The predicted results in the country and in Scotland, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
| Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 43.5% | 318 | 40.0% | 16 | 5 | +11 | 329 |
| LAB | 41.0% | 262 | 34.0% | 0 | 23 | -23 | 239 |
| LIB | 7.6% | 12 | 10.0% | 6 | 0 | +6 | 18 |
| UKIP | 1.9% | 0 | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Green | 1.7% | 1 | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| SNP | 3.1% | 35 | 3.4% | 7 | 0 | +7 | 42 |
| PlaidC | 0.5% | 4 | 0.5% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| Other | 0.7% | 0 | 4.1% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| N.Ire | 18 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |
Edit current prediction, make new prediction, or go back to home page.
| Party | 2017 Votes | 2017 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 28.6% | 13 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| LAB | 27.1% | 7 | 21.0% | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| LIB | 6.8% | 4 | 8.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 4 |
| UKIP | 0.2% | 0 | 2.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Green | 0.2% | 0 | 3.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| SNP | 36.9% | 35 | 40.0% | 7 | 0 | +7 | 42 |
| Other | 0.3% | 0 | 1.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2017 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | UKIP % | Green % | SNP % | MIN % | OTH % | 2017 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 484 | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Lesley Laird | 72,721 | 63.5 | 20.1 | 53.2 | 20.2 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 94 | 475 | Edinburgh South | Ian Murray | 64,553 | 74.1 | 17.9 | 48.8 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 25.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 119 | 449 | Glasgow North East | Paul Sweeney | 59,932 | 53.0 | 11.1 | 38.2 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | SNP |
| 138 | 430 | Glasgow South West | Chris Stephens | 62,991 | 56.2 | 12.0 | 35.8 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 44.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 146 | 422 | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Hugh Gaffney | 71,198 | 63.3 | 14.4 | 36.5 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 42.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | SNP |
| 150 | 418 | Glasgow Central | Alison Thewliss | 64,346 | 55.9 | 12.1 | 32.3 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 47.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 164 | 404 | Glasgow North | Patrick Grady | 53,863 | 62.1 | 11.1 | 28.4 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 12.5 | 40.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 169 | 399 | Dunbartonshire West | Martin Docherty | 67,602 | 65.2 | 15.4 | 31.6 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 172 | 396 | Dundee West | Chris Law | 62,644 | 61.7 | 12.6 | 28.4 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 50.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | SNP | SNP |
| 174 | 394 | Glasgow East | David Linden | 66,242 | 54.6 | 18.4 | 33.9 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.7 | 0.0 | 1.6 | SNP | SNP |
| 175 | 393 | Glasgow North West | Carol Monaghan | 63,773 | 60.9 | 16.2 | 31.2 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 175 | 393 | Glasgow South | Stewart McDonald | 69,126 | 64.4 | 15.5 | 30.5 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 44.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 179 | 389 | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Ged Killen | 80,098 | 63.5 | 18.7 | 32.9 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | SNP |
| 179 | 389 | Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) | Angus MacNeil | 21,301 | 69.6 | 16.8 | 30.9 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 179 | 389 | Glenrothes | Peter Grant | 66,378 | 60.9 | 15.9 | 30.0 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 46.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 181 | 387 | Motherwell and Wishaw | Marion Fellows | 68,215 | 61.5 | 19.7 | 33.1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 183 | 385 | Inverclyde | Ronnie Cowan | 58,853 | 66.4 | 19.7 | 32.8 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 187 | 381 | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Mhairi Black | 61,344 | 68.0 | 17.7 | 29.9 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.6 | 0.0 | 2.8 | SNP | SNP |
| 188 | 380 | Edinburgh East | Tommy Sheppard | 65,896 | 66.0 | 16.8 | 28.6 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 45.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 189 | 379 | Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East | Stuart McDonald | 66,554 | 65.9 | 17.9 | 29.2 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 193 | 375 | Airdrie and Shotts | Neil Gray | 64,146 | 59.2 | 21.4 | 31.0 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 40.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 203 | 365 | Midlothian | Danielle Rowley | 68,328 | 66.3 | 23.6 | 31.7 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | SNP |
| 216 | 352 | Dunfermline and West Fife | Douglas Chapman | 75,672 | 67.4 | 22.9 | 27.8 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 38.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 216 | 352 | Aberdeen North | Kirsty Blackman | 62,130 | 59.2 | 19.1 | 23.9 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 2.2 | SNP | SNP |
| 221 | 347 | Livingston | Hannah Bardell | 81,208 | 64.7 | 22.6 | 26.6 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 43.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 225 | 343 | East Lothian | Martin Whitfield | 79,093 | 70.6 | 27.8 | 31.4 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | LAB | SNP |
| 234 | 334 | Edinburgh North and Leith | Deidre Brock | 79,473 | 71.2 | 23.6 | 25.1 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 37.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 234 | 334 | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Gavin Newlands | 67,436 | 69.1 | 25.7 | 27.1 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 234 | 334 | Orkney and Shetland | Alistair Carmichael | 34,164 | 68.1 | 5.6 | 6.7 | 50.3 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 32.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | LIB | LIB |
| 234 | 334 | East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow | Lisa Cameron | 80,442 | 67.3 | 24.7 | 25.6 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 239 | 329 | Linlithgow and East Falkirk | Martyn Day | 86,186 | 65.1 | 25.5 | 25.1 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 39.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 241 | 327 | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Alan Brown | 73,327 | 63.4 | 24.9 | 24.2 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 246 | 322 | Falkirk | Johnny McNally | 82,240 | 65.4 | 25.7 | 23.7 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 254 | 314 | Lanark and Hamilton East | Angela Crawley | 77,313 | 65.3 | 31.3 | 27.2 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 254 | 314 | Dundee East | Stewart Hosie | 65,854 | 65.2 | 25.6 | 21.3 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 254 | 314 | Dunbartonshire East | Jo Swinson | 66,300 | 78.1 | 12.8 | 8.5 | 41.8 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 33.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LIB | LIB |
| 266 | 302 | Ayrshire North and Arran | Patricia Gibson | 73,174 | 64.8 | 29.4 | 21.4 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 273 | 295 | Edinburgh South West | Joanna Cherry | 71,178 | 69.4 | 29.8 | 20.7 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 38.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 280 | 288 | Ayrshire Central | Philippa Whitford | 68,997 | 65.3 | 32.6 | 21.4 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 281 | 287 | Edinburgh West | Christine Jardine | 71,500 | 73.8 | 20.1 | 8.8 | 35.5 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 31.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 282 | 286 | Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross | Jamie Stone | 46,868 | 65.9 | 19.0 | 7.7 | 37.6 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 33.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LIB | LIB |
| 294 | 274 | Ross Skye and Lochaber | Ian Blackford | 53,638 | 71.7 | 21.3 | 7.5 | 22.7 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 44.2 | 0.0 | 2.5 | SNP | SNP |
| 306 | 263 | Renfrewshire East | Paul Masterton | 70,067 | 76.7 | 38.2 | 22.0 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
| 308 | 260 | Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey | Drew Hendry | 76,844 | 68.7 | 26.9 | 10.1 | 13.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | SNP | SNP |
| 308 | 260 | Fife North East | Stephen Gethins | 58,685 | 71.3 | 22.3 | 5.1 | 34.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | SNP | SNP |
| 315 | 254 | Ayr Carrick and Cumnock | Bill Grant | 71,241 | 64.9 | 38.3 | 19.2 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
| 315 | 253 | Stirling | Stephen Kerr | 66,415 | 74.3 | 35.3 | 16.0 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 39.9 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | SNP |
| 333 | 235 | Argyll and Bute | Brendan O'Hara | 67,230 | 71.5 | 31.4 | 7.9 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 341 | 228 | Ochil and South Perthshire | Luke Graham | 76,767 | 70.6 | 39.7 | 15.3 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
| 342 | 227 | Aberdeen South | Ross Thomson | 64,964 | 68.5 | 40.3 | 15.9 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
| 349 | 220 | Dumfries and Galloway | Alister Jack | 74,206 | 69.5 | 41.5 | 16.2 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | CON |
| 392 | 176 | Gordon | Colin Clark | 78,531 | 68.4 | 38.9 | 7.1 | 13.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | SNP |
| 397 | 171 | Perth and North Perthshire | Pete Wishart | 71,743 | 71.8 | 38.7 | 5.7 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 46.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 415 | 154 | Angus | Kirstene Hair | 63,840 | 63.0 | 43.3 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
| 421 | 148 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | David Mundell | 67,672 | 72.4 | 47.6 | 11.9 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
| 456 | 113 | Moray | Douglas Ross | 70,649 | 67.4 | 45.7 | 6.2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | CON | CON |
| 458 | 111 | Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Andrew Bowie | 72,477 | 71.2 | 46.0 | 6.4 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
| 472 | 97 | Banff and Buchan | David Duguid | 67,601 | 61.6 | 46.1 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
| 527 | 42 | Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | John Lamont | 73,191 | 71.5 | 51.9 | 4.7 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2017. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.
© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
Powered by TigerLib (14-Mar-2024 12:19, Py3L, sc1)