Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 12 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	44.7%	376	39.0%	7	69	-62	314
LAB	33.0%	197	34.0%	61	10	+51	248
LIB	11.8%	8	8.0%	1	1	+0	8
Reform	2.1%	0	2.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	2.8%	1	8.0%	2	0	+2	3
SNP	4.0%	48	4.7%	7	0	+7	55
PlaidC	0.5%	2	0.6%	2	0	+2	4
Other	1.1%	0	3.8%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2019
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	David Duguid
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Andrew Bowie
Bangor Aberconwy	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Robin Millar
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Fell
Bassetlaw	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Brendan Clarke-Smith
Beckenham and Penge	Bromley	LAB	gain from	CON	Bob Stewart
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Borders	SNP	gain from	CON	John Lamont
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	CON	Gary Sambrook
Birmingham Yardley	Birmingham	CON	gain from	LAB	Jess Phillips
Bishop Auckland	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Dehenna Davison
Blackpool South	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Scott Benton
Bolsover	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Fletcher
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Jamie Wallis
Bristol Central	Bristol area	Green	gain from	LAB	Thangam Debbonaire
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Darren Henry
Bury South	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Christian Wakeford
Calder Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Whittaker
Camborne and Redruth	Cornwall	LAB	gain from	CON	George Eustice
Carmarthen	Dyfed	Plaid	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Cheshire Mid	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Colne Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jason McCartney
Corby and East Northamptonshire	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Pursglove
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Kieran Mullan
Darlington	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Gibson
Derby North	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Amanda Solloway
Dewsbury and Batley	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Unknown (changed seat)
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	Alister Jack
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	David Mundell
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LIB	Christine Jardine
Eltham and Chislehurst	Greenwich	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Erewash	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Maggie Throup
Filton and Bradley Stoke	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	CON	Jack Lopresti
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Randall
Gloucester	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Graham
Gordon and Buchan	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Hartlepool	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Mike Hill
Hastings and Rye	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Sally-Ann Hart
High Peak	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Largan
Ipswich	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Hunt
Kensington and Bayswater	Kensington and Chelsea	LAB	gain from	CON	Felicity Buchan
Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Lancaster and Wyre	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Leeds North West	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Andrew
Leeds South West and Morley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrea Jenkyns
Leicester East	Leicestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	Claudia Webbe
Leigh and Atherton	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Grundy
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Karl McCartney
Loughborough	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jane Hunt
Luton South and South Bedfordshire	Bedfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Rachel Hopkins
Milton Keynes North	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Ben Everitt
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Aaron Bell
Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Howell
Northampton North	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Michael Ellis
Norwich North	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Chloe Smith
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Debbie Abrahams
Pembrokeshire Mid and South	Dyfed	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen Crabb
Redcar	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Jacob Young
Ribble South	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Katherine Fletcher
Rochdale	Eastern Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Tony Lloyd
Sheffield Central	South Yorkshire	Green	gain from	LAB	Paul Blomfield
Sheffield Hallam	South Yorkshire	LIB	gain from	LAB	Olivia Blake
Shipley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Philip Davies
Shrewsbury	Shropshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Daniel Kawczynski
Southampton Itchen	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Royston Smith
Stevenage	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stephen McPartland
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jo Gideon
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jonathan Gullis
Stroud	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Siobhan Baillie
Swindon South	Wiltshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Buckland
Thanet East	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Mackinlay
Tipton and Wednesbury	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Shaun Bailey
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Alun Cairns
Wakefield and Rothwell	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (new seat)
Walsall and Bloxwich	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Eddie Hughes
Warrington South	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andy Carter
Whitehaven and Workington	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	Trudy Harrison
Wirral West	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	CON	Unknown (changed seat)
Worcester	Hereford and Worcestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robin Walker
Worthing East and Shoreham	West Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Tim Loughton
Ynys Mon (Anglesey)	Gwynedd	Plaid	gain from	CON	Virginia Crosbie

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 12 of majority

List of predicted seat changes