St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire: Seat Details

Your postcode CB24 9YZ lookup

PostcodeCB24 9YZ
DistrictSouth Cambridgeshire
WardHiston and Impington
ConstituencySt Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire
CountyCambridgeshire
MP at 2024Ian Sollom
PartyLiberal Democrat
Predicted WinnerLiberal Democrat

St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire: Overview

Prediction: LIB hold

MP at 2024:Ian Sollom  (LIB)
County/Area:Cambridgeshire (Anglia)
Electorate:78,115
Turnout:67.7%

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Go

Party2024
Votes
2024
Share
Pred
Votes
LIB19,51736.9%26.3%
CON14,89628.2%23.6%
LAB6,91813.1%10.7%
Reform5,67310.7%22.0%
OTH3,2156.1%0.0%
Green2,6635.0%13.4%
MIN00.0%4.1%
LIB Majority4,6218.7%2.7%
Pred Maj
Chance of winning
LIB
47%
CON
29%
LAB
2%
Reform
20%
OTH
0%
Green
2%
MIN
0%

St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire constituency, the 'Anglia' area and nation, as well as the locality (census output area E00092090) around the postcode CB24 9YZ, and the Histon and Impington ward of South Cambridgeshire district council.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2021 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

IndicatorLocalityWard Seat AngliaAll GB
Party Winner 2024LIBLIBLIBCONLAB
Party Winner 2019LIBCONCONCONCON
Party Winner 2017CONCONCONCONCON
Economic Position4° RightCentrist12° Right9° Right
National Position14° GloVery Global4° Glo7° Nat
Social Position11° LibVery Lib4° Lib3° Con
TribeProgressivesProgressivesKind Yuppies
EU Leave %35%Very Remain44%56%52%
Average Age50.049.749.850.549.6
Good Education64%63%58%48%51%
Employed61%64%65%59%57%
Homeowner72%64%72%67%64%
Car owner84%83%89%84%77%
Married52%48%51%47%45%
Ethnic White93%87%90%86%83%
Christian50%44%46%50%48%
ABC1 Class76%73%69%58%56%
Gross Household Income£54,225£53,605£54,012£45,686£42,397
Deprivation48%44%42%50%51%
Average House Pricen/a£413,312£341,871£352,365£313,667

St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire ranks #500 for "Leave", #128 for "Economic Right Position", #466 for "National Position" and #499 for "Social Conservative Position" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions
View descriptions and colour schemes of the table

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class), 'Gross Household Income', 'Individual Disposable Income' and 'Average House Price' all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic Position Very Left Left Centrist Right Very Right
National Position Very Global Global Centrist National Very Nat
Social Position Very Lib Liberal Moderate Conservative Very Cons
EU Leave % Very Remain Remain Balanced Leave Very Leave
Census Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
Average AgeAge (TS007A)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
Good EducationHighest level of qualification (TS067)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
EmployedEconomic activity status (TS066)Part-time, full-time employed or self-employed
HomeownerTenure (TS054)Own a property with or without a mortgage, or with shared ownership
Car ownerCar or van availability (TS045)In a household with at least one car or van
MarriedLegal partnership status (TS002)Married or civil partnership
Ethnic WhiteEthnic group (TS021)White British, Irish, Gypsy, Roma or other
ChristianReligion (TS030)Christian or Christian denomination (NI)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (SG002)Approximated social grades A, B and C1
Gross Household IncomeMedian gross household income, including cash benefits, but before tax. Values as at 2018. Source: ONS Small area estimates (E&W), Scottish Government (Scotland), plus additional Electoral Calculus modelling.
DeprivationHouseholds by deprivation dimensions (TS011)Fraction of households which are classed as deprived on one or more of the following four indicators: employment (unemployed or long-term sick); education (no good GCSE); health and disability (bad health or long-term problem); and housing (overcrowded, shared or no central heating).
Average House PriceAverage residential property price (including flats and houses) around 2019. Sources: Land Registry, Statistics Scotland, NI Department of Finance

St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2022, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors


Predicted ward-by-ward votes for St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire

This table shows the recent and predicted future general election results broken down over each ward in the seat of St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire. These are not local election results, which will be different.

St Neots and Mid CambridgeshireActualPredicted
DistrictWardElectorate
2024
GE24
Winner
Pred GE
Winner
HuntingdonshireFenstanton3,148LIBCON
HuntingdonshireGreat Paxton2,591CONCON
HuntingdonshireSt Neots East2,578LIBGreen
HuntingdonshireSt Neots Eatons8,395CONReform
HuntingdonshireSt Neots Eynesbury8,829CONReform
HuntingdonshireSt Neots Priory Park and Little Paxton7,787CONReform
South CambridgeshireBar Hill2,957CONCON
South CambridgeshireCaldecote2,878LIBLIB
South CambridgeshireCambourne7,721LIBLIB
South CambridgeshireCaxton and Papworth4,808CONCON
South CambridgeshireGirton4,102LIBLIB
South CambridgeshireHiston and Impington8,424LIBLIB
South CambridgeshireLongstanton5,409LIBLIB
South CambridgeshireOver and Willingham5,618LIBLIB
South CambridgeshireSwavesey2,868CONCON
 Total78,113LIBLIB

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2025.


© 2025 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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