Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 23 of majority

Party	2017 Votes	2017 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	43.5%	318	27.0%	1	16	-15	303
LAB	41.0%	262	32.0%	4	5	-1	261
LIB	7.6%	12	18.0%	16	0	+16	28
Brexit	0.0%	0	12.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	1.7%	1	4.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	3.1%	35	3.2%	2	0	+2	37
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	0	2	-2	2
UKIP	1.9%	0	1.0%	0	0	+0	0
Other	0.7%	0	2.3%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

List of predicted seat changes

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2017
Arfon	Gwynedd	LAB	gain from	Plaid	Hywel Williams
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Anna Soubry
Ceredigion	Dyfed	LIB	gain from	Plaid	Ben Lake
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	CON	Mary Robinson
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Chingford and Woodford Green	Waltham Forest	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Duncan Smith
Cornwall North	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Scott Mann
Devon North	Devon	LIB	gain from	CON	Peter Heaton-Jones
Dudley North	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Ian Austin
Esher and Walton	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Dominic Raab
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Paul Sweeney
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Alex Sobel
Lewes	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Maria Caulfield
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	LIB	gain from	CON	Zac Goldsmith
Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Ged Killen
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Jared O Mara
St Albans	Hertfordshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Anne Main
St Ives	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Derek Thomas
Thornbury and Yate	Bristol area	LIB	gain from	CON	Luke Hall
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Alun Cairns
Wells	Somerset	LIB	gain from	CON	James Heappey
Winchester	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Steve Brine
Wokingham	Berkshire	LIB	gain from	CON	John Redwood

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 23 of majority

List of predicted seat changes