Maldon: Seat Details

Maldon: Overview

Prediction: CON hold

MP at 2019:John Whittingdale  (CON)
County/Area:Essex (Anglia)
Electorate:72,438
Turnout:69.6%

Party2019
Votes
2019
Share
Pred
Votes
CON36,30472.0%65.6%
LAB6,26312.4%14.8%
LIB5,99011.9%7.8%
Green1,8513.7%8.9%
Reform00.0%0.5%
OTH00.0%2.2%
CON Majority30,04159.6%50.8%
Pred Maj
Chance of winning
CON
100%
LAB
0%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
Reform
0%
OTH
0%

Maldon : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Maldon constituency, the 'Anglia' area and nation.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2011 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat AngliaAll GB
Party Winner 2019CONCONCON
Party Winner 2017CONCONCON
Party Winner 2015CONCONCON
Economic Position17° Right9° Right
National Position14° Nat7° Nat
Social Position7° Con3° Con
TribeStrong Right
EU Leave %60%56%52%
British Identity24%27%29%
Good Health48%47%48%
UK Born96%89%87%
Good Education36%37%39%
Good Job56%52%51%
High SEC58%53%51%
Average Age51.449.348.3
ABC1 Class58%55%54%
Average House Price£403,807£355,603£309,875

Maldon ranks #154 for "Leave", #20 for "Right", #60 for "National" and #103 for "Social" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions
View the colour scheme used in the table above

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education, Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class) and 'Average House Price' all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic Position Very Left Left Centrist Right Very Right
National Position Very Global Global Centrist National Very Nat
Social Position Very Lib Liberal Moderate Conservative Very Cons
EU Leave % Very Remain Remain Balanced Leave Very Leave
Census Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
British IdentityNational Identity (KS202)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
Good HealthHealth (KS301)Those answering 'Very Good Health'
UK BornCountry of Birth (QS203)Those answering England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, GB Other, or UK Other
Good EducationHighest level of Qualification (QS501)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
Good JobOccupation (QS606)Occupation codes 1xx to 4xx (Managers, Professionals, Associates, and office workers)
High SECNS-SeC of Household Reference Person (QS609)National Statistics Socio-economic Classification from 1 to 4 (higher managers and professionals, lower managers and professionals, intermediate occupations, small employers and self-employed).
Average AgeAge (QS103)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (QS611)Approximated social grades A, B and C1
Average House PriceAverage residential house price around 2019. Sources: Land Registry, Statistics Scotland, NI Department of Finance

Maldon: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2020, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors


Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Maldon

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Maldon.

MaldonActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Reform
Votes
Green
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
ChelmsfordBicknacre and East and West Hanningfield4,185CONCON1,809366373192640812,912
ChelmsfordLittle Baddow, Danbury and Sandon6,579CONCON2,9134895032852701194,579
ChelmsfordRettendon and Runwell4,865CONCON2,250479292182680793,386
ChelmsfordSouth Hanningfield, Stock and Margaretting4,574CONCON2,162335328192600803,184
ChelmsfordSouth Woodham - Chetwood and Collingwood6,212CONCON2,676630285216190914,322
ChelmsfordSouth Woodham - Elmwood and Woodville6,098CONCON2,6356604352538301064,244
MaldonAlthorne3,550CONCON1,638462131111780492,469
MaldonBurnham-on-Crouch North3,257CONCON1,459431144111750472,267
MaldonBurnham-on-Crouch South3,323CONCON1,470415170121940512,312
MaldonHeybridge East3,304CONCON1,569345146111800482,299
MaldonHeybridge West3,273CONCON1,488390155111850482,277
MaldonMaldon East1,892CONCON8252609071070281,317
MaldonMaldon North3,394CONCON1,507396190132030532,362
MaldonMaldon South3,040CONCON1,337400149111730462,116
MaldonMaldon West3,201CONCON1,512326150111810472,227
MaldonMayland3,529CONCON1,822296110111710462,456
MaldonPurleigh2,866CONCON1,5222068791340371,995
MaldonSouthminster3,500CONCON1,614419150121910502,436
MaldonTillingham1,797CONCON875179696970251,251
 Total72,439CONCON33,0837,4843,9572664,49001,13150,411

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2021.


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