Election Prediction

The predicted results in the country, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

National Prediction: Conservative short 25 of majority

List of predicted seat changes

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	44.7%	365	39.7%	0	64	-64	301
LAB	33.0%	203	38.0%	54	0	+54	257
LIB	11.8%	11	11.8%	8	0	+8	19
Brexit	2.1%	0	0.0%	0	0	+0	0
Green	2.8%	1	2.8%	0	0	+0	1
SNP	4.0%	48	4.0%	3	1	+2	50
PlaidC	0.5%	4	0.5%	0	0	+0	4
Other	1.1%	0	3.2%	0	0	+0	0
N.Ire		18		0	0	+0	18

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2019
Aberconwy	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Robin Millar
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Andrew Bowie
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	CON	Gary Sambrook
Blackpool South	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Scott Benton
Blyth Valley	Northumberland	LAB	gain from	CON	Ian Levy
Bolsover	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Fletcher
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Logan
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Jamie Wallis
Burnley	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Antony Higginbotham
Bury North	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Daly
Bury South	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Christian Wakeford
Cambridgeshire South	Cambridgeshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Anthony Browne
Carshalton and Wallington	Sutton	LIB	gain from	CON	Elliot Colburn
Cheadle	Eastern Manchester	LIB	gain from	CON	Mary Robinson
Cheltenham	Gloucestershire	LIB	gain from	CON	Alex Chalk
Chingford and Woodford Green	Waltham Forest	LAB	gain from	CON	Iain Duncan Smith
Chipping Barnet	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Theresa Villiers
Clwyd South	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Simon Baynes
Colne Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jason McCartney
Darlington	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Gibson
Delyn	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Rob Roberts
Derby North	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Amanda Solloway
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Eastwood
Don Valley	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Nick Fletcher
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	Alister Jack
Durham North West	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Richard Holden
Esher and Walton	Surrey	LIB	gain from	CON	Dominic Raab
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Tom Randall
Hastings and Rye	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	Sally-Ann Hart
Hendon	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	Matthew Offord
Heywood and Middleton	Eastern Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	Chris Clarkson
High Peak	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robert Largan
Hyndburn	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	Sara Britcliffe
Keighley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robbie Moore
Kensington	Kensington and Chelsea	LAB	gain from	CON	Felicity Buchan
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath	Fife	LAB	gain from	SNP	Neale Hanvey
Leigh	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	James Grundy
Lewes	East Sussex	LIB	gain from	CON	Maria Caulfield
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Karl McCartney
Moray	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Douglas Ross
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Bristow
Pudsey	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Andrew
Reading West	Berkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Alok Sharma
Redcar	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Jacob Young
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Alexander Stafford
Sedgefield	Durham	LAB	gain from	CON	Paul Howell
Southport	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	CON	Damien Moore
Stockton South	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Matt Vickers
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Jo Gideon
Stroud	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Siobhan Baillie
Truro and Falmouth	Cornwall	LAB	gain from	CON	Cherilyn Mackrory
Vale of Clwyd	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	James Davies
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	Alun Cairns
Wakefield	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Imran Ahmad-Khan
Warrington South	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Andy Carter
Watford	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Dean Russell
West Bromwich East	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Nicola Richards
West Bromwich West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Shaun Bailey
Wimbledon	Merton	LIB	gain from	CON	Stephen Hammond
Winchester	Hampshire	LIB	gain from	CON	Steve Brine
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	Stuart Anderson
Workington	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	Mark Jenkinson
Wrexham	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	Sarah Atherton
Wycombe	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Steve Baker
Ynys Mon	Gwynedd	LAB	gain from	CON	Virginia Crosbie

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

User-defined Prediction

National Prediction: Conservative short 25 of majority

List of predicted seat changes