Broxtowe: Seat Details

Broxtowe: Overview

Prediction: Reform gain from LAB

MP at 2024:Juliet Campbell  (LAB)
County/Area:Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
Electorate:71,923
Turnout:66.5%

Party2024
Votes
2024
Share
Pred
Votes
LAB19,56140.9%24.8%
CON11,15823.3%18.4%
Reform8,40217.6%26.4%
LIB3,8078.0%10.2%
Green3,4887.3%16.0%
OTH1,0342.2%2.5%
MIN3880.8%1.7%
LAB Majority8,40317.6%1.6%
Pred Maj
Chance of winning
LAB
37%
CON
14%
Reform
40%
LIB
1%
Green
7%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Broxtowe : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Broxtowe constituency, the 'East Midlands' area and nation.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), Cultural (Left/Right) and Liberty (Regulated/Free). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2021 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat East MidlandsAll GB
Party Winner 2024LABLABLAB
Party Winner 2019CONCONCON
Party Winner 2017CONCONCON
Economic Position2% Right3% Right0%
Cultural Position6% Right8% Right0%
Liberty Position6% Reg3% Free0%
TribeSomewhere
EU Leave %55%59%52%
Average Age51.050.149.6
Good Education53%47%51%
Employed56%57%57%
Homeowner71%67%64%
Car owner80%81%77%
Married46%46%45%
Ethnic White89%86%83%
Christian44%48%48%
ABC1 Class62%53%56%
Gross Household Income£42,114£40,483£42,397
Deprivation50%52%51%
Average House Price£222,013£228,007£313,667

Broxtowe ranks #295 for "Leave", #337 for "Economic Right Position", #241 for "Cultural Right Position" and #564 for "Liberty Free Position" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions
View descriptions and colour schemes of the table

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class), 'Gross Household Income', 'Individual Disposable Income' and 'Average House Price' all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic Position Very Left Left Centrist Right Very Right
Cultural Position Very Left Left Centrist Right Very Right
Liberty Position Very Regulated Regulated Moderate Free Very Free
EU Leave % Very Remain Remain Balanced Leave Very Leave
Census Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100% Left and 100% Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Cultural PositionCultural position between 100% Left and 100% Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Liberty PositionLiberty position between 100% Regulated and 100% Free, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Centrist, Hands Off, Somewhere, Paternalist, Kind Capitalist, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
Average AgeAge (TS007A)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
Good EducationHighest level of qualification (TS067)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
EmployedEconomic activity status (TS066)Part-time, full-time employed or self-employed
HomeownerTenure (TS054)Own a property with or without a mortgage, or with shared ownership
Car ownerCar or van availability (TS045)In a household with at least one car or van
MarriedLegal partnership status (TS002)Married or civil partnership
Ethnic WhiteEthnic group (TS021)White British, Irish, Gypsy, Roma or other
ChristianReligion (TS030)Christian or Christian denomination (NI)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (SG002)Approximated social grades A, B and C1
Gross Household IncomeMedian gross household income, including cash benefits, but before tax. Values as at 2018. Source: ONS Small area estimates (E&W), Scottish Government (Scotland), plus additional Electoral Calculus modelling.
DeprivationHouseholds by deprivation dimensions (TS011)Fraction of households which are classed as deprived on one or more of the following four indicators: employment (unemployed or long-term sick); education (no good GCSE); health and disability (bad health or long-term problem); and housing (overcrowded, shared or no central heating).
Average House PriceAverage residential property price (including flats and houses) around 2019. Sources: Land Registry, Statistics Scotland, NI Department of Finance

Broxtowe: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2022, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors


Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Broxtowe

This table shows the recent and predicted future general election results broken down over each ward in the seat of Broxtowe. These are not local election results, which will be different.

BroxtoweActualPredicted
DistrictWardElectorate
2024
GE24
Winner
Pred GE
Winner
BroxtoweAttenborough and Chilwell East5,647LABLAB
BroxtoweAwsworth, Cossall and Trowell3,973CONReform
BroxtoweBeeston Central4,075LABLAB
BroxtoweBeeston North3,977LABGreen
BroxtoweBeeston Rylands3,943LABLAB
BroxtoweBeeston West4,147LABLAB
BroxtoweBramcote5,821CONCON
BroxtoweBrinsley1,875ReformReform
BroxtoweChilwell West5,659LABLAB
BroxtoweEastwood Hall1,948LABReform
BroxtoweEastwood Hilltop3,825LABReform
BroxtoweEastwood St Mary's3,611LABReform
BroxtoweGreasley5,625CONReform
BroxtoweStapleford North3,580LABReform
BroxtoweStapleford South East3,998LABReform
BroxtoweStapleford South West3,934LABLAB
BroxtoweToton and Chilwell Meadows6,287LABCON
 Total71,925LABReform

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2026.


© 2026 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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