User-defined Prediction

The predicted Westminster results in Scotland, given the Scottish levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

Scottish Prediction

Party2015 Votes2015 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 14.9%1 25.3%130+1314
LAB 24.3%1 20.2%10+12
LIB 7.5%1 6.8%50+56
UKIP 1.6%0 0.0%00+00
Green 1.3%0 4.1%00+00
SNP 50.0%56 32.3%019-1937
Minor 0.3%0 11.3%00+00

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List of predicted seat changes

SeatCounty/AreaPredicted Change  MP as at 2015
Aberdeen SouthGrampianCONgain fromNAT: Callum McCaig
Aberdeenshire West and KincardineGrampianCONgain fromNAT: Stuart Donaldson
AngusTaysideCONgain fromNAT: Michael Weir
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkBordersCONgain fromNAT: Calum Kerr
Caithness Sutherland and Easter RossHighlandLIBgain fromNAT: Paul Monaghan
Dumfries and GallowayDumfries and GallowayCONgain fromNAT: Richard Arkless
Dunbartonshire EastGlasgow areaLIBgain fromNAT: John Nicolson
East LothianEdinburgh areaCONgain fromNAT: George Kerevan
Edinburgh North and LeithEdinburgh areaCONgain fromNAT: Deidre Brock
Edinburgh South WestEdinburgh areaCONgain fromNAT: Joanna Cherry
Edinburgh WestEdinburgh areaLIBgain fromNAT: Michelle Thomson
Fife North EastFifeLIBgain fromNAT: Stephen Gethins
MorayGrampianCONgain fromNAT: Angus Robertson
Ochil and South PerthshireCentralCONgain fromNAT: Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh
Paisley and Renfrewshire SouthGlasgow areaLABgain fromNAT: Mhairi Black
Perth and North PerthshireTaysideCONgain fromNAT: Peter Wishart
Renfrewshire EastGlasgow areaCONgain fromNAT: Kirsten Oswald
Ross Skye and LochaberHighlandLIBgain fromNAT: Ian Blackford
StirlingCentralCONgain fromNAT: Steven Paterson

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2015. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.


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