Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative majority 194

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2015 Votes	2015 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	37.8%	331	48.0%	91	0	+91	422
LAB	31.2%	232	24.0%	0	90	-90	142
LIB	8.1%	8	12.0%	3	3	+0	8
UKIP	12.9%	1	7.0%	0	1	-1	0
Green	3.8%	1	3.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.9%	56	4.9%	1	1	+0	56
PlaidC	0.6%	3	0.6%	0	0	+0	3
Other	0.8%	0	0.6%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2015
Alyn and Deeside	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Mark Tami
Ashfield	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gloria de Piero
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	John Woodcock
Bassetlaw	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Mann
Batley and Spen	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jo Cox
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Southwark	LIB	gain from	LAB	Neil Coyle
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	CON	gain from	SNP	Calum Kerr
Birmingham Edgbaston	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Gisela Stuart
Birmingham Erdington	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jack Dromey
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Richard Burden
Birmingham Selly Oak	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Stephen McCabe
Bishop Auckland	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Goodman
Blackpool South	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gordon Marsden
Blyth Valley	Northumberland	CON	gain from	LAB	Ronnie Campbell
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	David Crausby
Bradford South	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Judith Cummins
Brentford and Isleworth	Hounslow	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Cadbury
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Madeleine Moon
Bristol East	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Kerry McCarthy
Bristol South	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Karin Smyth
Burnley	Lancashire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Julie Cooper
Bury South	Western Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Ivan Lewis
Cambridge	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Daniel Zeichner
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Tom Brake
Chester, City of	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Matheson
Chorley	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Lindsay Hoyle
Clacton	Essex	CON	gain from	UKIP	Douglas Carswell
Clwyd South	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Susan Elan Jones
Copeland	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	Jamie Reed
Coventry North West	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LAB	Geoffrey Robinson
Coventry South	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LAB	Jim Cunningham
Dagenham and Rainham	Barking and Dagenham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jon Cruddas
Darlington	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jenny Chapman
Delyn	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	David Hanson
Derbyshire North East	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Natascha Engel
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paula Sherriff
Don Valley	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Caroline Flint
Doncaster Central	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Winterton
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
Ealing Central and Acton	Ealing	CON	gain from	LAB	Rupa Huq
Edinburgh South	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ian Murray
Ellesmere Port and Neston	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Justin Madders
Eltham	Greenwich	CON	gain from	LAB	Clive Efford
Enfield North	Enfield	CON	gain from	LAB	Joan Ryan
Exeter	Devon	CON	gain from	LAB	Ben Bradshaw
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Vernon Coaker
Great Grimsby	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Melanie Onn
Halifax	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Holly Lynch
Hammersmith	Hammersmith and Fulham	CON	gain from	LAB	Andy Slaughter
Hampstead and Kilburn	Camden	CON	gain from	LAB	Tulip Siddiq
Harrow West	Harrow	CON	gain from	LAB	Gareth Thomas
Hartlepool	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Iain Wright
Hove	East Sussex	CON	gain from	LAB	Peter Kyle
Huddersfield	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Barry Sheerman
Hyndburn	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Graham Jones
Ilford North	Redbridge	CON	gain from	LAB	Wes Streeting
Lancashire West	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Cooper
Lancaster and Fleetwood	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Catherine Smith
Leeds North East	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Fabian Hamilton
Luton South	Bedfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Gavin Shuker
Mansfield	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Alan Meale
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Tom Blenkinsop
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Farrelly
Newport East	Gwent	CON	gain from	LAB	Jessica Morden
Newport West	Gwent	CON	gain from	LAB	Paul Flynn
Norfolk North	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LIB	Norman Lamb
Norwich South	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Clive Lewis
Nottingham South	Nottinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Lilian Greenwood
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Debbie Abrahams
Penistone and Stocksbridge	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Angela Smith
Scunthorpe	Humber area	CON	gain from	LAB	Nic Dakin
Sedgefield	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Phil Wilson
Southampton Test	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Alan Whitehead
Southport	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LIB	John Pugh
Stalybridge and Hyde	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Jonathan Reynolds
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Tristram Hunt
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Ruth Smeeth
Stoke-on-Trent South	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Robert Flello
Tooting	Wandsworth	CON	gain from	LAB	Sadiq Khan
Tynemouth	Newcastle area	CON	gain from	LAB	Alan Campbell
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Mary Creagh
Walsall North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	David Winnick
Walsall South	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Valerie Vaz
Warrington North	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Helen Jones
West Bromwich East	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Tom Watson
Westminster North	City of Westminster	CON	gain from	LAB	Karen Buck
Wirral South	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LAB	Alison McGovern
Wirral West	Merseyside	CON	gain from	LAB	Margaret Greenwood
Wolverhampton North East	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Emma Reynolds
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Rob Marris
Workington	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LAB	Sue Hayman
Worsley and Eccles South	Central Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Barbara Keeley
Wrexham	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Lucas
Ynys Mon	Gwynedd	CON	gain from	LAB	Albert Owen
York Central	North Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Rachael Maskell

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative majority 194

List of predicted seat changes