Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Labour short 34 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2015 Votes	2015 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	37.8%	331	36.4%	0	58	-58	273
LAB	31.2%	232	42.3%	60	0	+60	292
LIB	8.1%	8	7.9%	3	3	+0	8
UKIP	12.9%	1	4.9%	0	0	+0	1
Green	3.8%	1	2.9%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.9%	56	4.8%	0	0	+0	56
PlaidC	0.6%	3	0.5%	0	2	-2	1
Other	0.8%	0	0.3%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2015
Aberconwy	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Guto Bebb
Arfon	Gwynedd	LAB	gain from	Plaid	Hywel Williams
Bedford	Bedfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Fuller
Blackpool North and Cleveleys	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Maynard
Bolton West	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris Green
Brighton Kemptown	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Kirby
Bristol North West	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	CON	Charlotte Leslie
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Anna Soubry
Bury North	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	David Nuttall
Calder Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Whittaker
Camborne and Redruth	Cornwall	LAB	gain from	CON	George Eustice
Cardiff North	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Williams
Carlisle	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	John Stevenson
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr	Dyfed	LAB	gain from	Plaid	Jonathan Edwards
Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South	Dyfed	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Hart
Colne Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jason McCartney
Corby	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Pursglove
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Edward Timpson
Croydon Central	Croydon	LAB	gain from	CON	Gavin Barwell
Derby North	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Amanda Solloway
Dover	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	Charlie Elphicke
Eastbourne	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Caroline Ansell
Gloucester	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Graham
Gower	West Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Byron Davies
Halesowen and Rowley Regis	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	James Morris
Hastings and Rye	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Amber Rudd
Hendon	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Matthew Offord
High Peak	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Bingham
Ipswich	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Ben Gummer
Keighley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Kris Hopkins
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Greg Mulholland
Lewes	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Maria Caulfield
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Karl McCartney
Milton Keynes North	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Lancaster
Milton Keynes South	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Stewart
Morley and Outwood	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrea Jenkyns
Northampton North	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Michael Ellis
Northampton South	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Mackintosh
Nuneaton	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Marcus Jones
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stewart Jackson
Plymouth Moor View	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	Johnny Mercer
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	Oliver Colvile
Portsmouth South	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Flick Drummond
Preseli Pembrokeshire	Dyfed	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen Crabb
Pudsey	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Andrew
Reading East	Berkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Rob Wilson
Reading West	Berkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Alok Sharma
Scarborough and Whitby	North Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Goodwill
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	Nick Clegg
Sherwood	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Spencer
Southampton Itchen	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Royston Smith
Southport	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	LIB	John Pugh
Stroud	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Neil Carmichael
Swindon South	Wiltshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Buckland
Telford	Shropshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Lucy Allan
Thanet South	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Mackinlay
Thurrock	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	Jackie Doyle-Price
Twickenham	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Tania Mathias
Vale of Clwyd	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	James Davies
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Alun Cairns
Warrington South	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Mowat
Waveney	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Aldous
Weaver Vale	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Graham Evans

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Labour short 34 of majority

List of predicted seat changes