Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Labour majority 32

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	44.7%	378	29.0%	0	164	-164	214
LAB	33.0%	195	40.0%	146	0	+146	341
LIB	11.8%	8	11.0%	9	1	+8	16
Reform	2.1%	0	6.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	2.8%	1	6.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.0%	48	4.2%	7	0	+7	55
PlaidC	0.5%	2	0.9%	2	0	+2	4
Other	1.1%	0	2.9%	1	0	+1	1
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2019
Aberconwy	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Robin Millar
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Andrew Bowie
Altrincham and Sale West	Central Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Graham Brady
Alyn and Deeside	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Ashfield	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Lee Anderson
Aylesbury	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Rob Butler
Banbury	Oxfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Victoria Prentis
Banff and Buchan	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	David Duguid
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Fell
Basingstoke	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Maria Miller
Batley and Hipperholme	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Beckenham	Bromley	LAB	gain from	CON	Bob Stewart
Berwick and Morpeth	Northumberland	LAB	gain from	CON	Anne-Marie Trevelyan
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	SNP	gain from	CON	John Lamont
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	CON	Gary Sambrook
Bishop Auckland	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Dehenna Davison
Blaby, Oadby and Wigston	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Neil O'Brien
Blackpool North and Fleetwood	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Maynard
Blackpool South	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Scott Benton
Bolsover	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Fletcher
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Logan
Bolton West	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris Green
Bournemouth East	Dorset	LAB	gain from	CON	Tobias Ellwood
Bournemouth West	Dorset	LAB	gain from	CON	Conor Burns
Brecon and Radnor	Powys	LAB	gain from	CON	Fay Jones
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Darren Henry
Buckingham and Bletchley	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Burnley and Bacup	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Antony Higginbotham
Bury North	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Daly
Bury South	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Christian Wakeford
Calder Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Whittaker
Camborne and Redruth	Cornwall	LAB	gain from	CON	George Eustice
Cambridgeshire South	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Anthony Browne
Carlisle	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	John Stevenson
Carmarthen	Dyfed	Plaid	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	LIB	gain from	CON	Elliot Colburn
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Mary Robinson
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Cheshire South	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Edward Timpson
Chingford and Woodford Green	Waltham Forest	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Duncan Smith
Clwyd	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	David Jones
Colchester	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	Will Quince
Colne Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jason McCartney
Congleton	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Fiona Bruce
Copeland and the Western Lakes	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	Trudy Harrison
Corby and East Northamptonshire	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Pursglove
Crawley	West Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Henry Smith
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Kieran Mullan
Croydon East	Croydon	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Croydon South	Croydon	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris Philp
Darlington	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Gibson
Delyn	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Rob Roberts
Derby North	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Amanda Solloway
Derbyshire Mid	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Pauline Latham
Derbyshire North East	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Lee Rowley
Doncaster East and Axholme	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nick Fletcher
Dover and Deal	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	Natalie Elphicke
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	Alister Jack
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	David Mundell
Durham North West	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Holden
Earley and Woodley	Berkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Eastbourne	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Caroline Ansell
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LIB	Christine Jardine
Eltham and Chislehurst	Greenwich	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Esher and Walton	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Dominic Raab
Exmouth	Devon	MIN	gain from	CON	Simon Jupp
Filton and Bradley Stoke	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	CON	Jack Lopresti
Finchley and Muswell Hill	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Mike Freer
Fulham and Chelsea West	Hammersmith and Fulham	LAB	gain from	CON	Greg Hands
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Randall
Gloucester	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Graham
Gordon and Moray South	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Lia Nici
Guildford	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Angela Richardson
Halifax	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Hastings and Rye	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Sally-Ann Hart
Hazel Grove	Eastern Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	William Wragg
Hemel Hempstead	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mike Penning
Hendon and Golders Green	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Matthew Offord
Hexham	Northumberland	LAB	gain from	CON	Guy Opperman
High Barnet and Mill Hill	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Theresa Villiers
High Peak	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Largan
High Wycombe	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Steve Baker
Hitchin	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Bim Afolami
Hull East	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Hull West and Hessle	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Hyndburn	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Sara Britcliffe
Ilkeston and Long Eaton	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Maggie Throup
Ipswich	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Hunt
Keighley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robbie Moore
Kettering	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Philip Hollobone
Lancaster	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Leeds East	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Andrew
Leigh South and Atherton	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Grundy
Lewes	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Maria Caulfield
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Karl McCartney
Loughborough	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jane Hunt
Macclesfield	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Rutley
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Clarke
Milton Keynes	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Stewart
Monmouthshire	Gwent	LAB	gain from	CON	David Davies
Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr	Powys	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Williams
Morecambe and South Lakeland	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Morris
Morley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrea Jenkyns
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Aaron Bell
Newport Pagnell	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Ben Everitt
Northampton North	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Michael Ellis
Northampton South	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Lewer
Northwich	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Norwich North	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Chloe Smith
Ossett and Denby Dale	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Imran Ahmad-Khan
Pembrokeshire Mid and South	Dyfed	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen Crabb
Pendle	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Stephenson
Penistone and Stocksbridge	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Miriam Cates
Pennine Moors West	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jake Berry
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Bristow
Redcar and Eston	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Jacob Young
Ribble South	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Katherine Fletcher
Ribble Valley	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nigel Evans
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Alexander Stafford
Rushcliffe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Ruth Edwards
Scarborough and Whitby	North Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Goodwill
Scunthorpe	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Holly Mumby-Croft
Selby	North Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nigel Adams
Sherwood	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Spencer
Shipley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Philip Davies
Shrewsbury	Shropshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Daniel Kawczynski
Southampton Itchen	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Royston Smith
Southend West	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	David Amess
Southport	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	CON	Damien Moore
St Ives	Cornwall	LIB	gain from	CON	Derek Thomas
Stanmore and Edgware	Harrow	LAB	gain from	CON	Bob Blackman
Stevenage	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen McPartland
Stockton West	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Matt Vickers
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jo Gideon
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jonathan Gullis
Stroud	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Siobhan Baillie
Swindon North	Wiltshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Justin Tomlinson
Swindon South	Wiltshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Buckland
Telford	Shropshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Lucy Allan
Thanet East	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Mackinlay
Thurrock	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	Jackie Doyle-Price
Truro and Falmouth	Cornwall	LAB	gain from	CON	Cherilyn Mackrory
Uxbridge and South Ruislip	Hillingdon	LAB	gain from	CON	Boris Johnson
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Alun Cairns
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Walsall	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Watford	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Dean Russell
Welwyn Hatfield	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Grant Shapps
West Bromwich West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Shaun Bailey
Westminster and Chelsea East	City of Westminster	LAB	gain from	CON	Nickie Aiken
Whitley Bay and Cramlington	Newcastle area	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Wimbledon	Merton	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen Hammond
Winchester	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Steve Brine
Wirral West	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Wolverhampton North East	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Jane Stevenson
Wolverhampton West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Anderson
Worcester	Hereford and Worcestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robin Walker
Workington	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Jenkinson
Worksop and Retford	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Brendan Clarke-Smith
Worthing	West Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Bottomley
Wrexham	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Sarah Atherton
Ynys Mon	Gwynedd	Plaid	gain from	CON	Virginia Crosbie
York Outer	North Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Julian Sturdy

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Labour majority 32

List of predicted seat changes