Congleton: Seat, Ward and Prediction Details

Congleton: Overview

 Prediction: CON hold 

MP at 2019: Fiona Bruce  (CON)
County/Area: Cheshire (North West)
Electorate: 80,930
Turnout: 70.7%
2019
Votes
2019
Share
Predicted
Votes
CON33,74759.0%57.6%
LAB15,18626.5%30.5%
LIB6,02610.5%5.4%
Green1,6162.8%3.5%
OTH6581.1%3.0%
CON Majority18,56132.4%Pred Maj 27.1%
Chance of
winning
CON
94%
LAB
6%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Congleton : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Congleton constituency, the 'North West' area and nation.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2011 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat North WestAll GB
Party Winner 2019CONLABCON
Party Winner 2017CONLABCON
Party Winner 2015CONLABCON
Economic Position12° Right4° Left
National Position6° Nat1° Nat
Social Position4° Con2° Con
TribeStrong Right
EU Leave %52%54%52%
British Identity30%28%29%
Good Health48%47%48%
UK Born97%92%87%
Good Education44%37%39%
Good Job57%49%51%
High SEC59%48%51%
Average Age51.848.548.3
ABC1 Class60%50%54%

Congleton ranks #356 for "Leave", #114 for "Right", #260 for "National" and #228 for "Social" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions

Indicators : Legend and Descriptions

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education, Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class) all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic PositionVery LeftLeftCentristRightVery Right
National PositionVery GlobalGlobalCentristNationalVery Nat
Social PositionVery LibLiberalModerateConservativeVery Cons
EU Leave %Very RemainRemainBalancedLeaveVery Leave
CensusVery LowLowMediumHighVery High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
British IdentityNational Identity (KS202)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
Good HealthHealth (KS301)Those answering 'Very Good Health'
UK BornCountry of Birth (QS203)Those answering England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, GB Other, or UK Other
Good EducationHighest level of Qualification (QS501)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
Good JobOccupation (QS606)Occupation codes 1xx to 4xx (Managers, Professionals, Associates, and office workers)
High SECNS-SeC of Household Reference Person (QS609)National Statistics Socio-economic Classification from 1 to 4 (higher managers and professionals, lower managers and professionals, intermediate occupations, small employers and self-employed).
Average AgeAge (QS103)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (QS611)Approximated social grades A, B and C1

Congleton: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2020, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors

Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Congleton

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Congleton.

CongletonActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Brexit
Votes
Green
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
Cheshire EastAlsager10,139CONCON3,8382,096540040502917,170
Cheshire EastBrereton Rural4,989CONCON2,533734880920843,531
Cheshire EastCongleton East10,915CONCON4,4811,990650026403367,721
Cheshire EastCongleton West11,151CONCON4,4482,270606026103017,886
Cheshire EastDane Valley8,303CONCON3,8641,049405036501885,871
Cheshire EastMiddlewich11,255CONCON4,0463,320216018701907,959
Cheshire EastOdd Rode7,040CONCON3,0901,48118501260984,980
Cheshire EastSandbach Elworth4,606CONCON1,7331,2651130880593,258
Cheshire EastSandbach Ettiley Heath and Wheelock4,480CONCON1,7181,1991040890573,167
Cheshire EastSandbach Heath and East3,743CONCON1,3271,105980670502,647
Cheshire EastSandbach Town4,310CONCON1,8859291010790533,047
 Total80,931CONCON32,96317,4383,10602,02301,70757,237

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2020.


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