Batley and Spen: Seat Details

Your postcode WF13 4AA lookup

PostcodeWF13 4AA
DistrictKirklees
WardBatley West
Current ConstituencyBatley and Spen
Proposed ConstituencyBatley and Hipperholme
CountyWest Yorkshire
MP at 2019Tracy Brabin
PartyLabour
Predicted WinnerLabour

Batley and Spen: Overview

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2019:Tracy Brabin  (LAB)
County/Area:West Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber)
Electorate:79,558
Turnout:66.5%

The postcode (WF13 4AA) is in the proposed new 2023 constituency of Batley and Hipperholme. Click 'Proposed Constituency' link in table for full details.

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Party2019
Votes
2019
Share
Pred
Votes
LAB22,59442.7%43.1%
CON19,06936.0%33.4%
MIN6,43212.2%12.2%
LIB2,4624.7%3.1%
Reform1,6783.2%2.7%
Green6921.3%3.6%
OTH00.0%1.9%
LAB Majority3,5256.7%9.7%
Pred Maj

Result shown is the original general election result. Ms Brabin resigned the seat in May 2021 following her election as Mayor of West Yorkshire. Kim Leadbeater (Lab) won the seat in a by-election on 1 July 2021.

Chance of winning
LAB
73%
CON
27%
MIN
0%
LIB
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Batley and Spen : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Batley and Spen constituency, the 'Yorks/Humber' area and nation, as well as the locality (census output area E00055608) around the postcode WF13 4AA, and the Batley West ward of Kirklees district council.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2011 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

IndicatorLocalityWard Seat Yorks/HumberAll GB
Party Winner 2019LABLABLABCONCON
Party Winner 2017LABLABLABLABCON
Party Winner 2015LABLABLABLABCON
Economic Position7° RightLeft1° Left3° Left
National Position18° GloCentrist7° Nat4° Nat
Social Position11° ConVery Cons10° Con3° Con
TribeKind YuppiesCentristsCentrists
EU Leave %37%Balanced60%58%52%
British Identity52%40%33%28%29%
Good Health51%45%45%46%48%
UK Born77%85%90%91%87%
Good Education42%27%31%36%39%
Good Job52%39%45%47%51%
High SEC53%36%43%46%51%
Average Age40.746.147.748.348.3
ABC1 Class57%37%44%49%54%
Average House Pricen/a£143,431£165,086£199,953£309,875

Batley and Spen ranks #149 for "Leave", #369 for "Right", #213 for "National" and #26 for "Social" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions
View the colour scheme used in the table above

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education, Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class) and 'Average House Price' all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic Position Very Left Left Centrist Right Very Right
National Position Very Global Global Centrist National Very Nat
Social Position Very Lib Liberal Moderate Conservative Very Cons
EU Leave % Very Remain Remain Balanced Leave Very Leave
Census Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
British IdentityNational Identity (KS202)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
Good HealthHealth (KS301)Those answering 'Very Good Health'
UK BornCountry of Birth (QS203)Those answering England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, GB Other, or UK Other
Good EducationHighest level of Qualification (QS501)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
Good JobOccupation (QS606)Occupation codes 1xx to 4xx (Managers, Professionals, Associates, and office workers)
High SECNS-SeC of Household Reference Person (QS609)National Statistics Socio-economic Classification from 1 to 4 (higher managers and professionals, lower managers and professionals, intermediate occupations, small employers and self-employed).
Average AgeAge (QS103)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (QS611)Approximated social grades A, B and C1
Average House PriceAverage residential house price around 2019. Sources: Land Registry, Statistics Scotland, NI Department of Finance

Batley and Spen: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2020, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors


Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Batley and Spen

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Batley and Spen.

Batley and SpenActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Reform
Votes
Green
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
KirkleesBatley East12,868LABLAB1,7315,4651361502686781338,561
KirkleesBatley West13,641LABLAB1,8014,5991571722631,9371449,073
KirkleesBirstall and Birkenshaw12,717CONCON4,1402,5853112783176521778,460
KirkleesCleckheaton13,211CONLAB3,0583,2005663714449102408,789
KirkleesHeckmondwike13,200LABLAB2,3214,1762052162911,4181548,781
KirkleesLiversedge and Gomersal13,920CONCON4,6172,7822622653238361759,260
 Total79,557LABLAB17,66822,8071,6371,4521,9066,4311,02352,924

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2021.


© 2021 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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