| Postcode | BD20 7RX |
| District | North Yorkshire |
| Ward | Glusburn, Cross Hills and Sutton-in-Craven |
| Constituency | Skipton and Ripon |
| County | North Yorkshire |
| MP at 2024 | Julian Smith |
| Party | Conservative |
| Predicted Winner | Reform |
| MP at 2024: | Julian Smith (CON) |
| County/Area: | North Yorkshire (Yorks/Humber) |
| Electorate: | 79,251 |
| Turnout: | 67.4% |
| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Share | Pred Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 18,833 | 35.2% | 28.2% |
| LAB | 17,183 | 32.1% | 16.9% |
| Reform | 8,516 | 15.9% | 32.6% |
| LIB | 4,194 | 7.8% | 9.3% |
| Green | 3,446 | 6.4% | 10.9% |
| OTH | 1,278 | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| CON Majority | 1,650 | 3.1% | 4.3% Pred Maj |
| Chance of winning | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CON |
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| LAB |
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| Reform |
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| LIB |
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| Green |
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| OTH |
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The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Skipton and Ripon constituency, the 'Yorks/Humber' area and nation, as well as the locality (census output area E00140320) around the postcode BD20 7RX, and the Glusburn, Cross Hills and Sutton-in-Craven ward of North Yorkshire district council.
The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), Cultural (Left/Right) and Liberty (Regulated/Free). (what does this mean).
The demographic measures are from the 2021 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.
| Indicator | Locality | Ward | Seat | Yorks/Humber | All GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party Winner 2024 | LAB | LAB | CON | LAB | LAB |
| Party Winner 2019 | CON | CON | CON | CON | CON |
| Party Winner 2017 | CON | CON | CON | LAB | CON |
| Economic Position | 8% Right | 3% Right | 6% Right | 0% | 0% |
| Cultural Position | 18% Right | 12% Right | 10% Right | 4% Right | 0% |
| Liberty Position | 5% Reg | 5% Reg | 2% Reg | 1% Free | 0% |
| Tribe | Somewhere | Somewhere | Somewhere | ||
| EU Leave % | 71% | Leave | 53% | 58% | 52% |
| Average Age | 53.0 | 53.8 | 54.9 | 49.8 | 49.6 |
| Good Education | 52% | 51% | 54% | 47% | 51% |
| Employed | 61% | 58% | 57% | 55% | 57% |
| Homeowner | 80% | 75% | 73% | 64% | 64% |
| Car owner | 85% | 85% | 87% | 76% | 77% |
| Married | 48% | 51% | 53% | 44% | 45% |
| Ethnic White | 99% | 98% | 97% | 85% | 83% |
| Christian | 59% | 55% | 59% | 48% | 48% |
| ABC1 Class | 52% | 59% | 61% | 51% | 56% |
| Gross Household Income | £38,539 | £40,396 | £43,615 | £38,897 | £42,397 |
| Deprivation | 40% | 45% | 44% | 53% | 51% |
| Average House Price | n/a | £241,522 | £297,059 | £196,988 | £313,667 |
Skipton and Ripon ranks #329 for "Leave", #196 for "Economic Right Position", #150 for "Cultural Right Position" and #422 for "Liberty Free Position" out of 650 seats.
The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class), 'Gross Household Income', 'Individual Disposable Income' and 'Average House Price' all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.
| Topic | Cat 1 | Cat 2 | Cat 3 | Cat 4 | Cat 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Position | Very Left | Left | Centrist | Right | Very Right |
| Cultural Position | Very Left | Left | Centrist | Right | Very Right |
| Liberty Position | Very Regulated | Regulated | Moderate | Free | Very Free |
| EU Leave % | Very Remain | Remain | Balanced | Leave | Very Leave |
| Census | Very Low | Low | Medium | High | Very High |
Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:
| Indicator | Census Question | Definition / Included Census Categories |
|---|---|---|
| Party Winner | – | Area party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus |
| Economic Position | – | Economic position between 100% Left and 100% Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data. |
| Cultural Position | – | Cultural position between 100% Left and 100% Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data. |
| Liberty Position | – | Liberty position between 100% Regulated and 100% Free, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data. |
| Tribe | – | Tribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Centrist, Hands Off, Somewhere, Paternalist, Kind Capitalist, or Strong Right. See details. |
| EU Leave % | – | EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate |
| Average Age | Age (TS007A) | Average age of adults (18 years and above) |
| Good Education | Highest level of qualification (TS067) | Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent) |
| Employed | Economic activity status (TS066) | Part-time, full-time employed or self-employed |
| Homeowner | Tenure (TS054) | Own a property with or without a mortgage, or with shared ownership |
| Car owner | Car or van availability (TS045) | In a household with at least one car or van |
| Married | Legal partnership status (TS002) | Married or civil partnership |
| Ethnic White | Ethnic group (TS021) | White British, Irish, Gypsy, Roma or other |
| Christian | Religion (TS030) | Christian or Christian denomination (NI) |
| ABC1 Class | Approximated Social Grade (SG002) | Approximated social grades A, B and C1 |
| Gross Household Income | – | Median gross household income, including cash benefits, but before tax. Values as at 2018. Source: ONS Small area estimates (E&W), Scottish Government (Scotland), plus additional Electoral Calculus modelling. |
| Deprivation | Households by deprivation dimensions (TS011) | Fraction of households which are classed as deprived on one or more of the following four indicators: employment (unemployed or long-term sick); education (no good GCSE); health and disability (bad health or long-term problem); and housing (overcrowded, shared or no central heating). |
| Average House Price | – | Average residential property price (including flats and houses) around 2019. Sources: Land Registry, Statistics Scotland, NI Department of Finance |
This table shows the recent and predicted future general election results broken down over each ward in the seat of Skipton and Ripon. These are not local election results, which will be different.
| Skipton and Ripon | Actual | Predicted | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Ward | Electorate 2024 | GE24 Winner | Pred GE Winner | ||||||||
| North Yorkshire | Aire Valley | 5,087 | LAB | Reform | ||||||||
| North Yorkshire | Bentham and Ingleton | 6,260 | CON | Reform | ||||||||
| North Yorkshire | Glusburn, Cross Hills and Sutton-in-Craven | 6,247 | LAB | Reform | ||||||||
| North Yorkshire | Masham and Fountains | 6,257 | CON | CON | ||||||||
| North Yorkshire | Mid Craven | 4,402 | CON | CON | ||||||||
| North Yorkshire | Pateley Bridge and Nidderdale | 4,531 | CON | CON | ||||||||
| North Yorkshire | Ripon Minster and Moorside | 6,499 | LAB | Reform | ||||||||
| North Yorkshire | Ripon Ure Bank and Spa | 6,500 | LAB | Reform | ||||||||
| North Yorkshire | Settle and Penyghent | 4,740 | CON | CON | ||||||||
| North Yorkshire | Skipton East and South | 5,742 | LAB | Reform | ||||||||
| North Yorkshire | Skipton North and Embsay-with-Eastby | 4,824 | LAB | Reform | ||||||||
| North Yorkshire | Skipton West and West Craven | 4,855 | LAB | Reform | ||||||||
| North Yorkshire | Washburn and Birstwith | 5,378 | CON | CON | ||||||||
| North Yorkshire | Wathvale and Bishop Monkton | 3,798 | CON | CON | ||||||||
| North Yorkshire | Wharfedale | 4,132 | CON | CON | ||||||||
| Total | 79,252 | CON | Reform | |||||||||
Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2026.
© 2026 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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