Woking: Seat, Ward and Prediction Details

Woking: Overview

 Prediction: CON hold 

MP at 2019: Jonathan Lord  (CON)
County/Area: Surrey (South East)
Electorate: 75,455
Turnout: 71.5%
2019
Votes
2019
Share
Predicted
Votes
CON26,39648.9%47.7%
LIB16,62930.8%19.8%
LAB8,82716.4%23.8%
Green1,4852.8%4.1%
OTH6001.1%4.6%
CON Majority9,76718.1%Pred Maj 23.9%
Chance of
winning
CON
92%
LIB
3%
LAB
5%
Green
0%
OTH
0%

Woking : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Woking constituency, the 'South East' area and nation.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2011 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat South EastAll GB
Party Winner 2019CONCONCON
Party Winner 2017CONCONCON
Party Winner 2015CONCONCON
Economic Position17° Right11° Right
National Position5° Glo3° Nat
Social Position1° Con
TribeKind Yuppies
EU Leave %44%52%52%
British Identity34%29%29%
Good Health52%49%48%
UK Born81%88%87%
Good Education49%43%39%
Good Job64%56%51%
High SEC65%57%51%
Average Age48.049.148.3
ABC1 Class68%60%54%

Woking ranks #505 for "Leave", #22 for "Right", #476 for "National" and #415 for "Social" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions

Indicators : Legend and Descriptions

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education, Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class) all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic PositionVery LeftLeftCentristRightVery Right
National PositionVery GlobalGlobalCentristNationalVery Nat
Social PositionVery LibLiberalModerateConservativeVery Cons
EU Leave %Very RemainRemainBalancedLeaveVery Leave
CensusVery LowLowMediumHighVery High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
British IdentityNational Identity (KS202)Those answering British, British-Other, or Scottish-British
Good HealthHealth (KS301)Those answering 'Very Good Health'
UK BornCountry of Birth (QS203)Those answering England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales, GB Other, or UK Other
Good EducationHighest level of Qualification (QS501)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
Good JobOccupation (QS606)Occupation codes 1xx to 4xx (Managers, Professionals, Associates, and office workers)
High SECNS-SeC of Household Reference Person (QS609)National Statistics Socio-economic Classification from 1 to 4 (higher managers and professionals, lower managers and professionals, intermediate occupations, small employers and self-employed).
Average AgeAge (QS103)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (QS611)Approximated social grades A, B and C1

Woking: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2020, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors

Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Woking

This table shows the predicted future general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Woking.

WokingActualPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2019
GE19
Winner
Pred
Winner
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Brexit
Votes
Green
Votes
MIN
Votes
OTH
Votes
Total
Votes
GuildfordNormandy2,504CONCON9852923830450831,788
GuildfordPirbright1,948CONCON9192331460280671,393
WokingByfleet and West Byfleet8,434CONCON3,1601,354944025203196,029
WokingCanalside6,569LABLAB1,6712,188460019901794,697
WokingGoldsworth Park6,553CONCON1,8351,2651,220018601794,685
WokingHeathlands6,842CONCON2,895866645022202644,892
WokingHoe Valley6,739LIBCON1,7791,1351,530018601874,817
WokingHorsell7,039CONCON2,5838851,117022402235,032
WokingKnaphill7,825CONCON3,0281,346669026102895,593
WokingMount Hermon6,822LIBCON1,8731,0661,532022001854,876
WokingPyrford7,301CONCON2,8991,232590019003075,218
WokingSt John's6,879CONCON2,0869841,461019701884,916
 Total75,455CONCON25,71312,84610,69702,21002,47053,936

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2020.


Go back to home page.

© 2020 Electoral Calculus Ltd
Powered by TigerLib (24-Jul-2020 19:51, Py3L, sc1732)