Luke Graham
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Fiona Onasanya
Renfrewshire East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	CON	Paul Masterton
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Zac Goldsmith
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ged Killen
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jared O Mara
St Ives	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Derek Thomas
Stirling	Central	SNP	gain from	CON	Stephen Kerr
Stockton South	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Williams
Stroud	Gloucestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	David Drew
Warwick and Leamington	Warwickshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Matt Western

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 2 of majority

List of predicted seat changes