Bishop Auckland: Seat Details

Your postcode DL12 8DH lookup

PostcodeDL12 8DH
DistrictDurham
WardBarnard Castle West
ConstituencyBishop Auckland
CountyDurham
MP at 2024Sam Rushworth
PartyLabour
Predicted WinnerLabour

Bishop Auckland: Overview

Prediction: LAB hold

MP at 2024:Sam Rushworth  (LAB)
County/Area:Durham (North East)
Electorate:70,745
Turnout:57.1%

You can search for another postcode:

Go

Party2024
Votes
2024
Share
Pred
Votes
LAB17,03642.1%35.2%
CON10,36425.6%27.9%
Reform9,46623.4%27.5%
Green1,8574.6%6.1%
LIB1,3733.4%3.2%
OTH3310.8%0.1%
LAB Majority6,67216.5%7.3%
Pred Maj
Chance of winning
LAB
58%
CON
22%
Reform
19%
Green
0%
LIB
0%
OTH
0%

Bishop Auckland : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Bishop Auckland constituency, the 'North East' area and nation, as well as the locality (census output area E00105841) around the postcode DL12 8DH, and the Barnard Castle West ward of Durham district council.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2021 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

IndicatorLocalityWard Seat North EastAll GB
Party Winner 2024CONCONLABLABLAB
Party Winner 2019CONCONCONLABCON
Party Winner 2017CONCONLABLABCON
Economic Position4° RightRight6° Left9° Left
National Position11° NatNational10° Nat4° Nat
Social Position5° ConConservative6° Con2° Con
TribeCentristsStrong RightCentrists
EU Leave %64%Leave62%58%52%
Average Age51.555.253.250.749.5
Good Education46%51%44%47%49%
Employed59%50%51%52%58%
Homeowner77%72%65%62%63%
Car owner82%88%79%73%77%
Married53%54%45%43%45%
Ethnic White100%97%98%93%83%
Christian67%65%61%53%50%
ABC1 Class51%57%45%51%56%
Gross Household Income£35,501£36,949£33,393£35,265£42,397
Deprivation49%47%55%54%52%
Average House Pricen/a£230,342£139,245£162,902£313,528

Bishop Auckland ranks #121 for "Leave", #449 for "Economic Right Position", #158 for "National Position" and #118 for "Social Conservative Position" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions
View descriptions and colour schemes of the table

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class), 'Gross Household Income', 'Individual Disposable Income' and 'Average House Price' all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic Position Very Left Left Centrist Right Very Right
National Position Very Global Global Centrist National Very Nat
Social Position Very Lib Liberal Moderate Conservative Very Cons
EU Leave % Very Remain Remain Balanced Leave Very Leave
Census Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
Average AgeAge (TS007A)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
Good EducationHighest level of qualification (TS067)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
EmployedEconomic activity status (TS066)Part-time, full-time employed or self-employed
HomeownerTenure (TS054)Own a property with or without a mortgage, or with shared ownership
Car ownerCar or van availability (TS045)In a household with at least one car or van
MarriedLegal partnership status (TS002)Married or civil partnership
Ethnic WhiteEthnic group (TS021)White British, Irish, Gypsy, Roma or other
ChristianReligion (TS030)Christian or Christian denomination (NI)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (SG002)Approximated social grades A, B and C1
Gross Household IncomeMedian gross household income, including cash benefits, but before tax. Values as at 2018. Source: ONS Small area estimates (E&W), Scottish Government (Scotland), plus additional Electoral Calculus modelling.
DeprivationHouseholds by deprivation dimensions (TS011)Fraction of households which are classed as deprived on one or more of the following four indicators: employment (unemployed or long-term sick); education (no good GCSE); health and disability (bad health or long-term problem); and housing (overcrowded, shared or no central heating).
Average House PriceAverage residential property price (including flats and houses) around 2019. Sources: Land Registry, Statistics Scotland, NI Department of Finance

Bishop Auckland: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2022, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors


Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Bishop Auckland

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Bishop Auckland.

Bishop AucklandActualPredicted
DistrictWardElectorate
2024
GE24
Winner
Pred
Winner
DurhamBarnard Castle East6,955CONCON
DurhamBarnard Castle West6,633CONCON
DurhamBishop Auckland Town6,037LABLAB
DurhamCoundon3,166LABLAB
DurhamCrook9,296LABLAB
DurhamEvenwood6,436LABCON
DurhamShildon and Dene Valley9,597LABLAB
DurhamTow Law3,442LABLAB
DurhamWeardale6,632LABReform
DurhamWest Auckland6,523LABLAB
DurhamWoodhouse Close6,027LABLAB
 Total70,744LABLAB

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2024.


© 2024 Electoral Calculus Ltd
Powered by TigerLib (29-Jul-2024 10:12, Py3L, sc66)