Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 33 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	44.7%	365	40.0%	6	78	-72	293
LAB	33.0%	203	37.0%	75	2	+73	276
LIB	11.8%	11	7.0%	0	7	-7	4
Reform	2.1%	0	2.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	2.8%	1	6.0%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.0%	48	4.8%	6	0	+6	54
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.8%	0	0	+0	4
Other	1.1%	0	2.4%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2019
Aberconwy	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Robin Millar
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Andrew Bowie
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Fell
Batley and Spen	West Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Tracy Brabin
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	CON	Gary Sambrook
Bishop Auckland	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Dehenna Davison
Blackpool South	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Scott Benton
Blyth Valley	Northumberland	LAB	gain from	CON	Ian Levy
Bolsover	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Fletcher
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Logan
Bolton West	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris Green
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Jamie Wallis
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Darren Henry
Bury North	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Daly
Bury South	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Christian Wakeford
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross	Highland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Jamie Stone
Calder Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Craig Whittaker
Carlisle	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	John Stevenson
Chingford and Woodford Green	Waltham Forest	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Duncan Smith
Chipping Barnet	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Theresa Villiers
Clwyd South	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Baynes
Colne Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jason McCartney
Copeland	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	Trudy Harrison
Corby	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Pursglove
Crawley	West Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Henry Smith
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Kieran Mullan
Darlington	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Gibson
Delyn	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Rob Roberts
Derby North	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Amanda Solloway
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Eastwood
Don Valley	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nick Fletcher
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	Alister Jack
Durham North West	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Holden
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LIB	Christine Jardine
Erewash	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Maggie Throup
Fife North East	Fife	SNP	gain from	LIB	Wendy Chamberlain
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Randall
Hartlepool	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Mike Hill
Hastings and Rye	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Sally-Ann Hart
Hendon	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Matthew Offord
Heywood and Middleton	Eastern Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris Clarkson
High Peak	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Largan
Hyndburn	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Sara Britcliffe
Ipswich	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Hunt
Keighley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robbie Moore
Kensington	Kensington and Chelsea	LAB	gain from	CON	Felicity Buchan
Leigh	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Grundy
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Karl McCartney
Loughborough	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jane Hunt
Milton Keynes North	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Ben Everitt
Milton Keynes South	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Stewart
Moray	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Douglas Ross
Morecambe and Lunesdale	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	David Morris
Morley and Outwood	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrea Jenkyns
Northampton North	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Michael Ellis
Northampton South	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Lewer
Norwich North	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	CON	Chloe Smith
Oxford West and Abingdon	Oxfordshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Layla Moran
Pendle	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Stephenson
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Bristow
Pudsey	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Andrew
Reading West	Berkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Alok Sharma
Redcar	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Jacob Young
Richmond Park	Richmond Upon Thames	CON	gain from	LIB	Sarah Olney
Rossendale and Darwen	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jake Berry
Scunthorpe	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Holly Mumby-Croft
Sedgefield	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Howell
Southampton Itchen	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Royston Smith
St Albans	Hertfordshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Daisy Cooper
Stockton South	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Matt Vickers
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jo Gideon
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jonathan Gullis
Stroud	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Siobhan Baillie
Swindon South	Wiltshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Buckland
Telford	Shropshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Lucy Allan
Vale of Clwyd	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	James Davies
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Alun Cairns
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Imran Ahmad-Khan
Warrington South	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andy Carter
West Bromwich East	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Nicola Richards
West Bromwich West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Shaun Bailey
Westmorland and Lonsdale	Cumbria	CON	gain from	LIB	Tim Farron
Wolverhampton North East	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Jane Stevenson
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Anderson
Workington	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Jenkinson
Wrexham	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Sarah Atherton
Ynys Mon	Gwynedd	LAB	gain from	CON	Virginia Crosbie

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 33 of majority

List of predicted seat changes