Wrekin, The: Seat Details

Wrekin, The: Overview

Prediction: Reform gain from CON

MP at 2024:Mark Pritchard  (CON)
County/Area:Shropshire (West Midlands)
Electorate:78,942
Turnout:63.4%

Party2024
Votes
2024
Share
Pred
Votes
CON16,32032.6%21.1%
LAB15,43730.9%19.0%
Reform9,92019.8%36.9%
LIB4,7579.5%9.3%
Green3,0286.1%10.9%
OTH5581.1%1.5%
MIN00.0%1.4%
CON Majority8831.8%15.9%
Pred Maj
Chance of winning
CON
15%
LAB
7%
Reform
78%
LIB
0%
Green
0%
OTH
0%
MIN
0%

Wrekin, The : Political and Demographic indicators

The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Wrekin, The constituency, the 'West Midlands' area and nation.

The political measures include the three axes: Economic (Left/Right), National (Global/National) and Social (Liberal/Conservative). (what does this mean).

The demographic measures are from the 2021 Census and include categories relating to national identity, economic activity, health and education. These categories are those which have the most relevance to political attitudes.

Indicator Seat West MidlandsAll GB
Party Winner 2024CONLABLAB
Party Winner 2019CONCONCON
Party Winner 2017CONCONCON
Economic Position11° Right3° Right
National Position10° Nat7° Nat
Social Position6° Con6° Con
TribeStrong Right
EU Leave %59%59%52%
Average Age50.549.849.6
Good Education49%46%51%
Employed57%55%57%
Homeowner67%65%64%
Car owner86%79%77%
Married47%45%45%
Ethnic White89%77%83%
Christian55%49%48%
ABC1 Class57%51%56%
Gross Household Income£42,682£39,700£42,397
Deprivation50%54%51%
Average House Price£245,244£231,981£313,667

Wrekin, The ranks #174 for "Leave", #165 for "Economic Right Position", #157 for "National Position" and #160 for "Social Conservative Position" out of 650 seats.

Indicators: Legend and Descriptions
View descriptions and colour schemes of the table

The colour scheme used in the table above is explained in the legend table below. The eight census indicators (British Identity, Good Health, UK Born, Good Education Good Job, High SEC, Average Age and AB1 Class), 'Gross Household Income', 'Individual Disposable Income' and 'Average House Price' all use the same 'Census' colour scheme indicating whether the area's level is above or below the national average.

TopicCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Economic Position Very Left Left Centrist Right Very Right
National Position Very Global Global Centrist National Very Nat
Social Position Very Lib Liberal Moderate Conservative Very Cons
EU Leave % Very Remain Remain Balanced Leave Very Leave
Census Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Indicator definitions are given in terms of political data definitions or census categories:

IndicatorCensus
Question
Definition / Included Census Categories
Party WinnerArea party winner : actual election result or projected by Electoral Calculus
Economic PositionEconomic position between 100° Left and 100° Right, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
National PositionNational position between 100° Global and 100° National, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
Social PositionSocial position between 100° Liberal and 100° Conservative, estimated by Electoral Calculus from political and demographic data.
TribeTribe group dominant in the area. Can be: Strong Left, Traditionalists, Progressives, Centrists, Somewheres, Kind Young Capitalists, or Strong Right. See details.
EU Leave %EU Referendum vote share for 'Leave' : actual result or estimate
Average AgeAge (TS007A)Average age of adults (18 years and above)
Good EducationHighest level of qualification (TS067)Level 3 (A-level equivalent) or Level 4+ (degree equivalent)
EmployedEconomic activity status (TS066)Part-time, full-time employed or self-employed
HomeownerTenure (TS054)Own a property with or without a mortgage, or with shared ownership
Car ownerCar or van availability (TS045)In a household with at least one car or van
MarriedLegal partnership status (TS002)Married or civil partnership
Ethnic WhiteEthnic group (TS021)White British, Irish, Gypsy, Roma or other
ChristianReligion (TS030)Christian or Christian denomination (NI)
ABC1 ClassApproximated Social Grade (SG002)Approximated social grades A, B and C1
Gross Household IncomeMedian gross household income, including cash benefits, but before tax. Values as at 2018. Source: ONS Small area estimates (E&W), Scottish Government (Scotland), plus additional Electoral Calculus modelling.
DeprivationHouseholds by deprivation dimensions (TS011)Fraction of households which are classed as deprived on one or more of the following four indicators: employment (unemployed or long-term sick); education (no good GCSE); health and disability (bad health or long-term problem); and housing (overcrowded, shared or no central heating).
Average House PriceAverage residential property price (including flats and houses) around 2019. Sources: Land Registry, Statistics Scotland, NI Department of Finance

Wrekin, The: Map

Boundary Lines courtesy of Ordnance Survey OpenData © Crown copyright 2022, Map © OpenStreetMap contributors


Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Wrekin, The

This table shows the recent and predicted future general election results broken down over each ward in the seat of Wrekin, The. These are not local election results, which will be different.

Wrekin, TheActualPredicted
DistrictWardElectorate
2024
GE24
Winner
Pred GE
Winner
ShropshireAlbrighton3,688CONReform
ShropshireCheswardine3,511CONReform
ShropshireHodnet3,100CONReform
ShropshireShifnal North3,763ReformReform
ShropshireShifnal Rural2,789CONReform
ShropshireShifnal South3,449CONReform
Telford and WrekinAdmaston and Bratton2,397CONReform
Telford and WrekinApley Castle2,401LABReform
Telford and WrekinArleston and College4,823LABReform
Telford and WrekinChurch Aston and Lilleshall2,485CONReform
Telford and WrekinDonnington5,262LABReform
Telford and WrekinEdgmond2,270CONReform
Telford and WrekinErcall2,388LABReform
Telford and WrekinErcall Magna2,652CONReform
Telford and WrekinHadley and Leegomery7,446LABReform
Telford and WrekinHaygate and Park5,309LABReform
Telford and WrekinLawley521LABReform
Telford and WrekinMuxton4,568LABReform
Telford and WrekinNewport East2,324LABReform
Telford and WrekinNewport North2,512CONReform
Telford and WrekinNewport South2,055CONReform
Telford and WrekinNewport West2,637ReformReform
Telford and WrekinShawbirch and Dothill4,308LABReform
Telford and WrekinWrockwardine2,286CONReform
 Total78,944CONReform

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2026.


© 2026 Electoral Calculus Ltd
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