Wimbledon: Seat Details

Your postcode SW19 1SD lookup

PostcodeSW19 1SD
DistrictMerton
WardAbbey
Current ConstituencyWimbledon
Proposed ConstituencyWimbledon
CountyMerton
MP at 2019Stephen Hammond
PartyConservative
Predicted WinnerConservative

Wimbledon: Overview

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:Stephen Hammond  (CON)
County/Area:Merton (London)
Electorate:68,240
Turnout:77.7%

The postcode (SW19 1SD) is in the proposed new constituency of Wimbledon. Click 'Proposed Constituency' link in table for full details.

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Party2019
Votes
2019
Share
Pred
Votes
CON20,37338.4%35.3%
LIB19,74537.2%26.9%
LAB12,54323.7%29.5%
OTH3660.7%4.0%
Reform00.0%0.2%
Green00.0%4.1%
CON Majority6281.2%5.8%
Pred Maj
Chance of winning
CON
56%
LIB
16%
LAB
29%
OTH
0%
Reform
0%
Green
0%

Wimbledon : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Wimbledon constituency, the 'London' area and nation, as well as the locality (census output area E00017005) around the postcode SW19 1SD, and the Abbey ward of Merton district council.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2011 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

IndicatorLocalityWard Seat LondonAll GB
Party Winner 2019CONLABCONLABCON
Party Winner 2017CONLABCONLABCON
Party Winner 2015CONCONCONLABCON
Economic Position17° RightCentrist14° Right2° Left
National Position36° GloVery Global24° Glo16° Glo
Social Position16° LibVery Lib11° Lib5° Lib
TribeProgressivesProgressivesKind Yuppies
EU Leave %22%Very Remain29%40%52%
British Identity26%36%36%38%29%
Good Health58%56%57%51%48%
UK Born48%62%65%63%87%
Good Education66%64%64%48%39%
Good Job78%76%77%61%51%
High SEC72%71%75%55%51%
Average Age41.840.945.143.948.3
ABC1 Class87%78%81%62%54%
Average House Pricen/a£616,389£847,733£630,920£309,875

Wimbledon ranks #617 for "Leave", #78 for "Right", #613 for "National" and #576 for "Social" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions
View the colour scheme used in the table above

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education, Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class) and 'Average House Price' all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic Position Very Left Left Centrist Right Very Right
National Position Very Global Global Centrist National Very Nat
Social Position Very Lib Liberal Moderate Conservative Very Cons
EU Leave % Very Remain Remain Balanced Leave Very Leave
Census Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
British IdentityNational Identity (KS202)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
Good HealthHealth (KS301)Those answering 'Very Good Health'
UK BornCountry of Birth (QS203)Those answering England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, GB Other, or UK Other
Good EducationHighest level of Qualification (QS501)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
Good JobOccupation (QS606)Occupation codes 1xx to 4xx (Managers, Professionals, Associates, and office workers)
High SECNS-SeC of Household Reference Person (QS609)National Statistics Socio-economic Classification from 1 to 4 (higher managers and professionals, lower managers and professionals, intermediate occupations, small employers and self-employed).
Average AgeAge (QS103)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (QS611)Approximated social grades A, B and C1
Average House PriceAverage residential house price around 2019. Sources: Land Registry, Statistics Scotland, NI Department of Finance

Wimbledon: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2020, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors


Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Wimbledon

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Wimbledon.

WimbledonActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Reform
Votes
Green
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
MertonAbbey7,195LABLAB1,6622,2101,2651022702185,592
MertonCannon Hill6,823CONLAB1,8641,9601,0591021501935,301
MertonDundonald6,530LIBLIB1,5451,2261,905920601855,076
MertonHillside6,152CONCON1,9731,2291,203919401724,780
MertonMerton Park6,670LIBLAB1,4591,6981,524921002805,180
MertonRaynes Park6,966CONCON2,1441,5251,2981022002165,413
MertonTrinity6,860LIBLIB1,4101,6821,8061021602055,329
MertonVillage6,188CONCON2,737721920919502264,808
MertonWest Barnes7,202LIBLIB1,6871,6171,8521022702045,597
MertonWimbledon Park7,654CONCON2,2591,7841,4321124202195,947
 Total68,240CONCON18,74015,65214,264972,15202,11853,023

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2020.


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